Dillon Lewis — OGILVIE

Dillon LewisOF Pensacola Blue Wahoos

Age 23 R/R 6'3" / 205 lbs AA HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION273 act + 182 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†84

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .267 / .398

PA182

HR8

SB7

K%37

BB%7

BABIP283

ISO193

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 43 / POW 56

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT43

scouting grade only

POWER56

scouting grade only

EYE51

scouting grade only

SPEED59

scouting grade only

DEFENSE54

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.4	$9M	+$8M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.4	$8M	+$8M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.3	$7M	+$7M
2032	Arb-1	$2M	+1.1	$6M	+$4M
2033	Arb-2	$3M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.6M
2034	Arb-3	$2M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M
Totals		$10M		$33M	+$28M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	56	53	10	3	0	1	3	14	0	3	0	189	232	302	534	113	237	25	5	237	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	56	52	13	4	0	1	4	9	0	3	0	250	304	385	688	135	286	16	7	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	2 teams	—	527	481	87	15	4	21	39	173	5	26	2	181	250	360	609	179	228	33	7	263	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	2 teams	—	527	465	110	21	5	22	54	124	5	26	2	237	322	445	767	209	274	24	10	338	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	AA	MIA	—	273	254	48	8	2	14	18	111	1	14	2	189	245	402	647	213	264	41	7	277	70	-9	+2	+0	-2	+8	-0.1
YTD	23	AA	MIA	—	273	246	59	10	3	17	26	86	1	14	2	240	315	512	827	272	294	32	10	360	133	+10	+2	+0	-2	+8	1.9
ROS	23	AA	MIA	2%	182	166	34	6	1	8	13	67	1	7	1	205	267	398	664	193	288	37	7	295	84	-3	+1	+0	-1	+5	0.2
ROS	23	MLB	MIA	2%	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						282	25	0	286	77	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	AA	MIA	—	277	258	48	8	2	14	18	112	1	14	2	186	242	395	637	209	258	40	6	277	70	-9	+2	+0	-2	+8	-0.1
TOT	23	AA	MIA	—	455	420	82	14	3	22	31	178	2	21	3	195	254	400	654	205	271	39	7	284	76	-12	+3	+0	-3	+13	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	MIA	39%	565	516	112	20	5	25	41	199	3	18	2	217	279	421	699	203	290	35	7	303	90	-6	+3	+1	-3	+16	1.0
2028	25	MLB	MIA	56%	580	528	116	21	5	25	43	197	4	19	2	220	283	420	704	201	291	34	7	307	93	-4	+3	+1	-3	+16	1.3
2029	26	MLB	MIA	64%	585	532	117	21	5	25	44	196	4	19	2	220	284	419	704	199	291	34	8	309	95	-4	+3	+1	-4	+17	1.4
2030	27	MLB	MIA	66%	584	530	116	21	4	25	45	194	4	19	2	219	285	415	700	196	291	33	8	309	95	-3	+3	+1	-4	+17	1.4
2031	28	MLB	MIA	67%	579	525	115	21	4	25	45	193	4	18	2	219	286	417	703	198	290	33	8	308	94	-4	+3	+0	-3	+16	1.3
2032	29	MLB	MIA	66%	572	518	112	20	4	24	45	192	4	17	2	216	284	409	693	193	289	34	8	307	93	-5	+3	-0	-3	+16	1.1
2033	30	MLB	MIA	65%	563	510	110	20	4	23	44	190	4	15	2	216	283	406	689	190	287	34	8	304	91	-6	+2	-1	-3	+16	0.8
2034	31	MLB	MIA	65%	554	503	107	19	4	23	43	189	3	13	2	213	279	404	682	191	285	34	8	300	88	-8	+2	-2	-3	+16	0.5
2035	32	MLB	MIA	70%	544	494	103	18	4	22	42	188	3	10	1	209	275	395	669	186	281	35	8	294	83	-10	+2	-2	-3	+15	0.1
2027	24	MLB	MIA	39%	218	199	42	8	2	9	16	77	1	7	1	211	273	407	680	196	285	35	7	294	83	-4	+1	+0	-1	+6	0.2
2028	25	MLB	MIA	56%	324	295	64	11	3	14	24	110	2	11	1	217	280	417	697	200	285	34	7	297	86	-5	+2	+1	-2	+9	0.5
2029	26	MLB	MIA	64%	373	340	74	13	3	16	28	125	2	12	2	218	281	415	696	197	285	34	8	299	87	-5	+2	+1	-2	+11	0.5
2030	27	MLB	MIA	66%	384	349	76	14	3	16	29	128	3	13	2	218	283	413	696	195	285	33	8	299	87	-5	+2	+1	-2	+11	0.6
2031	28	MLB	MIA	67%	387	351	76	14	3	16	30	129	3	12	2	217	284	410	694	194	285	33	8	299	87	-6	+2	+0	-2	+11	0.5
2032	29	MLB	MIA	66%	376	342	73	13	3	15	29	126	2	11	1	213	279	401	679	187	284	34	8	297	85	-6	+2	-0	-2	+11	0.4
2033	30	MLB	MIA	65%	367	333	71	13	3	15	29	124	2	10	1	213	280	405	686	192	282	34	8	294	83	-7	+2	-1	-2	+10	0.2
2034	31	MLB	MIA	65%	359	326	67	12	2	14	28	123	2	8	1	206	272	383	656	178	280	34	8	290	80	-8	+1	-1	-2	+10	0.0
2035	32	MLB	MIA	70%	382	347	71	12	3	15	30	132	2	7	1	205	272	386	658	182	276	35	8	285	76	-10	+1	-2	-2	+11	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3174	2886	614	110	25	130	243	1075	19	91	12	213	278	403	682	191	285	34	8	295	84	-58	+13	-1	-19	+90	2.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	126	23	5	27	50	220	4	19	2	213	279	406	685	193	285	34	8	295	84	-12	+3	-0	-4	+18	0.6
Career	—			—	5891	5356	1139	205	44	247	447	1992	39	184	20	213	278	406	684	193	283	34	8	300	88	-81	+29	-0	-35	+167	8.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	126	23	5	27	49	220	4	20	2	213	278	406	684	193	285	34	8	300	88	-9	+3	-0	-4	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	56	52	13	4	0	1	4	9	0	3	0	250	304	385	688	135	286	16	7	308	94	-0	+1	—	—	+2	0.2
2025	22	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	332	289	66	12	3	13	36	69	4	13	1	228	321	426	747	197	254	21	11	331	111	+4	+2	—	—	+9	1.6
2025	22	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	195	176	44	9	2	9	18	55	1	13	1	250	323	477	800	227	312	28	9	351	127	+6	+2	—	—	+6	1.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	10	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
	/162	664	27	11	230	288	422	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#2Adam Duvalllast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,723 PA	11	3,723	195	22	227	287	459	-31	+11	11.0	11.8
	/162	664	35	4	227	287	459	-5.5	+2.0	2.0	pk7: 13
#3Tony Batistalast yr '07 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,601 PA	7	3,601	162	33	244	291	445	-9	-1	10.4	10.4
	/162	664	30	6	244	291	445	-1.6	-0.2	1.9	pk7: 10
#4Alex Gonzalezlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 3,150 PA	6	3,150	86	34	246	304	402	-0	+23	9.7	9.7
	/162	664	18	7	246	304	402	-0.0	+4.9	2.1	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	3,177	134	90	217	280	413	-19	+11	4.9	4.7
	/162	664	28	19	217	280	413	-4.0	+2.3	1.0	pk7: 5
#5Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#6Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dillon Lewis (OGILVIE)	23	41→43	53→56	58→59	51	195/254/400	205	271	22	21	39%	7%	76	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Joey Wiemer 2022 · A	23	45→43	53→55	53→55	45	232/305/398	166	303	22	19	30%	8%	98	+1.6	211/279/361	150	293	17	19	32%	8%	78	+0.2	198/270/335	137	277	15	20	33%	8%	65	-0.5
✕Joe Benson 2011 · AA	23	44→48	56→60	51→50	41	229/299/428	199	311	23	16	33%	7%	104	+2.0	216/281/382	166	298	18	14	32%	7%	84	+0.6	200/265/345	145	281	15	14	33%	7%	66	-0.4
●Zack Gelof 2023 · AAA	23	44→50	56→55	52→55	43	231/294/422	190	319	25	13	35%	8%	100	+1.7	230/295/405	175	321	22	23	33%	8%	95	+1.4	221/291/390	169	308	21	27	33%	8%	88	+0.7
✕Ezequiel Duran 2022 · A	23	40→50	53→55	50	37	207/268/379	172	301	21	14	37%	6%	78	+0.2	242/286/404	162	315	18	13	28%	5%	92	+1.2	251/292/407	156	316	18	12	26%	5%	92	+0.9
●Matt McLain 2023 · AA	23	40→50	51→55	59→55	46	204/291/370	166	288	19	24	34%	10%	85	+0.7	246/324/427	181	328	21	21	29%	9%	113	+2.6	236/320/399	164	307	19	21	28%	10%	103	+1.6
✕Everson Pereira 2023 · AA	22	46	52→55	54→50	39	226/284/396	170	330	19	16	36%	7%	89	+0.9	225/287/381	156	333	18	15	36%	7%	86	+0.8	218/287/372	154	315	19	15	35%	7%	80	+0.2
✕Casper Wells 2009 · AA	24	42→46	56→60	53→50	44	226/297/423	197	271	24	16	27%	7%	102	+1.9	224/293/423	199	289	24	10	30%	7%	100	+1.7	228/301/438	210	281	24	7	27%	8%	103	+1.3
✕Jonny DeLuca 2022 · A	24	41→38	54→60	56→55	45	219/278/397	178	254	22	15	24%	7%	87	+0.8	226/291/414	188	257	23	16	22%	7%	97	+1.5	222/292/406	184	249	22	19	21%	7%	92	+0.8
✕Alexander Canario 2023 · AAA	23	36→34	58→60	53→50	38	203/263/401	197	283	27	17	38%	7%	82	+0.5	215/278/394	179	307	23	11	36%	7%	86	+0.8	210/275/374	164	298	21	8	35%	8%	76	+0.0
●Cade Marlowe 2022 · A	25	41→51	55	55→60	40	213/274/406	192	305	22	15	36%	7%	87	+0.8	225/293/385	160	330	18	31	35%	8%	89	+1.0	216/289/361	145	320	16	40	35%	8%	79	+0.2
●Chris Young 2006 · AA	22	44→49	57→60	55	46	231/302/438	206	297	24	23	30%	8%	108	+2.3	232/297/432	200	270	23	20	23%	8%	104	+2.0	239/321/428	189	289	20	17	24%	10%	109	+2.5
✕Jerry Sands 2011 · AA	23	45→46	59→60	53→45	46	242/307/453	211	289	28	9	27%	8%	114	+2.7	211/277/368	157	276	19	5	30%	8%	79	+0.3	238/300/412	174	297	20	3	26%	8%	96	+0.8
●Connor Norby 2023 · AAA	23	45→49	51→55	50	44	232/297/394	162	296	20	12	28%	7%	93	+1.3	242/301/407	165	320	20	11	29%	7%	98	+1.6	245/305/413	168	324	20	11	29%	7%	99	+1.5
✕Ronny Simon 2023 · AA	23	39→49	52→50	56→55	39	210/253/374	164	262	21	22	29%	5%	70	-0.3	234/287/359	125	298	13	24	25%	6%	79	+0.3	261/322/377	116	323	10	29	21%	7%	95	+1.0
✕Brandon Wood 2008 · MLB	23	42→45	56→65	52→50	39	224/275/420	196	295	24	11	33%	6%	92	+1.2	212/261/377	165	269	22	7	30%	6%	75	-0.0	200/247/355	156	246	22	5	29%	5%	60	-0.8
✕Justin Maxwell 2008 · MLB	24	42→44	54→60	54→60	39	222/282/401	179	302	23	20	34%	6%	89	+1.0	219/294/375	156	303	18	28	32%	9%	88	+0.9	223/297/433	210	304	27	17	34%	9%	101	+0.9
✕John Mayberry Jr. 2008 · AA	24	37→47	54→55	51→50	41	205/264/381	176	254	23	10	30%	6%	77	+0.1	215/264/376	161	269	19	11	27%	5%	75	-0.0	243/295/401	158	287	19	12	22%	6%	91	+0.9
●Oneil Cruz 2022 · AAA	23	48→53	56→60	57→60	40	248/295/447	199	326	24	21	31%	6%	106	+2.2	237/300/427	190	316	23	20	31%	8%	103	+1.9	238/321/427	189	324	23	34	32%	10%	106	+1.7
✕Jarred Kelenic 2021 · AA	22	45→55	57→60	52→50	42	238/292/441	202	298	25	14	29%	7%	104	+2.0	231/295/422	191	292	22	13	28%	8%	100	+1.7	231/299/421	190	297	21	15	28%	8%	98	+1.4
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2023 · AA	22	46→48	51→55	58→55	37	235/272/402	167	295	18	19	27%	4%	85	+0.7	240/277/395	155	301	17	23	26%	4%	85	+0.7	247/287/396	150	298	15	20	22%	4%	88	+0.7