Hedbert Perez — OGILVIE

Hedbert PerezLF New Hampshire Fisher Cats

Age 23 L/L 5'10" / 160 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION85 act + 235 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.183 / .270 / .322

PA235

HR6

K%34

BB%10

BABIP258

ISO139

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	2 teams	—	200	189	35	8	0	5	5	83	6	2	0	185	230	307	537	122	297	42	2	229	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	2 teams	—	200	185	51	13	0	7	9	59	6	2	0	276	330	459	789	184	370	30	4	350	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	441	417	57	14	1	9	20	197	2	9	6	137	180	240	420	103	225	45	5	183	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	441	407	88	23	2	15	30	132	2	9	6	216	273	393	666	177	279	30	7	294	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	257	241	35	6	1	4	13	98	2	9	3	145	195	228	424	83	221	38	5	191	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	257	232	50	10	1	6	22	68	2	9	3	216	289	345	634	129	277	26	9	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	INTL	2 teams	—	167	157	25	8	1	3	9	67	0	2	3	159	205	280	485	121	250	40	5	213	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	INTL	2 teams	—	167	152	40	13	3	3	14	40	0	2	3	263	325	447	773	184	336	24	8	339	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	345	306	39	7	2	7	37	137	2	7	3	127	226	232	458	105	198	40	11	212	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	345	292	61	11	3	14	51	90	2	7	3	209	330	411	741	202	250	26	15	333	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	AA	TOR	—	85	74	18	6	0	5	10	23	1	1	0	243	341	527	868	284	283	27	12	361	134	+3	+0	+0	-1	+2	0.5
YTD	23	AA	TOR	—	85	69	20	7	0	5	15	18	1	1	0	290	424	609	1.032	319	326	21	18	445	199	+9	+0	+0	-1	+2	1.1
ROS	23	AA	TOR	2%	235	208	38	9	1	6	23	79	2	3	1	183	270	322	593	139	258	34	10	268	63	-10	+0	+0	-3	+7	-0.6
ROS	23	MLB	TOR	2%	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0						259	40	0	264	60	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	AA	TOR	—	90	79	18	6	0	5	10	25	1	1	0	228	322	494	816	266	265	28	11	356	130	+3	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.5
TOT	23	AA	TOR	—	320	282	56	15	1	11	33	102	3	4	1	199	289	376	665	177	265	32	10	293	82	-6	+0	+0	-3	+9	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	TOR	31%	402	357	68	15	2	11	39	131	3	6	2	190	276	336	612	146	263	33	10	278	71	-13	+0	+0	-4	+11	-0.6
2028	25	MLB	TOR	45%	440	391	77	17	2	13	43	139	3	6	2	197	281	350	632	153	266	32	10	287	77	-11	+0	+0	-5	+12	-0.3
2029	26	MLB	TOR	51%	464	412	84	18	2	15	45	145	4	7	2	204	289	367	655	163	268	31	10	292	81	-10	+1	+0	-5	+13	-0.1
2030	27	MLB	TOR	53%	471	418	84	18	2	15	46	146	4	7	2	201	286	361	648	160	268	31	10	292	82	-10	+1	+0	-5	+13	-0.1
2031	28	MLB	TOR	53%	472	418	84	18	2	15	47	147	4	7	2	201	288	361	649	160	267	31	10	291	81	-10	+1	-1	-5	+13	-0.2
2027	24	MLB	TOR	31%	125	111	22	5	1	3	12	41	1	2	1	198	282	342	625	144	265	33	10	273	67	-5	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
2028	25	MLB	TOR	45%	196	174	34	7	1	6	19	62	1	3	1	195	278	351	629	155	268	32	10	282	74	-6	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.2
2029	26	MLB	TOR	51%	236	209	43	9	1	8	23	74	2	3	1	206	291	373	664	167	269	31	10	287	78	-6	+0	+0	-3	+7	-0.2
2030	27	MLB	TOR	53%	247	219	44	9	1	8	24	77	2	4	1	201	286	361	646	160	270	31	10	288	78	-6	+0	+0	-3	+7	-0.1
2031	28	MLB	TOR	53%	252	223	45	10	1	8	25	79	2	4	1	202	288	363	651	161	269	31	10	286	77	-6	+0	-0	-3	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1061	941	188	40	5	33	103	335	8	16	5	200	284	358	642	158	268	32	10	284	76	-29	+1	-0	-11	+30	-1.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	115	25	3	20	63	205	5	10	3	200	284	358	641	158	268	32	10	284	76	-18	+1	-0	-7	+18	-0.6
Career	—			—	3894	3514	626	138	16	103	327	1369	32	65	26	178	254	314	569	136	254	35	8	256	54	-203	+3	-1	-42	+110	-13.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	105	23	3	17	55	229	5	11	4	179	255	315	571	136	256	35	8	256	54	-34	+1	-0	-7	+18	-2.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	68	65	11	2	0	1	1	25	2	0	0	169	206	246	452	77	256	37	1	207	16	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2021	18	ROK	ACL Brewers Gold	—	132	120	40	11	0	6	8	34	4	2	0	333	394	575	969	242	425	26	6	424	182	+12	+0	—	—	+4	1.7
2022	19	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	441	407	88	23	2	15	30	132	2	9	6	216	273	393	666	177	279	30	7	294	83	-8	-1	—	—	+12	0.4
2023	20	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	257	232	50	10	1	6	22	68	2	9	3	216	289	345	634	129	277	26	9	286	77	-7	+1	—	—	+7	0.1
2024	21	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	79	73	16	5	1	2	6	23	0	0	1	219	278	397	676	178	292	29	8	299	87	-1	-0	—	—	+2	0.1
2024	21	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	88	79	24	8	2	1	8	17	0	2	2	304	368	494	861	190	371	19	9	374	145	+4	-0	—	—	+2	0.7
2025	22	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	345	292	61	11	3	14	51	90	2	7	3	209	330	411	741	202	250	26	15	333	113	+5	+0	—	—	+10	1.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Chris Carterlast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,807 PA	7	2,807	158	12	219	314	462	-50	-50	3.3	3.3
	/162	664	37	3	219	314	462	-11.7	-11.9	0.8	pk7: 3
#5Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	6	2,377	81	7	239	332	416	-42	-36	1.7	1.7
#5Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	/162	664	23	2	239	332	416	-11.9	-10.1	0.5	pk7: 2
#6Hunter Dozierlast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,294 PA	6	2,294	73	19	238	305	421	-23	-45	0.0	0.0
	/162	664	21	5	238	305	421	-6.5	-13.2	0.0	pk7: 0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	1,063	33	15	201	283	361	-11	-2	-0.6	-0.3
	/162	664	21	10	201	283	361	-7.1	-1.2	-0.3	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Hedbert Perez (OGILVIE)	23	30	55	45	60	199/289/376	177	265	11	4	32%	10%	82	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A	23	39	45→55	47→45	45	200/277/324	124	256	13	8	27%	7%	68	-0.5	216/273/378	162	292	20	4	32%	6%	80	+0.4	212/264/396	184	278	26	0	33%	5%	76	+0.0
✕Drew Robinson 2015 · AAA	23	37→40	43→55	49→50	41	183/253/301	119	283	10	9	37%	8%	51	-1.7	202/277/372	170	283	20	12	34%	9%	79	+0.3	213/286/393	179	309	20	12	36%	9%	85	+0.5
✕Brian O'Grady 2015 · A	23	39→37	43→60	54→50	47	196/261/312	115	255	9	8	26%	8%	56	-1.3	187/269/294	107	266	9	14	31%	9%	56	-1.3	207/269/398	192	270	24	15	32%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Kevin Padlo 2019 · A	23	35→40	45→55	45→50	43	180/260/303	123	268	12	7	36%	9%	55	-1.4	206/284/377	171	294	20	9	35%	9%	85	+0.7	195/265/371	176	262	22	12	34%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Matthew Sweeney 2012 · AA	24	34→40	43→50	49→45	41	177/244/289	112	260	11	4	35%	7%	44	-2.1	202/260/313	111	281	9	6	30%	7%	56	-1.3	212/253/318	106	275	4	0	24%	5%	51	-0.3
✕Lance Ray 2013 · A	23	37	45	45	45	191/261/313	122	256	13	6	30%	8%	58	-1.2	198/263/314	116	276	10	6	30%	7%	59	-1.1	148/219/198	51	212	4	5	30%	8%	7	-1.0
✕Michael Pérez 2016 · A	23	34	41→50	42→40	41	176/240/273	97	255	9	4	33%	7%	38	-2.6	207/260/304	97	277	8	3	27%	6%	53	-1.5	221/281/340	119	284	13	0	26%	7%	70	-0.2
●Jack Suwinski 2021 · A	23	38→42	45→60	48→50	40	190/253/309	119	285	12	5	36%	7%	53	-1.5	211/296/401	190	298	24	9	35%	10%	95	+1.4	208/305/416	207	281	28	10	34%	11%	100	+1.5
✕Anthony Seigler 2022 · A	23	41→39	42→50	44→55	44	196/272/305	109	295	9	6	34%	9%	60	-1.0	191/297/306	115	253	10	15	26%	13%	72	-0.2	226/317/363	137	277	12	28	21%	11%	91	+0.6
✕Chris Meyers 2022 · A	23	40→44	42→55	51→45	45	198/266/301	103	259	9	11	26%	7%	56	-1.3	220/277/364	144	296	17	6	30%	6%	78	+0.2	223/282/380	157	291	20	3	30%	6%	81	+0.3
✕Tristan Gray 2019 · A	23	37→35	49→55	42→40	38	198/247/351	153	272	16	6	33%	6%	62	-0.9	206/272/358	152	266	18	4	29%	7%	74	-0.1	202/259/335	133	273	15	3	31%	6%	61	-0.6
✕Randy Florentino 2023 · A	23	37	40→50	47→45	41	183/247/269	86	275	9	6	35%	8%	40	-2.4	197/245/284	87	262	8	6	27%	6%	42	-2.3	183/224/259	76	232	7	4	24%	5%	25	-1.0
✕Michael Toglia 2022 · AA	23	37→34	47→55	49→45	41	190/260/325	135	291	15	9	38%	8%	61	-1.0	189/263/347	158	268	20	7	36%	9%	68	-0.5	189/268/367	178	253	24	7	34%	9%	71	-0.2
✕Trae Santos 2016 · A	23	40→36	45→50	46→40	43	200/270/330	130	273	12	4	30%	8%	66	-0.6	188/252/314	126	278	12	4	35%	6%	54	-1.4	151/217/277	126	225	13	0	38%	6%	27	-2.3
✕Francisco Del Valle 2022 · A	23	35→27	46→45	44→40	42	182/255/308	126	257	13	5	34%	8%	54	-1.4	201/255/310	109	278	11	7	30%	6%	53	-1.5	164/184/226	62	212	7	4	27%	2%	-5	-0.9
✕Michael Burgess 2012 · AA	23	38→41	48→50	45	42	199/264/337	138	265	16	4	31%	7%	66	-0.6	206/261/344	138	266	14	3	27%	6%	65	-0.7	209/256/357	148	263	15	2	27%	5%	65	-0.4
✕Adrian Del Castillo 2023 · A	23	36→43	44→50	52→40	42	187/249/306	120	252	12	7	30%	7%	51	-1.7	207/278/346	139	286	15	3	31%	8%	73	-0.1	222/289/402	180	281	22	1	28%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Jacob Wetzel 2023 · A	23	39→35	44→45	49→50	45	196/278/309	113	276	13	10	32%	9%	64	-0.8	190/263/303	113	285	10	13	34%	8%	56	-1.3	175/248/290	115	270	9	16	36%	8%	43	-1.1
✕Iverson Leonardo 2023 · A	21	37	44→50	49→50	39	187/256/305	118	276	12	9	35%	7%	54	-1.4	197/279/292	95	352	7	8	42%	9%	60	-1.0	146/272/221	75	359	3	4	52%	12%	39	-0.5
✕Rixon Wingrove 2022 · A	22	35	44→55	47→40	36	180/242/297	117	280	12	4	39%	6%	46	-2.0	192/259/343	151	301	19	4	41%	7%	66	-0.6	184/257/346	162	273	22	3	39%	7%	61	-0.5