Dillon Lewis — OGILVIE

Dillon LewisCF Pensacola Blue Wahoos

Age 23 R/R 6'3" / 205 lbs AA HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION364 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP281

ISO169

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$20M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 43 / POW 56

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT43

scouting grade only

POWER56

scouting grade only

EYE49

scouting grade only

SPEED59

scouting grade only

DEFENSE54

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$2M	+$2M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2032	Arb-1	$2M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-2	$3M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$8M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	56	52	13	4	0	1	4	9	0	3	0	250	304	385	688	135	286	16	7	308	95	-0	+1	—	—	+1	0.1
2025	22	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	332	289	66	12	3	13	36	69	4	13	1	228	321	426	747	197	254	21	11	331	110	+4	+2	—	—	+7	1.4
2025	22	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	195	176	44	9	2	9	18	55	1	13	1	250	323	477	800	227	312	28	9	351	124	+6	+2	—	—	+4	1.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	56	53	11	3	0	1	3	13	0	3	0	208	250	321	571	113	259	23	5	246	53	-3	+1	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	22	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	332	302	56	9	3	11	24	94	4	13	1	185	255	344	599	159	219	28	7	255	59	-16	+2	—	—	+7	-0.7
2025	22	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	195	180	32	7	1	8	14	78	1	13	1	178	241	361	602	183	256	40	7	261	63	-9	+2	—	—	+4	-0.2
2024	21	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	56	53	11	3	0	1	3	13	0	3	0	208	250	321	571	113	256	23	5	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	Tampa Tarpons	—	56	52	13	4	0	1	4	9	0	3	0	250	304	385	688	135	286	16	7	308	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	527	482	87	16	4	18	38	172	5	26	2	180	248	342	590	162	235	33	7	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	527	465	110	21	5	22	54	124	5	26	2	237	322	445	767	209	274	24	10	338	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	56	53	11	3	0	1	3	13	0	3	0	208	250	321	571	113	259	23	5	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	527	479	87	16	4	18	38	172	5	26	2	182	248	344	592	163	233	33	7	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	21	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	56	53	11	3	0	1	3	13	0	3	0	208	250	321	571	113	259	23	5	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	527	479	87	16	4	18	38	172	5	26	2	182	248	344	592	163	233	33	7	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	AA MLE	MIA	—	364	344	66	10	3	12	19	135	1	19	3	192	236	343	579	151	274	37	5	253	57	-18	+3	+0	+1	+8	-0.7
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	AA RAW	MIA	—	364	335	80	12	4	17	28	111	1	19	3	239	299	451	750	212	304	30	8	330	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	AA MLE	MIA	2%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		289	33	11	277	74	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	23	AA MLE	MIA	—	373	352	67	10	3	12	20	138	1	19	3	190	236	338	574	148	272	37	5	254	58	-19	+3	+0	+1	+8	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	MIA	39%	479	444	95	16	4	17	30	160	2	16	2	214	267	383	650	169	292	33	6	290	82	-10	+2	+2	+2	+10	0.6
2028	25	MLB MLE	MIA	56%	506	464	103	18	4	19	34	164	3	17	2	222	279	401	680	179	292	32	7	296	86	-8	+3	+2	+2	+11	0.9
2029	26	MLB MLE	MIA	64%	521	478	106	18	4	20	35	166	3	18	3	222	279	402	681	180	292	32	7	299	89	-7	+2	+2	+2	+11	1.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	MIA	66%	526	481	108	19	4	20	37	167	3	18	3	225	284	405	689	181	292	32	7	300	89	-7	+2	+2	+2	+11	1.1
2031	28	MLB MLE	MIA	67%	525	480	106	18	4	19	37	167	3	17	2	221	281	394	675	173	291	32	7	299	88	-7	+3	+1	+2	+11	1.0
2032	29	MLB MLE	MIA	66%	517	472	104	18	4	19	37	166	3	16	2	220	281	396	677	176	290	32	7	297	87	-8	+2	+0	+2	+11	0.8
2033	30	MLB MLE	MIA	71%	507	463	101	17	4	18	36	164	3	14	2	218	279	389	668	171	289	32	7	294	85	-9	+2	-0	+2	+11	0.6
2027	24	MLB CTX	MIA	39%	185	170	36	6	2	6	12	62	1	6	1	212	268	376	644	165	283	34	6	278	82	-4	+1	+1	+1	+4	0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	MIA	56%	282	259	55	9	2	10	19	91	2	10	1	212	271	378	650	166	284	32	7	283	86	-5	+2	+1	+1	+6	0.5
2029	26	MLB CTX	MIA	64%	332	304	66	11	3	12	23	106	2	11	2	217	277	391	668	174	284	32	7	286	89	-4	+1	+1	+1	+7	0.7
2030	27	MLB CTX	MIA	66%	346	317	68	11	3	12	24	110	2	12	2	215	274	382	656	167	283	32	7	287	89	-4	+2	+1	+1	+7	0.7
2031	28	MLB CTX	MIA	67%	351	321	69	11	3	12	25	112	2	11	2	215	276	380	656	165	283	32	7	286	88	-5	+1	+1	+1	+8	0.6
2032	29	MLB CTX	MIA	66%	340	311	67	11	3	12	24	109	2	10	1	215	276	386	662	170	282	32	7	284	87	-5	+2	+0	+1	+7	0.5
2033	30	MLB CTX	MIA	71%	359	328	69	11	3	12	26	116	2	10	1	210	272	372	644	162	281	32	7	282	85	-6	+2	-0	+1	+8	0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2195	2010	430	70	19	76	153	706	13	70	10	214	274	381	655	167	285	32	7	284	83	-34	+10	+5	+8	+48	3.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	595	128	21	6	23	45	209	4	21	3	215	275	387	661	171	286	32	7	284	83	-10	+3	+1	+2	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	4173	3825	822	143	32	151	288	1342	25	145	18	215	274	387	662	173	285	32	7	291	83	-56	+17	+8	+13	+78	6.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	596	128	22	5	24	45	209	4	23	3	215	274	389	664	174	284	32	7	291	83	-10	+3	+1	+2	+14	1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	6.7	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
/162	664	27	11	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#2Adam Duvalllast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,723 PA	5.6	3,723	195	22	227	287	459	-31	+11	11.0	11.8
/162	664	35	4	-5.5	+2.0	2.0	pk7: 13
#3Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#4Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#5Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	3.3	2,203	81	71	221	277	397	-13	+7	2.4	2.4
/162	664	24	21	-4.0	+2.2	0.7	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dillon Lewis (OGILVIE)	23	41→43	53→56	58→59	49	206/257/366	160	289	11	13	35%	6%	74	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Joey Wiemer 2022 · A	23	45→44	54→55	54→55	45	235/308/409	174	306	23	19	30%	8%	102	+1.5	211/280/354	143	291	16	19	31%	8%	79	-0.2	197/270/324	127	275	13	20	32%	8%	66	-0.8
✕Everson Pereira 2023 · AA	22	46→47	51→55	54→50	39	228/285/395	167	332	19	16	36%	7%	90	+0.6	222/284/369	147	329	17	15	36%	7%	84	+0.1	205/279/360	155	289	21	12	35%	7%	77	-0.1
●Matt McLain 2023 · AA	23	40→50	49→55	59→55	47	205/293/360	155	287	16	24	33%	10%	86	+0.3	245/323/418	173	327	19	21	29%	9%	109	+2.0	229/312/387	159	297	19	21	28%	9%	96	+0.9
✕Tim Tawa 2022 · A	23	45→44	47→55	58→50	45	221/289/359	138	303	14	18	30%	8%	83	+0.1	211/273/334	123	271	14	11	27%	7%	72	-0.7	224/287/394	170	271	21	14	25%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Joe Benson 2011 · AA	23	44→50	52→55	51→50	42	224/295/399	175	308	18	16	32%	7%	95	+1.0	215/280/364	149	297	14	14	31%	7%	81	-0.1	209/280/316	107	280	8	13	27%	7%	68	-0.7
✕Denzel Clarke 2023 · A	23	43→44	49→50	57→55	40	203/285/356	153	342	16	22	42%	9%	82	-0.0	214/287/358	144	336	14	23	38%	8%	82	+0.0	214/286/353	139	331	13	27	36%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Ezequiel Duran 2022 · A	23	40→50	51→55	50	37	206/265/364	158	302	19	14	37%	6%	76	-0.4	240/284/393	153	314	17	13	28%	5%	89	+0.5	249/290/398	149	316	16	12	26%	5%	89	+0.4
●Zack Gelof 2023 · AAA	23	45→50	51→55	52→55	43	228/290/387	159	317	20	13	33%	8%	90	+0.6	230/295/403	173	322	21	23	33%	8%	96	+1.0	223/292/397	174	309	22	27	34%	8%	91	+0.5
✕Brandon Meredith 2013 · A	23	47→40	50	52→45	43	233/300/394	161	312	17	11	30%	7%	95	+1.0	214/292/363	149	281	17	7	29%	9%	86	+0.3	199/283/343	144	256	17	5	28%	9%	75	-0.3
✕Jonny DeLuca 2022 · A	24	40→37	53→60	56→55	45	216/275/390	173	253	21	15	24%	7%	85	+0.2	224/289/407	183	256	22	16	22%	7%	95	+0.9	221/290/400	179	249	21	19	21%	7%	91	+0.4
✕Derek Fisher 2016 · A	22	43→50	50→55	55	42	218/282/367	149	303	18	18	33%	8%	82	+0.0	229/299/385	156	321	18	19	32%	8%	93	+0.8	225/302/403	177	309	23	18	33%	9%	95	+0.7
✕Shay Whitcomb 2022 · A	23	45→44	49→55	54→55	35	218/273/361	143	345	18	21	40%	6%	78	-0.3	199/249/347	148	291	20	18	37%	5%	66	-1.1	212/276/372	160	270	22	23	29%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Casper Wells 2009 · AA	24	42→44	55→60	53→50	44	224/296/411	187	269	22	16	26%	7%	99	+1.2	221/289/404	183	287	21	10	30%	7%	94	+0.9	222/294/415	193	276	22	7	27%	8%	95	+0.6
✕Jeter Downs 2021 · AA	23	42→40	51→50	51→55	45	218/285/381	163	274	18	17	27%	7%	87	+0.4	175/249/292	117	254	14	21	35%	7%	54	-2.0	171/263/306	134	238	15	26	33%	8%	61	-0.7
✕Brett Wisely 2022 · A	23	48→50	50	52→55	43	240/297/387	147	323	18	20	31%	8%	93	+0.8	230/298/363	133	301	13	18	26%	8%	87	+0.4	227/298/355	129	291	12	17	25%	8%	83	+0.1
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2023 · AA	22	46→55	49→55	58→55	37	233/270/393	160	293	16	19	27%	4%	84	+0.1	242/279/395	153	304	16	23	25%	4%	88	+0.4	253/291/409	156	303	17	19	22%	4%	93	+0.8
✕Ryan Cordell 2016 · AA	24	46→43	48→50	55→50	40	233/279/376	143	297	16	15	27%	5%	83	+0.1	216/261/356	140	281	15	14	28%	5%	72	-0.7	202/246/339	137	261	15	14	28%	5%	61	-0.8
✕Lewis Brinson 2017 · AAA	23	47→53	50→55	52→50	40	237/280/396	159	303	17	15	28%	5%	88	+0.4	217/268/361	144	284	16	12	28%	5%	76	-0.4	230/272/404	174	301	22	8	31%	5%	85	+0.1
✕Kenedy Corona 2023 · A	23	43→42	47→50	53→55	40	215/272/353	138	300	15	21	33%	6%	76	-0.4	203/266/317	114	284	11	24	31%	7%	65	-1.2	193/264/284	90	267	9	27	29%	7%	54	-1.3
●Ronny Simon 2023 · AA	23	39→49	51→50	56→60	39	211/255/370	159	265	20	22	29%	5%	73	-0.6	230/286/350	120	294	11	24	24%	7%	80	-0.2	266/329/370	104	332	7	30	21%	8%	98	+0.9

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps