Estarlin Martinez
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 21 | AHagerstown Su… | 410 | .253/.327/.352 | 4 | 20 | 55 | — | .215/.270/.298 |
| 2014 | 22 | A+/A2 orgs | 377 | .281/.343/.355 | 1 | 12 | 64 | — | .246/.292/.304 |
| 2015 | 23 | A+Potomac Natio… | 307 | .274/.348/.326 | 0 | 8 | 59 | — | .241/.291/.284 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 17 | ROK | DSL Nationals | — | 272 | 233 | 56 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 28 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 240 | 340 | 330 | 670 | 90 | 257 | 10 | 12 | 306 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK | GCL Nationals | — | 106 | 92 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 239 | 327 | 348 | 675 | 109 | 306 | 21 | 9 | 303 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK | GCL Nationals | — | 219 | 187 | 54 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 36 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 289 | 384 | 471 | 855 | 182 | 324 | 16 | 13 | 375 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A | Hagerstown Suns | — | 410 | 364 | 92 | 22 | 1 | 4 | 36 | 74 | 4 | 20 | 4 | 253 | 327 | 352 | 678 | 99 | 303 | 18 | 9 | 305 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ | Potomac Nationals | — | 240 | 223 | 60 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 38 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 269 | 307 | 336 | 643 | 67 | 321 | 16 | 5 | 287 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A | Hagerstown Suns | — | 137 | 115 | 35 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 304 | 407 | 391 | 799 | 87 | 343 | 12 | 12 | 361 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ | Potomac Nationals | — | 307 | 270 | 74 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 55 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 274 | 348 | 326 | 674 | 52 | 341 | 18 | 9 | 306 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Nationals | — | 272 | 242 | 39 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 34 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 161 | 243 | 207 | 449 | 45 | 176 | 12 | 8 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Nationals | — | 106 | 96 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 188 | 250 | 271 | 521 | 83 | 247 | 30 | 6 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Nationals | — | 219 | 198 | 42 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 52 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 212 | 278 | 348 | 626 | 136 | 248 | 24 | 8 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A MLE | Hagerstown Suns | — | 410 | 376 | 81 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 99 | 4 | 20 | 4 | 215 | 270 | 298 | 568 | 82 | 271 | 24 | 6 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 240 | 229 | 53 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 54 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 231 | 261 | 279 | 540 | 48 | 296 | 22 | 4 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A MLE | Hagerstown Suns | — | 137 | 121 | 33 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 273 | 348 | 347 | 695 | 74 | 317 | 17 | 8 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 307 | 282 | 68 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 78 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 241 | 291 | 284 | 575 | 43 | 321 | 25 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Nationals | — | 272 | 242 | 39 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 34 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 161 | 243 | 207 | 449 | 45 | 180 | 12 | 8 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Nationals | — | 272 | 233 | 56 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 28 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 240 | 340 | 330 | 670 | 90 | 257 | 10 | 12 | 306 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Nationals | — | 106 | 96 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 188 | 250 | 271 | 521 | 83 | 273 | 30 | 6 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Nationals | — | 106 | 92 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 239 | 327 | 348 | 675 | 109 | 306 | 21 | 9 | 303 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Nationals | — | 219 | 198 | 42 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 52 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 212 | 278 | 348 | 626 | 136 | 257 | 24 | 8 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK RAW | GCL Nationals | — | 219 | 187 | 54 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 36 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 289 | 384 | 471 | 855 | 182 | 324 | 16 | 13 | 375 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A MLE | Hagerstown Suns | — | 410 | 376 | 81 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 99 | 4 | 20 | 4 | 215 | 270 | 298 | 568 | 82 | 278 | 24 | 6 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A RAW | Hagerstown Suns | — | 410 | 364 | 92 | 22 | 1 | 4 | 36 | 74 | 4 | 20 | 4 | 253 | 327 | 352 | 678 | 99 | 303 | 18 | 9 | 305 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 377 | 350 | 86 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 78 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 246 | 292 | 303 | 595 | 57 | 309 | 21 | 5 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 377 | 338 | 95 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 55 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 281 | 343 | 355 | 698 | 74 | 329 | 15 | 8 | 314 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 307 | 282 | 68 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 78 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 241 | 291 | 284 | 575 | 43 | 330 | 25 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ RAW | Potomac Nationals | — | 307 | 270 | 74 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 55 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 274 | 348 | 326 | 674 | 52 | 341 | 18 | 9 | 306 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Nationals | — | 272 | 244 | 39 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 34 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 160 | 243 | 205 | 447 | 45 | 176 | 12 | 8 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Nationals | — | 106 | 97 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 186 | 250 | 268 | 518 | 82 | 247 | 30 | 6 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Nationals | — | 219 | 199 | 42 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 52 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 211 | 278 | 347 | 625 | 136 | 248 | 24 | 8 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A MLE | Hagerstown Suns | — | 410 | 379 | 81 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 99 | 4 | 20 | 4 | 214 | 270 | 296 | 565 | 82 | 271 | 24 | 6 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 377 | 351 | 86 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 78 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 245 | 292 | 302 | 594 | 57 | 304 | 21 | 5 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 307 | 284 | 68 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 78 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 239 | 291 | 282 | 573 | 42 | 321 | 25 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1691 | 1544 | 334 | 52 | 12 | 11 | 108 | 373 | 15 | 63 | 25 | 216 | 274 | 287 | 561 | 71 | 274 | 22 | 6 | 248 | 54 | -93 | +3 | +0 | -18 | +37 | -7.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 593 | 129 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 42 | 143 | 6 | 24 | 10 | 218 | 276 | 288 | 564 | 71 | 276 | 22 | 6 | 248 | 54 | -36 | +1 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -2.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 A+Potomac Nationals · 307 PAwOBA .300 → .255 (−46)K% 17.9% → 25.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.92% | ÷1.006 | ×1.420 | — | — | 25.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.12% | ÷1.022 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.998 | 5.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.98% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.998 | 0.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.84% | ÷1.030 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 27.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.65% | ÷1.016 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 3.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.93% | ÷0.937 | ×0.800 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 0.83% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 106, 2B 103, 3B 87, K 101, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .300 → .255; ISO .052 → .044; BABIP .341 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Potomac Nationals · 240 PAwOBA .282 → .238 (−44)K% 15.8% → 22.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.83% | ÷0.996 | ×1.420 | — | — | 22.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.42% | ÷0.943 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.012 | 3.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.95% | ÷1.012 | ×0.940 | ×1.014 | ×1.012 | 24.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.86% | ÷1.037 | ×0.830 | ×1.014 | ×1.012 | 4.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.62% | ÷1.150 | ×0.800 | ×1.014 | ×1.012 | 1.16% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.988 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 102, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 99, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.
Result: wOBA .282 → .238; ISO .067 → .050; BABIP .321 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AHagerstown Suns · 137 PAwOBA .358 → .308 (−50)K% 12.4% → 17.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.41% | ÷0.975 | ×1.340 | — | — | 17.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.660 | — | — | 8.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.19% | — | ×0.770 | — | — | 1.69% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.57% | ÷1.006 | ×0.920 | ×1.030 | — | 26.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.10% | ÷0.997 | ×0.820 | ×1.030 | — | 4.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.02% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.030 | — | 0.86% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.02% | ÷0.962 | ×0.820 | — | — | 0.87% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 101, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 95, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.
Result: wOBA .358 → .308; ISO .087 → .075; BABIP .343 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AHagerstown Suns · 410 PAwOBA .300 → .249 (−51)K% 18.0% → 24.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.05% | ÷0.997 | ×1.340 | — | — | 24.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.78% | ÷1.021 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.015 | 5.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.98% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.015 | 0.76% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.41% | ÷1.059 | ×0.920 | ×1.049 | ×1.015 | 20.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.59% | ÷1.091 | ×0.820 | ×1.049 | ×1.015 | 6.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.34% | ÷0.910 | ×0.940 | ×1.049 | ×1.015 | 0.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.38% | ÷0.856 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.015 | 1.34% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 112, 2B 118, 3B 82, K 99, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.049.
Result: wOBA .300 → .249; ISO .099 → .085; BABIP .303 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 ROKGCL Nationals · 219 PAwOBA .369 → .268 (−100)K% 16.4% → 23.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.44% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 23.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 7.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.84% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.964 | ×1.008 | 18.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.30% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.964 | ×1.008 | 3.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.964 | ×1.008 | 1.85% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.97% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 3.12% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.
Result: wOBA .369 → .268; ISO .182 → .134; BABIP .324 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 ROKGCL Nationals · 106 PAwOBA .301 → .220 (−81)K% 20.8% → 29.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.75% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 29.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 5.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.89% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 1.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.57% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.017 | ×1.022 | 15.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.017 | ×1.022 | 8.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.017 | ×1.022 | 1.07% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.
Result: wOBA .301 → .220; ISO .109 → .077; BABIP .306 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 DSLDSL Nationals · 272 PAwOBA .303 → .210 (−92)K% 10.3% → 12.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.29% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 12.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 8.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.10% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 0.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.46% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×1.009 | ×1.022 | 15.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.93% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.009 | ×1.022 | 1.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.46% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.009 | ×1.022 | 0.91% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.46% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.70% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.
Result: wOBA .303 → .210; ISO .090 → .052; BABIP .257 → .176. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).