Kyle DeGroat
P
ACL Royals
Age 20
RHP
6'1" / 195 lbs
ROK
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION28 act + 27 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 141132vR 122
ERA5.42
FIP5.42
K%14.0%
BB%11.6%
K-BB%2.4%
ROS IP27
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 56 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 12 | 49 | 214 | 44 | 17 | 4 | 92% | 3.8 | 13.7% | 9.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.83 | 4.91 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 12 | 49 | 214 | 44 | 17 | 4 | 92% | 3.8 | 20.6% | 7.9% | 12.6% | 1.9% | 3.83 | 3.40 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 17 | 0 | 28 | 138 | 32 | 26 | 8 | 0% | 1.7 | 17.8% | 18.7% | -0.9% | 9.2% | 7.62 | 8.99 | -1.5 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | KC | 26 | 0 | 27 | 116 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.0% | 11.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.42 | 5.42 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | KC | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14.0% | 11.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.42 | 5.42 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | KC | — | — | 56 | 254 | 48 | 39 | 11 | — | — | 19.0% | 15.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.54 | 7.24 | -1.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | KC | 27 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 19 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.9% | 11.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 5.22 | 5.16 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | KC | 13 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.9% | 11.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 5.22 | 5.16 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 13 | 0 | 14 | 60 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.9% | 11.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 5.22 | 4.78 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 127 | 99 | 28 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.9% | 11.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 5.22 | 4.78 | +1.5 | ||
| Career | — | 30 | 12 | 78 | 352 | 54 | 47 | 19 | 40% | 2.6 | 15.3% | 13.3% | 2.0% | 5.5% | 5.21 | 6.51 | -1.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 77 | 31 | 200 | 906 | 139 | 121 | 50 | 40% | 2.6 | 15.3% | 13.3% | 2.0% | 5.5% | 5.21 | 6.51 | -2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kyle DeGroat (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.42 | 14.0% | 11.6% | 3.0% | — | 5.16 | 15.9% | 4.8% | 29 | -0.26 | — | — | — |
| Juan Burgos R 2025 · 4.75 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.75 | 15.4% | 13.5% | 2.3% | .292 | 4.43 | 17.7% | 0.8% | 58 | -0.32 | 3.60 | 268 | 86 |
| Tyler Driver R 2026 · 5.29 FIP | 20 | SW | 5.29 | 15.0% | 13.8% | 3.1% | .312 | 5.91 | 14.5% | 1.4% | 88 | +0.62 | 5.29 | 180 | 85 |
| Tanner Cooper R 2027 · 4.75 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.75 | 17.1% | 14.1% | 2.4% | .338 | 5.44 | 14.4% | 6.7% | 121 | +0.69 | 4.49 | 148 | 85 |
| Nolan Kingham R 2027 · 4.70 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.70 | 12.1% | 8.7% | 2.8% | .338 | 4.35 | 13.1% | 7.0% | 260 | -0.35 | 4.06 | 502 | 85 |
| Sasagi Sanchez R 2027 · 4.42 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.42 | 11.4% | 9.4% | 2.0% | .289 | 4.54 | 12.7% | 4.0% | 108 | +0.12 | 3.48 | 180 | 85 |
| Jose Miguel Gonzalez R 2025 · 4.84 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.84 | 10.3% | 11.1% | 2.2% | .315 | 5.19 | 13.7% | 0.7% | 36 | +0.35 | 4.84 | 223 | 85 |
| Nate Griep R 2027 · 5.44 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.44 | 11.5% | 10.9% | 3.5% | .383 | 3.93 | 17.2% | 4.5% | 163 | -1.51 | 2.73 | 275 | 84 |
| Juan Perez R 2027 · 5.28 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.28 | 15.4% | 14.1% | 3.1% | .321 | 4.63 | 10.8% | 0.0% | 56 | -0.65 | 4.63 | 113 | 84 |
| Angel Peralta R 2025 · 4.90 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.90 | 15.7% | 13.6% | 2.5% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 105 | 83 |
| Brandon Komar R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.63 | 17.7% | 11.6% | 2.8% | .327 | 5.21 | 16.7% | 5.7% | 198 | +0.58 | 3.00 | 538 | 83 |
| Yunior Montero R 2028 · 4.82 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.82 | 16.9% | 14.1% | 2.5% | .276 | 4.59 | 21.5% | 6.2% | 91 | -0.23 | 3.60 | 127 | 83 |
| Jack Sinclair R 2028 · 4.94 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.94 | 10.9% | 10.0% | 2.7% | .324 | 3.62 | 21.6% | 11.4% | 171 | -1.32 | 2.82 | 285 | 83 |
| Eury Ramos R 2025 · 5.40 FIP | 19 | SW | 5.40 | 13.0% | 14.8% | 2.8% | .343 | 7.57 | 14.1% | 0.6% | 29 | +2.17 | 3.25 | 176 | 82 |
| Brayan Palencia R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.98 | 12.8% | 8.9% | 3.3% | .326 | 4.93 | 14.2% | 5.1% | 150 | -0.05 | 2.12 | 256 | 82 |
| Deretd Parra R 2025 · 5.29 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.29 | 16.8% | 10.9% | 4.1% | .295 | 3.80 | 15.7% | 2.3% | 83 | -1.49 | 2.79 | 161 | 82 |
| Edgar Manzo R 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.71 | 16.7% | 12.3% | 2.7% | .303 | 5.01 | 13.1% | 3.3% | 125 | +0.30 | 4.35 | 249 | 82 |
| Saul Teran R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 20 | SW | 5.23 | 17.5% | 9.8% | 4.3% | .333 | 3.83 | 20.8% | 8.7% | 94 | -1.40 | 2.28 | 158 | 81 |
| Tanner Dodson R 2028 · 5.16 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.16 | 13.6% | 10.8% | 3.4% | .433 | 4.52 | 17.7% | 2.8% | 91 | -0.64 | 3.93 | 277 | 81 |
| Hunter Hayes R 2028 · 4.52 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.52 | 13.3% | 9.7% | 2.4% | .307 | 4.64 | 16.7% | 4.2% | 149 | +0.12 | 3.33 | 210 | 81 |
| Sam Ryan R 2028 · 4.47 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.47 | 16.4% | 14.7% | 1.6% | .328 | 3.76 | 13.7% | 2.9% | 49 | -0.71 | 3.76 | 178 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 28 | 15.0% | 11.3% | 1.15 | 5.32 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Vance Worley ('17) | 3 | 77 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 1.02 | 4.73 |
| Eddie Butler ('18) | 4 | 62 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 1.49 | 5.74 |