Kenny Castillo
C Hillsboro Hops| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20 | AARI | 382 | .280/.332/.376 | 4 | 2 | 59 | — | .233/.276/.307 |
| 2025 | 21 | A+/INTL2 orgs | 295 | .231/.285/.358 | 5 | 0 | 49 | — | .184/.224/.286 |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ARI | 338 | .258/.311/.400 | 8 | 1 | 54 | — | .210/.254/.317 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 23 | MLBARI | 1 | .212/.252/.316 | 0 | 0 | 53 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 24 | MLBARI | 78 | .216/.259/.329 | 1 | 1 | 59 | -0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ44% MLB | 25 | MLBARI | 141 | .219/.264/.336 | 3 | 1 | 63 | -0.0 |
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 35
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | DSL D-backs 1 | — | 174 | 156 | 46 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 295 | 364 | 417 | 781 | 122 | 341 | 14 | 7 | 350 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | ACL D-backs Red | — | 154 | 141 | 36 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 39 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 255 | 309 | 355 | 664 | 99 | 337 | 25 | 6 | 296 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A | Visalia Rawhide | — | 93 | 87 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 207 | 250 | 264 | 514 | 57 | 273 | 24 | 4 | 233 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | ACL D-backs Black | — | 69 | 59 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 339 | 426 | 492 | 918 | 153 | 365 | 10 | 10 | 404 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A | Visalia Rawhide | — | 382 | 346 | 97 | 21 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 93 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 280 | 332 | 376 | 708 | 95 | 362 | 24 | 5 | 313 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ | Hillsboro Hops | — | 251 | 230 | 51 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 52 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 272 | 348 | 620 | 126 | 263 | 21 | 6 | 273 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | INTL | Salt River Rafters | — | 44 | 38 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 289 | 357 | 421 | 778 | 132 | 385 | 30 | 5 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ | Hillsboro Hops | — | 338 | 310 | 80 | 18 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 73 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 258 | 311 | 400 | 711 | 142 | 309 | 22 | 6 | 314 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL D-backs 1 | — | 174 | 161 | 31 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 193 | 249 | 273 | 522 | 81 | 221 | 17 | 4 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs Red | — | 154 | 145 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 56 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 186 | 224 | 248 | 472 | 62 | 285 | 36 | 4 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 93 | 88 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 159 | 196 | 205 | 400 | 45 | 240 | 31 | 3 | 184 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs Black | — | 69 | 62 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 242 | 309 | 355 | 664 | 113 | 270 | 14 | 6 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 382 | 352 | 82 | 17 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 125 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 233 | 276 | 307 | 583 | 74 | 327 | 33 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | Hillsboro Hops | — | 251 | 234 | 43 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 70 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 184 | 224 | 286 | 510 | 103 | 234 | 28 | 4 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ MLE | Hillsboro Hops | — | 338 | 315 | 66 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 99 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 210 | 254 | 317 | 572 | 108 | 272 | 29 | 4 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL D-backs 1 | — | 174 | 161 | 31 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 193 | 249 | 273 | 522 | 81 | 227 | 17 | 4 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL D-backs 1 | — | 174 | 156 | 46 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 295 | 364 | 417 | 781 | 122 | 341 | 14 | 7 | 350 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs Red | — | 154 | 145 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 56 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 186 | 224 | 248 | 472 | 62 | 292 | 36 | 4 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK RAW | ACL D-backs Red | — | 154 | 141 | 36 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 39 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 255 | 309 | 355 | 664 | 99 | 337 | 25 | 6 | 296 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 162 | 150 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 39 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 250 | 280 | 530 | 80 | 259 | 24 | 4 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 162 | 146 | 38 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 260 | 325 | 356 | 681 | 96 | 314 | 18 | 7 | 306 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 382 | 352 | 82 | 17 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 125 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 233 | 276 | 307 | 583 | 74 | 341 | 33 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A RAW | Visalia Rawhide | — | 382 | 346 | 97 | 21 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 93 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 280 | 332 | 376 | 708 | 95 | 362 | 24 | 5 | 313 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 295 | 273 | 51 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 82 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 187 | 229 | 293 | 522 | 106 | 242 | 28 | 4 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 295 | 268 | 62 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 65 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 231 | 285 | 358 | 643 | 127 | 278 | 22 | 6 | 282 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ MLE | Hillsboro Hops | — | 338 | 315 | 66 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 99 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 210 | 254 | 317 | 572 | 108 | 280 | 29 | 4 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ RAW | Hillsboro Hops | — | 338 | 310 | 80 | 18 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 73 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 258 | 311 | 400 | 711 | 142 | 309 | 22 | 6 | 314 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL D-backs 1 | — | 174 | 160 | 31 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 194 | 249 | 275 | 524 | 81 | 221 | 17 | 4 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs Red | — | 154 | 146 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 56 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 185 | 224 | 247 | 470 | 62 | 285 | 36 | 4 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 162 | 151 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 39 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 199 | 250 | 278 | 528 | 79 | 253 | 24 | 4 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 382 | 358 | 82 | 17 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 125 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 229 | 276 | 302 | 578 | 73 | 327 | 33 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 295 | 278 | 51 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 82 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 183 | 229 | 288 | 517 | 104 | 234 | 28 | 4 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ MLE | Hillsboro Hops | — | 338 | 316 | 66 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 99 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 209 | 254 | 316 | 571 | 108 | 272 | 29 | 4 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 382 | 358 | 82 | 17 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 125 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 229 | 276 | 302 | 578 | 73 | 327 | 33 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 295 | 278 | 51 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 82 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 183 | 229 | 288 | 517 | 104 | 234 | 28 | 4 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ MLE | Hillsboro Hops | — | 338 | 316 | 66 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 99 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 209 | 254 | 316 | 571 | 108 | 272 | 29 | 4 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB MLE | ARI | 0% | 448 | 422 | 87 | 20 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 122 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 205 | 246 | 305 | 552 | 100 | 269 | 27 | 4 | 247 | 53 | -25 | +0 | +0 | +8 | +10 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB CTX | ARI | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 252 | 316 | 569 | 105 | 279 | 0 | 0 | 254 | 53 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 24 | MLB MLE | ARI | 30% | 256 | 240 | 50 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 68 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 210 | 253 | 318 | 572 | 109 | 271 | 27 | 5 | 255 | 59 | -12 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +6 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB MLE | ARI | 44% | 319 | 298 | 63 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 84 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 212 | 258 | 326 | 584 | 114 | 272 | 26 | 5 | 261 | 63 | -14 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +7 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB MLE | ARI | 51% | 358 | 334 | 72 | 16 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 94 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 214 | 261 | 330 | 591 | 116 | 273 | 26 | 5 | 264 | 65 | -15 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +8 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB MLE | ARI | 52% | 375 | 349 | 74 | 16 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 98 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 214 | 263 | 331 | 594 | 117 | 273 | 26 | 5 | 266 | 66 | -15 | +0 | +0 | +7 | +8 | -0.0 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB MLE | ARI | 53% | 380 | 353 | 76 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 99 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 214 | 264 | 331 | 594 | 116 | 273 | 26 | 6 | 266 | 66 | -15 | +0 | -1 | +7 | +8 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB MLE | ARI | 53% | 374 | 348 | 74 | 16 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 99 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 212 | 261 | 324 | 585 | 113 | 272 | 26 | 5 | 262 | 64 | -16 | -0 | -1 | +7 | +8 | -0.3 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB MLE | ARI | 52% | 365 | 340 | 71 | 15 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 98 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 209 | 257 | 317 | 574 | 108 | 270 | 27 | 5 | 257 | 60 | -17 | -1 | -2 | +7 | +8 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB CTX | ARI | 30% | 78 | 73 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 216 | 259 | 329 | 588 | 113 | 281 | 27 | 5 | 262 | 59 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB CTX | ARI | 44% | 141 | 132 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 37 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 219 | 264 | 336 | 600 | 118 | 282 | 26 | 5 | 267 | 63 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +3 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB CTX | ARI | 51% | 182 | 169 | 37 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 48 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 220 | 267 | 340 | 607 | 120 | 283 | 26 | 5 | 271 | 65 | -8 | -0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB CTX | ARI | 52% | 197 | 183 | 41 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 52 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 221 | 269 | 341 | 610 | 121 | 283 | 26 | 5 | 272 | 66 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +4 | -0.0 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB CTX | ARI | 53% | 203 | 188 | 42 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 53 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 220 | 270 | 340 | 610 | 120 | 283 | 26 | 5 | 272 | 66 | -8 | -0 | -0 | +4 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB CTX | ARI | 53% | 197 | 182 | 40 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 52 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 218 | 267 | 334 | 601 | 116 | 282 | 26 | 6 | 268 | 64 | -9 | -0 | -1 | +4 | +4 | -0.2 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB CTX | ARI | 52% | 190 | 176 | 38 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 51 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 215 | 263 | 326 | 589 | 112 | 279 | 27 | 5 | 264 | 60 | -9 | -0 | -1 | +3 | +4 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1188 | 1103 | 243 | 58 | 6 | 22 | 62 | 314 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 220 | 269 | 344 | 613 | 123 | 286 | 26 | 5 | 269 | 57 | -51 | -0 | -2 | +21 | +26 | -0.7 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 603 | 133 | 32 | 3 | 12 | 34 | 172 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 221 | 270 | 343 | 613 | 123 | 287 | 26 | 5 | 269 | 57 | -28 | -0 | -1 | +12 | +14 | -0.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4142 | 3855 | 808 | 180 | 12 | 65 | 196 | 1127 | 44 | 26 | 14 | 210 | 256 | 313 | 569 | 104 | 275 | 27 | 5 | 252 | 57 | -117 | -1 | -4 | +47 | +57 | -1.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 605 | 126 | 28 | 2 | 10 | 31 | 177 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 208 | 255 | 311 | 566 | 102 | 274 | 27 | 5 | 252 | 57 | -29 | -0 | -1 | +12 | +14 | -0.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Hillsboro Hops · 338 PAwOBA .309 → .248 (−61)K% 21.6% → 29.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.60% | ÷1.000 | ×1.350 | — | — | 29.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 4.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.18% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.012 | 0.97% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.36% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.984 | ×1.012 | 20.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.59% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.984 | ×1.012 | 6.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.42% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.984 | ×1.012 | 0.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.012 | 2.84% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.
Result: wOBA .309 → .248; ISO .142 → .111; BABIP .309 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Hillsboro Hops · 251 PAwOBA .271 → .224 (−47)K% 20.7% → 27.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.72% | ÷1.002 | ×1.350 | — | — | 27.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.98% | ÷1.044 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 4.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.40% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.027 | 0.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.42% | ÷1.012 | ×0.910 | ×0.969 | ×1.027 | 15.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.43% | ÷0.908 | ×0.830 | ×0.969 | ×1.027 | 7.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.56% | ÷1.150 | ×0.820 | ×0.969 | ×1.027 | 0.40% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.25% | ÷0.968 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.027 | 1.98% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 102, 2B 82, 3B 130, K 100, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.
Result: wOBA .271 → .224; ISO .126 → .106; BABIP .263 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AVisalia Rawhide · 382 PAwOBA .311 → .255 (−56)K% 24.3% → 32.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.35% | ÷1.009 | ×1.360 | — | — | 32.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.50% | ÷0.980 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 3.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.57% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 1.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.46% | ÷1.010 | ×0.920 | ×0.981 | ×1.030 | 26.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.30% | ÷0.964 | ×0.830 | ×0.981 | ×1.030 | 7.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.965 | ×0.910 | ×0.981 | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.58% | ÷1.102 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 1.18% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 102, 2B 93, 3B 93, K 102, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.
Result: wOBA .311 → .255; ISO .095 → .074; BABIP .362 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AVisalia Rawhide · 93 PAwOBA .229 → .184 (−45)K% 23.7% → 31.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.66% | ÷1.019 | ×1.360 | — | — | 31.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.30% | ÷0.987 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 3.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.08% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 0.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.54% | ÷1.060 | ×0.920 | ×0.974 | ×1.045 | 19.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.62% | ÷1.029 | ×0.830 | ×0.974 | ×1.045 | 3.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.54% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×0.974 | ×1.045 | 1.58% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.003 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 112, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 104, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.
Result: wOBA .229 → .184; ISO .057 → .048; BABIP .273 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL D-backs Black · 69 PAwOBA .400 → .294 (−106)K% 10.1% → 14.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.14% | ÷1.030 | ×1.440 | — | — | 14.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.14% | ÷1.001 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 6.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.90% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 2.10% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.073 | ×0.820 | ×0.970 | ×1.008 | 18.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.54% | ÷0.966 | ×0.720 | ×0.970 | ×1.008 | 8.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.950 | ×0.720 | ×0.970 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.92% | ÷1.038 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 1.46% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 115, 2B 93, 3B 90, K 106, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.
Result: wOBA .400 → .294; ISO .153 → .116; BABIP .365 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKACL D-backs Red · 154 PAwOBA .290 → .210 (−80)K% 25.3% → 36.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.32% | ÷0.996 | ×1.440 | — | — | 36.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.49% | ÷0.969 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 4.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.65% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 0.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.47% | ÷0.996 | ×0.820 | ×1.036 | ×1.022 | 23.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷0.974 | ×0.720 | ×1.036 | ×1.022 | 4.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.98% | ÷0.964 | ×0.720 | ×1.036 | ×1.022 | 0.78% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.96% | ÷1.119 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 1.40% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 99, 2B 95, 3B 93, K 99, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.
Result: wOBA .290 → .210; ISO .099 → .066; BABIP .337 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 DSLDSL D-backs 1 · 174 PAwOBA .341 → .224 (−117)K% 13.8% → 16.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.79% | ÷0.995 | ×1.220 | — | — | 16.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.32% | ÷1.041 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 4.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.87% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 2.06% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.97% | ÷0.996 | ×0.680 | ×0.963 | ×1.022 | 14.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.12% | ÷0.967 | ×0.600 | ×0.963 | ×1.022 | 7.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.911 | ×0.600 | ×0.963 | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.76% | ÷0.936 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.39% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 99, 2B 93, 3B 82, K 99, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.
Result: wOBA .341 → .224; ISO .122 → .073; BABIP .341 → .221. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .