Andruw Zambrano

C DSL Red Sox Red

Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 186 lbs ROK HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1558ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	ROKDSL Red Sox B…	99	.247/.408/.403	1	0	56	—	.171/.306/.268
2026	20	ROKDSL Red Sox R…	48	.083/.298/.222	1	0	-1	—	.051/.213/.103
2027PROJMLE	21	MLBBOS	158	.202/.286/.292	1	1	66	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBBOS	30	.211/.294/.310	0	0	70	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBBOS	80	.215/.298/.321	1	1	74	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

BB%84

Chase%73

ISO61

Whiff%19

Speed8

wOBA7

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsCarlos Rodriguez (age 21) · Jhostynxon Garcia (age 21) · Tucker Mitchell (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 33 proj PA

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .284 / .289

PA33

HR0

K%29

BB%9

ISO90

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$8M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$1M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	19	ROK	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	99	77	19	5	2	1	17	19	4	0	0	247	408	403	811	156	310	19	17	369	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	48	36	3	0	1	1	10	17	1	0	0	83	298	222	520	139	105	35	21	257	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	99	82	14	3	1	1	12	23	4	0	0	171	306	268	574	98	207	23	12	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	48	39	2	0	1	0	7	21	1	0	0	51	213	103	315	51	65	44	15	166	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	99	82	14	3	1	1	12	23	4	0	0	171	306	268	574	98	220	23	12	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	99	77	19	5	2	1	17	19	4	0	0	247	408	403	811	156	310	19	17	369	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	48	39	2	0	1	0	7	21	1	0	0	51	213	103	315	51	105	44	15	166	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Red	—	48	36	3	0	1	1	10	17	1	0	0	83	298	222	520	139	105	35	21	257	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	99	83	14	3	1	1	12	23	4	0	0	169	306	265	571	96	207	23	12	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	48	40	2	0	1	0	7	21	1	0	0	50	213	100	313	50	65	44	15	166	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	99	83	14	3	1	1	12	23	4	0	0	169	306	265	571	96	207	23	12	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	48	40	2	0	1	0	7	21	1	0	0	50	213	100	313	50	65	44	15	166	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	BOS	0%	158	141	28	5	2	1	14	46	2	1	1	202	286	292	578	90	288	29	9	266	66	-6	-0	+0	+3	+3	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	BOS	34%	86	77	16	3	1	1	8	25	1	1	0	206	290	304	594	98	289	29	9	272	70	-3	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
2029	23	MLB MLE	BOS	48%	166	148	31	5	2	2	15	47	2	1	1	210	293	315	607	105	290	28	9	277	74	-5	-0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2030	24	MLB MLE	BOS	53%	248	221	47	8	3	4	22	70	3	2	1	213	296	324	619	111	291	28	9	282	77	-7	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2031	25	MLB MLE	BOS	55%	316	281	60	11	3	5	28	88	4	3	1	215	297	331	629	116	292	28	9	285	79	-8	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.5
2032	26	MLB MLE	BOS	56%	359	319	69	12	4	6	32	99	5	3	1	217	299	337	636	120	291	28	9	288	81	-8	+0	+0	+6	+8	0.6
2033	27	MLB MLE	BOS	55%	380	338	73	13	4	6	34	105	5	2	1	216	298	334	632	118	291	28	9	286	80	-9	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.6
2034	28	MLB MLE	BOS	55%	386	343	73	13	4	6	35	108	5	1	1	214	296	330	625	115	290	28	9	284	78	-10	-0	-1	+7	+8	0.4
2035	29	MLB MLE	BOS	53%	382	340	73	13	4	6	34	108	5	0	1	212	293	323	616	112	288	28	9	280	76	-11	-0	-1	+7	+8	0.2
2036	30	MLB MLE	BOS	53%	375	334	69	12	4	5	33	107	5	0	1	208	289	315	604	107	286	29	9	275	72	-12	-0	-2	+7	+8	0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	BOS	34%	30	27	5	1	0	0	3	9	0	0	0	211	294	310	605	99	297	30	10	276	70	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	23	MLB CTX	BOS	48%	80	72	16	3	1	1	7	23	1	1	0	215	298	321	619	106	298	29	9	282	74	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	BOS	53%	131	116	25	5	1	2	12	37	2	1	0	218	300	330	631	112	300	28	9	286	77	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2031	25	MLB CTX	BOS	55%	173	153	35	7	2	3	16	48	2	1	1	221	302	338	640	117	300	28	9	290	79	-4	-0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2032	26	MLB CTX	BOS	56%	200	177	40	8	2	3	18	55	3	1	1	223	304	344	647	121	300	28	9	293	81	-5	-0	+0	+4	+4	0.3
2033	27	MLB CTX	BOS	55%	209	185	41	8	2	3	19	58	3	1	1	222	303	341	644	119	299	28	9	291	80	-5	-0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2034	28	MLB CTX	BOS	55%	211	187	41	8	2	3	19	59	3	1	1	220	301	336	637	117	298	28	9	288	78	-5	-0	-0	+4	+5	0.2
2035	29	MLB CTX	BOS	53%	204	181	40	8	2	3	18	58	3	0	0	217	298	330	627	113	296	28	9	285	76	-6	+0	-1	+4	+4	0.1
2036	30	MLB CTX	BOS	53%	197	176	38	7	2	3	17	56	2	0	0	214	294	322	616	108	294	28	9	280	72	-6	+0	-1	+4	+4	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1435	1274	281	55	14	21	129	403	19	6	4	221	302	335	637	115	303	28	9	287	75	-39	-0	-2	+26	+31	1.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	128	25	6	10	58	183	9	3	2	222	303	338	641	116	305	28	9	287	75	-18	-0	-1	+12	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	2878	2552	532	94	31	42	263	811	40	13	8	208	292	319	611	111	286	28	9	279	75	-75	-1	-4	+49	+59	2.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	119	21	7	9	59	183	9	3	2	207	290	314	605	108	284	28	9	279	75	-18	-0	-1	+12	+14	0.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Red Sox Red · 48 PAwOBA .257 → .166 (−91)K% 35.4% → 43.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	35.42%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	43.21%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	20.83%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.985	14.36%
HBP% /PA	2.08%	—	×0.700	—	×0.985	1.44%
Singles /BIP	5.26%	÷1.000	×0.680	—	×0.985	3.53%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	—	×0.985	0.00%
Triples /BIP	5.26%	÷1.000	×0.600	—	×0.985	3.11%
Home runs /BIP	5.26%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×0.985	2.44%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 18.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .257 → .166; ISO .139 → .074; BABIP .105 → .065. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Red Sox Blue · 99 PAwOBA .364 → .251 (−113)K% 19.2% → 23.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.19%	÷0.997	×1.220	—	—	23.48%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	17.17%	÷0.959	×0.700	—	×0.995	12.47%
HBP% /PA	4.04%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	2.81%
Singles /BIP	18.97%	÷0.932	×0.680	×1.023	×0.995	14.08%
Doubles /BIP	8.62%	÷1.059	×0.600	×1.023	×0.995	4.97%
Triples /BIP	3.45%	÷1.150	×0.600	×1.023	×0.995	1.83%
Home runs /BIP	1.72%	÷0.920	×0.470	—	×0.995	0.88%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 86, 2B 112, 3B 130, K 99, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.

Result: wOBA .364 → .251; ISO .156 → .089; BABIP .310 → .207. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	38	9	228*	295*	352*	+30	-0	3.6	3.6
/162	664	15	4	+11.5	-0.0	1.4	pk7: 4
#4Marc Hill'73-'86 * career totals — 10 seasons, 2,047 PA	3.1	2,047	34	1	218*	292*	337*	+35	-0	2.6	3.3
/162	664	11	0	+11.4	-0.0	0.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	2.2	1,467	23	8	214	292	327	+26	+24	2.7	2.6
/162	664	10	3	+11.9	+10.9	1.2	pk7: 3
#5Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2
#6Steve Swisher'74-'82 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,577 PA	2.4	1,577	20	4	211*	275*	330*	+28	+0	-0.1	0.6
/162	664	8	2	+11.9	+0.0	-0.0	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Andruw Zambrano (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	200/284/289	89	288	0	0	29%	9%	66	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2024 · A	21	40	38→45	48→45	46	192/271/267	75	284	6	7	32%	9%	55	-1.9	191/263/273	82	291	6	4	33%	8%	53	-2.1	178/256/266	88	258	7	2	31%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2024 · A	21	38→44	41→50	52→50	43	182/258/286	104	279	7	9	35%	8%	55	-1.9	220/276/370	150	298	17	10	31%	6%	81	-0.1	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Tucker Mitchell 2022 · A	21	42	40→50	51→45	39	201/262/292	91	296	7	7	33%	6%	57	-1.8	195/270/308	113	293	13	8	36%	7%	65	-1.2	180/256/294	114	253	15	7	34%	7%	55	-0.8
✕Tomás Nido 2015 · A	21	44→45	39→45	49→30	43	213/268/301	88	286	6	7	27%	6%	61	-1.5	234/265/337	103	307	9	2	26%	4%	68	-1.0	244/279/354	110	291	9	0	19%	4%	75	-0.3
✕Niko Vasquez 2010 · A	21	41→42	37→50	46→45	43	196/264/267	72	292	5	6	33%	8%	53	-2.1	200/274/309	109	277	10	3	29%	9%	66	-1.1	220/276/351	131	285	16	6	28%	6%	74	-0.3
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	38→40	49→40	40	195/262/275	80	276	6	7	30%	6%	54	-2.0	219/293/300	81	280	8	4	23%	7%	72	-0.7	211/298/265	54	265	5	1	21%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Frank Rodriguez 2023 · A	21	40	39→45	48→30	38	194/254/281	87	293	7	4	35%	6%	52	-2.2	180/236/264	84	253	7	3	31%	6%	41	-3.0	183/244/267	84	241	9	1	27%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Francisco Acuna 2022 · A	22	38→47	39→45	48→50	45	184/277/270	87	267	6	10	31%	8%	60	-1.6	204/274/301	97	277	7	11	27%	6%	65	-1.2	213/284/310	97	279	9	16	25%	7%	68	-0.5
✕Pablo Aliendo 2022 · A	21	40	39→50	44→45	38	188/266/266	78	300	7	6	37%	6%	55	-2.0	211/277/337	126	307	14	5	34%	6%	74	-0.5	206/275/350	144	296	17	5	34%	7%	73	-0.3
✕Clayton Campbell 2024 · A	20	38→44	41→45	49→45	44	182/275/289	108	287	8	6	36%	9%	63	-1.3	183/257/268	85	265	7	6	32%	8%	51	-2.3	180/250/259	79	256	8	5	31%	7%	45	-1.4
✕Oswaldo Linares 2024 · A	21	41	39→40	48→40	54	193/303/275	82	276	7	5	30%	12%	71	-0.8	183/267/260	77	267	6	4	31%	9%	53	-2.1	154/234/221	67	218	5	2	30%	8%	30	-1.2
✕Randy Florentino 2021 · A	21	42	39→45	42→45	49	199/281/287	88	284	6	6	30%	10%	64	-1.3	180/242/262	82	268	8	5	34%	7%	43	-2.8	183/231/259	76	238	8	4	26%	5%	37	-1.0
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→47	39→50	45→50	45	198/273/287	89	286	6	8	31%	8%	61	-1.5	229/297/377	148	305	16	5	29%	7%	91	+0.6	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Mike Ohlman 2012 · A	21	41→51	37→45	44→40	41	195/259/269	74	291	5	3	32%	7%	51	-2.3	228/291/331	103	316	7	3	28%	8%	77	-0.3	237/299/344	107	320	7	2	26%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Ramon Mendoza 2023 · A	22	40→50	37→45	48→45	45	190/266/265	75	277	4	7	31%	8%	53	-2.1	214/286/312	98	294	8	5	28%	8%	72	-0.7	232/310/341	109	301	10	3	24%	9%	83	+0.1
✕Blake Hunt 2021 · A	22	42	40→50	49→40	44	206/262/301	95	270	7	6	26%	6%	59	-1.6	193/252/308	115	279	11	4	33%	6%	58	-1.7	215/280/358	143	272	16	1	27%	7%	77	-0.1
✕Jose Sibrian 2021 · A	22	43	38→50	49→30	39	204/261/283	79	290	5	6	30%	6%	55	-2.0	200/254/277	77	265	5	3	25%	5%	51	-2.3	195/253/281	87	245	8	0	23%	5%	49	-0.8
✕Geovanny Planchart 2024 · A	22	41	37→40	49→40	48	192/274/268	75	279	4	5	30%	10%	57	-1.8	193/270/277	84	273	7	4	29%	9%	57	-1.8	164/246/241	76	224	8	0	29%	9%	39	-1.0
✕Payton Henry 2018 · A	21	39→32	41→45	46→30	38	189/254/293	104	302	8	3	38%	7%	55	-2.0	185/251/286	101	320	10	2	43%	6%	53	-2.1	244/299/348	104	334	12	0	29%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A	21	42	41→45	50	42	200/270/298	98	297	8	11	33%	8%	62	-1.4	192/261/284	92	292	6	14	34%	8%	55	-1.9	143/221/238	95	216	5	25	34%	8%	30	-1.0

Andruw Zambrano

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps