Kenny Castillo — OGILVIE

Kenny CastilloC Hillsboro Hops

Age 22 R/R 6'0" / 170 lbs A+ HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION215 act + 143 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†40

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .239 / .279

PA143

HR1

K%29

BB%3

BABIP283

ISO73

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Arb-1	$0.2M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.4M
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL D-backs 1	—	174	162	36	12	0	1	6	35	5	2	2	222	272	315	586	93	276	20	3	250	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK	DSL D-backs 1	—	174	156	46	16	0	1	12	24	5	2	2	295	364	417	781	122	341	14	7	350	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	ACL D-backs Red	—	154	144	26	4	1	1	7	57	1	5	0	181	224	243	467	62	287	37	5	206	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	ACL D-backs Red	—	154	141	36	6	1	2	10	39	1	5	0	255	309	355	664	99	337	25	6	296	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	2 teams	—	162	150	29	7	1	1	7	38	3	0	0	193	244	273	517	80	248	23	4	220	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	2 teams	—	162	146	38	9	1	1	11	29	3	0	0	260	325	356	681	96	314	18	7	306	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	382	351	80	17	0	3	16	122	6	2	0	228	273	302	575	74	329	32	4	251	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	382	346	97	21	0	4	21	93	6	2	0	280	332	376	708	95	362	24	5	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	2 teams	—	295	275	48	15	1	4	10	85	3	0	1	175	212	280	492	105	228	29	3	209	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	2 teams	—	295	268	62	17	1	5	17	65	3	0	1	231	285	358	643	127	278	22	6	282	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A+	ARI	—	215	204	43	10	0	2	8	67	1	1	1	211	244	289	533	78	299	31	4	236	39	-15	-0	+0	+4	+6	-0.5
YTD	22	A+	ARI	—	215	199	56	14	0	3	13	48	1	1	1	281	329	397	726	116	353	22	6	322	105	+1	-0	+0	+4	+6	1.1
ROS	22	A+	ARI	0%	143	136	28	7	0	1	5	41	1	1	0	205	239	279	518	73	280	29	3	237	40	-10	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.3
ROS	22	MLB	ARI	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						282	0	0	235	38	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	22	A+	ARI	—	216	205	43	10	0	2	8	67	1	1	1	210	243	288	531	78	297	31	4	236	39	-15	-0	+0	+4	+6	-0.5
TOT	22	A+	ARI	—	358	340	71	17	0	3	13	108	2	2	1	209	242	285	527	76	293	30	4	237	39	-25	+0	+0	+6	+10	-0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	ARI	35%	344	324	69	16	1	5	15	95	2	2	1	213	252	315	567	102	282	28	4	255	53	-18	+0	+0	+6	+10	-0.2
2028	24	MLB	ARI	46%	412	386	85	19	1	8	20	111	3	3	1	220	264	337	601	117	284	27	5	265	61	-18	+0	+0	+7	+12	0.1
2029	25	MLB	ARI	52%	448	419	92	20	1	9	23	119	3	4	2	220	265	337	602	117	285	27	5	271	65	-18	+0	+0	+8	+13	0.3
2030	26	MLB	ARI	54%	469	438	97	21	1	10	25	124	3	4	2	221	268	342	611	121	285	26	5	273	67	-17	+0	+0	+8	+13	0.4
2031	27	MLB	ARI	54%	474	442	98	22	1	10	26	126	3	5	2	222	270	344	614	122	285	27	5	273	67	-18	+0	+0	+8	+13	0.5
2032	28	MLB	ARI	54%	473	441	97	21	1	10	26	126	3	5	2	220	268	340	608	120	284	27	5	272	66	-18	+0	-1	+8	+13	0.4
2033	29	MLB	ARI	53%	466	434	95	21	1	9	26	125	3	5	2	219	268	334	602	115	283	27	6	270	65	-18	+0	-1	+8	+13	0.2
2027	23	MLB	ARI	35%	119	112	24	6	0	2	5	33	1	1	0	214	254	321	576	107	285	28	4	252	51	-7	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2028	24	MLB	ARI	46%	190	178	39	9	0	4	9	51	1	1	1	219	261	337	598	118	287	27	5	262	59	-9	-0	+0	+3	+5	-0.0
2029	25	MLB	ARI	52%	232	216	49	11	1	5	12	62	2	2	1	227	274	356	630	130	287	27	5	268	63	-10	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.1
2030	26	MLB	ARI	54%	254	236	53	12	1	5	14	67	2	2	1	225	274	347	621	123	287	26	6	270	65	-10	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.2
2031	27	MLB	ARI	54%	257	239	54	12	1	5	14	68	2	3	1	226	275	347	622	121	287	26	5	270	65	-10	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.2
2032	28	MLB	ARI	54%	257	239	53	12	1	5	14	69	2	3	1	222	271	343	614	121	287	27	5	269	64	-10	+0	-0	+5	+7	0.1
2033	29	MLB	ARI	53%	247	229	50	11	0	5	14	66	2	2	1	218	269	332	601	114	286	27	6	268	63	-10	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1557	1450	322	73	4	31	82	416	12	14	6	222	269	342	611	120	288	27	5	267	63	-66	+0	-1	+28	+44	0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	605	134	30	2	13	34	174	5	6	3	221	269	342	611	121	287	27	5	267	63	-28	+0	-0	+12	+18	0.2
Career	—			—	4396	4102	880	202	10	72	212	1204	39	38	15	215	260	321	581	107	282	27	5	258	55	-222	+2	-2	+79	+125	-1.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	607	130	30	1	11	31	178	6	6	2	214	259	321	581	107	281	27	5	258	55	-33	+0	-0	+12	+18	-0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL D-backs 1	—	174	156	46	16	0	1	12	24	5	2	2	295	364	417	781	122	341	14	7	350	126	+5	-0	—	—	+5	1.0
2022	18	ROK	ACL D-backs Red	—	154	141	36	6	1	2	10	39	1	5	0	255	309	355	664	99	337	25	6	296	85	-3	+1	—	—	+4	0.3
2023	19	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	93	87	18	3	1	0	4	22	1	0	0	207	250	264	514	57	273	24	4	233	36	-7	+0	—	—	+3	-0.4
2023	19	ROK	ACL D-backs Black	—	69	59	20	6	0	1	7	7	2	0	0	339	426	492	918	153	365	10	10	404	168	+5	+0	—	—	+2	0.7
2024	20	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	382	346	97	21	0	4	21	93	6	2	0	280	332	376	708	95	362	24	5	313	98	-1	+0	—	—	+11	1.0
2025	21	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	251	230	51	15	1	4	15	52	1	0	0	222	272	348	620	126	263	21	6	273	67	-9	+0	—	—	+7	-0.2
2025	21	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	44	38	11	2	0	1	2	13	2	0	1	289	357	421	778	132	385	30	5	335	115	+1	-0	—	—	+1	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	11	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
	/162	664	24	9	241	275	417	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,558	31	14	221	265	339	+28	+12	1.0	1.0
	/162	664	13	6	221	265	339	+11.9	+5.1	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kenny Castillo (OGILVIE)	22	40	35	40	25	209/242/285	76	293	3	2	30%	4%	39	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alejandro Torres 2011 · A	22	44	38→40	43→40	39	214/248/293	79	268	6	4	23%	4%	45	-2.1	190/239/254	64	291	3	4	33%	6%	31	-3.0	163/212/205	42	253	1	0	34%	5%	6	-1.1
✕Alex Todd 2012 · A	22	38	37→40	44→45	38	185/246/256	71	259	4	4	29%	5%	37	-2.7	220/285/305	85	299	6	6	27%	5%	65	-0.7	236/303/318	83	317	6	5	26%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Narbe Cruz 2023 · A	22	41	38→40	44→45	40	197/250/273	76	268	5	7	28%	5%	42	-2.3	215/268/305	90	308	8	6	31%	5%	58	-1.2	215/271/305	90	313	9	6	32%	5%	54	-0.7
✕Claudio Finol 2022 · A	22	40	39→40	46→45	40	193/251/277	85	270	5	6	30%	6%	43	-2.2	194/250/277	83	275	7	9	30%	6%	43	-2.2	181/246/258	77	260	9	12	32%	7%	35	-0.7
✕Luis De La Cruz 2011 · A	22	39	40	47→30	38	193/229/294	101	252	6	6	26%	4%	37	-2.6	234/265/316	82	286	5	6	19%	4%	58	-1.2	263/286/335	71	310	4	4	16%	3%	67	-0.2
✕Ivan Castro 2010 · A	22	41	39→40	45→40	41	201/241/283	82	259	6	5	25%	5%	40	-2.4	212/264/299	87	311	6	5	32%	6%	54	-1.4	206/255/287	81	303	6	3	32%	6%	45	-0.8
✕J.C. Millan 2018 · A	22	40	37→45	45→30	36	194/235/268	74	277	4	8	31%	4%	33	-2.9	221/267/321	100	274	9	6	22%	6%	61	-1.0	227/273/327	101	266	11	4	19%	6%	61	-0.4
✕Gerardo Bustamante 2008 · A	22	38	39→45	42→50	40	189/237/273	83	260	8	4	30%	6%	36	-2.7	198/258/276	78	271	5	5	27%	7%	46	-2.0	226/262/325	99	269	14	12	22%	4%	56	-0.4
✕David Rodríguez 2018 · A	22	40→44	37→40	40	41	193/251/264	71	262	5	3	27%	6%	40	-2.4	213/266/317	104	289	9	5	28%	6%	59	-1.1	214/268/330	116	285	13	4	29%	6%	62	-0.4
✕Brian Serven 2017 · A	22	39	37→45	39→30	40	187/227/257	70	241	4	4	24%	4%	27	-3.3	192/247/283	91	253	6	4	26%	5%	43	-2.2	224/307/333	109	327	9	1	31%	9%	79	+0.1
✕Kenneth Betancourt 2022 · A	22	40→50	35→40	44→50	37	192/231/251	59	272	3	8	30%	5%	27	-3.3	238/281/310	72	313	4	9	24%	5%	63	-0.9	251/293/317	66	325	4	10	23%	5%	67	-0.4
✕Michael Barash 2017 · A	22	45	39→45	41→45	40	218/271/304	85	290	7	5	27%	5%	58	-1.2	210/279/332	122	282	13	4	28%	8%	69	-0.4	196/272/325	129	257	14	2	28%	9%	62	-0.4
✕Eduardo Torrealba 2021 · A	22	43	36→30	43→50	39	204/258/271	67	287	4	6	29%	5%	44	-2.1	219/274/296	77	271	6	14	20%	6%	57	-1.2	212/269/275	64	258	5	17	19%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Luis Palacios 2010 · A	21	39	39→40	46→50	36	192/235/276	84	265	7	5	30%	4%	36	-2.7	190/239/268	78	302	5	7	36%	5%	35	-2.8	130/184/163	32	225	0	6	40%	6%	-19	-1.1
✕Jomar Reyes 2019 · A	22	45	38→40	44→40	37	217/250/296	79	286	6	3	26%	4%	46	-2.0	220/255/310	90	289	7	4	26%	3%	53	-1.5	221/248/308	87	286	8	1	25%	1%	44	-1.5
✕Ali Sánchez 2019 · A	22	45	40→45	41→40	42	219/250/307	89	253	7	4	17%	4%	50	-1.8	225/265/303	78	278	5	4	20%	5%	55	-1.4	232/282/331	98	300	12	1	26%	6%	67	-0.3
✕Wander Franco 2017 · A	22	42→47	41→40	42→45	36	208/239/309	101	269	8	5	26%	3%	46	-2.0	220/247/312	92	299	6	5	28%	3%	50	-1.8	225/249/312	86	307	6	3	28%	2%	46	-1.8
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Jose Queliz 2015 · A	22	42	39→45	44→30	35	206/235/286	80	279	6	3	28%	3%	37	-2.6	200/235/295	95	292	9	4	34%	4%	40	-2.4	175/195/269	94	253	12	1	36%	1%	14	-1.0
✕Matt Kennelly 2011 · A	22	42	40	34→40	41	208/251/293	85	273	8	3	26%	5%	46	-2.0	217/270/301	84	280	6	4	23%	6%	57	-1.2	222/276/286	64	284	3	2	22%	6%	52	-0.7