Wei-En Lin
P
Midland RockHounds
+1.0
WAR
Age 20
LHP
6'2" / 179 lbs
AA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 3.2 · 2032
ERA4.18
FIP4.18
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%24.1%
BB%8.5%
K-BB%15.6%
IP80
trajectory · 10 yrs
3.2peak
2032
K†6060
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19 | AA | Midland RockHounds | 26 | 13 | 87 | 350 | 117 | 22 | 9 | 25.4% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 3.72 | 3.46 | +1.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | AA | Midland RockHounds | 3 | 3 | 11 | 50 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 22.7% | 13.2% | 2.4% | 3.27 | 4.17 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | OAK | 15 | 15 | 80 | 339 | 82 | 29 | 10 | 24.1% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 4.18 | 4.18 | +0.9 |
| 2026 Total | 20 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 91 | 389 | 96 | 35 | 11 | 24.6% | 9.0% | 2.9% | 4.07 | 4.18 | +1.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | OAK | 15 | 15 | 84 | 356 | 86 | 29 | 11 | 24.3% | 8.2% | 3.0% | 4.13 | 4.10 | +1.0 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB | OAK | 20 | 20 | 110 | 467 | 117 | 36 | 14 | 25.0% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 4.02 | 3.95 | +1.7 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB | OAK | 24 | 24 | 135 | 568 | 145 | 43 | 16 | 25.6% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 3.92 | 3.84 | +2.2 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB | OAK | 28 | 28 | 154 | 650 | 169 | 47 | 18 | 26.1% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 3.83 | 3.76 | +2.7 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB | OAK | 31 | 31 | 168 | 709 | 187 | 51 | 20 | 26.4% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 3.75 | 3.70 | +3.0 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB | OAK | 32 | 32 | 175 | 738 | 197 | 52 | 21 | 26.6% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 3.71 | 3.68 | +3.2 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB | OAK | 32 | 32 | 178 | 750 | 200 | 53 | 21 | 26.7% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 3.70 | 3.69 | +3.2 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB | OAK | 32 | 32 | 175 | 738 | 196 | 53 | 21 | 26.6% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 3.71 | 3.72 | +3.1 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB | OAK | 31 | 31 | 171 | 722 | 191 | 52 | 21 | 26.5% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 3.74 | 3.76 | +3.0 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB | OAK | 30 | 30 | 166 | 700 | 184 | 51 | 21 | 26.3% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 3.79 | 3.82 | +2.8 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB | OAK | 29 | 29 | 160 | 676 | 176 | 50 | 21 | 26.0% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 3.85 | 3.90 | +2.5 |
| 2038 | 32 | MLB | OAK | 28 | 28 | 154 | 649 | 167 | 49 | 20 | 25.8% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 3.93 | 3.98 | +2.3 |
| 2039 | 33 | MLB | OAK | 27 | 27 | 147 | 620 | 158 | 48 | 20 | 25.5% | 7.8% | 3.2% | 4.02 | 4.08 | +2.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 29 | 16 | 98 | 400 | 100 | 29 | 12 | 25.1% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 3.67 | 3.55 | +1.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 59 | 33 | 200 | 816 | 204 | 59 | 24 | 25.1% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 3.67 | 3.55 | +4.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Wei-En Lin (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.18 | 24.1% | 8.5% | 3.0% | — | 3.94 | 25.1% | 17.3% | 329 | -0.24 | — | — | — |
| Jordan Wicks L 2028 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.85 | 23.5% | 7.9% | 3.2% | .329 | 4.15 | 21.1% | 12.8% | 278 | +0.30 | 3.00 | 373 | 87 |
| Adam Seminaris L 2028 · 3.95 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.95 | 22.7% | 8.3% | 3.1% | .357 | 3.74 | 18.2% | 9.3% | 230 | -0.21 | 3.01 | 453 | 86 |
| Drew Parrish L 2029 · 3.45 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.45 | 24.1% | 7.9% | 2.5% | .261 | 5.90 | 16.8% | 6.5% | 354 | +2.45 | 3.45 | 522 | 84 |
| Will Dion L 2028 · 3.40 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.40 | 22.7% | 7.9% | 2.2% | .285 | 4.12 | 20.6% | 11.1% | 332 | +0.72 | 3.39 | 448 | 84 |
| Gage Jump L 2028 · 3.19 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.19 | 22.6% | 7.9% | 1.8% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.19 | 113 | 83 |
| Josh Hader L 2027 · 3.49 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.49 | 22.1% | 8.8% | 2.1% | .287 | 3.40 | 31.9% | 20.5% | 307 | -0.09 | 1.34 | 794 | 83 |
| Connelly Early L 2028 · 3.34 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.34 | 24.1% | 9.8% | 1.9% | .292 | 2.66 | 27.5% | 17.6% | 139 | -0.68 | 2.56 | 243 | 83 |
| Matt Wilkinson L 2027 · 3.21 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.21 | 28.5% | 9.2% | 2.5% | .252 | 4.84 | 20.2% | 8.6% | 104 | +1.63 | 3.21 | 223 | 82 |
| Trey Dombroski L 2028 · 4.48 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.48 | 22.3% | 8.4% | 4.0% | .280 | 4.58 | 19.7% | 9.9% | 210 | +0.10 | 3.76 | 329 | 81 |
| Anthony Veneziano L 2029 · 4.27 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.27 | 24.9% | 10.8% | 3.5% | .298 | 5.02 | 18.7% | 8.0% | 358 | +0.75 | 4.27 | 501 | 81 |
| Mitchell Parker L 2027 · 4.05 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.05 | 24.0% | 9.8% | 3.2% | .354 | 3.87 | 21.4% | 9.8% | 375 | -0.18 | 3.53 | 655 | 81 |
| Jonathan Santucci L 2028 · 3.63 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.63 | 22.6% | 9.6% | 2.2% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.63 | 118 | 81 |
| Rodney Boone L 2028 · 4.57 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.57 | 22.2% | 7.2% | 4.4% | .286 | 4.53 | 19.0% | 9.7% | 197 | -0.04 | 3.62 | 311 | 81 |
| Cade Povich L 2028 · 4.10 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.10 | 23.9% | 9.2% | 3.4% | .293 | 4.05 | 23.8% | 13.8% | 414 | -0.05 | 3.75 | 528 | 81 |
| Patrick Wicklander L 2028 · 4.89 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.89 | 21.5% | 7.9% | 4.8% | .320 | 5.02 | 16.4% | 5.8% | 156 | +0.13 | 4.89 | 254 | 80 |
| John Doxakis L 2028 · 3.19 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.19 | 21.0% | 5.3% | 2.2% | .279 | 5.00 | 18.0% | 5.1% | 229 | +1.81 | 3.19 | 332 | 80 |
| Nick Zwack L 2029 · 3.15 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.15 | 23.9% | 9.3% | 1.6% | .299 | 5.76 | 18.2% | 8.4% | 143 | +2.61 | 3.15 | 248 | 80 |
| A.J. Block L 2029 · 3.73 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.73 | 22.8% | 10.0% | 2.4% | .262 | 5.75 | 20.1% | 8.4% | 51 | +2.02 | 3.65 | 203 | 80 |
| Will Johnston L 2029 · 3.96 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.96 | 24.8% | 11.6% | 2.7% | .290 | 4.18 | 23.6% | 9.9% | 70 | +0.22 | 3.96 | 162 | 80 |
| James Reeves L 2029 · 3.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.34 | 21.9% | 8.7% | 1.8% | .237 | 3.30 | 23.0% | 13.1% | 146 | -0.04 | 2.02 | 280 | 79 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +2.2 | $19M | +$18M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +2.7 | $24M | +$23M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +3.0 | $28M | +$27M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $7M | +3.2 | $31M | +$24M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $11M | +3.2 | $31M | +$20M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $16M | +3.1 | $31M | +$15M |
| Totals | $37M | $165M | +$128M | ||