Angel Mateo — OGILVIE

Angel MateoOF Bowling Green Hot Rods

Age 21 R/R 6'1" / 190 lbs A+ HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION203 act + 135 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .246 / .279

PA135

HR2

K%30

BB%5

BABIP264

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.9M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	210	181	33	5	0	3	17	54	10	10	3	182	288	260	548	77	238	26	8	251	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	210	171	46	7	0	7	27	36	10	10	3	269	399	433	832	164	300	17	13	375	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	2 teams	—	242	219	40	6	1	4	11	73	11	15	1	183	257	274	531	91	252	30	5	229	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	2 teams	—	242	213	54	9	2	4	17	50	11	15	1	254	340	371	711	117	312	21	7	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	2 teams	—	528	478	77	22	0	10	32	196	12	28	7	161	232	270	502	109	241	37	6	222	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	2 teams	—	528	463	102	25	1	9	47	123	12	28	7	220	308	337	645	117	276	23	9	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	2 teams	—	480	438	102	21	1	5	23	118	12	17	7	233	290	320	609	87	301	25	5	266	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	2 teams	—	480	426	117	21	1	7	35	85	12	17	7	275	347	378	725	103	323	18	7	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A+	TB	—	203	187	35	8	0	4	12	67	2	6	4	187	244	294	538	107	263	33	6	232	35	-15	-0	+0	-1	+6	-1.1
YTD	21	A+	TB	—	203	181	41	10	0	5	18	49	2	6	4	227	303	365	668	138	279	24	9	300	87	-3	-0	+0	-1	+6	0.1
ROS	21	A+	TB	0%	135	125	24	5	0	2	7	41	2	3	2	191	246	279	525	88	273	30	5	249	49	-8	-0	+0	-1	+4	-0.5
ROS	21	MLB	TB	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						276	0	0	237	40	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	21	A+	TB	—	204	188	35	8	0	4	12	67	2	6	4	186	243	293	535	106	261	33	6	232	35	-15	-0	+0	-1	+6	-1.1
TOT	21	A+	TB	—	338	312	59	13	0	6	19	108	4	9	6	189	245	288	533	99	263	32	6	239	41	-23	-1	+0	-2	+10	-1.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	TB	35%	546	500	103	22	1	11	32	158	9	12	5	206	266	320	586	114	274	29	6	263	60	-25	+0	+0	-3	+15	-1.3
2028	23	MLB	TB	49%	590	539	114	24	1	13	37	165	9	13	5	212	274	332	606	121	276	28	6	273	67	-22	+1	+0	-4	+17	-0.8
2029	24	MLB	TB	53%	615	561	120	25	1	15	40	169	9	13	5	214	277	342	619	128	278	27	7	280	72	-19	+1	+0	-4	+17	-0.5
2030	25	MLB	TB	55%	627	570	124	26	1	16	42	170	10	13	5	218	283	351	634	133	278	27	7	283	75	-18	+1	+0	-4	+18	-0.3
2027	22	MLB	TB	35%	189	173	36	8	0	4	11	55	3	4	2	208	267	324	591	116	277	29	6	252	51	-10	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.6
2028	23	MLB	TB	49%	286	262	56	12	1	6	18	80	4	6	2	214	275	336	611	122	279	28	6	262	59	-13	+0	+0	-2	+8	-0.7
2029	24	MLB	TB	53%	325	296	65	13	1	8	21	89	5	7	3	220	283	351	634	132	281	27	6	269	64	-13	+0	+0	-2	+9	-0.6
2030	25	MLB	TB	55%	343	312	68	14	1	8	23	93	5	7	3	218	282	346	629	128	281	27	7	272	66	-13	+0	+0	-2	+10	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1144	1044	225	47	3	26	73	317	17	24	10	216	278	341	619	125	281	28	6	265	61	-50	+1	+0	-7	+32	-2.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	129	27	2	15	41	180	10	14	6	218	279	346	625	128	284	28	6	265	61	-29	+0	+0	-4	+18	-1.4
Career	—			—	3973	3611	737	156	6	79	241	1144	84	124	40	204	270	316	586	112	272	29	6	262	59	-185	+9	+0	-24	+113	-8.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	121	26	1	13	39	187	14	20	7	205	270	318	588	113	273	29	6	262	59	-30	+1	+0	-4	+18	-1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	210	171	46	7	0	7	27	36	10	10	3	269	399	433	832	164	300	17	13	375	145	+11	+1	—	—	+6	1.8
2023	18	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	45	41	10	2	0	0	3	14	1	3	1	244	311	293	604	49	370	31	7	281	73	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2023	18	ROK	FCL Rays	—	197	172	44	7	2	4	14	36	10	12	0	256	347	390	736	134	301	18	7	334	113	+3	+2	—	—	+6	1.1
2024	19	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	409	352	79	24	0	6	43	104	10	26	6	224	326	344	670	119	297	25	11	306	92	-4	+3	—	—	+12	1.1
2024	19	INTL	Perth Heat	—	119	111	23	1	1	3	4	19	2	2	1	207	248	315	563	108	220	16	3	250	49	-7	+0	—	—	+3	-0.4
2025	20	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	92	79	19	6	0	1	7	14	5	1	0	241	341	354	695	114	277	15	8	317	101	+0	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2025	20	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	388	347	98	15	1	6	28	71	7	16	7	282	348	383	731	101	333	18	7	327	108	+4	+0	—	—	+11	1.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	1,144	26	24	214	274	340	-7	+0	-1.2	-0.6
	/162	664	15	14	214	274	340	-4.0	+0.0	-0.7	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Angel Mateo (OGILVIE)	21	50	30	50	30	189/245/288	99	263	6	9	32%	6%	41	-1.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕James Harris 2015 · A	21	40→50	41→40	48→50	38	199/248/293	95	285	10	12	33%	6%	46	-2.0	225/287/317	92	321	7	13	30%	7%	68	-0.5	235/301/325	90	331	5	15	28%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Brandol Mezquita 2022 · A	21	44→54	38→30	52→50	37	201/265/282	81	338	6	15	40%	7%	50	-1.7	213/272/287	74	360	4	11	39%	6%	54	-1.4	211/272/278	67	361	3	11	39%	6%	50	-0.8
✕Mikey Edie 2019 · A	22	48	36→30	51→50	37	220/270/286	66	325	3	15	32%	5%	53	-1.5	213/265/284	71	299	4	8	29%	4%	50	-1.7	206/255/265	59	290	3	7	28%	3%	37	-1.3
✕Tim Kennelly 2008 · A	21	43→52	40	49→40	42	208/261/301	94	283	7	7	28%	6%	53	-1.5	232/291/325	93	304	5	5	24%	7%	72	-0.2	241/301/332	91	301	4	4	20%	6%	75	+0.0
✕Cutter Dykstra 2010 · A	21	40→50	40	47→55	43	198/260/282	84	275	8	11	30%	7%	48	-1.9	217/273/292	75	304	6	16	29%	6%	56	-1.3	232/301/316	84	315	6	16	26%	8%	72	-0.2
✕Dorssys Paulino 2016 · A	21	46→50	40→45	48→45	40	220/266/320	99	289	6	8	25%	5%	59	-1.1	230/285/339	109	310	10	7	28%	7%	74	-0.1	227/290/337	110	307	12	5	28%	8%	72	-0.1
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2021 · A	21	41→51	39→45	50	42	199/261/284	85	279	6	11	30%	7%	50	-1.8	227/277/335	108	310	11	10	29%	6%	69	-0.4	235/295/324	88	326	9	12	29%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Jimmy Mojica 2021 · A	21	45	37→40	47→50	41	212/261/283	72	278	4	8	25%	5%	48	-1.9	202/265/291	89	285	8	6	30%	6%	53	-1.5	182/249/283	101	230	13	4	26%	5%	43	-0.7
✕Johnni Turbo 2010 · A	21	43→48	38→40	55	35	205/237/286	82	286	4	15	30%	4%	38	-2.6	218/255/299	81	314	5	17	31%	4%	49	-1.8	240/277/304	64	298	3	18	20%	4%	56	-0.4
✕Wascar Adames 2010 · A	21	44	38→45	52→55	39	214/256/292	79	290	6	15	28%	5%	48	-1.9	216/272/311	95	306	6	16	30%	6%	61	-1.0	210/273/322	111	299	6	24	30%	6%	65	-0.2
✕Trendon Craig 2022 · A	22	47	39→40	49→60	41	221/280/311	90	320	6	13	31%	6%	64	-0.8	224/292/298	74	357	4	17	35%	8%	66	-0.6	225/296/291	66	361	4	22	35%	8%	63	-0.4
✕Luis De Los Santos 2019 · A	21	40→47	40→45	53→45	35	198/241/288	90	276	7	8	30%	4%	42	-2.3	203/247/309	106	292	9	7	32%	4%	50	-1.8	216/283/335	119	291	13	7	29%	7%	69	-0.2
✕Francisco Martinez 2012 · AA	21	47→51	40	45→55	37	229/261/322	93	301	8	11	27%	4%	58	-1.2	218/259/287	69	302	4	19	28%	5%	48	-1.9	214/243/291	77	296	5	19	29%	3%	38	-1.9
✕Danny Bautista Jr. 2022 · A	21	42→50	39→40	51→50	42	200/265/292	92	288	4	8	31%	7%	53	-1.5	223/276/306	83	278	5	12	21%	5%	61	-1.0	226/278/302	76	273	5	13	18%	5%	58	-0.9
✕Dru Baker 2022 · A	22	45→55	37→40	56→60	41	213/266/295	82	298	4	14	28%	6%	54	-1.4	239/296/340	101	343	9	30	31%	6%	79	+0.3	247/300/330	83	351	7	39	30%	6%	73	-0.1
✕Mishael Deson 2022 · A	20	47	39→30	53→55	40	226/267/310	84	303	7	17	27%	5%	57	-1.2	224/283/287	63	358	5	11	36%	7%	59	-1.1	219/286/248	30	366	3	11	38%	8%	48	-1.0
✕Gorge Munoz 2017 · A	21	43	38→40	50→55	42	205/260/282	78	258	5	17	22%	5%	48	-1.9	205/257/290	85	298	7	10	32%	5%	49	-1.8	185/231/261	77	287	9	9	37%	3%	28	-0.8
✕Dom Abbadessa 2019 · A	21	51	36→40	51→55	40	238/284/310	72	305	3	15	22%	4%	65	-0.7	211/271/287	76	317	3	11	32%	6%	54	-1.4	142/226/195	53	257	0	9	40%	8%	11	-0.8
✕Omar Luna 2008 · A	21	47→57	38→30	48→50	40	223/258/304	81	280	4	10	22%	4%	52	-1.6	211/236/269	58	263	2	11	20%	3%	33	-2.9	259/293/316	57	296	2	11	13%	4%	65	-0.4
✕Kenny Hart 2011 · A	21	45	39→45	47→50	42	211/286/293	83	298	6	9	29%	7%	63	-0.8	212/300/319	107	275	8	11	24%	8%	76	+0.1	187/295/308	121	227	11	15	21%	8%	72	-0.1