Steven Herrera

SS DSL Miami

Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 160 lbs ROK HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKMIA	180	.268/.416/.472	6	17	45	—	.145/.270/.224
2026	18	ROKDSL Miami	167	.200/.349/.444	8	16	28	—	.112/.235/.238
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBMIA	277	.191/.272/.287	4	7	60	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBMIA	77	.190/.273/.287	1	2	65	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBMIA	170	.194/.277/.299	3	4	70	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

ISO92

Chase%78

Speed76

BB%59

wOBA46

wRC+37

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsJett Williams (age 19) · Javier Herrera (age 19) · Echedry Vargas (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 139 proj PA

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .270 / .284

PA139

HR2

K%31

BB%9

ISO96

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$6M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$2M	—	—	—
2038	Arb-3	$1.0M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.7M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	180	142	38	11	0	6	32	54	4	17	5	268	416	472	888	204	381	30	18	394	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Miami	—	167	135	27	7	1	8	28	50	3	16	6	200	349	444	794	244	244	30	17	353	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	180	152	22	6	0	2	22	68	4	17	5	145	270	224	493	79	233	38	12	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	167	143	16	4	1	4	20	61	3	16	6	112	235	238	473	126	143	37	12	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	180	152	22	6	0	2	22	68	4	17	5	145	270	224	493	79	238	38	12	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	—	180	142	38	11	0	6	32	54	4	17	5	268	416	472	888	204	381	30	18	394	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	167	143	16	4	1	4	20	61	3	16	6	112	235	238	473	126	152	37	12	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Miami	—	167	135	27	7	1	8	28	50	3	16	6	200	349	444	794	244	244	30	17	353	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	180	152	22	6	0	2	22	68	4	17	5	145	270	224	493	79	233	38	12	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	167	142	16	4	1	4	20	61	3	16	6	113	235	239	474	127	143	37	12	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	180	152	22	6	0	2	22	68	4	17	5	145	270	224	493	79	233	38	12	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	167	142	16	4	1	4	20	61	3	16	6	113	235	239	474	127	143	37	12	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	MIA	0%	277	248	48	9	2	4	24	85	3	7	1	191	272	287	559	96	271	31	9	257	60	-13	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	MIA	34%	224	199	40	8	1	4	20	67	3	6	1	197	278	301	579	104	274	30	9	265	65	-9	+1	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	MIA	48%	351	313	63	12	2	6	31	104	4	9	2	201	283	312	596	111	276	30	9	271	70	-13	+1	+0	+4	+8	-0.0
2030	22	MLB MLE	MIA	54%	443	394	80	15	3	8	40	129	6	11	2	205	287	322	609	117	277	29	9	277	73	-14	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.2
2031	23	MLB MLE	MIA	57%	503	447	93	18	3	10	45	144	6	13	3	208	290	330	620	121	279	29	9	281	76	-14	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.4
2032	24	MLB MLE	MIA	57%	543	482	102	19	3	12	49	153	7	13	3	211	292	336	628	125	281	28	9	284	79	-14	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.5
2033	25	MLB MLE	MIA	57%	566	503	106	20	3	12	51	160	7	14	3	212	293	337	630	126	281	28	9	285	79	-14	+2	+0	+6	+12	0.6
2034	26	MLB MLE	MIA	56%	578	514	108	21	3	12	52	163	7	14	3	211	292	337	630	126	280	28	9	285	79	-14	+2	+0	+6	+13	0.6
2035	27	MLB MLE	MIA	55%	581	517	109	21	3	12	52	165	7	14	3	210	292	335	626	124	280	28	9	284	78	-15	+2	+0	+6	+13	0.5
2036	28	MLB MLE	MIA	55%	579	515	107	20	3	12	52	166	7	13	3	209	290	330	620	122	279	29	9	281	76	-16	+1	-1	+6	+13	0.3
2037	29	MLB MLE	MIA	58%	570	507	105	20	3	11	51	165	7	12	3	206	287	324	611	118	278	29	9	278	74	-18	+1	-1	+6	+12	0.1
2038	30	MLB MLE	MIA	60%	560	500	102	19	3	11	49	164	6	11	3	204	284	317	601	114	276	29	9	273	71	-19	+1	-2	+6	+12	-0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	MIA	34%	77	69	12	2	0	1	7	23	1	2	0	190	273	287	560	97	265	30	9	257	65	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	MIA	48%	170	151	29	5	1	3	15	50	2	4	1	194	277	299	576	104	267	29	9	264	70	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.0
2030	22	MLB CTX	MIA	54%	240	214	42	8	1	4	21	70	3	6	1	198	281	308	588	109	268	29	9	269	73	-8	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.1
2031	23	MLB CTX	MIA	57%	285	254	52	9	2	6	25	82	4	7	2	201	283	315	599	114	270	29	9	273	76	-8	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2032	24	MLB CTX	MIA	57%	307	273	56	10	2	6	27	87	4	8	2	204	286	321	607	117	271	28	9	276	79	-8	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2033	25	MLB CTX	MIA	57%	320	284	58	10	2	7	29	90	4	8	2	204	286	322	608	118	271	28	9	276	79	-8	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2034	26	MLB CTX	MIA	56%	327	291	60	11	2	7	29	92	4	8	2	204	286	322	608	118	271	28	9	276	79	-8	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.3
2035	27	MLB CTX	MIA	55%	322	286	59	10	2	7	29	91	4	8	2	203	285	320	605	117	271	28	9	275	78	-8	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2036	28	MLB CTX	MIA	55%	318	283	57	10	2	6	28	91	4	7	2	202	283	316	599	114	270	29	9	273	76	-9	+1	-0	+3	+7	0.2
2037	29	MLB CTX	MIA	58%	331	295	59	11	2	6	29	96	4	7	2	200	281	310	591	111	269	29	9	269	74	-10	+1	-1	+4	+7	0.0
2038	30	MLB CTX	MIA	60%	337	300	60	11	2	6	30	98	4	7	2	197	277	303	581	106	267	29	9	265	71	-12	+1	-1	+4	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3034	2700	544	97	18	59	269	870	38	72	18	201	283	316	599	115	271	29	9	272	73	-88	+7	-2	+33	+66	1.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	117	21	4	13	58	186	8	15	4	202	284	320	604	118	272	29	9	272	73	-19	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	5984	5310	1077	208	32	118	546	1752	76	166	41	203	286	321	607	118	276	29	9	276	73	-167	+15	-4	+60	+122	2.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	117	23	3	13	59	190	8	18	4	203	286	321	606	118	275	29	9	276	73	-19	+2	-0	+7	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4George Strickland'50-'60 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,266 PA	4.9	3,266	36	12	219*	302*	329*	+28	+19	3.8	5.0
/162	664	7	2	+5.7	+3.8	0.8	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.8	3,173	63	74	208	286	328	+34	+21	3.6	3.4
/162	664	13	16	+7.1	+4.4	0.8	pk7: 3
#5Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Steven Herrera (OGILVIE)	19	35	45	60	60	190/270/284	95	271	2	3	31%	9%	60	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
✕Javier Herrera 2024 · A	19	38	39→40	51→55	45	184/262/268	84	272	6	10	32%	9%	53	-2.1	204/298/290	86	279	5	15	26%	11%	71	-0.8	210/307/297	87	289	5	18	26%	11%	74	-0.2
✕Echedry Vargas 2024 · A	19	40→47	44→50	53→55	40	202/260/326	123	269	11	15	29%	6%	65	-1.2	215/258/351	136	288	15	14	30%	4%	70	-0.9	218/259/369	151	284	19	13	30%	4%	72	-0.5
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A	19	39	41→45	51→55	51	194/284/291	97	239	9	16	22%	9%	67	-1.1	213/275/344	131	283	14	13	28%	7%	74	-0.5	206/255/390	183	266	22	15	31%	6%	76	-0.1
✕Enmanuel Tejeda 2024 · A	19	45→36	39→40	55→60	56	209/320/298	89	285	6	19	26%	12%	82	-0.0	221/297/305	84	297	7	25	26%	9%	74	-0.6	206/283/289	83	268	8	31	25%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Jorge Alcantara 2011 · A	19	45	41→45	51→50	43	215/278/316	101	296	7	11	29%	7%	68	-1.0	197/266/293	96	297	7	13	33%	8%	59	-1.6	143/221/238	95	216	5	25	34%	8%	30	-1.0
✕Wendell Rijo 2015 · A	19	44→45	41→50	51→50	45	211/277/319	108	290	7	12	28%	8%	70	-0.9	206/259/297	91	291	6	11	30%	6%	57	-1.8	210/267/353	143	267	17	14	28%	6%	71	-0.5
✕Yordany De Los Santos 2024 · A	19	41→40	37→45	53→60	45	189/276/261	72	296	4	19	34%	9%	57	-1.8	210/266/317	107	310	10	28	34%	6%	65	-1.2	207/258/332	125	300	14	35	34%	5%	62	-1.0
✕Jefferson Rojas 2024 · A	19	45→48	41→50	52→50	43	221/283/322	101	279	9	15	24%	6%	72	-0.7	222/283/337	115	269	12	16	21%	7%	76	-0.4	225/287/358	133	263	15	18	21%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Miguel Palma 2021 · A	19	40	39→45	48→40	45	193/281/280	88	261	6	11	27%	7%	63	-1.3	215/293/337	122	281	13	5	27%	8%	80	-0.1	217/284/341	124	274	15	2	26%	7%	76	-0.2
✕Chris Suero 2024 · A	20	41→38	41→45	50→55	50	196/295/291	95	281	8	8	31%	10%	71	-0.8	193/290/309	116	280	12	20	33%	10%	74	-0.6	181/287/307	126	264	14	27	34%	10%	70	-0.7
✕Robert Gonzalez 2021 · A	20	40	39→40	54→60	52	186/296/275	89	275	5	8	30%	12%	68	-1.0	190/293/264	74	252	5	17	24%	10%	64	-1.3	151/292/187	36	182	3	30	16%	14%	48	-0.8
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	36→44	39→50	53→55	48	177/265/262	85	249	7	11	30%	9%	53	-2.1	194/283/299	105	299	9	16	34%	10%	68	-1.0	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Johanfran Garcia 2024 · A	19	41	40→50	49→45	42	199/270/291	93	282	8	6	31%	7%	61	-1.5	219/276/349	130	326	16	5	36%	6%	76	-0.4	218/265/369	151	318	23	4	38%	5%	74	-0.3
✕Danny De Andrade 2024 · A	20	41	42→45	51→50	45	201/277/305	104	269	9	11	28%	8%	67	-1.1	201/270/315	114	278	10	11	30%	7%	66	-1.1	190/254/309	120	266	11	10	31%	6%	56	-1.1
✕Jhonny Severino 2024 · A	19	38→31	44→55	55→50	37	195/245/309	114	272	12	14	32%	5%	55	-2.0	196/242/348	152	258	18	11	31%	5%	63	-1.3	186/231/352	166	232	22	11	31%	5%	58	-1.2
✕Juan Villavicencio 2024 · A	19	36→44	38→50	51→55	47	174/251/254	80	234	5	13	26%	8%	45	-2.7	189/262/280	91	279	7	14	32%	8%	55	-1.9	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Hans Montero 2024 · A	20	36→37	37→45	55	49	172/276/241	69	264	5	18	33%	11%	53	-2.1	182/260/285	103	297	10	17	39%	8%	56	-1.9	173/254/287	113	278	12	22	39%	9%	52	-1.5
✕Andrés Nolaya 2024 · A	19	39	36→45	47→50	46	183/256/246	64	263	3	12	30%	8%	45	-2.7	196/270/269	73	284	4	17	30%	8%	55	-1.9	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Carlos Caro 2024 · A	19	44	41→45	48→55	46	210/298/307	97	285	8	13	27%	8%	76	-0.4	196/272/275	79	283	6	15	30%	8%	58	-1.7	182/259/257	76	270	7	19	33%	8%	46	-1.0

Steven Herrera

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps