David BecklesLF
FCL Blue Jays
Age 22
R/R
6'3" / 215 lbs
ROK
HR +12%BB +4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 0.5 · 2030
wRC+†75
AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .283 / .341
PA305
HR7
K%30
BB%8
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
45→45
PWR
40→40
SPD
40→40
EYE
48↘35
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.5peak
2030
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.4 | $2M | +$1.0M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.2 | $1.0M | +$0.0M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.1 | $0.5M | -$0.5M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2037 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $4M | $-4M | -$8M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL NYY Yankees | 209 | 185 | 34 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 86 | 2 | 10 | 2 | .184 | .271 | .249 | .519 | .065 | .316 | 41 | 10 | .234 | 37 | -15 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +6 | -1.0 |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL NYY Bombers | 144 | 118 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 41 | 5 | 4 | 2 | .195 | .331 | .271 | .602 | .076 | .282 | 28 | 13 | .285 | 76 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | DSL Blue Jays | 112 | 99 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .162 | .259 | .222 | .481 | .061 | .190 | 17 | 10 | .224 | 30 | -9 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.7 |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK | 2 teams | 311 | 283 | 54 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 121 | 5 | 2 | 1 | .191 | .261 | .293 | .555 | .102 | .306 | 39 | 7 | .244 | 45 | -19 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +9 | -1.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | MLB | TOR | 305 | 275 | 58 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 91 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .211 | .281 | .335 | .616 | .124 | .289 | 30 | 8 | .283 | 75 | -9 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +9 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB 11% | TOR | 345 | 309 | 68 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 29 | 99 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .220 | .295 | .362 | .658 | .142 | .289 | 29 | 8 | .293 | 82 | -7 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +10 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB 26% | TOR | 416 | 372 | 83 | 16 | 2 | 11 | 36 | 116 | 5 | 6 | 1 | .223 | .300 | .366 | .666 | .142 | .290 | 28 | 9 | .299 | 87 | -6 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +12 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB 43% | TOR | 454 | 406 | 92 | 18 | 2 | 13 | 40 | 125 | 5 | 6 | 1 | .227 | .304 | .377 | .681 | .150 | .291 | 28 | 9 | .304 | 91 | -5 | +1 | +0 | -5 | +13 | 0.4 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB 58% | TOR | 477 | 426 | 97 | 19 | 2 | 14 | 43 | 131 | 5 | 7 | 1 | .228 | .306 | .380 | .686 | .153 | .292 | 27 | 9 | .306 | 92 | -4 | +1 | +0 | -5 | +14 | 0.5 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB 76% | TOR | 486 | 433 | 98 | 19 | 2 | 14 | 44 | 133 | 6 | 6 | 1 | .226 | .306 | .376 | .683 | .150 | .292 | 27 | 9 | .306 | 92 | -4 | +1 | +0 | -5 | +14 | 0.5 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB 84% | TOR | 487 | 434 | 98 | 19 | 2 | 14 | 45 | 135 | 5 | 6 | 1 | .226 | .306 | .376 | .681 | .150 | .291 | 28 | 9 | .305 | 91 | -5 | +1 | -1 | -5 | +14 | 0.4 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB 90% | TOR | 481 | 429 | 95 | 18 | 2 | 13 | 44 | 134 | 5 | 5 | 1 | .221 | .301 | .364 | .665 | .142 | .290 | 28 | 9 | .303 | 90 | -6 | +1 | -1 | -5 | +14 | 0.2 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB | TOR | 473 | 421 | 93 | 18 | 2 | 13 | 44 | 134 | 5 | 5 | 0 | .221 | .302 | .366 | .668 | .145 | .289 | 28 | 9 | .300 | 87 | -7 | +1 | -2 | -5 | +13 | 0.1 |
| 2035 | 31 | MLB | TOR | 460 | 410 | 89 | 17 | 2 | 12 | 42 | 132 | 5 | 4 | 0 | .217 | .298 | .356 | .654 | .139 | .287 | 29 | 9 | .296 | 85 | -8 | +1 | -3 | -5 | +13 | -0.2 |
| 2036 | 32 | MLB | TOR | 442 | 393 | 85 | 16 | 2 | 11 | 41 | 129 | 5 | 3 | 0 | .216 | .298 | .351 | .650 | .135 | .286 | 29 | 9 | .291 | 81 | -10 | +1 | -4 | -5 | +13 | -0.5 |
| 2037 | 33 | MLB | TOR | 413 | 368 | 78 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 38 | 123 | 4 | 3 | 0 | .212 | .293 | .345 | .638 | .133 | .284 | 30 | 9 | .286 | 77 | -11 | +1 | -4 | -4 | +12 | -0.7 |
| 2038 | 34 | MLB | TOR | 368 | 328 | 67 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 113 | 4 | 2 | 0 | .204 | .285 | .323 | .608 | .119 | .282 | 31 | 9 | .279 | 72 | -12 | +0 | -5 | -4 | +10 | -1.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6383 | 5689 | 1228 | 235 | 24 | 160 | 575 | 1862 | 75 | 78 | 13 | .216 | .296 | .350 | .646 | .134 | .289 | 29 | 9 | .291 | 81 | -139 | +10 | -20 | -68 | +181 | -3.6 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 579 | 124 | 24 | 2 | 16 | 59 | 190 | 8 | 8 | 1 | .214 | .296 | .345 | .641 | .131 | .287 | 29 | 9 | .291 | 81 | -14 | +1 | -2 | -7 | +18 | -0.4 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL NYY Yankees | 209 | 174 | 48 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 58 | 2 | 10 | 2 | .276 | .391 | .397 | .788 | .121 | .381 | 28 | 15 | .357 | 132 | +7 | +1 | — | — | +6 | 1.5 |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL NYY Bombers | 144 | 105 | 28 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 28 | 5 | 4 | 2 | .267 | .458 | .400 | .858 | .133 | .338 | 19 | 22 | .394 | 160 | +10 | +0 | — | — | +4 | 1.4 |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | DSL Blue Jays | 112 | 92 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .196 | .339 | .272 | .611 | .076 | .218 | 12 | 16 | .295 | 84 | -2 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2025 | 21 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | 74 | 65 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .215 | .311 | .323 | .634 | .108 | .302 | 28 | 12 | .292 | 82 | -2 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK | FCL Blue Jays | 237 | 207 | 63 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 63 | 5 | 2 | 1 | .304 | .390 | .483 | .873 | .179 | .401 | 27 | 10 | .387 | 154 | +15 | +0 | — | — | +7 | 2.2 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| David Beckles (OGILVIE) | 22 | 45 | 40 | 40 | 35 | .212/.283/.341 | .129 | .289 | 7 | 4 | 30% | 8% | 75 | -0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
●Rainel Rosario 2011 · A |
22 | 42→51 | 45→50 | 46→50 | 44 | .207/.283/.342 | .135 | .296 | 11 | 9 | 32% | 8% | 74 | -0.1 | .210/.267/.310 | .100 | .310 | 8 | 9 | 33% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .253/.308/.402 | .150 | .285 | 19 | 6 | 18% | 7% | 96 | +1.1 |
|
✕Brock Peterson 2006 · A |
22 | 45→52 | 44→55 | 41→40 | 43 | .222/.287/.343 | .122 | .300 | 12 | 4 | 29% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 | .239/.299/.388 | .149 | .310 | 16 | 4 | 27% | 6% | 93 | +1.3 | .240/.300/.399 | .159 | .309 | 18 | 2 | 27% | 6% | 93 | +1.0 |
|
✕Clint Coulter 2015 · A |
22 | 43 | 48→50 | 42→40 | 46 | .217/.297/.357 | .140 | .276 | 15 | 5 | 27% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .209/.276/.336 | .127 | .266 | 13 | 4 | 26% | 6% | 70 | -0.3 | .205/.273/.359 | .153 | .249 | 19 | 4 | 25% | 5% | 71 | -0.1 |
|
●Robbie Tenerowicz 2017 · A |
22 | 44→51 | 43→50 | 38→45 | 38 | .216/.265/.328 | .111 | .296 | 10 | 4 | 30% | 5% | 63 | -0.9 | .227/.280/.338 | .111 | .289 | 10 | 6 | 24% | 6% | 71 | -0.3 | .232/.320/.392 | .161 | .288 | 20 | 2 | 25% | 7% | 102 | +1.2 |
|
✕Zelous Wheeler 2009 · A |
22 | 44→52 | 43→50 | 43→45 | 43 | .219/.274/.329 | .109 | .278 | 10 | 7 | 25% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .233/.304/.346 | .113 | .289 | 10 | 8 | 22% | 8% | 84 | +0.6 | .242/.315/.375 | .133 | .285 | 14 | 7 | 19% | 8% | 93 | +1.0 |
|
●Kody Hinze 2009 · A |
22 | 42→46 | 45→50 | 45→30 | 46 | .213/.281/.336 | .124 | .281 | 13 | 4 | 28% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .208/.278/.341 | .133 | .286 | 15 | 2 | 31% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .216/.290/.370 | .154 | .285 | 20 | 1 | 30% | 9% | 82 | +0.4 |
|
✕Anderson Gomes 2008 · A |
23 | 45→38 | 43→45 | 44→50 | 42 | .224/.271/.336 | .112 | .289 | 11 | 7 | 26% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .215/.267/.329 | .114 | .297 | 11 | 8 | 30% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .160/.218/.266 | .106 | .229 | 13 | 10 | 35% | 6% | 24 | -0.9 |
|
✕Chris Gittens 2016 · A |
22 | 48→45 | 46→55 | 45→30 | 41 | .231/.295/.365 | .134 | .326 | 14 | 5 | 32% | 7% | 85 | +0.7 | .210/.280/.369 | .159 | .308 | 21 | 4 | 37% | 8% | 81 | +0.4 | .210/.302/.377 | .167 | .307 | 24 | 0 | 37% | 11% | 89 | +0.5 |
|
✕Tyler Saladino 2012 · A |
23 | 44→46 | 46→45 | 45→55 | 42 | .217/.280/.356 | .139 | .292 | 13 | 7 | 29% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 | .216/.285/.317 | .101 | .284 | 8 | 20 | 25% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | .253/.299/.369 | .116 | .300 | 11 | 25 | 19% | 5% | 84 | +0.4 |
|
✕Matt Vierling 2019 · A |
22 | 46→55 | 47→50 | 44→50 | 39 | .231/.274/.365 | .134 | .292 | 14 | 9 | 26% | 4% | 76 | +0.1 | .206/.259/.305 | .099 | .275 | 9 | 14 | 27% | 5% | 54 | -1.4 | .252/.313/.388 | .135 | .304 | 13 | 10 | 21% | 7% | 95 | +1.2 |
|
✕Jimmy Herron 2019 · A |
23 | 45 | 44→45 | 42→55 | 46 | .224/.288/.336 | .112 | .272 | 12 | 6 | 22% | 7% | 75 | -0.0 | .194/.268/.288 | .094 | .254 | 8 | 14 | 25% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .218/.294/.351 | .132 | .264 | 15 | 24 | 23% | 8% | 78 | +0.2 |
|
✕Johermyn Chavez 2011 · A |
22 | 44→47 | 49→50 | 43→45 | 37 | .224/.274/.373 | .148 | .302 | 18 | 6 | 31% | 5% | 79 | +0.3 | .209/.271/.345 | .136 | .279 | 16 | 5 | 30% | 6% | 70 | -0.3 | .187/.257/.303 | .117 | .249 | 14 | 4 | 30% | 6% | 52 | -0.9 |
|
✕Dustin Geiger 2014 · A |
22 | 44→47 | 47→50 | 40 | 41 | .223/.276/.360 | .137 | .284 | 15 | 4 | 27% | 6% | 76 | +0.0 | .208/.267/.335 | .127 | .283 | 14 | 5 | 30% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .176/.239/.297 | .121 | .252 | 14 | 2 | 35% | 7% | 41 | -1.3 |
|
●Jonathan Rodríguez 2013 · A |
23 | 41→51 | 49→50 | 40→50 | 44 | .211/.287/.363 | .152 | .286 | 17 | 5 | 32% | 8% | 82 | +0.5 | .224/.290/.358 | .134 | .302 | 14 | 10 | 29% | 8% | 82 | +0.5 | .225/.301/.376 | .151 | .309 | 19 | 3 | 32% | 9% | 88 | +0.7 |
|
✕Torin Montgomery 2023 · A |
22 | 47 | 45→40 | 48→45 | 38 | .220/.283/.342 | .122 | .338 | 12 | 6 | 37% | 6% | 74 | -0.1 | .226/.311/.324 | .098 | .344 | 8 | 5 | 33% | 9% | 82 | +0.5 | .220/.314/.307 | .086 | .343 | 7 | 3 | 34% | 10% | 75 | +0.0 |
|
✕Cory Vaughn 2012 · A |
23 | 43→40 | 44→45 | 44→50 | 42 | .211/.283/.325 | .114 | .290 | 12 | 7 | 30% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .201/.277/.328 | .127 | .279 | 14 | 13 | 31% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .187/.266/.311 | .124 | .260 | 14 | 16 | 32% | 8% | 57 | -0.9 |
|
●Koby Clemens 2009 · A |
22 | 41→51 | 43→55 | 43→45 | 43 | .205/.268/.319 | .114 | .278 | 11 | 4 | 29% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .221/.289/.389 | .168 | .303 | 19 | 5 | 32% | 8% | 89 | +1.0 | .210/.283/.393 | .182 | .285 | 22 | 5 | 33% | 8% | 86 | +0.7 |
|
✕Deibinson Romero 2009 · A |
22 | 46 | 43→50 | 46→40 | 41 | .227/.280/.341 | .113 | .296 | 11 | 7 | 26% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .204/.270/.299 | .095 | .282 | 8 | 3 | 29% | 7% | 57 | -1.2 | .226/.295/.367 | .141 | .272 | 17 | 2 | 23% | 8% | 84 | +0.5 |
|
✕Samuel Hiciano 2016 · A |
22 | 41 | 45 | 43→50 | 37 | .210/.250/.333 | .124 | .282 | 13 | 8 | 30% | 5% | 57 | -1.2 | .210/.267/.337 | .127 | .300 | 12 | 7 | 32% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .163/.236/.314 | .152 | .231 | 11 | 0 | 33% | 8% | 43 | -0.4 |
|
✕Matthew Whitney 2006 · A |
22 | 41→49 | 41→50 | 40→30 | 43 | .205/.264/.296 | .090 | .268 | 10 | 4 | 27% | 6% | 54 | -1.4 | .203/.258/.332 | .129 | .290 | 16 | 2 | 34% | 6% | 61 | -1.0 | .237/.296/.387 | .150 | .296 | 18 | 1 | 25% | 7% | 89 | +0.8 |