Adam Hackenberg — OGILVIE

Adam HackenbergC Dunedin Blue Jays

Age 26 R/R 6'1" / 225 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION140 act + 103 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†48

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .275 / .280

PA103

HR1

K%34

BB%7

BABIP310

ISO75

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE44

scouting grade only

SPEED47

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	A	2 teams	—	110	104	27	5	1	1	4	22	2	0	0	260	300	356	656	96	321	20	4	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A	2 teams	—	110	100	32	7	1	1	8	16	2	0	0	320	382	440	822	120	373	15	7	369	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	3 teams	—	431	387	76	9	0	8	25	142	13	1	2	196	268	282	550	85	280	33	6	243	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	3 teams	—	431	369	79	11	0	9	42	100	13	1	2	214	315	317	632	103	263	23	10	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA	2 teams	—	393	354	75	14	0	6	28	125	10	3	0	212	288	302	591	90	308	32	7	261	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA	2 teams	—	393	340	92	16	0	8	42	89	10	3	0	271	367	388	756	118	344	23	11	344	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA	3 teams	—	299	271	46	6	0	1	22	140	4	5	2	170	242	203	445	33	344	47	7	208	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA	3 teams	—	299	257	54	8	0	1	36	111	4	5	2	210	316	253	569	43	363	37	12	271	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA	2 teams	—	236	223	39	9	0	3	11	83	1	4	0	175	217	256	473	81	261	35	5	213	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA	2 teams	—	236	218	45	11	0	3	16	68	1	4	0	206	264	298	562	92	284	29	7	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	A	TOR	—	140	123	31	8	0	1	9	41	4	3	3	252	324	341	665	89	353	29	6	294	83	-3	-1	+0	+3	+4	0.3
YTD	26	A	TOR	—	140	120	37	9	0	1	12	29	4	3	3	308	390	408	798	100	383	21	9	353	128	+4	-1	+0	+3	+4	1.1
ROS	26	A	TOR	0%	103	93	19	4	0	1	7	35	2	2	1	204	275	280	554	75	301	34	7	248	48	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
ROS	26	MLB	TOR	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		302	—	—	237	40	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	26	A	TOR	—	140	124	31	8	0	1	9	41	4	3	3	250	324	339	662	89	349	29	6	294	83	-3	-1	+0	+3	+4	0.3
TOT	26	A	TOR	—	243	216	50	12	0	2	16	76	6	5	4	231	303	315	617	83	336	31	7	275	68	-9	-1	+0	+4	+7	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	TOR	26%	289	264	53	11	0	3	19	95	4	4	2	201	265	277	541	76	299	33	7	254	53	-15	+0	+0	+5	+8	-0.2
2028	28	MLB	TOR	39%	330	299	61	13	0	4	23	106	5	4	2	204	272	288	560	84	298	32	7	259	56	-16	+0	-1	+6	+9	-0.2
2029	29	MLB	TOR	44%	347	315	64	13	0	5	24	111	5	4	2	203	270	292	562	89	297	32	7	260	57	-17	+0	-1	+6	+10	-0.2
2027	27	MLB	TOR	26%	75	69	14	3	0	1	5	25	1	1	0	203	267	290	557	87	301	33	7	244	45	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	28	MLB	TOR	39%	130	118	24	5	0	2	9	42	2	2	1	203	271	297	568	93	300	32	7	248	48	-8	+0	-0	+2	+4	-0.2
2029	29	MLB	TOR	44%	154	140	29	6	0	2	11	49	2	2	1	207	275	293	567	86	298	32	7	250	49	-9	+0	-1	+3	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	359	328	67	14	0	5	25	116	5	5	2	204	272	293	564	88	297	32	7	248	48	-21	+0	-1	+6	+10	-0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	121	25	0	9	45	210	9	9	4	204	271	291	562	88	296	32	7	248	48	-38	+0	-2	+12	+18	-1.0
Career	—			—	2538	2310	460	84	1	32	163	859	46	27	11	199	266	278	544	79	298	34	6	246	47	-153	+1	-2	+45	+72	-3.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	118	22	0	8	42	220	12	7	3	199	267	277	544	78	299	34	6	246	47	-39	+0	-1	+12	+18	-1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	86	81	28	4	1	1	4	16	1	0	0	346	384	457	841	111	422	19	5	375	145	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.7
2021	21	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	24	19	4	3	0	0	4	0	1	0	0	211	375	368	743	158	211	0	17	345	122	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	22	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	46	42	7	1	0	1	3	14	1	0	0	167	239	262	501	95	222	30	7	233	37	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2022	22	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	324	277	64	10	0	7	32	70	10	1	1	231	331	343	674	112	279	22	10	307	93	-2	-0	—	—	+9	0.7
2022	22	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	61	50	8	0	0	1	7	16	2	0	1	160	288	220	508	60	200	26	11	242	43	-4	-0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2023	23	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	125	112	29	6	0	3	11	30	1	1	0	259	331	393	724	134	325	24	9	324	106	+1	+0	—	—	+4	0.5
2023	23	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	268	228	63	10	0	5	31	59	9	2	0	276	384	386	770	110	354	22	12	354	129	+9	+0	—	—	+8	1.7
2024	24	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	185	154	29	4	0	1	25	77	4	3	1	188	317	234	551	45	364	42	14	267	62	-8	+0	—	—	+5	-0.3
2024	24	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	95	86	20	3	0	0	9	31	0	0	1	233	305	267	573	35	364	33	9	269	64	-4	-0	—	—	+3	-0.2
2024	24	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	19	17	5	1	0	0	2	3	0	2	0	294	368	353	721	59	357	16	11	332	112	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2025	25	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	143	133	29	8	0	1	10	37	0	3	0	218	273	301	573	83	295	26	7	262	59	-7	+1	—	—	+4	-0.2
2025	25	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	93	85	16	3	0	2	6	31	1	1	0	188	250	294	544	106	264	33	6	246	47	-6	+0	—	—	+3	-0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	601	7	7	197	259	279	+11	+8	-0.7	-0.4
	/162	664	8	8	197	259	279	+11.9	+8.8	-0.8	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Adam Hackenberg (OGILVIE)	26	20	33	47	44	231/303/315	83	336	2	5	31%	7%	68	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Connor Justus 2021 · AA	26	35→37	37→40	43→45	42	172/248/244	72	250	5	8	31%	7%	35	-2.8	192/256/268	76	294	6	7	34%	7%	43	-2.2	166/232/217	51	261	3	3	35%	7%	17	-2.1
✕Anthony Mulrine 2023 · AAA	25	36	37→40	45→40	39	177/253/247	71	262	5	5	32%	6%	38	-2.6	192/271/279	87	273	7	6	30%	7%	53	-1.5	147/251/218	70	204	5	0	28%	8%	28	-0.7
✕Stephen McGee 2017 · AAA	26	40	38→40	44→30	45	193/269/273	80	275	6	4	30%	8%	50	-1.7	204/290/316	112	313	11	4	35%	10%	71	-0.3	189/289/303	113	293	12	0	36%	12%	63	-0.3
✕Cody Bohanek 2021 · AAA	26	38→36	38→40	44→50	38	172/263/245	73	309	5	11	42%	8%	42	-2.3	183/278/292	109	301	9	15	39%	8%	61	-1.0	161/264/270	110	265	10	18	39%	8%	48	-1.0
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	34	40→45	50→45	38	172/234/264	91	270	8	7	38%	7%	33	-2.9	198/262/311	113	286	10	8	32%	7%	57	-1.2	182/252/296	114	256	10	5	31%	7%	45	-1.0
✕Chris Roller 2023 · AA	26	36	39→50	50→55	40	177/243/264	88	262	6	14	33%	6%	37	-2.6	198/276/337	139	318	16	16	40%	8%	71	-0.3	186/272/335	149	306	19	19	42%	9%	67	-0.4
✕Rylan Sandoval 2014 · AAA	26	41	40	45	37	201/253/290	89	292	7	7	32%	5%	47	-1.9	218/269/306	88	322	7	9	32%	6%	58	-1.2	226/265/276	50	355	4	4	36%	5%	43	-0.4
✕Caleb Hamilton 2021 · AAA	26	39	42→45	45	42	196/255/296	101	271	9	9	30%	7%	50	-1.7	183/269/319	136	279	17	6	38%	10%	63	-0.8	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Chandler Seagle 2022 · AA	26	40	39→40	44→45	34	192/246/279	87	294	6	5	35%	4%	42	-2.3	189/241/273	84	303	7	6	38%	5%	37	-2.6	167/216/237	70	277	6	4	40%	5%	15	-1.5
✕Jackson Cluff 2023 · AA	26	36→29	40→45	48→60	36	176/240/269	93	284	8	11	39%	6%	37	-2.6	186/269/308	122	285	12	21	36%	9%	60	-1.0	181/273/314	133	265	15	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Matt Whatley 2022 · AA	26	40→36	38→40	45→50	44	192/263/267	75	276	7	14	31%	8%	46	-2.0	190/249/283	93	268	11	9	32%	6%	45	-2.1	167/230/254	87	226	12	8	31%	6%	27	-1.2
✕Matt Pagnozzi 2008 · AAA	25	38	38→45	45→40	37	186/238/265	79	266	5	4	31%	5%	34	-2.8	207/260/287	80	289	7	4	29%	6%	49	-1.8	208/275/286	79	292	6	0	29%	7%	53	-0.7
✕McCarthy Tatum 2022 · AA	26	33→24	41→55	45→50	34	169/233/260	91	279	9	6	41%	6%	32	-3.0	199/256/319	120	289	11	10	34%	5%	57	-1.2	200/252/336	136	277	13	11	32%	4%	56	-0.4
✕Eric Yang 2023 · AAA	25	38	39→40	47→40	43	183/265/268	86	275	7	6	34%	8%	48	-1.9	196/271/271	75	301	5	6	34%	8%	51	-1.7	178/263/236	57	284	5	1	35%	8%	36	-0.6
✕Dennis Ortega 2022 · AAA	25	40	39→45	47→45	38	197/244/276	79	285	7	5	33%	5%	40	-2.4	209/261/303	94	327	8	10	36%	6%	54	-1.4	187/240/258	72	308	5	10	39%	6%	30	-1.0
✕Yadiel Rivera 2019 · MLB	27	37→47	38→45	46→50	39	184/239/256	72	270	6	8	33%	6%	33	-2.9	217/255/317	100	318	11	17	34%	4%	54	-1.4	222/246/322	99	331	13	23	36%	3%	49	-1.1
✕Madison Stokes 2022 · AA	26	38→35	42→40	41→40	36	190/239/291	101	287	10	4	36%	5%	42	-2.3	182/255/286	104	302	9	9	39%	8%	48	-1.9	156/243/254	99	263	8	9	40%	9%	32	-1.5
✕Cooper Johnson 2023 · AA	25	37	39→50	45→40	42	171/257/255	84	300	6	5	41%	9%	42	-2.3	183/266/304	121	296	13	6	39%	9%	58	-1.2	171/259/303	132	252	15	4	36%	10%	52	-0.7
✕Jean Luc Blaquiere 2011 · AAA	25	39	40	40→45	36	191/241/278	86	285	8	4	35%	5%	39	-2.5	205/278/293	88	300	7	5	31%	8%	59	-1.1	203/315/285	82	271	6	0	24%	12%	71	-0.1
✕Stuart Levy 2019 · A	26	36	38→40	44→40	38	175/245/249	74	270	6	5	35%	6%	34	-2.8	191/251/282	91	306	8	7	38%	6%	45	-2.1	149/202/237	88	245	9	3	41%	6%	9	-0.9