Izzy Wilson
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 21 | A+/A2 orgs | 315 | .217/.324/.353 | 6 | 17 | 38 | — | .160/.248/.255 |
| 2021 | 23 | AALAA | 335 | .247/.330/.486 | 21 | 25 | 73 | — | .209/.273/.363 |
| 2022 | 24 | AABOS | 352 | .215/.309/.410 | 13 | 13 | 57 | — | .181/.249/.324 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 17 | ROK | GCL Braves | — | 173 | 144 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 26 | 56 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 222 | 349 | 479 | 828 | 257 | 282 | 32 | 15 | 364 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | Danville Braves | — | 146 | 130 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 51 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 192 | 276 | 315 | 591 | 123 | 299 | 35 | 10 | 269 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | A | Rome Braves | — | 191 | 168 | 44 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 52 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 262 | 344 | 351 | 695 | 89 | 362 | 27 | 9 | 315 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK | Danville Braves | — | 77 | 68 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 250 | 338 | 544 | 882 | 294 | 283 | 23 | 12 | 380 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A+ | Florida Fire Frogs | — | 151 | 135 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 43 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 215 | 289 | 311 | 600 | 96 | 297 | 28 | 9 | 271 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A | Rome Braves | — | 257 | 223 | 51 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 77 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 229 | 317 | 372 | 690 | 143 | 319 | 30 | 11 | 306 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | INTL | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 55 | 46 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 217 | 333 | 478 | 812 | 261 | 258 | 24 | 13 | 349 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ | Charlotte Stone Crabs | — | 217 | 187 | 39 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 73 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 209 | 318 | 342 | 660 | 134 | 324 | 34 | 13 | 303 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 98 | 85 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 235 | 337 | 376 | 713 | 141 | 315 | 29 | 11 | 325 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 335 | 296 | 73 | 8 | 0 | 21 | 36 | 102 | 1 | 25 | 7 | 247 | 330 | 486 | 817 | 240 | 297 | 30 | 11 | 357 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 352 | 307 | 66 | 15 | 3 | 13 | 40 | 98 | 2 | 13 | 4 | 215 | 309 | 410 | 719 | 195 | 269 | 28 | 11 | 319 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 17 | ROK MLE | GCL Braves | — | 173 | 153 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 81 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 144 | 238 | 314 | 552 | 170 | 222 | 47 | 10 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK MLE | Danville Braves | — | 146 | 135 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 72 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 119 | 179 | 193 | 372 | 74 | 236 | 49 | 6 | 169 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | A MLE | Rome Braves | — | 191 | 175 | 38 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 74 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 217 | 275 | 297 | 572 | 80 | 349 | 39 | 6 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK MLE | Danville Braves | — | 77 | 71 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 169 | 234 | 366 | 600 | 197 | 213 | 34 | 8 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A+ MLE | Florida Fire Frogs | — | 151 | 138 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 64 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 174 | 235 | 261 | 496 | 87 | 287 | 42 | 7 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A MLE | Rome Braves | — | 257 | 232 | 42 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 108 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 181 | 246 | 293 | 539 | 112 | 292 | 42 | 7 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ MLE | Charlotte Stone Crabs | — | 217 | 194 | 29 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 100 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 149 | 240 | 242 | 482 | 93 | 291 | 46 | 10 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 98 | 88 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 40 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 182 | 265 | 284 | 549 | 102 | 294 | 41 | 8 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 335 | 306 | 64 | 8 | 0 | 13 | 26 | 122 | 1 | 25 | 7 | 209 | 273 | 363 | 636 | 154 | 290 | 36 | 8 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 352 | 321 | 58 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 120 | 2 | 13 | 4 | 181 | 249 | 324 | 573 | 143 | 251 | 34 | 8 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 17 | ROK MLE | GCL Braves | — | 173 | 153 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 81 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 144 | 238 | 314 | 552 | 170 | 231 | 47 | 10 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 17 | ROK RAW | GCL Braves | — | 173 | 144 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 26 | 56 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 222 | 349 | 479 | 828 | 257 | 282 | 32 | 15 | 364 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK MLE | Danville Braves | — | 146 | 135 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 72 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 119 | 179 | 193 | 372 | 74 | 242 | 49 | 6 | 169 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK RAW | Danville Braves | — | 146 | 130 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 51 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 192 | 276 | 315 | 591 | 123 | 299 | 35 | 10 | 269 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 268 | 246 | 50 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 100 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 203 | 263 | 313 | 576 | 110 | 315 | 37 | 6 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 268 | 236 | 61 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 27 | 70 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 258 | 342 | 407 | 749 | 148 | 340 | 26 | 10 | 334 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 463 | 419 | 75 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 195 | 2 | 20 | 5 | 179 | 244 | 282 | 526 | 103 | 307 | 42 | 7 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 463 | 404 | 90 | 17 | 5 | 10 | 49 | 133 | 2 | 20 | 5 | 223 | 310 | 364 | 674 | 141 | 304 | 29 | 11 | 300 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 315 | 282 | 44 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 30 | 141 | 3 | 17 | 5 | 156 | 244 | 248 | 493 | 92 | 292 | 45 | 10 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 315 | 272 | 59 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 40 | 101 | 3 | 17 | 5 | 217 | 324 | 353 | 677 | 136 | 321 | 32 | 13 | 310 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 335 | 306 | 64 | 8 | 0 | 13 | 26 | 122 | 1 | 25 | 7 | 209 | 273 | 363 | 636 | 154 | 295 | 36 | 8 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA RAW | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 335 | 296 | 73 | 8 | 0 | 21 | 36 | 102 | 1 | 25 | 7 | 247 | 330 | 486 | 817 | 240 | 297 | 30 | 11 | 357 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 352 | 321 | 58 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 120 | 2 | 13 | 4 | 181 | 249 | 324 | 573 | 143 | 250 | 34 | 8 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA RAW | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 352 | 307 | 66 | 15 | 3 | 13 | 40 | 98 | 2 | 13 | 4 | 215 | 309 | 410 | 719 | 195 | 269 | 28 | 11 | 319 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 17 | ROK MLE | GCL Braves | — | 173 | 152 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 81 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 145 | 238 | 316 | 554 | 171 | 222 | 47 | 10 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK MLE | Danville Braves | — | 146 | 135 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 72 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 119 | 179 | 193 | 372 | 74 | 236 | 49 | 6 | 169 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 268 | 246 | 50 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 100 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 203 | 263 | 313 | 576 | 110 | 310 | 37 | 6 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 463 | 424 | 75 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 195 | 2 | 20 | 5 | 177 | 244 | 278 | 522 | 101 | 290 | 42 | 7 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 315 | 279 | 44 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 30 | 141 | 3 | 17 | 5 | 158 | 244 | 251 | 495 | 93 | 292 | 45 | 10 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 335 | 305 | 64 | 8 | 0 | 13 | 26 | 122 | 1 | 25 | 7 | 210 | 273 | 364 | 637 | 154 | 290 | 36 | 8 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 352 | 320 | 58 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 120 | 2 | 13 | 4 | 181 | 249 | 325 | 574 | 144 | 251 | 34 | 8 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2052 | 1862 | 329 | 53 | 14 | 48 | 160 | 831 | 14 | 95 | 30 | 177 | 247 | 298 | 545 | 121 | 284 | 40 | 8 | 239 | 48 | -127 | +7 | +0 | -22 | +44 | -10.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 590 | 104 | 17 | 4 | 15 | 51 | 263 | 4 | 30 | 10 | 176 | 247 | 295 | 541 | 119 | 283 | 40 | 8 | 239 | 48 | -40 | +2 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -3.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2022 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 352 PAwOBA .311 → .253 (−58)K% 27.8% → 34.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.84% | ÷0.994 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.36% | ÷1.026 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 7.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.57% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.49% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.75% | ÷0.983 | ×0.970 | ×1.009 | ×1.012 | 16.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.18% | ÷1.066 | ×0.860 | ×1.009 | ×1.012 | 5.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.44% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.009 | ×1.012 | 1.21% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.22% | ÷1.004 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 4.89% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 97, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 99, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.
Result: wOBA .311 → .253; ISO .195 → .152; BABIP .269 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AARocket City Trash Pandas · 335 PAwOBA .349 → .276 (−74)K% 30.4% → 36.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.45% | ÷1.018 | ×1.220 | — | — | 36.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.75% | ÷0.992 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.027 | 7.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.30% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.68% | ÷0.985 | ×0.940 | ×1.046 | ×1.027 | 23.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.12% | ÷0.947 | ×0.870 | ×1.046 | ×1.027 | 4.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.046 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.82% | ÷1.249 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 6.94% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 150, 1B 97, 2B 89, 3B 130, K 104, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.046.
Result: wOBA .349 → .276; ISO .240 → .157; BABIP .297 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Charlotte Stone Crabs · 217 PAwOBA .296 → .223 (−73)K% 33.6% → 46.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.64% | ÷1.033 | ×1.420 | — | — | 46.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.36% | ÷1.018 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.027 | 10.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.46% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.027 | 0.44% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.18% | ÷1.008 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 17.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.77% | ÷1.011 | ×0.960 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 8.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.63% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 2.31% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.63% | ÷0.939 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 2.53% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 102, 2B 102, 3B 80, K 107, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .296 → .223; ISO .134 → .102; BABIP .324 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 ABowling Green Hot Rods · 98 PAwOBA .317 → .229 (−87)K% 28.6% → 41.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.57% | ÷0.944 | ×1.360 | — | — | 41.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.22% | ÷1.012 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 7.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.04% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 1.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.32% | ÷0.960 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.015 | 25.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.75% | ÷1.103 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.015 | 1.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.75% | ÷1.124 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.015 | 1.44% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.270 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 3.37% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 154, 1B 92, 2B 121, 3B 125, K 89, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .317 → .229; ISO .141 → .082; BABIP .315 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ARome Braves · 257 PAwOBA .300 → .233 (−66)K% 30.0% → 42.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.96% | ÷0.952 | ×1.340 | — | — | 42.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.89% | ÷0.995 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.030 | 7.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.39% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.030 | 0.31% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.60% | ÷0.983 | ×0.920 | ×0.984 | ×1.030 | 21.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.85% | ÷1.031 | ×0.820 | ×0.984 | ×1.030 | 5.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.37% | ÷0.990 | ×0.940 | ×0.984 | ×1.030 | 1.32% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.11% | ÷0.880 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.030 | 3.94% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 97, 2B 106, 3B 98, K 90, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.
Result: wOBA .300 → .233; ISO .143 → .115; BABIP .319 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Florida Fire Frogs · 151 PAwOBA .266 → .211 (−55)K% 28.5% → 42.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.48% | ÷0.960 | ×1.420 | — | — | 42.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.27% | ÷1.017 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.042 | 7.13% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.83% | ÷0.949 | ×0.920 | ×0.975 | ×1.042 | 22.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.43% | ÷1.037 | ×0.960 | ×0.975 | ×1.042 | 5.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.09% | ÷1.026 | ×0.810 | ×0.975 | ×1.042 | 0.87% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.17% | ÷0.974 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.042 | 2.05% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 90, 2B 107, 3B 105, K 92, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.
Result: wOBA .266 → .211; ISO .096 → .074; BABIP .297 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 ARome Braves · 191 PAwOBA .311 → .253 (−58)K% 27.2% → 39.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.23% | ÷0.935 | ×1.340 | — | — | 39.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.42% | ÷1.075 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.045 | 6.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.57% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.045 | 1.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.03% | ÷1.024 | ×0.920 | ×1.040 | ×1.045 | 30.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.59% | ÷1.066 | ×0.820 | ×1.040 | ×1.045 | 2.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.59% | ÷1.067 | ×0.940 | ×1.040 | ×1.045 | 2.48% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.72% | ÷0.753 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.045 | 1.96% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 51, 1B 105, 2B 113, 3B 113, K 87, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.
Result: wOBA .311 → .253; ISO .089 → .079; BABIP .362 → .349. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 ROKDanville Braves · 77 PAwOBA .370 → .256 (−114)K% 23.4% → 33.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.38% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 33.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.640 | — | ×1.008 | 7.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.740 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 12.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 2.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 6.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 4.25% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.008 | 6.45% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .370 → .256; ISO .294 → .206; BABIP .283 → .213. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .