Dakota Harris — OGILVIE

Dakota HarrisSS Springfield Cardinals

Age 24 R/R 5'11" / 197 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION301 act + 200 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .277 / .323

PA200

HR4

SB10

K%24

BB%6

BABIP268

ISO109

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.5	$2M	+$1.0M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$3M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	115	102	19	6	0	1	6	41	5	4	0	186	265	275	540	88	295	36	5	233	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	115	100	22	7	0	1	8	26	5	4	0	220	310	320	630	100	284	23	7	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	2 teams	—	374	345	77	15	0	7	13	107	9	7	5	223	270	328	597	104	300	29	3	258	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	2 teams	—	374	338	91	18	0	9	18	76	9	7	5	269	322	402	724	133	322	20	5	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	477	443	115	18	0	7	18	107	9	23	6	260	302	348	650	88	324	22	4	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	477	435	115	17	0	10	26	82	9	23	6	264	319	372	692	108	303	17	5	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AA	STL	—	301	268	59	7	2	7	26	76	3	23	3	220	296	340	636	119	277	25	9	282	74	-9	+3	+0	+3	+9	0.6
YTD	24	AA	STL	—	301	256	65	8	2	8	38	59	3	23	3	254	357	395	751	141	297	20	13	337	116	+5	+3	+0	+3	+9	2.1
ROS	24	AA	STL	2%	200	182	39	6	1	4	13	49	3	10	2	214	277	323	600	109	259	24	6	263	59	-9	+1	+0	+2	+6	-0.0
ROS	24	MLB	STL	2%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	250	250	250	500		259	25	0	253	52	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	24	AA	STL	—	305	272	60	7	2	7	26	77	3	23	3	221	296	338	634	118	277	25	9	282	74	-9	+3	+0	+3	+9	0.6
TOT	24	AA	STL	—	501	450	98	13	3	11	39	125	6	33	5	217	289	333	621	115	273	25	8	274	68	-18	+5	+0	+5	+14	0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	STL	31%	370	338	72	11	1	8	24	90	5	16	3	213	275	322	598	109	262	24	6	269	64	-15	+2	+0	+4	+10	0.2
2028	26	MLB	STL	45%	407	371	79	12	1	9	28	98	5	17	3	213	277	323	601	111	264	24	7	275	68	-15	+2	+0	+4	+12	0.4
2029	27	MLB	STL	49%	420	383	82	13	1	10	29	101	5	18	3	214	278	332	610	117	265	24	7	277	70	-14	+2	+0	+4	+12	0.5
2030	28	MLB	STL	52%	425	387	83	13	1	10	30	103	5	17	3	214	280	331	610	116	266	24	7	277	71	-14	+2	-1	+5	+12	0.4
2027	25	MLB	STL	31%	115	105	21	3	0	2	8	28	1	5	1	200	263	286	549	86	262	24	7	260	57	-6	+1	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
2028	26	MLB	STL	45%	181	165	35	5	1	4	12	44	2	8	1	212	274	327	601	115	264	24	7	265	61	-8	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.0
2029	27	MLB	STL	49%	207	187	41	6	1	5	15	50	3	9	2	219	288	342	630	123	265	24	7	268	63	-9	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.0
2030	28	MLB	STL	52%	219	198	43	7	1	5	16	53	3	9	2	217	286	338	624	121	266	24	7	268	63	-9	+1	-0	+2	+6	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	726	659	141	21	3	16	51	176	9	31	6	214	280	328	607	114	265	24	7	266	62	-31	+4	-0	+8	+21	0.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	126	19	3	14	46	158	8	28	5	214	280	327	607	114	265	24	7	266	62	-28	+4	-0	+7	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	2788	2551	566	94	5	56	161	696	46	112	25	222	280	328	609	107	281	25	6	271	66	-107	+12	-1	+30	+79	1.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	595	132	22	1	13	38	162	11	26	6	222	281	328	609	106	281	25	6	271	66	-25	+3	-0	+7	+18	0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	115	100	22	7	1	8	26	5	4	0	220	310	320	630	100	284	23	7	287	78	-3	+1	—	—	+3	0.1
2024	22	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	168	150	35	9	1	9	41	6	3	1	233	303	313	616	80	309	24	5	279	72	-5	+0	—	—	+5	-0.0
2024	22	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	206	188	56	9	8	9	35	3	4	4	298	337	473	810	176	331	17	4	349	126	+6	-1	—	—	+6	1.1
2025	23	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	477	435	115	17	10	26	82	9	23	6	264	319	372	692	108	303	17	5	308	94	-3	+2	—	—	+14	1.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#3Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	9	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	728	17	30	216	277	332	+8	+6	0.6	0.7
	/162	664	15	28	216	277	332	+7.1	+5.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dakota Harris (OGILVIE)	24	50	40	55	25	217/289/333	115	273	11	33	25%	8%	68	+0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Noel Cuevas 2016 · AA	24	44→49	40→45	53→55	38	216/254/309	93	284	7	21	26%	4%	52	-1.6	234/267/329	95	302	7	15	24%	3%	63	-0.9	241/274/340	99	304	7	12	22%	3%	65	-0.5
✕Matt Lipka 2016 · AA	24	44→54	38→45	53→60	39	210/245/288	78	261	5	19	22%	4%	43	-2.2	205/253/299	94	267	7	19	25%	5%	50	-1.8	230/283/343	114	308	11	31	28%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Orlando Calixte 2016 · AAA	24	41→51	41→45	52→55	37	206/242/298	92	280	9	18	30%	4%	43	-2.2	222/258/339	117	285	12	19	26%	5%	61	-1.0	233/273/324	91	306	9	20	26%	5%	61	-0.4
✕Jack Marder 2014 · AA	24	44	41→45	49→50	41	215/271/313	98	268	9	14	23%	5%	61	-1.0	229/292/341	112	282	10	9	22%	6%	78	+0.2	249/316/370	121	297	12	3	19%	5%	93	+0.6
✕Luke Williams 2021 · AA	24	41→46	42→45	52→60	43	202/263/305	103	271	9	20	28%	7%	56	-1.3	228/286/325	97	313	8	28	28%	7%	70	-0.3	230/291/360	130	317	13	42	30%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Christopher Bostick 2017 · AAA	24	42→52	42→45	52→55	38	209/254/319	110	281	9	15	28%	5%	55	-1.4	237/287/350	113	309	9	9	25%	6%	77	+0.1	242/294/361	119	311	10	7	24%	5%	79	+0.2
✕Nick Allen 2023 · MLB	24	44→54	41→40	47→50	46	217/271/312	96	266	9	13	22%	6%	60	-1.0	237/296/325	88	282	8	16	18%	7%	74	-0.1	242/303/316	74	289	6	16	17%	8%	72	-0.1
✕Leon Landry 2014 · AA	24	43→53	40→45	54→55	40	208/240/304	96	249	7	19	20%	4%	44	-2.1	223/256/317	94	265	7	19	18%	4%	55	-1.4	226/262/321	95	266	6	17	17%	4%	56	-0.9
✕Brodie Greene 2012 · AA	24	48→49	41→40	54→50	44	232/276/327	95	279	8	20	20%	5%	66	-0.6	221/267/296	75	262	5	12	17%	5%	54	-1.4	214/262/268	54	248	3	7	14%	6%	42	-1.4
✕Sean Godfrey 2016 · AA	24	48→46	41→45	50→55	37	231/258/329	97	290	8	15	23%	3%	58	-1.2	222/259/325	103	294	8	12	26%	4%	58	-1.2	211/236/323	112	290	7	8	29%	3%	43	-0.4
✕Charlie Culberson 2013 · MLB	24	40→49	42→45	51→50	35	202/233/303	102	269	10	13	29%	3%	42	-2.3	213/247/327	114	280	11	13	27%	4%	54	-1.4	254/306/422	168	324	18	9	26%	6%	98	+0.7
✕Franklin Rollin 2019 · AAA	23	44	40	50→55	41	211/255/302	91	263	7	18	22%	4%	50	-1.7	199/250/282	83	267	7	13	27%	5%	43	-2.2	144/191/181	37	204	3	13	30%	4%	-10	-1.4
✕Kelvin Gutiérrez 2019 · AA	24	47→57	41→45	55→50	39	226/266/322	96	307	8	14	28%	5%	60	-1.0	225/274/328	103	308	10	12	29%	6%	66	-0.6	226/279/327	101	301	10	9	27%	6%	65	-0.4
✕Shannon Wilkerson 2013 · AA	25	42→48	39→40	53→55	38	208/243/292	84	269	7	18	25%	4%	43	-2.2	222/266/304	82	291	4	16	24%	5%	55	-1.4	232/268/302	70	292	2	12	20%	4%	51	-0.9
✕Johnni Turbo 2014 · AA	25	48	40	51→55	38	231/261/321	90	281	7	17	21%	3%	58	-1.2	234/271/320	86	287	6	16	20%	4%	62	-0.9	240/277/304	64	298	3	18	20%	4%	56	-0.4
✕Malquin Canelo 2019 · AA	24	43→49	39→40	52→50	40	209/252/291	82	286	6	16	29%	5%	46	-2.0	208/252/290	82	311	6	12	33%	5%	46	-2.0	195/240/269	73	306	4	8	36%	5%	33	-1.5
✕Danny Mendick 2018 · AA	24	43→49	40→45	47→50	43	209/261/301	92	259	7	9	22%	6%	53	-1.5	214/276/335	121	261	13	14	22%	7%	69	-0.4	230/289/365	135	277	15	15	22%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Hunter Jones 2016 · A	24	41→51	40→45	56→55	41	198/260/283	85	278	8	21	30%	6%	49	-1.8	218/273/313	95	290	7	17	26%	6%	62	-0.9	225/281/324	99	293	7	16	24%	6%	65	-0.5
✕Cade Gotta 2017 · AA	25	45→51	41→45	56→55	42	220/264/324	103	281	8	21	24%	5%	60	-1.0	235/287/337	102	301	7	29	23%	7%	73	-0.1	241/300/343	102	307	6	36	22%	8%	78	+0.1
✕Erik González 2016 · AAA	24	49→55	42→45	53→50	38	238/268/348	111	302	9	14	24%	4%	67	-0.5	243/269/357	114	323	10	13	27%	3%	71	-0.3	249/272/365	116	335	10	12	28%	3%	71	-0.2