Jose Lopez
P
FCL Mets
Age 22
RHP
6'1" / 180 lbs
ROK
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION36 act + 11 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120110vR 101
ERA4.43
FIP4.43
K%22.6%
BB%9.9%
K-BB%12.7%
ROS IP11
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 48 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | DSL Mets Orange | 9 | 1 | 17 | 68 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 11% | 1.9 | 16.0% | 12.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.65 | 4.52 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | DSL Mets Orange | 9 | 1 | 17 | 68 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 11% | 1.9 | 23.5% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 1.5% | 2.65 | 3.22 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK | DSL Mets Orange | 10 | 8 | 20 | 95 | 17 | 15 | 0 | 80% | 2.0 | 12.2% | 19.7% | -7.6% | 0.0% | 5.75 | 4.57 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK | DSL Mets Orange | 10 | 8 | 20 | 95 | 17 | 15 | 0 | 80% | 2.0 | 17.9% | 15.8% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 5.75 | 3.64 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A | St. Lucie Mets | 11 | 4 | 36 | 159 | 29 | 24 | 6 | 36% | 3.3 | 12.6% | 18.1% | -5.5% | 5.6% | 4.71 | 7.43 | -1.2 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | NYM | 11 | 0 | 11 | 48 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 2.9% | 4.43 | 4.43 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.6% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 2.9% | 4.43 | 4.43 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 48 | 207 | 40 | 29 | 7 | — | — | 19.3% | 13.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.64 | 6.71 | -1.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | NYM | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 2.9% | 4.33 | 4.26 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | NYM | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.4% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 2.9% | 4.33 | 4.26 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 2.9% | 4.33 | 3.88 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 2.9% | 4.33 | 3.88 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 30 | 13 | 74 | 322 | 42 | 56 | 10 | 43% | 2.5 | 13.2% | 17.5% | -4.3% | 3.2% | 4.52 | 5.97 | -1.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 81 | 35 | 200 | 874 | 115 | 153 | 28 | 43% | 2.5 | 13.2% | 17.5% | -4.3% | 3.2% | 4.52 | 5.97 | -1.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jose Lopez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.43 | 22.6% | 9.9% | 2.9% | — | 4.26 | 23.4% | 14.1% | 20 | -0.17 | — | — | — |
| Carson Rudd R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.43 | 25.4% | 10.6% | 2.1% | .351 | 5.24 | 21.6% | 5.6% | 193 | +1.81 | 3.43 | 242 | 87 |
| Casey Legumina R 2028 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 81 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2027 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .374 | 4.64 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 188 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 234 | 81 |
| Connor Cooke R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.7% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .350 | 4.29 | 24.6% | 10.4% | 56 | +0.82 | 2.92 | 103 | 80 |
| Cole Stapler R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.83 | 19.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% | .266 | 3.29 | 18.1% | 13.2% | 220 | -0.54 | 3.28 | 255 | 80 |
| Juan Mendez R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.47 | 20.5% | 14.2% | 2.4% | .271 | 5.06 | 21.9% | 6.1% | 128 | +0.59 | 3.55 | 156 | 79 |
| Colin Fields R 2027 · 3.48 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.48 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 1.5% | .246 | 4.20 | 21.6% | 12.8% | 184 | +0.72 | 3.07 | 229 | 79 |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 78 |
| Franco Aleman R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.93 | 21.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .391 | 3.00 | 29.2% | 18.4% | 114 | -0.93 | 0.86 | 198 | 77 |
| Ray Gaither R 2028 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.91 | 21.9% | 13.2% | 3.6% | .314 | 4.49 | 18.6% | 4.7% | 123 | -0.42 | 4.16 | 164 | 77 |
| Nick Gallagher R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.14 | 17.2% | 7.1% | 2.9% | .310 | 4.49 | 22.4% | 7.1% | 90 | +0.35 | 4.09 | 196 | 76 |
| Daniel Bies R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.96 | 24.5% | 6.8% | 3.8% | .339 | 3.22 | 20.3% | 11.0% | 89 | -0.74 | 3.22 | 115 | 76 |
| Nathanael Santiago R 2029 · 3.47 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.47 | 20.3% | 11.4% | 1.2% | .286 | 3.51 | 23.2% | 10.9% | 71 | +0.04 | 2.45 | 138 | 76 |
| Joe Cavallaro R 2026 · 3.35 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.35 | 17.2% | 9.1% | 1.0% | .239 | 3.83 | 17.6% | 7.1% | 203 | +0.48 | 3.35 | 238 | 76 |
| Brendan Collins R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.60 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 1.9% | .294 | 3.85 | 20.2% | 5.1% | 54 | +0.25 | 3.60 | 122 | 75 |
| Daniel Gonzalez R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.49 | 21.3% | 12.0% | 1.2% | .239 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 163 | 75 |
| Clark Beeker R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.04 | 20.0% | 7.1% | 3.2% | .270 | 4.35 | 11.6% | 6.4% | 244 | +0.31 | 4.04 | 287 | 75 |
| John Matthews R 2027 · 4.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.88 | 18.6% | 10.4% | 3.7% | .351 | 4.67 | 15.5% | 1.6% | 145 | -0.21 | 4.40 | 213 | 75 |
| Mason McGwire R 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.50 | 23.5% | 10.9% | 1.8% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 128 | 75 |
| Noah Skirrow R 2027 · 4.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.34 | 18.4% | 11.5% | 2.4% | .306 | 4.68 | 16.2% | 5.7% | 316 | +0.34 | 3.90 | 371 | 75 |