Warel SolanoSS DSL Tampa Bay
Age 18 R/R 6'2" / 165 lbs ROK HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION94 act + 82 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†46
AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .268 / .303
PA82
HR1
K%29
BB%6
BABIP294
ISO92
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -14.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-14BATRUN: +0.9 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.9 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +5.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.70-0.7WAR
0.00.51.00.30.60.80.91.01.01.00.90.7+$46M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 25
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT55
scouting grade only
POWER25
scouting grade only
EYE35
scouting grade only
SPEED40
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.9$2M+$2M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.0$5M+$4M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.0$4M+$4M
2035Arb-1$2M+1.0$4M+$3M
2036Arb-2$3M+0.9$2M+$0.6M
2037Arb-3$3M+0.7$1M+$0.1M
Totals $12M $18M +$14M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202517 ROKDSL Rays 207190 45911 11494 34 237293311603 74310 245 261 58
202517 ROKDSL Rays 207182 581311 19344 34 319395418813 99383 169 365 137
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD18 ROKTB 9482 13110 7352 82 159242195437 37260 377 204 14 -9 +1 +0 +1 +3 -0.5
YTD18 ROKTB 9478 17120 11242 82 218330282612 64298 2612 280 73 -3 +1 +0 +1 +3 0.2
ROS18 ROKTB 0% 8276 16211 5241 21 211268303571 92287 296 246 46 -5 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.2
ROS18 MLBTB 0% 01 0000 000 00 292 239 41 +0 +0
FULL18 ROKTB 9483 13110 7352 82 157242193435 36255 377 204 14 -9 +1 +0 +1 +3 -0.5
TOT18 ROKTB 176158 29321 12593 103 184254247501 63277 347 224 29 -14 +1 +0 +2 +5 -0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202719 MLBTB 34% 259237 50823 17743 41 211272300572 89291 297 261 58 -12 +0 +0 +3 +7 -0.2
202820 MLBTB 48% 383348 751235 261066 62 216282310592 95293 287 271 66 -15 +0 +0 +4 +11 0.0
202921 MLBTB 54% 477433 961648 341307 72 222289333622 111294 277 278 71 -16 +1 +0 +5 +14 0.3
203022 MLBTB 57% 543491 1091849 391468 82 222290330620 108295 277 282 74 -16 +1 +0 +6 +15 0.6
203123 MLBTB 58% 587531 12020510 421579 82 226294339633 113295 277 284 76 -16 +1 +0 +6 +17 0.8
203224 MLBTB 57% 615557 12621511 441649 82 226293341635 115296 277 286 77 -16 +1 +0 +7 +17 0.9
203325 MLBTB 57% 626566 12821512 4516710 82 226295345639 118296 277 287 78 -16 +1 +0 +7 +18 1.0
203426 MLBTB 57% 634573 12921512 4616910 82 225294342636 117296 277 287 78 -16 +1 +0 +7 +18 1.0
203527 MLBTB 55% 634572 12921512 4716910 82 226296343638 117296 277 288 78 -16 +1 +0 +7 +18 1.0
203628 MLBTB 55% 629567 12821512 4716910 82 226296344640 118296 277 287 78 -16 +1 -1 +7 +18 0.9
203729 MLBTB 53% 619559 12520511 461689 82 224293336629 113295 277 285 76 -17 +1 -1 +7 +18 0.7
203830 MLBTB 57% 609549 12220411 461669 72 222293333626 111294 278 282 74 -18 +1 -2 +7 +17 0.5
203931 MLBTB 60% 594535 11719410 451649 72 219290325616 107292 288 279 71 -19 +1 -3 +6 +17 0.2
202719 MLBTB 34% 8982 18311 6251 10 220281317598 98295 287 253 52 -5 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.1
202820 MLBTB 48% 186168 37622 13523 31 220288315604 95297 287 262 59 -9 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.1
202921 MLBTB 54% 259235 52824 18714 41 221288323611 102298 277 268 64 -11 +0 +0 +3 +7 -0.0
203022 MLBTB 57% 307277 631035 22835 41 227296339635 112299 277 272 67 -12 +0 +0 +3 +9 0.1
203123 MLBTB 58% 338306 701136 24915 51 229296343639 114300 277 275 68 -12 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.2
203224 MLBTB 57% 350317 731236 25945 51 230297344641 114300 277 276 70 -12 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.2
203325 MLBTB 57% 355321 731236 26955 51 227295340635 112300 277 277 70 -12 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.3
203426 MLBTB 57% 359325 751237 26965 51 231298351649 120300 277 278 71 -12 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.3
203527 MLBTB 55% 352318 731236 26945 51 230298343641 113300 277 278 71 -12 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.3
203628 MLBTB 55% 345311 711136 26935 41 228298341639 113300 278 277 70 -12 +0 -0 +4 +10 0.2
203729 MLBTB 53% 331298 681136 25905 41 228299346644 117299 278 275 69 -12 +0 -1 +4 +9 0.1
203830 MLBTB 57% 348314 711136 26955 41 226296338633 111299 277 273 67 -13 +0 -1 +4 +10 -0.0
203931 MLBTB 60% 354319 711136 27985 41 223293332626 110297 288 269 64 -14 +0 -2 +4 +10 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career 39733592 8151303567 290107758 5312 227295339634 112303 277 274 68 -146 +6 -4 +43 +113 1.2
/ 162G 650588 13321611 471769 92 226293338632 112301 277 274 68 -24 +1 -1 +7 +18 0.2
Career 74986784 151524958128 5402022114 10030 223292334625 110297 277 282 74 -223 +8 -7 +80 +212 7.3
/ 162G 650588 13222511 4717510 93 224293335628 111299 277 282 74 -19 +1 -1 +7 +18 0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202517 ROKDSL Rays 207182 581311 19344 34 319395418813 99383 169 365 137 +9 -1 +6 1.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#3Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20
career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA
93,2883735253291351+32+468.68.9
/16266477+6.5+9.31.7pk7: 9
#4Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA
103,7648034237301368+13+198.28.4
/162664146+2.4+3.41.4pk7: 9
#5Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons
84,1497155224289335+44+244.23.9
/162664119+7.1+3.80.7pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Warel Solano (OGILVIE) 18 55 25 40 35 184/254/247 63277 110 34% 7% 29 -0.7
Jesus Alastre
2015 · A
18 51 34→30 44→50 41 236/305/293 57301 111 21% 4% 71 -0.3 227/280/294 67292 39 22% 4% 59 -1.1 249/282/342923484928%2%67-0.1
Emerson Landoni
2008 · A
19 46→56 35→40 45 42 210/278/268 58303 27 30% 7% 53 -1.5 224/279/296 72292 48 23% 6% 59 -1.1 263/307/339753144416%5%78+0.1
Jose Bellorin
2009 · A
18 44 35→40 42→50 39 205/262/263 58307 27 32% 6% 43 -2.2 210/263/292 82274 610 24% 6% 52 -1.6 214/267/2988425871219%6%52-0.5
Alexander Campos
2018 · A
18 46 37→40 39→45 51 214/291/283 68279 48 23% 9% 62 -0.9 195/266/265 70306 49 34% 8% 46 -2.0 215/312/294792958427%11%72-0.1
Kelvin Fajardo
2015 · A
19 50 34→30 40→50 47 232/289/289 57289 14 19% 6% 62 -0.9 215/271/261 46256 17 16% 6% 46 -2.0 204/259/226222360913%5%32-1.1
Yonny Hernández
2016 · A
18 43→53 34→30 40→60 48 201/280/255 55270 28 24% 8% 50 -1.7 219/296/276 57268 122 17% 9% 62 -0.9 268/330/3265831931716%7%84+0.3
Ramon Coronel
2010 · A
18 45 36→30 45 43 211/260/278 68255 35 18% 4% 46 -2.0 227/269/285 58279 28 18% 5% 51 -1.7 242/277/290492931917%4%53-0.4
Jadher Areinamo
2022 · A
18 45→52 35→45 46→55 45 208/270/271 63267 28 22% 6% 50 -1.8 228/271/304 76281 411 19% 5% 57 -1.2 231/276/355124264141918%5%73-0.1
Jose Cordova
2019 · A
19 47 37→40 43→50 42 220/265/294 74271 44 20% 4% 53 -1.5 231/287/304 73306 413 24% 5% 65 -0.7 228/295/3087931051326%7%68-0.2
Mikey Edie
2015 · A
18 48 37→30 47→50 45 227/308/301 74283 513 20% 6% 75 -0.0 214/275/269 55304 215 29% 5% 51 -1.7 197/249/2414429011231%3%29-1.1
Wilderd Patiño
2019 · A
18 45→51 35→40 44→65 45 209/291/272 63290 210 26% 7% 60 -1.0 210/271/284 74339 414 37% 5% 53 -1.5 215/270/3069135184039%4%58-0.5
Armando Sierra
2022 · A
18 45 36→45 41→40 41 208/268/276 68308 34 32% 7% 50 -1.8 219/278/319 100291 94 26% 7% 66 -0.6 215/273/32411027612226%7%62-0.2
Jordan Galvez
2011 · A
19 48 35→30 45→50 41 225/268/286 61289 210 22% 5% 51 -1.7 217/265/275 58270 111 19% 5% 47 -1.9 213/261/2584526001217%5%40-0.8
Raul Navarro
2010 · A
18 47→57 35→30 45→50 47 219/279/277 58275 210 21% 7% 54 -1.4 214/262/274 60283 28 24% 6% 46 -2.0 237/280/3006329931221%5%57-0.7
Hector Martinez
2015 · A
18 42 38→45 41→45 33 201/241/285 84303 57 34% 4% 40 -2.4 226/266/311 85316 68 29% 4% 57 -1.2 244/276/343993417929%2%66-0.2
Manuel Falcon
2008 · A
18 43 35→30 49→50 41 200/260/254 54286 28 29% 6% 41 -2.3 227/283/274 47287 110 20% 6% 56 -1.3 240/298/2723229501117%6%60-0.4
Enlly Morales
2009 · A
19 46 38→40 38→40 42 218/266/303 85274 45 22% 4% 56 -1.3 223/273/297 74273 45 19% 5% 57 -1.2 224/273/285612713417%5%52-0.5
Hidekel Gonzalez
2015 · A
18 44 37→45 47→45 37 205/260/286 81312 47 34% 5% 49 -1.8 227/275/314 87287 68 22% 5% 63 -0.9 241/291/328872916819%4%72-0.1
Dubal Baez
2011 · A
18 46 36→30 50→60 46 214/289/282 68300 47 28% 8% 61 -1.0 214/302/264 50297 218 26% 8% 63 -0.8 217/309/2473030402825%8%58-0.3
Deiferson Barreto
2013 · A
18 47 35→40 45→50 43 221/269/278 57273 27 19% 5% 50 -1.7 227/277/297 70264 310 15% 5% 59 -1.1 233/278/3047226531013%4%57-0.5