Daniel Pierce — OGILVIE

Daniel PierceSS Charleston RiverDogs

Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 185 lbs A HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION140 act + 180 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .270 / .323

PA180

HR4

SB5

K%32

BB%6

BABIP291

ISO116

MLB%4%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE46

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

DEFENSE58

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.6	$9M	+$9M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.8	$10M	+$9M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.9	$10M	+$9M
2033	Arb-1	$4M	+2.0	$9M	+$7M
2034	Arb-2	$7M	+1.9	$8M	+$5M
2035	Arb-3	$9M	+1.8	$7M	+$4M
Totals		$23M		$54M	+$44M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	A	TB	—	140	127	23	3	0	3	7	57	5	6	4	181	252	276	527	94	294	41	5	241	43	-9	-0	+0	+2	+4	-0.4
YTD	19	A	TB	—	140	123	31	5	0	4	11	40	5	6	4	252	338	390	728	138	338	29	8	329	110	+2	-0	+0	+2	+4	0.7
ROS	19	A	TB	4%	180	164	34	5	1	4	10	58	4	5	2	207	270	323	593	116	292	32	6	269	64	-7	+0	+1	+2	+5	0.1
ROS	19	MLB	TB	4%	7	7	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	143	143	143	286		295	29	0	254	53	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	19	A	TB	—	147	134	24	3	0	3	7	59	5	6	4	179	247	269	515	90	288	40	5	242	43	-9	-0	+0	+2	+4	-0.4
TOT	19	A	TB	—	320	291	57	8	1	7	17	115	9	11	6	196	262	302	564	107	292	36	5	257	55	-16	-0	+1	+3	+9	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	TB	45%	414	378	81	13	2	10	25	129	8	10	3	214	277	339	616	124	295	31	6	280	72	-13	+1	+3	+4	+12	0.7
2028	21	MLB	TB	62%	496	452	99	16	2	13	31	150	10	12	4	219	284	350	634	131	296	30	6	287	78	-13	+1	+3	+5	+14	1.1
2029	22	MLB	TB	68%	549	498	111	19	2	15	35	163	11	13	5	223	289	359	648	137	297	30	6	291	81	-12	+1	+3	+6	+16	1.4
2030	23	MLB	TB	71%	584	530	120	20	3	16	38	172	11	14	5	226	292	366	658	140	297	29	7	294	83	-11	+1	+4	+6	+17	1.6
2031	24	MLB	TB	71%	606	549	125	21	3	17	40	178	12	15	5	228	295	370	664	142	298	29	7	296	84	-11	+1	+4	+6	+17	1.8
2032	25	MLB	TB	71%	621	563	128	21	3	18	41	182	12	15	5	227	294	371	665	144	298	29	7	297	85	-10	+1	+4	+7	+18	1.9
2033	26	MLB	TB	71%	630	571	129	21	3	18	42	184	12	16	5	226	293	368	661	142	298	29	7	297	85	-10	+1	+4	+7	+18	2.0
2034	27	MLB	TB	69%	632	572	129	21	3	18	43	185	12	16	6	226	293	367	661	142	298	29	7	297	85	-10	+1	+4	+7	+18	1.9
2035	28	MLB	TB	69%	628	568	128	21	3	18	43	185	12	15	5	225	294	368	662	143	298	29	7	296	85	-11	+1	+3	+7	+18	1.8
2036	29	MLB	TB	67%	618	559	126	21	3	17	42	183	12	15	5	225	294	365	659	140	297	30	7	294	83	-12	+1	+2	+7	+18	1.6
2037	30	MLB	TB	72%	608	549	122	20	2	17	42	182	12	14	5	222	292	359	651	137	296	30	7	292	81	-13	+1	+2	+7	+17	1.4
2038	31	MLB	TB	75%	594	537	117	19	2	16	41	179	11	13	5	218	287	350	637	132	294	30	7	288	79	-14	+1	+1	+6	+17	1.0
2027	20	MLB	TB	45%	185	168	37	6	1	4	11	58	4	4	2	220	284	339	623	119	299	31	6	266	62	-8	+0	+1	+2	+5	0.0
2028	21	MLB	TB	62%	305	277	62	10	1	8	19	92	6	7	3	224	288	354	642	130	300	30	6	273	67	-11	+0	+2	+3	+9	0.3
2029	22	MLB	TB	68%	375	341	77	12	2	10	24	111	7	9	3	226	290	361	651	135	300	30	6	277	70	-13	+1	+2	+4	+11	0.5
2030	23	MLB	TB	71%	416	378	86	14	2	11	27	122	8	10	4	228	293	362	655	135	301	29	6	280	73	-13	+0	+3	+4	+12	0.7
2031	24	MLB	TB	71%	430	391	89	14	2	12	28	126	8	11	4	228	293	366	658	138	302	29	7	282	74	-13	+1	+3	+5	+12	0.8
2032	25	MLB	TB	71%	440	399	91	15	2	12	29	129	9	11	4	228	295	366	661	138	302	29	7	283	75	-13	+1	+3	+5	+12	0.8
2033	26	MLB	TB	71%	447	405	93	15	2	13	30	131	9	11	4	230	297	373	670	143	302	29	7	283	75	-13	+1	+3	+5	+13	0.8
2034	27	MLB	TB	69%	439	397	91	15	2	12	30	129	9	11	4	229	298	368	666	139	302	29	7	283	75	-12	+1	+3	+5	+12	0.8
2035	28	MLB	TB	69%	432	392	89	14	2	12	29	127	8	10	4	227	294	365	659	138	301	29	7	282	74	-13	+0	+2	+5	+12	0.7
2036	29	MLB	TB	67%	413	374	85	14	2	11	28	122	8	10	3	227	295	364	659	136	301	30	7	281	73	-13	+1	+2	+4	+12	0.6
2037	30	MLB	TB	72%	436	395	89	14	2	12	30	130	8	10	4	225	293	362	655	137	300	30	7	278	71	-14	+0	+1	+5	+12	0.4
2038	31	MLB	TB	75%	445	403	89	14	2	12	31	134	8	10	3	221	290	355	644	134	298	30	7	274	68	-16	+1	+1	+5	+13	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4770	4327	979	157	22	129	316	1413	92	114	42	226	293	362	655	136	303	30	7	279	72	-151	+6	+25	+51	+135	6.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	133	21	3	18	43	193	13	16	6	225	293	363	656	137	301	30	7	279	72	-21	+1	+3	+7	+18	0.9
Career	—			—	7160	6490	1449	238	32	197	473	2130	139	173	60	223	290	361	651	138	298	30	7	292	82	-147	+11	+37	+77	+203	18.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	132	22	3	18	43	193	13	16	5	224	291	363	655	139	299	30	7	292	82	-13	+1	+3	+7	+18	1.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	11	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
	/162	664	24	9	241	275	417	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
	/162	664	17	9	246	292	387	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	10	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
	/162	664	27	11	230	288	422	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	4,777	134	115	225	289	365	+51	+26	9.6	8.3
	/162	664	19	16	225	289	365	+7.1	+3.6	1.3	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Daniel Pierce (OGILVIE)	19	50	47→50	60	46	196/262/302	107	292	7	11	36%	5%	55	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ezequiel Duran 2018 · A	19	48→55	46→55	54→50	37	233/275/371	139	333	12	10	33%	5%	77	+0.1	187/231/278	91	295	8	8	37%	4%	34	-2.8	251/292/407	156	316	18	12	26%	5%	92	+0.9
✕Harry Ford 2022 · A	19	45→47	47→45	52→55	43	223/287/366	143	309	14	9	32%	8%	82	+0.5	211/317/346	135	289	14	16	29%	11%	91	+1.1	204/318/335	131	272	14	21	28%	12%	85	+0.6
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	56→55	43	214/285/313	99	288	7	14	27%	7%	68	-0.5	203/314/320	117	299	9	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	201/310/335	134	289	10	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
✕Yu Chang 2015 · A	19	48→46	45→50	53→45	44	237/291/367	130	295	12	8	24%	6%	83	+0.6	199/251/326	127	280	13	7	32%	5%	56	-1.3	215/275/364	149	282	17	4	29%	7%	75	-0.0
✕James Triantos 2023 · A	20	49→56	43→45	52→60	41	238/280/347	109	301	10	12	24%	5%	72	-0.2	245/290/342	97	292	8	24	18%	5%	76	+0.0	263/301/369	107	303	9	35	16%	4%	85	+0.5
✕Jose Escobar 2023 · A	18	45→47	44→45	58→45	40	222/270/345	124	286	10	15	26%	5%	69	-0.4	223/290/328	105	294	9	12	26%	6%	73	-0.1	233/300/341	108	308	10	8	26%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2022 · A	21	42→48	47→55	59→55	38	216/258/360	144	272	14	15	26%	4%	68	-0.5	239/275/399	160	304	18	22	27%	4%	85	+0.7	247/287/396	150	298	15	20	22%	4%	88	+0.7
✕Edwin Arroyo 2023 · A	19	46→56	49→45	54→50	40	226/290/376	150	320	16	14	33%	7%	86	+0.8	226/278/351	125	308	11	16	29%	6%	74	-0.1	241/289/358	117	311	10	15	25%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Noelvi Marte 2021 · A	19	44→53	44→50	50→55	42	218/268/339	121	285	11	12	27%	6%	66	-0.6	230/295/375	145	298	17	16	27%	8%	88	+0.9	233/300/377	144	296	17	19	26%	8%	87	+0.7
✕Leo Balcazar 2023 · A	19	44→49	44→40	55→45	39	211/276/328	117	312	11	15	34%	7%	67	-0.5	218/270/304	86	313	7	10	31%	6%	58	-1.2	218/268/302	84	281	9	6	25%	5%	53	-1.1
✕Addison Russell 2014 · A	20	47→52	48→55	58→50	45	232/302/389	157	310	14	16	28%	8%	94	+1.3	239/303/395	156	305	17	9	26%	7%	96	+1.5	237/308/399	162	294	18	5	25%	8%	94	+1.1
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A	19	43	46→50	51→55	47	216/296/344	128	273	15	16	26%	8%	81	+0.4	220/281/361	141	294	15	13	29%	7%	78	+0.2	205/253/387	182	264	22	15	31%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Jorge Bishop 2010 · A	19	47	44→45	53→55	44	235/276/350	115	275	13	17	20%	5%	72	-0.2	201/245/299	98	246	9	14	22%	5%	46	-2.0	187/221/300	113	230	9	16	23%	3%	32	-1.0
●Alonzo Harris 2009 · A	20	44→52	45→55	49→60	40	221/275/344	123	294	13	11	29%	6%	71	-0.3	209/247/311	102	282	10	12	29%	4%	50	-1.8	235/290/392	157	281	18	35	23%	7%	87	+0.7
●Dilson Herrera 2013 · A	19	44→54	43→50	51→50	43	214/269/331	117	274	9	13	25%	6%	65	-0.7	241/291/379	138	314	14	12	26%	6%	86	+0.8	258/308/400	143	315	15	13	23%	6%	96	+1.3
✕Adan Velazquez 2010 · A	20	44→52	43→45	54→50	43	215/277/331	116	278	9	11	25%	6%	69	-0.4	210/261/303	93	295	7	10	30%	5%	54	-1.4	248/287/342	94	301	8	6	20%	4%	71	-0.2
●Trevor Story 2012 · A	19	42→49	43→60	54→55	44	208/271/317	109	280	11	13	29%	7%	63	-0.9	191/252/319	128	296	13	13	38%	7%	56	-1.3	247/315/451	204	301	24	25	26%	8%	113	+2.3
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2011 · A	18	44	44→45	53→50	41	217/277/335	118	288	11	9	28%	6%	69	-0.4	219/286/320	101	286	6	11	24%	6%	69	-0.4	226/280/337	111	291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
✕Brady House 2022 · A	19	45→51	47→50	49→45	42	226/280/358	132	303	15	6	30%	7%	76	+0.1	227/277/345	118	349	13	6	37%	5%	72	-0.2	233/269/372	139	319	17	6	32%	4%	72	-0.1
✕Thomas Saggese 2022 · A	20	42→52	47→50	51→50	42	205/278/344	139	318	15	12	38%	9%	72	-0.2	231/281/378	147	317	16	10	31%	5%	82	+0.5	235/288/373	137	319	15	8	30%	5%	82	+0.4