Arturo Flores — OGILVIE

Arturo FloresC Fayetteville Woodpeckers

Age 20 R/R 6'2" / 205 lbs A HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION241 act + 160 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .257 / .334

PA160

HR5

K%39

BB%7

BABIP285

ISO143

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 54

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER54

scouting grade only

EYE52

scouting grade only

SPEED52

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.3	$7M	+$7M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.3	$7M	+$6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.3	$6M	+$6M
2034	Arb-1	$2M	+1.2	$5M	+$4M
2035	Arb-2	$3M	+1.0	$4M	+$3M
2036	Arb-3	$3M	+0.8	$1M	+$0.3M
Totals		$12M		$31M	+$26M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	19	A	2 teams	—	116	106	17	3	1	1	9	59	0	2	0	160	226	236	462	75	340	51	8	207	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	2 teams	—	116	99	23	5	2	1	16	41	0	2	0	232	339	354	693	121	379	35	14	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	A	HOU	—	241	221	37	5	0	9	18	126	2	4	3	167	237	312	549	145	326	52	7	246	46	-15	-0	+0	+4	+7	-0.4
YTD	20	A	HOU	—	241	209	51	8	0	13	28	89	2	4	3	244	336	469	805	225	355	37	12	355	130	+8	-0	+0	+4	+7	1.9
ROS	20	A	HOU	0%	160	146	28	4	1	5	12	62	1	3	1	191	257	334	591	143	282	39	7	257	55	-8	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.1
ROS	20	MLB	HOU	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		285	—	—	254	53	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	20	A	HOU	—	241	222	37	5	0	9	18	126	2	4	3	167	237	311	547	144	322	52	7	246	46	-15	-0	+0	+4	+7	-0.4
TOT	20	A	HOU	—	401	367	65	9	1	14	30	188	3	7	4	177	245	321	566	144	306	47	7	251	50	-23	-0	+0	+7	+11	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	HOU	34%	351	319	63	11	1	11	26	129	3	6	2	197	264	342	606	144	287	37	7	272	66	-13	+0	+0	+6	+10	0.3
2028	22	MLB	HOU	48%	440	399	81	14	2	14	34	156	4	8	3	203	272	353	626	150	289	35	8	280	72	-14	+0	+0	+8	+12	0.7
2029	23	MLB	HOU	54%	490	444	92	16	2	16	38	169	5	9	4	207	277	360	638	153	290	34	8	285	76	-13	+0	+0	+9	+14	1.0
2030	24	MLB	HOU	55%	520	469	99	17	2	18	41	178	5	10	4	211	282	371	653	160	291	34	8	288	79	-12	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.2
2031	25	MLB	HOU	56%	520	469	99	17	2	18	41	177	5	10	4	211	282	371	653	160	291	34	8	290	80	-12	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.3
2032	26	MLB	HOU	56%	520	469	99	17	2	18	41	177	5	10	4	211	282	371	653	160	291	34	8	290	80	-12	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.3
2033	27	MLB	HOU	55%	520	468	99	17	2	18	42	177	5	10	4	212	283	372	655	160	290	34	8	290	80	-12	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.3
2034	28	MLB	HOU	55%	520	468	99	17	2	18	42	178	5	10	4	212	283	372	655	160	290	34	8	289	79	-12	+0	-1	+9	+15	1.2
2035	29	MLB	HOU	53%	520	468	98	17	2	18	42	179	5	10	4	209	282	370	651	160	289	34	8	287	78	-13	+0	-1	+9	+15	1.0
2036	30	MLB	HOU	57%	513	461	95	16	2	17	42	178	5	9	4	206	280	360	640	154	287	35	8	284	76	-14	+0	-2	+9	+15	0.8
2027	21	MLB	HOU	34%	121	110	22	4	0	4	9	44	1	2	1	200	267	345	612	145	290	36	7	268	64	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2028	22	MLB	HOU	48%	213	193	40	7	1	7	16	75	2	4	1	207	275	363	638	155	292	35	8	276	70	-7	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.3
2029	23	MLB	HOU	54%	266	241	51	9	1	9	21	92	2	5	2	212	280	369	650	158	293	35	8	282	74	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.5
2030	24	MLB	HOU	55%	288	260	56	10	1	10	23	98	3	6	2	215	287	377	664	162	294	34	8	285	76	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2031	25	MLB	HOU	56%	291	263	56	10	1	10	23	99	3	6	2	213	284	373	656	160	294	34	8	286	77	-7	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2032	26	MLB	HOU	56%	292	264	56	10	1	10	23	99	3	6	2	212	283	371	654	159	294	34	8	287	78	-7	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2033	27	MLB	HOU	55%	288	260	55	10	1	10	23	98	3	6	2	212	283	373	656	162	293	34	8	287	78	-7	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2034	28	MLB	HOU	55%	285	257	54	9	1	10	23	98	3	6	2	210	283	370	652	160	293	34	8	286	77	-7	+0	-0	+5	+8	0.6
2035	29	MLB	HOU	53%	278	250	53	9	1	10	23	96	3	5	2	212	286	376	662	164	292	35	8	284	75	-8	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.5
2036	30	MLB	HOU	57%	293	264	55	9	1	10	24	102	3	5	2	208	282	364	645	155	290	35	8	281	73	-9	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2615	2363	498	87	9	90	208	901	26	51	18	211	282	369	651	159	295	34	8	283	75	-74	+3	-2	+47	+74	4.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	124	22	2	22	52	224	6	13	4	211	282	368	650	157	297	34	8	283	75	-18	+1	-1	+12	+18	1.2
Career	—			—	5190	4686	969	166	21	172	410	1819	48	97	38	207	277	361	639	154	293	35	8	283	75	-146	+4	-4	+93	+147	9.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	122	21	3	22	51	228	6	12	5	208	278	366	644	158	293	35	8	283	75	-18	+0	-1	+12	+18	1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	19	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	72	63	12	3	0	1	9	30	0	2	0	190	292	286	577	95	344	42	12	270	65	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.0
2025	19	ROK	FCL Astros	—	44	36	11	2	2	0	7	11	0	0	0	306	419	472	891	167	423	25	16	387	154	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	11	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
	/162	664	24	9	241	275	417	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	12	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
	/162	664	24	0	235	284	407	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	2,802	92	53	208	276	362	+50	+24	5.7	5.2
	/162	664	22	13	208	276	362	+11.9	+5.7	1.3	pk7: 5
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Arturo Flores (OGILVIE)	20	20→25	49→54	47→52	52	177/245/321	144	306	14	7	47%	7%	50	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kevin Padlo 2016 · A	20	38→40	45→55	50	46	193/270/323	130	263	12	8	30%	9%	64	-0.8	183/268/311	128	268	12	8	34%	10%	60	-1.0	195/265/371	176	262	22	12	34%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Sean Coyle 2012 · A	20	38→34	48→50	53→50	42	192/272/344	152	278	15	13	35%	8%	70	-0.3	196/254/341	145	281	17	14	35%	6%	62	-0.9	192/251/359	168	278	23	15	39%	7%	64	-0.4
✕Orelvis Martinez 2021 · A	19	42→36	47→60	53→40	42	213/270/351	139	273	14	6	27%	6%	71	-0.3	202/270/401	199	257	27	4	33%	7%	85	+0.7	187/258/394	206	226	30	3	33%	7%	76	+0.1
✕Johan Mieses 2016 · A	21	40→33	46→55	52→50	39	205/249/339	134	269	14	14	29%	5%	59	-1.1	183/230/341	158	264	20	4	38%	5%	52	-1.6	195/270/377	182	237	27	7	30%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Jeferson Quero 2023 · A	20	44→42	44→50	49→45	41	219/269/335	116	284	12	9	27%	6%	66	-0.6	226/283/364	138	283	16	7	25%	7%	79	+0.3	225/289/370	145	269	18	4	23%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Jesús Báez 2023 · A	18	39→35	45→55	44→45	44	197/265/314	117	266	13	9	30%	8%	59	-1.1	203/264/335	132	259	15	9	27%	7%	65	-0.7	213/269/389	177	241	26	8	24%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Jeter Downs 2018 · A	20	42→40	43→50	47→55	47	208/276/316	107	257	11	9	23%	7%	64	-0.8	211/277/355	144	271	15	17	27%	7%	75	-0.0	175/266/324	149	236	18	26	33%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Francisco Murillo 2007 · A	20	42	47→50	49→50	43	213/279/346	134	292	15	8	32%	8%	73	-0.1	199/260/320	121	303	12	6	36%	7%	59	-1.1	150/210/278	128	229	14	3	40%	6%	26	-1.2
✕Maxwell Morales 2018 · A	20	35	47→50	47→45	39	184/254/313	129	278	16	6	38%	8%	56	-1.3	208/264/342	134	298	15	6	33%	6%	66	-0.6	203/251/379	176	261	20	2	30%	5%	71	-0.1
✕Cristian Santana 2023 · A	19	37→20	44→45	46→45	47	180/300/295	115	278	11	11	36%	10%	72	-0.2	153/290/268	115	248	13	6	39%	13%	63	-0.9	133/279/265	132	188	18	5	37%	14%	57	-0.6
✕Bryan Ramos 2022 · A	20	39→43	45→50	49→50	40	199/265/323	124	270	13	8	30%	6%	63	-0.9	211/270/351	140	268	18	5	28%	6%	72	-0.2	205/264/342	137	255	19	5	27%	6%	63	-0.6
✕Miguel Amaya 2019 · A	20	43→42	45→50	48→40	45	215/281/332	117	268	13	4	25%	7%	71	-0.3	214/290/343	129	271	14	4	25%	8%	78	+0.2	228/299/368	140	271	16	1	22%	7%	86	+0.3
✕René Pinto 2017 · A	20	41	46→60	47→40	39	209/251/339	130	263	13	5	26%	4%	59	-1.1	226/270/321	95	293	7	3	24%	5%	62	-0.9	211/247/384	172	288	24	3	35%	4%	67	-0.3
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2009 · A	20	39	43→45	42→50	48	193/294/300	106	278	11	10	32%	10%	69	-0.4	183/263/286	103	286	10	6	37%	8%	52	-1.6	153/236/254	101	237	11	2	38%	9%	32	-0.9
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	37→41	41→55	48→50	44	180/262/280	101	277	8	8	36%	9%	50	-1.8	198/258/332	134	287	14	10	34%	6%	61	-1.0	217/272/375	157	286	21	10	31%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→45	44→55	39	187/251/282	95	271	10	9	33%	6%	46	-2.0	202/259/294	92	279	6	11	28%	6%	51	-1.7	199/258/292	93	268	4	15	26%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Sherten Apostel 2019 · A	20	39→32	46→45	44→40	49	197/287/326	129	280	14	5	33%	10%	72	-0.2	194/262/313	119	287	13	3	35%	8%	58	-1.2	184/250/305	121	269	15	1	36%	7%	48	-1.2
✕Rey Duran 2009 · A	20	36	41→50	49→40	41	183/243/277	94	256	9	6	31%	6%	40	-2.4	213/267/338	125	268	14	5	25%	6%	66	-0.6	210/263/349	139	246	19	2	23%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Jesus Galiz 2023 · A	19	38	43→45	49→40	40	193/254/304	111	268	10	5	31%	6%	53	-1.5	201/260/303	102	309	9	3	36%	6%	54	-1.4	189/250/287	98	295	8	2	37%	6%	45	-1.0
✕Rodolfo Castro 2019 · A	20	38→40	43→55	47→50	36	194/233/304	111	269	10	5	32%	4%	42	-2.3	197/238/344	147	275	17	6	34%	5%	56	-1.3	205/272/358	153	266	19	11	30%	7%	72	-0.2