Dorian Soto — OGILVIE

Dorian SotoSS FCL Red Sox

Age 18 S/R 6'2" / 180 lbs ROK HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION161 act + 15 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.143 / .200 / .143

PA15

HR0

K%27

BB%7

BABIP276

ISO99

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$10M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 47 / POW 53

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT47

scouting grade only

POWER53

scouting grade only

EYE44

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

DEFENSE47

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-2	$5M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$7M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$7M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	186	166	51	10	2	2	16	28	0	1	4	307	368	428	796	120	353	15	9	349	122	+5	-1	—	—	+4	0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	186	172	42	7	1	2	10	40	0	1	4	244	286	331	617	87	289	22	5	265	65	-8	-1	—	—	+4	-0.5
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	186	172	42	7	1	2	10	40	0	1	4	244	286	331	617	87	301	22	5	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	186	166	51	10	2	2	16	28	0	1	4	307	368	428	796	120	353	15	9	349	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	186	174	42	7	1	2	10	40	0	1	4	241	286	328	613	86	289	22	5	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	186	174	42	7	1	2	10	40	0	1	4	241	286	328	613	86	289	22	5	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	BOS	—	161	145	21	3	1	0	14	56	1	9	5	145	225	179	404	34	233	35	9	189	14	-16	-0	+0	+2	+3	-1.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	BOS	—	161	137	29	5	1	0	22	39	1	9	5	212	325	263	588	51	293	24	14	279	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	BOS	0%	15	14	2	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	143	200	143	343		272	27	7	246	52	-1	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	18	ROK MLE	BOS	—	176	159	23	3	1	0	15	60	1	9	5	145	223	176	399	31	230	34	9	194	17	-17	-0	-0	+2	+4	-1.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	BOS	34%	241	219	45	8	1	4	18	69	2	4	2	205	272	306	578	100	278	29	7	263	64	-10	+0	-1	+3	+5	-0.3
2028	20	MLB MLE	BOS	48%	369	334	71	12	2	7	28	102	4	5	2	213	281	323	605	111	281	28	8	275	72	-12	+0	-1	+4	+8	-0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	BOS	54%	466	422	92	15	3	11	36	127	5	7	3	218	287	346	633	128	283	27	8	284	78	-12	+0	-1	+5	+10	0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	BOS	57%	534	482	107	18	3	13	41	144	6	7	3	222	291	353	644	131	284	27	8	289	82	-11	+0	-1	+6	+12	0.5
2031	23	MLB MLE	BOS	58%	580	524	117	20	3	15	45	155	6	8	3	223	292	359	651	135	285	27	8	293	85	-11	+0	-1	+6	+13	0.7
2032	24	MLB MLE	BOS	57%	610	550	125	21	4	17	48	163	7	8	3	227	298	373	670	145	286	27	8	296	87	-10	+0	-1	+7	+13	0.9
2033	25	MLB MLE	BOS	57%	625	564	128	21	4	18	49	166	7	8	3	227	297	374	671	147	286	27	8	298	88	-9	+0	-1	+7	+14	1.1
2034	26	MLB MLE	BOS	57%	633	571	129	21	4	18	50	169	7	8	4	226	296	371	667	145	286	27	8	300	89	-8	+0	-1	+7	+14	1.1
2035	27	MLB MLE	BOS	55%	633	570	129	21	4	18	51	169	7	8	4	226	298	372	670	146	286	27	8	300	89	-8	+0	-1	+7	+14	1.1
2036	28	MLB MLE	BOS	55%	629	566	128	21	4	18	51	169	7	8	3	226	298	373	671	147	286	27	8	299	88	-9	+0	-2	+7	+14	1.0
2037	29	MLB MLE	BOS	53%	619	557	125	20	3	18	50	167	7	8	3	224	296	368	664	144	285	27	8	297	87	-9	+0	-3	+7	+13	0.9
2038	30	MLB MLE	BOS	53%	608	546	122	20	3	17	50	166	7	7	3	223	297	364	661	141	284	27	8	295	86	-10	+0	-3	+7	+13	0.6
2039	31	MLB MLE	BOS	52%	594	535	117	19	3	16	48	164	6	7	3	219	290	355	645	136	282	28	8	291	83	-12	+0	-4	+6	+13	0.3
2040	32	MLB MLE	BOS	52%	576	518	112	18	3	15	47	161	6	6	3	216	289	349	638	133	279	28	8	286	79	-14	+0	-5	+6	+12	-0.0
2027	19	MLB CTX	BOS	34%	83	76	15	3	0	1	6	24	1	1	1	197	265	276	541	79	283	29	7	259	64	-4	-0	-0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	BOS	48%	179	161	35	6	1	3	14	50	2	3	1	217	288	323	611	106	286	28	8	270	72	-6	+0	-0	+2	+4	-0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	BOS	54%	253	229	51	9	1	6	19	69	3	4	1	223	291	349	640	127	288	27	8	278	78	-7	+0	-1	+3	+5	0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	BOS	57%	302	273	62	11	2	7	23	81	3	4	2	227	294	359	653	132	289	27	8	283	82	-6	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.3
2031	23	MLB CTX	BOS	58%	334	301	69	12	2	9	26	89	4	5	2	229	299	372	671	143	290	27	8	287	85	-6	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.4
2032	24	MLB CTX	BOS	57%	348	314	71	12	2	9	27	93	4	5	2	226	296	363	659	137	291	27	8	290	87	-6	+0	-1	+4	+8	0.5
2033	25	MLB CTX	BOS	57%	354	319	74	13	2	10	28	94	4	5	2	232	302	379	681	147	291	27	8	292	88	-5	+0	-1	+4	+8	0.6
2034	26	MLB CTX	BOS	57%	358	323	74	13	2	10	28	95	4	5	2	229	299	375	673	146	291	27	8	293	89	-5	+0	-1	+4	+8	0.6
2035	27	MLB CTX	BOS	55%	351	316	72	12	2	10	28	94	4	5	2	228	299	373	672	146	291	27	8	293	89	-5	+0	-1	+4	+8	0.6
2036	28	MLB CTX	BOS	55%	345	310	71	12	2	10	28	93	4	4	2	229	301	377	679	148	291	27	8	293	88	-5	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.5
2037	29	MLB CTX	BOS	53%	331	297	68	12	2	9	27	90	4	4	2	229	302	374	676	145	290	27	8	291	87	-5	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.4
2038	30	MLB CTX	BOS	53%	320	288	65	11	1	9	26	87	3	4	2	226	297	365	661	139	289	27	8	289	86	-5	+0	-2	+3	+7	0.3
2039	31	MLB CTX	BOS	52%	310	279	62	11	1	8	25	86	3	4	2	222	293	355	648	133	287	28	8	285	83	-6	+0	-2	+3	+7	0.2
2040	32	MLB CTX	BOS	52%	299	270	59	10	1	8	24	84	3	3	1	219	290	352	641	133	284	28	8	280	79	-7	+0	-2	+3	+6	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4167	3756	848	147	21	109	329	1129	46	56	24	226	296	363	659	137	291	27	8	287	84	-77	+2	-14	+45	+90	4.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	132	23	3	17	51	176	7	9	4	225	295	362	657	137	290	27	8	287	84	-12	+0	-2	+7	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	7918	7144	1591	262	45	207	623	2135	84	100	46	223	293	359	652	136	286	27	8	292	84	-147	+3	-27	+83	+168	8.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	131	22	4	17	51	175	7	8	4	224	293	362	655	138	287	27	8	292	84	-12	+0	-2	+7	+14	0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
/162	664	23	1	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#5Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	4.8	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
/162	664	22	3	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8
#6Yuniesky Betancourtlast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,278 PA	6.4	4,278	80	30	261	285	388	+41	-20	6.1	7.2
/162	664	12	5	+6.4	-3.1	0.9	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	6.5	4,323	114	57	223	290	361	+46	-8	8.4	7.2
/162	664	17	9	+7.1	-1.2	1.3	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dorian Soto (OGILVIE)	18	41→47	40→53	40	44	194/257/276	82	272	2	4	29%	7%	52	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ronny Mauricio 2019 · A	18	43→50	39→55	40→55	40	210/244/303	93	269	6	4	24%	4%	52	-2.2	210/241/305	95	283	8	6	28%	3%	51	-2.2	242/281/398	156	301	20	21	26%	4%	87	+0.3
●Adael Amador 2022 · A	19	45→54	41→50	45→55	48	220/284/320	100	275	8	11	23%	8%	72	-0.7	239/315/371	132	277	15	17	19%	9%	96	+1.0	231/310/363	132	264	16	23	19%	9%	89	+0.4
✕Jose Perez 2022 · A	18	41	38→40	42→45	44	193/266/276	83	281	5	6	31%	8%	55	-1.9	200/299/287	87	269	5	7	25%	11%	71	-0.8	193/314/286	93	255	5	7	23%	13%	76	-0.1
✕Jesús Báez 2023 · A	18	39→40	44→55	44→45	43	197/263/310	113	267	13	9	30%	8%	63	-1.4	199/261/321	122	254	13	9	26%	7%	64	-1.3	217/271/392	175	242	26	8	23%	6%	83	+0.1
✕Shed Long Jr. 2014 · A	18	44→49	38→50	46→50	41	211/266/287	76	294	6	6	29%	6%	57	-1.8	209/260/301	92	287	8	8	28%	6%	58	-1.7	234/295/378	144	313	15	11	29%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Jon Del Campo 2007 · A	19	43	38→45	45→55	46	205/268/282	77	271	6	5	26%	8%	57	-1.8	205/257/287	82	297	4	5	30%	6%	53	-2.1	267/298/376	109	332	10	18	22%	3%	90	+0.3
●Marwin Gonzalez 2008 · A	19	41→51	41→55	43→50	41	201/249/304	103	265	8	5	27%	6%	55	-2.0	212/247/282	70	269	4	7	22%	4%	48	-2.5	268/339/447	179	314	22	4	21%	9%	117	+2.2
✕Elias Díaz 2010 · A	19	42→52	41→50	42→45	44	204/265/299	95	266	8	5	26%	7%	60	-1.6	187/235/264	77	245	5	4	25%	5%	40	-3.0	253/312/396	144	279	17	0	16%	7%	98	+0.6
✕Yonatan Henriquez 2023 · A	18	44→48	40→45	42→55	45	207/292/294	87	308	7	9	32%	9%	70	-0.8	199/282/276	77	285	5	14	29%	10%	61	-1.5	203/287/290	86	278	6	20	27%	10%	64	-0.6
●Mark Vientos 2018 · A	18	42→50	40→60	41→30	38	206/251/301	95	290	8	3	31%	5%	55	-1.9	207/257/327	120	279	13	3	30%	6%	63	-1.3	243/303/441	198	304	26	1	28%	7%	106	+1.5
✕Aderlin Rodríguez 2010 · A	18	46→48	39→55	46→30	42	217/277/301	85	310	6	7	31%	7%	65	-1.2	213/251/356	143	261	18	3	26%	4%	68	-1.0	238/283/415	178	287	23	1	26%	4%	92	+0.5
✕Randel Alcantara 2015 · A	18	40	43→45	41→45	42	200/268/307	107	273	11	4	30%	7%	63	-1.3	200/265/309	109	265	8	6	26%	6%	63	-1.4	186/252/305	119	241	8	6	25%	5%	54	-0.7
✕Dalton Pompey 2011 · A	18	41→51	42→45	50→55	40	205/258/306	101	279	10	11	30%	6%	59	-1.7	201/270/294	93	286	7	18	30%	8%	61	-1.5	258/316/357	98	327	7	29	22%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Raul Juarez 2017 · A	19	42	41→45	42→40	41	208/273/305	97	268	9	6	25%	5%	65	-1.2	204/257/279	75	279	6	5	28%	5%	53	-2.1	180/221/220	41	250	4	2	29%	3%	23	-0.9
●Zoilo Almonte 2007 · A	18	36→46	42→50	46→50	42	184/247/287	103	264	10	6	33%	8%	51	-2.3	195/238/289	94	259	9	5	27%	5%	47	-2.5	247/294/384	137	313	16	13	25%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Lenyn Sosa 2018 · A	18	45→51	38→50	43→40	44	215/260/291	76	266	5	6	21%	6%	55	-1.9	209/239/295	86	263	6	4	23%	3%	48	-2.5	243/274/380	137	290	18	3	23%	3%	80	-0.1
✕Yonathan Perlaza 2017 · A	18	41→51	39→55	48→50	39	201/244/289	88	280	6	14	30%	5%	49	-2.4	205/247/278	73	301	4	11	31%	5%	47	-2.5	232/305/402	170	301	17	12	27%	9%	96	+1.0
✕Manuel Joseph 2013 · A	19	46	41→45	44→50	45	221/274/319	97	271	8	8	21%	6%	68	-1.0	244/300/352	108	288	9	15	18%	6%	85	+0.2	263/321/381	118	302	10	21	15%	5%	101	+0.6
✕Yaniery Guzman 2018 · A	20	45	42→55	44→40	46	220/278/324	104	272	9	4	22%	7%	71	-0.8	218/263/334	116	294	10	4	28%	6%	67	-1.1	238/276/393	155	286	15	3	22%	5%	85	+0.1
✕Nick Franklin 2010 · A	19	45→49	40→50	49→50	41	219/261/311	92	283	7	6	25%	5%	61	-1.5	226/274/358	132	296	14	13	27%	6%	77	-0.3	236/299/368	131	300	12	13	24%	8%	85	+0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps