Carlos Taveras

OF FCL Twins

Age 19 L/R 6'0" / 185 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKMIN	72	.246/.394/.439	2	2	53	—	.164/.282/.279
2026	18	ROKMIN	112	.269/.387/.376	1	2	57	—	.210/.288/.300
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBMIN	222	.212/.283/.304	2	4	67	-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBMIN	64	.216/.288/.317	1	1	72	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBMIN	156	.220/.293/.329	2	3	77	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

wRC+58

BB%55

K%54

wOBA46

ISO45

Speed34

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 91%

CompsCarlos Jimenez (age 19) · Angel Ortiz (age 19) · Estevan Florial (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 95 proj PA

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .280 / .301

PA95

HR1

K%28

BB%8

ISO92

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2036	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	72	57	14	3	1	2	13	15	1	2	1	246	394	439	833	193	293	21	18	370	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	FCL Twins	—	112	93	25	5	1	1	18	23	0	2	1	269	387	376	764	108	343	21	16	348	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	72	61	10	2	1	1	9	19	1	2	1	164	282	279	560	115	191	26	12	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	112	100	21	4	1	1	11	33	0	2	1	210	288	300	588	90	280	29	10	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	72	61	10	2	1	1	9	19	1	2	1	164	282	279	560	115	214	26	12	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	—	72	57	14	3	1	2	13	15	1	2	1	246	394	439	833	193	293	21	18	370	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	112	100	21	4	1	1	11	33	0	2	1	210	288	300	588	90	299	29	10	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	—	112	93	25	5	1	1	18	23	0	2	1	269	387	376	764	108	343	21	16	348	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	72	62	10	2	1	1	9	19	1	2	1	161	282	274	556	113	191	26	12	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	112	100	21	4	1	1	11	33	0	2	1	210	288	300	588	90	280	29	10	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	72	62	10	2	1	1	9	19	1	2	1	161	282	274	556	113	191	26	12	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	112	100	21	4	1	1	11	33	0	2	1	210	288	300	588	90	280	29	10	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	MIN	0%	222	200	42	7	2	2	18	61	2	4	1	212	283	304	586	92	288	27	8	267	67	-9	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	MIN	34%	185	166	36	6	1	3	15	50	2	3	1	216	288	317	605	101	290	27	8	275	72	-6	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.3
2029	21	MLB MLE	MIN	48%	321	288	64	11	3	5	27	86	3	6	2	220	293	329	621	109	291	27	8	281	77	-9	+0	+0	-2	+7	-0.4
2030	22	MLB MLE	MIN	54%	420	378	84	15	3	7	35	111	4	8	3	223	296	339	635	116	292	26	8	287	80	-10	+0	+0	-3	+9	-0.3
2031	23	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	487	438	98	17	4	9	41	127	5	10	3	226	299	347	646	121	293	26	8	291	83	-10	+1	+0	-3	+11	-0.1
2032	24	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	530	475	109	19	4	11	45	137	5	10	4	228	301	354	655	126	294	26	8	295	86	-9	+0	+0	-3	+11	-0.0
2033	25	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	556	499	114	20	4	12	47	144	5	11	4	229	302	356	658	128	294	26	8	296	86	-9	+1	+0	-3	+12	0.0
2034	26	MLB MLE	MIN	56%	569	511	116	20	4	12	48	147	5	11	4	229	302	358	660	129	294	26	8	296	87	-9	+1	+0	-3	+12	0.1
2035	27	MLB MLE	MIN	55%	573	514	117	21	4	12	49	149	5	11	4	228	301	355	656	127	293	26	9	295	86	-10	+1	+0	-3	+12	-0.0
2036	28	MLB MLE	MIN	55%	571	513	116	20	4	12	48	150	5	10	4	226	299	350	649	125	292	26	8	292	84	-11	+0	-1	-3	+12	-0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	MIN	34%	64	58	13	2	1	1	5	17	1	1	0	216	288	317	606	101	290	27	8	275	72	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	MIN	48%	156	141	30	5	1	2	13	42	1	3	1	220	293	329	622	109	291	27	8	281	77	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
2030	22	MLB CTX	MIN	54%	228	205	46	8	2	4	19	60	2	4	2	223	296	339	635	116	292	26	8	287	80	-5	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.2
2031	23	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	276	248	56	10	2	5	23	72	3	5	2	226	299	347	646	121	293	26	8	291	83	-6	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.1
2032	24	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	300	269	61	11	2	6	25	77	3	6	2	228	302	354	656	126	294	26	8	295	86	-5	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.0
2033	25	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	314	281	64	11	2	7	27	81	3	6	2	229	302	357	659	128	294	26	9	296	86	-5	+0	+0	-2	+7	0.0
2034	26	MLB CTX	MIN	56%	321	288	66	12	2	7	27	83	3	6	2	229	302	358	661	129	294	26	8	297	87	-5	+0	+0	-2	+7	0.0
2035	27	MLB CTX	MIN	55%	318	285	65	11	2	7	27	83	3	6	2	228	301	356	657	128	293	26	8	295	86	-5	+0	+0	-2	+7	-0.0
2036	28	MLB CTX	MIN	55%	313	280	64	11	2	7	27	82	3	6	2	226	299	351	650	125	292	26	9	292	84	-6	+0	-0	-2	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2290	2055	465	81	16	46	193	597	22	43	15	226	300	348	648	122	294	26	8	292	82	-44	+3	-0	-14	+50	-0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	132	23	5	13	55	169	6	12	4	226	300	350	650	123	294	26	8	292	82	-13	+1	-0	-4	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	4491	4029	903	158	34	86	383	1179	41	86	31	224	298	344	642	120	293	26	9	289	82	-86	+5	-1	-26	+93	-1.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	130	23	5	12	55	171	6	12	4	223	296	341	637	118	293	26	8	289	82	-13	+1	-0	-4	+14	-0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Jake Powell'30-'45 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,767 PA	4.2	2,767	22	65	248*	294*	373*	-14	-2	0.2	2.0
/162	664	5	16	-3.3	-0.5	0.0	pk7: 4
#4Carl Warwick'61-'66 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,616 PA	2.4	1,616	31	13	245*	309*	381*	-9	-1	1.4	1.4
/162	664	13	5	-3.6	-0.6	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.6	2,384	47	46	227	296	349	-14	+0	0.7	0.9
/162	664	13	13	-4.0	+0.0	0.2	pk7: 1
#6Ray Coleman'47-'52 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,902 PA	2.9	1,902	20	19	249*	297*	399*	-12	-1	-0.1	-0.1
/162	664	7	7	-4.4	-0.4	-0.0	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Taveras (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	210/280/301	91	288	1	2	28%	8%	67	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	36→44	39→50	53→55	48	177/265/262	85	249	7	11	30%	9%	53	-2.1	194/283/299	105	299	9	16	34%	10%	68	-1.0	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Angel Ortiz 2022 · A	19	42→45	41→50	46→45	44	206/261/296	90	269	9	9	26%	7%	57	-1.8	207/257/302	95	281	7	7	27%	6%	57	-1.8	227/286/370	143	294	13	8	26%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Estevan Florial 2017 · A	19	39→49	42→50	52→60	40	192/255/297	106	289	10	11	35%	7%	56	-1.9	217/275/334	117	369	10	13	40%	7%	72	-0.7	214/285/371	157	317	17	29	36%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Juan Villavicencio 2024 · A	19	36→44	38→50	51→55	47	174/251/254	80	234	5	13	26%	8%	45	-2.7	189/262/280	91	279	7	14	32%	8%	55	-1.9	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Angel Guzman 2024 · A	18	39	39→45	51→55	51	190/275/281	91	246	6	9	24%	9%	61	-1.5	193/294/290	97	272	8	10	29%	11%	70	-0.8	182/294/282	100	260	9	9	30%	12%	65	-0.4
●Nick Pratto 2018 · A	19	39→45	41→55	49→50	39	188/248/288	100	289	7	10	36%	7%	51	-2.2	189/239/292	103	318	10	12	41%	6%	49	-2.4	199/293/381	183	290	22	7	37%	10%	90	+0.5
✕Daryl Jones 2006 · A	19	40→50	37→45	48→50	40	192/264/264	72	267	5	11	28%	5%	53	-2.1	212/278/306	94	284	8	13	27%	6%	67	-1.1	242/312/349	107	314	9	14	24%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Travis Blankenhorn 2016 · A	19	42→45	39→50	51→50	40	204/257/286	82	281	6	6	29%	6%	54	-2.0	207/264/331	124	299	11	7	33%	6%	67	-1.1	208/282/359	151	278	18	6	31%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Isan Díaz 2015 · A	19	34→43	39→55	47→45	40	170/236/260	90	270	6	8	37%	7%	40	-3.0	210/275/349	139	306	13	8	34%	8%	76	-0.4	212/290/379	167	275	21	5	30%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Eliezer Álvarez 2014 · A	19	36→46	37→45	50→55	46	176/242/253	76	228	4	12	24%	7%	41	-3.0	231/280/336	105	295	5	13	22%	6%	74	-0.6	254/307/364	110	341	6	19	26%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Manuel Pena 2023 · A	19	41→50	38→50	47→50	42	198/255/277	79	286	6	10	32%	7%	51	-2.3	213/257/304	91	311	6	8	32%	5%	57	-1.8	238/273/365	128	316	15	5	29%	4%	76	-0.4
✕Max Clark 2024 · A	19	44→53	42→45	51→55	48	207/292/314	106	308	9	11	33%	10%	74	-0.5	238/314/357	119	306	11	17	24%	9%	92	+0.7	245/323/369	124	304	11	19	22%	10%	96	+0.9
✕Cal Mitchell 2018 · A	19	41→51	38→50	42→50	43	196/257/277	81	269	5	5	28%	7%	52	-2.2	214/261/321	107	318	10	3	34%	5%	63	-1.3	236/294/376	140	302	15	12	26%	7%	87	+0.3
✕Hoy Park 2016 · A	20	40→50	41→45	47→55	46	197/270/297	100	265	8	11	28%	8%	62	-1.4	207/284/295	88	286	5	16	27%	9%	67	-1.1	234/324/332	98	306	8	17	24%	11%	88	+0.3
✕Iverson Leonardo 2021 · A	19	42	38→45	46→50	48	198/278/293	95	270	4	9	26%	8%	64	-1.3	187/263/295	108	293	10	8	37%	8%	59	-1.6	153/242/259	106	250	10	8	40%	8%	42	-0.7
✕Victor Arias 2023 · A	19	43→50	37→45	49→50	47	199/284/273	74	302	3	11	32%	10%	62	-1.4	217/300/325	108	317	8	16	31%	9%	80	-0.2	226/304/342	116	321	9	18	30%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Ronny Ugarte 2023 · A	18	39	41→45	47→30	46	193/268/298	105	252	7	6	26%	8%	61	-1.5	208/273/298	90	262	5	5	21%	7%	63	-1.4	229/293/323	94	294	8	2	24%	8%	73	-0.3
✕Lewin Díaz 2016 · A	19	37→46	41→60	49→30	45	185/258/283	98	244	8	4	27%	8%	55	-2.0	213/252/333	120	269	12	3	25%	4%	63	-1.4	206/256/398	192	235	26	1	25%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Victor Mesa Jr. 2021 · A	19	45→46	37→55	49→50	47	212/272/292	80	272	4	8	22%	7%	61	-1.5	214/265/314	100	290	7	9	27%	6%	63	-1.4	238/297/408	169	279	21	11	23%	7%	95	+0.5
✕Rio Ruiz 2013 · A	19	43→53	38→50	52→40	42	205/261/298	93	294	4	6	30%	7%	58	-1.7	232/297/350	118	303	9	5	24%	9%	83	+0.1	246/316/351	105	316	8	2	23%	9%	88	+0.4

Carlos Taveras

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps