Arturo Flores — OGILVIE

Arturo FloresC Fayetteville Woodpeckers

Age 20 R/R 6'2" / 205 lbs A HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION351 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%44

BB%11

BABIP303

ISO131

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$27M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 53

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER53

scouting grade only

EYE56

scouting grade only

SPEED51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.1M
2035	Arb-2	$4M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$5M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$8M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	19	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	72	63	12	3	0	1	9	30	0	2	0	190	292	286	577	95	344	42	12	270	69	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2025	19	ROK	FCL Astros	—	44	36	11	2	2	0	7	11	0	0	0	306	419	472	891	167	423	25	16	387	148	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	19	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	72	67	9	2	0	1	5	43	0	2	0	134	194	209	403	75	314	60	7	167	-1	-9	+0	—	—	+2	-0.7
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	44	39	8	1	1	0	4	16	0	0	0	205	279	282	561	77	340	36	9	274	72	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	116	105	16	3	1	1	10	59	0	2	0	152	226	229	455	76	326	51	9	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	116	99	23	5	2	1	16	41	0	2	0	232	339	354	693	121	379	35	14	314	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	116	105	16	3	1	1	10	59	0	2	0	152	226	229	455	76	324	51	9	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	116	105	16	3	1	1	10	59	0	2	0	152	226	229	455	76	324	51	9	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A MLE	HOU	—	351	318	56	6	0	12	30	185	3	4	3	176	254	308	562	132	364	53	9	251	56	-18	-0	+0	+6	+8	-0.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	A RAW	HOU	—	351	297	75	9	0	17	48	130	3	4	3	253	359	455	814	202	387	37	14	362	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	A MLE	HOU	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		301	44	11	263	64	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	20	A MLE	HOU	—	360	326	57	6	0	12	31	189	3	4	3	175	253	304	556	129	360	52	9	251	56	-19	-0	+0	+6	+8	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	HOU	34%	342	307	62	10	1	11	29	133	3	5	2	202	277	349	626	147	302	39	8	277	74	-11	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.3
2028	22	MLB MLE	HOU	48%	433	389	79	13	1	14	37	162	4	7	3	203	279	350	629	147	302	37	9	285	79	-11	+0	+0	+8	+9	0.7
2029	23	MLB MLE	HOU	54%	485	436	91	15	2	16	42	176	4	9	3	209	284	362	647	154	302	36	9	290	82	-10	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2030	24	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	518	463	99	16	2	18	45	186	5	10	4	214	290	374	664	160	302	36	9	293	84	-10	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2031	25	MLB MLE	HOU	56%	520	464	99	16	2	18	46	186	5	10	4	213	291	373	664	159	303	36	9	294	85	-9	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2032	26	MLB MLE	HOU	56%	520	464	99	16	2	18	46	186	5	10	4	213	291	373	664	159	302	36	9	295	86	-9	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2033	27	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	520	463	99	16	2	18	47	186	5	10	4	214	293	374	667	160	302	36	9	295	86	-9	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2034	28	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	520	463	98	16	2	18	47	187	5	10	4	212	291	371	663	160	301	36	9	294	85	-9	+0	-1	+9	+11	1.1
2035	29	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	520	463	96	15	1	18	47	188	5	10	4	207	287	361	648	153	300	36	9	292	84	-10	+0	-1	+9	+11	1.0
2036	30	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	513	456	94	15	1	17	47	187	5	9	4	206	287	355	643	149	299	36	9	289	82	-11	+0	-2	+9	+11	0.7
2037	31	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	484	433	88	14	1	16	44	178	4	8	3	203	283	351	634	148	296	37	9	285	79	-12	+0	-3	+9	+10	0.5
2038	32	MLB MLE	HOU	59%	451	403	79	12	1	14	41	167	4	7	3	196	277	335	612	139	292	37	9	279	75	-13	+0	-4	+8	+10	0.1
2039	33	MLB MLE	HOU	61%	410	367	71	10	1	13	37	154	3	6	2	193	273	332	605	139	288	38	9	273	71	-14	+0	-4	+7	+9	-0.2
2027	21	MLB CTX	HOU	34%	118	106	21	3	0	4	10	46	1	2	1	198	274	340	613	142	304	39	8	270	74	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	HOU	48%	210	188	39	6	1	7	18	78	2	4	1	207	284	362	645	154	304	37	9	278	79	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2029	23	MLB CTX	HOU	54%	263	236	50	8	1	9	23	96	2	5	2	212	287	369	656	157	304	37	9	283	82	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2030	24	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	287	257	55	9	1	10	25	103	3	5	2	214	291	374	665	160	304	36	9	286	84	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2031	25	MLB CTX	HOU	56%	291	260	55	9	1	10	26	104	3	6	2	212	291	369	660	158	304	36	9	287	85	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2032	26	MLB CTX	HOU	56%	292	261	55	9	1	10	26	104	3	6	2	211	290	368	657	157	304	36	9	287	86	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2033	27	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	288	257	55	9	1	10	26	103	3	6	2	214	294	374	667	160	304	36	9	287	86	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2034	28	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	285	254	54	9	1	10	26	102	3	5	2	213	293	374	667	161	303	36	9	286	85	-5	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.6
2035	29	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	278	248	51	8	1	9	25	100	3	5	2	206	286	355	641	149	302	36	9	284	84	-5	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.5
2036	30	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	270	241	50	8	1	9	25	98	2	5	2	207	287	361	648	154	301	36	9	282	82	-6	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.4
2037	31	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	274	245	50	8	1	9	25	101	2	5	2	204	283	355	638	151	298	37	9	278	79	-7	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.3
2038	32	MLB CTX	HOU	59%	267	239	47	7	1	8	24	99	2	4	2	197	275	335	610	138	294	37	9	273	75	-8	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.1
2039	33	MLB CTX	HOU	61%	250	223	44	7	1	7	23	94	2	4	1	197	278	332	610	135	290	38	9	266	71	-9	+0	-3	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3373	3015	626	100	12	112	302	1228	31	62	23	208	286	360	647	153	305	36	9	281	80	-75	+3	-8	+60	+73	5.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	120	19	2	22	58	237	6	12	4	207	285	360	645	153	302	36	9	281	80	-14	+1	-2	+12	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	6361	5684	1171	187	20	210	566	2339	57	113	44	206	284	357	641	151	303	37	9	287	80	-139	+5	-15	+112	+135	10.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	119	19	2	21	58	239	6	12	4	205	284	353	637	148	302	37	9	287	80	-14	+0	-2	+12	+14	1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	5.9	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
/162	664	24	9	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.4	3,554	118	63	207	282	359	+63	+32	8.3	7.1
/162	664	22	12	+11.9	+6.0	1.6	pk7: 6
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Arturo Flores (OGILVIE)	20	20→25	48→53	46→51	56	187/261/316	129	301	5	3	41%	8%	64	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Sean Coyle 2012 · A	20	39→36	48→50	53→50	43	199/278/351	152	282	14	13	33%	8%	78	-0.3	201/259/343	142	288	16	14	35%	6%	69	-0.9	194/255/352	157	279	21	15	37%	7%	68	-0.5
✕Cristian Santana 2023 · A	19	38→20	45	46→45	47	184/303/304	121	280	12	11	35%	10%	78	-0.3	155/294/273	118	250	14	6	39%	14%	70	-0.9	138/279/280	142	192	20	5	38%	14%	65	-0.7
✕Francisco Murillo 2007 · A	20	42	47→50	49→50	43	213/279/346	134	292	15	8	32%	8%	76	-0.4	199/260/320	121	303	12	6	36%	7%	63	-1.3	150/210/278	128	229	14	3	40%	6%	34	-1.2
✕Kevin Padlo 2016 · A	20	38→40	46→50	50	46	194/272/327	133	266	12	8	31%	9%	70	-0.8	183/267/307	124	271	12	8	34%	10%	64	-1.3	190/261/345	156	258	19	12	33%	8%	68	-0.7
✕Orelvis Martinez 2021 · A	19	42→34	47→60	53→40	42	213/270/351	139	273	14	6	27%	6%	74	-0.5	198/263/384	186	253	25	4	32%	7%	80	-0.1	183/252/373	190	223	27	3	32%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2009 · A	20	39	43→45	42→50	48	193/294/300	106	278	11	10	32%	10%	73	-0.6	183/264/287	104	286	10	6	37%	8%	58	-1.7	153/236/254	101	237	11	2	38%	9%	40	-0.9
✕Sherten Apostel 2019 · A	20	39→34	46→50	44→40	49	197/287/326	129	280	14	5	33%	10%	76	-0.4	197/264/321	124	290	14	3	35%	8%	65	-1.2	187/252/312	125	273	16	1	36%	7%	56	-1.2
✕Maxwell Morales 2018 · A	20	35	47→50	47→45	39	184/254/313	129	278	16	6	38%	8%	61	-1.5	208/264/342	134	298	15	6	33%	6%	70	-0.8	203/251/379	176	261	20	2	30%	5%	74	-0.1
✕Thayron Liranzo 2023 · A	20	39→42	47→50	48→30	42	199/269/337	138	287	14	5	34%	8%	71	-0.8	207/294/369	162	306	19	2	36%	11%	88	+0.4	193/285/346	152	284	18	1	36%	11%	76	-0.3
✕René Pinto 2017 · A	20	41	46→55	47→40	39	209/251/339	130	263	13	5	26%	4%	64	-1.3	227/272/323	96	293	7	3	24%	5%	68	-1.0	229/275/316	87	296	5	1	23%	5%	65	-0.6
✕Jeter Downs 2018 · A	20	42→40	43→50	47→55	47	208/276/316	107	257	11	9	23%	7%	68	-1.0	211/277/351	140	270	15	17	27%	7%	78	-0.3	171/263/306	134	238	15	26	33%	8%	61	-0.7
✕Bryan Ramos 2022 · A	20	40→42	45→50	49→50	41	200/269/322	122	272	12	8	30%	6%	68	-1.0	213/273/348	135	267	17	5	26%	6%	75	-0.5	208/267/338	130	255	17	5	26%	6%	68	-0.8
✕Miguel Amaya 2019 · A	20	43→41	43→50	48→40	44	212/277/322	110	267	11	4	25%	6%	70	-0.8	210/288/334	124	267	13	4	25%	8%	78	-0.3	212/319/354	142	290	16	3	30%	10%	93	+0.3
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A	20	38→41	47→50	53→55	46	189/281/323	135	287	14	16	37%	10%	73	-0.6	211/290/332	121	325	11	16	35%	9%	78	-0.3	220/298/374	155	300	18	18	31%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2016 · A	21	42	46→50	53→40	46	204/288/342	137	301	13	8	34%	9%	80	-0.2	198/259/320	122	275	14	4	32%	7%	63	-1.4	189/248/298	109	256	13	1	31%	6%	52	-0.8
✕Max Muncy 2023 · A	20	38→46	48→55	50	40	190/265/329	140	297	16	12	39%	8%	68	-1.0	213/277/339	126	322	13	9	36%	7%	74	-0.5	226/292/386	160	309	20	5	32%	6%	89	+0.3
✕Jesús Báez 2023 · A	18	39→40	44→55	44→45	43	197/263/310	113	267	13	9	30%	8%	63	-1.4	199/261/321	122	254	13	9	26%	7%	64	-1.3	217/271/392	175	242	26	8	23%	6%	83	+0.1
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	38→41	41→50	48→50	45	182/267/286	104	281	8	8	35%	9%	59	-1.7	201/262/332	131	290	13	10	34%	6%	67	-1.1	219/271/366	148	290	19	9	30%	5%	75	-0.3
✕Johan Mieses 2016 · A	21	41→33	45→55	52→50	39	207/251/337	130	273	12	14	29%	5%	63	-1.3	187/234/345	158	264	20	4	37%	5%	60	-1.6	191/265/355	164	235	23	7	30%	7%	72	-0.4
✕Sam Huff 2018 · A	20	40	44→55	46→45	37	195/255/311	116	314	12	4	40%	7%	59	-1.6	193/236/327	134	312	16	6	42%	4%	56	-1.9	214/277/388	174	309	26	1	38%	7%	83	+0.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps