Daniel Pierce — OGILVIE

Daniel PierceSS Charleston RiverDogs

Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 185 lbs A HR +6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION140 act + 20 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%30

BB%5

BABIP299

ISO53

MLB%4%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$38M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 49 / POW 52

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT49

scouting grade only

POWER52

scouting grade only

EYE48

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

DEFENSE58

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$3M	+$2M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2033	Arb-1	$4M	+1.1	$5M	+$3M
2034	Arb-2	$7M	+1.1	$5M	+$2M
2035	Arb-3	$10M	+1.0	$4M	+$0.2M
Totals		$24M		$28M	+$17M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD	19	A MLE	TB	—	140	127	23	3	0	3	7	57	5	6	4	181	252	276	527	94	294	41	5	241	49	-8	-0	+0	+2	+3	-0.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	A RAW	TB	—	140	123	31	5	0	4	11	40	5	6	4	252	338	390	728	138	338	29	8	329	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	A MLE	TB	4%	20	19	4	1	0	0	1	6	0	1	0	211	250	263	513	53	291	30	5	269	68	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	19	MLB CTX	TB	4%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						299	0	0	260	68	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	19	MLB A+C	TB	—	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	260	52	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	19	A MLE	TB	—	160	146	27	4	0	3	8	63	5	7	4	185	252	274	526	89	296	39	5	244	52	-9	-0	+0	+2	+3	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	TB	45%	356	325	70	11	2	9	21	110	7	8	3	215	278	345	622	129	295	31	6	280	76	-10	+0	+2	+4	+8	0.4
2028	21	MLB MLE	TB	62%	458	417	91	15	2	12	29	138	9	11	4	218	284	350	634	132	295	30	6	287	80	-11	+1	+3	+5	+10	0.8
2029	22	MLB MLE	TB	68%	525	476	107	18	2	15	34	155	10	13	5	225	290	366	656	141	296	30	6	292	83	-10	+1	+3	+6	+11	1.1
2030	23	MLB MLE	TB	71%	568	515	116	19	3	16	37	166	11	14	5	225	291	367	658	142	297	29	7	295	85	-10	+1	+4	+6	+12	1.3
2031	24	MLB MLE	TB	71%	596	540	122	20	3	17	39	174	12	15	5	226	293	369	661	143	298	29	7	296	87	-9	+1	+4	+6	+13	1.5
2032	25	MLB MLE	TB	71%	614	556	127	21	3	18	41	179	12	15	5	228	296	374	670	146	298	29	7	297	87	-9	+1	+4	+7	+13	1.6
2033	26	MLB MLE	TB	71%	626	568	128	21	3	18	41	183	12	16	5	225	291	368	659	143	297	29	7	298	88	-9	+1	+4	+7	+14	1.6
2034	27	MLB MLE	TB	69%	629	570	129	21	3	19	42	184	12	16	6	226	293	374	667	147	297	29	7	298	88	-9	+1	+4	+7	+14	1.6
2035	28	MLB MLE	TB	69%	626	566	128	21	3	18	43	184	12	15	5	226	295	369	664	143	297	29	7	297	87	-10	+1	+3	+7	+14	1.5
2036	29	MLB MLE	TB	67%	617	558	126	21	3	18	42	182	12	15	5	226	294	371	665	145	296	29	7	295	86	-10	+1	+2	+7	+13	1.3
2037	30	MLB MLE	TB	72%	607	548	122	20	2	17	42	181	12	14	5	223	292	359	652	137	295	30	7	293	84	-11	+1	+2	+7	+13	1.1
2038	31	MLB MLE	TB	75%	594	537	117	19	2	16	41	179	11	13	5	218	287	350	637	132	293	30	7	289	82	-13	+1	+1	+6	+13	0.8
2039	32	MLB MLE	TB	77%	576	521	112	18	2	15	39	176	11	12	4	215	284	344	627	129	290	31	7	284	78	-15	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.5
2040	33	MLB MLE	TB	79%	546	494	104	16	2	14	37	169	10	11	4	211	279	336	615	126	287	31	7	277	74	-17	+1	-1	+6	+12	0.0
2027	20	MLB CTX	TB	45%	159	145	32	5	1	4	10	49	3	4	1	221	285	352	637	131	303	31	6	272	76	-5	+0	+1	+2	+3	0.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	TB	62%	282	256	58	10	1	8	18	85	6	7	2	227	293	367	660	141	304	30	6	279	80	-7	+1	+2	+3	+6	0.5
2029	22	MLB CTX	TB	68%	359	326	75	13	2	10	23	106	7	9	3	230	295	374	669	144	305	30	6	284	83	-7	+1	+2	+4	+8	0.8
2030	23	MLB CTX	TB	71%	404	367	86	15	2	12	26	118	8	10	4	234	299	384	683	150	306	29	6	288	85	-7	+0	+3	+4	+9	0.9
2031	24	MLB CTX	TB	71%	423	384	90	15	2	13	28	124	8	11	4	234	300	385	685	151	306	29	7	289	87	-7	+1	+3	+5	+9	1.0
2032	25	MLB CTX	TB	71%	435	395	92	16	2	13	29	127	8	11	4	233	299	382	681	149	306	29	7	290	87	-7	+1	+3	+5	+9	1.1
2033	26	MLB CTX	TB	71%	444	403	93	16	2	13	29	129	9	11	4	231	297	377	674	146	306	29	7	291	88	-7	+1	+3	+5	+10	1.1
2034	27	MLB CTX	TB	69%	437	396	92	16	2	13	29	128	9	11	4	232	300	381	681	149	306	29	7	291	88	-6	+1	+3	+5	+9	1.1
2035	28	MLB CTX	TB	69%	430	390	90	15	2	13	29	126	8	11	4	231	297	379	677	149	306	29	7	290	87	-7	+1	+2	+5	+9	1.0
2036	29	MLB CTX	TB	67%	413	374	87	15	2	12	28	122	8	10	3	233	300	380	680	147	305	30	7	288	86	-7	+1	+2	+4	+9	0.9
2037	30	MLB CTX	TB	72%	435	394	90	15	2	13	30	130	8	10	4	228	296	376	672	147	304	30	7	285	84	-8	+0	+1	+5	+9	0.8
2038	31	MLB CTX	TB	75%	445	402	91	15	2	13	31	134	9	10	3	226	296	371	667	144	302	30	7	282	82	-10	+1	+1	+5	+10	0.6
2039	32	MLB CTX	TB	77%	444	403	90	15	2	12	30	136	8	10	3	223	290	360	650	136	299	31	7	276	78	-12	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.4
2040	33	MLB CTX	TB	79%	430	390	84	13	2	11	29	133	8	9	3	215	283	344	627	128	295	31	7	270	74	-13	+1	-1	+5	+9	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5541	5026	1150	194	26	160	369	1647	107	134	46	229	296	373	669	144	305	30	7	285	84	-108	+8	+23	+59	+120	10.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	135	23	3	19	43	193	13	16	5	229	296	375	671	146	304	30	7	285	84	-13	+1	+3	+7	+14	1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	7958	7210	1603	262	35	222	529	2366	153	189	66	222	290	361	650	138	296	30	7	292	84	-156	+11	+35	+85	+172	15.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	131	21	3	18	43	193	12	15	5	222	288	360	648	138	297	30	7	292	84	-13	+1	+3	+7	+14	1.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brandon Ingelast yr '13 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,617 PA	8.5	5,617	152	45	233	301	384	+26	+73	19.8	20.5
/162	664	18	5	+3.1	+8.6	2.3	pk7: 21
#2Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
/162	664	17	9	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	6.7	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
/162	664	27	11	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	8.4	5,554	155	133	224	288	363	+60	+35	10.9	9.2
/162	664	19	16	+7.1	+4.2	1.3	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Daniel Pierce (OGILVIE)	19	47→49	44→52	61→60	48	207/268/323	116	291	7	9	32%	6%	68	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Harry Ford 2022 · A	19	45→48	46→45	52→55	43	221/287/358	137	309	13	9	31%	8%	82	+0.0	212/317/339	127	293	12	16	29%	11%	90	+0.6	205/315/325	120	278	12	21	28%	12%	83	+0.1
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→44	41→45	56→55	44	216/286/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	206/315/327	121	297	9	23	30%	12%	86	+0.3	203/309/335	132	285	10	26	29%	12%	83	+0.1
✕Ezequiel Duran 2018 · A	19	48→56	46→55	54→50	37	233/275/371	139	333	12	10	33%	5%	80	-0.2	187/231/278	91	295	8	8	37%	4%	42	-2.9	249/290/398	149	316	16	12	26%	5%	89	+0.4
✕Yu Chang 2015 · A	19	48→44	45→50	53→45	44	237/291/367	130	295	12	8	24%	6%	85	+0.2	198/251/325	127	276	12	7	32%	6%	61	-1.5	212/267/370	158	271	20	6	29%	6%	76	-0.2
✕Noelvi Marte 2021 · A	19	44→53	44→50	50→55	42	218/268/339	121	285	11	12	27%	6%	70	-0.8	228/293/365	137	300	15	16	28%	8%	86	+0.3	232/299/370	138	298	16	19	26%	8%	87	+0.3
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A	19	43	46→50	51→55	47	216/296/344	128	273	15	16	26%	8%	83	+0.1	220/281/361	141	294	15	13	29%	7%	80	-0.1	205/253/387	182	264	22	15	31%	6%	75	-0.2
✕Bryan Rincon 2023 · A	19	42→44	45	53→55	45	210/278/331	121	275	12	11	28%	8%	73	-0.6	192/286/292	100	274	9	22	30%	11%	68	-1.0	183/281/318	135	255	15	31	32%	11%	70	-0.5
✕Edwin Arroyo 2023 · A	19	46→56	47→45	54→50	40	224/287/363	139	322	14	14	33%	6%	83	+0.1	224/277/346	122	304	10	16	28%	6%	75	-0.5	235/285/347	112	302	9	15	24%	5%	76	-0.4
✕James Triantos 2023 · A	20	48→56	42→45	53→60	41	234/277/341	106	294	10	12	24%	5%	74	-0.6	244/290/338	94	290	7	24	18%	5%	78	-0.3	258/299/357	99	298	7	36	16%	4%	83	+0.1
✕Dilson Herrera 2013 · A	19	44→54	43→50	51→50	43	214/269/331	117	274	9	13	25%	6%	69	-0.9	238/288/366	128	310	12	12	26%	6%	84	+0.1	254/305/388	134	310	14	13	22%	6%	92	+0.7
✕Leo Balcazar 2023 · A	19	44→48	44→40	55→45	39	213/277/331	118	315	11	15	34%	7%	72	-0.7	219/271/308	89	314	8	10	31%	6%	64	-1.3	215/267/300	85	273	8	5	24%	6%	58	-1.5
●Alonzo Harris 2009 · A	20	44→52	45→50	49→60	40	221/275/344	123	294	13	11	29%	6%	74	-0.5	208/247/309	101	281	10	12	29%	4%	55	-2.0	235/291/381	146	283	16	35	22%	7%	87	+0.3
✕Jorge Bishop 2010 · A	19	47	44→45	53→55	44	235/276/350	115	275	13	17	20%	5%	76	-0.4	201/245/299	98	246	9	14	22%	5%	52	-2.2	187/221/300	113	230	9	16	23%	3%	40	-1.0
✕Addison Russell 2014 · A	20	47→53	49→55	58→50	45	233/304/395	162	313	15	16	29%	8%	97	+1.1	240/303/397	157	305	17	9	26%	7%	97	+1.1	239/310/406	168	295	19	5	25%	8%	97	+0.9
✕Jose Escobar 2023 · A	18	45→55	43→45	57→45	40	220/270/339	119	285	9	15	26%	5%	71	-0.8	223/290/326	103	293	9	12	26%	7%	76	-0.4	233/299/331	99	302	8	8	24%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	76	-0.4	235/301/339	104	297	6	12	21%	8%	82	+0.0	256/318/360	105	310	9	16	19%	7%	92	+0.5
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2011 · A	18	44	44→45	53→50	41	217/277/335	118	288	11	9	28%	6%	73	-0.6	219/286/320	101	286	6	11	24%	6%	73	-0.6	226/280/337	111	291	6	11	23%	4%	73	-0.3
✕Blaze Alexander 2019 · A	20	48	42→45	52→50	43	226/288/345	119	321	8	10	30%	7%	79	-0.2	202/270/304	102	302	9	11	34%	7%	63	-1.3	239/319/362	123	339	12	15	30%	8%	93	+0.6
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2022 · A	21	42→52	46→55	59→55	39	213/256/347	134	267	12	15	26%	4%	68	-1.0	239/275/393	154	305	16	22	27%	4%	85	+0.2	253/291/409	156	303	17	19	22%	4%	93	+0.8
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	47→48	41→50	53→45	48	227/287/331	103	273	8	13	20%	7%	76	-0.4	228/306/352	124	285	12	10	23%	9%	88	+0.4	229/316/366	137	276	13	9	21%	10%	94	+0.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps