Nolan Kingham — OGILVIE

Nolan Kingham P Tacoma Rainiers

Age 29 RHP 6'4" / 210 lbs AAA peak 0.4 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION67 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.77

FIP4.77

K%17.9%

BB%9.4%

K-BB%8.5%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 72 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	21	ROK MLE	Danville Braves	11	3	24	101	18	7	2	27%	2.2	12.1%	8.7%	3.5%	2.8%	4.56	4.70	—
2018	21	ROK RAW	Danville Braves	11	3	24	101	18	7	2	27%	2.2	17.8%	6.9%	10.9%	2.0%	4.56	3.56	—
2019	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	27	27	165	688	116	36	11	100%	6.1	13.1%	5.9%	7.1%	2.2%	3.92	3.93	—
2019	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	27	27	165	688	116	36	11	100%	6.1	16.9%	5.2%	11.6%	1.6%	3.92	3.21	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	16	94	399	63	24	12	84%	5.0	13.1%	6.4%	6.7%	3.5%	4.58	4.74	—
2021	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	16	94	399	63	24	12	84%	5.0	15.8%	6.0%	9.8%	3.0%	4.58	4.18	—
2022	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	19	97	407	73	17	14	59%	3.0	15.5%	4.4%	11.0%	4.0%	4.62	4.57	—
2022	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	19	97	407	73	17	14	59%	3.0	17.9%	4.2%	13.8%	3.4%	4.62	3.99	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	13	86	373	63	37	7	48%	3.2	13.9%	9.6%	4.3%	2.2%	4.38	4.35	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	13	86	373	63	37	7	48%	3.2	13.9%	9.6%	4.3%	2.2%	4.38	4.35	—
2023	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	13	86	373	63	37	7	48%	3.2	16.9%	9.9%	7.0%	1.9%	4.38	3.98	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			1	0	1	6	1	2	0	0%	1.0	16.7%	33.3%	-16.7%	0.0%	9.00	7.10	-0.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	29	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	17	14	67	303	68	31	11	82%	4.0	18.7%	8.8%	9.9%	4.1%	6.82	4.87	—
YTD	29	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	17	14	67	303	68	31	11	82%	4.0	18.7%	8.8%	9.9%	4.1%	6.82	4.87	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	29	AAA RAW	TEX	16	14	66	297	67	29	11	88%	4.1	22.6%	9.8%	12.8%	3.7%	6.78	4.46	—
2026	29	MLB RAW	TEX	1	0	1	6	1	2	0	0%	1.0	16.7%	33.3%	-16.7%	0.0%	9.00	5.91	—
SO FAR	29	MLB RAW	TEX	1	0	1	6	1	2	0	0%	1.0	16.7%	33.3%	-16.7%	0.0%	9.00	5.91	—
ROS	29	MLB MLE	TEX	1	1	5	21	4	2	1	100%	5.0	17.9%	9.4%	8.5%	2.9%	4.77	4.77	+0.0
ROS	29	MLB CTX	TEX	1	1	5	21	4	2	1	100%	5.0	17.9%	9.4%	8.5%	2.9%	4.77	4.77	+0.0
2026 TOT	29	MLB MLE	TEX	—	—	72	324	72	33	12	—	—	22.1%	10.2%	12.0%	3.6%	6.68	4.86	-0.2
FULL	29	MLB A+C	TEX	—	—	6	25	72	33	12	—	—	283.9%	130.4%	153.4%	46.0%	80.62	20.88	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	TEX	9	9	56	235	43	23	7	100%	6.2	18.1%	9.7%	8.4%	3.1%	4.83	4.90	0.0
2028	31	MLB MLE	TEX	9	9	52	219	40	22	7	100%	5.8	18.1%	10.0%	8.1%	3.4%	4.95	5.06	-0.1
2027	30	MLB CTX	TEX	9	9	53	224	41	22	7	100%	5.9	18.1%	9.7%	8.4%	3.1%	4.83	4.90	0.0
2028	31	MLB CTX	TEX	8	8	49	207	38	21	7	100%	6.1	18.1%	10.0%	8.1%	3.4%	4.95	5.06	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		19	18	108	458	83	46	15	95%	5.7	18.1%	10.1%	8.0%	3.2%	4.92	4.61	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		35	33	200	848	154	85	28	95%	5.7	18.1%	10.1%	8.0%	3.2%	4.92	4.61	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		133	92	534	2271	326	156	69	69%	4.0	14.4%	6.9%	7.5%	3.0%	4.63	4.41	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		50	34	200	850	122	58	26	69%	4.0	14.4%	6.9%	7.5%	3.0%	4.63	4.41	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Nolan Kingham (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.77	17.9%	9.4%	2.9%	—	4.98	18.1%	8.3%	107	+0.21	—	—	—
Hector Noesí R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	17.6%	8.1%	3.2%	.261	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	250	83
Fabio Castillo R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	28	SP-	3.98	20.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	195	82
Zack Segovia R 2015 · 4.78 FIP	32	SP	4.78	15.0%	8.3%	3.4%	.314	3.33	20.2%	14.3%	39	-1.45	3.33	144	81
Kris Medlen R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	29	SP-	4.82	15.4%	6.4%	4.0%	.261	5.17	17.1%	8.6%	173	+0.35	4.59	261	79
Matt Cain R 2015 · 4.88 FIP	30	SP-	4.88	17.1%	6.8%	4.3%	.296	4.87	15.2%	7.6%	214	-0.01	4.82	294	76
Shawn Haviland R 2015 · 3.95 FIP	29	SP-	3.95	14.6%	6.0%	2.4%	.303	4.67	16.1%	8.8%	169	+0.72	3.69	283	75
Kanekoa Texeira R 2015 · 4.13 FIP	29	SP-	4.13	14.5%	11.2%	1.5%	.280	4.10	10.2%	-0.2%	63	-0.03	4.10	165	75
Clayton Mortensen R 2015 · 4.41 FIP	30	SP-	4.41	15.0%	12.6%	1.8%	.289	4.43	22.0%	10.3%	115	+0.02	4.31	221	75
Luke Irvine R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	13.4%	9.8%	2.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	104	74
Jacob Turner R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	27	SP-	4.48	14.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	4.29	340	74
Scott McGregor R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	11.8%	7.6%	2.4%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	107	74
Reinier Roibal R 2019 · 4.91 FIP	30	SP	4.91	17.5%	11.8%	3.3%	.426	—	—	—	—	—	3.11	133	73
Jair Jurrjens R 2015 · 4.59 FIP	29	SP-	4.59	10.3%	6.9%	2.7%	.365	4.27	16.3%	8.4%	54	-0.32	4.27	125	73
Juan Omar Espinoza R 2015 · 4.81 FIP	31	SP-	4.81	8.9%	6.6%	3.0%	.346	4.84	8.4%	-0.8%	52	+0.03	4.81	104	73
Mitch Atkins R 2016 · 3.65 FIP	30	SP-	3.65	21.4%	8.2%	2.4%	.341	4.77	14.3%	6.2%	78	+1.12	3.65	205	73
David Griffin R 2023 · 5.85 FIP	27	SP-	5.85	13.9%	9.2%	5.0%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	4.43	239	72
Yohan Pino R 2015 · 4.13 FIP	31	SP-	4.13	17.8%	5.8%	3.3%	.312	5.33	15.2%	11.6%	35	+1.20	4.13	133	72
Miguel Ruiz R 2015 · 5.77 FIP	29	SP-	5.77	8.8%	8.0%	4.4%	.346	5.60	10.6%	-0.4%	53	-0.17	5.60	117	71
Justin Masterson R 2015 · 4.10 FIP	30	SP-	4.10	18.2%	10.5%	2.2%	.307	3.73	17.3%	6.4%	196	-0.37	3.50	269	71
Kenneth Sigman R 2019 · 4.05 FIP	29	SP-	4.05	13.9%	7.7%	2.1%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	267	71

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	56	18.1%	9.7%	1.22	4.85
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38