Wei-En Lin
P
Midland RockHounds
Age 20
LHP
6'2" / 179 lbs
AA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 1.4 · 2031
2026 ROS PROJECTION53 act + 56 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 8897vR 107
ERA3.82
FIP3.82
K%26.1%
BB%7.0%
K-BB%19.2%
ROS IP56
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 109 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19 | MIX | 3 levels | 26 | 13 | 87 | 350 | 117 | 22 | 9 | 50% | 3.3 | 25.4% | 6.5% | 18.9% | 3.0% | 3.72 | 3.44 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | MIX | 3 levels | 26 | 13 | 87 | 350 | 117 | 22 | 9 | 50% | 3.3 | 33.4% | 6.3% | 27.1% | 2.6% | 3.72 | 2.51 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | 12 | 12 | 53 | 214 | 54 | 17 | 2 | 100% | 4.4 | 21.6% | 7.2% | 14.4% | 1.2% | 3.23 | 2.85 | +1.1 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | OAK | 12 | 12 | 56 | 237 | 62 | 17 | 7 | 100% | 4.7 | 26.1% | 7.0% | 19.2% | 3.0% | 3.82 | 3.82 | +0.5 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | OAK | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 26.1% | 7.0% | 19.2% | 3.0% | 3.78 | 3.78 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 109 | 451 | 116 | 34 | 9 | — | — | 25.7% | 7.4% | 18.3% | 2.0% | 3.53 | 3.35 | +2.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 20 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 26.1% | 7.0% | 19.2% | 3.0% | 3.78 | 3.40 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | OAK | 11 | 11 | 59 | 249 | 65 | 17 | 7 | 100% | 5.4 | 26.3% | 7.0% | 19.3% | 3.0% | 3.81 | 3.77 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB | OAK | 11 | 11 | 62 | 262 | 71 | 18 | 8 | 100% | 5.6 | 27.0% | 6.8% | 20.2% | 2.9% | 3.73 | 3.65 | +0.7 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB | OAK | 12 | 12 | 64 | 271 | 75 | 18 | 8 | 100% | 5.4 | 27.5% | 6.6% | 21.0% | 2.9% | 3.64 | 3.56 | +0.8 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB | OAK | 12 | 12 | 66 | 278 | 78 | 18 | 8 | 100% | 5.5 | 28.0% | 6.4% | 21.6% | 2.8% | 3.56 | 3.49 | +0.9 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB | OAK | 11 | 11 | 67 | 282 | 80 | 18 | 8 | 100% | 6.1 | 28.4% | 6.3% | 22.1% | 2.8% | 3.48 | 3.43 | +1.0 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB | OAK | 11 | 11 | 67 | 282 | 80 | 18 | 8 | 100% | 6.1 | 28.6% | 6.2% | 22.3% | 2.8% | 3.44 | 3.41 | +1.0 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB | OAK | 11 | 11 | 66 | 277 | 79 | 18 | 8 | 100% | 6.0 | 28.6% | 6.3% | 22.3% | 2.9% | 3.44 | 3.45 | +0.9 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB | OAK | 11 | 11 | 64 | 269 | 76 | 17 | 8 | 100% | 5.8 | 28.4% | 6.5% | 22.0% | 3.0% | 3.49 | 3.53 | +0.8 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | OAK | 6 | 6 | 30 | 127 | 33 | 9 | 4 | 100% | 5.0 | 26.3% | 7.0% | 19.3% | 2.9% | 3.77 | 3.73 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB | OAK | 8 | 8 | 45 | 190 | 51 | 13 | 5 | 100% | 5.6 | 27.0% | 6.8% | 20.2% | 2.8% | 3.69 | 3.61 | +0.5 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB | OAK | 10 | 10 | 54 | 228 | 63 | 15 | 6 | 100% | 5.4 | 27.5% | 6.6% | 21.0% | 2.8% | 3.60 | 3.52 | +0.6 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB | OAK | 11 | 11 | 59 | 249 | 70 | 16 | 7 | 100% | 5.4 | 28.0% | 6.4% | 21.6% | 2.8% | 3.52 | 3.45 | +0.8 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB | OAK | 10 | 10 | 61 | 258 | 73 | 16 | 7 | 100% | 6.1 | 28.4% | 6.3% | 22.1% | 2.8% | 3.45 | 3.40 | +0.8 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB | OAK | 10 | 10 | 62 | 262 | 75 | 16 | 7 | 100% | 6.2 | 28.6% | 6.2% | 22.3% | 2.8% | 3.41 | 3.38 | +0.9 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB | OAK | 10 | 10 | 62 | 262 | 75 | 17 | 7 | 100% | 6.2 | 28.6% | 6.3% | 22.3% | 2.8% | 3.40 | 3.41 | +0.9 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB | OAK | 10 | 10 | 61 | 258 | 73 | 17 | 7 | 100% | 6.1 | 28.4% | 6.5% | 22.0% | 2.9% | 3.45 | 3.49 | +0.8 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 76 | 76 | 436 | 1840 | 515 | 119 | 52 | 100% | 5.7 | 28.0% | 6.5% | 21.5% | 2.8% | 3.51 | 3.10 | +11.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 35 | 35 | 200 | 844 | 236 | 55 | 24 | 100% | 5.7 | 28.0% | 6.5% | 21.5% | 2.8% | 3.51 | 3.10 | +5.4 | ||
| Career | — | 38 | 25 | 140 | 564 | 135 | 38 | 13 | 66% | 3.7 | 24.0% | 6.8% | 17.2% | 2.3% | 3.54 | 3.21 | +3.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 54 | 36 | 200 | 806 | 193 | 54 | 19 | 66% | 3.7 | 24.0% | 6.8% | 17.2% | 2.3% | 3.54 | 3.21 | +5.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Wei-En Lin (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.82 | 26.1% | 7.0% | 3.0% | — | 3.66 | 26.9% | 20.2% | 185 | -0.16 | — | — | — |
| Antonio Jimenez L 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.40 | 23.1% | 8.8% | 2.1% | .292 | 4.34 | 19.4% | 7.8% | 248 | +0.94 | 3.31 | 422 | 78 |
| Nick Bennett L 2027 · 2.83 FIP | 21 | SP- | 2.83 | 21.7% | 5.8% | 1.5% | .264 | 5.12 | 19.3% | 9.8% | 227 | +2.29 | 2.83 | 346 | 78 |
| Pablo Aldonis L 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.25 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 3.4% | .324 | 2.67 | 21.9% | 13.1% | 68 | -1.58 | 1.89 | 135 | 77 |
| Blake Townsend L 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.96 | 26.7% | 11.2% | 3.1% | .286 | 4.11 | 18.5% | 4.8% | 96 | +0.15 | 3.40 | 263 | 77 |
| Payton Tolle L 2028 · 3.58 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.58 | 28.5% | 7.7% | 3.5% | .296 | 3.08 | 25.8% | 18.5% | 99 | -0.50 | 3.08 | 207 | 77 |
| Yereny Teus L 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 20 | SP | 3.59 | 23.3% | 10.3% | 2.1% | .276 | 3.80 | 23.0% | 7.5% | 68 | +0.21 | 2.98 | 166 | 75 |
| Drew Parrish L 2029 · 3.53 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.53 | 24.1% | 7.9% | 2.7% | .261 | 6.22 | 16.8% | 6.5% | 354 | +2.69 | 3.53 | 522 | 75 |
| Benony Robles L 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.58 | 22.3% | 10.1% | 2.0% | .262 | 5.00 | 19.2% | 4.5% | 135 | +1.42 | 3.58 | 271 | 74 |
| Denny Roman L 2025 · 3.24 FIP | 19 | SW | 3.24 | 25.6% | 6.9% | 2.6% | .348 | 5.24 | 15.7% | -1.0% | 21 | +2.00 | 3.24 | 109 | 74 |
| Adam Seminaris L 2028 · 3.90 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.90 | 22.7% | 8.3% | 3.0% | .357 | 3.75 | 18.2% | 9.3% | 230 | -0.15 | 3.11 | 524 | 74 |
| Sonny Vargas L 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.43 | 21.0% | 10.1% | 3.3% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.20 | 165 | 74 |
| Marcelo Martinez L 2027 · 3.29 FIP | 21 | SP | 3.29 | 22.0% | 6.5% | 2.2% | .303 | 5.66 | 18.6% | 10.2% | 234 | +2.37 | 3.29 | 427 | 73 |
| Brant Hurter L 2029 · 2.84 FIP | 23 | SP- | 2.84 | 23.7% | 5.5% | 1.9% | .337 | 3.53 | 21.6% | 14.5% | 298 | +0.69 | 2.84 | 430 | 73 |
| Patrick Wicklander L 2028 · 4.88 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.88 | 21.5% | 7.9% | 4.7% | .320 | 4.91 | 16.4% | 5.8% | 156 | +0.03 | 4.80 | 254 | 73 |
| Tommy Sommer L 2028 · 4.59 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.59 | 23.9% | 9.3% | 4.2% | .196 | 5.30 | 18.6% | 6.1% | 205 | +0.71 | 4.20 | 230 | 72 |
| Aidan Deakins L 2027 · 3.83 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.83 | 18.9% | 8.5% | 2.3% | .323 | 5.29 | 17.1% | 6.0% | 62 | +1.46 | 3.83 | 119 | 72 |
| Colton Gordon L 2029 · 2.76 FIP | 23 | SP- | 2.76 | 28.4% | 4.7% | 2.6% | .277 | 4.46 | 21.0% | 12.8% | 394 | +1.70 | 2.76 | 527 | 72 |
| Josh Hader L 2027 · 3.39 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.39 | 22.1% | 8.8% | 1.9% | .287 | 3.52 | 31.9% | 20.5% | 307 | +0.13 | 1.38 | 810 | 72 |
| Dalton Pence L 2028 · 3.32 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.32 | 23.8% | 9.6% | 1.8% | .271 | 3.89 | 22.0% | 13.9% | 71 | +0.57 | 3.32 | 153 | 72 |
| Jordan Wicks L 2028 · 3.89 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.89 | 23.5% | 7.9% | 3.2% | .329 | 4.07 | 21.1% | 12.8% | 278 | +0.18 | 2.93 | 431 | 71 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 9 | 63 | 27.7% | 6.5% | 1.12 | 3.59 |
| Sergio Romo ('21) | 7 | 50 | 26.3% | 7.0% | 1.20 | 3.70 |
| Trevor May ('23) | 8 | 51 | 27.6% | 8.3% | 1.18 | 3.83 |
| Giovanny Gallegos ('24) | 6 | 52 | 29.4% | 6.6% | 1.19 | 3.46 |
| Joakim Soria ('21) | 7 | 54 | 26.1% | 7.8% | 0.92 | 3.65 |
| Chris Devenski ('24) | 6 | 62 | 26.0% | 6.9% | 1.25 | 3.61 |
| Héctor Rondón ('20) | 6 | 53 | 25.3% | 7.1% | 1.19 | 3.48 |