Player 828714 — OGILVIE

Player 8287141B Fresno Grizzlies

Age — —/— A HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION98 act + 14 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†94

AVG/OBP/SLG.231 / .286 / .308

PA14

HR0

K%29

BB%7

BABIP313

ISO77

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-1	$1M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD	—	A MLE	COL	—	98	85	22	4	0	5	10	29	1	3	0	259	344	482	826	224	321	30	10	358	128	+3	+1	+0	-2	+2	0.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	—	A RAW	COL	—	98	81	25	5	0	6	14	22	1	3	0	309	417	593	1.009	284	345	22	14	429	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	—	A MLE	COL	0%	14	13	3	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	231	286	308	593	77	296	29	7	307	94	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	—	A MLE	COL	—	112	98	25	5	0	5	11	33	1	3	0	255	336	459	796	204	323	29	10	352	124	+3	+1	+0	-2	+2	0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	COL	0%	217	194	44	8	1	7	19	63	2	4	1	227	302	387	689	160	294	29	9	309	95	-1	+0	+0	-4	+5	0.0
2028	25	MLB MLE	COL	0%	343	307	71	13	1	12	30	97	3	7	1	231	306	397	703	166	294	28	9	310	96	-2	+1	+0	-6	+7	0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	COL	0%	428	384	88	16	2	14	37	120	4	8	2	229	304	391	694	161	293	28	9	311	97	-2	+1	+0	-8	+9	0.1
2030	25	MLB MLE	COL	0%	485	435	100	18	2	16	42	135	5	10	2	230	305	391	696	161	293	28	9	311	97	-2	+1	+0	-9	+11	0.1
2031	25	MLB MLE	COL	0%	525	470	109	20	2	18	45	147	5	10	2	232	306	398	704	166	293	28	9	311	97	-2	+1	+0	-9	+11	0.1
2032	25	MLB MLE	COL	0%	552	494	114	21	2	19	48	154	5	11	2	231	305	397	702	166	292	28	9	312	97	-2	+1	+0	-10	+12	0.2
2033	25	MLB MLE	COL	0%	572	511	117	21	2	19	50	160	6	11	2	229	305	389	695	160	292	28	9	312	97	-2	+1	+0	-10	+12	0.2
2034	25	MLB MLE	COL	0%	587	525	121	22	2	20	51	164	6	12	2	230	306	394	700	164	292	28	9	312	97	-2	+2	+0	-10	+13	0.2
2027	25	MLB CTX	COL	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	312	—	—	321	95	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB CTX	COL	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	311	—	—	322	96	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB CTX	COL	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	311	—	—	323	97	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB CTX	COL	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	310	—	—	323	97	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB CTX	COL	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	310	—	—	323	97	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2032	25	MLB CTX	COL	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	309	—	—	323	97	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2033	25	MLB CTX	COL	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	309	—	—	323	97	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2034	25	MLB CTX	COL	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	309	—	—	323	97	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	3723	3333	767	140	14	125	323	1044	36	73	14	230	305	393	698	163	294	28	9	311	97	-14	+9	+0	-66	+81	0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	133	24	2	22	56	182	6	13	2	229	302	390	692	162	291	28	9	311	97	-3	+2	+0	-12	+14	0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	7.5	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
/162	664	24	4	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#2Jeff Francoeurlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,633 PA	8.5	5,633	160	54	262	304	417	-60	-26	6.8	9.0
/162	664	19	6	-7.1	-3.1	0.8	pk7: 11
#3Scott Hairstonlast yr '14 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,624 PA	4.0	2,624	106	36	242	297	444	-18	-16	6.0	6.6
/162	664	27	9	-4.5	-4.1	1.5	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	5.9	3,924	132	77	231	302	395	-44	+0	6.2	6.0
/162	664	22	13	-7.4	+0.0	1.0	pk7: 6
#4Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#5Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#6Nomar Mazaralast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,690 PA	4.1	2,690	85	7	256	315	414	-29	-21	3.7	3.7
/162	664	21	2	-7.1	-5.3	0.9	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 828714 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	225/299/385	160	296	7	5	30%	9%	94	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕David Cook 2007 · A	26	39→49	51→55	49→50	47	207/285/367	161	269	19	10	30%	9%	84	+0.2	228/306/399	171	285	20	10	26%	10%	99	+1.2	231/311/411	181	277	21	10	24%	10%	102	+1.3
✕Mac Williamson 2015 · A	25	49→50	54→55	51→45	42	250/313/428	179	316	22	10	28%	6%	108	+1.9	233/292/378	145	304	17	6	28%	6%	88	+0.5	212/278/376	164	272	23	5	31%	7%	81	-0.0
●Jonathan Rodríguez 2014 · A	24	44→52	49→50	48→50	44	221/292/374	153	299	16	11	30%	8%	88	+0.5	230/290/344	114	309	11	9	28%	7%	80	-0.2	227/303/369	142	310	17	3	30%	9%	90	+0.4
✕Joe Mather 2007 · A	25	42→45	49→60	53→50	40	216/267/368	152	270	16	7	26%	5%	78	-0.3	224/287/405	181	251	23	10	21%	6%	94	+0.9	216/284/406	190	230	25	11	20%	6%	91	+0.5
✕Casper Wells 2010 · AA	25	42→44	53→60	49→50	43	220/293/398	178	285	20	13	30%	7%	95	+0.9	224/292/410	186	287	21	9	29%	7%	97	+1.1	222/294/415	193	276	22	7	27%	8%	95	+0.6
✕Ben Harrison 2007 · AA	25	46→50	49→50	50	43	234/295/381	148	299	18	11	28%	6%	91	+0.6	218/281/351	133	314	16	11	34%	7%	78	-0.3	204/276/333	128	303	15	10	36%	8%	71	-0.5
✕Andrew Young 2018 · A	24	45→46	49→55	50→40	40	227/294/375	148	298	16	7	29%	5%	89	+0.5	226/303/389	163	279	20	5	26%	6%	97	+1.1	219/300/401	182	282	23	3	30%	6%	95	+0.8
✕Jake Scheiner 2021 · A	25	44→52	50→55	44→40	41	228/277/380	152	286	17	6	27%	5%	83	+0.1	217/286/380	163	289	19	4	30%	8%	87	+0.4	208/286/375	167	269	21	3	30%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Kyle Datres 2021 · A	25	42	47→50	52→55	42	211/281/355	143	283	14	15	30%	7%	80	-0.2	210/290/349	139	286	16	22	31%	8%	82	-0.0	203/288/338	135	274	17	27	31%	9%	77	-0.2
✕Shane Selman 2022 · A	25	44	48→50	45	46	217/294/358	140	308	16	8	33%	9%	85	+0.2	202/269/344	142	300	17	7	36%	7%	73	-0.6	165/232/316	151	236	20	3	38%	6%	51	-1.1
✕Travis Vetters 2009 · A	25	47	49→65	49→45	36	234/277/386	152	311	16	6	30%	4%	85	+0.2	219/278/324	105	323	8	6	33%	6%	71	-0.8	187/266/260	74	303	3	0	36%	7%	51	-0.6
✕Alexander Palma 2021 · A	25	46	50	50→45	41	237/281/388	151	289	18	8	25%	5%	87	+0.4	222/258/352	130	267	16	5	23%	4%	70	-0.9	215/242/345	130	246	19	0	22%	3%	61	-0.9
✕Alex Castellanos 2012 · AA	25	47→51	49→55	53→50	38	235/287/394	159	315	15	13	30%	5%	91	+0.6	219/284/373	154	298	16	16	31%	6%	84	+0.2	207/266/345	139	303	13	8	34%	6%	69	-0.5
✕Jonel Pacheco 2008 · A	25	49→55	50	47→50	43	248/288/402	154	284	18	12	20%	5%	93	+0.8	251/292/380	129	307	14	12	22%	5%	88	+0.5	251/291/358	108	308	12	11	22%	5%	81	-0.1
✕Chris Curley 2013 · A	25	43→53	50	51→45	36	223/262/375	153	285	19	9	29%	4%	77	-0.3	238/279/369	131	294	14	8	24%	4%	82	-0.0	239/279/365	126	291	13	7	22%	4%	78	-0.2
✕Brian Joynt 2009 · A	24	46	49→60	49→45	46	232/297/390	157	301	16	7	28%	8%	93	+0.8	215/262/345	130	301	14	8	32%	5%	70	-0.9	193/229/311	118	273	15	6	35%	4%	48	-1.5
✕Michael Carlin 2006 · A	25	48→46	52→60	52→45	41	245/305/418	173	309	20	7	27%	6%	103	+1.5	230/290/371	141	289	14	8	24%	6%	86	+0.3	230/286/374	144	283	14	8	23%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Devin Mann 2021 · A	24	44	49→50	44→45	46	222/291/369	146	287	17	7	28%	8%	86	+0.3	215/294/365	150	282	16	5	28%	8%	87	+0.4	210/294/364	154	277	16	4	29%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Brett Harris 2022 · A	24	44→52	44→45	49→50	43	218/288/335	117	294	12	11	29%	7%	78	-0.3	241/313/376	135	292	15	10	22%	8%	96	+1.0	238/318/367	129	288	14	9	21%	8%	93	+0.6
✕Brandon Meredith 2014 · A	24	44→40	49→50	46→45	47	219/301/375	156	289	16	8	29%	9%	92	+0.7	212/285/350	138	279	16	7	28%	8%	80	-0.1	196/270/331	135	249	17	5	28%	8%	67	-0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps