Francis Aquino

P DSL Arizona Black

Age 20 RHP 6'2" / 195 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2028

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	18	ROKDSL Arizona B…	5	0	6	11.12	8.04	27.3%	33.3%	—	K 27.3% · BB 33.3% · FIP 6.68
2026	19	ROKDSL Arizona B…	11	10	38	5.45	3.28	21.4%	15.6%	—	K 14.5% · BB 19.5% · FIP 4.34
2027PROJ	20	MLBARI	5	5	23	5.57	5.57	19.8%	17.3%	-0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLBARI	4	4	18	5.27	5.16	20.7%	14.8%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsWilian Bormie (age 22) · Junior Mieses (age 19) · Chris Viall (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 139131vR 123

ERA5.57

FIP5.57

K%19.8%

BB%17.3%

K-BB%2.5%

Proj IP23

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 23 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	5	0	6	33	9	11	1	0%	1.1	27.3%	33.3%	-6.1%	3.0%	11.12	6.68	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	5	0	6	33	9	11	1	0%	1.1	27.3%	33.3%	-6.1%	3.0%	11.12	6.68	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Black	5	0	6	33	9	11	1	0%	1.1	27.3%	33.3%	-6.1%	3.0%	11.12	8.04	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	11	10	38	173	37	27	0	91%	3.5	14.5%	19.5%	-5.0%	0.0%	5.45	4.34	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	11	10	38	173	37	27	0	91%	3.5	14.5%	19.5%	-5.0%	0.0%	5.45	4.34	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Black	11	10	38	173	37	27	0	91%	3.5	21.4%	15.6%	5.8%	0.0%	5.45	3.28	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	ARI	5	5	23	97	19	17	3	100%	4.6	19.8%	17.3%	2.5%	2.9%	5.57	5.57	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	ARI	7	7	36	152	31	22	4	100%	5.1	20.7%	14.8%	5.9%	2.8%	5.27	5.16	-0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	ARI	4	4	18	76	16	11	2	100%	4.5	20.7%	14.8%	5.9%	2.8%	5.27	5.16	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		4	4	18	75	15	11	2	100%	4.4	20.7%	14.8%	5.9%	2.8%	5.27	4.78	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		41	41	200	844	170	125	23	100%	4.8	20.7%	14.8%	5.9%	2.8%	5.27	4.78	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		16	10	44	206	34	45	1	62%	2.7	16.6%	21.7%	-5.1%	0.5%	6.18	4.72	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		73	46	200	944	156	205	5	62%	2.7	16.6%	21.7%	-5.1%	0.5%	6.18	4.72	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Francis Aquino (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.57	19.8%	17.3%	2.9%	—	5.16	20.7%	5.9%	36	-0.41	—	—	—
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.13	23.2%	9.3%	203	-1.71	3.51	226	86
Junior Mieses R 2019 · 4.87 FIP	19	SP-	4.87	19.9%	19.2%	1.9%	.296	6.10	18.9%	-1.2%	134	+1.23	4.87	236	86
Chris Viall R 2016 · 5.86 FIP	20	SP-	5.86	18.9%	21.9%	2.9%	.314	5.06	21.3%	5.8%	88	-0.80	4.89	108	85
Marco Jimenez R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	22	SP-	5.27	19.6%	17.7%	2.9%	.372	3.89	18.3%	6.7%	148	-1.38	3.36	183	85
Eddy Peralta R 2023 · 4.65 FIP	20	SP-	4.65	22.0%	19.8%	1.6%	.342	3.96	21.0%	1.7%	86	-0.69	3.73	117	84
Ismael Agreda R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	20	SP-	5.28	17.1%	18.5%	2.3%	.269	4.71	21.1%	6.1%	178	-0.57	3.35	272	84
Jefferson Jean R 2024 · 6.45 FIP	19	SP-	6.45	18.3%	21.5%	4.0%	.311	4.79	16.9%	-0.3%	87	-1.66	4.79	132	84
Eriq Swan R 2024 · 4.85 FIP	22	SP-	4.85	19.7%	17.3%	2.2%	.371	5.28	19.7%	0.9%	109	+0.43	4.85	132	82
Kyle Larsen R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	15.8%	17.9%	2.8%	.274	4.95	19.9%	6.2%	83	-0.59	4.83	143	82
Jharold Clemente R 2023 · 4.97 FIP	20	SP	4.97	17.5%	13.6%	3.0%	.258	5.11	13.3%	4.3%	92	+0.14	4.09	116	82
Bryan Polanco R 2022 · 5.18 FIP	20	SP-	5.18	18.2%	14.3%	3.3%	.248	5.58	13.0%	1.2%	243	+0.40	5.18	374	82
Jackson Fristoe R 2023 · 6.07 FIP	22	SP-	6.07	17.0%	24.2%	2.5%	.258	6.12	15.3%	-2.9%	112	+0.05	4.81	139	81
Reibyn Corona R 2021 · 5.02 FIP	19	SP-	5.02	17.0%	13.1%	3.1%	.290	5.53	14.5%	1.7%	63	+0.51	4.48	190	81
Deivy Mendez R 2015 · 4.43 FIP	19	SP-	4.43	20.3%	20.5%	0.8%	.308	4.98	22.9%	3.4%	81	+0.55	2.84	130	81
Jordany Chirinos R 2024 · 4.89 FIP	18	SP-	4.89	16.2%	18.6%	1.4%	.312	5.29	12.2%	-5.4%	46	+0.40	3.40	126	81
Yeury Tatiz R 2021 · 5.54 FIP	20	SP-	5.54	17.4%	15.6%	3.5%	.295	5.10	13.0%	-1.0%	100	-0.44	3.73	221	80
Keegan Zinn R 2024 · 6.40 FIP	19	SP-	6.40	19.1%	19.5%	4.4%	.318	5.80	19.0%	-1.9%	112	-0.60	4.88	145	80
Luis Hernandez R 2022 · 4.94 FIP	21	SP	4.94	16.7%	14.0%	2.7%	.311	5.62	21.4%	4.1%	64	+0.68	4.09	109	80
Danny Flatt R 2024 · 6.12 FIP	20	SP-	6.12	14.5%	15.7%	4.1%	.304	5.81	13.0%	-1.9%	76	-0.31	5.37	122	80
Samuel Colmenares R 2024 · 6.21 FIP	19	SP-	6.21	17.3%	21.0%	3.5%	.292	3.85	15.8%	8.0%	31	-2.36	3.85	123	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	29	20.3%	15.8%	1.10	5.39
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*