Daniel Pierce

SS Charleston RiverDogs

Age 20 R/R 6'0" / 185 lbs A HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

OGV OFP35OGV rank#587ETA2029MLB%4%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	19	ATB	140	.252/.338/.390	4	6	53	—	.198/.273/.302
2027PROJMLE	20	MLBTB	3	.215/.277/.332	0	0	71	0.0
2028PROJ36% MLB	21	MLBTB	51	.218/.282/.341	1	1	75	0.1
2029PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBTB	116	.221/.286/.349	3	3	79	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

ISO53

wRC+52

wOBA45

Speed31

Whiff%29

Z-Con%28

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.3 / P90 11, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 78%

CompsJett Williams (age 19) · Cayden Wallace (age 21) · Alonzo Harris (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .277 / .332

PA3

HR0

K%33

BB%6

BABIP291

ISO117

MLB%4%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$16M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.9M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-2	$4M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$5M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$8M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	19	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	140	123	31	5	0	4	11	40	5	6	4	252	338	390	728	138	338	29	8	329	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	19	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	140	126	25	4	0	3	8	54	5	6	4	198	273	302	575	103	297	39	6	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	140	126	25	4	0	3	8	54	5	6	4	198	273	302	575	103	314	39	6	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	—	140	123	31	5	0	4	11	40	5	6	4	252	338	390	728	138	338	29	8	329	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	140	126	25	4	0	3	8	54	5	6	4	198	273	302	575	103	297	39	6	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	19	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	140	126	25	4	0	3	8	54	5	6	4	198	273	302	575	103	297	39	6	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	TB	4%	250	228	49	8	1	6	16	75	4	5	1	213	275	332	607	119	287	30	6	273	71	-9	+1	+1	+3	+5	0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	20	MLB CTX	TB	4%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	215	277	332	609	117	291	33	0	274	71	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	TB	36%	143	131	28	5	1	3	9	42	2	3	1	216	280	342	622	125	289	29	6	279	75	-4	+0	+1	+2	+3	0.1
2029	22	MLB MLE	TB	49%	237	215	47	8	1	6	16	69	4	6	2	220	284	350	634	130	290	29	7	284	79	-6	+0	+1	+3	+5	0.3
2030	23	MLB MLE	TB	55%	332	301	68	11	2	9	23	95	5	8	2	222	287	357	644	134	290	29	7	288	81	-7	+1	+2	+4	+7	0.7
2031	24	MLB MLE	TB	56%	396	360	82	14	2	11	27	111	6	10	3	225	290	362	652	137	291	28	7	292	84	-8	+1	+3	+4	+9	0.9
2032	25	MLB MLE	TB	56%	432	393	89	15	2	12	30	120	6	11	3	226	292	366	658	140	292	28	7	294	85	-8	+1	+3	+5	+9	1.1
2033	26	MLB MLE	TB	56%	451	409	92	16	2	12	32	125	7	11	3	226	292	366	658	140	291	28	7	294	85	-8	+1	+3	+5	+10	1.1
2034	27	MLB MLE	TB	55%	458	416	93	16	2	12	32	128	7	11	3	225	291	364	655	139	291	28	7	293	84	-9	+1	+3	+5	+10	1.1
2035	28	MLB MLE	TB	59%	456	415	92	16	2	12	32	128	6	10	3	223	289	359	649	136	290	28	7	290	83	-9	+1	+3	+5	+10	0.9
2036	29	MLB MLE	TB	61%	447	407	89	15	2	11	31	127	6	9	3	221	287	353	640	132	289	28	7	287	80	-10	+1	+2	+5	+10	0.7
2037	30	MLB MLE	TB	62%	437	398	87	15	2	11	30	126	6	9	3	218	283	346	629	128	287	29	7	282	77	-12	+1	+1	+5	+9	0.4
2038	31	MLB MLE	TB	58%	421	383	83	14	2	10	29	123	6	8	4	214	279	337	615	123	284	29	7	277	73	-13	+0	+0	+5	+9	0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	TB	36%	51	47	10	2	0	1	3	15	1	1	0	218	282	341	623	123	292	29	6	280	75	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	TB	49%	116	105	24	4	1	3	8	34	2	3	1	221	286	349	635	128	293	29	7	285	79	-3	+0	+1	+1	+3	0.2
2030	23	MLB CTX	TB	55%	181	164	37	6	1	5	12	52	3	4	1	224	289	356	645	132	294	29	7	289	81	-4	+0	+1	+2	+4	0.4
2031	24	MLB CTX	TB	56%	220	200	45	7	1	6	15	62	3	5	1	226	292	361	653	135	295	28	7	292	84	-4	+1	+2	+2	+5	0.5
2032	25	MLB CTX	TB	56%	242	219	49	8	1	6	17	67	4	6	2	228	294	365	659	137	295	28	7	295	85	-4	+0	+2	+3	+5	0.6
2033	26	MLB CTX	TB	56%	254	230	53	9	1	7	18	71	4	6	2	228	294	365	659	138	295	28	7	295	85	-4	+0	+2	+3	+6	0.6
2034	27	MLB CTX	TB	55%	253	229	52	9	1	7	18	71	4	6	2	227	293	363	655	136	294	28	7	293	84	-5	+0	+2	+3	+5	0.6
2035	28	MLB CTX	TB	59%	269	244	55	9	1	7	19	76	4	6	2	225	291	358	649	133	293	28	7	291	83	-6	+0	+2	+3	+6	0.5
2036	29	MLB CTX	TB	61%	272	247	55	9	1	7	19	77	4	6	2	223	288	353	641	130	292	28	7	287	80	-6	+0	+1	+3	+6	0.4
2037	30	MLB CTX	TB	62%	272	247	55	9	1	7	19	78	4	5	2	220	285	345	630	125	291	29	7	283	77	-7	+0	+1	+3	+6	0.2
2038	31	MLB CTX	TB	58%	243	221	48	8	1	6	17	71	3	4	2	216	280	336	616	120	288	29	7	277	73	-8	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2373	2153	483	80	10	62	165	674	36	52	17	224	291	357	648	133	295	28	7	289	80	-53	+4	+13	+25	+51	4.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	133	22	3	17	45	185	10	14	5	225	291	359	651	134	297	28	7	289	80	-15	+1	+4	+7	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	4433	4031	891	152	20	114	304	1273	67	104	34	221	287	354	640	132	292	29	7	287	80	-97	+8	+24	+46	+93	7.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	131	22	3	17	45	187	10	15	5	222	288	355	643	134	292	29	7	287	80	-15	+1	+4	+7	+14	1.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ACharleston RiverDogs · 140 PAwOBA .322 → .246 (−76)K% 28.6% → 38.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.57%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	38.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.86%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.030	5.58%
HBP% /PA	3.57%	—	×0.780	—	×1.030	2.87%
Singles /BIP	26.51%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.955	×1.030	23.99%
Doubles /BIP	6.02%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.955	×1.030	4.92%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.910	×0.955	×1.030	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.82%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.030	3.97%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.955.

Result: wOBA .322 → .246; ISO .138 → .101; BABIP .338 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
/162	664	4	15	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#6Pokey Reese'97-'04 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,138 PA	4.7	3,138	44	144	238*	292*	339*	+19	+41	4.0	4.7
/162	664	9	30	+4.0	+8.7	0.8	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.6	2,378	62	54	223	285	357	+25	+21	4.3	3.9
/162	664	17	15	+7.1	+5.9	1.2	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Daniel Pierce (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	211/273/329	118	287	2	2	30%	6%	71	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	46→49	42→50	57→50	43	224/279/341	116	300	8	15	27%	6%	74	-0.5	220/277/337	117	289	10	12	26%	6%	73	-0.6	232/281/372	140	285	16	15	24%	5%	80	-0.1
●Alonzo Harris 2009 · A	20	44→52	46→50	49→60	40	222/276/345	124	295	14	11	29%	6%	75	-0.5	209/247/310	101	283	10	12	29%	4%	55	-1.9	234/290/378	144	282	15	35	22%	7%	85	+0.2
✕Jeferson Quero 2023 · A	20	47	44→50	49→45	43	230/281/347	117	293	11	9	25%	6%	77	-0.3	232/290/369	137	282	16	7	23%	7%	86	+0.3	222/285/355	133	266	16	4	23%	7%	79	-0.1
✕José Rodríguez 2021 · A	20	41→51	43→50	52→55	37	208/240/316	109	266	11	11	27%	4%	54	-2.0	248/280/380	132	299	14	24	21%	4%	84	+0.1	248/280/383	135	297	15	29	22%	4%	81	-0.0
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2022 · A	21	43→53	46→55	59→55	39	215/259/351	136	270	13	15	26%	4%	70	-0.9	243/280/401	158	309	17	22	26%	4%	89	+0.5	250/287/402	152	300	17	19	22%	4%	93	+0.8
✕Evan Van Hoosier 2015 · A	21	47	44→50	56→50	44	229/282/358	129	287	10	10	23%	6%	80	-0.2	230/274/338	108	308	6	9	26%	5%	72	-0.7	232/275/343	110	324	5	10	28%	4%	70	-0.3
✕Christopher Bostick 2014 · A	21	46→56	44→45	53→55	41	224/279/346	122	313	11	14	31%	6%	76	-0.4	218/267/337	119	295	10	16	28%	5%	70	-0.9	245/298/359	114	318	9	7	25%	6%	83	+0.0
✕James Triantos 2023 · A	20	50→59	42→45	53→60	43	241/287/350	109	301	9	12	23%	5%	80	-0.2	253/301/351	98	299	7	24	17%	5%	84	+0.2	270/312/373	104	312	8	35	15%	5%	91	+0.6
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→48	45→55	51→55	44	213/272/340	128	284	12	11	29%	7%	72	-0.7	233/294/390	157	279	18	13	23%	7%	93	+0.8	236/301/405	169	279	19	20	22%	7%	97	+1.1
✕Noelvi Marte 2022 · A	20	45→55	48→50	51→55	44	224/289/369	144	298	16	14	29%	8%	86	+0.3	237/299/368	131	306	15	18	26%	7%	88	+0.5	247/296/385	137	310	14	21	24%	5%	91	+0.4
✕Jonathan Galvez 2011 · A	20	44→51	43→50	49→55	45	209/288/320	111	309	10	13	33%	9%	74	-0.5	237/291/359	122	338	11	19	31%	6%	83	+0.1	244/294/364	120	343	10	23	30%	5%	83	+0.1
✕Luisangel Acuña 2022 · A	20	46→56	43→45	55→60	44	224/285/329	105	303	11	25	29%	7%	74	-0.5	247/299/356	109	328	10	34	26%	7%	85	+0.2	257/304/361	104	328	9	39	23%	6%	84	+0.2
✕Bryan Ramos 2022 · A	20	41→42	45→50	49→50	42	206/277/332	126	281	12	8	30%	7%	73	-0.6	219/279/362	143	273	18	5	26%	6%	80	-0.1	214/275/354	140	261	19	5	25%	6%	74	-0.4
✕Jefferson Rojas 2024 · A	19	45→48	41→50	52→50	43	221/283/322	101	279	9	15	24%	6%	72	-0.7	222/283/337	115	269	12	16	21%	7%	76	-0.4	225/287/358	133	263	15	18	21%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Echedry Vargas 2024 · A	19	40→47	44→50	53→55	40	202/260/326	123	269	11	15	29%	6%	65	-1.2	215/258/351	136	288	15	14	30%	4%	70	-0.9	218/259/369	151	284	19	13	30%	4%	72	-0.5
✕Johan Rojas 2022 · A	21	45→55	44→45	55→65	43	223/276/341	119	284	11	22	25%	6%	74	-0.6	237/281/346	109	298	8	37	22%	5%	76	-0.4	260/302/359	100	326	7	41	21%	5%	85	+0.2
✕Blaze Alexander 2019 · A	20	48→50	43→50	52→50	43	227/289/346	119	322	8	10	30%	7%	80	-0.2	205/274/309	104	307	9	11	34%	7%	66	-1.1	246/324/371	124	344	12	15	29%	8%	98	+0.8
●Bryan Rincon 2023 · A	19	42→47	45	53→55	45	210/280/332	122	276	12	11	28%	8%	74	-0.6	194/285/295	101	272	9	22	29%	10%	68	-1.0	192/290/337	145	263	17	31	32%	11%	77	-0.2
✕Sean Coyle 2012 · A	20	41→38	49→50	53→50	44	205/287/362	157	291	15	13	33%	8%	84	+0.1	207/268/354	147	298	16	14	35%	6%	74	-0.5	204/267/368	165	294	22	15	37%	7%	75	-0.2

Daniel Pierce

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps