Miguel Flores — OGILVIE

Miguel FloresC DSL Astros Orange

Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 177 lbs ROK HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 105 proj PA

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .277 / .293

PA105

HR1

K%25

BB%7

ISO80

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.7M
2036	Arb-2	$1M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.2M
2037	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$5M		$14M	+$12M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	19	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	37	33	3	1	0	0	2	14	2	0	0	91	189	121	310	30	158	38	5	161	-19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	37	32	5	2	0	0	3	9	2	0	0	156	270	219	489	62	217	24	8	239	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	125	114	20	2	1	0	7	18	4	0	0	175	248	211	459	35	208	14	6	219	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	125	108	26	4	1	1	13	13	4	0	0	241	344	324	668	83	266	10	10	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	HOU	—	105	95	20	3	1	1	7	27	2	1	0	211	279	295	574	84	287	26	7	262	59	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	HOU	34%	186	168	36	6	1	2	13	47	3	2	1	214	283	298	580	83	289	25	7	272	67	-7	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2028	23	MLB	HOU	48%	304	276	62	11	2	4	21	75	4	3	1	225	289	322	612	98	290	25	7	279	72	-10	+0	+0	+5	+9	0.5
2029	24	MLB	HOU	53%	386	350	80	14	3	6	27	95	6	3	1	229	295	337	632	109	291	25	7	284	76	-11	+0	+0	+7	+11	0.8
2030	25	MLB	HOU	55%	434	394	89	15	3	7	31	106	6	4	1	226	292	332	625	107	292	24	7	287	78	-11	+0	+0	+8	+12	1.0
2031	26	MLB	HOU	56%	463	420	95	16	3	8	33	113	7	4	2	226	293	336	629	110	291	24	7	288	79	-11	+0	+0	+8	+13	1.0
2032	27	MLB	HOU	55%	476	432	99	17	3	9	34	117	7	4	2	229	296	345	641	116	291	25	7	288	79	-11	+0	+0	+8	+13	1.1
2033	28	MLB	HOU	55%	480	435	98	17	3	8	35	119	7	4	2	225	294	333	627	108	291	25	7	287	78	-12	+0	-1	+9	+14	1.0
2034	29	MLB	HOU	53%	476	431	97	17	3	8	35	119	7	4	1	225	294	334	628	109	290	25	7	285	76	-13	+0	-1	+8	+13	0.8
2035	30	MLB	HOU	53%	469	424	95	16	3	8	35	118	7	3	1	224	294	333	627	108	289	25	7	282	74	-14	+0	-2	+8	+13	0.6
2036	31	MLB	HOU	52%	443	401	89	15	3	7	33	113	6	3	1	222	291	327	618	105	286	26	7	278	71	-14	+0	-3	+8	+13	0.3
2037	32	MLB	HOU	52%	414	375	81	13	3	6	30	107	6	2	1	216	285	315	599	99	283	26	7	273	67	-15	+0	-4	+7	+12	0.0
2027	22	MLB	HOU	34%	64	59	12	2	0	1	4	16	1	1	0	203	266	288	554	85	291	25	6	264	60	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2028	23	MLB	HOU	48%	147	134	30	5	1	2	10	36	2	1	0	224	288	321	609	97	293	24	7	271	66	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2029	24	MLB	HOU	53%	204	185	42	7	2	3	14	50	3	2	1	227	292	335	627	108	294	25	7	276	69	-7	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.2
2030	25	MLB	HOU	55%	238	216	50	9	2	4	17	58	3	2	1	231	297	347	644	116	294	24	7	279	72	-8	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.3
2031	26	MLB	HOU	56%	258	234	54	9	2	5	18	63	4	2	1	231	297	350	647	120	294	24	7	280	73	-8	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.4
2032	27	MLB	HOU	55%	262	237	55	9	2	5	19	64	4	2	1	232	300	350	650	118	294	24	7	280	73	-8	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.4
2033	28	MLB	HOU	55%	262	237	54	9	2	5	19	65	4	2	1	228	296	346	642	118	293	25	7	279	72	-8	+0	-0	+5	+7	0.3
2034	29	MLB	HOU	53%	254	229	52	9	2	4	19	63	4	2	1	227	298	336	634	109	292	25	7	277	70	-9	+0	-1	+5	+7	0.3
2035	30	MLB	HOU	53%	246	222	51	9	2	4	18	62	4	2	1	230	299	342	642	113	291	25	7	274	68	-9	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.1
2036	31	MLB	HOU	52%	231	209	46	8	1	4	17	59	3	1	1	220	288	325	614	105	289	26	7	270	65	-9	-0	-1	+4	+7	-0.0
2037	32	MLB	HOU	52%	215	194	42	7	1	3	16	56	3	1	0	216	286	309	596	93	285	26	7	265	61	-9	+0	-2	+4	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2381	2156	488	83	17	40	171	592	35	18	8	226	294	336	630	110	292	25	7	275	69	-84	+0	-6	+43	+67	2.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	134	23	5	11	47	162	10	5	2	228	296	340	636	112	294	25	7	275	69	-23	+0	-2	+12	+18	0.6
Career	—			—	4798	4348	964	163	32	74	343	1188	74	37	14	222	290	325	615	103	286	25	7	280	72	-150	+2	-10	+86	+136	6.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	130	22	4	10	46	161	10	5	2	221	288	323	611	102	285	25	7	280	72	-20	+0	-1	+12	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	19	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	37	32	5	2	0	0	3	9	2	0	0	156	270	219	489	62	217	24	8	239	41	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	20	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	125	108	26	4	1	1	13	13	4	0	0	241	344	324	668	83	266	10	10	312	97	-0	+0	—	—	+4	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	9	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.9
	/162	664	7	7	253	291	351	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#4Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	2,485	40	20	226	290	334	+44	+28	4.1	3.8
	/162	664	11	5	226	290	334	+11.9	+7.5	1.1	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Miguel Flores (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	214/277/293	80	287	1	1	25%	7%	59	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tomás Nido 2015 · A	21	44	39→45	49→30	43	212/267/299	87	285	6	7	27%	6%	56	-1.3	233/264/343	110	303	11	2	26%	4%	65	-0.7	240/274/351	111	288	9	0	19%	4%	69	-0.3
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Jhoneiker Betancourt 2021 · A	21	44	37→55	45→40	42	208/272/281	73	279	3	5	26%	6%	53	-1.5	212/289/325	113	282	11	5	27%	7%	73	-0.1	186/269/361	175	235	26	0	33%	7%	79	+0.1
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A	21	39	38→40	47→55	47	190/263/273	82	247	5	9	24%	8%	47	-1.9	212/292/300	88	256	8	17	19%	9%	67	-0.5	209/299/290	80	241	9	25	16%	10%	66	-0.2
✕Tucker Mitchell 2022 · A	21	42	40→50	51→45	39	201/261/291	91	297	7	7	33%	6%	51	-1.7	195/269/309	114	298	13	8	37%	7%	61	-1.0	180/256/293	113	258	15	7	35%	7%	49	-0.7
✕Stevie Berman 2017 · A	22	45	37→50	48→40	45	212/278/285	72	281	4	6	25%	7%	57	-1.2	213/271/299	86	269	7	4	22%	6%	57	-1.2	203/292/318	115	246	13	2	22%	9%	70	-0.1
✕Arturo De Freitas 2022 · A	21	43	38→45	50→40	39	204/264/287	82	286	5	8	29%	5%	51	-1.7	173/225/248	75	289	7	4	40%	6%	24	-3.5	136/184/191	55	233	5	0	42%	5%	-10	-2.1
✕Blake Hunt 2021 · A	22	41	39→50	49→40	43	198/254/288	90	263	6	6	26%	6%	47	-1.9	192/251/307	115	278	12	4	34%	6%	52	-1.6	207/268/341	134	263	14	2	26%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Abrahan Gutierrez 2021 · A	21	44→45	40	46→40	43	215/264/301	87	273	8	6	24%	6%	54	-1.4	227/296/326	99	305	8	4	26%	8%	75	-0.0	220/294/315	95	295	8	2	26%	8%	68	-0.2
✕Franklin Tineo 2016 · A	21	36	38→45	41→50	47	177/258/254	77	247	5	7	29%	9%	41	-2.3	190/264/281	91	260	7	10	28%	8%	50	-1.7	184/261/280	96	239	8	13	25%	8%	47	-0.7
✕Juan Aponte 2010 · A	22	43	39→45	47→40	42	205/270/296	91	272	6	5	26%	6%	56	-1.3	208/257/272	64	306	3	5	31%	5%	43	-2.2	199/234/217	18	292	0	0	30%	3%	20	-0.8
✕Niko Vasquez 2010 · A	21	41	37→50	46→45	42	193/260/264	71	288	5	6	33%	8%	44	-2.1	197/271/306	109	274	10	3	30%	9%	59	-1.1	224/278/372	148	290	19	6	29%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Juan Uriarte 2019 · A	21	46	41→45	49→30	41	223/277/320	96	282	8	4	23%	5%	65	-0.7	186/228/266	80	283	6	4	35%	3%	30	-3.1	145/181/205	60	226	4	0	37%	2%	-9	-1.6
✕Andy Paz 2015 · A	22	38	38→40	45	44	185/245/261	75	253	6	5	28%	7%	37	-2.7	210/264/277	67	293	4	6	28%	7%	48	-1.9	226/270/274	48	296	3	7	23%	6%	46	-0.7
✕Gilberto Vizcarra 2019 · A	20	35	38→45	47→40	46	171/243/241	71	215	6	3	23%	7%	32	-3.0	206/263/288	82	261	6	4	22%	6%	51	-1.7	226/269/325	99	274	9	1	21%	4%	62	-0.3
✕Deivi Mejia 2011 · A	21	40	39→40	43→30	44	193/264/278	85	266	7	5	29%	8%	50	-1.8	212/259/304	92	276	7	4	25%	4%	53	-1.5	224/268/311	87	267	6	1	18%	3%	59	-0.4
✕Francisco Acuna 2021 · A	21	44→50	37→45	49→50	42	208/267/284	76	290	4	7	28%	6%	52	-1.6	194/271/281	87	277	5	10	30%	7%	54	-1.4	223/293/322	99	294	9	16	26%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Jose Sibrian 2021 · A	22	43	38→50	49→30	39	204/261/283	79	291	5	6	30%	6%	49	-1.8	200/255/276	76	267	5	3	26%	5%	45	-2.1	193/253/280	87	245	8	0	24%	5%	42	-0.8
✕Wilmer Dominguez 2011 · A	20	43	40→45	49→45	42	209/255/300	91	272	7	5	26%	6%	50	-1.7	218/253/304	86	275	8	5	23%	4%	50	-1.7	247/278/359	111	273	14	5	15%	4%	72	-0.1
✕Ricardo Valencia 2014 · A	21	41	39→40	48→30	44	199/265/283	84	277	6	4	29%	7%	51	-1.7	208/278/307	99	291	8	5	29%	8%	63	-0.9	200/254/285	85	299	8	0	34%	6%	45	-0.7