Moises Marchán — OGILVIE

Moises MarchánC ACL Royals

Age 18 R/R 6'1" / 160 lbs ROK HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION87 act + 8 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .125 / .125

PA8

HR0

K%25

BB%6

BABIP294

ISO68

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$13M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE43

scouting grade only

SPEED57

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$3M	+0.3	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$5M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	—	113	98	29	5	2	0	9	20	3	6	1	296	373	388	760	92	367	18	8	337	114	+2	+1	—	—	+2	0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	113	102	23	3	2	0	5	30	3	6	1	225	282	294	576	69	299	27	4	246	53	-6	+1	—	—	+2	-0.3
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	113	102	23	3	2	0	5	30	3	6	1	225	282	294	576	69	315	27	4	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Ventura	—	113	98	29	5	2	0	9	20	3	6	1	296	373	388	760	92	367	18	8	337	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	113	104	23	3	2	0	5	30	3	6	1	221	282	288	570	67	299	27	4	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	113	104	23	3	2	0	5	30	3	6	1	221	282	288	570	67	299	27	4	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	KC	—	87	78	19	1	0	0	4	35	2	5	0	244	298	256	554	13	432	40	5	246	53	-5	+1	+0	+2	+2	-0.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	KC	—	87	74	25	2	0	0	7	24	2	5	0	338	405	365	770	27	490	28	8	342	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	KC	0%	8	8	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	125	125	125	250		297	25	0	241	49	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	18	ROK MLE	KC	—	95	86	20	1	0	0	4	37	2	5	0	233	283	244	527	12	400	39	4	246	52	-5	+1	+0	+2	+2	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	KC	34%	188	171	36	5	1	2	12	56	3	4	1	211	274	287	561	76	299	30	6	255	59	-9	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
2028	20	MLB MLE	KC	48%	328	299	64	9	2	4	21	95	5	7	1	214	277	298	575	84	300	29	6	265	65	-14	+1	+0	+6	+7	0.0
2029	21	MLB MLE	KC	54%	434	395	87	13	3	6	29	124	7	10	2	220	285	314	599	94	300	29	7	271	70	-16	+1	+0	+8	+9	0.3
2030	22	MLB MLE	KC	57%	510	463	103	15	3	8	34	144	8	12	2	222	287	320	607	97	301	28	7	275	72	-17	+2	+0	+9	+11	0.5
2031	23	MLB MLE	KC	58%	520	472	106	16	3	9	35	146	8	12	2	225	289	328	618	104	302	28	7	277	74	-16	+2	+0	+9	+11	0.6
2032	24	MLB MLE	KC	57%	520	472	107	16	3	9	35	146	8	12	2	227	291	331	622	104	303	28	7	279	75	-15	+2	+0	+9	+11	0.7
2033	25	MLB MLE	KC	57%	520	472	107	16	3	9	35	146	8	12	2	227	291	331	622	104	303	28	7	280	76	-15	+2	+0	+9	+11	0.7
2034	26	MLB MLE	KC	57%	520	472	107	16	3	9	35	146	8	12	2	227	291	331	622	104	302	28	7	280	76	-15	+2	+0	+9	+11	0.7
2035	27	MLB MLE	KC	60%	520	471	106	16	3	9	36	146	8	12	2	225	291	329	620	104	302	28	7	280	76	-15	+2	+0	+9	+11	0.7
2036	28	MLB MLE	KC	62%	520	471	105	15	3	9	36	147	8	12	2	223	289	325	614	102	302	28	7	279	75	-15	+2	-1	+9	+11	0.6
2037	29	MLB MLE	KC	63%	520	470	105	15	3	9	37	148	8	11	2	223	291	326	617	102	301	28	7	277	74	-16	+1	-1	+9	+11	0.5
2038	30	MLB MLE	KC	63%	520	470	104	15	3	8	37	149	8	11	2	221	289	317	606	96	300	29	7	275	72	-17	+1	-2	+9	+11	0.3
2039	31	MLB MLE	KC	65%	504	456	100	14	3	8	35	146	8	10	2	219	287	316	602	96	297	29	7	270	69	-18	+1	-3	+9	+11	-0.0
2027	19	MLB CTX	KC	34%	65	60	13	2	0	1	4	19	1	1	0	217	277	300	577	83	296	29	6	242	59	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	20	MLB CTX	KC	48%	159	146	31	4	1	2	10	46	2	4	1	212	272	295	567	82	297	29	6	250	65	-7	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	KC	54%	235	214	47	7	2	3	15	67	4	5	1	220	283	313	596	93	297	29	6	256	70	-8	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	KC	57%	289	263	57	8	2	4	19	82	5	7	1	217	282	308	590	91	298	28	7	260	72	-9	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2031	23	MLB CTX	KC	58%	299	272	61	9	2	5	20	84	5	7	1	224	290	327	617	103	299	28	7	262	74	-9	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2032	24	MLB CTX	KC	57%	296	269	60	9	2	5	20	83	5	7	1	223	289	327	616	104	300	28	7	263	75	-9	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2033	25	MLB CTX	KC	57%	295	268	60	9	2	5	20	83	5	7	1	224	290	328	618	104	300	28	7	264	76	-9	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2034	26	MLB CTX	KC	57%	294	267	60	9	2	5	20	82	5	7	1	225	291	330	621	105	299	28	7	264	76	-8	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2035	27	MLB CTX	KC	60%	311	282	62	9	2	5	21	87	5	7	1	220	286	319	605	99	299	28	7	265	76	-9	+1	+0	+6	+7	0.4
2036	28	MLB CTX	KC	62%	321	291	64	9	2	5	22	91	5	7	1	220	286	316	602	96	299	28	7	264	75	-9	+1	-0	+6	+7	0.4
2037	29	MLB CTX	KC	63%	327	296	65	9	2	5	23	93	5	7	1	220	287	314	601	95	298	28	7	262	74	-10	+1	-1	+6	+7	0.3
2038	30	MLB CTX	KC	63%	330	299	65	9	2	5	23	95	5	7	1	217	284	311	595	94	297	29	7	259	72	-11	+1	-1	+6	+7	0.2
2039	31	MLB CTX	KC	65%	328	297	64	9	2	5	23	95	5	7	1	215	283	310	593	94	294	29	7	255	69	-12	+1	-2	+6	+7	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3549	3224	709	102	23	55	240	1007	57	80	12	220	286	317	603	97	300	28	7	260	72	-114	+11	-4	+63	+77	3.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	130	19	4	10	44	184	10	15	2	220	285	317	602	97	301	28	7	260	72	-21	+2	-1	+12	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	6245	5664	1261	184	38	99	422	1771	98	143	25	223	288	321	609	98	303	28	7	275	72	-199	+18	-7	+110	+133	5.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	131	19	4	10	44	184	10	15	3	222	288	319	606	97	302	28	7	275	72	-21	+2	-1	+12	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Cesar Izturislast yr '13 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,646 PA	7.0	4,646	17	110	254	293	322	+38	+94	10.9	11.4
/162	664	2	16	+5.4	+13.5	1.6	pk7: 12
#3Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	4.3	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
/162	664	4	15	+6.9	+19.7	2.4	pk7: 11
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#5Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.5	3,645	58	81	222	285	321	+65	+32	5.8	5.0
/162	664	11	15	+11.9	+5.8	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Moises Marchán (OGILVIE)	18	30→35	28→33	52→57	43	202/259/261	59	297	1	3	31%	6%	49	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Rafael Herrera 2019 · A	18	43	35→40	52→50	45	200/267/266	67	269	2	12	25%	7%	53	-2.1	218/286/298	80	291	4	12	24%	8%	68	-1.0	229/304/310	81	297	4	17	22%	9%	74	-0.2
✕Marco Soto 2022 · A	18	41	36→30	52→50	42	194/263/258	64	277	3	10	29%	6%	51	-2.3	201/256/257	56	270	2	8	25%	5%	47	-2.5	183/237/221	38	251	1	8	26%	5%	30	-0.9
✕Dennys Riera 2023 · A	18	35	39→40	50	36	173/231/260	87	272	7	6	37%	6%	38	-3.2	172/242/246	74	249	5	6	31%	6%	40	-3.0	183/266/258	74	252	5	7	27%	5%	53	-0.5
✕Hidekel Abreu 2016 · A	18	42	36→40	49→50	45	199/266/263	64	280	3	8	28%	8%	52	-2.2	223/284/304	81	293	5	10	24%	7%	68	-1.0	237/299/317	80	300	6	12	21%	8%	72	-0.3
✕Juan Zabala 2017 · A	18	41	36→40	49→50	40	193/261/259	66	274	3	10	29%	6%	50	-2.3	185/266/247	62	249	2	7	24%	8%	50	-2.3	205/284/282	77	268	6	17	24%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Manuel Falcon 2008 · A	18	43	35→30	49→50	41	200/260/254	54	286	2	8	29%	6%	48	-2.5	227/283/274	47	287	1	10	20%	6%	61	-1.5	240/298/272	32	295	0	11	17%	6%	65	-0.5
✕Daniel Santos 2017 · A	18	40	35→45	51→40	43	188/256/247	59	280	3	8	32%	8%	45	-2.7	189/258/268	79	267	5	6	29%	6%	51	-2.3	173/243/251	78	245	5	4	30%	6%	41	-0.8
✕Jesus Galiz 2022 · A	18	40	36→45	51→40	41	191/243/257	66	253	3	7	25%	5%	42	-2.9	199/256/306	107	288	10	4	33%	6%	59	-1.7	191/250/291	100	290	9	2	35%	5%	52	-1.1
✕Marco Guzman 2013 · A	18	37	35→45	47→50	47	176/257/242	66	244	2	8	26%	8%	45	-2.7	198/263/278	80	251	4	7	22%	8%	55	-2.0	224/262/324	100	290	5	8	24%	5%	62	-0.5
✕Alexander Benua 2022 · A	18	36	35→40	54→55	39	170/242/230	60	260	2	13	33%	6%	36	-3.3	191/259/266	75	288	5	16	33%	6%	51	-2.3	185/255/265	80	288	6	17	35%	7%	48	-0.9
✕Yordany De Los Santos 2023 · A	18	42→40	36→45	51→60	46	196/275/269	73	281	3	13	29%	8%	57	-1.8	201/270/288	87	311	7	23	35%	7%	60	-1.6	204/257/327	123	302	13	35	35%	6%	61	-1.1
✕Victor Tademo 2018 · A	19	39	37→40	52→55	37	189/240/263	74	277	4	14	32%	5%	42	-2.9	195/241/256	61	285	3	7	31%	5%	40	-3.0	181/217/201	20	252	0	3	27%	4%	17	-1.4
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	39	36→30	48→50	45	186/255/247	61	260	3	12	28%	8%	45	-2.7	210/266/251	41	261	1	14	19%	7%	49	-2.4	233/291/254	20	278	0	16	15%	7%	56	-0.6
✕Raul Juarez 2016 · A	18	37	38→45	45→40	37	182/242/262	80	251	5	7	29%	4%	43	-2.8	207/265/290	83	274	7	5	26%	5%	58	-1.7	203/259/274	71	266	8	3	26%	4%	50	-0.6
✕Rafael P Valera 2013 · A	18	43	35→30	48→55	46	201/273/256	55	281	2	11	27%	8%	53	-2.1	207/290/260	53	271	1	14	22%	9%	61	-1.5	216/289/281	65	299	0	7	25%	8%	62	-0.4
✕Rodolfo Durán 2016 · A	18	39	36→50	45	37	189/231/257	68	267	3	6	30%	5%	37	-3.3	211/249/327	116	282	13	5	29%	5%	60	-1.6	225/268/375	150	277	17	3	25%	5%	76	-0.2
✕Luis Palacios 2007 · A	18	43	37→40	50	47	203/279/272	70	286	4	13	29%	8%	59	-1.6	204/261/283	79	271	5	7	25%	6%	55	-2.0	192/241/268	76	252	6	4	25%	5%	42	-1.0
✕Luis Andujar 2019 · A	19	42	37→40	53→50	38	197/250/268	71	300	4	9	34%	6%	47	-2.5	215/278/290	75	306	3	10	28%	7%	63	-1.4	221/291/292	71	306	2	12	26%	8%	68	-0.4
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	41	35→45	44→50	47	190/277/250	60	289	2	10	32%	10%	55	-2.0	190/259/257	67	295	3	15	34%	7%	49	-2.4	198/276/278	80	279	7	21	29%	7%	58	-0.6
✕Juan Alonso 2022 · A	18	42→35	37→40	43→50	40	196/257/268	72	295	4	10	33%	6%	50	-2.3	186/284/265	79	353	5	9	43%	10%	61	-1.5	159/271/236	77	335	5	7	47%	10%	49	-1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps