Miguel Flores — OGILVIE

Miguel FloresC DSL Astros Orange

Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 177 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 105 proj PA

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .280 / .297

PA8

HR0

K%25

BB%7

ISO82

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$19M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$1.0M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	19	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	37	32	5	2	0	0	3	9	2	0	0	156	270	219	489	62	217	24	8	239	48	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	20	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	125	108	26	4	1	1	13	13	4	0	0	241	344	324	668	83	266	10	10	312	97	-0	+0	—	—	+3	0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	37	33	3	1	0	0	2	13	2	0	0	91	189	121	310	30	173	35	5	160	-6	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	125	114	22	3	1	1	7	18	4	0	0	193	264	263	527	70	209	14	6	220	35	-10	+0	—	—	+3	-0.7
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	37	33	3	1	0	0	2	13	2	0	0	91	189	121	310	30	150	35	5	160	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	—	37	32	5	2	0	0	3	9	2	0	0	156	270	219	489	62	217	24	8	239	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	125	114	22	3	1	1	7	18	4	0	0	193	264	263	527	70	221	14	6	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Orange	—	125	108	26	4	1	1	13	13	4	0	0	241	344	324	668	83	266	10	10	312	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	37	33	3	1	0	0	2	13	2	0	0	91	189	121	310	30	173	35	5	160	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	125	113	22	3	1	1	7	18	4	0	0	195	264	265	529	71	209	14	6	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	37	33	3	1	0	0	2	13	2	0	0	91	189	121	310	30	173	35	5	160	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	125	113	22	3	1	1	7	18	4	0	0	195	264	265	529	71	209	14	6	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	21	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	8	7	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	143	250	143	393		287	25	12	265	66	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	HOU	34%	186	168	37	6	1	2	13	45	3	2	1	220	288	304	592	83	289	24	7	275	72	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2028	23	MLB MLE	HOU	48%	304	276	62	11	2	4	21	73	4	3	1	225	289	322	612	98	290	24	7	282	77	-8	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.4
2029	24	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	386	349	80	14	3	6	28	92	6	4	1	229	298	338	636	109	291	24	7	287	80	-9	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.7
2030	25	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	434	394	91	16	3	8	31	104	6	4	2	231	297	348	645	117	291	24	7	289	82	-9	+0	+0	+8	+9	0.8
2031	26	MLB MLE	HOU	56%	463	420	96	17	3	8	33	110	7	5	2	229	296	340	636	112	291	24	7	290	83	-10	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.9
2032	27	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	476	431	99	17	3	9	35	114	7	5	2	230	298	346	644	116	291	24	7	291	83	-10	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.9
2033	28	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	480	434	99	17	3	9	36	116	7	5	2	228	298	343	641	115	290	24	8	290	82	-10	+0	-1	+9	+10	0.8
2034	29	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	476	430	98	17	3	8	36	116	7	5	2	228	298	337	635	109	289	24	8	288	81	-11	+0	-1	+8	+10	0.7
2035	30	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	469	424	95	16	3	8	35	115	7	4	2	224	294	333	627	108	288	25	7	285	79	-12	+0	-2	+8	+10	0.5
2036	31	MLB MLE	HOU	52%	443	401	89	15	3	7	33	110	6	4	2	222	291	327	618	105	286	25	7	281	76	-13	+0	-3	+8	+10	0.2
2037	32	MLB MLE	HOU	52%	414	374	82	14	3	6	31	104	6	4	1	219	290	321	610	102	283	25	7	275	72	-14	+0	-4	+7	+9	-0.0
2027	22	MLB CTX	HOU	34%	64	59	13	2	0	1	4	16	1	1	0	220	281	305	586	85	291	25	6	265	72	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	HOU	48%	147	134	30	5	1	2	10	35	2	1	1	224	288	321	609	97	292	24	7	272	77	-4	-0	+0	+3	+3	0.2
2029	24	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	204	184	42	8	1	3	15	49	3	2	1	228	297	332	629	103	293	24	7	277	80	-5	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.3
2030	25	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	238	216	50	9	2	4	17	57	3	2	1	231	297	347	644	116	293	24	7	279	82	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2031	26	MLB CTX	HOU	56%	258	233	55	10	2	5	19	62	4	3	1	236	305	361	665	124	293	24	7	280	83	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2032	27	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	262	237	56	10	2	5	19	63	4	3	1	236	304	359	662	122	293	24	7	280	83	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2033	28	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	262	237	56	10	2	5	19	63	4	3	1	236	304	359	662	122	292	24	7	279	82	-6	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.5
2034	29	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	254	229	52	9	2	4	19	62	4	2	1	227	298	336	634	109	291	24	7	278	81	-6	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.4
2035	30	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	246	222	51	9	2	4	18	60	4	2	1	230	299	342	642	113	290	24	7	275	79	-6	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.2
2036	31	MLB CTX	HOU	52%	231	209	47	8	1	4	17	57	3	2	1	225	293	330	623	105	288	25	7	271	76	-7	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.1
2037	32	MLB CTX	HOU	52%	215	194	42	7	1	3	16	54	3	2	1	216	286	309	596	93	285	25	7	266	72	-7	+0	-2	+4	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2381	2154	494	87	16	40	173	578	35	23	10	229	297	340	638	111	294	24	7	276	77	-58	+1	-6	+43	+52	3.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	135	24	4	11	47	158	10	6	3	230	298	340	638	111	294	24	7	276	77	-16	+0	-2	+12	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	4701	4255	954	164	31	76	342	1132	72	45	18	224	293	331	624	107	286	24	7	283	77	-112	+2	-10	+81	+98	6.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	132	23	4	11	47	157	10	6	2	224	293	333	626	109	286	24	7	283	77	-16	+0	-2	+12	+14	0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	4.3	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
/162	664	4	15	+6.9	+19.7	2.4	pk7: 11
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	3.7	2,485	41	24	228	293	337	+44	+28	5.2	4.7
/162	664	11	6	+11.9	+7.5	1.4	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Miguel Flores (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	216/280/297	81	287	1	1	25%	7%	66	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Torrens 2016 · A	20	43→48	38→50	49→40	44	204/275/284	80	281	6	6	28%	7%	61	-1.5	210/273/293	83	267	6	4	22%	7%	62	-1.4	237/296/380	143	283	15	2	21%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Abrahan Gutierrez 2021 · A	21	44→43	39→45	46→40	43	214/262/293	80	273	7	6	24%	6%	57	-1.8	225/298/328	103	300	8	4	26%	8%	80	-0.2	218/296/319	101	289	9	2	26%	8%	74	-0.3
✕Tucker Mitchell 2022 · A	21	42	40→45	51→45	39	201/262/293	92	296	7	7	33%	6%	57	-1.8	195/269/306	111	299	13	8	37%	7%	65	-1.2	180/257/292	111	259	15	7	35%	7%	55	-0.8
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A	21	39	38→40	47→55	47	190/263/273	82	247	5	9	24%	8%	53	-2.1	212/292/300	88	256	8	17	19%	9%	71	-0.8	209/299/290	80	241	9	25	16%	10%	70	-0.3
✕Jakson Reetz 2017 · A	21	44→33	39→55	47→45	44	205/289/298	94	298	5	6	31%	8%	70	-0.8	198/275/298	100	292	9	5	33%	7%	65	-1.2	193/274/380	187	243	23	4	31%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Tomás Nido 2015 · A	21	44→43	39→45	49→30	43	212/267/299	87	285	6	7	27%	6%	61	-1.5	230/261/332	102	302	9	2	26%	4%	65	-1.2	238/272/346	108	283	9	0	19%	4%	71	-0.5
✕Juan Uriarte 2019 · A	21	46	41→45	49→30	41	223/277/320	96	282	8	4	23%	5%	69	-0.9	188/230/267	79	283	6	4	34%	4%	39	-3.1	147/184/208	60	226	4	0	36%	2%	5	-1.5
✕Carlos Narváez 2021 · A	22	47→45	38→45	48→45	46	219/291/300	81	314	5	6	30%	9%	70	-0.8	192/280/305	113	303	13	5	37%	10%	68	-1.0	212/295/344	132	286	15	6	29%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Jhoneiker Betancourt 2021 · A	21	44	37→50	45→40	42	208/272/281	73	279	3	5	26%	6%	59	-1.7	212/288/322	110	284	11	5	28%	7%	75	-0.5	180/260/332	152	234	22	0	33%	7%	72	-0.3
✕Jose Sibrian 2021 · A	22	43	38→50	49→30	39	204/261/283	79	291	5	6	30%	6%	55	-2.0	204/258/283	79	271	6	3	26%	5%	54	-2.0	202/260/295	93	255	9	0	24%	5%	55	-0.7
✕Ramon Mendoza 2022 · A	21	42→49	37→45	43→45	44	198/271/274	75	282	3	5	29%	8%	57	-1.8	197/270/281	84	288	5	5	31%	8%	58	-1.7	230/307/340	110	300	10	3	25%	9%	83	+0.0
✕Blake Ochoa 2007 · A	21	45	40→45	46→40	44	215/280/308	92	280	6	5	24%	6%	68	-1.0	216/268/311	95	281	7	4	24%	6%	63	-1.3	233/296/372	139	280	15	2	22%	7%	88	+0.1
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	38→40	49→40	40	195/262/275	80	276	6	7	30%	6%	54	-2.0	219/298/304	85	284	8	4	24%	7%	74	-0.5	216/302/271	55	271	5	1	21%	8%	67	-0.3
✕Xavier Fernández 2016 · A	21	46	40→45	44→40	44	221/275/313	91	268	6	3	20%	5%	67	-1.1	224/265/322	98	268	9	3	19%	5%	65	-1.2	236/287/356	119	281	13	2	20%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Franklin Tineo 2016 · A	21	36	38→45	41→50	47	177/258/254	77	247	5	7	29%	9%	48	-2.5	190/264/281	91	260	7	10	28%	8%	56	-1.9	184/261/280	96	239	8	13	25%	8%	53	-0.7
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	42	42→40	46→45	48	206/291/311	105	278	9	6	28%	9%	73	-0.6	220/302/308	88	316	7	6	30%	9%	76	-0.4	234/327/306	73	330	7	6	28%	11%	84	+0.1
✕Wynston Sawyer 2013 · A	21	41	37→45	46→45	48	196/260/267	71	242	5	5	21%	7%	51	-2.2	208/267/304	96	263	8	4	23%	7%	62	-1.4	228/314/342	113	289	10	2	23%	9%	86	+0.1
✕Geoandry Montilla 2017 · A	21	44	41→45	45→50	46	214/281/315	101	286	8	9	27%	8%	70	-0.8	197/264/296	99	314	8	8	37%	7%	59	-1.6	131/203/233	101	238	8	7	45%	7%	21	-1.2
✕Arturo De Freitas 2022 · A	21	43	38→45	50→40	39	205/264/287	82	287	5	8	29%	5%	57	-1.8	173/225/248	75	289	7	4	40%	6%	33	-3.6	143/191/216	73	246	8	0	44%	5%	11	-1.5
✕Juan Aponte 2010 · A	22	43	39→45	47→40	42	205/270/296	91	272	6	5	26%	6%	61	-1.5	208/257/272	64	306	3	5	31%	5%	50	-2.3	199/234/217	18	292	0	0	30%	3%	29	-0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps