Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 20 | AAA | Sultanes de Monterrey | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0.8 | 18.8% | 12.5% | 6.2% | 0.0% | 3.00 | 3.10 | — |
| 2017 | 20 | AAA | Sultanes de Monterrey | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0.8 | 18.8% | 12.5% | 6.2% | 0.0% | 3.00 | 3.10 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 11 | 69 | 273 | 90 | 14 | 5 | 85% | 5.3 | 22.0% | 6.5% | 15.5% | 2.2% | 2.74 | 3.29 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 11 | 69 | 273 | 90 | 14 | 5 | 85% | 5.3 | 33.0% | 5.1% | 27.8% | 1.8% | 2.74 | 2.04 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 21 | 130 | 540 | 118 | 37 | 17 | 78% | 4.8 | 16.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 4.07 | 5.62 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 21 | 130 | 540 | 118 | 37 | 17 | 78% | 4.8 | 21.9% | 6.9% | 15.0% | 3.1% | 4.07 | 3.84 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 24 | 113 | 483 | 117 | 38 | 26 | 96% | 4.5 | 20.8% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 6.0% | 5.11 | 5.70 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 24 | 113 | 483 | 117 | 38 | 26 | 96% | 4.5 | 24.2% | 7.9% | 16.4% | 5.4% | 5.11 | 5.03 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 18 | 109 | 494 | 115 | 53 | 23 | 60% | 3.6 | 20.2% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 6.17 | 5.81 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 18 | 109 | 494 | 115 | 53 | 23 | 60% | 3.6 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 4.7% | 6.17 | 5.19 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | 9 | 1 | 21 | 94 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 11% | 2.3 | 12.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 4.29 | 7.14 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | 9 | 1 | 21 | 94 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 11% | 2.3 | 13.8% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.29 | 6.29 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | KC | 2 | 2 | 12 | 52 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.6% | 8.9% | 13.7% | 3.2% | 4.43 | 4.43 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | KC | 3 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 6.7 | 22.4% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 3.3% | 4.53 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | KC | 1 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 7.0 | 22.4% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 3.3% | 4.53 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 1 | 1 | 7 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 7.4 | 22.4% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 3.3% | 4.53 | 4.22 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 190 | 82 | 27 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.4% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 3.3% | 4.53 | 4.22 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 108 | 75 | 445 | 1900 | 364 | 167 | 97 | 69% | 4.1 | 19.2% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 5.1% | 4.65 | 5.41 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 49 | 34 | 200 | 853 | 164 | 75 | 44 | 69% | 4.1 | 19.2% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 5.1% | 4.65 | 5.41 | -0.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Marcelo Martinez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.43 | 22.6% | 8.9% | 3.2% | — | 4.60 | 22.4% | 13.1% | 20 | +0.17 | — | — | — |
| Roy Merritt L 2027 · 4.01 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.01 | 13.3% | 5.9% | 2.3% | .293 | 3.88 | 16.2% | 10.4% | 116 | -0.13 | 3.88 | 129 | 71 |
| Jack Snodgrass L 2025 · 5.20 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.20 | 15.7% | 10.1% | 3.9% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.77 | 118 | 65 |
| Shinnosuke Ogasawara L 2025 · 3.98 FIP | 28 | SP | 3.98 | 22.0% | 6.8% | 3.4% | .279 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 122 | 64 |
| Marco Tovar L 2025 · 4.97 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.97 | 16.1% | 11.3% | 3.3% | .317 | 4.79 | 12.6% | 7.0% | 82 | -0.18 | 3.79 | 327 | 64 |
| Travis Blackley L 2029 · 4.97 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.97 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | .324 | 4.50 | 10.5% | 0.0% | 137 | -0.47 | 3.84 | 225 | 63 |
| Kwang Hyun Kim L 2029 · 3.68 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.68 | 15.6% | 6.5% | 2.0% | .214 | 4.11 | 17.7% | 9.5% | 107 | +0.43 | 3.68 | 146 | 63 |
| Brandon Mann L 2029 · 4.73 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.73 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 4.1% | .320 | 4.14 | 19.0% | 7.6% | 128 | -0.59 | 3.60 | 190 | 62 |
| John Lamb L 2025 · 4.76 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.76 | 22.5% | 7.2% | 4.8% | .319 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 390 | 61 |
| Jeff Locke L 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 29 | SP | 4.18 | 17.1% | 7.9% | 2.8% | .345 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.71 | 328 | 61 |
| Marlon Arias L 2027 · 4.14 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.14 | 16.8% | 12.2% | 1.7% | .330 | 3.89 | 17.2% | 9.5% | 22 | -0.25 | 3.89 | 154 | 60 |
| Matt Lujan L 2025 · 5.13 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.13 | 14.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 227 | 60 |
| Aríel Miranda L 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 29 | SP | 4.31 | 17.9% | 12.8% | 2.0% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 431 | 60 |
| Duane Below L 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.54 | 12.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | .266 | 4.42 | 14.7% | 9.6% | 140 | +0.88 | 3.54 | 189 | 59 |
| Nico Tellache L 2025 · 4.65 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.65 | 13.4% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 160 | 59 |
| Yusei Kikuchi L 2026 · 3.25 FIP | 29 | SP | 3.25 | 24.2% | 10.3% | 1.6% | .306 | 4.45 | 25.7% | 16.5% | 425 | +1.20 | 3.25 | 1,019 | 59 |
| Everett Teaford L 2028 · 4.36 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.36 | 13.9% | 7.6% | 2.7% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.36 | 103 | 59 |
| Darin Gorski L 2025 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.39 | 15.0% | 9.8% | 2.4% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.39 | 206 | 58 |
| Andy Otero L 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.08 | 24.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | .298 | 4.38 | 14.5% | 5.6% | 68 | +0.30 | 2.85 | 200 | 58 |
| Tyler Alexander L 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.37 | 15.7% | 10.7% | 4.1% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.27 | 128 | 58 |
| Onelki Garcia L 2024 · 4.07 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.07 | 16.5% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .328 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.89 | 164 | 57 |