Luis Burgos
P
Stockton Ports
Age 20
RHP
6'2" / 186 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION35 act + 32 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 145136vR 127
ERA5.63
FIP5.63
K%15.0%
BB%14.5%
K-BB%0.5%
ROS IP32
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 66 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL NYY Yankees | 14 | 2 | 28 | 127 | 23 | 19 | 1 | 14% | 2.0 | 12.3% | 18.7% | -6.4% | 1.2% | 5.14 | 5.10 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL NYY Yankees | 14 | 2 | 28 | 127 | 23 | 19 | 1 | 14% | 2.0 | 18.1% | 15.0% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 5.14 | 3.96 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL NYY Bombers | 11 | 8 | 52 | 211 | 48 | 23 | 2 | 73% | 4.7 | 15.5% | 13.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.44 | 4.14 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL NYY Bombers | 11 | 8 | 52 | 211 | 48 | 23 | 2 | 73% | 4.7 | 22.7% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 0.9% | 2.44 | 3.08 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | A | Stockton Ports | 11 | 6 | 35 | 180 | 24 | 20 | 3 | 55% | 3.2 | 9.9% | 13.1% | -3.2% | 2.2% | 8.57 | 5.12 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | OAK | 5 | 5 | 32 | 133 | 20 | 19 | 4 | 100% | 6.3 | 15.0% | 14.5% | 0.5% | 2.9% | 5.63 | 5.63 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15.0% | 14.5% | 0.5% | 2.9% | 5.63 | 5.63 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 66 | 313 | 44 | 39 | 7 | — | — | 14.0% | 12.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 7.17 | 5.36 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | OAK | 5 | 5 | 33 | 140 | 23 | 18 | 4 | 100% | 6.6 | 16.6% | 13.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 5.37 | 5.30 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | OAK | 2 | 2 | 16 | 68 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 100% | 8.0 | 16.6% | 13.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 5.37 | 5.30 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 16 | 69 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 100% | 8.1 | 16.6% | 13.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 5.37 | 4.92 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 30 | 30 | 200 | 844 | 135 | 111 | 25 | 100% | 6.6 | 16.6% | 13.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 5.37 | 4.92 | +1.1 | ||
| Career | — | 36 | 16 | 114 | 518 | 66 | 76 | 8 | 44% | 3.2 | 12.7% | 14.7% | -1.9% | 1.5% | 4.96 | 4.71 | +0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 63 | 28 | 200 | 906 | 116 | 133 | 14 | 44% | 3.2 | 12.7% | 14.7% | -1.9% | 1.5% | 4.96 | 4.71 | +1.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Luis Burgos (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.63 | 15.0% | 14.5% | 2.9% | — | 5.30 | 16.6% | 3.4% | 33 | -0.33 | — | — | — |
| Maiker Manuel R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.56 | 15.0% | 13.2% | 1.9% | .278 | 4.62 | 15.3% | 11.5% | 51 | +0.06 | 4.56 | 148 | 89 |
| Alain Pena R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.09 | 14.2% | 13.9% | 2.6% | .222 | 5.50 | 15.6% | 3.5% | 190 | +0.41 | 3.66 | 265 | 87 |
| Nolberto Henriquez R 2027 · 4.75 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.75 | 16.0% | 13.4% | 2.4% | .305 | 5.43 | 11.3% | -3.1% | 52 | +0.68 | 4.75 | 108 | 86 |
| Miguel Vinicio R 2025 · 5.69 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.69 | 13.8% | 14.2% | 3.5% | .327 | 3.98 | 16.9% | 1.4% | 47 | -1.71 | 3.63 | 164 | 86 |
| Luis Martinez-Gomez R 2027 · 5.32 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.32 | 13.9% | 15.4% | 2.6% | .237 | 4.05 | 20.5% | 4.7% | 73 | -1.27 | 3.79 | 101 | 86 |
| Kristian Cardozo R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.98 | 16.3% | 13.5% | 2.8% | .358 | 7.24 | 13.6% | -4.3% | 15 | +2.26 | 3.49 | 138 | 86 |
| Jorge Cespedes R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.88 | 11.2% | 12.2% | 2.1% | .284 | 4.14 | 12.9% | 5.6% | 107 | -0.74 | 3.47 | 153 | 86 |
| Yeury Tatiz R 2026 · 5.77 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.77 | 17.4% | 15.6% | 3.9% | .295 | 5.37 | 13.0% | -1.0% | 100 | -0.40 | 3.73 | 221 | 86 |
| Juan Perez R 2027 · 5.28 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.28 | 15.4% | 14.1% | 3.1% | .321 | 4.63 | 10.8% | 0.0% | 56 | -0.65 | 4.63 | 113 | 85 |
| Bryan Polanco R 2026 · 5.33 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.33 | 18.2% | 14.3% | 3.5% | .248 | 5.50 | 13.0% | 1.2% | 243 | +0.17 | 5.24 | 347 | 84 |
| Gabriel Chinchilla R 2025 · 5.10 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.10 | 17.9% | 14.4% | 3.1% | .349 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 113 | 84 |
| Lisander Brito R 2026 · 5.60 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.60 | 14.1% | 15.0% | 3.3% | .309 | 3.23 | 18.9% | 5.3% | 21 | -2.37 | 3.23 | 101 | 84 |
| Luis Rujano R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.72 | 17.1% | 16.6% | 1.8% | .309 | 4.90 | 17.0% | 0.4% | 125 | +0.18 | 4.67 | 178 | 84 |
| Reibyn Corona R 2025 · 4.94 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.94 | 17.0% | 13.1% | 2.9% | .290 | 5.61 | 14.5% | 1.7% | 63 | +0.67 | 4.38 | 190 | 83 |
| Danny Flatt R 2026 · 6.05 FIP | 20 | SP- | 6.05 | 14.5% | 15.7% | 4.0% | .304 | 5.46 | 12.5% | -1.1% | 65 | -0.59 | 5.31 | 112 | 83 |
| Juan Gomez R 2026 · 5.39 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.39 | 10.9% | 12.6% | 2.9% | .345 | 3.58 | 11.2% | -0.1% | 61 | -1.81 | 3.58 | 113 | 83 |
| Moises Gomez R 2026 · 5.58 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.58 | 15.3% | 13.8% | 3.7% | .297 | 4.15 | 22.7% | 12.1% | 102 | -1.43 | 3.23 | 258 | 82 |
| Angel Peralta R 2025 · 4.90 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.90 | 15.7% | 13.6% | 2.5% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 105 | 82 |
| Jeffrey German R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.59 | 13.6% | 15.5% | 1.2% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 123 | 82 |
| Julio Goff R 2025 · 4.80 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.80 | 16.1% | 11.9% | 2.8% | .364 | 4.84 | 16.4% | 5.9% | 207 | +0.04 | 4.43 | 251 | 82 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 32 | 15.8% | 13.8% | 1.10 | 5.50 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |