Daniel Jackson

C Fresno Grizzlies

Age 22 R/R A HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

OGV OFP35OGV rank#573ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	21	ACOL	98	.309/.417/.593	6	3	118	—	.259/.344/.482
2027PROJMLE	22	MLBCOL	208	.217/.284/.367	6	4	83	0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	23	MLBCOL	40	.232/.299/.405	1	1	85	0.1
2029PROJ46% MLB	24	MLBCOL	88	.235/.301/.410	3	2	87	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

ISO96

wOBA93

wRC+92

Chase%78

BB%68

K%59

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.6 / P90 9.5, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 84%

CompsTucker Mitchell (age 23) · Yu Chang (age 22) · Agustín Ramírez (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 63 proj PA

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .281 / .364

PA63

HR2

K%29

BB%8

ISO151

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$13M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.1M
2036	Arb-2	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$7M	—	—	—
Totals		$4M		$5M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	21	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	98	81	25	5	0	6	14	22	1	3	0	309	417	593	1.009	284	345	22	14	429	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	98	85	22	4	0	5	10	30	1	3	0	259	344	482	826	224	304	31	10	342	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	98	85	22	4	0	5	10	30	1	3	0	259	344	482	826	224	327	31	10	342	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	—	98	81	25	5	0	6	14	22	1	3	0	309	417	593	1.009	284	345	22	14	429	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	98	87	22	4	0	5	10	30	1	3	0	253	344	471	815	218	304	31	10	342	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	98	87	22	4	0	5	10	30	1	3	0	253	344	471	815	218	304	31	10	342	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	COL	0%	208	188	40	7	1	6	16	60	2	4	1	217	284	367	651	151	279	29	8	290	83	-4	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	COL	34%	117	106	24	4	1	4	9	33	1	2	1	220	287	373	660	154	280	28	8	294	85	-2	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.3
2029	24	MLB MLE	COL	46%	190	171	38	7	1	6	15	54	2	4	1	222	290	378	667	156	282	28	8	297	87	-3	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.5
2030	25	MLB MLE	COL	52%	254	230	51	9	1	8	20	71	2	5	1	224	292	381	672	157	282	28	8	299	89	-3	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2031	26	MLB MLE	COL	54%	306	276	62	11	1	10	24	84	3	6	2	225	293	383	676	158	282	27	8	301	90	-4	+0	+1	+5	+7	0.9
2032	27	MLB MLE	COL	54%	332	300	68	12	2	11	26	91	3	7	2	225	293	381	675	157	282	27	8	300	89	-4	+1	+1	+6	+7	1.0
2033	28	MLB MLE	COL	54%	344	311	70	12	2	11	27	95	3	7	2	223	291	377	668	154	281	28	8	297	87	-5	+1	-0	+6	+7	0.9
2034	29	MLB MLE	COL	53%	342	309	68	12	1	11	27	96	3	6	2	220	288	370	659	150	280	28	8	294	85	-6	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.7
2035	30	MLB MLE	COL	57%	336	304	66	12	1	10	26	95	3	6	2	217	285	362	647	145	278	28	8	289	82	-7	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.5
2036	31	MLB MLE	COL	59%	305	277	59	10	1	9	23	87	2	5	2	213	280	353	632	140	274	29	8	283	78	-8	+0	-2	+5	+7	0.2
2037	32	MLB MLE	COL	61%	272	247	51	9	1	7	21	79	2	4	3	208	274	340	614	132	270	29	8	275	72	-9	-0	-3	+5	+6	-0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	COL	34%	40	37	7	1	0	1	3	11	0	1	0	232	299	405	704	173	295	28	8	311	85	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	COL	46%	88	80	19	3	1	3	7	25	1	2	0	235	301	410	711	175	296	28	8	314	87	-1	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.3
2030	25	MLB CTX	COL	52%	131	119	29	5	1	5	10	36	1	3	1	236	303	413	717	177	297	27	8	316	89	-2	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.4
2031	26	MLB CTX	COL	54%	166	151	35	6	1	6	13	46	1	3	1	238	305	415	720	178	297	28	8	318	90	-2	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.5
2032	27	MLB CTX	COL	54%	180	162	39	7	1	7	14	49	2	4	1	237	305	414	719	176	297	27	8	317	89	-2	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.6
2033	28	MLB CTX	COL	54%	187	168	40	7	1	7	15	52	2	4	1	235	303	408	711	173	295	28	8	314	87	-3	+0	-0	+3	+4	0.5
2034	29	MLB CTX	COL	53%	182	165	38	7	1	6	14	51	1	3	1	233	300	401	701	168	294	28	8	310	85	-3	+0	-0	+3	+4	0.4
2035	30	MLB CTX	COL	57%	191	172	39	7	1	6	15	54	2	3	1	229	296	392	688	163	291	28	8	305	82	-4	+0	-1	+3	+4	0.3
2036	31	MLB CTX	COL	59%	181	164	37	6	1	6	14	52	1	3	1	225	290	381	671	156	288	29	8	298	78	-5	+0	-1	+3	+4	0.1
2037	32	MLB CTX	COL	61%	166	151	34	6	1	5	13	48	1	2	2	219	284	367	651	148	283	29	8	290	72	-5	-0	-2	+3	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1512	1369	317	55	9	52	118	424	12	28	9	232	298	399	697	167	294	28	8	309	85	-29	+2	-3	+27	+33	3.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	136	24	4	22	51	182	5	12	4	231	298	397	695	166	294	28	8	309	85	-12	+1	-1	+12	+14	1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	2959	2673	591	104	12	94	233	833	26	56	18	221	290	374	664	153	282	28	8	294	85	-53	+3	-6	+51	+62	5.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	131	23	3	21	51	183	6	12	4	223	292	380	672	157	284	28	8	294	85	-12	+1	-1	+12	+14	1.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AFresno Grizzlies · 98 PAwOBA .427 → .342 (−85)K% 22.4% → 30.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.45%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	30.53%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.29%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	—	9.86%
HBP% /PA	1.02%	—	×0.780	—	—	0.80%
Singles /BIP	23.73%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.005	—	21.93%
Doubles /BIP	8.47%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.005	—	7.07%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.910	×1.005	—	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	10.17%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	—	8.14%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.

Result: wOBA .427 → .342; ISO .284 → .224; BABIP .345 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brian Schneider'00-'12 * career totals — 12 seasons, 3,570 PA	5.4	3,570	67	4	238*	309*	359*	+63	-0	9.0	8.8
/162	664	12	1	+11.7	-0.1	1.7	pk7: 9
#2Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#3Devin Mesoracolast yr '18 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,574 PA	2.4	1,574	58	4	232	309	406	+28	-13	6.0	6.2
/162	664	24	2	+11.9	-5.3	2.5	pk7: 6
#4Barry Foote'73-'82 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,300 PA	3.5	2,300	57	10	225*	274*	401*	+40	-0	4.0	4.9
/162	664	16	3	+11.6	-0.1	1.2	pk7: 6
#5Chris Widger'95-'06 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,998 PA	3.0	1,998	55	10	227*	283*	381*	+33	-0	3.6	4.1
/162	664	18	3	+11.1	-0.2	1.2	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	2.4	1,575	48	29	220	285	370	+28	+5	4.3	4.0
/162	664	20	12	+11.9	+2.0	1.8	pk7: 4
#6Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	38	9	228*	295*	352*	+30	-0	3.6	3.6
/162	664	15	4	+11.5	-0.0	1.4	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Daniel Jackson (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	215/281/364	149	279	2	1	29%	8%	83	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tucker Mitchell 2024 · A	23	43	47→50	50→45	40	210/286/337	127	310	15	9	35%	7%	78	-0.3	198/250/292	94	278	10	7	31%	5%	53	-2.1	162/205/229	67	228	8	5	32%	4%	18	-1.7
✕Yu Chang 2018 · AA	22	38→47	50	49→45	40	199/259/356	156	271	17	9	33%	6%	72	-0.7	217/277/354	137	301	14	7	31%	7%	78	-0.3	217/278/367	150	284	17	4	29%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Agustín Ramírez 2024 · AA	22	44→48	48→55	48→55	47	226/286/366	140	275	16	10	24%	8%	84	+0.1	237/299/402	165	282	19	17	22%	7%	97	+1.1	236/301/405	169	279	19	20	22%	7%	97	+1.1
✕Eddys Leonard 2023 · A	22	45→47	48→50	45→50	42	226/295/372	146	296	15	5	28%	6%	89	+0.5	222/280/363	141	284	16	8	27%	6%	81	-0.1	215/271/359	144	269	17	9	26%	5%	74	-0.4
✕Sicnarf Loopstok 2016 · A	23	41→36	49→50	53→50	39	208/269/355	147	289	16	9	33%	6%	75	-0.5	208/272/340	132	295	14	10	33%	6%	73	-0.6	202/272/344	143	283	16	9	33%	6%	74	-0.3
✕Freuddy Batista 2022 · A	22	38	50	46→40	41	202/264/358	156	275	19	7	33%	7%	74	-0.5	203/263/329	126	302	12	6	35%	6%	67	-1.1	206/259/338	132	266	17	4	29%	4%	64	-0.6
✕Miguel Amaya 2021 · A	22	43	46→50	48→40	47	217/290/349	133	270	14	4	25%	8%	82	-0.0	222/315/352	130	303	13	6	29%	9%	92	+0.7	216/325/362	146	296	16	3	30%	10%	98	+0.3
✕Kendall Simmons 2022 · A	22	41	48→50	49→50	39	208/274/357	149	292	15	9	33%	6%	78	-0.3	200/263/343	143	284	16	9	34%	6%	70	-0.8	201/265/348	147	289	17	7	35%	6%	70	-0.3
✕Rylan Bannon 2018 · A	22	45→47	50	51→50	44	233/296/384	151	285	19	8	25%	7%	92	+0.7	222/293/367	145	291	16	5	28%	8%	86	+0.3	194/292/330	136	256	16	12	29%	11%	76	-0.3
✕Ezequiel Duran 2022 · A	23	41→51	51→55	50	37	208/267/368	160	305	19	14	37%	6%	78	-0.3	244/288/399	155	319	17	13	28%	5%	92	+0.7	254/295/406	151	322	16	12	25%	5%	95	+0.7
✕Trey Sweeney 2022 · A	22	44→45	50	53→55	46	221/292/385	164	297	17	9	31%	9%	90	+0.6	211/284/353	142	277	15	19	28%	8%	80	-0.1	219/291/353	133	286	15	17	27%	8%	81	-0.1
✕Michael Chavis 2018 · AA	22	41→46	53→60	47→45	36	216/264/387	171	283	21	4	32%	5%	81	-0.1	237/292/419	182	316	24	6	32%	6%	99	+1.2	237/296/422	185	318	26	5	33%	7%	100	+0.6
✕Tim Tawa 2022 · A	23	45	47→55	58→50	45	221/289/359	138	303	14	18	30%	8%	83	+0.1	213/278/339	126	273	14	11	26%	8%	74	-0.5	223/286/391	168	267	21	13	25%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Jake Rogers 2018 · A	23	41→40	44→60	47→45	42	205/269/329	123	282	11	10	30%	7%	69	-0.9	200/273/347	147	275	17	7	32%	8%	75	-0.5	210/288/419	208	272	29	1	33%	8%	97	+0.6
✕Henry Davis 2023 · AA	23	46→47	49→50	52→50	42	230/312/381	150	296	16	13	27%	6%	98	+1.2	223/306/371	148	287	17	12	27%	8%	93	+0.8	210/295/352	142	268	18	11	27%	8%	83	+0.1
✕Tyler Ogle 2013 · A	22	46→43	49→50	45→30	44	233/294/379	146	292	17	5	26%	7%	90	+0.6	219/305/352	133	265	15	3	22%	10%	88	+0.4	209/298/348	138	250	17	2	23%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Kevin Smith 2019 · A	23	43→45	48→55	53→50	36	219/261/365	146	296	16	15	31%	4%	74	-0.5	205/255/362	157	286	18	14	34%	6%	72	-0.7	209/261/367	157	281	19	15	32%	6%	73	-0.5
✕Ryan Casteel 2014 · A	23	43→49	53→55	48→40	41	225/278/401	176	294	21	4	31%	6%	88	+0.5	232/275/368	136	310	15	5	29%	5%	80	-0.2	230/268/344	114	311	12	4	29%	5%	69	-0.5
✕Andy Burns 2013 · A	22	43→53	47→50	54→55	42	211/280/356	145	295	13	13	32%	7%	80	-0.2	239/287/369	130	297	11	16	22%	6%	84	+0.1	250/295/369	119	301	10	15	20%	5%	85	+0.2
✕Eric Campbell 2008 · A	22	42→48	53→55	48→50	43	223/270/391	167	249	22	10	21%	5%	84	+0.1	219/276/354	135	249	16	5	19%	7%	77	-0.3	226/287/373	148	253	18	3	18%	7%	84	+0.1

Daniel Jackson

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps