Narbe Cruz

SS Asheville Tourists
Age 26 R/R 6'3" / 208 lbs A+ HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2158MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202322AHOU260.263/.331/.3734255—.215/.269/.298
202423AA/A+HOU334.275/.353/.4238755—.207/.266/.314
202625A+HOU68.283/.358/.3831058—.226/.284/.306
2027PROJMLE26MLBHOU200.217/.283/.32843730.1
2028PROJ26% MLB27MLBHOU34.221/.286/.33311730.0
Next 2 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
Z-Con%81
Whiff%79
K%60
wOBA44
wRC+33
ISO25
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsSean Jamieson (age 26) · Trevor Schwecke (age 26) · Quincy McAfee (age 26)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 84 proj PA
wRC+†73
AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .280 / .325
PA84
HR1
K%27
BB%7
ISO111
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.9 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: +0.10+0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.10.02728
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202120 ROKFCL Astros — 10886 19301 14246 22 221368291659 70286 2213 312 38 — — — — — —
202221 ROKFCL Astros Orange — 168156 411302 10282 53 263315385700 122310 176 314 26 — — — — — —
202322 AFayetteville Woodpeckers — 260236 621404 20504 22 263331373704 110319 198 319 55 — — — — — —
202423 AACorpus Christi Hooks — 2017 6100 330 00 353450412862 59429 1515 395 122 — — — — — —
202423 A+Asheville Tourists — 314281 761528 24879 73 270347423771 153366 288 346 51 — — — — — —
202625 A+Asheville Tourists — 6860 17301 4153 01 283358383742 100356 226 334 58 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202120 ROK MLEFCL Astros — 10892 16201 8356 22 174283228511 54236 327 224 38 — — — — — —
202221 ROK MLEFCL Astros Orange — 168160 28801 6412 53 175214244458 69229 244 207 26 — — — — — —
202322 A MLEFayetteville Woodpeckers — 260242 521103 14674 22 215269298567 83284 265 250 55 — — — — — —
202423 AA MLECorpus Christi Hooks — 2018 6100 240 00 333400389789 56410 2010 348 122 — — — — — —
202423 A+ MLEAsheville Tourists — 314291 581026 141159 73 199258309567 110298 374 243 51 — — — — — —
202625 A+ MLEAsheville Tourists — 6862 14201 2203 01 226284306590 81292 293 254 58 — — — — — —
202120 ROK MLEFCL Astros — 10892 16201 8356 22 174283228511 54259 327 224 38 — — — — — —
202120 ROK RAWFCL Astros — 10886 19301 14246 22 221368291659 70286 2213 312 38 — — — — — —
202221 ROK MLEFCL Astros Orange — 168160 28801 6412 53 175214244458 69229 244 207 26 — — — — — —
202221 ROK RAWFCL Astros Orange — 168156 411302 10282 53 263315385700 122310 176 314 26 — — — — — —
202322 A MLEFayetteville Woodpeckers — 260242 521103 14674 22 215269298567 83285 265 250 55 — — — — — —
202322 A RAWFayetteville Woodpeckers — 260236 621404 20504 22 263331373704 110319 198 319 55 — — — — — —
202423 A+ MLE2 teams — 334308 641126 171199 73 208269315584 107317 365 249 55 — — — — — —
202423 A+ RAW2 teams — 334298 821628 27909 73 275353423776 148370 278 349 55 — — — — — —
202625 A+ MLEAsheville Tourists — 6862 14201 2203 01 226284306590 81310 293 254 58 — — — — — —
202625 A+ RAWAsheville Tourists — 6860 17301 4153 01 283358383742 100356 226 334 58 — — — — — —
202120 ROK MLEFCL Astros — 10893 16201 8356 22 172283226509 54236 327 224 38 — — — — — —
202221 ROK MLEFCL Astros Orange — 168158 28801 6412 53 177214247461 70229 244 207 26 — — — — — —
202322 A MLEFayetteville Woodpeckers — 260240 521103 14674 22 217269300569 83284 265 250 55 — — — — — —
202423 A+ MLE2 teams — 334305 641126 171199 73 210269318587 108305 365 249 55 — — — — — —
202625 A+ MLEAsheville Tourists — 6863 14201 2203 01 222284302585 79292 293 254 58 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202423 A+ MLE2 teams — 334305 641126 171199 73 210269318587 108305 365 249 55 — — — — — —
202625 A+ MLEAsheville Tourists — 6863 14201 2203 01 222284302585 79292 293 254 58 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202726 MLB MLEHOU 0% 200182 40814 13543 31 217283328611 111286 276 276 73 -6 +0 +0 +2 +4 0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202827 MLB MLEHOU 26% 130118 26512 9352 21 218284330613 112286 277 277 73 -4 +0 +0 +1 +3 0.0
202827 MLB CTXHOU 26% 3431 7101 291 10 221286333619 113290 266 279 73 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 3431 7101 291 10 226294355649 129286 266 279 53 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 0.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650593 13419019 3817219 190 226294354648 128286 266 279 53 -21 +4 +0 +7 +14 0.4
Career— MLE — 11521059 21642315 6234027 1912 204266292557 88284 305 246 53 -7 +0 +0 +2 +5 0.0
/ 162G— MLE — 650598 1222428 3519215 117 204265291556 87285 305 246 53 -21 +1 +0 +7 +14 0.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Asheville Tourists · 68 PAwOBA .330 → .254 (−76)K% 22.1% → 28.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.06%÷1.000×1.310——28.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.88%÷1.000×0.600—×0.9683.42%
HBP% /PA4.41%—×0.770—×0.9683.29%
Singles /BIP28.89%÷1.000×0.870—×0.96824.33%
Doubles /BIP6.67%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9685.03%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.850—×0.9680.00%
Home runs /BIP2.22%÷1.000×0.880—×0.9681.89%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .330 → .254; ISO .100 → .078; BABIP .356 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Asheville Tourists · 314 PAwOBA .337 → .243 (−93)K% 27.7% → 36.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.71%÷0.991×1.310——36.61%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.64%÷0.977×0.600—×0.9884.64%
HBP% /PA2.87%—×0.770—×0.9882.18%
Singles /BIP26.29%÷0.988×0.870×0.984×0.98822.51%
Doubles /BIP7.73%÷1.079×0.780×0.984×0.9885.43%
Triples /BIP1.03%÷1.000×0.850×0.984×0.9880.85%
Home runs /BIP4.12%÷1.073×0.880—×0.9883.34%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 98, 2B 116, 3B 100, K 98, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.

Result: wOBA .337 → .243; ISO .153 → .108; BABIP .366 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 20 PAwOBA .386 → .348 (−37)K% 15.0% → 18.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.00%÷1.003×1.220——18.25%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.00%÷0.974×0.700—×1.01210.91%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.870—×1.0120.00%
Singles /BIP35.71%÷0.968×0.920—×1.01234.34%
Doubles /BIP7.14%÷0.908×0.840—×1.0126.69%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.908×0.940—×1.0120.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.970×0.800—×1.0120.00%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 94, 2B 82, 3B 82, K 101, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .386 → .348; ISO .059 → .056; BABIP .429 → .410. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AFayetteville Woodpeckers · 260 PAwOBA .311 → .250 (−61)K% 19.2% → 25.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.23%÷1.016×1.360——25.75%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.69%÷0.985×0.690—×0.9905.34%
HBP% /PA1.54%—×0.780—×0.9901.19%
Singles /BIP23.66%÷0.972×0.920×0.985×0.99021.84%
Doubles /BIP7.53%÷1.000×0.830×0.985×0.9906.10%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910×0.985×0.9900.00%
Home runs /BIP2.15%÷0.993×0.800—×0.9901.71%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 94, 2B 100, 3B 100, K 103, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.

Result: wOBA .311 → .250; ISO .110 → .084; BABIP .319 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ROKFCL Astros Orange · 168 PAwOBA .306 → .207 (−99)K% 16.7% → 24.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.67%÷0.986×1.440——24.35%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.95%÷0.997×0.620—×0.9753.61%
HBP% /PA1.19%—×0.720—×0.9750.84%
Singles /BIP20.31%÷0.977×0.820×0.957×0.97515.91%
Doubles /BIP10.16%÷1.006×0.720×0.957×0.9756.78%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.006×0.720×0.957×0.9750.00%
Home runs /BIP1.56%÷1.056×0.780—×0.9751.12%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 95, 2B 101, 3B 101, K 97, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.957.

Result: wOBA .306 → .207; ISO .122 → .078; BABIP .310 → .229. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 ROKFCL Astros · 108 PAwOBA .307 → .224 (−83)K% 22.2% → 32.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.22%÷0.994×1.440——32.19%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.04%÷1.052×0.620—×0.9856.99%
HBP% /PA5.56%—×0.720—×0.9853.94%
Singles /BIP24.19%÷0.978×0.820×1.044×0.98520.87%
Doubles /BIP4.84%÷1.105×0.720×1.044×0.9853.24%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.027×0.720×1.044×0.9850.00%
Home runs /BIP1.61%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9851.24%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 96, 2B 121, 3B 105, K 99, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.044.

Result: wOBA .307 → .224; ISO .070 → .050; BABIP .286 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).