Joseph Monge
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 24 | AA/A+/ROK/INTL4 orgs | 129 | .192/.236/.208 | 0 | 2 | -8 | — | .140/.186/.151 |
| 2021 | 26 | INTLCangrejeros d… | 39 | .133/.333/.167 | 0 | 0 | 66 | — | |
| 2022 | 27 | INTLCangrejeros d… | 60 | .204/.259/.296 | 1 | 2 | 52 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 18 | ROK | GCL Red Sox | — | 124 | 111 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 31 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 225 | 301 | 270 | 571 | 45 | 312 | 25 | 7 | 266 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK | GCL Red Sox | — | 77 | 64 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 266 | 390 | 453 | 843 | 188 | 312 | 18 | 12 | 379 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | INTL | Senadores de San Juan | — | 17 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 62 | 118 | 62 | 180 | 125 | 47 | 6 | 94 | -50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2015 | 20 | A | Greenville Drive | — | 412 | 373 | 90 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 89 | 4 | 22 | 4 | 241 | 288 | 335 | 623 | 94 | 309 | 22 | 5 | 272 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A+ | Salem Red Sox | — | 361 | 329 | 90 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 81 | 6 | 19 | 8 | 274 | 332 | 392 | 724 | 119 | 351 | 22 | 6 | 323 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A | Greenville Drive | — | 158 | 142 | 48 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 35 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 338 | 397 | 479 | 876 | 141 | 425 | 22 | 8 | 386 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | INTL | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 53 | 49 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 265 | 294 | 306 | 600 | 41 | 342 | 21 | 4 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 214 | 193 | 46 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 49 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 238 | 307 | 332 | 638 | 93 | 310 | 23 | 5 | 290 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 34 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 188 | 235 | 188 | 423 | 316 | 38 | 3 | 202 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2019 | 24 | A+ | Salem Red Sox | — | 41 | 39 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 256 | 293 | 308 | 600 | 51 | 385 | 32 | 5 | 273 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | ROK | GCL Red Sox | — | 22 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 105 | 227 | 105 | 333 | 143 | 23 | 9 | 179 | -34 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2019 | 24 | INTL | Atenienses de Manati | — | 32 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 167 | 167 | 167 | 333 | 192 | 16 | 0 | 141 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 26 | INTL | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 39 | 30 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 133 | 333 | 167 | 500 | 33 | 174 | 18 | 18 | 265 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | INTL | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 60 | 54 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 204 | 259 | 296 | 555 | 93 | 278 | 28 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Red Sox | — | 124 | 114 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 45 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 158 | 220 | 184 | 404 | 26 | 253 | 36 | 5 | 183 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Red Sox | — | 77 | 67 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 209 | 312 | 373 | 685 | 164 | 233 | 26 | 8 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 412 | 381 | 85 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 117 | 4 | 22 | 4 | 223 | 258 | 304 | 563 | 81 | 297 | 28 | 3 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A+ MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 361 | 337 | 75 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 121 | 6 | 19 | 8 | 223 | 268 | 318 | 586 | 95 | 324 | 34 | 4 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 158 | 146 | 42 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 45 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 288 | 333 | 390 | 724 | 103 | 389 | 28 | 5 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 214 | 196 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 61 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 219 | 278 | 301 | 579 | 82 | 297 | 29 | 3 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 34 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 156 | 206 | 156 | 362 | 305 | 47 | 3 | 162 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2019 | 24 | A+ MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 41 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 175 | 195 | 200 | 395 | 25 | 344 | 46 | 2 | 183 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | ROK MLE | GCL Red Sox | — | 22 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 136 | 50 | 186 | 112 | 32 | 5 | 118 | -34 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Red Sox | — | 124 | 114 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 45 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 158 | 220 | 184 | 404 | 26 | 261 | 36 | 5 | 183 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Red Sox | — | 124 | 111 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 31 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 225 | 301 | 270 | 571 | 45 | 312 | 25 | 7 | 266 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 94 | 83 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 181 | 277 | 313 | 590 | 133 | 232 | 27 | 7 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 94 | 80 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 225 | 340 | 375 | 715 | 150 | 286 | 23 | 11 | 327 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 412 | 381 | 85 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 117 | 4 | 22 | 4 | 223 | 258 | 304 | 563 | 81 | 313 | 28 | 3 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | A RAW | Greenville Drive | — | 412 | 373 | 90 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 89 | 4 | 22 | 4 | 241 | 288 | 335 | 623 | 94 | 309 | 22 | 5 | 272 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 572 | 532 | 129 | 26 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 183 | 8 | 25 | 15 | 242 | 287 | 342 | 629 | 100 | 354 | 32 | 4 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 572 | 520 | 151 | 32 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 127 | 8 | 25 | 15 | 290 | 347 | 408 | 755 | 117 | 370 | 22 | 6 | 335 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 214 | 196 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 61 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 219 | 278 | 301 | 579 | 82 | 308 | 29 | 3 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | AA RAW | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 214 | 193 | 46 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 49 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 238 | 307 | 332 | 638 | 93 | 310 | 23 | 5 | 290 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | A+ MLE | 4 teams | — | 129 | 121 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 56 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 149 | 189 | 165 | 354 | 17 | 273 | 43 | 3 | 161 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | A+ RAW | 4 teams | — | 129 | 120 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 36 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 192 | 236 | 208 | 445 | 17 | 271 | 28 | 4 | 206 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | INTL MLE | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 39 | 30 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 133 | 333 | 167 | 500 | 33 | 174 | 18 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | INTL RAW | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 39 | 30 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 133 | 333 | 167 | 500 | 33 | 174 | 18 | 18 | 265 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | INTL MLE | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 60 | 54 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 204 | 259 | 296 | 555 | 93 | 278 | 28 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | INTL RAW | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 60 | 54 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 204 | 259 | 296 | 555 | 93 | 278 | 28 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Red Sox | — | 124 | 114 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 45 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 158 | 220 | 184 | 404 | 26 | 253 | 36 | 5 | 183 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 94 | 83 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 181 | 277 | 313 | 590 | 133 | 233 | 27 | 7 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 412 | 391 | 85 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 117 | 4 | 22 | 4 | 217 | 258 | 297 | 555 | 79 | 297 | 28 | 3 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 572 | 534 | 129 | 26 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 183 | 8 | 25 | 15 | 242 | 287 | 341 | 628 | 99 | 344 | 32 | 4 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 214 | 196 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 61 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 219 | 278 | 301 | 579 | 82 | 297 | 29 | 3 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | A+ MLE | 4 teams | — | 129 | 122 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 56 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 148 | 189 | 164 | 353 | 16 | 278 | 43 | 3 | 161 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1644 | 1511 | 323 | 64 | 8 | 14 | 73 | 511 | 33 | 68 | 31 | 214 | 265 | 295 | 560 | 81 | 311 | 31 | 4 | 228 | 40 | -117 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +36 | -7.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 597 | 128 | 25 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 202 | 13 | 27 | 12 | 214 | 266 | 296 | 563 | 82 | 311 | 31 | 4 | 228 | 40 | -46 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -3.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 A+Salem Red Sox · 41 PAwOBA .266 → .183 (−83)K% 31.7% → 47.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.71% | ÷0.958 | ×1.420 | — | — | 47.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.88% | ÷0.968 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.988 | 3.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.77% | ÷1.003 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.988 | 28.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.070 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.988 | 5.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.972 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.080 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 101, 2B 114, 3B 94, K 92, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .266 → .183; ISO .051 → .031; BABIP .385 → .344. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 34 PAwOBA .197 → .162 (−34)K% 38.2% → 47.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 38.24% | ÷0.991 | ×1.220 | — | — | 47.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.94% | ÷0.997 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 2.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.94% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 2.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.58% | ÷1.016 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.012 | 30.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.158 | ×0.860 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.953 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 103, 2B 132, 3B 130, K 98, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .197 → .162; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .316 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 ROKGCL Red Sox · 22 PAwOBA .176 → .118 (−58)K% 22.7% → 32.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.73% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 32.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.955 | 5.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.55% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 3.13% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.955 | 11.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 19.5 → −4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .176 → .118; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .143 → .112. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 214 PAwOBA .283 → .246 (−37)K% 22.9% → 28.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.90% | ÷0.974 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.67% | ÷1.067 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 3.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.21% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 3.72% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.92% | ÷0.984 | ×0.970 | ×0.980 | ×1.042 | 23.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.94% | ÷1.085 | ×0.860 | ×0.980 | ×1.042 | 5.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.69% | ÷1.010 | ×0.950 | ×0.980 | ×1.042 | 0.67% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.39% | ÷1.020 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 1.11% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 97, 2B 117, 3B 102, K 95, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.
Result: wOBA .283 → .246; ISO .093 → .073; BABIP .310 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Salem Red Sox · 361 PAwOBA .316 → .253 (−63)K% 22.4% → 33.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.44% | ÷0.951 | ×1.420 | — | — | 33.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.37% | ÷0.989 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.027 | 4.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.66% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.027 | 1.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.40% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×0.997 | ×1.027 | 24.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.66% | ÷1.030 | ×0.830 | ×0.997 | ×1.027 | 6.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.61% | ÷1.150 | ×0.800 | ×0.997 | ×1.027 | 1.15% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.61% | ÷0.787 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.027 | 1.89% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 57, 1B 100, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 90, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.
Result: wOBA .316 → .253; ISO .119 → .096; BABIP .351 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AGreenville Drive · 158 PAwOBA .380 → .320 (−60)K% 22.2% → 28.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.15% | ÷1.034 | ×1.340 | — | — | 28.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.59% | ÷1.044 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.015 | 4.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.27% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.015 | 0.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.78% | ÷0.978 | ×0.920 | ×0.974 | ×1.015 | 29.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.28% | ÷0.908 | ×0.820 | ×0.974 | ×1.015 | 9.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.974 | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.80% | ÷1.001 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.015 | 2.33% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 96, 2B 82, 3B 130, K 107, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.
Result: wOBA .380 → .320; ISO .141 → .118; BABIP .425 → .389. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AGreenville Drive · 412 PAwOBA .267 → .237 (−30)K% 21.6% → 28.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.60% | ÷1.019 | ×1.340 | — | — | 28.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.10% | ÷0.993 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.030 | 3.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.97% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.030 | 0.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.83% | ÷0.981 | ×0.920 | ×1.047 | ×1.030 | 22.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.10% | ÷1.063 | ×0.820 | ×1.047 | ×1.030 | 6.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.06% | ÷1.069 | ×0.940 | ×1.047 | ×1.030 | 1.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.70% | ÷0.979 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.030 | 0.61% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 96, 2B 113, 3B 114, K 104, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.047.
Result: wOBA .267 → .237; ISO .094 → .079; BABIP .309 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ROKGCL Red Sox · 77 PAwOBA .370 → .260 (−109)K% 18.2% → 26.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.18% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 26.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 7.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.19% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 3.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 15.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 5.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 1.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 3.14% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .370 → .260; ISO .188 → .134; BABIP .312 → .233. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .