Adam Hackenberg — OGILVIE

Adam HackenbergC Dunedin Blue Jays

Age 27 R/R 6'1" / 225 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 170 proj PA

wRC+†44

AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .246 / .259

PA170

HR1

K%30

BB%6

ISO72

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 34

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER34

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	21	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	86	81	28	4	1	1	4	16	1	0	0	346	384	457	841	111	422	19	5	375	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	24	19	4	3	0	0	4	0	1	0	0	211	375	368	743	158	211	0	17	345	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	46	42	7	1	0	1	3	14	1	0	0	167	239	262	501	95	222	30	7	233	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	324	277	64	10	0	7	32	70	10	1	1	231	331	343	674	112	279	22	10	307	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	61	50	8	0	0	1	7	16	2	0	1	160	288	220	508	60	200	26	11	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	125	112	29	6	0	3	11	30	1	1	0	259	331	393	724	134	325	24	9	324	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	268	228	63	10	0	5	31	59	9	2	0	276	384	386	770	110	354	22	12	354	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	185	154	29	4	0	1	25	77	4	3	1	188	317	234	551	45	364	42	14	267	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	95	86	20	3	0	0	9	31	0	0	1	233	305	267	573	35	364	33	9	269	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	19	17	5	1	0	0	2	3	0	2	0	294	368	353	721	59	357	16	11	332	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	143	133	29	8	0	1	10	37	0	3	0	218	273	301	573	83	295	26	7	262	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	93	85	16	3	0	2	6	31	1	1	0	188	250	294	544	106	264	33	6	246	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	140	120	37	9	0	1	12	29	4	3	3	308	390	408	798	100	383	21	9	353	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	21	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	86	82	24	3	1	1	3	22	1	0	0	293	326	390	716	98	380	26	3	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	24	21	3	2	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	143	250	238	488	95	153	0	8	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	46	43	6	1	0	1	2	17	1	0	0	140	196	233	428	93	210	37	4	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	324	292	58	8	0	6	18	96	10	1	1	199	269	288	556	89	256	30	6	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	125	116	27	5	0	2	7	37	1	1	0	233	282	328	610	95	315	30	6	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	268	238	53	9	0	4	21	77	9	2	0	223	310	311	621	88	308	29	8	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	185	162	26	3	0	1	17	93	4	3	1	160	257	198	454	37	350	50	9	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	95	89	18	3	0	0	6	39	0	0	1	202	253	236	489	34	355	41	6	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	19	18	4	1	0	0	1	4	0	2	0	222	263	278	541	56	271	21	5	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	143	136	25	6	0	1	7	45	0	3	0	184	224	250	474	66	264	31	5	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	93	87	14	2	0	2	4	37	1	1	0	161	207	253	459	92	240	40	4	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	140	124	30	7	0	1	8	39	4	3	3	242	309	323	631	81	311	28	6	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	110	104	27	5	1	1	4	22	2	0	0	260	300	356	656	96	321	20	4	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	110	100	32	7	1	1	8	16	2	0	0	320	382	440	822	120	373	15	7	369	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	431	388	74	10	0	8	24	132	13	1	2	191	261	278	540	88	260	31	6	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	431	369	79	11	0	9	42	100	13	1	2	214	315	317	632	103	263	23	10	290	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	393	353	79	14	0	6	29	114	10	3	0	224	301	314	615	91	312	29	7	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	393	340	92	16	0	8	42	89	10	3	0	271	367	388	756	118	344	23	11	344	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	299	270	48	7	0	1	23	136	4	5	2	178	253	215	467	37	351	45	8	215	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	299	257	54	8	0	1	36	111	4	5	2	210	316	253	569	43	363	37	12	271	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	236	223	38	9	0	2	11	82	1	4	0	170	213	238	450	67	257	35	5	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	236	218	45	11	0	3	16	68	1	4	0	206	264	298	562	92	284	29	7	256	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	140	124	30	7	0	1	8	39	4	3	3	242	309	323	631	81	330	28	6	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	A RAW	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	140	120	37	9	0	1	12	29	4	3	3	308	390	408	798	100	383	21	9	353	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	110	103	27	5	1	1	4	22	2	0	0	262	300	359	659	97	330	20	4	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	431	391	74	10	0	8	24	132	13	1	2	189	261	276	537	87	250	31	6	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	393	351	79	14	0	6	29	114	10	3	0	225	301	316	617	91	310	29	7	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	299	270	48	7	0	1	23	136	4	5	2	178	253	215	467	37	347	45	8	215	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	236	222	38	9	0	2	11	82	1	4	0	171	213	239	452	68	255	35	5	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	140	127	30	7	0	1	8	39	4	3	3	236	309	315	624	79	311	28	6	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	299	270	48	7	0	1	23	136	4	5	2	178	253	215	467	37	347	45	8	215	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	236	222	38	9	0	2	11	82	1	4	0	171	213	239	452	68	255	35	5	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	140	127	30	7	0	1	8	39	4	3	3	236	309	315	624	79	311	28	6	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	27	MLB MLE	TOR	0%	200	184	35	7	1	2	12	60	2	3	1	189	248	262	510	72	268	30	6	234	44	-13	+0	+0	+4	+4	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	TOR	26%	259	238	46	10	1	2	16	77	3	3	1	190	250	264	514	74	268	30	6	236	46	-17	+0	-1	+5	+6	-0.7
2028	28	MLB CTX	TOR	26%	67	62	12	2	0	1	4	20	1	1	0	191	251	265	516	74	269	30	6	236	46	-4	+0	-0	+1	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	67	62	12	2	0	1	4	20	1	1	0	194	254	274	528	81	268	30	6	236	50	-4	+0	-0	+1	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	601	116	19	0	10	39	194	10	10	0	193	254	275	528	82	267	30	6	236	50	-42	+2	-2	+12	+14	-1.7
Career	—	MLE		—	2038	1855	372	68	3	22	126	653	39	22	9	201	266	276	542	75	293	32	6	242	50	-28	+0	-1	+8	+9	-1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	119	22	1	7	40	208	12	7	3	201	266	277	543	76	293	32	6	242	50	-42	+1	-1	+12	+14	-1.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	4.5	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.2	10.8
/162	664	12	3	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	237	2	4	191	247	264	+4	+4	-0.4	-0.2
/162	664	5	10	+11.9	+11.2	-1.2	pk7: 0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Adam Hackenberg (OGILVIE)	27	30	34	48	40	188/246/259	72	268	1	3	30%	6%	44	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Joe Hudson 2018 · AA	27	36	38→45	46→40	44	177/240/259	82	241	5	3	28%	7%	42	-2.9	200/255/310	110	282	11	4	32%	7%	59	-1.6	168/269/293	125	244	17	8	36%	10%	60	-0.5
✕Ali Solis 2015 · AAA	27	40	39→45	45→30	33	199/228/283	84	274	7	5	30%	3%	41	-3.0	178/210/253	75	248	6	4	30%	3%	28	-3.9	187/222/301	114	244	14	2	30%	4%	42	-1.1
✕Matt Whatley 2023 · AAA	27	41→37	40	42→50	42	200/257/286	86	276	9	9	30%	7%	54	-2.0	192/254/289	97	261	11	11	30%	7%	54	-2.0	161/230/243	82	217	11	11	30%	6%	33	-1.3
✕Connor Justus 2021 · AA	26	37	38→40	43→45	43	178/254/252	74	250	5	8	29%	7%	46	-2.6	193/256/269	76	288	5	7	32%	7%	50	-2.3	166/232/216	50	256	3	3	33%	6%	27	-2.1
✕Chandler Seagle 2023 · AA	27	40	39→40	44→45	38	196/252/279	83	283	6	5	32%	6%	51	-2.3	181/227/257	76	292	6	7	38%	4%	36	-3.4	149/188/204	56	252	3	4	41%	3%	6	-1.6
✕Lyle Lin 2024 · AA	27	41	36→30	44→40	41	192/260/254	62	277	4	4	30%	6%	48	-2.5	217/284/293	76	277	5	7	22%	6%	66	-1.1	162/233/177	16	197	0	4	16%	6%	20	-0.8
✕Jason Matthews 2024 · AAA	27	35→31	38→30	49→45	35	164/238/235	71	298	6	10	44%	7%	36	-3.3	176/250/248	72	273	6	10	35%	7%	44	-2.8	166/245/231	65	251	6	9	34%	8%	35	-1.7
✕Travis Tartamella 2015 · AAA	27	36	36→30	43→30	37	178/220/237	59	253	5	3	31%	5%	28	-3.9	193/235/269	76	290	6	7	34%	5%	41	-3.0	152/175/183	31	253	0	0	39%	3%	-2	-1.3
✕Eric Yang 2024 · AAA	26	41	39→40	47→40	43	194/269/277	83	288	6	6	33%	8%	57	-1.8	203/280/276	73	313	5	6	34%	8%	61	-1.5	175/267/227	52	282	5	2	36%	9%	44	-0.6
✕Cody Bohanek 2021 · AAA	26	39→36	38→40	44→50	39	179/267/255	76	302	6	11	39%	7%	53	-2.1	178/274/281	103	290	9	15	38%	8%	61	-1.5	153/258/253	100	252	9	18	39%	9%	48	-1.3
✕Pat Cantwell 2018 · AAA	28	42	37→30	45→40	38	200/256/267	67	283	5	9	30%	5%	49	-2.4	226/298/333	107	315	10	10	29%	7%	81	-0.1	251/336/377	127	319	13	6	24%	8%	103	+0.4
✕Christian Kelley 2021 · AAA	27	38	43→40	48→30	40	194/251/303	109	259	11	5	29%	6%	56	-1.9	228/293/329	101	322	9	8	29%	8%	77	-0.3	243/313/304	61	352	3	0	29%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Yadiel Rivera 2019 · MLB	27	39→49	38→45	46→50	39	192/245/267	75	277	6	8	32%	6%	45	-2.7	219/257/323	104	313	12	17	33%	5%	62	-1.4	225/250/332	107	324	14	23	34%	3%	58	-1.1
✕Chris Roller 2023 · AA	26	38	39→45	50→55	41	184/249/269	85	263	6	14	31%	6%	47	-2.5	191/270/312	121	306	13	16	39%	8%	66	-1.1	174/262/298	124	289	14	19	41%	9%	58	-1.1
✕Jake Anchia 2024 · AA	27	35	42→45	49→40	38	182/234/284	102	254	10	4	32%	5%	45	-2.7	191/235/307	116	276	13	6	35%	4%	51	-2.3	168/200/294	126	225	17	5	34%	2%	32	-1.7
✕Madison Stokes 2023 · AAA	27	38→36	42→45	49→40	36	185/242/292	107	299	10	9	40%	6%	50	-2.3	195/273/299	104	302	9	9	35%	9%	64	-1.3	175/268/269	94	266	7	6	34%	10%	53	-1.5
✕Santiago Chávez 2023 · AAA	27	35	39→30	48→30	35	177/231/260	83	266	7	5	35%	5%	38	-3.2	190/253/274	84	282	7	6	33%	7%	50	-2.3	142/216/178	37	220	2	0	34%	7%	13	-1.6
✕Brantley Bell 2023 · AAA	28	42→43	39→40	52→55	41	202/253/287	85	276	6	14	28%	6%	52	-2.2	211/265/320	109	324	10	16	35%	6%	65	-1.2	163/209/244	81	278	5	25	41%	5%	24	-0.8
✕Chris Givin 2022 · AA	25	38	38→30	50→45	43	187/248/261	74	257	6	6	29%	7%	45	-2.7	202/264/278	76	269	6	7	25%	7%	55	-1.9	194/260/252	58	250	4	5	23%	7%	45	-1.3
✕Chris Rabago 2021 · AAA	28	40	41→40	49→55	44	197/257/295	98	265	8	14	28%	7%	56	-1.9	193/260/278	85	288	7	11	33%	7%	53	-2.1	162/233/221	59	250	5	8	35%	7%	28	-1.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps