Justino Francisco

P DSL Pirates Black

Age 20 RHP 6'2" / 178 lbs ROK peak 0.2 · 2028

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	18	ROKDSL Pirates B…	3	2	4	0.00	3.65	11.1%	11.1%	—	K 11.1% · BB 11.1% · FIP 3.57
2026	19	ROKDSL Pirates B…	11	10	24	2.96	2.77	22.7%	12.4%	—	K 15.4% · BB 15.5% · FIP 3.76
2027PROJ	20	MLBPIT	3	3	14	4.99	4.99	21.2%	13.4%	-0.0
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLBPIT	2	2	11	4.81	4.73	21.8%	12.0%	0.0

Next 2 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsJharold Clemente (age 20) · Grayson Long (age 21) · Carson Fulmer (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128120vR 112

ERA4.99

FIP4.99

K%21.2%

BB%13.4%

K-BB%7.8%

Proj IP14

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	3	2	4	18	2	2	0	67%	1.2	11.1%	11.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	3.57	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	3	2	4	18	2	2	0	67%	1.2	11.1%	11.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	3.57	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Black	3	2	4	18	2	2	0	67%	1.2	11.1%	11.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	3.65	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	11	10	24	97	22	12	0	91%	2.2	15.4%	15.5%	-0.0%	0.0%	2.96	3.76	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	11	10	24	97	22	12	0	91%	2.2	15.4%	15.5%	-0.0%	0.0%	2.96	3.76	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Black	11	10	24	97	22	12	0	91%	2.2	22.7%	12.4%	10.3%	0.0%	2.96	2.77	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	PIT	3	3	14	59	13	8	2	100%	4.7	21.2%	13.4%	7.8%	2.9%	4.99	4.99	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	PIT	4	4	23	97	21	12	3	100%	5.8	21.8%	12.0%	9.8%	2.9%	4.81	4.73	+0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	PIT	2	2	11	46	10	6	1	100%	5.5	21.8%	12.0%	9.8%	2.9%	4.81	4.73	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		2	2	11	48	10	6	1	100%	5.7	21.8%	12.0%	9.8%	2.9%	4.81	4.35	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		41	41	200	844	177	106	18	100%	4.8	21.8%	12.0%	9.8%	2.9%	4.81	4.35	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		14	12	28	115	17	17	0	86%	2.0	14.7%	14.8%	-0.0%	0.0%	2.57	3.73	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		100	86	200	821	121	121	0	86%	2.0	14.7%	14.8%	-0.0%	0.0%	2.57	3.73	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Justino Francisco (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.99	21.2%	13.4%	2.9%	—	4.73	21.8%	9.8%	23	-0.26	—	—	—
Jharold Clemente R 2023 · 4.97 FIP	20	SP	4.97	17.5%	13.6%	3.0%	.258	5.11	13.3%	4.3%	92	+0.14	4.09	116	82
Grayson Long R 2015 · 4.38 FIP	21	SP	4.38	17.6%	14.7%	1.7%	.346	3.91	19.0%	9.9%	192	-0.47	3.46	211	81
Carson Fulmer R 2015 · 4.15 FIP	21	SP	4.15	21.4%	11.5%	2.5%	.259	4.96	17.1%	4.0%	364	+0.81	3.88	910	80
Tahnaj Thomas R 2018 · 5.06 FIP	19	SP-	5.06	23.0%	15.6%	3.5%	.268	6.04	17.0%	2.7%	61	+0.98	3.81	214	79
Jared Ruxer R 2015 · 4.16 FIP	23	SP-	4.16	17.3%	10.6%	2.1%	.333	4.29	14.9%	7.5%	240	+0.13	3.39	270	78
Jonathan Stiever R 2018 · 4.39 FIP	21	SP	4.39	22.9%	9.7%	3.6%	.308	4.25	20.7%	14.2%	219	-0.14	4.23	247	78
Moises Castillo R 2024 · 4.58 FIP	19	SP-	4.58	18.1%	11.7%	2.8%	.269	4.06	19.4%	4.9%	67	-0.52	3.76	104	77
Logan Boyer R 2021 · 5.60 FIP	23	SP	5.60	17.0%	12.7%	4.2%	.306	3.71	25.0%	12.7%	27	-1.89	3.71	121	77
Rayner Urbaez R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	20	SP	3.88	23.6%	11.4%	2.4%	.337	3.35	15.0%	3.0%	27	-0.53	2.55	103	76
Gio Arriera R 2017 · 5.41 FIP	19	SP	5.41	15.1%	13.9%	3.3%	.333	4.34	15.5%	2.0%	79	-1.07	4.34	185	76
Landon Sims R 2023 · 6.04 FIP	22	SP	6.04	19.3%	12.9%	5.3%	.302	4.01	19.9%	7.6%	169	-2.03	3.35	185	76
Eddy Peralta R 2023 · 4.65 FIP	20	SP-	4.65	22.0%	19.8%	1.6%	.342	3.96	21.0%	1.7%	86	-0.69	3.73	117	76
Deyvis Julian R 2016 · 4.54 FIP	20	SP	4.54	15.2%	10.5%	2.5%	.241	4.74	11.2%	-3.5%	48	+0.20	3.44	116	76
Zach Haake R 2018 · 4.13 FIP	21	SP	4.13	16.4%	8.6%	2.4%	.205	4.54	20.2%	6.8%	121	+0.41	3.44	272	76
Dane Acker R 2022 · 5.60 FIP	23	SP	5.60	19.3%	15.2%	4.0%	.284	4.39	20.2%	8.6%	215	-1.21	4.29	257	76
Jeff Criswell R 2021 · 4.14 FIP	22	SP	4.14	18.5%	9.2%	2.6%	.242	5.24	21.9%	11.8%	306	+1.10	4.14	352	75
Pedro Reyes R 2023 · 4.17 FIP	20	SP-	4.17	18.0%	9.2%	2.6%	.159	4.92	11.0%	0.5%	90	+0.75	2.87	180	75
Chad Donato R 2017 · 3.85 FIP	22	SP-	3.85	20.9%	11.4%	2.0%	.333	3.99	21.4%	12.6%	184	+0.14	2.89	439	75
Alexander Almonte R 2024 · 5.69 FIP	17	SP	5.69	16.2%	13.8%	4.0%	.250	4.82	12.6%	-2.8%	75	-0.87	4.27	100	75
Victor Mederos R 2022 · 4.69 FIP	21	SP	4.69	15.6%	14.0%	2.1%	.286	5.19	16.4%	5.7%	301	+0.50	3.73	394	75