Moises Marchán — OGILVIE

Moises MarchánC ACL Royals

Age 18 R/R 6'1" / 160 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION81 act + 54 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†50

AVG/OBP/SLG.180 / .241 / .200

PA54

HR0

K%31

BB%6

BABIP273

ISO20

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$8M	+$7M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.5	$7M	+$7M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.6	$7M	+$7M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+1.6	$6M	+$5M
2036	Arb-2	$5M	+1.5	$6M	+$4M
2037	Arb-3	$6M	+1.3	$5M	+$3M
Totals		$17M		$38M	+$32M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	—	113	102	22	3	2	0	5	32	3	6	1	216	273	284	557	69	310	28	4	236	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	—	113	98	29	5	2	0	9	20	3	6	1	296	373	388	760	92	367	18	8	337	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	KC	—	81	72	18	1	0	0	4	32	2	4	0	250	308	264	572	14	439	40	5	253	52	-4	+1	+0	+1	+2	0.0
YTD	18	ROK	KC	—	81	69	24	2	0	0	6	22	2	4	0	348	410	377	787	29	500	27	7	347	124	+2	+1	+0	+1	+2	0.7
ROS	18	ROK	KC	0%	54	50	9	1	0	0	3	17	1	1	0	180	241	200	441	20	309	31	6	251	50	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
ROS	18	MLB	KC	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		306	—	—	238	40	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	KC	—	81	73	18	1	0	0	4	32	2	4	0	247	308	260	568	14	429	40	5	253	52	-4	+1	+0	+1	+2	0.0
TOT	18	ROK	KC	—	135	122	27	2	0	0	7	49	3	5	0	221	280	238	518	16	365	36	5	252	51	-7	+1	+0	+2	+4	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	KC	34%	188	171	37	5	1	2	12	56	3	4	1	216	280	292	572	76	310	30	6	265	61	-8	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.1
2028	20	MLB	KC	48%	328	299	68	10	2	5	21	95	5	7	1	227	289	324	614	97	310	29	6	275	68	-12	+1	+0	+6	+9	0.4
2029	21	MLB	KC	54%	434	395	90	13	3	7	29	123	7	9	2	228	292	329	621	101	311	28	7	281	73	-13	+1	+0	+8	+12	0.8
2030	22	MLB	KC	57%	510	463	107	16	3	9	34	144	8	11	2	231	295	337	632	106	311	28	7	286	77	-13	+1	+0	+9	+14	1.2
2031	23	MLB	KC	58%	520	472	110	16	3	10	35	146	8	11	2	233	297	343	640	110	312	28	7	289	79	-12	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.3
2032	24	MLB	KC	57%	520	472	110	16	3	10	35	145	8	11	2	233	297	343	640	110	313	28	7	291	81	-11	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.5
2033	25	MLB	KC	57%	520	471	111	16	3	11	35	145	9	11	2	236	301	352	653	117	313	28	7	293	82	-10	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.5
2034	26	MLB	KC	57%	520	471	111	16	3	11	35	145	9	11	2	236	301	352	653	117	313	28	7	294	83	-10	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.6
2035	27	MLB	KC	55%	520	470	111	16	3	11	36	146	9	11	2	236	303	353	656	117	313	28	7	294	83	-10	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.6
2036	28	MLB	KC	59%	520	470	110	16	3	11	36	146	9	11	2	234	301	351	652	117	312	28	7	293	82	-10	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.5
2037	29	MLB	KC	61%	520	470	110	16	3	11	37	147	8	11	2	234	301	351	652	117	311	28	7	291	81	-11	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.3
2038	30	MLB	KC	62%	520	470	108	15	3	10	37	149	8	11	2	230	297	338	635	109	310	29	7	288	79	-13	+1	-2	+9	+15	1.1
2039	31	MLB	KC	63%	504	455	104	14	3	10	36	146	8	10	2	229	297	338	635	110	308	29	7	284	75	-14	+1	-3	+9	+14	0.8
2027	19	MLB	KC	34%	65	60	13	2	0	1	4	19	1	1	0	217	277	300	577	83	307	29	6	251	50	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	20	MLB	KC	48%	159	145	33	5	1	2	10	46	3	3	1	228	291	317	608	90	307	29	6	260	57	-8	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.0
2029	21	MLB	KC	54%	235	213	48	7	1	4	16	67	4	5	1	225	292	324	616	99	307	29	7	266	62	-10	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.1
2030	22	MLB	KC	57%	289	263	60	9	2	5	19	81	5	6	1	228	293	335	627	106	308	28	7	271	65	-11	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.3
2031	23	MLB	KC	58%	299	272	62	9	2	5	20	84	5	6	1	228	293	331	624	103	309	28	7	273	67	-11	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.4
2032	24	MLB	KC	57%	296	269	63	9	2	6	20	83	5	6	1	234	299	349	649	115	309	28	7	276	69	-10	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.4
2033	25	MLB	KC	57%	295	268	63	9	2	6	20	82	5	6	1	235	300	351	651	116	310	28	7	277	70	-10	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.5
2034	26	MLB	KC	57%	294	267	62	9	2	6	20	82	5	6	1	232	298	348	646	116	309	28	7	278	71	-10	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.5
2035	27	MLB	KC	55%	289	262	61	9	2	6	20	81	5	6	1	233	300	351	651	118	309	28	7	278	71	-9	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.5
2036	28	MLB	KC	59%	307	277	64	9	2	6	22	86	5	6	1	231	299	343	642	112	309	28	7	277	70	-10	+1	-0	+5	+9	0.4
2037	29	MLB	KC	61%	317	287	65	9	2	6	22	90	5	7	1	226	293	334	627	108	308	28	7	276	69	-11	+1	-1	+6	+9	0.4
2038	30	MLB	KC	62%	324	293	66	9	2	6	23	93	5	7	1	225	293	331	624	106	307	29	7	273	67	-12	+1	-1	+6	+9	0.3
2039	31	MLB	KC	63%	318	288	65	9	2	6	22	92	5	6	1	226	292	333	625	108	304	29	7	269	64	-13	+1	-2	+6	+9	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3487	3165	725	104	22	65	238	986	58	71	12	229	295	337	633	108	310	28	7	273	67	-129	+9	-4	+62	+99	3.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	135	19	4	12	44	184	11	13	2	229	295	336	630	107	310	28	7	273	67	-24	+2	-1	+12	+18	0.7
Career	—			—	6291	5701	1318	189	38	118	426	1782	103	136	25	231	296	340	636	109	313	28	7	287	78	-159	+17	-7	+112	+178	14.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	137	20	4	12	44	184	11	14	3	233	299	341	640	109	315	28	7	287	78	-16	+2	-1	+12	+18	1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	—	113	98	29	5	2	0	9	20	3	6	1	296	373	388	760	92	367	18	8	337	116	+2	+1	—	—	+3	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	11	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
	/162	664	24	9	241	275	417	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
	/162	664	17	9	246	292	387	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#3Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	9	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.9
	/162	664	7	7	253	291	351	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	3,583	68	75	232	294	342	+64	+32	8.5	7.2
	/162	664	13	14	232	294	342	+11.9	+5.9	1.6	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Moises Marchán (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	221/280/238	16	365	0	5	36%	5%	51	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→46	36→50	49→45	39	193/237/259	66	276	3	8	30%	5%	32	-3.0	204/249/275	71	283	5	10	28%	5%	41	-2.3	232/296/366	134	301	16	8	27%	6%	83	+0.3
✕Ricardo Cova 2022 · A	18	44	38→50	47→55	44	212/278/287	75	273	6	9	24%	6%	57	-1.2	209/268/294	85	323	7	15	35%	6%	55	-1.4	235/286/365	130	286	14	20	22%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Jhoneiker Betancourt 2018 · A	18	45	37→55	51→40	37	209/263/281	71	306	3	8	31%	5%	49	-1.8	197/253/262	65	271	2	5	27%	5%	40	-2.4	183/253/290	107	242	12	2	29%	6%	49	-0.6
✕Raul Juarez 2016 · A	18	37	38→45	45→40	37	182/242/262	80	251	5	7	29%	4%	36	-2.7	207/265/290	83	274	7	5	26%	5%	53	-1.5	203/259/274	71	266	8	3	26%	4%	44	-0.5
✕Hidekel Gonzalez 2015 · A	18	44	37→45	47→45	37	205/260/286	81	312	4	7	34%	5%	49	-1.8	227/275/314	87	287	6	8	22%	5%	63	-0.9	241/291/328	87	291	6	8	19%	4%	72	-0.1
✕Jesus Galiz 2022 · A	18	40	36→45	51→40	40	190/241/256	66	253	3	7	25%	5%	33	-2.9	200/258/308	108	293	10	4	33%	6%	55	-1.4	189/250/287	98	295	8	2	37%	6%	45	-1.0
✕Victor Heredia 2018 · A	18	45	38→50	49→30	42	211/275/293	82	307	6	6	31%	7%	57	-1.2	221/268/323	102	290	9	4	26%	5%	62	-0.9	221/264/326	105	281	10	1	25%	4%	63	-0.3
✕Hidekel Abreu 2016 · A	18	42	36→40	49→50	45	199/266/263	64	280	3	8	28%	8%	46	-2.0	223/284/304	81	293	5	10	24%	7%	63	-0.8	237/299/317	80	300	6	12	21%	8%	68	-0.2
✕Jason Lopez 2016 · A	18	41	36→55	49→45	47	196/260/260	65	259	4	13	25%	8%	43	-2.2	203/259/301	98	276	9	9	28%	6%	53	-1.5	189/235/314	124	265	13	8	33%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Daniel Santos 2017 · A	18	40	35→45	51→40	43	188/256/247	59	280	3	8	32%	8%	37	-2.6	189/258/268	79	267	5	6	29%	6%	44	-2.1	173/243/251	78	245	5	4	30%	6%	33	-0.8
✕Yordany De Los Santos 2023 · A	18	42→39	36→45	51→60	46	193/275/265	72	282	3	13	30%	9%	51	-1.7	203/273/292	89	313	7	23	34%	8%	56	-1.3	206/260/333	127	301	14	35	35%	6%	58	-0.7
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2016 · A	18	44	37→55	50→45	43	208/271/281	73	270	4	6	23%	6%	53	-1.5	241/286/357	116	275	12	5	17%	5%	79	+0.3	241/284/373	131	274	16	5	18%	5%	80	+0.2
✕Rafael Herrera 2019 · A	18	43	35→40	52→50	45	200/267/266	67	269	2	12	25%	7%	47	-1.9	218/286/298	80	291	4	12	24%	8%	63	-0.8	229/304/310	81	297	4	17	22%	9%	71	-0.1
✕Yordalin Peña 2023 · A	18	41→39	40→55	55	37	198/247/291	93	283	6	10	31%	5%	45	-2.1	188/247/280	92	276	6	12	32%	6%	42	-2.3	189/253/317	128	293	11	17	37%	7%	53	-0.7
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	41	35→45	44→55	47	190/278/250	60	289	2	10	32%	10%	49	-1.8	189/258/257	68	296	3	15	34%	8%	41	-2.3	194/269/271	76	278	5	22	30%	7%	48	-0.6
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2019 · A	18	42→48	39→55	51→55	40	205/251/286	81	270	6	16	26%	5%	45	-2.1	206/254/321	115	262	11	14	25%	5%	56	-1.3	247/287/396	150	298	15	20	22%	4%	88	+0.7
✕Rodolfo Durán 2016 · A	18	39	36→55	45→40	37	189/231/257	68	267	3	6	30%	5%	29	-3.2	211/250/329	118	282	13	5	29%	5%	56	-1.3	225/266/386	161	276	19	3	26%	4%	75	-0.0
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43	40→50	55	41	205/263/297	92	301	7	14	33%	7%	53	-1.5	187/262/281	94	277	7	12	32%	8%	50	-1.8	192/266/303	111	286	10	18	34%	8%	55	-0.5
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2017 · A	18	37	35→40	51→60	40	176/238/231	55	271	2	17	34%	7%	25	-3.5	204/268/282	78	293	5	21	30%	8%	52	-1.6	192/263/269	77	285	7	32	32%	8%	44	-0.7
✕Maximo Rivera 2011 · A	18	40	35→45	46→60	39	188/247/243	55	285	3	9	33%	6%	33	-2.9	208/263/297	89	272	9	19	26%	6%	53	-1.5	235/283/299	64	302	5	24	23%	5%	60	-0.3