Dorian SotoSS
DSL Red Sox Blue
Age 18
S/R
6'2" / 180 lbs
ROK
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 4.3 · 2034
wRC+†71
AVG/OBP/SLG.218 / .276 / .341
PA156
HR3
K%28
BB%6
MLB%10%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
50→50
PWR
50↗52
SPD
44↘42
FLD
45→45
EYE
30→30
trajectory · 10 yrs
4.5peak
2035
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2031
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2036
First FA Year 2037
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +3.5 | $32M | +$32M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +3.9 | $37M | +$36M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +4.1 | $40M | +$39M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $9M | +4.3 | $44M | +$35M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $15M | +4.3 | $45M | +$30M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $21M | +4.1 | $44M | +$23M |
| Totals | $47M | $243M | +$195M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL Red Sox Blue | 186 | 171 | 43 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 41 | 0 | 1 | 4 | .251 | .297 | .333 | .630 | .082 | .313 | 22 | 6 | .274 | 68 | -7 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +5 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 18 | MLB | BOS | 156 | 144 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 44 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .215 | .271 | .326 | .597 | .111 | .290 | 28 | 6 | .278 | 71 | -5 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +4 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 19 | MLB 32% | BOS | 241 | 218 | 53 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 65 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .243 | .310 | .399 | .709 | .156 | .304 | 27 | 7 | .304 | 91 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +7 | 0.7 |
| 2028 | 20 | MLB 57% | BOS | 369 | 332 | 80 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 29 | 97 | 5 | 7 | 2 | .241 | .311 | .392 | .703 | .151 | .310 | 26 | 8 | .318 | 101 | +1 | +1 | -1 | +4 | +10 | 1.5 |
| 2029 | 21 | MLB 86% | BOS | 466 | 418 | 103 | 17 | 3 | 15 | 39 | 119 | 6 | 9 | 2 | .246 | .320 | .409 | .729 | .163 | .310 | 26 | 8 | .326 | 108 | +4 | +1 | -1 | +5 | +13 | 2.2 |
| 2030 | 22 | MLB | BOS | 534 | 475 | 120 | 20 | 4 | 18 | 47 | 133 | 7 | 9 | 2 | .253 | .329 | .425 | .754 | .173 | .310 | 25 | 9 | .333 | 113 | +8 | +1 | -1 | +6 | +15 | 2.9 |
| 2031 | 23 | MLB | BOS | 580 | 514 | 132 | 22 | 4 | 21 | 53 | 142 | 8 | 10 | 2 | .257 | .336 | .438 | .773 | .181 | .310 | 24 | 9 | .339 | 118 | +12 | +1 | -2 | +6 | +16 | 3.5 |
| 2032 | 24 | MLB | BOS | 610 | 540 | 139 | 23 | 4 | 22 | 57 | 147 | 8 | 10 | 2 | .257 | .337 | .437 | .774 | .180 | .311 | 24 | 9 | .343 | 121 | +14 | +1 | -2 | +7 | +17 | 3.9 |
| 2033 | 25 | MLB | BOS | 627 | 553 | 142 | 23 | 4 | 23 | 60 | 150 | 9 | 10 | 2 | .257 | .339 | .438 | .777 | .181 | .311 | 24 | 10 | .346 | 123 | +16 | +1 | -2 | +7 | +18 | 4.1 |
| 2034 | 26 | MLB | BOS | 635 | 559 | 145 | 24 | 4 | 24 | 62 | 152 | 9 | 9 | 2 | .259 | .343 | .445 | .788 | .186 | .312 | 24 | 10 | .348 | 125 | +18 | +1 | -2 | +7 | +18 | 4.3 |
| 2035 | 27 | MLB | BOS | 635 | 558 | 145 | 24 | 4 | 24 | 63 | 153 | 9 | 9 | 2 | .260 | .344 | .446 | .791 | .186 | .312 | 24 | 10 | .348 | 125 | +18 | +1 | -2 | +7 | +18 | 4.3 |
| 2036 | 28 | MLB | BOS | 631 | 554 | 143 | 23 | 4 | 24 | 63 | 153 | 9 | 9 | 1 | .258 | .343 | .444 | .787 | .186 | .312 | 24 | 10 | .347 | 124 | +17 | +1 | -2 | +7 | +18 | 4.1 |
| 2037 | 29 | MLB | BOS | 621 | 546 | 140 | 23 | 4 | 23 | 62 | 152 | 8 | 8 | 1 | .256 | .341 | .440 | .780 | .183 | .311 | 24 | 10 | .345 | 122 | +16 | +1 | -3 | +7 | +18 | 3.9 |
| 2038 | 30 | MLB | BOS | 610 | 536 | 136 | 22 | 4 | 22 | 61 | 152 | 8 | 8 | 0 | .254 | .339 | .433 | .772 | .179 | .310 | 25 | 10 | .342 | 120 | +14 | +2 | -4 | +7 | +17 | 3.6 |
| 2039 | 31 | MLB | BOS | 596 | 523 | 131 | 21 | 4 | 21 | 60 | 151 | 8 | 7 | 0 | .250 | .337 | .426 | .763 | .176 | .308 | 25 | 10 | .338 | 117 | +11 | +1 | -4 | +6 | +17 | 3.2 |
| 2040 | 32 | MLB | BOS | 578 | 507 | 125 | 20 | 3 | 20 | 58 | 149 | 8 | 6 | 0 | .247 | .333 | .416 | .750 | .170 | .307 | 26 | 10 | .333 | 113 | +9 | +1 | -5 | +6 | +16 | 2.8 |
| 2041 | 33 | MLB | BOS | 548 | 482 | 116 | 18 | 3 | 18 | 54 | 145 | 7 | 6 | 0 | .241 | .326 | .402 | .728 | .162 | .306 | 26 | 10 | .328 | 109 | +6 | +1 | -6 | +6 | +16 | 2.3 |
| 2042 | 34 | MLB | BOS | 501 | 441 | 105 | 16 | 3 | 16 | 49 | 137 | 6 | 5 | 0 | .238 | .323 | .397 | .719 | .159 | .304 | 27 | 10 | .321 | 104 | +2 | +1 | -6 | +5 | +14 | 1.7 |
| 2043 | 35 | MLB | BOS | 444 | 393 | 90 | 14 | 2 | 13 | 43 | 126 | 5 | 5 | 0 | .229 | .313 | .374 | .687 | .145 | .302 | 28 | 10 | .313 | 98 | -1 | +1 | -7 | +5 | +13 | 1.1 |
| 2044 | 36 | MLB | BOS | 384 | 339 | 76 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 37 | 113 | 5 | 5 | 0 | .224 | .310 | .366 | .675 | .142 | .299 | 29 | 10 | .304 | 91 | -4 | +1 | -7 | +4 | +11 | 0.5 |
| 2045 | 37 | MLB | BOS | 318 | 281 | 61 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 97 | 4 | 4 | 0 | .217 | .302 | .349 | .650 | .132 | .296 | 31 | 9 | .294 | 83 | -6 | +1 | -8 | +3 | +9 | -0.1 |
| 2046 | 38 | MLB | BOS | 248 | 220 | 46 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 77 | 3 | 3 | 0 | .209 | .293 | .332 | .625 | .123 | .291 | 31 | 9 | .283 | 75 | -7 | +1 | -8 | +3 | +7 | -0.5 |
| 2047 | 39 | MLB | BOS | 174 | 154 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 55 | 2 | 2 | 0 | .201 | .285 | .318 | .603 | .117 | .284 | 32 | 9 | .272 | 66 | -7 | +0 | -9 | +2 | +5 | -0.8 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10692 | 9458 | 2333 | 374 | 66 | 356 | 1005 | 2750 | 138 | 148 | 24 | .247 | .328 | .413 | .741 | .166 | .309 | 26 | 9 | .330 | 110 | +125 | +20 | -82 | +115 | +303 | 49.0 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 575 | 142 | 23 | 4 | 22 | 61 | 167 | 8 | 9 | 1 | .247 | .327 | .416 | .743 | .169 | .308 | 26 | 9 | .330 | 110 | +8 | +1 | -5 | +7 | +18 | 3.0 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL Red Sox Blue | 186 | 166 | 51 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 28 | 0 | 1 | 4 | .307 | .368 | .428 | .796 | .120 | .353 | 15 | 9 | .349 | 125 | +5 | -1 | — | — | +5 | 0.9 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Dorian Soto (OGILVIE) | 18 | 50 | 50→52 | 44→42 | 30 | .218/.276/.341 | .124 | .290 | 3 | 2 | 28% | 6% | 71 | -0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
●Anthony Santander 2013 · A |
18 | 45→49 | 42→65 | 47→45 | 39 | .217/.275/.326 | .110 | .305 | 9 | 8 | 31% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .201/.254/.302 | .101 | .269 | 9 | 7 | 27% | 5% | 51 | -1.7 | .242/.317/.473 | .231 | .257 | 31 | 2 | 20% | 9% | 120 | +3.4 |
|
●Gary Sánchez 2011 · A |
18 | 49→51 | 47→65 | 46→45 | 39 | .239/.293/.375 | .135 | .327 | 14 | 5 | 30% | 6% | 86 | +0.8 | .220/.268/.368 | .148 | .299 | 18 | 6 | 32% | 5% | 75 | -0.0 | .232/.315/.480 | .248 | .254 | 37 | 1 | 26% | 9% | 119 | +2.3 |
|
●Marwin Gonzalez 2008 · A |
19 | 41→51 | 41→55 | 43→50 | 41 | .201/.247/.302 | .102 | .265 | 8 | 5 | 27% | 6% | 47 | -1.9 | .210/.246/.283 | .073 | .267 | 4 | 7 | 22% | 4% | 41 | -2.3 | .272/.342/.450 | .178 | .320 | 21 | 4 | 21% | 9% | 121 | +2.7 |
|
●Miguel Sanó 2011 · A |
18 | 44→52 | 43→70 | 45 | 37 | .212/.262/.323 | .112 | .317 | 11 | 6 | 35% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .211/.275/.398 | .187 | .296 | 23 | 6 | 35% | 7% | 85 | +0.7 | .243/.334/.470 | .227 | .340 | 31 | 2 | 35% | 11% | 124 | +3.1 |
|
✕Francisco Mejía 2015 · A |
19 | 45→55 | 44→55 | 49→40 | 40 | .221/.266/.338 | .118 | .283 | 11 | 8 | 26% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .237/.283/.343 | .106 | .289 | 10 | 4 | 21% | 5% | 74 | -0.1 | .258/.304/.423 | .165 | .305 | 16 | 1 | 21% | 5% | 101 | +0.9 |
|
●Mark Vientos 2019 · A |
19 | 42→50 | 45→60 | 43→30 | 45 | .215/.274/.337 | .122 | .275 | 14 | 3 | 27% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .206/.251/.346 | .140 | .279 | 17 | 2 | 32% | 5% | 62 | -0.9 | .246/.306/.451 | .204 | .321 | 28 | 0 | 31% | 7% | 109 | +2.0 |
|
●Avisaíl García 2009 · A |
18 | 45→55 | 42→60 | 45→50 | 40 | .223/.259/.327 | .105 | .273 | 10 | 7 | 23% | 4% | 59 | -1.1 | .224/.252/.296 | .072 | .311 | 5 | 9 | 29% | 3% | 46 | -2.0 | .286/.337/.472 | .186 | .345 | 23 | 7 | 23% | 6% | 125 | +2.9 |
|
★Xander Bogaerts 2012 · A |
19 | 43→53 | 49→60 | 42→55 | 41 | .222/.273/.365 | .143 | .281 | 17 | 4 | 27% | 6% | 76 | +0.0 | .244/.297/.396 | .152 | .312 | 17 | 5 | 26% | 6% | 94 | +1.3 | .293/.370/.507 | .214 | .325 | 27 | 7 | 18% | 10% | 148 | +4.3 |
|
✕Yonatan Henriquez 2023 · A |
18 | 45→48 | 40→45 | 43→55 | 45 | .209/.292/.297 | .088 | .310 | 7 | 9 | 32% | 8% | 67 | -0.5 | .198/.280/.275 | .077 | .287 | 5 | 14 | 30% | 9% | 56 | -1.3 | .204/.287/.292 | .088 | .279 | 6 | 20 | 27% | 10% | 60 | -0.5 |
|
●Adael Amador 2022 · A |
19 | 45→54 | 41→50 | 45→55 | 47 | .219/.281/.317 | .098 | .274 | 8 | 11 | 23% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .241/.317/.373 | .132 | .280 | 15 | 17 | 19% | 9% | 97 | +1.5 | .233/.312/.369 | .136 | .267 | 17 | 23 | 19% | 9% | 90 | +0.8 |
|
●Ryan McMahon 2014 · A |
19 | 46→56 | 48→55 | 42→45 | 40 | .227/.283/.373 | .146 | .325 | 15 | 6 | 34% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .215/.270/.360 | .145 | .319 | 14 | 6 | 35% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .230/.314/.391 | .161 | .298 | 19 | 6 | 28% | 10% | 98 | +1.6 |
|
★Austin Riley 2016 · A |
19 | 44→54 | 49→65 | 45→40 | 38 | .218/.279/.361 | .143 | .320 | 17 | 5 | 36% | 6% | 78 | +0.2 | .214/.260/.366 | .152 | .309 | 18 | 3 | 36% | 5% | 71 | -0.3 | .273/.345/.498 | .224 | .325 | 30 | 1 | 25% | 8% | 136 | +4.9 |
|
●Jay Bruce 2006 · A |
19 | 41→51 | 46→65 | 42→50 | 39 | .207/.260/.334 | .128 | .300 | 14 | 8 | 35% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .243/.289/.418 | .175 | .322 | 18 | 9 | 29% | 6% | 96 | +1.5 | .253/.334/.464 | .210 | .300 | 26 | 7 | 24% | 10% | 115 | +2.9 |
|
★Jason Heyward 2008 · A |
18 | 46→56 | 41→55 | 47→50 | 41 | .220/.274/.320 | .100 | .304 | 7 | 7 | 29% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .259/.317/.406 | .147 | .307 | 14 | 9 | 20% | 7% | 105 | +2.1 | .255/.348/.438 | .183 | .301 | 21 | 14 | 22% | 12% | 121 | +3.1 |
|
●Neil Walker 2006 · A |
20 | 48→57 | 44→55 | 46→45 | 38 | .236/.261/.351 | .116 | .279 | 11 | 6 | 20% | 3% | 66 | -0.6 | .233/.270/.354 | .121 | .279 | 11 | 7 | 20% | 4% | 71 | -0.3 | .266/.342/.445 | .179 | .293 | 21 | 4 | 17% | 9% | 122 | +3.0 |
|
✕Samuel Basallo 2023 · A |
18 | 41→49 | 44→55 | 48→45 | 41 | .207/.263/.315 | .109 | .281 | 12 | 4 | 30% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .234/.289/.391 | .157 | .301 | 19 | 7 | 28% | 7% | 89 | +1.0 | .233/.291/.410 | .177 | .289 | 23 | 6 | 27% | 7% | 93 | +1.0 |
|
✕Victor Heredia 2019 · A |
19 | 47 | 44→50 | 42→30 | 40 | .230/.273/.349 | .119 | .292 | 11 | 4 | 25% | 4% | 71 | -0.3 | .214/.267/.303 | .089 | .290 | 7 | 4 | 27% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .176/.240/.214 | .038 | .249 | 3 | 2 | 28% | 6% | 21 | -1.0 |
|
✕Josue Briceño 2023 · A |
18 | 39→41 | 42→60 | 44→40 | 38 | .195/.242/.294 | .099 | .280 | 10 | 5 | 33% | 6% | 43 | -2.2 | .222/.286/.353 | .131 | .282 | 14 | 4 | 25% | 8% | 78 | +0.2 | .228/.304/.389 | .161 | .273 | 19 | 2 | 23% | 9% | 94 | +0.6 |
|
●Willy Adames 2015 · A |
19 | 48→53 | 41→60 | 47→50 | 46 | .224/.293/.338 | .114 | .316 | 6 | 6 | 29% | 8% | 76 | +0.1 | .224/.290/.335 | .111 | .332 | 7 | 8 | 32% | 8% | 75 | -0.0 | .263/.332/.462 | .199 | .341 | 24 | 5 | 28% | 9% | 122 | +2.4 |
|
✕Aderlin Rodríguez 2011 · A |
19 | 44→49 | 48→60 | 46→30 | 40 | .226/.269/.368 | .142 | .281 | 16 | 5 | 26% | 5% | 75 | -0.0 | .206/.240/.352 | .146 | .247 | 19 | 3 | 25% | 4% | 58 | -1.2 | .243/.288/.435 | .192 | .292 | 26 | 1 | 26% | 4% | 98 | +1.2 |