Carson Rucker — OGILVIE

Carson Rucker3B Lakeland Flying Tigers

Age 21 R/R 6'2" / 195 lbs A HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION290 act + 193 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†40

AVG/OBP/SLG.176 / .267 / .252

PA193

HR2

SB6

K%44

BB%9

BABIP336

ISO76

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	FCL Tigers	—	41	35	7	1	0	1	4	14	2	4	1	200	317	314	631	114	300	34	10	250	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	FCL Tigers	—	41	33	8	1	0	1	6	9	2	4	1	242	390	364	754	121	304	22	15	352	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Tigers	—	16	14	4	3	0	0	0	7	2	1	1	286	375	500	875	214	571	44	0	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Tigers	—	16	13	5	4	0	0	0	5	2	1	1	385	438	692	1.130	308	625	31	0	469	217	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	429	392	68	12	2	1	25	148	10	11	3	173	241	222	463	48	273	34	6	212	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	429	387	91	14	3	1	30	104	10	11	3	235	307	295	601	59	317	24	7	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A	DET	—	290	248	39	4	1	5	35	149	3	14	0	157	269	242	511	85	347	51	12	241	43	-19	+3	+0	+1	+8	-0.7
YTD	21	A	DET	—	290	236	56	6	2	7	47	105	3	14	0	237	371	369	739	131	383	36	16	337	116	+5	+3	+0	+1	+8	1.8
ROS	21	A	DET	0%	193	170	30	5	1	2	18	86	3	6	0	176	267	252	519	76	325	44	9	238	40	-13	+1	+0	+1	+5	-0.6
ROS	21	MLB	DET	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		320	—	—	223	29	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	21	A	DET	—	290	249	39	4	1	5	35	149	3	14	0	157	269	241	510	84	343	51	12	241	43	-19	+3	+0	+1	+8	-0.7
TOT	21	A	DET	—	483	418	69	9	2	7	53	235	6	20	0	165	268	246	514	81	342	49	11	240	42	-32	+4	+0	+2	+14	-1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	DET	34%	534	471	87	15	2	8	50	225	8	12	1	185	274	276	550	91	324	42	9	256	54	-28	+2	+0	+2	+15	-0.9
2028	23	MLB	DET	48%	548	483	93	16	2	10	52	221	8	12	1	193	282	296	578	104	322	40	9	266	62	-24	+2	+0	+2	+16	-0.4
2029	24	MLB	DET	53%	553	488	95	16	2	11	52	217	8	12	1	195	283	303	586	109	321	39	9	272	67	-21	+2	+0	+2	+16	-0.1
2030	25	MLB	DET	55%	563	496	99	17	2	12	54	217	8	12	1	200	289	315	603	115	320	39	10	275	69	-20	+2	+0	+2	+16	0.0
2031	26	MLB	DET	59%	570	501	99	17	2	12	55	220	9	12	1	198	288	311	600	114	320	39	10	276	69	-20	+2	+0	+2	+16	0.0
2032	27	MLB	DET	62%	569	500	99	17	2	12	55	220	9	12	1	198	289	312	601	114	319	39	10	276	69	-20	+2	+0	+2	+16	0.0
2027	22	MLB	DET	34%	183	161	30	5	1	3	17	77	3	4	0	186	276	286	562	99	319	42	9	241	43	-12	+1	+0	+1	+5	-0.5
2028	23	MLB	DET	48%	266	235	44	7	1	5	25	107	4	6	1	187	277	289	566	102	317	40	9	251	50	-15	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.6
2029	24	MLB	DET	53%	292	258	49	8	1	6	28	114	4	6	1	190	279	298	578	109	315	39	10	257	55	-15	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.5
2030	25	MLB	DET	55%	308	271	53	9	1	6	29	119	5	7	1	196	285	303	588	107	315	39	9	260	57	-15	+1	+0	+1	+9	-0.4
2031	26	MLB	DET	59%	338	298	58	10	1	7	32	130	5	7	1	195	284	305	589	111	314	38	9	261	58	-16	+1	+0	+1	+10	-0.4
2032	27	MLB	DET	62%	350	308	60	10	2	7	34	135	5	8	1	195	285	308	594	114	314	39	10	261	58	-17	+1	+0	+1	+10	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1737	1532	294	49	7	34	165	682	26	38	5	192	282	300	581	108	315	39	9	256	54	-89	+6	+0	+6	+49	-2.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	110	18	3	13	62	255	10	14	2	192	282	302	584	110	315	39	10	256	54	-33	+2	+0	+2	+18	-1.1
Career	—			—	4016	3550	681	119	15	69	365	1575	67	94	11	192	279	292	572	100	318	39	9	263	59	-185	+14	+0	+14	+114	-4.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	109	19	2	11	59	255	11	15	2	190	278	287	564	97	314	39	9	263	59	-30	+2	+0	+2	+18	-0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	FCL Tigers	—	41	33	8	1	0	1	6	9	2	4	1	242	390	364	754	121	304	22	15	352	128	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2024	19	ROK	FCL Tigers	—	16	13	5	4	0	0	0	5	2	1	1	385	438	692	1.130	308	625	31	0	469	217	+2	-0	—	—	+0	0.2
2025	20	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	429	387	91	14	3	1	30	104	10	11	3	235	307	295	601	59	317	24	7	278	71	-14	+1	—	—	+12	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	10	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
	/162	664	10	19	228	318	337	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	2,057	37	44	195	279	299	+7	+2	-1.7	-0.8
	/162	664	12	14	195	279	299	+2.4	+0.6	-0.5	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carson Rucker (OGILVIE)	21	35	20	45	25	165/268/246	81	342	7	20	49%	11%	42	-1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yeison Santana 2022 · A	21	43	37→30	45→55	39	199/261/271	71	320	5	10	37%	7%	46	-2.0	217/285/282	65	313	3	15	29%	8%	59	-1.1	221/302/263	42	308	2	22	26%	9%	57	-0.6
✕Luis Rubio 2023 · A	21	40	35→30	46→45	39	185/248/243	57	296	2	7	36%	7%	33	-2.9	189/260/250	61	284	3	8	31%	8%	40	-2.4	127/221/148	21	194	0	8	31%	10%	-2	-1.3
✕Luis Reynoso 2016 · A	21	41	36→30	43→50	36	193/244/249	56	313	4	5	38%	6%	32	-3.0	198/254/263	65	351	4	6	41%	6%	40	-2.4	156/216/182	26	314	0	3	47%	6%	1	-1.1
✕Carson Tucker 2023 · A	21	39	38→40	52→55	34	164/237/241	78	356	6	11	51%	8%	29	-3.2	184/248/266	82	392	7	9	50%	7%	40	-2.4	198/246/264	66	348	3	22	42%	5%	35	-0.7
✕Rafael Morel 2023 · A	21	41	37→40	49→50	34	187/244/260	73	318	4	9	40%	6%	36	-2.7	188/260/270	82	295	8	12	36%	7%	46	-2.0	166/245/237	72	259	8	15	37%	8%	29	-2.0
✕Norkis Marcos 2022 · A	21	38	35→30	49→50	39	169/247/223	54	316	2	14	43%	8%	29	-3.2	172/242/248	76	359	6	15	49%	8%	33	-2.9	122/199/201	79	254	9	21	52%	8%	1	-1.6
✕Fabian Pertuz 2022 · A	21	42→33	39→40	45→55	33	198/245/277	79	321	7	7	39%	5%	40	-2.4	175/222/265	90	272	8	11	37%	5%	28	-3.2	156/204/243	87	241	9	12	38%	4%	12	-2.6
✕Carl Thomore 2014 · A	21	37→40	36→30	48→50	40	172/244/234	62	301	3	8	41%	8%	30	-3.1	197/262/269	72	321	5	9	37%	7%	46	-2.0	189/256/254	65	304	6	9	37%	7%	38	-1.9
✕José Sánchez 2021 · A	21	40→41	37→30	44→40	36	189/245/261	72	312	5	7	39%	6%	37	-2.7	192/259/268	76	274	5	4	29%	7%	45	-2.1	178/246/243	65	249	4	3	28%	7%	30	-1.8
✕Jose Dicent 2012 · A	21	41	36→30	47→45	37	186/251/253	67	322	3	7	40%	7%	37	-2.6	203/278/268	65	287	4	8	28%	8%	53	-1.5	180/267/215	36	252	2	9	27%	9%	33	-1.0
✕Aaron Familia 2019 · A	20	41	38→40	47→40	40	184/272/261	77	326	5	5	41%	9%	50	-1.8	197/268/284	87	357	6	5	42%	8%	53	-1.5	163/242/258	95	312	8	0	46%	9%	31	-0.8
✕Romer Cuadrado 2019 · A	21	42→37	39→40	46→45	36	197/251/282	84	318	6	7	38%	6%	43	-2.2	201/254/300	99	324	10	5	38%	6%	51	-1.7	189/245/293	104	309	13	2	41%	6%	42	-1.3
✕David Berres 2008 · A	21	37	34→30	47→45	36	176/234/223	47	286	2	10	37%	6%	22	-3.7	208/278/264	56	288	3	7	26%	8%	51	-1.7	214/295/252	38	292	3	6	25%	10%	52	-0.9
✕Adanson Cruz 2023 · A	22	42	39→40	47→50	28	160/224/240	80	389	7	6	56%	7%	23	-3.6	194/263/273	79	353	5	9	43%	7%	48	-1.9	187/272/238	51	325	0	10	38%	8%	42	-0.6
✕Juan De La Rosa 2019 · A	21	41	39→40	48→55	32	192/236/281	89	315	6	10	39%	5%	37	-2.6	201/263/288	87	317	5	12	36%	6%	51	-1.7	184/259/271	86	288	4	20	34%	6%	43	-0.7
✕Gift Ngoepe 2011 · A	21	44→40	36→45	46→50	38	200/264/263	63	327	4	12	37%	7%	45	-2.1	199/256/275	76	310	5	14	35%	7%	44	-2.1	171/250/283	112	296	11	5	43%	9%	43	-0.9
✕Didimo Bracho 2017 · A	20	35	37→30	48→60	34	172/222/242	69	271	5	13	37%	5%	21	-3.7	195/244/300	105	293	8	6	34%	5%	46	-2.0	181/230/321	140	251	11	3	32%	5%	41	-0.6
✕Emilio King 2011 · A	21	37	36→45	45→40	37	178/245/248	70	273	3	6	34%	5%	34	-2.8	215/257/310	95	317	7	4	33%	4%	54	-1.4	252/282/371	119	340	11	3	28%	2%	76	+0.0
✕Justin Twine 2017 · A	21	36→31	36→45	45→50	28	175/214/240	65	291	3	7	40%	3%	17	-4.0	197/236/278	81	295	6	9	34%	3%	37	-2.7	216/252/313	97	321	8	14	34%	3%	50	-1.0
✕Maikol Escotto 2023 · A	21	39	40	47→50	35	183/244/270	87	313	8	14	42%	6%	39	-2.5	180/225/274	94	278	10	14	37%	5%	31	-3.0	171/213/261	90	250	11	18	35%	4%	20	-1.8