Moises Marchán

C ACL Royals

Age 19 R/R 6'1" / 160 lbs ROK HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1976ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Royals Ve…	113	.296/.373/.388	0	6	39	—	.198/.264/.248
2026	18	ROKKC	87	.338/.405/.365	0	5	54	—	.244/.298/.256
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBKC	197	.199/.257/.264	1	4	48	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBKC	36	.202/.263/.275	0	1	54	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBKC	96	.206/.268/.287	1	2	59	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

wRC+53

wOBA48

Speed43

Whiff%32

K%25

Z-Con%16

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 94%

CompsRyan Burrowes (age 19) · Jose Rosario (age 19) · Luis Andujar (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 48 proj PA

wRC+†48

AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .255 / .262

PA48

HR0

K%29

BB%6

ISO66

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 39 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT39

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED57

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-1	$0.6M	—	—	—
2037	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	—	113	98	29	5	2	0	9	20	3	6	1	296	373	388	760	92	367	18	8	337	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	ACL Royals	—	87	74	25	2	0	0	7	24	2	5	0	338	405	365	770	27	490	28	8	342	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	113	101	20	3	1	0	6	26	3	6	1	198	264	248	511	50	250	23	5	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	87	78	19	1	0	0	4	35	2	5	0	244	298	256	554	13	400	40	5	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	113	101	20	3	1	0	6	26	3	6	1	198	264	248	511	50	263	23	5	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Ventura	—	113	98	29	5	2	0	9	20	3	6	1	296	373	388	760	92	367	18	8	337	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	87	78	19	1	0	0	4	35	2	5	0	244	298	256	554	13	432	40	5	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	ACL Royals	—	87	74	25	2	0	0	7	24	2	5	0	338	405	365	770	27	490	28	8	342	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	113	103	20	3	1	0	6	26	3	6	1	194	264	243	506	49	250	23	5	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	87	81	19	1	0	0	4	35	2	5	0	235	298	247	545	12	400	40	5	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	113	103	20	3	1	0	6	26	3	6	1	194	264	243	506	49	250	23	5	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	87	81	19	1	0	0	4	35	2	5	0	235	298	247	545	12	400	40	5	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	KC	0%	197	181	35	5	1	1	12	57	2	4	1	199	257	264	522	66	279	29	6	239	48	-12	+0	+0	+4	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	KC	34%	105	96	20	3	1	1	7	30	1	2	1	203	264	278	543	75	281	29	7	248	54	-6	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.2
2029	21	MLB MLE	KC	48%	199	181	37	6	1	2	13	56	3	4	1	207	270	291	560	83	283	28	7	255	59	-10	+0	+0	+4	+4	-0.1
2030	22	MLB MLE	KC	54%	310	283	59	9	2	4	20	85	4	7	2	211	274	301	575	90	284	27	6	261	63	-14	+1	+0	+6	+7	-0.1
2031	23	MLB MLE	KC	57%	396	362	78	12	3	6	26	108	5	9	2	214	278	310	588	96	285	27	7	267	67	-16	+1	+0	+7	+9	0.1
2032	24	MLB MLE	KC	57%	445	406	88	14	3	7	30	120	6	10	3	217	281	318	598	101	286	27	7	271	70	-16	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.2
2033	25	MLB MLE	KC	57%	445	406	88	14	3	7	30	120	6	10	3	217	281	319	600	102	287	27	7	272	70	-16	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.3
2034	26	MLB MLE	KC	56%	445	406	88	14	3	7	30	120	6	10	3	217	281	320	601	102	286	27	7	272	70	-16	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.3
2035	27	MLB MLE	KC	55%	445	406	88	14	3	7	30	120	6	10	3	216	280	317	597	101	286	27	7	270	69	-16	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.2
2036	28	MLB MLE	KC	55%	445	406	87	13	3	7	30	121	6	9	3	214	278	312	590	98	285	27	7	268	67	-17	+1	-1	+8	+10	0.0
2037	29	MLB MLE	KC	58%	445	406	86	13	3	7	30	123	6	9	3	212	275	306	581	94	283	28	7	264	65	-19	+1	-1	+8	+10	-0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	KC	34%	36	34	6	1	0	0	2	10	0	1	0	202	263	275	538	74	280	28	6	246	54	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	KC	48%	96	89	19	3	1	1	6	27	1	2	1	206	268	287	555	81	281	28	6	253	59	-5	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	KC	54%	168	153	32	5	1	2	11	46	2	4	1	209	272	297	569	88	282	27	7	259	63	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.0
2031	23	MLB CTX	KC	57%	224	204	44	7	2	3	15	61	3	5	1	212	276	305	581	93	284	27	7	264	67	-9	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.1
2032	24	MLB CTX	KC	57%	252	230	50	8	2	4	17	68	3	6	1	215	279	312	591	98	285	27	7	268	70	-9	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2033	25	MLB CTX	KC	57%	251	229	50	8	2	4	17	68	3	6	1	215	279	314	593	99	285	27	7	269	70	-9	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2034	26	MLB CTX	KC	56%	251	229	50	8	2	4	17	68	3	6	1	215	279	314	593	99	284	27	7	269	70	-9	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2035	27	MLB CTX	KC	55%	247	225	48	7	2	4	17	67	3	5	1	214	278	311	590	98	284	27	7	267	69	-9	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.1
2036	28	MLB CTX	KC	55%	244	222	47	7	2	3	17	67	3	5	1	212	276	307	583	95	283	27	7	265	67	-10	+1	-0	+4	+5	0.0
2037	29	MLB CTX	KC	58%	258	236	51	8	2	4	17	71	3	5	2	210	273	301	574	91	281	28	7	261	65	-11	+0	-1	+5	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2027	1851	397	62	16	29	136	553	24	45	10	214	277	312	589	98	288	27	7	265	66	-79	+5	-1	+36	+44	0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	594	127	20	5	9	44	177	8	14	3	214	278	310	588	96	287	27	7	265	66	-25	+2	-0	+12	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	3928	3581	766	117	26	55	259	1078	55	92	25	214	277	307	584	93	288	27	7	265	66	-148	+7	-2	+67	+81	0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	593	126	19	4	9	43	178	9	15	4	212	276	304	580	91	286	27	7	265	66	-26	+1	-0	+12	+14	0.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL Royals · 87 PAwOBA .337 → .248 (−89)K% 27.6% → 39.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.59%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	39.72%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.05%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×1.008	5.03%
HBP% /PA	2.30%	—	×0.720	—	×1.008	1.67%
Singles /BIP	46.00%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×1.008	38.00%
Doubles /BIP	4.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×1.008	2.90%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .337 → .248; ISO .027 → .018; BABIP .490 → .400. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Royals Ventura · 113 PAwOBA .331 → .226 (−105)K% 17.7% → 22.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.70%	÷0.952	×1.220	—	—	22.69%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.96%	÷1.097	×0.700	—	×1.008	5.12%
HBP% /PA	2.65%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	1.87%
Singles /BIP	28.21%	÷1.025	×0.680	×1.050	×1.008	19.80%
Doubles /BIP	6.41%	÷1.060	×0.600	×1.050	×1.008	3.84%
Triples /BIP	2.56%	÷0.950	×0.600	×1.050	×1.008	1.71%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.877	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 105, 2B 112, 3B 90, K 90, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .331 → .226; ISO .092 → .059; BABIP .367 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.1	2,077	31	46	215	275	312	+37	+24	1.7	1.8
/162	664	10	15	+11.9	+7.7	0.5	pk7: 2
#4Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2
#5Steve Swisher'74-'82 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,577 PA	2.4	1,577	20	4	211*	275*	330*	+28	+0	-0.1	0.6
/162	664	8	2	+11.9	+0.0	-0.0	pk7: 1
#6Andy Allanson'86-'95 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	16	23	238*	283*	326*	+29	-0	0.3	0.5
/162	664	7	9	+11.6	-0.1	0.1	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Moises Marchán (OGILVIE)	19	34→39	28→33	52→57	45	197/255/262	65	279	0	1	29%	6%	48	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ryan Burrowes 2024 · A	19	40→45	36→40	52→60	40	188/258/259	71	285	3	14	33%	6%	49	-2.4	197/264/267	70	320	5	25	37%	7%	53	-2.1	200/271/277	77	308	7	32	35%	7%	56	-1.4
✕Jose Rosario 2011 · A	19	41	38→40	50	42	199/262/275	76	274	5	10	28%	6%	54	-2.0	214/261/320	106	270	10	12	24%	4%	63	-1.3	230/277/334	104	276	9	10	19%	4%	68	-0.4
✕Luis Andujar 2019 · A	19	40	36→30	53→50	41	189/245/254	65	270	3	9	30%	6%	42	-2.9	201/270/270	69	272	3	10	25%	8%	55	-1.9	192/273/252	60	253	1	12	22%	9%	53	-0.9
✕Adrian De Leon 2023 · A	19	41	37→40	47→45	46	194/269/265	72	268	4	7	28%	8%	55	-2.0	194/292/269	75	320	6	5	37%	9%	65	-1.2	160/270/224	63	280	5	3	40%	10%	47	-1.1
✕Franklin Torres 2016 · A	19	45→41	34→40	52→50	43	207/265/260	53	282	1	12	26%	6%	51	-2.3	211/260/284	73	273	5	8	23%	6%	54	-2.0	215/266/298	84	270	7	7	22%	6%	58	-0.8
✕Alfredo González 2011 · A	19	40	36→40	48→45	45	189/256/257	68	261	3	9	27%	8%	47	-2.5	183/228/250	67	245	3	9	25%	4%	34	-3.5	223/284/281	57	303	4	8	26%	7%	60	-0.5
✕Ricardo Cova 2023 · A	19	40→50	37→45	50→55	38	194/252/265	71	279	5	10	31%	5%	47	-2.5	212/270/300	88	304	7	18	30%	6%	62	-1.4	232/278/345	113	290	9	21	23%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Jesus Castillo 2022 · A	19	40→43	34→30	51→50	45	189/256/237	48	251	2	16	24%	7%	42	-2.9	211/305/254	43	285	1	19	23%	10%	66	-1.1	200/318/229	29	278	1	24	24%	13%	64	-0.5
✕Esteban Mejia 2024 · A	19	39	36→40	55→50	41	188/242/257	68	263	3	15	28%	6%	41	-3.0	199/263/280	81	297	6	14	32%	7%	55	-1.9	196/265/273	77	287	7	15	32%	7%	52	-1.1
✕Andres Regnault 2018 · A	19	36	36→45	46→45	43	175/246/237	62	253	4	6	31%	7%	39	-3.1	208/272/308	100	260	8	7	22%	6%	65	-1.2	204/273/325	121	234	12	6	18%	6%	69	-0.4
✕Cristian Hernández 2023 · A	19	40→48	38→45	51→60	39	192/252/263	71	298	6	14	36%	7%	47	-2.6	201/266/279	78	305	5	23	33%	8%	55	-1.9	217/285/319	102	301	8	34	29%	8%	69	-0.8
✕Jason Lopez 2017 · A	19	39	37→50	49→45	46	189/256/259	71	249	5	11	25%	7%	48	-2.5	203/254/307	104	277	9	7	29%	6%	57	-1.8	192/240/305	113	271	11	8	32%	6%	50	-1.0
✕Heiker Meneses 2010 · A	19	35→45	34→40	56→55	47	166/264/218	52	252	2	18	31%	9%	43	-2.8	207/263/280	73	304	4	18	31%	5%	55	-2.0	236/284/314	78	342	3	18	30%	4%	66	-0.8
✕Miguel Palma 2021 · A	19	40	39→45	48→40	45	193/281/280	88	261	6	11	27%	7%	63	-1.3	215/293/337	122	281	13	5	27%	8%	80	-0.1	217/284/341	124	274	15	2	26%	7%	76	-0.2
✕Kenny Castillo 2023 · A	19	41	37→40	49→30	39	198/244/272	74	274	4	7	29%	5%	45	-2.7	208/252/287	79	295	5	4	30%	5%	51	-2.2	206/247/287	81	289	5	1	29%	4%	49	-1.1
✕Braulio Vasquez 2018 · A	19	47	34→40	52→65	44	215/281/268	53	304	1	15	28%	7%	59	-1.7	198/257/271	73	304	5	8	34%	6%	51	-2.3	189/270/268	79	286	5	32	33%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Andrés Nolaya 2024 · A	19	39	36→45	47→50	46	183/256/246	64	263	3	12	30%	8%	45	-2.7	196/270/269	73	284	4	17	30%	8%	55	-1.9	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Denzer Guzman 2023 · A	19	38→48	39→45	47→50	43	188/246/273	85	256	6	9	28%	7%	47	-2.6	195/254/294	99	297	8	8	35%	7%	55	-2.0	217/278/341	124	295	14	11	30%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Jesus Hernandez 2023 · A	19	42	35→40	52→55	50	200/266/258	58	248	3	15	20%	8%	51	-2.3	194/274/273	79	271	5	15	28%	10%	58	-1.7	199/280/289	90	282	6	24	29%	9%	62	-0.7
✕Luis De La Cruz 2008 · A	19	45	35→30	47→30	43	210/260/276	66	275	2	9	24%	6%	52	-2.2	194/230/270	76	251	4	5	23%	4%	39	-3.1	247/269/327	80	297	3	3	18%	3%	63	-0.4

Moises Marchán

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps