David Beckles — OGILVIE

David BecklesLF Dunedin Blue Jays

Age 23 R/R 6'3" / 215 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 130 proj PA

wRC+†47

AVG/OBP/SLG.175 / .247 / .267

PA130

HR2

K%30

BB%8

ISO92

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	18	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	209	174	48	6	0	5	31	58	2	10	2	276	391	397	788	121	381	28	15	357	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	DSL NYY Bombers	—	144	105	28	8	0	2	32	28	5	4	2	267	458	400	858	133	338	19	22	394	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	112	92	18	4	0	1	18	13	2	0	0	196	339	272	611	76	218	12	16	295	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	74	65	14	4	0	1	9	21	0	0	0	215	311	323	634	108	302	28	12	292	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	237	207	63	11	1	8	24	63	5	2	1	304	390	483	873	179	401	27	10	387	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	100	81	17	3	0	1	16	30	2	0	0	210	354	284	637	74	314	30	16	303	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	209	183	31	3	0	2	22	72	2	10	2	169	266	219	484	49	255	34	11	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	144	115	20	5	0	1	22	34	5	4	2	174	331	243	574	70	224	24	15	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	—	112	98	14	3	0	1	12	16	2	0	0	143	250	204	454	61	154	14	11	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	74	68	11	3	0	1	6	30	0	0	0	162	230	250	480	88	269	41	8	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	237	216	44	7	1	5	15	91	5	2	1	204	271	315	586	111	311	38	6	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	100	86	14	2	0	1	11	41	2	0	0	163	273	221	494	58	296	41	11	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	209	183	31	3	0	2	22	72	2	10	2	169	266	219	484	49	261	34	11	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Yankees	—	209	174	48	6	0	5	31	58	2	10	2	276	391	397	788	121	381	28	15	357	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	144	115	20	5	0	1	22	34	5	4	2	174	331	243	574	70	232	24	15	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Bombers	—	144	105	28	8	0	2	32	28	5	4	2	267	458	400	858	133	338	19	22	394	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	—	112	98	14	3	0	1	12	16	2	0	0	143	250	204	454	61	160	14	11	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays	—	112	92	18	4	0	1	18	13	2	0	0	196	339	272	611	76	218	12	16	295	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	311	284	55	10	1	6	21	120	5	2	1	194	261	299	561	106	308	39	7	243	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	311	272	77	15	1	9	33	84	5	2	1	283	371	445	816	162	378	27	11	365	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	100	86	14	2	0	1	11	41	2	0	0	163	273	221	494	58	289	41	11	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A RAW	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	100	81	17	3	0	1	16	30	2	0	0	210	354	284	637	74	314	30	16	303	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	209	183	31	3	0	2	22	72	2	10	2	169	266	219	484	49	255	34	11	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	144	116	20	5	0	1	22	34	5	4	2	172	331	241	572	69	224	24	15	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	—	112	97	14	3	0	1	12	16	2	0	0	144	250	206	456	62	154	14	11	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	311	282	55	10	1	6	21	120	5	2	1	195	261	301	563	106	301	39	7	243	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	100	87	14	2	0	1	11	41	2	0	0	161	273	218	491	57	296	41	11	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	—	112	97	14	3	0	1	12	16	2	0	0	144	250	206	456	62	154	14	11	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	311	282	55	10	1	6	21	120	5	2	1	195	261	301	563	106	301	39	7	243	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	100	87	14	2	0	1	11	41	2	0	0	161	273	218	491	57	296	41	11	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	TOR	0%	264	239	42	8	1	4	20	79	3	3	1	177	249	269	519	92	242	30	8	238	47	-17	+0	+0	-3	+6	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	TOR	30%	193	174	32	6	1	3	15	57	2	3	1	182	255	282	536	99	246	30	8	245	52	-11	+0	+0	-2	+4	-0.9
2028	24	MLB CTX	TOR	30%	58	53	10	2	0	1	4	17	1	1	0	183	255	283	538	100	247	29	7	246	52	-3	+0	+0	-1	+1	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	58	53	10	2	0	1	4	17	1	1	0	189	259	283	542	94	257	29	7	246	47	-3	+0	+0	-1	+1	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	594	111	22	0	11	45	191	11	11	0	187	257	279	536	93	255	29	7	246	47	-37	+2	+0	-7	+14	-2.8
Career	—	MLE		—	1199	1058	187	33	3	16	113	379	19	21	7	177	268	259	527	82	255	32	9	238	47	-19	+0	+0	-3	+7	-1.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	102	18	2	9	61	205	10	11	4	178	268	263	531	85	255	32	9	238	47	-38	+0	+0	-7	+14	-3.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
David Beckles (OGILVIE)	23	45	40	40	35	175/247/267	92	242	2	2	30%	8%	47	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Eddy Martinez 2018 · A	23	42	43→45	42→45	41	212/258/317	105	269	12	6	26%	5%	61	-1.5	201/247/312	111	253	12	6	25%	6%	57	-1.8	182/229/295	112	224	12	4	25%	5%	42	-1.5
✕Rayder Ascanio 2019 · A	23	42→48	40	40→45	44	207/261/295	88	262	8	7	24%	6%	57	-1.8	215/266/310	95	274	9	6	24%	6%	63	-1.4	209/260/302	93	264	10	4	24%	6%	56	-0.9
✕Darlin Moquete 2023 · A	23	41	44→45	42→55	38	206/256/312	106	289	13	7	32%	6%	60	-1.6	200/252/316	116	263	14	15	29%	6%	59	-1.6	192/247/304	112	248	14	20	28%	6%	52	-1.1
✕James Nelson 2021 · A	23	40→50	38→40	45→50	39	194/240/267	73	266	6	6	29%	5%	42	-2.9	197/262/280	83	316	7	19	37%	7%	55	-1.9	193/254/276	83	304	9	26	37%	6%	48	-0.9
✕Yasiel Balaguert 2016 · A	23	42→43	41→45	45→40	38	209/243/304	96	271	9	3	26%	4%	52	-2.2	209/244/319	110	272	12	3	27%	4%	57	-1.8	205/240/314	110	261	12	2	26%	4%	52	-1.9
✕Narbe Cruz 2024 · A	23	43	39→45	43→45	41	208/258/293	85	275	7	6	26%	5%	56	-1.9	214/267/313	99	310	9	7	32%	5%	64	-1.3	203/259/304	101	306	11	8	36%	5%	55	-1.1
✕Luis Verdugo 2024 · AA	23	41→48	41→40	44→45	43	202/256/299	97	264	8	6	26%	6%	57	-1.8	204/257/286	82	274	7	5	27%	6%	54	-2.0	198/255/272	74	269	7	4	28%	7%	48	-1.5
✕L.J. Jones 2022 · A	23	42→43	42→45	46→30	39	207/252/313	105	271	10	4	27%	5%	58	-1.7	218/264/345	127	272	13	3	24%	5%	70	-0.8	218/265/353	135	265	15	1	23%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Lazaro Benitez 2023 · A	23	41	40	45→40	38	197/255/297	99	282	6	7	31%	5%	56	-1.9	217/262/301	84	295	5	6	27%	5%	59	-1.7	231/264/293	62	303	2	0	23%	3%	57	-0.6
✕Robert Pehl 2016 · A	23	44	39→40	43→40	42	213/271/295	82	280	7	5	26%	6%	61	-1.5	214/280/299	85	303	5	5	29%	7%	66	-1.1	210/282/295	84	305	2	3	29%	7%	63	-0.7
✕Joe Leonard 2012 · A	23	44→47	42→40	42→40	40	214/255/318	104	282	9	3	27%	5%	60	-1.6	217/261/308	91	284	6	4	25%	5%	59	-1.6	216/259/298	82	282	5	3	24%	5%	54	-1.3
✕Jacob Gonzalez 2021 · A	23	41→50	41→40	45→40	41	204/254/297	94	257	9	4	24%	5%	55	-1.9	213/264/313	100	261	11	3	22%	5%	63	-1.4	211/261/303	93	254	11	1	21%	4%	59	-1.0
✕Ricky Eusebio 2017 · A	23	42→40	38→40	45	42	203/260/283	80	269	6	8	26%	6%	55	-2.0	205/259/318	113	287	10	6	31%	6%	62	-1.4	157/208/317	159	213	17	0	35%	5%	40	-0.7
✕Wilmer Reyes 2021 · A	23	44	40	45→50	40	213/259/309	95	279	7	7	26%	5%	59	-1.6	211/258/303	92	293	9	8	30%	5%	58	-1.7	146/178/210	64	213	7	11	35%	3%	3	-1.7
✕Jason Morozowski 2017 · A	23	42→43	41→40	48→45	42	205/263/305	100	287	8	8	30%	7%	60	-1.6	206/257/301	95	301	8	7	32%	6%	57	-1.8	202/252/294	93	293	8	6	32%	6%	51	-1.8
✕Stephen King 2011 · A	23	42→50	40	43→45	39	202/262/293	92	296	8	9	33%	6%	57	-1.8	194/244/280	86	307	6	6	37%	5%	47	-2.5	185/229/264	79	295	5	4	37%	4%	35	-2.1
✕Michael Mosby 2013 · A	23	38	40→45	40	39	186/244/282	95	270	7	5	33%	6%	49	-2.4	206/270/305	99	324	9	7	36%	7%	63	-1.3	190/267/281	92	317	11	5	40%	7%	55	-0.5
✕Bubba Hollins 2019 · A	23	38	39→30	44→45	43	187/256/267	80	242	7	6	25%	6%	50	-2.3	206/264/286	80	268	5	4	24%	6%	57	-1.8	199/260/270	71	265	4	3	25%	5%	49	-1.1
✕Mark Threlkeld 2013 · A	23	39	45	42→40	36	200/240/330	129	268	12	4	30%	4%	57	-1.8	201/249/306	105	277	10	3	30%	6%	55	-1.9	192/242/287	94	265	9	2	30%	6%	46	-1.5
✕David Herbek 2012 · A	23	40	40	39→45	39	197/258/291	94	272	7	3	29%	5%	56	-1.9	203/266/288	85	275	6	6	27%	6%	58	-1.7	196/263/274	78	262	6	7	26%	7%	52	-1.0