Angel MateoOF
Bowling Green Hot Rods
Age 21
R/R
6'1" / 190 lbs
A+
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
peak 0.3 · 2031
wRC+†39
AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .264 / .298
PA320
HR5
SB9
K%30
BB%6
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
50→50
PWR
30→30
SPD
50→50
EYE
41↘30
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2031
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2030
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2035
First FA Year 2036
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.2 | $0.9M | +$0.0M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.5M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.5M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | +0.2 | $1.0M | +$0.6M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $5M | — | — | — |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $9M | $3M | -$6M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Tampa Bay | 210 | 181 | 34 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 54 | 10 | 10 | 3 | .188 | .293 | .282 | .575 | .094 | .240 | 26 | 8 | .252 | 51 | -12 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +6 | -0.6 |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | 2 teams | 242 | 219 | 39 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 72 | 11 | 15 | 1 | .178 | .253 | .256 | .509 | .078 | .248 | 30 | 5 | .228 | 33 | -18 | +3 | +0 | -1 | +7 | -1.1 |
| 2024 | 19 | A | 2 teams | 528 | 477 | 78 | 22 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 194 | 12 | 28 | 7 | .164 | .236 | .260 | .496 | .096 | .249 | 37 | 6 | .223 | 29 | -42 | +3 | +0 | -3 | +15 | -2.8 |
| 2025 | 20 | A | 2 teams | 480 | 439 | 100 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 118 | 12 | 17 | 7 | .228 | .283 | .308 | .591 | .080 | .294 | 25 | 5 | .262 | 58 | -23 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +14 | -1.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 51 | 46 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .109 | .196 | .174 | .370 | .065 | .160 | 39 | 8 | .167 | -14 | -7 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | TB | 269 | 245 | 47 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 82 | 6 | 7 | 2 | .192 | .258 | .278 | .536 | .086 | .271 | 30 | 6 | .250 | 49 | -15 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +8 | -0.9 |
| TOT | 21 | MLB | TB | 320 | 291 | 52 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 102 | 7 | 9 | 2 | .179 | .248 | .261 | .510 | .082 | .254 | 32 | 6 | .236 | 39 | -22 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +9 | -1.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB 11% | TB | 546 | 492 | 102 | 20 | 1 | 11 | 38 | 137 | 11 | 14 | 3 | .207 | .279 | .319 | .598 | .112 | .262 | 25 | 7 | .271 | 66 | -21 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +15 | -0.8 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB 28% | TB | 590 | 530 | 113 | 22 | 1 | 13 | 44 | 144 | 11 | 15 | 3 | .213 | .287 | .332 | .619 | .119 | .264 | 24 | 7 | .281 | 73 | -18 | +2 | +0 | -4 | +17 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB 45% | TB | 619 | 554 | 121 | 23 | 2 | 15 | 48 | 149 | 12 | 15 | 3 | .218 | .295 | .348 | .643 | .130 | .266 | 24 | 8 | .287 | 78 | -16 | +2 | +0 | -4 | +18 | 0.0 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB 60% | TB | 635 | 567 | 125 | 24 | 2 | 16 | 51 | 151 | 12 | 15 | 3 | .220 | .298 | .354 | .653 | .134 | .267 | 24 | 8 | .291 | 81 | -14 | +2 | +0 | -4 | +18 | 0.2 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB 78% | TB | 643 | 574 | 126 | 24 | 2 | 16 | 52 | 153 | 12 | 15 | 3 | .220 | .298 | .352 | .650 | .132 | .268 | 24 | 8 | .293 | 82 | -13 | +2 | +0 | -4 | +18 | 0.3 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB 92% | TB | 643 | 573 | 126 | 24 | 2 | 16 | 53 | 154 | 12 | 14 | 3 | .220 | .299 | .353 | .652 | .133 | .268 | 24 | 8 | .293 | 82 | -13 | +2 | +0 | -4 | +18 | 0.3 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | TB | 638 | 568 | 124 | 24 | 1 | 16 | 53 | 154 | 12 | 13 | 2 | .218 | .299 | .349 | .647 | .130 | .267 | 24 | 8 | .292 | 81 | -13 | +2 | -1 | -4 | +18 | 0.2 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB | TB | 628 | 558 | 120 | 23 | 1 | 15 | 53 | 153 | 12 | 12 | 2 | .215 | .297 | .341 | .637 | .125 | .266 | 24 | 8 | .290 | 80 | -14 | +2 | -1 | -4 | +18 | -0.0 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB | TB | 618 | 549 | 117 | 22 | 1 | 15 | 52 | 153 | 12 | 10 | 1 | .213 | .295 | .339 | .634 | .126 | .265 | 25 | 8 | .286 | 77 | -16 | +2 | -2 | -4 | +18 | -0.3 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB | TB | 603 | 536 | 112 | 21 | 1 | 14 | 51 | 152 | 11 | 8 | 0 | .209 | .291 | .330 | .621 | .121 | .263 | 25 | 8 | .283 | 74 | -17 | +2 | -3 | -4 | +17 | -0.5 |
| 2037 | 32 | MLB | TB | 585 | 520 | 108 | 20 | 1 | 13 | 49 | 150 | 11 | 6 | 0 | .208 | .290 | .325 | .615 | .117 | .262 | 26 | 8 | .278 | 71 | -19 | +1 | -4 | -4 | +17 | -0.9 |
| 2038 | 33 | MLB | TB | 555 | 494 | 100 | 19 | 1 | 11 | 46 | 146 | 10 | 5 | 0 | .202 | .284 | .312 | .595 | .109 | .260 | 26 | 8 | .273 | 67 | -21 | +1 | -4 | -3 | +16 | -1.2 |
| 2039 | 34 | MLB | TB | 508 | 452 | 90 | 17 | 1 | 10 | 42 | 138 | 9 | 4 | 0 | .199 | .280 | .308 | .588 | .108 | .258 | 27 | 8 | .266 | 62 | -22 | +1 | -5 | -3 | +14 | -1.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9540 | 8528 | 1782 | 343 | 19 | 205 | 731 | 2454 | 198 | 223 | 43 | .209 | .287 | .326 | .612 | .117 | .266 | 26 | 8 | .276 | 70 | -328 | +27 | -20 | -57 | +270 | -10.9 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 581 | 121 | 23 | 1 | 14 | 50 | 167 | 13 | 15 | 3 | .208 | .286 | .324 | .609 | .115 | .265 | 26 | 8 | .276 | 70 | -22 | +2 | -1 | -4 | +18 | -0.8 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Tampa Bay | 210 | 171 | 46 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 27 | 36 | 10 | 10 | 3 | .269 | .399 | .433 | .832 | .164 | .300 | 17 | 13 | .375 | 145 | +11 | +1 | — | — | +6 | 1.8 |
| 2023 | 18 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 45 | 41 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 1 | .244 | .311 | .293 | .604 | .049 | .370 | 31 | 7 | .281 | 73 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | FCL Rays | 197 | 172 | 44 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 36 | 10 | 12 | 0 | .256 | .347 | .390 | .736 | .134 | .301 | 18 | 7 | .334 | 113 | +3 | +2 | — | — | +6 | 1.1 |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 409 | 352 | 79 | 24 | 0 | 6 | 43 | 104 | 10 | 26 | 6 | .224 | .326 | .344 | .670 | .119 | .297 | 25 | 11 | .306 | 92 | -4 | +3 | — | — | +12 | 1.1 |
| 2024 | 19 | INTL | Perth Heat | 119 | 111 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 1 | .207 | .248 | .315 | .563 | .108 | .220 | 16 | 3 | .250 | 49 | -7 | +0 | — | — | +3 | -0.4 |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 92 | 79 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | .241 | .341 | .354 | .695 | .114 | .277 | 15 | 8 | .317 | 101 | +0 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.3 |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 388 | 347 | 98 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 71 | 7 | 16 | 7 | .282 | .348 | .383 | .731 | .101 | .333 | 18 | 7 | .327 | 108 | +4 | +0 | — | — | +11 | 1.5 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Angel Mateo (OGILVIE) | 21 | 50 | 30 | 50 | 30 | .203/.264/.298 | .095 | .281 | 5 | 8 | 30% | 6% | 55 | -0.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Brandon Short 2010 · A |
21 | 47→53 | 41→45 | 51→50 | 40 | .226/.273/.326 | .099 | .299 | 8 | 12 | 26% | 5% | 65 | -0.7 | .239/.281/.360 | .121 | .321 | 11 | 10 | 28% | 4% | 77 | +0.1 | .233/.279/.355 | .122 | .308 | 11 | 10 | 27% | 4% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕James Harris 2015 · A |
21 | 40→50 | 41→40 | 48→50 | 40 | .197/.249/.289 | .093 | .274 | 9 | 11 | 31% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | .224/.286/.316 | .092 | .315 | 7 | 13 | 29% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .234/.300/.325 | .090 | .326 | 6 | 15 | 28% | 8% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A |
20 | 45 | 38→30 | 48→60 | 46 | .214/.278/.298 | .084 | .285 | 5 | 12 | 26% | 8% | 60 | -1.0 | .216/.302/.277 | .061 | .288 | 3 | 24 | 23% | 10% | 66 | -0.6 | .216/.317/.260 | .044 | .285 | 1 | 34 | 22% | 12% | 65 | -0.3 |
|
✕Cutter Dykstra 2010 · A |
21 | 41→51 | 40 | 47→55 | 43 | .200/.262/.286 | .086 | .275 | 8 | 11 | 29% | 7% | 50 | -1.7 | .221/.280/.298 | .077 | .304 | 6 | 16 | 27% | 7% | 60 | -1.0 | .236/.303/.323 | .087 | .313 | 6 | 16 | 25% | 8% | 75 | -0.0 |
|
●Felix Reyes 2022 · A |
21 | 42→52 | 43→50 | 49→45 | 38 | .205/.269/.316 | .111 | .287 | 11 | 12 | 31% | 5% | 62 | -0.9 | .203/.244/.316 | .113 | .258 | 13 | 7 | 26% | 4% | 50 | -1.7 | .241/.274/.386 | .144 | .275 | 17 | 8 | 19% | 4% | 81 | +0.2 |
|
✕Darell Hernaiz 2022 · A |
20 | 47→57 | 39→45 | 51→50 | 42 | .226/.272/.303 | .077 | .289 | 8 | 15 | 24% | 5% | 58 | -1.2 | .241/.287/.346 | .105 | .297 | 10 | 17 | 21% | 5% | 76 | +0.0 | .252/.309/.345 | .093 | .294 | 7 | 12 | 16% | 7% | 81 | +0.4 |
|
✕Mauricio Dubón 2015 · A |
21 | 45→55 | 37→45 | 50→55 | 38 | .209/.264/.286 | .077 | .303 | 4 | 12 | 31% | 5% | 50 | -1.7 | .248/.289/.332 | .084 | .301 | 5 | 20 | 19% | 5% | 72 | -0.2 | .262/.299/.376 | .114 | .288 | 10 | 6 | 13% | 4% | 87 | +0.6 |
|
✕Oswald Peraza 2021 · A |
21 | 44→51 | 38→50 | 52→60 | 41 | .210/.265/.281 | .072 | .277 | 6 | 17 | 26% | 6% | 50 | -1.7 | .236/.288/.375 | .139 | .300 | 17 | 27 | 26% | 6% | 85 | +0.7 | .230/.288/.373 | .144 | .287 | 18 | 30 | 26% | 6% | 81 | +0.3 |
|
✕Evan Crawford 2010 · A |
21 | 45→55 | 36→40 | 56→55 | 40 | .213/.260/.282 | .070 | .306 | 3 | 15 | 30% | 6% | 47 | -1.9 | .227/.269/.309 | .082 | .318 | 3 | 18 | 28% | 4% | 58 | -1.2 | .236/.278/.319 | .083 | .329 | 3 | 21 | 28% | 4% | 60 | -0.9 |
|
✕Greg Golson 2007 · A |
21 | 39→49 | 41→45 | 53→55 | 32 | .193/.229/.296 | .102 | .288 | 9 | 17 | 35% | 4% | 38 | -2.6 | .214/.246/.322 | .108 | .326 | 10 | 19 | 36% | 4% | 52 | -1.6 | .259/.313/.348 | .089 | .368 | 5 | 31 | 29% | 5% | 82 | +0.2 |
|
✕Ryan McKenna 2018 · A |
21 | 43→53 | 42→50 | 52→55 | 39 | .210/.265/.317 | .107 | .297 | 9 | 12 | 31% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .226/.289/.332 | .106 | .311 | 9 | 12 | 28% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 | .218/.295/.357 | .140 | .319 | 16 | 13 | 34% | 9% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
✕Tim Kennelly 2008 · A |
21 | 43→52 | 40 | 48→40 | 44 | .209/.267/.301 | .093 | .276 | 7 | 7 | 26% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .228/.285/.320 | .092 | .298 | 5 | 5 | 24% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .238/.297/.329 | .091 | .296 | 5 | 4 | 20% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Dorssys Paulino 2016 · A |
21 | 46→50 | 40→45 | 47→45 | 41 | .222/.267/.319 | .097 | .286 | 6 | 8 | 24% | 5% | 60 | -1.0 | .231/.286/.338 | .107 | .309 | 9 | 7 | 27% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 | .227/.291/.332 | .105 | .306 | 11 | 5 | 28% | 8% | 71 | -0.1 |
|
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2021 · A |
21 | 41→51 | 39→45 | 50 | 41 | .200/.257/.289 | .089 | .276 | 6 | 11 | 29% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .224/.274/.329 | .105 | .305 | 11 | 10 | 29% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .228/.286/.328 | .100 | .313 | 11 | 12 | 29% | 6% | 68 | -0.4 |
|
✕Ramon Soto 2009 · AAA |
21 | 44 | 42→30 | 51→45 | 44 | .220/.275/.323 | .103 | .279 | 11 | 12 | 25% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .233/.277/.301 | .068 | .286 | 5 | 8 | 19% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .272/.316/.326 | .054 | .333 | 2 | 7 | 18% | 5% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Francisco Martinez 2012 · AA |
21 | 46→49 | 40 | 46→55 | 37 | .224/.257/.314 | .090 | .297 | 8 | 11 | 27% | 4% | 54 | -1.4 | .218/.259/.290 | .072 | .302 | 5 | 18 | 28% | 5% | 49 | -1.8 | .215/.245/.290 | .075 | .297 | 5 | 19 | 28% | 3% | 39 | -1.8 |
|
✕Danny Bautista Jr. 2022 · A |
21 | 42→50 | 39→40 | 50 | 42 | .199/.263/.293 | .094 | .286 | 5 | 8 | 31% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .221/.275/.305 | .084 | .276 | 5 | 11 | 21% | 5% | 60 | -1.0 | .227/.279/.302 | .075 | .271 | 5 | 13 | 17% | 5% | 58 | -0.8 |
|
✕Dru Baker 2022 · A |
22 | 45→55 | 38→40 | 55→60 | 41 | .214/.268/.296 | .082 | .300 | 4 | 13 | 29% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .238/.294/.344 | .106 | .336 | 10 | 29 | 30% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .245/.298/.334 | .089 | .343 | 8 | 39 | 29% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Gorge Munoz 2017 · A |
21 | 43 | 38→40 | 50→55 | 43 | .207/.263/.285 | .078 | .260 | 5 | 17 | 22% | 5% | 50 | -1.7 | .207/.257/.291 | .084 | .292 | 7 | 11 | 30% | 5% | 50 | -1.8 | .194/.239/.274 | .079 | .290 | 9 | 9 | 35% | 3% | 34 | -0.7 |
|
✕Guillermo Pimentel 2010 · A |
20 | 42 | 38→40 | 49→55 | 44 | .200/.281/.272 | .073 | .296 | 6 | 16 | 32% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .200/.259/.281 | .081 | .332 | 7 | 9 | 39% | 6% | 47 | -1.9 | .171/.216/.243 | .071 | .295 | 8 | 2 | 43% | 4% | 17 | -1.1 |