Will Verdung
3B Columbus Clingstones| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | AATL | 437 | .215/.346/.276 | 2 | 17 | 50 | — | .188/.286/.238 |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ATL | 339 | .279/.380/.328 | 0 | 6 | 42 | — | .203/.272/.239 |
| 2026 | 23 | AA/A+/ROKATL | 331 | .249/.353/.359 | 5 | 9 | 67 | — | .223/.295/.326 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 24 | MLBATL | 4 | .213/.284/.282 | 0 | 0 | 63 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ31% MLB | 25 | MLBATL | 73 | .217/.289/.300 | 1 | 1 | 68 | -0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ45% MLB | 26 | MLBATL | 127 | .219/.291/.311 | 2 | 2 | 72 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 20
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 20 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 109 | 97 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 30 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 237 | 308 | 247 | 556 | 10 | 333 | 28 | 8 | 259 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | FCL Braves | — | 34 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 250 | 382 | 464 | 847 | 214 | 286 | 18 | 15 | 379 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 437 | 362 | 78 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 64 | 90 | 8 | 17 | 5 | 215 | 346 | 276 | 622 | 61 | 278 | 21 | 15 | 296 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Rome Emperors | — | 339 | 287 | 80 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 44 | 57 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 279 | 380 | 328 | 708 | 49 | 340 | 17 | 13 | 326 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AA | Columbus Clingstones | — | 184 | 162 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 39 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 204 | 291 | 290 | 581 | 86 | 254 | 21 | 10 | 267 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Rome Emperors | — | 124 | 103 | 33 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 320 | 426 | 447 | 873 | 126 | 369 | 15 | 14 | 388 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | ROK | FCL Braves | — | 23 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 250 | 455 | 500 | 955 | 250 | 231 | 13 | 22 | 409 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 20 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 109 | 99 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 41 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 202 | 262 | 212 | 474 | 10 | 319 | 38 | 6 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Braves | — | 34 | 30 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 167 | 265 | 333 | 598 | 167 | 234 | 24 | 9 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 437 | 382 | 72 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 44 | 121 | 8 | 17 | 5 | 188 | 286 | 238 | 524 | 50 | 263 | 28 | 10 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | Rome Emperors | — | 339 | 305 | 62 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 76 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 203 | 272 | 239 | 512 | 36 | 256 | 22 | 8 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AA MLE | Columbus Clingstones | — | 184 | 168 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 48 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 190 | 253 | 274 | 527 | 83 | 241 | 26 | 7 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | Rome Emperors | — | 124 | 110 | 30 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 273 | 344 | 382 | 726 | 109 | 323 | 20 | 8 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | ROK MLE | FCL Braves | — | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 364 | 444 | 808 | 222 | 174 | 17 | 13 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 143 | 129 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 50 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 202 | 270 | 248 | 518 | 47 | 312 | 35 | 7 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 143 | 125 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 36 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 240 | 326 | 296 | 622 | 56 | 322 | 25 | 10 | 287 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 437 | 382 | 72 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 44 | 121 | 8 | 17 | 5 | 188 | 286 | 238 | 524 | 50 | 267 | 28 | 10 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A RAW | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 437 | 362 | 78 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 64 | 90 | 8 | 17 | 5 | 215 | 346 | 276 | 622 | 61 | 278 | 21 | 15 | 296 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | Rome Emperors | — | 339 | 305 | 62 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 76 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 203 | 272 | 239 | 512 | 36 | 265 | 22 | 8 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ RAW | Rome Emperors | — | 339 | 287 | 80 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 44 | 57 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 279 | 380 | 328 | 708 | 49 | 340 | 17 | 13 | 326 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 331 | 296 | 65 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 77 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 220 | 291 | 311 | 602 | 91 | 279 | 23 | 8 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 331 | 281 | 70 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 41 | 61 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 249 | 353 | 359 | 712 | 110 | 297 | 18 | 12 | 322 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 143 | 130 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 50 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 200 | 270 | 246 | 516 | 46 | 299 | 35 | 7 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 437 | 382 | 72 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 44 | 121 | 8 | 17 | 5 | 188 | 286 | 238 | 524 | 50 | 263 | 28 | 10 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | Rome Emperors | — | 339 | 307 | 62 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 76 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 202 | 272 | 238 | 510 | 36 | 256 | 22 | 8 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 331 | 298 | 65 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 77 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 218 | 291 | 309 | 600 | 91 | 267 | 23 | 8 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 437 | 382 | 72 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 44 | 121 | 8 | 17 | 5 | 188 | 286 | 238 | 524 | 50 | 263 | 28 | 10 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | Rome Emperors | — | 339 | 307 | 62 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 76 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 202 | 272 | 238 | 510 | 36 | 256 | 22 | 8 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 331 | 298 | 65 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 77 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 218 | 291 | 309 | 600 | 91 | 267 | 23 | 8 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB MLE | ATL | 2% | 380 | 343 | 73 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 91 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 213 | 284 | 282 | 566 | 70 | 278 | 24 | 8 | 261 | 63 | -17 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +8 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB CTX | ATL | 2% | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 213 | 284 | 282 | 566 | 70 | 278 | 25 | 0 | 261 | 63 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | ATL | 31% | 235 | 212 | 47 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 56 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 217 | 289 | 300 | 588 | 83 | 280 | 24 | 8 | 269 | 68 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +5 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB MLE | ATL | 45% | 285 | 257 | 56 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 68 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 219 | 291 | 311 | 602 | 91 | 280 | 24 | 8 | 274 | 72 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +6 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB MLE | ATL | 49% | 309 | 277 | 60 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 74 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 220 | 292 | 313 | 605 | 93 | 280 | 24 | 8 | 275 | 73 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +7 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB MLE | ATL | 52% | 319 | 287 | 62 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 77 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 219 | 291 | 313 | 604 | 94 | 280 | 24 | 8 | 275 | 72 | -11 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +7 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | ATL | 31% | 73 | 66 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 217 | 289 | 300 | 588 | 83 | 280 | 23 | 8 | 269 | 68 | -3 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB CTX | ATL | 45% | 127 | 115 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 30 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 219 | 291 | 311 | 602 | 91 | 280 | 24 | 8 | 274 | 72 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB CTX | ATL | 49% | 152 | 137 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 36 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 220 | 292 | 313 | 605 | 93 | 280 | 24 | 9 | 275 | 73 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB CTX | ATL | 52% | 165 | 149 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 40 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 219 | 291 | 313 | 604 | 94 | 280 | 24 | 8 | 275 | 72 | -5 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +4 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 517 | 467 | 102 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 43 | 123 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 218 | 290 | 310 | 600 | 92 | 279 | 24 | 8 | 274 | 61 | -17 | -0 | -0 | +2 | +11 | -0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 587 | 129 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 54 | 155 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 220 | 291 | 313 | 604 | 94 | 281 | 24 | 8 | 274 | 61 | -22 | -0 | -0 | +2 | +14 | -0.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2602 | 2328 | 488 | 77 | 9 | 24 | 217 | 648 | 30 | 57 | 27 | 210 | 285 | 281 | 567 | 72 | 277 | 25 | 8 | 259 | 61 | -48 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +29 | -1.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 582 | 121 | 19 | 2 | 6 | 54 | 162 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 208 | 283 | 278 | 561 | 70 | 274 | 25 | 8 | 259 | 61 | -23 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +14 | -0.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAColumbus Clingstones · 184 PAwOBA .262 → .227 (−35)K% 21.2% → 25.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.20% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 7.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.54% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 0.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.51% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.011 | ×1.027 | 18.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.011 | ×1.027 | 4.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.81% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | ×1.011 | ×1.027 | 0.74% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.63% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 1.34% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .262 → .227; ISO .086 → .076; BABIP .254 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 A+Rome Emperors · 124 PAwOBA .385 → .318 (−67)K% 15.3% → 20.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.32% | ÷1.000 | ×1.310 | — | — | 20.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 8.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.61% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 1.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.870 | ×1.028 | ×0.998 | 26.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.95% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | ×1.028 | ×0.998 | 4.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.19% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×1.028 | ×0.998 | 1.04% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 2.09% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.
Result: wOBA .385 → .318; ISO .126 → .111; BABIP .369 → .323. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 ROKFCL Braves · 23 PAwOBA .417 → .314 (−103)K% 13.0% → 18.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.04% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 18.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 21.74% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 13.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.35% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 3.02% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.965 | 12.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 5.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 5.79% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .417 → .314; ISO .250 → .213; BABIP .231 → .174. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Rome Emperors · 339 PAwOBA .322 → .231 (−91)K% 16.8% → 22.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.81% | ÷0.983 | ×1.310 | — | — | 22.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.68% | ÷1.020 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.012 | 7.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.88% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.012 | 0.69% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.57% | ÷1.098 | ×0.870 | ×0.958 | ×1.012 | 22.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.35% | ÷1.173 | ×0.780 | ×0.958 | ×1.012 | 2.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.87% | ÷1.075 | ×0.850 | ×0.958 | ×1.012 | 0.67% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.819 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 64, 1B 120, 2B 135, 3B 115, K 97, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.
Result: wOBA .322 → .231; ISO .049 → .034; BABIP .340 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAugusta GreenJackets · 437 PAwOBA .291 → .242 (−49)K% 20.6% → 27.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.59% | ÷1.009 | ×1.360 | — | — | 27.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.42% | ÷0.998 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 10.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.83% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 1.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.06% | ÷0.959 | ×0.920 | ×0.996 | ×1.015 | 21.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷0.983 | ×0.830 | ×0.996 | ×1.015 | 5.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.996 | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.74% | ÷1.010 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 0.59% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 92, 2B 97, 3B 100, K 102, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.
Result: wOBA .291 → .242; ISO .061 → .050; BABIP .278 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAugusta GreenJackets · 109 PAwOBA .257 → .214 (−43)K% 27.5% → 37.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.52% | ÷0.990 | ×1.360 | — | — | 37.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.26% | ÷0.967 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 6.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.92% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.74% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.84% | ÷0.961 | ×0.920 | ×0.983 | ×1.030 | 31.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.49% | ÷1.063 | ×0.830 | ×0.983 | ×1.030 | 1.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×0.983 | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.976 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 92, 2B 113, 3B 80, K 98, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.
Result: wOBA .257 → .214; ISO .010 → .007; BABIP .333 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKFCL Braves · 34 PAwOBA .369 → .282 (−87)K% 17.6% → 24.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.65% | ÷1.020 | ×1.440 | — | — | 24.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.71% | ÷0.958 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 9.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.94% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 2.11% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.64% | ÷0.977 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.995 | 11.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.64% | ÷0.882 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 11.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.928 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.55% | ÷0.893 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 3.95% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 95, 2B 76, 3B 86, K 104, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .369 → .282; ISO .214 → .177; BABIP .286 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).