Santiago Leon

SS DSL Twins

Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 169 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1102ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKMIN	215	.223/.394/.313	1	11	45	—	.147/.291/.203
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBMIN	325	.210/.299/.290	2	6	71	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBMIN	28	.214/.303/.304	0	1	75	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBMIN	85	.218/.307/.315	1	2	79	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

Chase%96

Z-Con%95

Whiff%92

BB%81

Speed75

K%67

CompsTyler Rodriguez (age 18) · Victor Rodrigues (age 19) · Jhostynxon Garcia (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 56 proj PA

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .296 / .288

PA56

HR0

K%25

BB%10

ISO80

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$28M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.3M
2037	Arb-2	$4M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$4M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$9M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	215	166	37	8	2	1	39	39	8	11	7	223	394	313	708	90	281	18	18	336	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	215	177	26	5	1	1	28	48	8	11	7	147	291	203	494	56	190	22	13	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	215	177	26	5	1	1	28	48	8	11	7	147	291	203	494	56	192	22	13	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	—	215	166	37	8	2	1	39	39	8	11	7	223	394	313	708	90	281	18	18	336	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	215	177	26	5	1	1	28	48	8	11	7	147	291	203	494	56	190	22	13	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	215	177	26	5	1	1	28	48	8	11	7	147	291	203	494	56	190	22	13	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	MIN	0%	325	286	60	11	3	2	31	80	5	6	1	210	299	290	589	80	280	25	10	273	71	-11	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	MIN	34%	81	72	16	3	1	1	8	20	1	2	0	214	303	303	607	89	282	25	10	279	75	-2	+0	-0	+1	+2	0.0
2029	21	MLB MLE	MIN	48%	175	153	33	6	1	2	17	42	3	3	1	218	307	314	621	97	283	24	10	285	79	-4	+0	-0	+2	+4	0.1
2030	22	MLB MLE	MIN	54%	291	256	56	10	2	4	28	70	5	6	2	221	309	324	633	103	285	24	10	289	82	-6	+0	-0	+3	+6	0.3
2031	23	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	388	342	77	14	3	6	37	92	6	7	2	223	311	332	643	108	286	24	10	293	84	-7	+1	+1	+4	+8	0.7
2032	24	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	451	398	89	16	3	7	43	107	7	9	2	226	312	338	651	113	287	24	10	296	86	-7	+1	+2	+5	+10	1.1
2033	25	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	488	431	97	17	4	8	46	115	8	9	3	226	313	340	652	114	287	24	9	297	87	-8	+1	+4	+5	+11	1.3
2034	26	MLB MLE	MIN	60%	510	448	102	18	4	9	49	121	8	9	3	226	313	340	653	114	287	24	10	297	87	-8	+1	+4	+5	+11	1.3
2035	27	MLB MLE	MIN	62%	518	456	103	18	4	9	49	123	8	9	3	225	312	338	650	113	286	24	9	295	86	-9	+1	+4	+6	+11	1.3
2036	28	MLB MLE	MIN	63%	517	455	102	18	4	8	49	124	8	9	3	223	310	333	643	110	286	24	9	293	84	-10	+1	+3	+6	+11	1.1
2037	29	MLB MLE	MIN	64%	509	448	100	18	4	8	48	124	8	8	3	221	307	327	634	106	284	24	9	289	82	-11	+0	+3	+5	+11	0.9
2038	30	MLB MLE	MIN	65%	498	441	96	17	3	7	47	123	7	7	3	218	304	320	624	102	283	25	9	285	79	-12	+0	+2	+5	+11	0.6
2039	31	MLB MLE	MIN	65%	482	427	91	16	3	6	45	120	7	6	4	214	299	310	609	96	280	25	9	279	75	-14	-0	+1	+5	+10	0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	MIN	34%	28	25	5	1	0	0	3	7	0	1	0	214	303	304	607	89	282	25	11	279	75	-1	+0	-0	+0	+1	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	MIN	48%	85	76	17	3	1	1	8	21	1	2	0	218	307	315	621	97	283	25	9	285	79	-2	+0	-0	+1	+2	0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	MIN	54%	158	139	30	5	1	2	15	38	3	3	1	221	309	324	633	103	285	24	9	289	82	-3	+0	-0	+2	+3	0.2
2031	23	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	220	193	44	8	2	3	21	52	4	4	1	224	311	332	643	108	286	24	10	293	84	-4	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.4
2032	24	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	255	225	51	9	2	4	24	60	4	5	1	226	313	339	651	113	287	24	9	296	86	-4	+1	+1	+3	+6	0.6
2033	25	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	276	244	56	10	2	5	26	65	4	5	1	226	313	340	653	114	287	24	9	297	87	-4	+1	+2	+3	+6	0.8
2034	26	MLB CTX	MIN	60%	308	271	61	11	2	5	29	73	5	6	2	226	313	341	654	115	287	24	9	297	87	-5	+0	+2	+3	+7	0.8
2035	27	MLB CTX	MIN	62%	322	283	63	11	2	5	31	77	5	6	2	225	312	338	650	113	286	24	10	296	86	-5	+0	+3	+3	+7	0.8
2036	28	MLB CTX	MIN	63%	327	288	63	11	2	5	31	79	5	5	2	223	310	334	644	110	286	24	9	293	84	-6	+0	+2	+4	+7	0.7
2037	29	MLB CTX	MIN	64%	325	286	63	11	2	5	31	79	5	5	2	221	307	328	635	106	285	24	10	290	82	-7	+0	+2	+3	+7	0.6
2038	30	MLB CTX	MIN	65%	324	286	63	11	2	5	30	80	5	5	2	218	304	320	624	102	283	25	9	285	79	-8	+0	+1	+3	+7	0.4
2039	31	MLB CTX	MIN	65%	313	277	59	10	2	4	29	78	4	4	3	214	299	311	610	96	280	25	9	279	75	-9	-0	+1	+3	+7	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2941	2593	575	101	20	44	278	709	45	51	17	222	308	327	635	105	286	24	9	291	81	-59	+3	+14	+32	+64	5.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	573	127	22	4	10	61	157	10	11	4	222	307	326	634	105	285	24	9	291	81	-13	+1	+3	+7	+14	1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	5179	4554	998	178	37	76	499	1243	85	96	36	219	308	325	632	105	283	24	10	288	81	-101	+5	+23	+53	+108	9.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	126	22	5	10	63	156	11	12	5	220	310	329	639	108	284	24	10	288	81	-13	+1	+3	+7	+14	1.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 DSLDSL Twins · 215 PAwOBA .332 → .234 (−98)K% 18.1% → 22.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.14%	÷0.990	×1.220	—	—	22.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	18.14%	÷0.995	×0.700	—	×1.022	13.05%
HBP% /PA	3.72%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	2.66%
Singles /BIP	20.47%	÷0.991	×0.680	×1.005	×1.022	14.43%
Doubles /BIP	6.30%	÷0.982	×0.600	×1.005	×1.022	3.95%
Triples /BIP	1.57%	÷1.150	×0.600	×1.005	×1.022	0.84%
Home runs /BIP	0.79%	÷0.953	×0.470	—	×1.022	0.40%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 98, 2B 96, 3B 130, K 98, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.

Result: wOBA .332 → .234; ISO .090 → .055; BABIP .281 → .190. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
/162	664	4	15	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8
#5Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	4.7	3,095	15	22	233*	291*	316*	+32	+27	4.6	5.8
/162	664	3	5	+6.8	+5.8	1.0	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	4.5	2,995	45	51	223	306	330	+32	+32	5.7	5.2
/162	664	10	11	+7.1	+7.1	1.3	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Santiago Leon (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	208/296/288	80	280	0	1	25%	10%	71	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tyler Rodriguez 2024 · A	18	41	38→40	49→55	55	196/307/275	79	247	6	14	22%	11%	73	-0.6	208/326/276	68	266	5	17	21%	11%	80	-0.1	203/334/262	59	262	5	20	21%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Victor Rodrigues 2024 · A	19	42	37→30	47→50	51	198/275/273	75	246	5	10	21%	9%	58	-1.7	215/298/280	65	272	5	7	21%	10%	69	-0.9	213/306/263	50	270	4	5	20%	11%	66	-0.5
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2022 · A	19	41→44	38→50	47→50	54	193/285/279	86	256	5	8	25%	11%	63	-1.3	188/262/304	116	277	10	9	34%	8%	61	-1.5	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Aroon Escobar 2024 · A	19	38→46	36→45	51→55	54	178/277/245	67	211	4	16	17%	9%	55	-2.0	218/300/318	100	261	10	17	20%	9%	78	-0.3	224/302/327	104	269	12	19	21%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Oswaldo Linares 2022 · A	19	41	36→40	47→40	59	189/305/249	60	253	3	8	24%	13%	66	-1.1	188/293/264	76	260	6	5	27%	12%	64	-1.3	167/279/236	69	235	7	2	29%	12%	52	-0.8
✕Andrés Nolaya 2024 · A	19	39	36→45	47→50	46	183/256/246	64	263	3	12	30%	8%	45	-2.7	196/270/269	73	284	4	17	30%	8%	55	-1.9	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Juan Mora 2019 · A	19	44	37→45	46→55	51	205/287/284	78	263	3	8	22%	9%	65	-1.2	197/282/292	95	244	7	14	21%	8%	65	-1.2	200/269/297	97	251	8	12	23%	6%	60	-0.7
✕Chris Suero 2023 · A	19	40→38	37→45	47→55	52	185/290/259	74	266	4	8	29%	11%	62	-1.4	194/289/297	103	280	10	14	31%	10%	70	-0.8	181/287/307	126	264	14	27	34%	10%	70	-0.7
✕Luisangel Acuña 2021 · A	19	46→56	37→45	51→60	54	217/290/290	73	257	3	13	16%	9%	67	-1.1	237/295/343	106	326	11	30	28%	7%	81	-0.1	250/307/357	107	337	11	39	27%	7%	86	+0.2
✕Edwin Sanchez 2024 · A	19	37	39→40	47→50	53	179/286/263	84	239	7	8	26%	11%	62	-1.4	187/321/279	92	246	7	9	24%	13%	80	-0.2	153/326/245	92	196	8	11	22%	16%	76	-0.1
✕Jesus Hernandez 2024 · A	20	42	37→40	51→55	53	199/281/271	72	257	5	13	23%	10%	60	-1.6	199/278/287	88	284	6	18	29%	9%	63	-1.4	199/280/289	90	282	6	24	29%	9%	62	-0.7
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	39→47	39→50	48→50	51	188/277/271	84	242	6	14	24%	10%	59	-1.6	207/281/319	112	295	10	8	31%	8%	72	-0.7	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Christian Cerda 2022 · A	19	38→40	37→45	47→40	51	178/266/252	74	226	3	8	21%	9%	51	-2.2	196/294/293	97	262	8	6	26%	11%	71	-0.8	190/299/286	95	257	10	4	27%	13%	70	-0.5
✕Edgleen Perez 2024 · A	18	43→40	35→30	51→40	54	197/288/255	58	263	2	8	24%	11%	59	-1.6	211/310/262	51	287	2	5	24%	11%	70	-0.9	218/319/256	38	293	2	3	23%	12%	69	-0.5
✕Manuel Beltre 2023 · A	19	39→43	37→40	48→50	49	186/277/258	72	244	4	10	24%	8%	57	-1.8	198/273/273	75	265	5	13	25%	7%	58	-1.7	196/263/273	77	259	6	17	26%	7%	52	-1.3
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2022 · A	19	41	35→45	46→55	56	189/281/251	62	237	3	9	20%	11%	56	-1.9	216/292/302	86	304	6	14	28%	9%	71	-0.8	210/285/301	91	316	8	17	33%	9%	65	-0.5
✕Yirer Garcia 2024 · A	18	40	35→30	50→45	55	185/272/243	58	221	3	8	17%	10%	51	-2.3	207/287/254	47	267	2	8	21%	9%	59	-1.7	212/293/237	25	277	1	8	21%	9%	56	-0.6
✕Carlos Cauro 2024 · A	19	40	40	46→45	49	193/286/282	89	274	7	4	30%	10%	65	-1.2	204/280/311	107	300	11	5	33%	8%	70	-0.9	198/280/293	95	285	12	5	32%	8%	65	-0.4
✕Yeison Santana 2019 · A	18	43	35→30	47→55	55	196/294/260	64	260	2	8	23%	11%	63	-1.4	211/281/289	78	307	5	8	30%	8%	63	-1.3	214/286/271	57	311	3	15	30%	8%	59	-0.6
✕Jonathan Galvez 2009 · A	18	42→51	37→50	51→55	58	197/311/267	70	262	5	9	24%	13%	72	-0.7	215/290/330	115	309	10	14	31%	9%	77	-0.3	244/294/364	120	343	10	23	30%	5%	83	+0.1

Santiago Leon

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps