Dakota HarrisSS
Springfield Cardinals
Age 24
R/R
5'11" / 197 lbs
AA
HR -7%K -4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.9 · 2029
wRC+†62
AVG/OBP/SLG.228 / .275 / .332
PA320
HR6
SB12
K%25
BB%4
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
50→50
PWR
40→40
SPD
55→55
EYE
35↘25
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.9peak
2029
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.9 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.8 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.7 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.5 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.5M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $7M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $12M | $15M | +$3M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | 115 | 102 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 38 | 5 | 4 | 0 | .186 | .265 | .275 | .540 | .088 | .281 | 33 | 5 | .241 | 43 | -7 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +3 | -0.2 |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | 2 teams | 374 | 346 | 77 | 14 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 101 | 9 | 7 | 5 | .223 | .267 | .324 | .591 | .101 | .292 | 27 | 3 | .258 | 56 | -19 | -1 | +0 | +4 | +11 | -0.5 |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | 477 | 443 | 109 | 16 | 0 | 8 | 18 | 108 | 9 | 23 | 6 | .246 | .289 | .336 | .626 | .090 | .305 | 23 | 4 | .272 | 66 | -18 | +2 | +0 | +5 | +14 | 0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | 65 | 58 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .138 | .231 | .293 | .524 | .155 | .147 | 32 | 8 | .250 | 50 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | STL | 255 | 236 | 51 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 65 | 5 | 8 | 2 | .216 | .269 | .326 | .595 | .110 | .274 | 25 | 5 | .270 | 65 | -10 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +7 | 0.1 |
| TOT | 24 | MLB | STL | 320 | 294 | 59 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 17 | 86 | 7 | 12 | 3 | .201 | .261 | .320 | .581 | .119 | .250 | 27 | 5 | .266 | 62 | -14 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +9 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB 11% | STL | 370 | 339 | 77 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 78 | 7 | 10 | 3 | .227 | .286 | .357 | .643 | .130 | .265 | 21 | 6 | .286 | 77 | -10 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +10 | 0.6 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB 26% | STL | 407 | 371 | 85 | 14 | 1 | 11 | 25 | 86 | 8 | 11 | 3 | .229 | .292 | .361 | .653 | .132 | .267 | 21 | 6 | .291 | 81 | -9 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +12 | 0.8 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB 44% | STL | 420 | 382 | 87 | 14 | 1 | 11 | 27 | 90 | 8 | 10 | 3 | .228 | .293 | .356 | .649 | .128 | .269 | 21 | 6 | .292 | 82 | -9 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +12 | 0.9 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB 53% | STL | 425 | 386 | 89 | 15 | 1 | 11 | 28 | 92 | 8 | 10 | 3 | .231 | .296 | .360 | .656 | .130 | .269 | 22 | 7 | .292 | 82 | -9 | +1 | -1 | +5 | +12 | 0.8 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB 64% | STL | 420 | 382 | 87 | 14 | 1 | 11 | 28 | 92 | 7 | 9 | 2 | .228 | .293 | .356 | .649 | .128 | .268 | 22 | 7 | .290 | 80 | -9 | +1 | -1 | +4 | +12 | 0.7 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB 73% | STL | 414 | 377 | 85 | 14 | 1 | 11 | 27 | 92 | 7 | 8 | 2 | .225 | .290 | .355 | .645 | .130 | .266 | 22 | 7 | .287 | 78 | -10 | +1 | -2 | +4 | +12 | 0.5 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB 81% | STL | 401 | 365 | 81 | 13 | 1 | 10 | 26 | 91 | 7 | 7 | 1 | .222 | .286 | .345 | .632 | .123 | .265 | 23 | 6 | .283 | 75 | -11 | +1 | -3 | +4 | +11 | 0.3 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB 88% | STL | 384 | 349 | 75 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 25 | 89 | 7 | 6 | 1 | .215 | .281 | .327 | .607 | .112 | .264 | 23 | 7 | .279 | 71 | -12 | +1 | -4 | +4 | +11 | -0.0 |
| 2035 | 33 | MLB 94% | STL | 355 | 323 | 69 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 23 | 85 | 6 | 5 | 0 | .214 | .278 | .322 | .600 | .108 | .262 | 24 | 6 | .273 | 67 | -13 | +1 | -4 | +4 | +10 | -0.3 |
| 2036 | 34 | MLB | STL | 311 | 283 | 59 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 77 | 5 | 4 | 0 | .208 | .273 | .314 | .587 | .106 | .260 | 25 | 6 | .267 | 62 | -13 | +1 | -5 | +3 | +9 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 5128 | 4684 | 1050 | 172 | 7 | 121 | 298 | 1184 | 98 | 122 | 31 | .224 | .285 | .341 | .626 | .117 | .273 | 23 | 6 | .280 | 72 | -160 | +12 | -20 | +55 | +145 | 3.3 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 594 | 133 | 22 | 1 | 15 | 38 | 150 | 12 | 15 | 4 | .224 | .285 | .340 | .625 | .116 | .273 | 23 | 6 | .280 | 72 | -20 | +1 | -2 | +7 | +18 | 0.4 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | 115 | 100 | 22 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 5 | 4 | 0 | .220 | .310 | .320 | .630 | .100 | .284 | 23 | 7 | .287 | 78 | -3 | +1 | — | — | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2024 | 22 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | 168 | 150 | 35 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 41 | 6 | 3 | 1 | .233 | .303 | .313 | .616 | .080 | .309 | 24 | 5 | .279 | 72 | -5 | +0 | — | — | +5 | -0.0 |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 206 | 188 | 56 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 35 | 3 | 4 | 4 | .298 | .337 | .473 | .810 | .176 | .331 | 17 | 4 | .349 | 126 | +6 | -1 | — | — | +6 | 1.1 |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | 477 | 435 | 115 | 17 | 0 | 10 | 26 | 82 | 9 | 23 | 6 | .264 | .319 | .372 | .692 | .108 | .303 | 17 | 5 | .308 | 94 | -3 | +2 | — | — | +14 | 1.3 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Dakota Harris (OGILVIE) | 24 | 50 | 40 | 55 | 25 | .228/.275/.332 | .104 | .288 | 6 | 8 | 25% | 4% | 68 | -0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Jack Marder 2014 · AA |
24 | 46 | 43→45 | 49→50 | 42 | .226/.281/.334 | .109 | .279 | 10 | 14 | 22% | 5% | 71 | -0.3 | .229/.293/.339 | .110 | .281 | 10 | 9 | 21% | 6% | 78 | +0.2 | .245/.316/.361 | .116 | .291 | 11 | 3 | 19% | 6% | 91 | +0.5 |
|
✕Abiatal Avelino 2019 · AAA |
24 | 49→51 | 43→45 | 53→55 | 42 | .242/.280/.350 | .108 | .296 | 10 | 18 | 22% | 5% | 73 | -0.1 | .235/.270/.349 | .114 | .290 | 11 | 18 | 22% | 4% | 69 | -0.4 | .226/.268/.336 | .110 | .273 | 10 | 18 | 21% | 5% | 62 | -0.6 |
|
✕Corey Toups 2017 · AA |
24 | 46→47 | 44→45 | 56→50 | 43 | .224/.285/.348 | .124 | .297 | 10 | 16 | 27% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 | .204/.266/.311 | .107 | .308 | 9 | 15 | 35% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .184/.250/.275 | .091 | .296 | 8 | 16 | 38% | 7% | 40 | -1.4 |
|
✕Starlin Rodriguez 2014 · AA |
24 | 49→54 | 42→45 | 48→50 | 39 | .235/.286/.346 | .110 | .311 | 9 | 11 | 27% | 5% | 76 | +0.0 | .221/.276/.338 | .117 | .289 | 10 | 9 | 26% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .224/.283/.362 | .138 | .288 | 13 | 5 | 26% | 6% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Jeff Bianchi 2011 · AA |
24 | 49→55 | 43→45 | 51→50 | 37 | .238/.272/.354 | .117 | .318 | 10 | 14 | 28% | 4% | 72 | -0.2 | .231/.272/.310 | .079 | .294 | 6 | 15 | 22% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .238/.274/.315 | .077 | .292 | 7 | 11 | 21% | 5% | 59 | -0.6 |
|
✕Erik González 2016 · AAA |
24 | 49→57 | 41→45 | 53→50 | 38 | .237/.267/.345 | .108 | .304 | 7 | 13 | 24% | 4% | 66 | -0.6 | .245/.272/.362 | .117 | .322 | 11 | 13 | 26% | 3% | 73 | -0.1 | .251/.276/.374 | .123 | .334 | 12 | 12 | 28% | 3% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Christopher Bostick 2017 · AAA |
24 | 44→54 | 43→45 | 52→55 | 39 | .214/.259/.328 | .114 | .285 | 9 | 15 | 28% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .233/.282/.340 | .107 | .306 | 8 | 9 | 25% | 5% | 72 | -0.2 | .235/.286/.345 | .110 | .306 | 9 | 7 | 25% | 5% | 72 | -0.2 |
|
✕Marco Guzman 2019 · AAA |
24 | 46 | 43→50 | 51→50 | 38 | .229/.265/.342 | .113 | .300 | 11 | 12 | 27% | 4% | 66 | -0.6 | .230/.272/.356 | .126 | .318 | 11 | 11 | 30% | 5% | 72 | -0.2 | .231/.271/.361 | .131 | .323 | 9 | 9 | 30% | 5% | 71 | -0.1 |
|
✕Sean Godfrey 2016 · AA |
24 | 48→46 | 40→45 | 50→55 | 37 | .231/.258/.328 | .096 | .291 | 7 | 15 | 23% | 3% | 58 | -1.2 | .223/.258/.325 | .102 | .296 | 8 | 12 | 27% | 4% | 57 | -1.2 | .213/.237/.330 | .117 | .296 | 8 | 8 | 30% | 3% | 45 | -0.4 |
|
✕Ryan Brett 2017 · AAA |
25 | 48→55 | 42→45 | 50→60 | 40 | .234/.269/.339 | .105 | .284 | 9 | 15 | 21% | 4% | 66 | -0.6 | .213/.247/.324 | .111 | .284 | 10 | 12 | 28% | 4% | 53 | -1.5 | .185/.208/.267 | .082 | .258 | 8 | 9 | 31% | 2% | 18 | -1.3 |
|
✕Kelvin Gutiérrez 2019 · AA |
24 | 48→55 | 40→45 | 54→50 | 39 | .229/.270/.324 | .096 | .306 | 8 | 14 | 27% | 5% | 63 | -0.9 | .228/.278/.330 | .102 | .312 | 10 | 13 | 29% | 6% | 68 | -0.5 | .227/.281/.327 | .100 | .301 | 10 | 9 | 27% | 6% | 66 | -0.4 |
|
✕Jonathan Galvez 2015 · AAA |
24 | 48 | 43→45 | 48→55 | 41 | .231/.284/.343 | .111 | .310 | 10 | 14 | 28% | 6% | 74 | -0.1 | .223/.275/.325 | .102 | .308 | 8 | 10 | 28% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .216/.266/.294 | .078 | .308 | 3 | 6 | 29% | 5% | 50 | -0.9 |
|
✕Noel Cuevas 2016 · AA |
24 | 46→50 | 41→45 | 53→55 | 38 | .223/.261/.323 | .100 | .291 | 8 | 20 | 26% | 4% | 59 | -1.1 | .240/.273/.337 | .097 | .306 | 7 | 15 | 23% | 3% | 67 | -0.5 | .249/.283/.353 | .103 | .310 | 8 | 12 | 22% | 3% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Nick Allen 2022 · AAA |
23 | 46→56 | 42→40 | 49→50 | 42 | .226/.274/.332 | .106 | .290 | 9 | 14 | 25% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .230/.285/.322 | .092 | .279 | 8 | 15 | 20% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .243/.303/.319 | .076 | .291 | 6 | 16 | 17% | 7% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Andy Burns 2015 · AA |
24 | 46→56 | 47→50 | 52→55 | 43 | .228/.278/.373 | .145 | .282 | 13 | 17 | 24% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .234/.277/.336 | .102 | .286 | 8 | 12 | 20% | 5% | 69 | -0.4 | .200/.281/.330 | .130 | .257 | 15 | 10 | 27% | 10% | 67 | -0.3 |
|
✕Scott Kingery 2018 · AAA |
24 | 48→51 | 45→55 | 56→55 | 41 | .237/.280/.363 | .126 | .288 | 12 | 19 | 22% | 4% | 78 | +0.2 | .234/.282/.376 | .142 | .301 | 14 | 16 | 26% | 6% | 82 | +0.5 | .226/.279/.370 | .144 | .297 | 14 | 14 | 28% | 6% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Richie Martin Jr. 2019 · AA |
24 | 47→53 | 40→45 | 52→60 | 43 | .224/.279/.318 | .095 | .289 | 6 | 17 | 24% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .223/.277/.327 | .104 | .292 | 9 | 17 | 26% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .213/.275/.315 | .101 | .284 | 6 | 29 | 26% | 6% | 60 | -0.5 |
|
✕Brian Bixler 2007 · AA |
24 | 51→57 | 40→45 | 49→55 | 39 | .241/.294/.335 | .094 | .335 | 8 | 14 | 29% | 5% | 76 | +0.1 | .241/.300/.343 | .102 | .349 | 7 | 20 | 31% | 6% | 81 | +0.4 | .245/.300/.349 | .104 | .352 | 6 | 19 | 30% | 6% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Jemel Spearman 2006 · AA |
25 | 49→53 | 42→45 | 52→50 | 42 | .238/.282/.352 | .115 | .295 | 9 | 13 | 22% | 5% | 76 | +0.0 | .236/.291/.336 | .100 | .293 | 6 | 14 | 20% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .233/.288/.333 | .100 | .287 | 6 | 16 | 20% | 6% | 70 | -0.2 |
|
✕Luke Williams 2021 · AA |
24 | 41→45 | 42→45 | 51→60 | 43 | .204/.265/.308 | .104 | .270 | 9 | 19 | 27% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .226/.285/.324 | .098 | .310 | 8 | 27 | 27% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .227/.288/.355 | .128 | .309 | 13 | 42 | 29% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 |