Michael Russell
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 23 | ATB | 458 | .293/.383/.449 | 8 | 29 | 86 | — | .241/.315/.366 |
| 2017 | 24 | AATB | 431 | .246/.309/.370 | 6 | 20 | 59 | — | .215/.264/.319 |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA/AATB | 324 | .249/.298/.346 | 3 | 9 | 50 | — | .218/.255/.296 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 23 | A | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 458 | 396 | 116 | 28 | 5 | 8 | 45 | 64 | 13 | 29 | 9 | 293 | 383 | 449 | 833 | 157 | 330 | 14 | 10 | 370 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 431 | 386 | 95 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 85 | 7 | 20 | 6 | 246 | 309 | 370 | 679 | 124 | 293 | 20 | 6 | 299 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA | Durham Bulls | — | 134 | 124 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 250 | 301 | 298 | 599 | 48 | 323 | 22 | 4 | 274 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 190 | 177 | 44 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 42 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 249 | 296 | 379 | 675 | 130 | 308 | 22 | 6 | 300 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 23 | A MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 458 | 410 | 99 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 86 | 13 | 29 | 9 | 241 | 315 | 366 | 681 | 124 | 282 | 19 | 7 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 431 | 395 | 85 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 104 | 7 | 20 | 6 | 215 | 264 | 319 | 583 | 104 | 264 | 24 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 134 | 126 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 34 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 214 | 256 | 254 | 510 | 40 | 287 | 25 | 3 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 190 | 181 | 40 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 49 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 221 | 254 | 326 | 580 | 105 | 282 | 26 | 4 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 458 | 410 | 99 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 86 | 13 | 29 | 9 | 241 | 315 | 366 | 681 | 124 | 290 | 19 | 7 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A RAW | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 458 | 396 | 116 | 28 | 5 | 8 | 45 | 64 | 13 | 29 | 9 | 293 | 383 | 449 | 833 | 157 | 330 | 14 | 10 | 370 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 431 | 395 | 85 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 104 | 7 | 20 | 6 | 215 | 264 | 319 | 583 | 104 | 271 | 24 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA RAW | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 431 | 386 | 95 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 85 | 7 | 20 | 6 | 246 | 309 | 370 | 679 | 124 | 293 | 20 | 6 | 299 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 324 | 307 | 67 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 82 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 218 | 255 | 296 | 551 | 78 | 289 | 25 | 4 | 243 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 324 | 301 | 75 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 71 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 249 | 298 | 346 | 644 | 96 | 314 | 22 | 6 | 289 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 458 | 411 | 99 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 86 | 13 | 29 | 9 | 241 | 315 | 365 | 680 | 124 | 282 | 19 | 7 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 431 | 402 | 85 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 104 | 7 | 20 | 6 | 211 | 264 | 313 | 577 | 102 | 264 | 24 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 324 | 306 | 67 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 82 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 219 | 255 | 297 | 552 | 78 | 284 | 25 | 4 | 243 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1213 | 1112 | 251 | 57 | 10 | 13 | 62 | 272 | 23 | 58 | 20 | 226 | 281 | 330 | 611 | 104 | 283 | 22 | 5 | 267 | 67 | -48 | +4 | +0 | +13 | +26 | -0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 596 | 135 | 31 | 5 | 7 | 33 | 146 | 12 | 31 | 11 | 227 | 281 | 331 | 611 | 104 | 284 | 22 | 5 | 267 | 67 | -26 | +2 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -0.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2018 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 190 PAwOBA .293 → .251 (−42)K% 22.1% → 25.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.11% | ÷1.055 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.32% | ÷1.031 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 4.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.48% | ÷0.965 | ×0.920 | ×0.983 | ×0.998 | 20.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.41% | ÷1.007 | ×0.910 | ×0.983 | ×0.998 | 6.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.48% | ÷1.010 | ×0.880 | ×0.983 | ×0.998 | 1.27% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.22% | ÷0.984 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 1.80% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 93, 2B 101, 3B 102, K 111, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.
Result: wOBA .293 → .251; ISO .130 → .109; BABIP .308 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAADurham Bulls · 134 PAwOBA .269 → .231 (−38)K% 21.6% → 25.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.64% | ÷1.032 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.48% | ÷0.986 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 3.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.24% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 2.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.37% | ÷1.052 | ×0.930 | ×0.989 | ×1.033 | 24.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.21% | ÷1.091 | ×0.830 | ×0.989 | ×1.033 | 3.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.05% | ÷0.993 | ×0.970 | ×0.989 | ×1.033 | 1.05% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.970 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 110, 2B 118, 3B 99, K 106, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.
Result: wOBA .269 → .231; ISO .048 → .040; BABIP .323 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 431 PAwOBA .298 → .255 (−42)K% 19.7% → 24.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.72% | ÷0.994 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.50% | ÷1.018 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 4.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.62% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 1.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.60% | ÷1.013 | ×0.920 | ×0.985 | ×1.012 | 18.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.97% | ÷0.986 | ×0.910 | ×0.985 | ×1.012 | 7.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.00% | ÷1.146 | ×0.880 | ×0.985 | ×1.012 | 0.76% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.99% | ÷1.008 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 1.60% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 103, 2B 97, 3B 129, K 99, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .298 → .255; ISO .124 → .107; BABIP .293 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 ABowling Green Hot Rods · 458 PAwOBA .363 → .295 (−68)K% 14.0% → 18.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.97% | ÷1.018 | ×1.360 | — | — | 18.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.83% | ÷0.999 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 6.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.84% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 2.19% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.59% | ÷1.007 | ×0.920 | ×0.959 | ×0.990 | 19.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.43% | ÷0.945 | ×0.830 | ×0.959 | ×0.990 | 7.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.51% | ÷0.956 | ×0.910 | ×0.959 | ×0.990 | 1.36% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.41% | ÷1.028 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 1.86% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 101, 2B 89, 3B 91, K 104, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.
Result: wOBA .363 → .295; ISO .157 → .128; BABIP .330 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).