Carson Rucker

3B Lakeland Flying Tigers
Age 22 R/R 6'2" / 195 lbs A HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202419ROKDET16.385/.438/.6920199—.286/.375/.500
202520ADET429.235/.307/.29511131—.182/.244/.228
202621A+/ADET395.252/.379/.431151764—.186/.284/.314
2027PROJMLE22MLBDET505.196/.273/.28981061-0.3
2028PROJ34% MLB23MLBDET119.197/.276/.2972266-0.1
2029PROJ46% MLB24MLBDET187.201/.280/.3064470-0.2
Next 3 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
ISO79
BB%71
wRC+58
wOBA51
Speed39
Z-Con%38
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%
CompsBraulio Vasquez (age 22) · D' Vontrey Richardson (age 23) · Glenn Santiago (age 22)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA
wRC+†61
AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .271 / .286
PA210
HR3
K%36
BB%8
ISO93
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -9.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-10BATRUN: +0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE25
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M———
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-1M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202318 ROKFCL Tigers — 4133 8101 692 41 242390364754 121304 2215 352 55 — — — — — —
202419 ROKFCL Tigers — 1613 5400 052 11 3854386921.130 308625 310 469 99 — — — — — —
202520 ALakeland Flying Tigers — 429387 911431 3010410 113 235307295601 59317 247 278 31 — — — — — —
202621 A+West Michigan Whitecaps — 7160 13104 10201 10 217338433771 217250 2814 346 65 — — — — — —
202621 ALakeland Flying Tigers — 324265 698211 501135 162 260388430818 170400 3515 365 64 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202318 ROK MLEFCL Tigers — 4135 7101 4132 41 200317314631 114248 3210 249 55 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLEFCL Tigers — 1614 4300 072 11 286375500875 214468 440 314 99 — — — — — —
202520 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 429395 721121 2214210 113 182244228471 46277 335 214 31 — — — — — —
202621 A+ MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps — 7163 11103 7251 10 175268333601 159225 3510 264 65 — — — — — —
202621 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 324281 53628 341545 162 189287310597 121347 4810 263 64 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEFCL Tigers — 4135 7101 4132 41 200317314631 114286 3210 249 55 — — — — — —
202318 ROK RAWFCL Tigers — 4133 8101 692 41 242390364754 121304 2215 352 55 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLEFCL Tigers — 1614 4300 072 11 286375500875 214571 440 314 99 — — — — — —
202419 ROK RAWFCL Tigers — 1613 5400 052 11 3854386921.130 308625 310 469 99 — — — — — —
202520 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 429395 721121 2214210 113 182244228471 46280 335 214 31 — — — — — —
202520 A RAWLakeland Flying Tigers — 429387 911431 3010410 113 235307295601 59317 247 278 31 — — — — — —
202621 A MLE2 teams — 395343 636211 421796 172 184284309593 125331 4511 263 64 — — — — — —
202621 A RAW2 teams — 395325 829215 601336 172 252379431809 178370 3415 362 64 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEFCL Tigers — 4135 7101 4132 41 200317314631 114248 3210 249 55 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLEFCL Tigers — 1614 4300 072 11 286375500875 214468 440 314 99 — — — — — —
202520 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 429394 721121 2214210 113 183244228472 46277 335 214 31 — — — — — —
202621 A MLE2 teams — 395344 636211 421796 172 183284308592 125325 4511 263 64 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202419 ROK MLEFCL Tigers — 1614 4300 072 11 286375500875 214468 440 314 99 — — — — — —
202520 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 429394 721121 2214210 113 183244228472 46277 335 214 31 — — — — — —
202621 A MLE2 teams — 395344 636211 421796 172 183284308592 125325 4511 263 64 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202722 MLB MLEDET 0% 505452 881328 411827 102 196273289562 93302 368 258 61 -24 +1 +0 +2 +11 -0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202823 MLB MLEDET 34% 346309 62926 291215 71 201279304582 103302 358 266 66 -14 +1 +0 +1 +7 -0.4
202924 MLB MLEDET 46% 406363 741128 341396 81 205283314596 109302 348 272 70 -14 +1 +0 +1 +9 -0.3
203025 MLB MLEDET 52% 439393 821329 371476 92 207285320606 113302 338 275 73 -14 +1 +0 +2 +10 -0.2
203126 MLB MLEDET 54% 456409 8513210 381516 92 209287324611 115301 338 278 74 -14 +1 +0 +2 +10 -0.2
203227 MLB MLEDET 54% 462414 8714210 391516 82 210288326613 116299 338 278 75 -14 +1 +0 +2 +10 -0.2
203328 MLB MLEDET 54% 461413 8614210 391516 71 208286321606 113298 338 276 73 -15 +1 -1 +2 +10 -0.3
203429 MLB MLEDET 58% 452405 831329 381506 51 205283314597 109296 338 272 70 -16 +1 -1 +2 +10 -0.6
202823 MLB CTXDET 34% 119106 21312 10422 20 197276297572 99297 358 262 66 -5 +0 +0 +0 +3 -0.1
202924 MLB CTXDET 46% 187166 34514 16643 41 201280306586 105297 349 268 70 -7 +0 +0 +1 +4 -0.2
203025 MLB CTXDET 52% 227203 41615 19763 41 204282313595 109297 338 271 73 -7 +0 +0 +1 +5 -0.1
203126 MLB CTXDET 54% 247221 45715 21823 51 205284317600 111296 339 273 74 -8 +1 +0 +1 +5 -0.1
203227 MLB CTXDET 54% 251225 46715 21823 51 206284318602 112295 338 274 75 -8 +1 +0 +1 +5 -0.1
203328 MLB CTXDET 54% 250224 45715 21823 41 204282313595 109293 338 271 73 -8 +0 -0 +1 +5 -0.2
203429 MLB CTXDET 58% 261234 47715 22863 31 202279307586 105291 338 267 70 -9 +0 -1 +1 +6 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 15421379 27942731 13051420 276 202281310591 108295 338 270 66 -52 +3 -1 +6 +33 -1.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650581 11818313 552178 113 203281312593 108297 338 270 66 -22 +1 -1 +2 +14 -0.5
Career— MLE — 41133681 7411131978 339142764 9018 201280306586 105302 358 266 66 -112 +7 -2 +12 +70 -2.6
/ 162G— MLE — 650582 11718312 5422610 143 201280304584 103303 358 266 66 -22 +1 -0 +2 +14 -0.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ALakeland Flying Tigers · 324 PAwOBA .361 → .263 (−98)K% 34.9% → 47.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA34.88%÷1.000×1.360——47.43%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.43%÷1.000×0.690——10.65%
HBP% /PA1.54%—×0.780——1.20%
Singles /BIP31.58%÷1.000×0.920×0.975—28.32%
Doubles /BIP5.26%÷1.000×0.830×0.975—4.26%
Triples /BIP1.32%÷1.000×0.910×0.975—1.17%
Home runs /BIP7.24%÷1.000×0.800——5.79%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.

Result: wOBA .361 → .263; ISO .170 → .119; BABIP .400 → .347. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+West Michigan Whitecaps · 71 PAwOBA .337 → .264 (−73)K% 28.2% → 35.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.17%÷1.000×1.270——35.77%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.08%÷1.000×0.710—×1.01210.12%
HBP% /PA1.41%—×0.790—×1.0121.13%
Singles /BIP20.00%÷1.000×0.920—×1.01218.62%
Doubles /BIP2.50%÷1.000×0.810—×1.0122.05%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.850—×1.0120.00%
Home runs /BIP10.00%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0128.10%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .337 → .264; ISO .217 → .165; BABIP .250 → .225. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ALakeland Flying Tigers · 429 PAwOBA .272 → .214 (−59)K% 24.2% → 33.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.24%÷0.998×1.360——33.02%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.99%÷0.945×0.690—×1.0155.18%
HBP% /PA2.33%—×0.780—×1.0151.85%
Singles /BIP25.80%÷1.051×0.920×0.993×1.01522.74%
Doubles /BIP4.95%÷0.971×0.830×0.993×1.0154.26%
Triples /BIP1.06%÷1.150×0.910×0.993×1.0150.85%
Home runs /BIP0.35%÷0.864×0.800—×1.0150.33%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 110, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 100, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.

Result: wOBA .272 → .214; ISO .059 → .046; BABIP .317 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKFCL Tigers · 16 PAwOBA .457 → .314 (−143)K% 31.2% → 45.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.25%÷0.991×1.440——45.39%
BB% (unintentional) /PA0.00%÷1.040×0.620—×0.9950.00%
HBP% /PA12.50%—×0.720—×0.9958.95%
Singles /BIP12.50%÷0.993×0.820—×0.99510.27%
Doubles /BIP50.00%÷0.981×0.720—×0.99536.52%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.947×0.720—×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.952×0.780—×0.9950.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 99, 2B 96, 3B 89, K 98, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .457 → .314; ISO .308 → .205; BABIP .625 → .468. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKFCL Tigers · 41 PAwOBA .344 → .249 (−95)K% 22.0% → 32.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.95%÷0.972×1.440——32.52%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.63%÷0.987×0.620—×1.0089.26%
HBP% /PA4.88%—×0.720—×1.0083.54%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷0.987×0.820—×1.00820.92%
Doubles /BIP4.17%÷1.014×0.720—×1.0082.98%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP4.17%÷0.924×0.780—×1.0083.54%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 97, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 94, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .344 → .249; ISO .121 → .092; BABIP .304 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).