Santiago Leon — OGILVIE

Santiago LeonSS DSL Twins

Age 18 R/R 5'11" / 169 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 184 proj PA

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .284 / .277

PA16

HR0

K%26

BB%9

ISO77

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$23M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.1M
2036	Arb-2	$5M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$6M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$8M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	215	166	37	8	2	1	39	39	8	11	7	223	394	313	708	90	281	18	18	336	113	+3	-1	—	—	+5	0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	215	181	30	6	1	1	24	57	8	11	7	166	291	227	518	61	224	27	11	240	49	-13	-1	—	—	+5	-0.9
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	215	181	30	6	1	1	24	57	8	11	7	166	291	227	518	61	232	27	11	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	—	215	166	37	8	2	1	39	39	8	11	7	223	394	313	708	90	281	18	18	336	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	215	181	30	6	1	1	24	57	8	11	7	166	291	227	518	61	224	27	11	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	215	181	30	6	1	1	24	57	8	11	7	166	291	227	518	61	224	27	11	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	18	MLB MLE	MIN	0%	16	15	3	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	200	250	267	517	67	272	25	6	262	63	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	MIN	34%	265	235	49	9	2	3	24	66	4	5	1	209	293	302	595	94	277	25	9	274	71	-9	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.0
2028	20	MLB MLE	MIN	48%	389	344	73	13	3	5	35	96	7	7	2	212	298	311	609	99	279	25	9	282	77	-11	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.3
2029	21	MLB MLE	MIN	54%	480	425	92	17	3	7	44	117	8	9	2	216	302	320	622	104	281	24	9	288	81	-11	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.6
2030	22	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	545	480	106	19	4	9	50	132	10	10	3	221	307	333	641	112	282	24	9	291	83	-11	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.8
2031	23	MLB MLE	MIN	58%	590	521	115	21	4	10	54	142	10	11	3	221	306	334	640	113	283	24	9	293	85	-11	+1	+0	+6	+13	1.0
2032	24	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	615	542	121	22	4	11	57	147	11	12	3	223	310	339	649	116	284	24	9	295	86	-10	+1	+0	+7	+13	1.1
2033	25	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	627	553	123	22	4	11	58	150	11	12	3	222	309	336	645	114	284	24	9	296	86	-10	+1	+0	+7	+14	1.2
2034	26	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	634	559	126	23	4	12	59	152	11	12	3	225	312	345	657	120	284	24	9	296	87	-10	+1	+0	+7	+14	1.2
2035	27	MLB MLE	MIN	55%	634	558	124	22	4	12	60	152	11	12	3	222	310	341	651	118	283	24	9	297	87	-10	+1	+0	+7	+14	1.2
2036	28	MLB MLE	MIN	55%	629	553	122	22	4	11	60	152	11	12	3	221	309	335	644	114	283	24	10	296	86	-10	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.1
2037	29	MLB MLE	MIN	53%	619	544	121	22	4	11	59	151	11	11	3	222	311	338	649	116	283	24	10	294	85	-11	+1	-1	+7	+13	0.9
2038	30	MLB MLE	MIN	53%	609	535	117	21	4	10	58	150	11	11	3	219	308	329	637	110	282	25	10	291	83	-12	+1	-2	+7	+13	0.7
2039	31	MLB MLE	MIN	52%	595	523	114	20	4	10	57	148	10	10	3	218	307	329	636	111	279	25	10	287	81	-14	+1	-3	+6	+13	0.4
2040	32	MLB MLE	MIN	56%	576	506	108	19	4	9	55	146	10	9	2	213	303	320	623	107	277	25	10	282	77	-16	+1	-4	+6	+12	0.1
2041	33	MLB MLE	MIN	59%	546	480	100	17	3	8	52	141	9	8	2	208	298	306	604	98	273	26	10	276	73	-18	+1	-4	+6	+12	-0.3
2027	19	MLB CTX	MIN	34%	91	81	17	3	1	1	8	23	2	2	0	210	297	309	605	99	277	25	9	262	71	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2028	20	MLB CTX	MIN	48%	188	166	36	7	1	3	17	46	3	3	1	217	301	325	626	108	279	24	9	270	77	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	MIN	54%	260	229	50	9	2	4	24	63	5	5	1	218	306	328	634	109	281	24	9	275	81	-6	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2030	22	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	308	272	60	11	2	5	28	74	5	6	1	221	305	331	636	110	282	24	9	278	83	-6	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.5
2031	23	MLB CTX	MIN	58%	340	300	66	12	2	6	31	82	6	6	2	220	306	333	639	113	283	24	9	281	85	-6	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.5
2032	24	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	350	309	69	13	2	6	32	84	6	7	2	223	308	337	645	113	284	24	9	282	86	-6	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.6
2033	25	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	356	314	70	13	2	6	33	85	6	7	2	223	309	334	643	111	284	24	9	283	86	-6	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.7
2034	26	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	359	317	71	13	2	7	33	86	6	7	2	224	309	344	653	120	284	24	9	283	87	-6	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.7
2035	27	MLB CTX	MIN	55%	352	310	69	13	2	6	33	84	6	7	2	223	309	335	645	113	284	24	9	284	87	-6	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.7
2036	28	MLB CTX	MIN	55%	345	303	67	12	2	6	33	83	6	6	2	221	310	333	643	112	283	24	10	283	86	-6	+0	-0	+4	+7	0.6
2037	29	MLB CTX	MIN	53%	331	290	65	12	2	6	32	81	6	6	2	224	314	341	655	117	283	24	10	281	85	-6	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.5
2038	30	MLB CTX	MIN	53%	321	281	61	11	2	5	31	79	6	6	1	217	308	324	632	107	282	25	10	279	83	-6	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.4
2039	31	MLB CTX	MIN	52%	310	272	59	11	2	5	30	77	5	5	1	217	306	327	633	110	280	25	10	275	81	-7	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.2
2040	32	MLB CTX	MIN	56%	324	284	61	11	2	5	31	82	6	5	1	215	305	320	626	106	277	25	10	270	77	-9	+1	-2	+3	+7	0.0
2041	33	MLB CTX	MIN	59%	322	284	59	10	2	5	30	83	5	5	1	208	295	310	605	102	273	26	9	264	73	-10	+1	-2	+3	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4557	4012	880	161	28	76	426	1112	79	83	21	219	307	330	637	111	282	24	9	278	82	-94	+8	-8	+49	+99	5.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	572	126	23	4	11	61	159	11	12	3	220	307	332	640	112	283	24	9	278	82	-13	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	8584	7554	1644	296	56	140	807	2103	153	162	46	218	306	327	633	110	281	24	9	289	82	-174	+15	-15	+90	+181	9.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	124	22	4	11	61	159	12	12	3	217	305	327	632	110	279	24	9	289	82	-13	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#5Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	7.1	4,742	77	86	220	304	330	+51	+27	8.6	7.2
/162	664	11	12	+7.1	+3.8	1.2	pk7: 6
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Santiago Leon (OGILVIE)	18	35	20	50	60	200/284/277	77	272	1	3	26%	9%	63	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	39	36→30	48→50	45	186/255/247	61	260	3	12	28%	8%	45	-2.7	210/266/251	41	261	1	14	19%	7%	49	-2.4	233/291/254	20	278	0	16	15%	7%	56	-0.6
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	43	196/259/277	81	254	5	7	24%	6%	53	-2.1	212/289/284	72	268	5	9	21%	9%	66	-1.1	221/317/274	53	274	5	10	19%	11%	72	-0.3
✕Rafael Herrera 2019 · A	18	43	35→40	52→50	45	200/267/266	67	269	2	12	25%	7%	53	-2.1	218/286/298	80	291	4	12	24%	8%	68	-1.0	229/304/310	81	297	4	17	22%	9%	74	-0.2
✕Rafael P Valera 2013 · A	18	43	35→30	48→55	46	201/273/256	55	281	2	11	27%	8%	53	-2.1	207/290/260	53	271	1	14	22%	9%	61	-1.5	216/289/281	65	299	0	7	25%	8%	62	-0.4
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	41	35→45	44→50	47	190/277/250	60	289	2	10	32%	10%	55	-2.0	190/259/257	67	295	3	15	34%	7%	49	-2.4	198/276/278	80	279	7	21	29%	7%	58	-0.6
✕Hidekel Abreu 2016 · A	18	42	36→40	49→50	45	199/266/263	64	280	3	8	28%	8%	52	-2.2	223/284/304	81	293	5	10	24%	7%	68	-1.0	237/299/317	80	300	6	12	21%	8%	72	-0.3
✕Kelvin Fajardo 2014 · A	18	44	35→30	46→50	48	204/261/260	56	246	3	6	18%	7%	49	-2.4	222/278/270	48	270	1	6	17%	6%	57	-1.8	224/280/257	33	266	0	6	15%	6%	55	-0.7
✕Yeison Santana 2019 · A	18	45	35→30	47→55	52	206/294/273	67	286	2	8	26%	10%	65	-1.2	214/282/293	79	314	5	8	31%	8%	65	-1.2	211/282/267	57	309	3	15	30%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Luis Torrens 2014 · A	18	42→48	36→50	49→40	45	196/262/257	61	277	3	5	29%	8%	49	-2.4	204/277/280	76	276	6	5	26%	8%	61	-1.5	237/296/380	143	283	15	2	21%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	42→45	39→45	47→55	48	202/296/282	81	254	6	12	22%	8%	70	-0.9	210/296/305	95	253	9	16	20%	9%	74	-0.5	215/297/320	105	260	12	19	21%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Manuel Falcon 2008 · A	18	43	35→30	49→50	41	200/260/254	54	286	2	8	29%	6%	48	-2.5	227/283/274	47	287	1	10	20%	6%	61	-1.5	240/298/272	32	295	0	11	17%	6%	65	-0.5
✕Marco Soto 2022 · A	18	41	36→30	52→50	42	194/263/258	64	277	3	10	29%	6%	51	-2.3	201/256/257	56	270	2	8	25%	5%	47	-2.5	183/237/221	38	251	1	8	26%	5%	30	-0.9
✕Dubal Baez 2011 · A	18	46	36→30	50→60	46	214/289/282	68	300	4	7	28%	8%	65	-1.2	214/302/264	50	297	2	18	26%	8%	68	-1.0	217/309/247	30	304	0	28	25%	8%	63	-0.4
✕Elio Castillo 2012 · A	18	43	35→30	48→50	49	202/273/265	63	251	2	8	20%	8%	55	-1.9	213/285/265	52	263	2	8	18%	7%	60	-1.6	213/278/238	26	263	0	8	18%	7%	50	-0.7
✕Francisco Aponte 2009 · A	18	43	36→30	49→60	46	205/268/268	64	265	4	9	23%	7%	54	-2.0	230/305/289	59	291	2	17	20%	8%	73	-0.6	224/288/270	46	274	0	22	17%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Luis Palacios 2007 · A	18	43	37→40	50	47	203/279/272	70	286	4	13	29%	8%	59	-1.6	204/261/283	79	271	5	7	25%	6%	55	-2.0	192/241/268	76	252	6	4	25%	5%	42	-1.0
✕Deiber Olivera 2012 · A	19	44	38→40	50→45	44	210/259/296	86	269	4	8	23%	6%	56	-1.9	236/277/312	76	275	3	7	15%	4%	67	-1.1	255/291/322	67	289	2	7	12%	3%	73	-0.2
✕Jose Astudillo 2022 · A	18	43	37→45	52→55	46	204/259/278	73	249	3	9	19%	6%	53	-2.1	228/282/303	75	268	3	15	15%	6%	67	-1.1	286/329/371	85	315	6	22	11%	5%	96	+0.4
✕Enmanuel Tejeda 2023 · A	18	45→37	40	52→60	57	212/316/313	100	269	5	12	21%	12%	83	+0.1	225/310/312	87	311	7	23	27%	10%	80	-0.1	226/313/303	78	310	7	32	27%	10%	77	-0.1
✕Marco Guzman 2013 · A	18	37	35→45	47→50	47	176/257/242	66	244	2	8	26%	8%	45	-2.7	198/263/278	80	251	4	7	22%	8%	55	-2.0	224/262/324	100	290	5	8	24%	5%	62	-0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps