Santiago Leon — OGILVIE

Santiago LeonSS DSL Twins

Age 18 R/R 5'11" / 169 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 184 proj PA

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .282 / .275

PA184

HR1

K%26

BB%9

ISO77

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.4	$7M	+$7M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.4	$7M	+$6M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.5	$7M	+$6M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+1.5	$6M	+$5M
2036	Arb-2	$5M	+1.3	$5M	+$3M
2037	Arb-3	$6M	+1.1	$4M	+$2M
Totals		$17M		$35M	+$29M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	215	180	30	6	1	1	25	57	8	11	7	167	296	228	524	61	234	27	12	241	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	215	166	37	8	2	1	39	39	8	11	7	223	394	313	708	90	281	18	18	336	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	18	MLB	MIN	—	184	163	32	6	1	1	16	48	3	3	1	196	280	264	544	67	272	26	9	260	57	-9	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	MIN	34%	265	235	49	9	2	3	24	68	4	5	1	209	293	302	595	94	277	26	9	272	66	-10	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.1
2028	20	MLB	MIN	48%	389	344	73	13	3	5	35	98	7	7	2	212	298	311	609	99	280	25	9	281	73	-12	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.4
2029	21	MLB	MIN	54%	480	425	92	17	3	7	43	119	9	9	2	216	302	320	622	104	281	25	9	286	77	-12	+1	+0	+5	+14	0.8
2030	22	MLB	MIN	57%	545	480	106	19	4	9	50	134	10	10	3	221	307	333	641	112	282	25	9	290	80	-12	+1	+0	+6	+15	1.0
2031	23	MLB	MIN	58%	590	520	115	21	4	10	54	144	11	11	3	221	308	335	642	113	283	24	9	292	82	-12	+1	+0	+6	+17	1.2
2032	24	MLB	MIN	57%	615	543	121	22	4	11	56	150	11	12	3	223	308	339	647	116	284	24	9	294	83	-12	+1	+0	+7	+17	1.4
2033	25	MLB	MIN	61%	627	553	123	22	4	11	58	153	11	12	3	222	309	336	645	114	284	24	9	294	84	-12	+1	+0	+7	+18	1.4
2034	26	MLB	MIN	63%	634	560	124	22	4	12	58	154	11	12	3	221	307	339	646	118	284	24	9	295	84	-12	+1	+0	+7	+18	1.5
2035	27	MLB	MIN	64%	634	559	124	22	4	12	59	155	11	12	3	222	308	340	648	118	284	24	9	295	84	-12	+1	+0	+7	+18	1.5
2036	28	MLB	MIN	65%	629	554	122	22	4	11	59	155	11	12	3	220	308	334	642	114	283	25	9	294	83	-12	+1	-1	+7	+18	1.3
2037	29	MLB	MIN	65%	619	545	121	22	4	11	58	153	11	11	3	222	309	338	647	116	283	25	9	292	82	-13	+1	-1	+7	+18	1.1
2038	30	MLB	MIN	65%	609	535	117	21	4	10	58	152	11	11	3	219	308	329	637	110	282	25	10	290	80	-14	+1	-2	+7	+17	0.9
2039	31	MLB	MIN	65%	595	524	113	20	4	10	56	151	10	10	3	216	303	326	630	111	280	25	9	286	77	-15	+1	-3	+6	+17	0.6
2040	32	MLB	MIN	65%	576	507	107	19	3	9	54	148	10	9	2	211	299	314	613	103	277	26	9	281	73	-18	+1	-4	+6	+16	0.3
2041	33	MLB	MIN	65%	546	481	99	17	3	8	51	143	9	8	2	206	294	304	597	98	273	26	9	275	68	-20	+1	-4	+6	+15	-0.2
2027	19	MLB	MIN	34%	91	81	17	3	1	1	8	23	2	2	0	210	297	309	605	99	277	25	9	260	57	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
2028	20	MLB	MIN	48%	188	166	35	6	1	3	17	47	3	3	1	211	296	313	609	102	280	25	9	268	63	-8	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.0
2029	21	MLB	MIN	54%	260	229	50	9	2	4	24	64	5	5	1	218	306	328	634	109	281	25	9	273	67	-10	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2030	22	MLB	MIN	57%	308	272	60	11	2	5	28	76	5	6	1	221	305	331	636	110	283	25	9	277	70	-10	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.2
2031	23	MLB	MIN	58%	340	300	66	12	2	6	31	83	6	6	2	220	306	333	639	113	283	24	9	279	72	-11	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.3
2032	24	MLB	MIN	57%	350	309	68	12	2	6	32	85	6	7	2	220	305	330	636	110	284	24	9	281	73	-11	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.4
2033	25	MLB	MIN	61%	380	335	75	13	3	7	35	93	7	7	2	224	310	343	654	119	284	24	9	281	74	-11	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.4
2034	26	MLB	MIN	63%	397	351	78	14	3	7	36	97	7	8	2	222	307	339	646	117	284	24	9	282	74	-12	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.5
2035	27	MLB	MIN	64%	403	355	79	14	3	7	38	98	7	8	2	223	310	338	648	115	284	24	9	282	74	-12	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.5
2036	28	MLB	MIN	65%	409	361	79	14	3	7	38	101	7	8	2	219	305	332	638	114	284	25	9	281	73	-12	+1	-0	+4	+12	0.4
2037	29	MLB	MIN	65%	402	354	78	14	3	7	38	100	7	7	2	220	308	336	644	116	283	25	9	280	72	-13	+1	-1	+4	+11	0.3
2038	30	MLB	MIN	65%	396	349	76	14	2	7	37	99	7	7	2	218	305	330	635	112	282	25	9	277	70	-13	+1	-1	+4	+11	0.1
2039	31	MLB	MIN	65%	387	340	73	13	2	6	37	98	7	7	2	215	305	318	622	103	280	25	10	273	67	-14	+1	-2	+4	+11	-0.0
2040	32	MLB	MIN	65%	374	330	69	12	2	6	35	96	6	6	2	209	296	312	609	103	277	26	9	268	64	-15	+0	-2	+4	+11	-0.3
2041	33	MLB	MIN	65%	355	313	64	11	2	5	33	93	6	5	1	204	293	300	593	96	273	26	9	262	59	-16	+1	-3	+4	+10	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	5040	4445	967	172	33	84	467	1253	88	92	24	218	304	328	632	110	282	25	9	276	70	-173	+9	-10	+54	+143	2.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	124	22	4	11	60	162	11	12	3	216	302	326	629	110	280	25	9	276	70	-22	+1	-1	+7	+18	0.3
Career	—			—	8752	7708	1668	300	56	141	814	2182	158	165	47	216	304	325	629	108	281	25	9	287	78	-219	+14	-15	+94	+248	12.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	123	22	4	10	60	162	12	12	3	215	302	320	622	105	280	25	9	287	78	-16	+1	-1	+7	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	215	166	37	8	2	1	39	39	8	11	7	223	394	313	708	90	281	18	18	336	115	+4	-1	—	—	+6	0.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#5Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	5,225	85	94	219	302	328	+56	+30	8.0	6.9
	/162	664	11	12	219	302	328	+7.1	+3.8	1.0	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Santiago Leon (OGILVIE)	18	35	20	50	60	199/282/275	76	272	1	3	26%	9%	57	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Astudillo 2022 · A	18	43	37→30	52→50	46	204/257/278	73	249	3	9	19%	6%	46	-2.0	230/283/304	74	270	3	15	15%	6%	63	-0.9	293/336/390	97	320	8	19	10%	4%	104	+0.6
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	39	36→30	48→50	45	186/255/247	61	260	3	12	28%	8%	37	-2.6	210/266/251	41	261	1	14	19%	7%	42	-2.3	233/291/254	20	278	0	16	15%	7%	50	-0.6
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	44	197/261/279	83	254	5	7	24%	6%	49	-1.8	211/290/283	72	267	5	9	21%	9%	62	-0.9	219/316/271	52	272	4	10	19%	11%	68	-0.2
✕Rafael Herrera 2019 · A	18	43	35→40	52→50	45	200/267/266	67	269	2	12	25%	7%	47	-1.9	218/286/298	80	291	4	12	24%	8%	63	-0.8	229/304/310	81	297	4	17	22%	9%	71	-0.1
✕Hidekel Abreu 2016 · A	18	42	36→40	49→50	45	199/266/263	64	280	3	8	28%	8%	46	-2.0	223/284/304	81	293	5	10	24%	7%	63	-0.8	237/299/317	80	300	6	12	21%	8%	68	-0.2
✕Kelvin Fajardo 2014 · A	18	44	35→30	46→50	48	204/261/260	56	246	3	6	18%	7%	43	-2.2	222/278/270	48	270	1	6	17%	6%	52	-1.6	224/280/257	33	266	0	6	15%	6%	49	-0.7
✕Marco Soto 2022 · A	18	41	36→30	52→50	41	195/262/260	64	278	3	10	29%	6%	44	-2.1	202/257/256	54	271	2	8	25%	5%	40	-2.4	184/237/220	36	252	1	8	26%	5%	21	-0.9
✕Yeison Santana 2019 · A	18	45	35→30	47→55	52	206/294/273	67	286	2	8	26%	10%	61	-1.0	214/282/293	79	315	5	8	31%	8%	60	-1.0	210/282/268	57	310	3	15	31%	8%	51	-0.6
✕Manuel Falcon 2008 · A	18	43	35→30	49→50	41	200/260/254	54	286	2	8	29%	6%	41	-2.3	227/283/274	47	287	1	10	20%	6%	56	-1.3	240/298/272	32	295	0	11	17%	6%	60	-0.4
✕Dubal Baez 2011 · A	18	46	36→30	50→60	46	214/289/282	68	300	4	7	28%	8%	61	-1.0	214/302/264	50	297	2	18	26%	8%	63	-0.8	217/309/247	30	304	0	28	25%	8%	58	-0.3
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	41	35→45	44→55	47	190/278/250	60	289	2	10	32%	10%	49	-1.8	189/258/257	68	296	3	15	34%	8%	41	-2.3	194/269/271	76	278	5	22	30%	7%	48	-0.6
✕Rafael P Valera 2013 · A	18	43	35→30	48→55	46	201/273/256	55	281	2	11	27%	8%	47	-1.9	206/289/259	53	271	1	14	22%	9%	56	-1.3	212/285/276	64	296	0	7	26%	8%	54	-0.4
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	43→46	38→45	47→55	49	203/297/279	76	256	6	12	22%	8%	66	-0.6	211/299/308	97	254	9	16	20%	9%	72	-0.2	216/299/322	106	259	12	19	21%	8%	75	-0.0
✕Luis Palacios 2007 · A	18	43	37→40	50	47	203/279/272	70	286	4	13	29%	8%	54	-1.4	204/261/283	79	271	5	7	25%	6%	49	-1.8	192/241/268	76	252	6	4	25%	5%	35	-0.9
✕Francisco Aponte 2009 · A	18	43	36→30	49→60	46	205/268/268	64	265	4	9	23%	7%	48	-1.9	230/305/289	59	291	2	17	20%	8%	69	-0.4	221/287/267	45	270	0	22	16%	8%	54	-0.5
✕Elio Castillo 2012 · A	18	43	35→30	48→50	49	202/273/265	63	251	2	8	20%	8%	50	-1.8	213/285/265	52	263	2	8	18%	7%	55	-1.4	213/278/238	26	263	0	8	18%	7%	43	-0.6
✕Marco Guzman 2013 · A	18	37	35→45	47→50	47	176/257/242	66	244	2	8	26%	8%	38	-2.6	198/263/278	80	251	4	7	22%	8%	49	-1.8	227/264/332	105	291	6	8	23%	5%	60	-0.3
✕Yordany De Los Santos 2023 · A	18	42→39	36→45	51→60	46	193/275/265	72	282	3	13	30%	9%	51	-1.7	203/273/292	89	313	7	23	34%	8%	56	-1.3	206/260/333	127	301	14	35	35%	6%	58	-0.7
✕Samuel Gil 2023 · A	18	42	39→30	52→50	45	203/268/289	86	274	5	9	27%	7%	54	-1.4	207/283/272	65	284	4	8	26%	9%	56	-1.3	198/287/247	50	267	2	9	24%	10%	48	-1.0
✕Enmanuel Tejeda 2023 · A	18	44	38→40	51→60	58	207/313/298	91	265	4	12	22%	12%	76	+0.1	218/305/301	83	307	6	23	28%	10%	73	-0.1	216/305/292	77	301	7	32	28%	10%	68	-0.2