Warel Solano

SS DSL Tampa Bay

Age 19 R/R 6'2" / 165 lbs ROK HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1790ETA2030MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKTB	207	.319/.395/.418	1	3	45	—	.202/.268/.255
2026	18	ROKDSL Tampa Bay	192	.245/.349/.350	1	12	29	—	.153/.238/.200
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBTB	302	.211/.272/.296	3	5	61	-0.2
2028PROJ25% MLB	20	MLBTB	38	.219/.282/.317	0	1	68	-0.0
2029PROJ38% MLB	21	MLBTB	97	.224/.288/.333	2	2	75	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed90

Z-Con%55

K%46

ISO44

Whiff%43

wRC+30

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 98%

CompsJesús Báez (age 19) · Luis Vázquez (age 19) · Andrés Nolaya (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 100 proj PA

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .270 / .293

PA100

HR1

K%26

BB%7

ISO85

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$7M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$0.7M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	207	182	58	13	1	1	19	34	4	3	4	319	395	418	813	99	383	16	9	365	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	192	163	40	4	5	1	22	42	4	12	3	245	349	350	699	104	317	22	11	316	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	207	188	38	8	1	0	13	41	4	3	4	202	268	255	524	53	248	20	6	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	192	170	26	2	3	0	15	51	4	12	3	153	238	200	438	47	211	27	8	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	207	188	38	8	1	0	13	41	4	3	4	202	268	255	524	53	255	20	6	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rays	—	207	182	58	13	1	1	19	34	4	3	4	319	395	418	813	99	383	16	9	365	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	192	170	26	2	3	0	15	51	4	12	3	153	238	200	438	47	213	27	8	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Tampa Bay	—	192	163	40	4	5	1	22	42	4	12	3	245	349	350	699	104	317	22	11	316	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	207	188	38	8	1	0	13	41	4	3	4	202	268	255	524	53	248	20	6	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	192	171	26	2	3	0	15	51	4	12	3	152	238	199	437	47	211	27	8	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	207	188	38	8	1	0	13	41	4	3	4	202	268	255	524	53	248	20	6	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	192	171	26	2	3	0	15	51	4	12	3	152	238	199	437	47	211	27	8	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	TB	0%	302	276	59	10	3	3	20	78	3	5	1	211	272	296	568	85	281	26	7	258	61	-14	+1	-4	+3	+7	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	TB	25%	151	138	30	5	1	2	10	38	2	3	1	217	280	315	595	99	283	25	7	269	68	-6	+0	-2	+2	+3	-0.2
2029	21	MLB MLE	TB	38%	255	232	51	8	2	4	18	64	3	5	2	222	286	332	618	110	285	25	7	278	75	-8	+0	-3	+3	+6	-0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	TB	45%	364	330	74	12	3	7	26	91	5	7	2	226	290	345	635	120	286	25	7	285	79	-9	+1	-4	+4	+8	-0.0
2031	23	MLB MLE	TB	49%	436	396	91	15	4	9	31	108	6	8	3	229	294	356	650	127	287	25	7	291	83	-9	+0	-4	+5	+9	0.2
2032	24	MLB MLE	TB	50%	480	436	101	17	4	11	35	118	6	9	3	231	297	364	661	133	289	25	7	296	86	-8	+1	-3	+5	+10	0.5
2033	25	MLB MLE	TB	51%	506	458	106	17	4	12	37	124	6	9	3	232	298	368	666	136	289	25	7	298	88	-7	+1	-4	+5	+11	0.6
2034	26	MLB MLE	TB	51%	521	472	110	18	4	13	38	128	6	9	3	233	298	371	670	138	289	25	7	299	89	-7	+1	-4	+6	+11	0.7
2035	27	MLB MLE	TB	50%	523	474	110	18	4	13	38	129	6	9	3	232	298	369	666	137	288	25	7	298	88	-8	+1	-4	+6	+11	0.6
2036	28	MLB MLE	TB	50%	520	471	109	18	4	13	38	129	6	8	3	230	296	364	660	134	288	25	7	295	86	-9	+0	-4	+6	+11	0.4
2037	29	MLB MLE	TB	49%	509	461	106	17	4	12	37	128	6	7	3	228	293	359	651	131	286	25	7	292	84	-10	+0	-5	+5	+11	0.2
2038	30	MLB MLE	TB	48%	496	452	101	16	4	11	35	126	6	7	4	225	290	351	641	126	285	25	7	287	81	-11	-0	-6	+5	+11	-0.1
2039	31	MLB MLE	TB	47%	481	439	96	15	3	10	34	124	5	5	5	221	285	342	627	121	282	26	7	281	77	-13	-1	-6	+5	+10	-0.5
2028	20	MLB CTX	TB	25%	38	35	7	1	0	0	3	10	0	1	0	219	282	317	599	98	287	26	8	271	68	-1	+0	-0	+0	+1	-0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	TB	38%	97	89	20	3	1	2	7	24	1	2	1	224	288	333	621	109	288	25	7	280	75	-3	+0	-1	+1	+2	-0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	TB	45%	165	150	33	5	1	3	12	41	2	3	1	228	292	346	638	118	290	25	7	287	79	-4	+0	-2	+2	+4	-0.0
2031	23	MLB CTX	TB	49%	215	195	46	7	2	5	15	53	3	4	1	231	296	356	652	125	291	25	7	292	83	-4	+0	-2	+2	+5	0.1
2032	24	MLB CTX	TB	50%	241	219	50	8	2	5	17	59	3	4	1	234	299	364	663	131	292	24	7	297	86	-4	+0	-2	+3	+5	0.3
2033	25	MLB CTX	TB	51%	257	233	55	9	2	6	19	63	3	5	2	234	300	368	668	134	293	25	7	299	88	-4	+0	-2	+3	+6	0.3
2034	26	MLB CTX	TB	51%	267	243	57	9	2	7	19	65	3	5	2	235	300	371	672	136	292	24	7	300	89	-4	+0	-2	+3	+6	0.3
2035	27	MLB CTX	TB	50%	264	240	56	9	2	6	19	65	3	5	2	234	299	369	668	135	292	25	7	299	88	-4	+0	-2	+3	+6	0.3
2036	28	MLB CTX	TB	50%	260	236	55	9	2	6	19	65	3	4	2	232	298	364	662	132	291	25	7	296	86	-4	+0	-2	+3	+6	0.2
2037	29	MLB CTX	TB	49%	248	225	52	8	2	6	18	62	3	4	2	230	295	359	653	129	290	25	7	293	84	-5	+0	-2	+3	+5	0.1
2038	30	MLB CTX	TB	48%	237	215	49	8	2	5	17	60	3	3	2	227	291	351	643	124	289	25	7	288	81	-5	-0	-3	+3	+5	-0.1
2039	31	MLB CTX	TB	47%	227	207	47	7	2	5	16	59	2	3	2	223	287	342	629	119	286	26	7	283	77	-6	-0	-3	+2	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2516	2287	527	83	20	56	181	626	29	43	18	230	295	358	653	127	292	25	7	293	80	-49	+1	-23	+27	+55	1.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	591	135	21	5	14	47	162	7	11	5	228	293	352	645	124	289	25	7	293	80	-13	+0	-6	+7	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	5741	5209	1168	189	46	118	412	1425	72	103	42	224	290	346	636	122	284	25	7	286	80	-109	+4	-49	+57	+116	1.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	131	21	5	13	47	161	8	12	5	222	289	341	629	119	281	25	7	286	80	-13	+0	-6	+7	+14	0.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Tampa Bay · 192 PAwOBA .314 → .211 (−103)K% 21.9% → 26.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.88%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	26.69%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.46%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.995	7.98%
HBP% /PA	2.08%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	1.45%
Singles /BIP	24.79%	÷1.000	×0.680	×1.017	×0.995	17.05%
Doubles /BIP	3.31%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.017	×0.995	2.01%
Triples /BIP	4.13%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.017	×0.995	2.51%
Home runs /BIP	0.83%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×0.995	0.39%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.

Result: wOBA .314 → .211; ISO .104 → .062; BABIP .317 → .211. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Rays · 207 PAwOBA .359 → .235 (−124)K% 16.4% → 20.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.43%	÷1.003	×1.220	—	—	19.98%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.18%	÷1.020	×0.700	—	×1.008	6.34%
HBP% /PA	1.93%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	1.36%
Singles /BIP	29.05%	÷0.985	×0.680	×0.966	×1.008	19.53%
Doubles /BIP	8.78%	÷0.989	×0.600	×0.966	×1.008	5.19%
Triples /BIP	0.68%	÷1.150	×0.600	×0.966	×1.008	0.34%
Home runs /BIP	0.68%	÷1.022	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.31%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 97, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 101, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.

Result: wOBA .359 → .235; ISO .099 → .056; BABIP .383 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Yuniesky Betancourtlast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,278 PA	6.4	4,278	80	30	261	285	388	+41	-20	6.1	7.2
/162	664	12	5	+6.4	-3.1	0.9	pk7: 8
#2U. L. Washington'77-'87 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,124 PA	4.7	3,124	27	132	246*	313*	363*	+30	-28	4.2	5.1
/162	664	6	28	+6.3	-6.0	0.9	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	3.9	2,618	58	43	229	290	357	+28	-28	4.8	4.5
/162	664	15	11	+7.1	-7.1	1.2	pk7: 4
#3Daniel Descalsolast yr '19 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,856 PA	4.3	2,856	48	25	235	320	363	+16	-36	3.5	4.0
/162	664	11	6	+3.8	-8.3	0.8	pk7: 4
#4Larry Brown'63-'74 * career totals — 11 seasons, 3,871 PA	5.8	3,871	47	22	242*	308*	348*	+32	-24	2.4	3.9
/162	664	8	4	+5.5	-4.1	0.4	pk7: 6
#5Jose Castillolast yr '08 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,059 PA	3.1	2,059	39	13	254	296	379	+7	-14	1.9	1.9
/162	664	13	4	+2.4	-4.5	0.6	pk7: 2
#6Andujar Cedeno'90-'96 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,233 PA	3.4	2,233	47	26	228*	284*	371*	+24	-20	1.3	1.3
/162	664	14	8	+7.1	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Warel Solano (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	209/270/293	84	281	1	2	26%	7%	61	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jesús Báez 2024 · A	19	35→41	40→55	45	46	177/246/265	88	234	7	9	27%	8%	46	-2.6	218/275/368	150	257	19	8	23%	6%	80	-0.1	226/279/407	181	249	27	8	22%	6%	89	+0.4
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→47	36→45	49→50	39	193/238/260	66	278	3	8	30%	5%	40	-3.1	208/254/280	72	286	5	10	28%	5%	51	-2.2	233/299/360	126	304	15	8	27%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Andrés Nolaya 2024 · A	19	39	36→45	47→50	46	183/256/246	64	263	3	12	30%	8%	45	-2.7	196/270/269	73	284	4	17	30%	8%	55	-1.9	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Pedro Severino 2012 · A	19	37→47	39→50	49→45	40	185/238/269	84	259	7	4	30%	6%	43	-2.8	195/239/273	78	247	5	3	22%	5%	44	-2.8	242/310/379	137	297	17	3	24%	8%	96	+0.5
✕Denzer Guzman 2023 · A	19	38→48	39→45	47→50	43	188/246/273	85	256	6	9	28%	7%	47	-2.6	195/254/294	99	297	8	8	35%	7%	55	-2.0	217/278/341	124	295	14	11	30%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Ezequiel Tovar 2021 · A	19	44→49	37→55	49→50	45	205/273/280	75	288	3	12	28%	8%	59	-1.7	244/281/380	136	295	14	15	22%	4%	84	+0.2	251/287/411	161	323	17	11	27%	4%	94	+0.8
✕Ricardo Cova 2023 · A	19	40→50	37→45	50→55	38	194/252/265	71	279	5	10	31%	5%	47	-2.5	212/270/300	88	304	7	18	30%	6%	62	-1.4	232/278/345	113	290	9	21	23%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Agustín Ramírez 2021 · A	19	38→48	38→55	46→55	42	188/240/269	81	244	6	5	25%	5%	43	-2.8	207/266/331	124	281	13	8	29%	7%	68	-1.0	236/301/405	169	279	19	20	22%	7%	97	+1.1
✕Eguy Rosario 2019 · A	19	42→52	40→55	48→55	39	205/259/302	97	291	7	13	31%	6%	59	-1.7	227/277/345	118	314	10	16	29%	6%	74	-0.5	240/303/388	148	312	14	21	26%	7%	92	+0.5
✕Gilberto Celestino 2018 · A	19	43→53	39→45	53→55	43	206/263/292	86	288	6	12	30%	7%	57	-1.8	220/271/312	92	287	7	10	24%	6%	65	-1.2	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Nick Allen 2018 · A	19	43→53	37→40	49→50	42	205/255/273	69	279	4	10	27%	6%	49	-2.4	210/260/281	71	273	2	14	22%	5%	53	-2.1	253/316/328	75	310	5	13	19%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Daniel Lopez 2011 · A	19	42	35→45	49→60	43	194/267/256	61	260	2	12	24%	6%	52	-2.2	219/280/308	89	280	5	17	22%	6%	68	-1.0	240/299/357	117	293	6	30	19%	5%	83	+0.0
✕Jacob Amaya 2018 · A	19	44→47	39→45	48→45	46	211/280/295	84	285	6	8	27%	8%	65	-1.2	225/304/318	93	298	6	8	24%	10%	79	-0.2	218/291/330	112	279	11	6	25%	9%	75	-0.4
✕Noelvi Marte 2021 · A	19	41→51	41→50	49→55	45	201/256/299	98	254	8	12	24%	7%	56	-1.9	233/299/372	139	304	15	16	27%	8%	90	+0.6	241/309/383	142	307	16	19	26%	8%	94	+0.7
✕Oswald Peraza 2019 · A	19	44→54	35→50	54→60	41	204/271/267	63	292	2	12	29%	6%	55	-1.9	229/284/316	87	301	8	20	25%	6%	71	-0.8	235/294/370	135	296	16	30	26%	6%	85	+0.2
✕Delino DeShields 2012 · A	19	41→51	40→45	50→65	42	201/260/289	88	279	8	16	30%	6%	56	-1.9	234/302/339	105	318	8	38	27%	8%	83	+0.1	239/313/347	108	322	9	47	26%	8%	87	+0.3
✕Eliezer Álvarez 2014 · A	19	36→46	37→45	50→55	46	176/242/253	76	228	4	12	24%	7%	41	-3.0	231/280/336	105	295	5	13	22%	6%	74	-0.6	254/307/364	110	341	6	19	26%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Rodolfo Castro 2018 · A	19	41→42	41→55	47→50	41	199/257/307	107	275	8	5	30%	6%	59	-1.7	197/239/329	132	279	14	5	33%	5%	57	-1.8	211/274/367	156	276	20	7	30%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Miguel Palma 2021 · A	19	40	39→45	48→40	45	193/281/280	88	261	6	11	27%	7%	63	-1.3	215/293/337	122	281	13	5	27%	8%	80	-0.1	217/284/341	124	274	15	2	26%	7%	76	-0.2
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→47	39→50	45→50	45	198/273/287	89	286	6	8	31%	8%	61	-1.5	229/297/377	148	305	16	5	29%	7%	91	+0.6	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3

Warel Solano

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps