Gabriel Rodriguez

OF FCL Pirates

Age 19 R/R 6'2" / 172 lbs ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Pirates G…	108	.232/.417/.354	2	12	36	—	.125/.287/.182
2026	18	ROKPIT	164	.158/.304/.241	2	6	5	—	.106/.217/.156
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBPIT	274	.193/.273/.282	3	6	59	-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBPIT	47	.198/.279/.294	1	1	65	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed53

Whiff%38

BB%37

ISO32

K%21

Z-Con%21

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsBrayan Buelvas (age 19) · Cutter Coffey (age 20) · Jose Meza (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 85 proj PA

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .271 / .279

PA85

HR1

K%32

BB%8

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Pirates Gold	—	108	82	19	4	0	2	21	45	5	12	1	232	417	354	770	122	486	42	19	365	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	164	133	21	3	1	2	22	47	6	6	2	158	304	241	545	83	218	29	13	262	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	108	88	11	2	0	1	15	56	5	12	1	125	287	182	469	57	316	52	14	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	164	141	15	2	1	1	14	68	6	6	2	106	217	156	373	50	166	41	9	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	108	88	11	2	0	1	15	56	5	12	1	125	287	182	469	57	323	52	14	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Gold	—	108	82	19	4	0	2	21	45	5	12	1	232	417	354	770	122	486	42	19	365	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	164	141	15	2	1	1	14	68	6	6	2	106	217	156	373	50	187	41	9	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	FCL Pirates	—	164	133	21	3	1	2	22	47	6	6	2	158	304	241	545	83	218	29	13	262	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	108	87	11	2	0	1	15	56	5	12	1	126	287	184	471	57	316	52	14	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	164	143	15	2	1	1	14	68	6	6	2	105	217	154	371	49	166	41	9	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	108	87	11	2	0	1	15	56	5	12	1	126	287	184	471	57	316	52	14	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	164	143	15	2	1	1	14	68	6	6	2	105	217	154	371	49	166	41	9	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	274	246	47	8	2	3	22	89	4	6	1	193	273	282	555	88	284	32	8	256	59	-13	+1	-0	-2	+6	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	PIT	34%	138	124	24	4	1	2	11	44	2	3	1	199	280	297	576	98	286	32	8	264	65	-6	+0	-0	-1	+3	-0.4
2028	20	MLB CTX	PIT	34%	47	42	8	1	0	1	4	15	1	1	0	198	279	294	573	96	286	32	9	263	65	-2	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	47	42	8	1	0	1	4	15	1	1	0	190	277	286	562	95	269	32	9	263	38	-2	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	111	14	0	14	55	207	14	14	0	191	277	287	564	96	269	32	8	263	38	-27	+3	-1	-4	+14	-1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	495	430	65	10	3	5	47	196	14	23	4	151	257	223	480	72	258	40	9	224	38	-10	+1	-0	-1	+5	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	565	86	13	4	7	62	257	18	30	5	152	257	227	484	74	258	40	10	224	38	-29	+2	-1	-4	+14	-1.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Pirates · 164 PAwOBA .261 → .175 (−86)K% 28.7% → 41.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.66%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	41.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.41%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×1.008	8.38%
HBP% /PA	3.66%	—	×0.720	—	×1.008	2.65%
Singles /BIP	17.44%	÷1.000	×0.820	×0.950	×1.008	13.69%
Doubles /BIP	3.49%	÷1.000	×0.720	×0.950	×1.008	2.40%
Triples /BIP	1.16%	÷1.000	×0.720	×0.950	×1.008	0.80%
Home runs /BIP	2.33%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.008	1.83%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .261 → .175; ISO .083 → .056; BABIP .218 → .166. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Pirates Gold · 108 PAwOBA .357 → .222 (−135)K% 41.7% → 52.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	41.67%	÷0.975	×1.220	—	—	52.14%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	19.44%	÷1.010	×0.700	—	×1.008	13.58%
HBP% /PA	4.63%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	3.27%
Singles /BIP	35.14%	÷0.973	×0.680	—	×1.008	24.73%
Doubles /BIP	10.81%	÷1.061	×0.600	—	×1.008	6.16%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.077	×0.600	—	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.41%	÷1.181	×0.470	—	×1.008	2.17%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 136, 1B 95, 2B 112, 3B 115, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .357 → .222; ISO .122 → .052; BABIP .486 → .316. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gabriel Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	192/271/279	88	284	1	2	32%	8%	59	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brayan Buelvas 2021 · A	19	44→45	39→50	50→55	41	206/268/303	97	301	5	12	32%	7%	62	-1.4	192/254/320	128	264	13	14	31%	6%	61	-1.5	205/266/334	130	290	12	14	32%	7%	66	-0.8
✕Cutter Coffey 2024 · A	20	38→45	39→45	49→50	44	185/262/271	86	271	7	13	32%	8%	53	-2.1	201/271/317	116	296	12	10	34%	8%	67	-1.1	199/268/315	116	299	12	9	35%	8%	63	-0.9
✕Jose Meza 2022 · A	19	39→42	37→40	46→50	43	187/268/261	74	272	4	9	30%	7%	54	-2.0	196/281/287	91	276	8	7	29%	9%	64	-1.3	191/284/291	101	272	10	5	31%	10%	65	-0.5
✕Angel Mateo 2024 · A	19	39→48	40	53→55	43	193/268/278	85	257	8	13	27%	6%	57	-1.8	200/264/292	92	281	8	15	30%	6%	59	-1.7	195/259/288	93	273	8	16	30%	6%	54	-1.3
✕Raylin Heredia 2023 · A	19	38→48	38→50	53→50	37	183/232/269	87	270	4	9	33%	5%	40	-3.0	200/252/309	109	324	9	11	39%	5%	57	-1.8	219/257/356	137	317	16	15	35%	4%	67	-0.6
✕David Beckles 2023 · A	19	42	37→45	50	46	194/275/264	70	300	6	11	34%	9%	57	-1.8	190/281/265	75	270	6	6	29%	10%	60	-1.6	173/265/253	79	247	7	3	30%	10%	49	-0.7
✕Roni Cabrera 2024 · A	19	39	38→45	54→55	47	186/265/271	85	255	5	11	27%	8%	55	-2.0	182/254/288	106	286	10	14	37%	7%	54	-2.0	162/238/271	109	264	12	18	41%	8%	43	-1.2
✕Cristian Hernández 2023 · A	19	40→48	38→45	51→60	39	192/252/263	71	298	6	14	36%	7%	47	-2.6	201/266/279	78	305	5	23	33%	8%	55	-1.9	217/285/319	102	301	8	34	29%	8%	69	-0.8
✕Carson Rucker 2024 · A	19	46→39	41→45	50	43	216/290/312	96	317	8	11	32%	8%	73	-0.6	201/269/284	83	319	6	10	36%	7%	59	-1.7	181/257/260	79	298	8	11	39%	8%	47	-1.7
✕Carlos Caro 2024 · A	19	44	41→45	48→55	46	210/298/307	97	285	8	13	27%	8%	76	-0.4	196/272/275	79	283	6	15	30%	8%	58	-1.7	182/259/257	76	270	7	19	33%	8%	46	-1.0
✕Yordany De Los Santos 2024 · A	19	41→40	37→45	53→60	45	189/276/261	72	296	4	19	34%	9%	57	-1.8	210/266/317	107	310	10	28	34%	6%	65	-1.2	207/258/332	125	300	14	35	34%	5%	62	-1.0
✕Eudy Pina 2010 · A	19	37→47	38→45	54→55	40	179/256/258	79	274	6	20	35%	7%	49	-2.4	185/243/256	71	263	4	16	30%	5%	42	-2.9	217/270/333	115	305	8	11	30%	5%	67	-0.8
✕George Feliz 2022 · A	19	39	40→45	53→45	43	192/254/284	92	262	7	10	29%	7%	53	-2.1	167/229/252	85	294	7	13	43%	6%	36	-3.3	160/223/268	108	267	13	9	43%	6%	36	-1.2
✕Robert Gonzalez 2021 · A	20	40	39→40	54→60	52	186/296/275	89	275	5	8	30%	12%	68	-1.0	190/293/264	74	252	5	17	24%	10%	64	-1.3	151/292/187	36	182	3	30	16%	14%	48	-0.8
✕Wilfredo Lara 2023 · A	19	37→43	37→45	49→50	41	177/245/254	77	258	4	10	31%	7%	42	-2.9	196/268/297	101	275	9	13	30%	8%	61	-1.5	186/266/282	96	258	8	18	29%	9%	55	-1.1
✕Leo Balcazar 2023 · A	19	43→50	43→40	54→45	41	210/277/319	109	305	10	15	33%	7%	70	-0.9	226/278/314	88	318	7	10	29%	6%	68	-1.0	225/278/312	88	283	9	5	23%	6%	65	-1.1
✕Jose Rosario 2011 · A	19	41	38→40	50	42	199/262/275	76	274	5	10	28%	6%	54	-2.0	214/261/320	106	270	10	12	24%	4%	63	-1.3	230/277/334	104	276	9	10	19%	4%	68	-0.4
✕Freddy Valdez 2021 · A	19	42	42→45	49→45	43	208/270/318	109	276	9	7	27%	7%	66	-1.1	192/262/274	82	285	5	5	32%	7%	53	-2.1	151/241/213	62	239	0	0	33%	9%	32	-0.7
✕Wendell Rijo 2015 · A	19	44→45	41→50	51→50	45	211/277/319	108	290	7	12	28%	8%	70	-0.9	206/259/297	91	291	6	11	30%	6%	57	-1.8	210/267/353	143	267	17	14	28%	6%	71	-0.5
✕Kevin Ahrens 2008 · A	19	40→46	39→45	50→40	41	193/260/271	78	295	7	6	35%	8%	52	-2.2	205/257/291	86	298	6	3	31%	6%	55	-2.0	210/264/315	104	262	8	3	22%	6%	61	-1.1