Dorian Soto — OGILVIE

Dorian SotoSS FCL Red Sox

Age 18 S/R 6'2" / 180 lbs ROK H +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION161 act + 107 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†44

AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .254 / .275

PA107

HR1

K%30

BB%7

BABIP271

ISO81

MLB%4%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 46 / POW 52

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT46

scouting grade only

POWER52

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED42

scouting grade only

DEFENSE46

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.2	$6M	+$5M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+1.3	$6M	+$4M
2035	Arb-2	$5M	+1.3	$5M	+$3M
2036	Arb-3	$6M	+1.2	$4M	+$2M
Totals		$17M		$29M	+$22M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	186	171	43	6	1	2	11	41	0	1	4	251	297	333	630	82	313	22	6	276	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	186	166	51	10	2	2	16	28	0	1	4	307	368	428	796	120	353	15	9	349	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	BOS	—	161	145	21	3	1	0	14	56	1	9	5	145	225	179	404	34	233	35	9	189	3	-18	-0	+0	+2	+5	-1.2
YTD	18	ROK	BOS	—	161	137	29	5	1	0	22	39	1	9	5	212	325	263	588	51	293	24	14	279	72	-5	-0	+0	+2	+5	0.1
ROS	18	ROK	BOS	4%	107	98	19	3	1	1	7	32	1	3	1	193	254	275	528	81	271	30	7	243	44	-7	+0	-0	+1	+3	-0.3
ROS	18	MLB	BOS	4%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	250	250	250	500		276	25	0	242	43	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	18	ROK	BOS	—	165	149	22	3	1	0	14	57	1	9	5	148	226	181	407	34	237	35	8	190	4	-18	-0	-0	+2	+5	-1.2
TOT	18	ROK	BOS	—	268	243	40	6	2	1	21	88	2	12	6	164	237	218	454	53	249	33	8	211	19	-24	+0	-0	+3	+8	-1.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	BOS	36%	291	266	55	9	2	5	21	83	2	5	2	207	270	312	582	105	277	29	7	260	58	-14	+0	-1	+3	+8	-0.3
2028	20	MLB	BOS	49%	408	371	78	13	2	8	30	114	4	6	3	210	277	321	597	111	280	28	7	273	67	-15	+0	-1	+4	+12	-0.0
2029	21	MLB	BOS	55%	493	448	97	16	3	11	37	135	5	7	3	217	284	339	623	123	282	27	8	281	73	-15	+0	-1	+5	+14	0.3
2030	22	MLB	BOS	57%	552	499	110	18	3	14	42	149	6	8	3	220	289	353	642	132	283	27	8	287	78	-14	+0	-1	+6	+16	0.7
2031	23	MLB	BOS	58%	592	536	119	20	3	15	45	159	6	9	4	222	290	354	644	132	284	27	8	291	81	-13	+0	-1	+6	+17	0.9
2032	24	MLB	BOS	57%	618	559	127	21	4	17	47	166	7	9	4	227	295	370	666	143	285	27	8	294	83	-12	+0	-2	+7	+18	1.1
2033	25	MLB	BOS	57%	630	570	129	21	4	18	48	169	7	9	4	226	294	372	666	146	285	27	8	296	84	-11	+0	-2	+7	+18	1.2
2034	26	MLB	BOS	57%	636	575	130	21	4	18	49	170	7	9	4	226	295	370	665	144	285	27	8	297	85	-10	+0	-2	+7	+18	1.3
2035	27	MLB	BOS	55%	636	575	130	21	4	18	49	171	7	9	4	226	295	370	665	144	285	27	8	297	86	-10	+0	-2	+7	+18	1.3
2036	28	MLB	BOS	55%	630	568	129	21	4	18	50	170	7	9	4	227	298	373	671	146	285	27	8	296	85	-11	+0	-2	+7	+18	1.2
2037	29	MLB	BOS	53%	620	559	124	20	3	17	49	168	7	8	4	222	293	360	652	138	284	27	8	295	84	-12	+0	-3	+7	+18	1.0
2038	30	MLB	BOS	53%	609	549	122	20	3	17	48	167	7	8	3	222	293	362	656	140	283	27	8	292	82	-13	+0	-4	+7	+17	0.8
2039	31	MLB	BOS	52%	595	537	118	19	3	16	47	165	6	8	3	220	290	356	646	136	281	28	8	288	79	-14	+0	-4	+6	+17	0.5
2040	32	MLB	BOS	52%	576	520	112	17	3	15	45	162	6	7	3	215	285	346	632	131	278	28	8	283	75	-16	+0	-5	+6	+16	0.1
2027	19	MLB	BOS	36%	105	96	20	3	1	2	7	30	1	2	1	208	269	323	592	115	283	29	7	258	56	-5	+0	-0	+1	+3	-0.1
2028	20	MLB	BOS	49%	200	181	40	7	1	4	15	56	2	3	1	221	288	337	625	116	286	28	8	269	64	-8	+0	-0	+2	+6	-0.1
2029	21	MLB	BOS	55%	269	244	53	9	1	6	20	74	3	4	2	217	285	336	621	119	288	28	7	277	70	-9	+0	-1	+3	+8	0.1
2030	22	MLB	BOS	57%	313	283	64	11	2	8	24	85	3	5	2	226	294	364	658	138	289	27	8	283	75	-9	+0	-1	+3	+9	0.3
2031	23	MLB	BOS	58%	341	308	70	12	2	9	26	92	4	5	2	227	296	367	663	140	290	27	8	287	78	-9	+0	-1	+4	+10	0.4
2032	24	MLB	BOS	57%	352	318	73	12	2	10	27	94	4	5	2	230	298	374	672	145	291	27	8	290	80	-8	+0	-1	+4	+10	0.5
2033	25	MLB	BOS	57%	357	323	75	13	2	10	27	95	4	5	2	232	299	378	677	146	291	27	8	292	81	-8	+0	-1	+4	+10	0.6
2034	26	MLB	BOS	57%	360	325	75	13	2	10	28	96	4	5	2	231	300	375	675	145	291	27	8	293	82	-7	+0	-1	+4	+10	0.6
2035	27	MLB	BOS	55%	353	319	73	12	2	10	27	95	4	5	2	229	297	373	670	144	291	27	8	293	82	-7	+0	-1	+4	+10	0.6
2036	28	MLB	BOS	55%	346	312	72	12	2	10	27	93	4	5	2	231	300	378	678	147	291	27	8	292	82	-7	+0	-1	+4	+10	0.5
2037	29	MLB	BOS	53%	332	299	68	11	2	9	26	90	4	5	2	227	298	368	666	140	290	27	8	290	80	-7	+0	-2	+4	+9	0.4
2038	30	MLB	BOS	53%	321	290	66	11	2	9	25	88	3	4	2	228	296	372	668	145	289	27	8	288	79	-8	+0	-2	+3	+9	0.3
2039	31	MLB	BOS	52%	310	279	61	10	1	8	25	86	3	4	2	219	290	348	638	129	287	28	8	284	76	-9	+0	-2	+3	+9	0.1
2040	32	MLB	BOS	52%	299	270	59	10	1	8	24	84	3	4	2	219	290	352	641	133	284	28	8	279	72	-10	+0	-3	+3	+8	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4262	3851	870	146	23	113	328	1159	46	61	26	226	294	364	658	138	291	27	8	286	77	-110	+2	-16	+46	+121	4.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	133	22	4	17	50	177	7	9	4	227	295	365	660	138	292	27	8	286	77	-17	+0	-2	+7	+18	0.6
Career	—			—	8179	7401	1642	266	47	210	625	2221	85	115	53	222	290	356	646	134	286	27	8	289	79	-194	+2	-30	+88	+232	10.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	131	21	4	17	50	176	7	9	4	223	291	359	650	136	286	27	8	289	79	-15	+0	-2	+7	+18	0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	186	166	51	10	2	2	16	28	0	1	4	307	368	428	796	120	353	15	9	349	125	+5	-1	—	—	+5	0.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	9	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
	/162	664	23	1	235	308	414	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#3Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	7	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
	/162	664	21	6	245	302	422	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
#4Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	7	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
	/162	664	22	3	243	306	411	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8
#5Yuniesky Betancourtlast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,278 PA	9	4,278	80	30	261	285	388	+41	-20	6.1	7.2
	/162	664	12	5	261	285	388	+6.4	-3.1	1.0	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	4,265	112	61	223	288	359	+46	-11	7.0	6.1
	/162	664	17	9	223	288	359	+7.1	-1.7	1.1	pk7: 5
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dorian Soto (OGILVIE)	18	40→46	46→52	43→42	30	164/237/218	53	249	1	12	33%	8%	19	-1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ronny Mauricio 2019 · A	18	43→51	39→60	40→55	40	210/244/303	93	269	6	4	24%	4%	46	-2.0	210/240/308	98	284	9	6	28%	3%	46	-2.0	249/287/427	178	307	24	21	27%	4%	95	+1.1
✕Jose Perez 2022 · A	18	41	39→40	42→45	45	194/268/281	86	278	5	6	30%	8%	52	-1.6	200/299/287	87	269	5	7	25%	11%	68	-0.5	190/311/283	93	253	5	7	24%	13%	71	-0.1
✕Dalton Pompey 2011 · A	18	41→51	42→45	50→55	40	205/258/306	101	279	10	11	30%	6%	53	-1.5	199/268/292	93	283	7	18	30%	8%	55	-1.4	259/316/359	100	331	7	29	22%	7%	87	+0.7
✕Randel Alcantara 2015 · A	18	40	43→45	41→45	42	200/268/307	107	273	11	4	30%	7%	59	-1.1	200/265/309	109	265	8	6	26%	6%	58	-1.2	186/252/305	119	241	8	6	25%	5%	48	-0.6
●Marwin Gonzalez 2007 · A	18	38→48	41→55	42→50	37	192/228/288	96	260	9	5	30%	4%	35	-2.8	206/246/289	83	268	5	6	24%	5%	43	-2.2	264/335/435	171	311	20	4	21%	9%	115	+2.3
✕Shed Long Jr. 2014 · A	18	44→47	38→50	46→50	41	211/266/287	76	294	6	6	29%	6%	52	-1.6	206/257/295	89	285	7	8	29%	6%	50	-1.7	233/295/385	151	314	17	11	30%	7%	87	+0.6
✕Yonatan Henriquez 2023 · A	18	44→51	40→45	42→55	45	207/294/296	88	307	8	9	32%	9%	67	-0.5	202/284/283	81	291	5	14	29%	9%	59	-1.1	212/295/309	97	288	7	20	27%	10%	68	-0.2
✕Raul Juarez 2017 · A	19	42	41→45	42→40	41	208/273/305	97	268	9	6	25%	5%	61	-1.0	204/257/279	75	279	6	5	28%	5%	46	-2.0	180/221/220	41	250	4	2	29%	3%	13	-0.9
✕Samuel Basallo 2023 · A	18	41→48	44→55	48→45	40	209/264/317	108	283	12	4	30%	6%	59	-1.1	232/286/390	158	298	19	7	28%	7%	88	+0.9	230/287/406	176	286	23	6	28%	7%	89	+0.8
✕Jon Del Campo 2007 · A	19	43	38→45	45→55	46	205/268/282	77	271	6	5	26%	8%	52	-1.6	205/257/287	82	297	4	5	30%	6%	47	-1.9	259/294/370	111	330	12	18	24%	4%	85	+0.4
✕Jesús Báez 2023 · A	18	39→35	45→55	44→45	44	197/265/314	117	266	13	9	30%	8%	59	-1.1	203/264/335	132	259	15	9	27%	7%	65	-0.7	213/269/389	177	241	26	8	24%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Michael Almanzar 2009 · A	18	42→48	39→50	44→45	36	206/245/293	88	287	6	6	30%	4%	43	-2.2	185/223/257	72	266	5	4	31%	4%	26	-3.4	233/278/363	131	287	14	8	24%	4%	75	-0.0
✕Ricardo Cova 2022 · A	18	44	38→50	47→55	44	212/278/287	75	273	6	9	24%	6%	57	-1.2	209/268/294	85	323	7	15	35%	6%	55	-1.4	235/286/365	130	286	14	20	22%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Nick Franklin 2010 · A	19	45→50	40→50	49→50	41	219/261/311	92	283	7	6	25%	5%	56	-1.3	224/271/359	135	292	15	13	28%	6%	73	-0.1	237/304/370	133	299	13	12	24%	8%	87	+0.8
✕Trayvon Robinson 2006 · A	18	43→53	42→50	47→55	36	210/254/312	103	301	9	9	33%	5%	53	-1.5	207/255/283	76	330	5	12	36%	5%	46	-2.0	247/308/393	146	363	15	24	34%	7%	94	+1.3
●Yonathan Perlaza 2017 · A	18	41→51	39→60	48→50	39	201/244/289	88	280	6	14	30%	5%	43	-2.2	205/247/278	73	302	4	11	31%	5%	40	-2.4	232/306/413	181	303	19	12	28%	9%	98	+1.5
●Adael Amador 2022 · A	19	45→54	41→50	45→55	47	217/279/316	98	271	8	11	23%	7%	65	-0.7	239/313/375	136	278	16	17	19%	9%	95	+1.4	230/306/371	141	263	18	23	20%	9%	88	+0.7
✕Leo Bernal 2022 · A	18	37→46	43→45	48→50	45	187/245/295	108	226	10	6	22%	6%	46	-2.0	213/279/331	118	281	12	5	27%	8%	69	-0.4	221/285/341	120	281	14	10	25%	8%	71	-0.2
●Mark Vientos 2018 · A	18	42→49	40→60	41→30	38	206/251/301	95	290	8	3	31%	5%	50	-1.8	204/254/325	121	276	14	3	30%	5%	57	-1.2	245/305/447	202	325	28	0	32%	7%	109	+2.0
●Luis Campusano 2018 · A	19	43→53	41→50	41→30	44	213/267/308	95	273	10	4	25%	6%	58	-1.2	251/303/368	117	300	12	2	20%	6%	89	+0.9	264/328/432	168	297	22	1	19%	8%	113	+1.5