Mike Ohlman
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 25 | AAA/AASTL | 282 | .287/.351/.434 | 7 | 1 | 78 | — | .248/.297/.372 |
| 2017 | 26 | AAATOR | 332 | .216/.334/.401 | 12 | 4 | 55 | — | .161/.247/.302 |
| 2018 | 27 | AAAPawtucket Red… | 276 | .208/.315/.360 | 10 | 1 | 32 | — | .153/.227/.241 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 19 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 132 | 109 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 34 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 174 | 291 | 284 | 576 | 110 | 224 | 26 | 12 | 261 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK | Bluefield Orioles | — | 169 | 150 | 35 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 52 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 233 | 315 | 300 | 615 | 67 | 357 | 31 | 10 | 284 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 431 | 375 | 84 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 48 | 96 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 224 | 322 | 307 | 628 | 83 | 289 | 22 | 11 | 292 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 209 | 171 | 52 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 33 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 304 | 420 | 456 | 876 | 152 | 342 | 13 | 16 | 386 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | ROK | GCL Orioles | — | 31 | 29 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 276 | 323 | 483 | 805 | 207 | 389 | 32 | 6 | 353 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | INTL | Perth Heat | — | 183 | 167 | 53 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 30 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 317 | 374 | 527 | 901 | 210 | 356 | 16 | 8 | 393 | 152 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ | Frederick Keys | — | 424 | 361 | 113 | 29 | 4 | 13 | 56 | 93 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 313 | 412 | 524 | 936 | 211 | 389 | 22 | 13 | 411 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | INTL | Surprise Saguaros | — | 42 | 31 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 290 | 476 | 774 | 1.250 | 484 | 238 | 14 | 26 | 516 | 235 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA | Bowie Baysox | — | 454 | 403 | 95 | 25 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 86 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 236 | 312 | 318 | 630 | 82 | 292 | 19 | 9 | 286 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | INTL | Glendale Desert Dogs | — | 47 | 41 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 244 | 311 | 366 | 677 | 122 | 346 | 32 | 9 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 417 | 366 | 100 | 17 | 0 | 12 | 46 | 77 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 273 | 357 | 418 | 776 | 145 | 315 | 18 | 11 | 347 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | INTL | Surprise Saguaros | — | 43 | 39 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 262 | 410 | 672 | 205 | 250 | 33 | 7 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 186 | 168 | 47 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 53 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 280 | 339 | 464 | 803 | 185 | 366 | 28 | 8 | 349 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 96 | 83 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 301 | 376 | 373 | 750 | 72 | 364 | 20 | 10 | 332 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 332 | 282 | 61 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 48 | 115 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 216 | 334 | 401 | 735 | 184 | 316 | 35 | 14 | 332 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 276 | 236 | 49 | 6 | 0 | 10 | 36 | 91 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 208 | 315 | 360 | 675 | 153 | 283 | 33 | 13 | 305 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 19 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 132 | 114 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 45 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 167 | 252 | 272 | 524 | 105 | 219 | 34 | 8 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK MLE | Bluefield Orioles | — | 169 | 157 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 74 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 166 | 220 | 210 | 430 | 45 | 304 | 44 | 6 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 431 | 392 | 79 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 127 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 202 | 270 | 273 | 543 | 71 | 282 | 29 | 7 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 209 | 183 | 47 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 257 | 337 | 377 | 714 | 120 | 293 | 17 | 10 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | ROK MLE | GCL Orioles | — | 31 | 30 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 226 | 367 | 592 | 167 | 291 | 45 | 3 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | Frederick Keys | — | 424 | 384 | 97 | 22 | 3 | 8 | 33 | 137 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 253 | 320 | 388 | 708 | 135 | 368 | 32 | 8 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 454 | 418 | 94 | 23 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 107 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 277 | 299 | 576 | 74 | 288 | 24 | 6 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 417 | 381 | 87 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 31 | 96 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 228 | 290 | 328 | 618 | 100 | 280 | 23 | 7 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 186 | 172 | 40 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 69 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 233 | 279 | 384 | 662 | 151 | 333 | 37 | 6 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 96 | 86 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 279 | 333 | 349 | 682 | 70 | 327 | 24 | 7 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 332 | 298 | 48 | 12 | 0 | 10 | 32 | 145 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 161 | 247 | 302 | 549 | 141 | 270 | 44 | 10 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 276 | 249 | 38 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 110 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 153 | 227 | 241 | 468 | 88 | 235 | 40 | 8 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 301 | 271 | 45 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 119 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 166 | 234 | 236 | 470 | 70 | 281 | 40 | 7 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 301 | 259 | 54 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 86 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 208 | 305 | 293 | 599 | 85 | 299 | 29 | 11 | 274 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 431 | 392 | 79 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 127 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 202 | 270 | 273 | 543 | 71 | 288 | 29 | 7 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A RAW | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 431 | 375 | 84 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 48 | 96 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 224 | 322 | 307 | 628 | 83 | 289 | 22 | 11 | 292 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 423 | 376 | 92 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 40 | 87 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 245 | 321 | 372 | 693 | 128 | 301 | 21 | 9 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 423 | 367 | 113 | 34 | 3 | 9 | 49 | 67 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 308 | 392 | 490 | 883 | 183 | 351 | 16 | 12 | 387 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 466 | 423 | 107 | 24 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 151 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 253 | 319 | 392 | 711 | 139 | 370 | 32 | 8 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 466 | 392 | 122 | 32 | 4 | 17 | 67 | 99 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 311 | 418 | 543 | 961 | 232 | 378 | 21 | 14 | 420 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 501 | 460 | 103 | 25 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 118 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 224 | 276 | 296 | 572 | 72 | 293 | 24 | 6 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 501 | 444 | 105 | 27 | 1 | 3 | 47 | 101 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 236 | 312 | 322 | 634 | 86 | 296 | 20 | 9 | 287 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 460 | 420 | 96 | 15 | 0 | 9 | 34 | 106 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 229 | 289 | 329 | 618 | 100 | 282 | 23 | 7 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 460 | 405 | 108 | 19 | 0 | 14 | 49 | 91 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 267 | 349 | 417 | 766 | 151 | 310 | 20 | 11 | 341 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 282 | 258 | 63 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 92 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 244 | 293 | 357 | 650 | 112 | 347 | 33 | 6 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 282 | 251 | 72 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 72 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 287 | 351 | 434 | 786 | 147 | 365 | 26 | 9 | 343 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 332 | 298 | 48 | 12 | 0 | 10 | 32 | 145 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 161 | 247 | 302 | 549 | 141 | 266 | 44 | 10 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA RAW | Buffalo Bisons | — | 332 | 282 | 61 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 48 | 115 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 216 | 334 | 401 | 735 | 184 | 316 | 35 | 14 | 332 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 276 | 249 | 38 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 110 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 153 | 227 | 241 | 468 | 88 | 235 | 40 | 8 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA RAW | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 276 | 236 | 49 | 6 | 0 | 10 | 36 | 91 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 208 | 315 | 360 | 675 | 153 | 283 | 33 | 13 | 305 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 301 | 274 | 45 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 119 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 164 | 234 | 234 | 467 | 69 | 267 | 40 | 7 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 431 | 391 | 79 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 127 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 202 | 270 | 274 | 544 | 72 | 282 | 29 | 7 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 423 | 378 | 92 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 40 | 87 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 243 | 321 | 370 | 691 | 127 | 293 | 21 | 9 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 466 | 422 | 107 | 24 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 151 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 254 | 319 | 393 | 712 | 140 | 368 | 32 | 8 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 501 | 463 | 103 | 25 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 118 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 276 | 294 | 570 | 71 | 288 | 24 | 6 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 460 | 421 | 96 | 15 | 0 | 9 | 34 | 106 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 228 | 289 | 328 | 617 | 100 | 280 | 23 | 7 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 282 | 262 | 63 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 92 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 240 | 293 | 351 | 645 | 111 | 331 | 33 | 6 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 332 | 295 | 48 | 12 | 0 | 10 | 32 | 145 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 163 | 247 | 305 | 552 | 142 | 270 | 44 | 10 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | Pawtucket Red Sox | — | 276 | 250 | 38 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 110 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 152 | 227 | 240 | 467 | 88 | 235 | 40 | 8 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3472 | 3147 | 671 | 141 | 14 | 51 | 266 | 1055 | 23 | 21 | 10 | 213 | 279 | 316 | 595 | 102 | 300 | 30 | 8 | 264 | 65 | -146 | +0 | -1 | +62 | +75 | -0.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 589 | 126 | 26 | 3 | 10 | 50 | 198 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 214 | 280 | 319 | 599 | 105 | 301 | 30 | 8 | 264 | 65 | -27 | +0 | -0 | +12 | +14 | -0.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2018 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 276 PAwOBA .301 → .216 (−85)K% 33.0% → 39.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.97% | ÷0.994 | ×1.200 | — | — | 39.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.04% | ÷1.082 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 8.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.36% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 19.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.14% | ÷1.067 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 3.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.90% | ÷1.342 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.992 | 4.28% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 168, 1B 100, 2B 113, 3B 80, K 99, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .301 → .216; ISO .153 → .096; BABIP .283 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAABuffalo Bisons · 332 PAwOBA .324 → .249 (−75)K% 34.6% → 43.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.64% | ÷0.950 | ×1.200 | — | — | 43.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.46% | ÷1.027 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 9.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.60% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.57% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.76% | ÷1.021 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 17.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.58% | ÷0.940 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 8.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.961 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.19% | ÷0.903 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 6.71% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 104, 2B 88, 3B 92, K 90, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .324 → .249; ISO .184 → .152; BABIP .316 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 186 PAwOBA .345 → .281 (−64)K% 28.5% → 37.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.49% | ÷0.988 | ×1.290 | — | — | 37.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.06% | ÷0.983 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 5.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.09% | ÷0.989 | ×0.900 | ×1.008 | ×1.018 | 24.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.83% | ÷0.941 | ×0.810 | ×1.008 | ×1.018 | 6.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.74% | ÷0.951 | ×0.810 | ×1.008 | ×1.018 | 1.52% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.22% | ÷0.931 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 4.45% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 98, 2B 88, 3B 90, K 98, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .345 → .281; ISO .185 → .147; BABIP .366 → .333. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AASpringfield Cardinals · 96 PAwOBA .335 → .289 (−46)K% 19.8% → 23.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.79% | ÷1.019 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.42% | ÷0.999 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 7.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.81% | ÷0.966 | ×0.920 | ×0.970 | ×0.988 | 29.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.69% | ÷0.986 | ×0.840 | ×0.970 | ×0.988 | 3.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×0.970 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.56% | ÷1.155 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 1.07% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 131, 1B 93, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 104, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.
Result: wOBA .335 → .289; ISO .072 → .056; BABIP .364 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AASpringfield Cardinals · 417 PAwOBA .338 → .276 (−62)K% 18.5% → 23.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.47% | ÷0.978 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.55% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 7.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.48% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 0.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.57% | ÷0.982 | ×0.920 | ×0.981 | ×0.998 | 22.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.003 | ×0.840 | ×0.981 | ×0.998 | 4.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.003 | ×0.940 | ×0.981 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.15% | ÷1.140 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 2.91% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 96, 2B 101, 3B 101, K 96, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.
Result: wOBA .338 → .276; ISO .145 → .107; BABIP .315 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AABowie Baysox · 454 PAwOBA .282 → .253 (−28)K% 18.9% → 23.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.94% | ÷0.980 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.47% | ÷1.082 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 6.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.44% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.14% | ÷0.972 | ×0.970 | ×1.008 | ×1.012 | 21.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.89% | ÷0.969 | ×0.860 | ×1.008 | ×1.012 | 7.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.32% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | ×1.012 | 0.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.63% | ÷0.919 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 0.54% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 94, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 96, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .282 → .253; ISO .082 → .074; BABIP .292 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+Frederick Keys · 424 PAwOBA .401 → .313 (−87)K% 21.9% → 32.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.93% | ÷0.964 | ×1.420 | — | — | 32.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.74% | ÷1.028 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.998 | 7.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.18% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.998 | 1.01% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.958 | ×0.940 | ×1.045 | ×0.998 | 25.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.82% | ÷1.050 | ×0.830 | ×1.045 | ×0.998 | 8.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.49% | ÷0.918 | ×0.800 | ×1.045 | ×0.998 | 1.36% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.85% | ÷1.324 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.998 | 3.29% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 165, 1B 92, 2B 110, 3B 84, K 93, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.045.
Result: wOBA .401 → .313; ISO .211 → .149; BABIP .389 → .368. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 209 PAwOBA .384 → .317 (−67)K% 12.9% → 16.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.92% | ÷1.032 | ×1.340 | — | — | 16.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.79% | ÷1.023 | ×0.660 | — | — | 10.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.48% | — | ×0.770 | — | — | 0.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.045 | ×0.920 | ×1.029 | — | 20.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.160 | ×0.820 | ×1.029 | — | 8.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.39% | ÷0.931 | ×0.940 | ×1.029 | — | 1.44% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.39% | ÷0.836 | ×0.820 | — | — | 1.36% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 67, 1B 109, 2B 132, 3B 86, K 106, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.
Result: wOBA .384 → .317; ISO .152 → .134; BABIP .342 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .