Dillon Lewis

CF Pensacola Blue Wahoos
Age 24 R/R 6'3" / 205 lbs AA HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1080ETA2029MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202421ANYY56.250/.304/.3851347—.208/.250/.321
202522A+/ANYY527.237/.322/.445222658—.184/.246/.359
202623AA/INTL2 orgs419.244/.304/.460192171—.199/.245/.366
2027PROJMLE24MLBMIA4.212/.263/.37400830.0
2028PROJ31% MLB25MLBMIA75.214/.267/.37832860.1
2029PROJ45% MLB26MLBMIA130.215/.269/.38054870.2
Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$0.6M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
Speed86
ISO80
wRC+50
wOBA48
Whiff%28
Chase%23
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.5 / P90 2.7, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 90%
CompsJoey Wiemer (age 24) · Nelson Velázquez (age 24) · Denzel Clarke (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†83
AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .263 / .374
PA4
HR0
K%25
BB%6
BABIP289
ISO179
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -4.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +1.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.3 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.20+0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.00.10.20.20.20.10.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$3M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.2$0.6M+$0.0M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.2$0.6M+$0.0M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2033Arb-1$0.6M———
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $2M $2M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202421 ATampa Tarpons — 5652 13401 490 30 250304385688 135286 167 308 47 — — — — — —
202522 A+Hudson Valley Renegades — 332289 6612313 36694 131 228321426747 197254 2111 331 58 — — — — — —
202522 ATampa Tarpons — 195176 44929 18551 131 250323477800 227312 289 351 57 — — — — — —
202623 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos — 368339 8212418 281111 203 242302460762 218305 308 334 65 — — — — — —
202623 INTLGlendale Desert Dogs — 5146 12601 4180 11 261320457777 196393 358 335 113 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202421 A MLETampa Tarpons — 5653 11301 3130 30 208250321571 113251 235 238 47 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLEHudson Valley Renegades — 332304 569312 22924 131 184248352600 168211 287 254 58 — — — — — —
202522 A MLETampa Tarpons — 195181 33628 13751 131 182241370611 188247 387 253 57 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLEPensacola Blue Wahoos — 368347 6910314 201351 203 199245366611 167283 375 264 65 — — — — — —
202421 A MLETampa Tarpons — 5653 11301 3130 30 208250321571 113256 235 238 47 — — — — — —
202421 A RAWTampa Tarpons — 5652 13401 490 30 250304385688 135286 167 308 47 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLE2 teams — 527485 8715419 351675 262 179242344586 165226 327 254 58 — — — — — —
202522 A+ RAW2 teams — 527465 11021522 541245 262 237322445767 209274 2410 338 58 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLE2 teams — 419395 8012416 221541 214 203246375621 172283 375 264 65 — — — — — —
202623 AA RAW2 teams — 419385 9418419 321291 214 244304460764 216315 318 334 65 — — — — — —
202421 A MLETampa Tarpons — 5653 11301 3130 30 208250321571 113251 235 238 47 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLE2 teams — 527482 8715419 351675 262 180242346588 166224 327 254 58 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLE2 teams — 419393 8012416 221541 214 204246377623 173283 375 264 65 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202421 A MLETampa Tarpons — 5653 11301 3130 30 208250321571 113251 235 238 47 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLE2 teams — 527482 8715419 351675 262 180242346588 166224 327 254 58 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLE2 teams — 419393 8012416 221541 214 204246377623 173283 375 264 65 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLEMIA 2% 380352 7713314 231292 122 219270392662 172299 346 291 83 -8 +2 +1 +1 +8 0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202724 MLB CTXMIA 2% 44 0000 010 00 212263374637 162289 250 281 83 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLEMIA 31% 242224 49829 15811 81 222274397671 175299 336 295 86 -4 +1 +0 +1 +5 0.4
202926 MLB MLEMIA 45% 291269 6010211 18962 91 223277398675 175298 336 297 87 -5 +1 +1 +1 +6 0.5
203027 MLB MLEMIA 49% 312287 6311211 201012 91 223278396674 173297 326 297 87 -5 +1 +1 +1 +7 0.5
203128 MLB MLEMIA 52% 321295 6511211 211032 81 222278392670 170296 327 295 86 -5 +1 -0 +1 +7 0.4
203229 MLB MLEMIA 52% 317291 6411211 211012 71 221277387664 166294 327 293 84 -6 +1 -1 +1 +7 0.2
203330 MLB MLEMIA 52% 311286 6211210 201002 51 218273379652 161292 326 288 81 -7 +1 -2 +1 +7 -0.0
202825 MLB CTXMIA 31% 7570 15213 5250 20 214267378645 165289 337 285 86 -1 +0 +0 +0 +2 0.1
202926 MLB CTXMIA 45% 130120 26415 8431 41 215269380649 165288 336 286 87 -2 +0 +0 +0 +3 0.2
203027 MLB CTXMIA 49% 153141 30515 10501 51 215270378648 163287 337 286 87 -2 +1 +0 +1 +3 0.2
203128 MLB CTXMIA 52% 166153 33516 11531 41 215271374645 160286 327 285 86 -3 +0 -0 +1 +4 0.2
203229 MLB CTXMIA 52% 163150 31515 11521 41 213270369639 156284 327 283 84 -3 +0 -0 +1 +4 0.1
203330 MLB CTXMIA 52% 160148 31515 10521 30 210266362628 151282 326 279 81 -4 +1 -1 +1 +3 0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 847782 16626629 552755 224 212268372641 160284 326 284 77 -15 +3 -1 +3 +18 0.9
/ 162G— A+C — 650600 12820522 422114 173 213269373643 160286 326 284 77 -12 +2 -0 +2 +14 0.7
Career— MLE — 30062780 5849922107 18798718 10313 210264377641 167281 336 281 77 -36 +8 -0 +7 +43 2.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650601 12621523 402134 223 210264376640 166280 336 281 77 -12 +3 -0 +2 +14 0.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 368 PAwOBA .325 → .264 (−61)K% 30.2% → 36.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.16%÷1.000×1.220——36.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.61%÷1.000×0.680—×1.0275.31%
HBP% /PA0.27%—×0.840—×1.0270.23%
Singles /BIP21.05%÷1.000×0.920×1.002×1.02719.93%
Doubles /BIP5.26%÷1.000×0.910×1.002×1.0274.93%
Triples /BIP1.75%÷1.000×0.880×1.002×1.0271.59%
Home runs /BIP7.89%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0276.49%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.

Result: wOBA .325 → .264; ISO .218 → .173; BABIP .305 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Hudson Valley Renegades · 332 PAwOBA .324 → .254 (−69)K% 20.8% → 27.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.78%÷0.985×1.310——27.65%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.84%÷0.984×0.600—×1.0126.69%
HBP% /PA1.20%—×0.770—×1.0120.94%
Singles /BIP17.27%÷0.991×0.870×0.968×1.01214.85%
Doubles /BIP5.45%÷1.014×0.780×0.968×1.0124.11%
Triples /BIP1.36%÷0.975×0.850×0.968×1.0121.16%
Home runs /BIP5.91%÷0.969×0.880—×1.0125.43%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 98, 2B 103, 3B 95, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.968.

Result: wOBA .324 → .254; ISO .197 → .169; BABIP .254 → .211. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ATampa Tarpons · 195 PAwOBA .342 → .253 (−89)K% 28.2% → 38.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.21%÷1.000×1.360——38.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.23%÷0.971×0.690——6.56%
HBP% /PA0.51%—×0.780——0.40%
Singles /BIP19.83%÷1.119×0.920×0.961—15.67%
Doubles /BIP7.44%÷1.046×0.830×0.961—5.67%
Triples /BIP1.65%÷0.913×0.910×0.961—1.58%
Home runs /BIP7.44%÷0.842×0.800——7.07%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 68, 1B 124, 2B 109, 3B 83, K 100, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.961.

Result: wOBA .342 → .253; ISO .227 → .182; BABIP .312 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ATampa Tarpons · 56 PAwOBA .300 → .238 (−62)K% 16.1% → 22.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.07%÷0.959×1.360——22.79%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.14%÷1.061×0.690—×1.0154.71%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0150.00%
Singles /BIP18.60%÷1.035×0.920×1.007×1.01516.90%
Doubles /BIP9.30%÷1.028×0.830×1.007×1.0157.68%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.971×0.910×1.007×1.0150.00%
Home runs /BIP2.33%÷0.979×0.800—×1.0151.93%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 107, 2B 106, 3B 94, K 92, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.

Result: wOBA .300 → .238; ISO .135 → .105; BABIP .286 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .