Daniel Montano
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25 | INTLTiburones de … | 114 | .354/.451/.562 | 5 | 2 | 185 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | INTLTiburones de … | 247 | .256/.386/.427 | 8 | 6 | 129 | — |
| 2026 | 27 | INTLTiburones de … | 62 | .340/.500/.447 | 0 | 1 | 180 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rockies | — | 280 | 241 | 55 | 17 | 2 | 9 | 31 | 65 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 228 | 329 | 427 | 756 | 199 | 271 | 23 | 11 | 334 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | DSL Rockies | — | 217 | 189 | 51 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 39 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 270 | 355 | 423 | 778 | 153 | 327 | 18 | 11 | 344 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | Grand Junction Rockies | — | 315 | 284 | 75 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 62 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 264 | 330 | 412 | 742 | 148 | 320 | 20 | 8 | 328 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A | Asheville Tourists | — | 504 | 454 | 99 | 30 | 3 | 7 | 35 | 119 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 218 | 277 | 344 | 621 | 126 | 276 | 24 | 7 | 272 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Spokane Indians | — | 192 | 166 | 47 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 47 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 283 | 360 | 337 | 698 | 54 | 382 | 24 | 10 | 312 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 215 | 186 | 56 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 53 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 301 | 384 | 446 | 830 | 145 | 397 | 25 | 11 | 365 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 359 | 305 | 77 | 16 | 1 | 13 | 49 | 101 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 252 | 358 | 439 | 797 | 187 | 330 | 28 | 14 | 353 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Spokane Indians | — | 133 | 109 | 35 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 321 | 426 | 523 | 949 | 202 | 400 | 19 | 15 | 405 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 320 | 270 | 64 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 46 | 91 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 237 | 352 | 426 | 778 | 189 | 324 | 28 | 14 | 346 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | ROK | ACL Rockies | — | 36 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 148 | 361 | 148 | 509 | 222 | 25 | 25 | 275 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 25 | INTL | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 114 | 96 | 34 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 354 | 451 | 562 | 1.014 | 208 | 382 | 14 | 15 | 442 | 185 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | INTL | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 247 | 199 | 51 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 41 | 46 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 256 | 386 | 427 | 813 | 171 | 285 | 19 | 17 | 359 | 129 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | INTL | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 62 | 47 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 340 | 500 | 447 | 947 | 106 | 372 | 6 | 23 | 434 | 180 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rockies | — | 280 | 250 | 33 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 79 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 132 | 217 | 228 | 445 | 96 | 168 | 28 | 8 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Rockies | — | 217 | 198 | 32 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 48 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 162 | 224 | 237 | 462 | 76 | 202 | 22 | 7 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK MLE | Grand Junction Rockies | — | 315 | 294 | 54 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 89 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 184 | 231 | 282 | 513 | 99 | 246 | 28 | 5 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 504 | 469 | 72 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 165 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 154 | 191 | 228 | 420 | 75 | 216 | 33 | 4 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ MLE | Spokane Indians | — | 192 | 172 | 43 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 66 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 250 | 306 | 297 | 603 | 47 | 368 | 34 | 7 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 215 | 194 | 44 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 74 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 227 | 289 | 309 | 598 | 82 | 342 | 34 | 7 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 359 | 319 | 67 | 13 | 1 | 10 | 35 | 122 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 210 | 290 | 351 | 641 | 141 | 293 | 34 | 10 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ MLE | Spokane Indians | — | 133 | 115 | 29 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 35 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 252 | 333 | 409 | 742 | 157 | 336 | 26 | 11 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 320 | 282 | 54 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 115 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 191 | 283 | 326 | 609 | 135 | 294 | 36 | 11 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | ROK MLE | ACL Rockies | — | 36 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 97 | 222 | 97 | 319 | 178 | 36 | 14 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rockies | — | 280 | 250 | 33 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 79 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 132 | 217 | 228 | 445 | 96 | 171 | 28 | 8 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Rockies | — | 280 | 241 | 55 | 17 | 2 | 9 | 31 | 65 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 228 | 329 | 427 | 756 | 199 | 271 | 23 | 11 | 334 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Rockies | — | 217 | 198 | 32 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 48 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 162 | 224 | 237 | 462 | 76 | 208 | 22 | 7 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Rockies | — | 217 | 189 | 51 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 39 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 270 | 355 | 423 | 778 | 153 | 327 | 18 | 11 | 344 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK MLE | Grand Junction Rockies | — | 315 | 294 | 54 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 89 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 184 | 231 | 282 | 513 | 99 | 246 | 28 | 5 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK RAW | Grand Junction Rockies | — | 315 | 284 | 75 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 62 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 264 | 330 | 412 | 742 | 148 | 320 | 20 | 8 | 328 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 504 | 469 | 72 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 165 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 154 | 191 | 228 | 420 | 75 | 223 | 33 | 4 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A RAW | Asheville Tourists | — | 504 | 454 | 99 | 30 | 3 | 7 | 35 | 119 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 218 | 277 | 344 | 621 | 126 | 276 | 24 | 7 | 272 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 407 | 366 | 87 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 140 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 238 | 297 | 303 | 601 | 66 | 370 | 34 | 7 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 407 | 352 | 103 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 100 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 293 | 373 | 395 | 768 | 102 | 390 | 25 | 11 | 340 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 492 | 434 | 96 | 22 | 4 | 11 | 49 | 157 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 221 | 302 | 366 | 668 | 145 | 314 | 32 | 10 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 492 | 414 | 112 | 27 | 5 | 14 | 69 | 126 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 271 | 376 | 461 | 837 | 191 | 351 | 26 | 14 | 367 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 356 | 313 | 57 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 128 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 182 | 277 | 304 | 580 | 121 | 286 | 36 | 11 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 356 | 297 | 68 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 55 | 100 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 229 | 353 | 401 | 754 | 172 | 314 | 28 | 15 | 339 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | INTL MLE | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 114 | 96 | 34 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 354 | 451 | 562 | 1.014 | 208 | 382 | 14 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | INTL RAW | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 114 | 96 | 34 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 354 | 451 | 562 | 1.014 | 208 | 382 | 14 | 15 | 442 | 185 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | INTL MLE | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 247 | 199 | 51 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 41 | 46 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 256 | 386 | 427 | 813 | 171 | 285 | 19 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | INTL RAW | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 247 | 199 | 51 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 41 | 46 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 256 | 386 | 427 | 813 | 171 | 285 | 19 | 17 | 359 | 129 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | INTL MLE | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 62 | 47 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 340 | 500 | 447 | 947 | 106 | 372 | 6 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | INTL RAW | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 62 | 47 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 340 | 500 | 447 | 947 | 106 | 372 | 6 | 23 | 434 | 180 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rockies | — | 280 | 251 | 33 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 79 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 131 | 217 | 227 | 444 | 96 | 168 | 28 | 8 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Rockies | — | 217 | 199 | 32 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 48 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 161 | 224 | 236 | 460 | 75 | 202 | 22 | 7 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK MLE | Grand Junction Rockies | — | 315 | 294 | 54 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 89 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 184 | 231 | 282 | 513 | 99 | 246 | 28 | 5 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 504 | 477 | 72 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 165 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 151 | 191 | 224 | 416 | 73 | 216 | 33 | 4 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 407 | 373 | 87 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 140 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 233 | 297 | 298 | 595 | 64 | 354 | 34 | 7 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 492 | 439 | 96 | 22 | 4 | 11 | 49 | 157 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 219 | 302 | 362 | 664 | 144 | 305 | 32 | 10 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 356 | 312 | 57 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 128 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 183 | 277 | 304 | 581 | 122 | 282 | 36 | 11 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2994 | 2666 | 532 | 113 | 21 | 44 | 263 | 872 | 16 | 73 | 36 | 200 | 275 | 307 | 583 | 108 | 274 | 29 | 9 | 205 | 25 | -267 | +0 | +0 | -32 | +65 | -23.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 579 | 117 | 25 | 5 | 10 | 57 | 189 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 202 | 277 | 314 | 591 | 112 | 276 | 29 | 9 | 205 | 25 | -58 | +0 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -5.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 320 PAwOBA .340 → .270 (−70)K% 28.4% → 36.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.44% | ÷0.947 | ×1.200 | — | — | 36.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.37% | ÷0.984 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 10.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.62% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.11% | ÷1.018 | ×0.930 | ×0.993 | ×1.048 | 19.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.26% | ÷1.002 | ×0.830 | ×0.993 | ×1.048 | 6.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.91% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.993 | ×1.048 | 3.43% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.47% | ÷1.062 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 3.09% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 104, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 89, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .340 → .270; ISO .189 → .140; BABIP .324 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Rockies · 36 PAwOBA .270 → .179 (−91)K% 25.0% → 36.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷0.996 | ×1.440 | — | — | 36.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 25.00% | ÷0.999 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.955 | 14.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷0.976 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.955 | 17.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.006 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.137 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.031 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 95, 2B 101, 3B 127, K 99, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 19.5 → −4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .270 → .179; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .222 → .178. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAHartford Yard Goats · 359 PAwOBA .347 → .283 (−64)K% 28.1% → 34.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.13% | ÷1.006 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.65% | ÷1.002 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 9.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.28% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.04% | ÷1.032 | ×0.970 | ×0.963 | ×1.027 | 21.41% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.84% | ÷1.035 | ×0.860 | ×0.963 | ×1.027 | 6.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.49% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.963 | ×1.027 | 0.40% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.37% | ÷0.992 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 5.14% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 106, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 101, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.
Result: wOBA .347 → .283; ISO .187 → .149; BABIP .330 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Spokane Indians · 133 PAwOBA .401 → .320 (−81)K% 18.8% → 26.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.80% | ÷0.975 | ×1.350 | — | — | 26.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.04% | ÷1.022 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 10.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.62% | ÷1.039 | ×0.910 | ×0.978 | ×0.998 | 19.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.10% | ÷0.978 | ×0.830 | ×0.978 | ×0.998 | 10.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.76% | ÷0.953 | ×0.820 | ×0.978 | ×0.998 | 4.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.19% | ÷1.316 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 0.75% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 163, 1B 108, 2B 96, 3B 91, K 95, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .401 → .320; ISO .202 → .164; BABIP .400 → .336. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AFresno Grizzlies · 215 PAwOBA .359 → .270 (−89)K% 24.7% → 34.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.65% | ÷0.972 | ×1.360 | — | — | 34.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.16% | ÷1.014 | ×0.690 | — | — | 7.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.47% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.08% | ÷0.967 | ×0.920 | ×0.952 | — | 27.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.77% | ÷1.057 | ×0.830 | ×0.952 | — | 5.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.26% | ÷1.132 | ×0.910 | ×0.952 | — | 1.73% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.01% | ÷1.218 | ×0.800 | — | — | 1.98% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 144, 1B 93, 2B 111, 3B 126, K 94, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.952.
Result: wOBA .359 → .270; ISO .145 → .096; BABIP .397 → .342. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Spokane Indians · 192 PAwOBA .311 → .266 (−45)K% 24.5% → 34.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.48% | ÷0.967 | ×1.350 | — | — | 34.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.42% | ÷1.052 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 7.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.77% | ÷0.966 | ×0.910 | ×1.027 | ×1.012 | 32.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷0.976 | ×0.830 | ×1.027 | ×1.012 | 5.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.84% | ÷0.900 | ×0.820 | ×1.027 | ×1.012 | 0.80% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.211 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 142, 1B 93, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 93, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.
Result: wOBA .311 → .266; ISO .054 → .046; BABIP .382 → .368. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAsheville Tourists · 504 PAwOBA .267 → .187 (−80)K% 23.6% → 32.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.61% | ÷0.968 | ×1.340 | — | — | 32.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.75% | ÷1.148 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.030 | 3.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.40% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.030 | 0.31% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.61% | ÷1.063 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 14.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.96% | ÷1.188 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 6.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.90% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 0.72% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.09% | ÷1.249 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.030 | 1.41% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 150, 1B 113, 2B 138, 3B 130, K 94, BB 130 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .267 → .187; ISO .126 → .082; BABIP .276 → .216. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ROKGrand Junction Rockies · 315 PAwOBA .322 → .225 (−97)K% 19.7% → 28.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.68% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 28.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×1.008 | 5.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.63% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.62% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.976 | ×1.008 | 17.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.66% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.976 | ×1.008 | 5.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.976 | ×1.008 | 1.59% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.008 | 1.70% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.
Result: wOBA .322 → .225; ISO .148 → .101; BABIP .320 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .