Adam Hackenberg — OGILVIE

Adam HackenbergC Charlotte Knights

Age 26 R/R 6'1" / 225 lbs AAA BB +6%HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

wRC+†41

AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .250 / .266

PA243

HR3

K%37

BB%7

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

20→20

PWR

33→33

SPD

47→47

EYE

44→44

trajectory · 10 yrs

-0.3peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$0.2M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$-7M		$-16M	-$10M

Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	A	2 teams	110	104	27	5	1	1	4	22	2	0	0	.260	.300	.356	.656	.096	.321	20	4	.289	80	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.3
2022	22	A+	3 teams	431	388	74	10	0	8	24	135	13	1	2	.191	.261	.278	.540	.088	.263	31	6	.238	40	-29	-1	+0	+8	+12	-1.0
2023	23	AA	2 teams	393	354	77	14	0	7	28	119	10	3	0	.218	.293	.316	.610	.099	.306	30	7	.269	64	-16	+1	+0	+7	+11	0.3
2024	24	AAA	3 teams	299	270	46	6	0	1	23	139	4	5	2	.170	.246	.204	.449	.033	.344	46	8	.210	19	-27	+0	+0	+5	+8	-1.4
2025	25	AAA	2 teams	236	223	38	9	0	3	11	84	1	4	0	.170	.213	.251	.464	.081	.255	36	5	.204	14	-23	+1	+0	+4	+7	-1.1
▸ 2026 Season
2026	26	MLB	CWS	243	221	41	8	0	3	17	90	3	3	1	.186	.253	.262	.516	.077	.290	37	7	.239	41	-16	+0	+0	+4	+7	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	27	MLB 25%	CWS	289	262	49	9	0	4	21	103	4	4	1	.187	.258	.267	.525	.080	.290	36	7	.248	48	-17	+0	+0	+5	+8	-0.3
2028	28	MLB 37%	CWS	330	299	58	11	1	5	24	115	4	4	1	.194	.263	.288	.551	.094	.290	35	7	.252	51	-18	+0	-1	+6	+9	-0.3
2029	29	MLB 47%	CWS	347	314	62	12	1	6	26	120	4	4	0	.197	.267	.299	.567	.102	.289	35	7	.254	52	-19	+1	-1	+6	+10	-0.3
2030	30	MLB 55%	CWS	358	324	63	12	1	6	27	123	4	4	0	.194	.265	.293	.558	.099	.288	34	8	.252	51	-20	+1	-2	+6	+10	-0.5
2031	31	MLB 73%	CWS	338	306	59	11	1	5	25	118	4	3	0	.193	.263	.284	.547	.092	.286	35	7	.249	48	-20	+1	-3	+6	+10	-0.6
2032	32	MLB 90%	CWS	313	283	53	10	0	5	23	111	4	2	0	.187	.258	.276	.534	.088	.285	35	7	.244	45	-19	+0	-4	+6	+9	-0.8
2033	33	MLB	CWS	278	252	47	9	0	4	21	100	3	1	0	.187	.257	.270	.527	.083	.283	36	8	.239	41	-19	+0	-4	+5	+8	-1.0
2034	34	MLB	CWS	232	210	38	7	0	3	17	86	3	1	0	.181	.252	.257	.509	.076	.281	37	7	.233	36	-17	+0	-5	+4	+7	-1.1
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4197	3810	732	133	5	61	291	1465	63	39	7	.192	.261	.278	.538	.086	.291	35	7	.244	45	-262	+5	-20	+75	+119	-8.4
/ 162G	—			650	590	114	21	1	9	45	227	10	6	1	.193	.262	.278	.540	.085	.293	35	7	.244	45	-41	+1	-3	+12	+18	-1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	86	81	28	4	1	1	4	16	1	0	0	.346	.384	.457	.841	.111	.422	19	5	.375	145	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.7
2021	21	ROK	ACL White Sox	24	19	4	3	0	0	4	0	1	0	0	.211	.375	.368	.743	.158	.211	0	17	.345	122	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	22	AA	Birmingham Barons	46	42	7	1	0	1	3	14	1	0	0	.167	.239	.262	.501	.095	.222	30	7	.233	37	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2022	22	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	324	277	64	10	0	7	32	70	10	1	1	.231	.331	.343	.674	.112	.279	22	10	.307	93	-2	-0	—	—	+9	0.7
2022	22	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	61	50	8	0	0	1	7	16	2	0	1	.160	.288	.220	.508	.060	.200	26	11	.242	43	-4	-0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2023	23	AAA	Charlotte Knights	125	112	29	6	0	3	11	30	1	1	0	.259	.331	.393	.724	.134	.325	24	9	.324	106	+1	+0	—	—	+4	0.5
2023	23	AA	Birmingham Barons	268	228	63	10	0	5	31	59	9	2	0	.276	.384	.386	.770	.110	.354	22	12	.354	129	+9	+0	—	—	+8	1.7
2024	24	AAA	Charlotte Knights	185	154	29	4	0	1	25	77	4	3	1	.188	.317	.234	.551	.045	.364	42	14	.267	62	-8	+0	—	—	+5	-0.3
2024	24	AA	Birmingham Barons	95	86	20	3	0	0	9	31	0	0	1	.233	.305	.267	.573	.035	.364	33	9	.269	64	-4	-0	—	—	+3	-0.2
2024	24	ROK	ACL White Sox	19	17	5	1	0	0	2	3	0	2	0	.294	.368	.353	.721	.059	.357	16	11	.332	112	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2025	25	AAA	Charlotte Knights	143	133	29	8	0	1	10	37	0	3	0	.218	.273	.301	.573	.083	.295	26	7	.262	59	-7	+1	—	—	+4	-0.2
2025	25	AA	Birmingham Barons	93	85	16	3	0	2	6	31	1	1	0	.188	.250	.294	.544	.106	.264	33	6	.246	47	-6	+0	—	—	+3	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Adam Hackenberg (OGILVIE)	26	20	33	47	44	.184/.250/.266	.082	.290	3	3	37%	7%	41	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cody Bohanek 2021 · AAA	26	38→36	38→40	45→50	39	.179/.267/.254	.075	.295	6	11	38%	7%	46	-2.0	.179/.276/.286	.107	.293	9	15	39%	8%	59	-1.1	.155/.261/.260	.105	.255	9	18	39%	9%	45	-1.1
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	35	41→45	50→45	39	.177/.239/.273	.095	.270	8	7	36%	7%	37	-2.6	.200/.266/.312	.112	.290	11	7	33%	7%	59	-1.1	.191/.265/.302	.110	.270	10	5	31%	8%	52	-0.8
✕Connor Justus 2021 · AA	26	36→37	38→40	42→45	43	.176/.254/.250	.074	.253	6	8	31%	8%	39	-2.5	.189/.253/.265	.076	.287	5	7	34%	7%	41	-2.3	.166/.232/.219	.053	.259	3	3	35%	6%	18	-2.1
✕Anthony Mulrine 2023 · AAA	25	37	38→40	45→40	39	.179/.256/.255	.076	.265	6	5	33%	6%	41	-2.3	.189/.268/.274	.085	.271	7	6	31%	7%	51	-1.7	.144/.247/.211	.068	.201	5	0	28%	8%	25	-0.8
✕Caleb Hamilton 2021 · AAA	26	38	41→45	45	42	.191/.251/.292	.101	.267	9	8	31%	7%	47	-1.9	.183/.267/.313	.130	.280	16	7	37%	10%	61	-1.0	.145/.237/.274	.129	.209	19	3	39%	10%	37	-0.8
✕Cooper Johnson 2023 · AA	25	37	38→45	45→40	43	.174/.261/.256	.082	.294	6	5	39%	9%	43	-2.2	.182/.265/.300	.118	.291	12	6	39%	9%	56	-1.3	.169/.256/.297	.129	.249	15	4	37%	10%	50	-0.8
✕Jordan Betts 2018 · AA	26	36→29	43→45	46→40	35	.184/.232/.292	.108	.283	11	5	38%	6%	39	-2.5	.203/.251/.317	.114	.300	13	4	35%	6%	54	-1.4	.191/.237/.292	.101	.273	13	0	34%	5%	38	-1.6
✕Ryan Metzler 2019 · AAA	26	40	40	50	38	.193/.248/.281	.088	.293	8	15	36%	6%	43	-2.2	.204/.258/.297	.093	.310	9	12	35%	6%	51	-1.7	.145/.202/.182	.037	.248	4	8	41%	6%	-4	-1.0
✕Chris Roller 2023 · AA	26	37	39→45	50→55	40	.183/.248/.270	.087	.268	6	14	32%	6%	40	-2.4	.194/.274/.324	.130	.304	14	16	38%	9%	67	-0.5	.179/.266/.318	.140	.290	17	19	41%	9%	60	-0.7
✕Cadyn Grenier 2022 · AAA	25	40→37	42→40	48→50	39	.191/.265/.291	.100	.313	9	10	39%	8%	54	-1.4	.196/.279/.296	.100	.292	8	13	33%	9%	61	-1.0	.175/.272/.270	.095	.250	7	16	30%	10%	50	-1.1
✕Jackson Cluff 2023 · AA	26	36→29	40→45	48→55	36	.179/.243/.270	.091	.285	8	11	38%	6%	39	-2.5	.186/.268/.305	.119	.285	12	20	36%	9%	59	-1.1	.181/.273/.314	.132	.266	14	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Chris Sharpe 2022 · AAA	26	38→39	45	45→50	39	.191/.258/.315	.124	.278	12	11	34%	6%	57	-1.2	.189/.266/.294	.105	.293	8	13	36%	8%	56	-1.3	.164/.257/.268	.103	.258	7	16	36%	9%	46	-1.0
✕McCarthy Tatum 2022 · AA	26	34→25	42→55	45→50	35	.173/.235/.271	.098	.281	10	6	40%	6%	36	-2.7	.198/.254/.317	.119	.290	12	10	34%	5%	56	-1.3	.201/.254/.332	.131	.279	12	11	31%	4%	55	-0.5
✕Rylan Sandoval 2013 · AA	25	39	41→40	45	36	.193/.251/.293	.100	.287	9	5	35%	5%	48	-1.9	.216/.266/.305	.089	.313	7	8	31%	5%	56	-1.3	.221/.270/.295	.074	.319	5	8	31%	5%	52	-0.6
✕Scott Hurst 2022 · AAA	26	38→31	39→40	43→50	39	.185/.242/.267	.083	.288	7	7	37%	7%	37	-2.7	.221/.294/.329	.108	.299	11	19	28%	8%	76	+0.0	.239/.321/.353	.114	.297	13	25	23%	9%	89	+0.6
✕Eric Yang 2023 · AAA	25	39	39→40	47→40	44	.187/.270/.275	.087	.280	7	6	33%	8%	52	-1.6	.195/.271/.273	.078	.298	5	6	33%	8%	51	-1.7	.175/.257/.234	.060	.269	4	2	33%	8%	33	-0.7
✕Chandler Seagle 2022 · AA	26	39	38→40	44→45	35	.189/.244/.272	.084	.284	5	5	34%	4%	39	-2.5	.187/.238/.267	.080	.295	6	6	37%	5%	35	-2.8	.164/.212/.231	.068	.270	6	4	40%	5%	11	-1.5
✕Yadiel Rivera 2019 · MLB	27	38→48	38→40	45→50	38	.187/.238/.257	.071	.270	6	7	32%	6%	32	-3.0	.216/.254/.318	.102	.312	12	16	33%	5%	55	-1.4	.224/.248/.329	.106	.322	14	23	35%	3%	50	-1.1
✕Brent Diaz 2022 · AA	26	41	43→45	45	39	.196/.275/.304	.108	.304	11	8	37%	7%	62	-0.9	.218/.283/.353	.135	.305	16	9	32%	6%	78	+0.2	.202/.265/.336	.134	.270	18	9	31%	5%	61	-0.3
✕Flint Wipke 2009 · AAA	26	38→40	41→40	45	36	.186/.241/.284	.098	.300	8	9	39%	6%	40	-2.4	.199/.258/.310	.111	.322	11	9	39%	7%	55	-1.4	.180/.243/.280	.100	.272	12	6	37%	8%	40	-0.9

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)