Brayan Cortesia

SS FCL Nationals

Age 19 R/R 6'1" / 165 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

ROKPROSPECTFG #905MiLBFA 2037

ETA2029FG ETA2031MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKWSH	150	.317/.446/.358	0	22	59	—	.211/.318/.242
2026	18	ROKWSH	176	.243/.381/.257	0	20	32	—	.169/.273/.175
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBWSH	286	.198/.274/.264	2	7	55	-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBWSH	79	.203/.280/.278	1	2	61	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBWSH	173	.207/.285/.292	2	3	66	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$1M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed60

Z-Con%53

BB%45

wRC+34

wOBA27

Chase%25

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsAndrés Nolaya (age 19) · Denzer Guzman (age 19) · Ricardo Cova (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 147 proj PA

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .272 / .262

PA147

HR1

K%30

BB%8

ISO67

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$5M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$1.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	150	120	38	3	1	0	25	25	3	22	13	317	446	358	804	42	392	17	17	373	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	176	144	35	2	0	0	26	52	6	20	4	243	381	257	638	14	380	30	15	312	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	150	128	27	2	1	0	17	31	3	22	13	211	318	242	560	31	260	21	11	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	176	154	26	1	0	0	16	75	6	20	4	169	273	175	448	6	328	43	9	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	150	128	27	2	1	0	17	31	3	22	13	211	318	242	560	31	273	21	11	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Nationals	—	150	120	38	3	1	0	25	25	3	22	13	317	446	358	804	42	392	17	17	373	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	176	154	26	1	0	0	16	75	6	20	4	169	273	175	448	6	329	43	9	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	FCL Nationals	—	176	144	35	2	0	0	26	52	6	20	4	243	381	257	638	14	380	30	15	312	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	150	129	27	2	1	0	17	31	3	22	13	209	318	240	558	31	260	21	11	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	176	152	26	1	0	0	16	75	6	20	4	171	273	178	450	7	328	43	9	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	150	129	27	2	1	0	17	31	3	22	13	209	318	240	558	31	260	21	11	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	176	152	26	1	0	0	16	75	6	20	4	171	273	178	450	7	328	43	9	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	WSH	0%	286	257	51	7	2	2	23	85	4	7	1	198	274	264	539	67	283	30	8	250	55	-15	+1	-2	+3	+6	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	WSH	34%	231	207	42	6	1	3	19	68	3	5	1	203	281	281	561	77	285	29	8	259	61	-11	+1	-1	+2	+5	-0.4
2029	21	MLB MLE	WSH	48%	357	319	66	9	2	5	30	103	5	7	1	208	286	295	580	87	287	29	8	266	66	-14	+1	-2	+4	+8	-0.4
2030	22	MLB MLE	WSH	54%	447	401	84	12	2	7	37	126	6	8	2	212	290	306	595	94	288	28	8	272	71	-16	+1	-2	+5	+10	-0.2
2031	23	MLB MLE	WSH	57%	506	451	97	14	3	8	43	141	7	9	2	215	293	315	608	100	289	28	8	277	74	-16	+1	-2	+5	+11	-0.0
2032	24	MLB MLE	WSH	57%	545	486	106	16	3	10	46	150	8	9	2	217	295	323	618	105	290	28	8	281	76	-15	+1	-2	+6	+12	0.2
2033	25	MLB MLE	WSH	57%	568	507	111	17	3	10	48	156	8	9	2	218	295	324	619	106	290	27	8	282	77	-16	+1	-2	+6	+12	0.2
2034	26	MLB MLE	WSH	56%	580	518	113	17	3	11	49	160	8	9	2	218	295	324	620	107	290	28	8	282	77	-16	+1	-2	+6	+13	0.2
2035	27	MLB MLE	WSH	55%	583	521	113	17	3	11	49	161	8	9	2	217	294	322	616	105	289	28	8	280	76	-17	+1	-2	+6	+13	0.2
2036	28	MLB MLE	WSH	55%	580	518	112	17	3	10	49	162	8	8	2	215	293	317	610	102	289	28	8	278	74	-18	+1	-2	+6	+13	-0.1
2037	29	MLB MLE	WSH	58%	571	511	109	16	3	10	48	161	7	7	2	213	290	311	601	99	287	28	8	274	72	-19	+1	-3	+6	+12	-0.3
2038	30	MLB MLE	WSH	60%	561	502	106	15	3	9	47	160	7	7	2	210	286	304	590	94	286	29	8	270	69	-21	+1	-4	+6	+12	-0.6
2028	20	MLB CTX	WSH	34%	79	71	14	2	0	1	7	23	1	2	0	203	280	278	559	76	284	29	9	258	61	-4	+0	-0	+1	+2	-0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	WSH	48%	173	155	32	5	1	2	14	50	2	3	1	207	285	292	577	85	286	29	8	265	66	-7	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.2
2030	22	MLB CTX	WSH	54%	242	217	46	7	1	4	20	68	3	4	1	211	289	304	593	93	287	28	8	271	71	-8	+0	-1	+3	+5	-0.1
2031	23	MLB CTX	WSH	57%	286	256	54	8	1	5	24	80	4	5	1	214	292	313	605	99	288	28	8	276	74	-9	+1	-1	+3	+6	-0.0
2032	24	MLB CTX	WSH	57%	308	275	60	9	1	6	26	85	4	5	1	217	295	321	615	104	289	28	8	280	76	-9	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.1
2033	25	MLB CTX	WSH	57%	321	287	62	10	1	6	27	88	4	5	1	217	295	322	617	105	289	27	8	281	77	-9	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.1
2034	26	MLB CTX	WSH	56%	328	292	63	10	1	6	28	90	5	5	1	217	295	322	617	105	289	27	9	281	77	-9	+1	-1	+4	+7	0.1
2035	27	MLB CTX	WSH	55%	323	289	62	9	1	6	27	89	4	5	1	216	294	320	614	104	289	28	8	280	76	-9	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.1
2036	28	MLB CTX	WSH	55%	318	284	61	9	1	6	27	89	4	4	1	215	292	315	607	101	288	28	8	277	74	-10	+0	-1	+3	+7	-0.0
2037	29	MLB CTX	WSH	58%	332	297	63	9	1	6	28	94	4	4	1	212	289	309	599	97	287	28	8	274	72	-11	+0	-2	+4	+7	-0.2
2038	30	MLB CTX	WSH	60%	338	303	62	9	1	5	28	96	4	4	1	209	286	302	588	93	285	28	8	269	69	-13	+0	-2	+4	+7	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3048	2726	579	87	10	53	256	852	39	46	10	212	289	310	599	98	286	28	8	276	71	-97	+5	-12	+33	+66	-0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	123	19	2	11	55	182	8	10	2	212	289	308	597	96	286	28	8	276	71	-21	+1	-3	+7	+14	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	6002	5355	1139	163	31	95	510	1698	86	132	38	213	292	308	599	95	290	28	8	273	71	-185	+10	-23	+61	+123	-1.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	123	18	3	10	55	184	9	14	4	212	290	305	595	93	290	28	8	273	71	-21	+1	-3	+7	+14	-0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Monte Cross'01-'07 * career totals — 7 seasons, 3,343 PA	5.0	3,343	9	138	213*	306*	344*	+36	-30	2.8	2.8
/162	664	2	27	+7.1	-6.0	0.6	pk7: 3
#3Carlos Sanchez'14-'22 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,503 PA	3.8	2,503	32	30	248*	305*	353*	+8	+0	2.1	2.6
/162	664	8	8	+2.0	+0.0	0.6	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.8	3,196	53	51	214	289	313	+34	-14	2.4	2.4
/162	664	11	11	+7.1	-2.9	0.5	pk7: 2
#4Roger Metzger'70-'80 * career totals — 9 seasons, 4,676 PA	7.0	4,676	5	83	229*	289*	319*	+50	-29	-0.3	1.2
/162	664	1	12	+7.1	-4.1	-0.0	pk7: 3
#5Bobby Bragan'40-'48 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,051 PA	3.1	2,051	15	12	234*	277*	346*	+25	-7	0.8	0.8
/162	664	5	4	+8.0	-2.3	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brayan Cortesia (OGILVIE)	19	20→45	30→40	45	55	196/272/262	66	283	1	3	30%	8%	55	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andrés Nolaya 2024 · A	19	39	36→45	47→50	46	183/256/246	64	263	3	12	30%	8%	45	-2.7	196/270/269	73	284	4	17	30%	8%	55	-1.9	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Denzer Guzman 2023 · A	19	38→48	39→45	47→50	43	188/246/273	85	256	6	9	28%	7%	47	-2.6	195/254/294	99	297	8	8	35%	7%	55	-2.0	217/278/341	124	295	14	11	30%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Ricardo Cova 2023 · A	19	40→50	37→45	50→55	38	194/252/265	71	279	5	10	31%	5%	47	-2.5	212/270/300	88	304	7	18	30%	6%	62	-1.4	232/278/345	113	290	9	21	23%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Jose Meza 2022 · A	19	39→42	37→40	46→50	43	187/268/261	74	272	4	9	30%	7%	54	-2.0	196/281/287	91	276	8	7	29%	9%	64	-1.3	191/284/291	101	272	10	5	31%	10%	65	-0.5
✕Christian Cairo 2021 · A	20	39→49	35→40	48→60	44	184/266/243	59	279	2	9	32%	8%	49	-2.4	191/294/274	83	293	6	15	33%	11%	68	-1.0	219/314/286	67	298	3	31	25%	10%	75	-0.4
✕Chris Suero 2023 · A	19	40→38	37→45	47→55	52	185/290/259	74	266	4	8	29%	11%	62	-1.4	194/289/297	103	280	10	14	31%	10%	70	-0.8	181/287/307	126	264	14	27	34%	10%	70	-0.7
✕Adrian De Leon 2023 · A	19	41	37→40	47→45	46	194/269/265	72	268	4	7	28%	8%	55	-2.0	194/292/269	75	320	6	5	37%	9%	65	-1.2	160/270/224	63	280	5	3	40%	10%	47	-1.1
✕Miguel Palma 2021 · A	19	40	39→45	48→40	45	193/281/280	88	261	6	11	27%	7%	63	-1.3	215/293/337	122	281	13	5	27%	8%	80	-0.1	217/284/341	124	274	15	2	26%	7%	76	-0.2
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→47	36→45	49→50	39	193/238/260	66	278	3	8	30%	5%	40	-3.1	208/254/280	72	286	5	10	28%	5%	51	-2.2	233/299/360	126	304	15	8	27%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Jacob Amaya 2018 · A	19	44→47	39→45	48→45	46	211/280/295	84	285	6	8	27%	8%	65	-1.2	225/304/318	93	298	6	8	24%	10%	79	-0.2	218/291/330	112	279	11	6	25%	9%	75	-0.4
✕Andres Regnault 2018 · A	19	36	36→45	46→45	43	175/246/237	62	253	4	6	31%	7%	39	-3.1	208/272/308	100	260	8	7	22%	6%	65	-1.2	204/273/325	121	234	12	6	18%	6%	69	-0.4
✕Nick Allen 2018 · A	19	43→53	37→40	49→50	42	205/255/273	69	279	4	10	27%	6%	49	-2.4	210/260/281	71	273	2	14	22%	5%	53	-2.1	253/316/328	75	310	5	13	19%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Cristian Hernández 2023 · A	19	40→48	38→45	51→60	39	192/252/263	71	298	6	14	36%	7%	47	-2.6	201/266/279	78	305	5	23	33%	8%	55	-1.9	217/285/319	102	301	8	34	29%	8%	69	-0.8
✕Juan Mora 2019 · A	19	44	37→45	46→55	51	205/287/284	78	263	3	8	22%	9%	65	-1.2	197/282/292	95	244	7	14	21%	8%	65	-1.2	200/269/297	97	251	8	12	23%	6%	60	-0.7
✕Braulio Vasquez 2019 · A	20	43	38→40	47→65	40	207/259/281	75	292	5	11	30%	6%	53	-2.1	193/262/269	76	307	6	15	36%	7%	53	-2.1	189/270/268	79	286	5	32	33%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2008 · A	19	35	37→40	46→50	41	173/237/247	74	261	4	10	34%	7%	38	-3.2	169/266/252	83	245	7	8	31%	10%	52	-2.2	142/256/221	79	200	9	6	31%	11%	41	-1.0
✕Jason Lopez 2017 · A	19	39	37→50	49→45	46	189/256/259	71	249	5	11	25%	7%	48	-2.5	203/254/307	104	277	9	7	29%	6%	57	-1.8	192/240/305	113	271	11	8	32%	6%	50	-1.0
✕Pablo Aliendo 2021 · A	20	38	36→50	50→45	44	181/261/246	65	268	3	13	31%	8%	47	-2.5	202/271/300	98	303	9	5	34%	6%	63	-1.3	206/275/350	144	296	17	5	34%	7%	73	-0.3
✕Emerson Landoni 2008 · A	19	43→53	35→40	45	45	201/274/257	56	276	2	7	26%	7%	54	-2.0	223/278/293	70	290	4	8	23%	6%	63	-1.3	259/302/329	70	307	3	4	16%	5%	76	-0.3
✕Carlos Cauro 2023 · A	18	41	35→40	45	44	190/263/252	62	283	3	5	32%	8%	49	-2.4	198/278/298	100	289	10	5	32%	9%	65	-1.2	191/283/288	97	272	12	4	31%	9%	65	-0.4

Brayan Cortesia

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps