Jack Sinclair
P
Rochester Red Wings
Age 27
RHP
6'4" / 170 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION40 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136127vR 118
ERA5.20
FIP5.20
K%18.7%
BB%14.2%
K-BB%4.5%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 110 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | ROK | FCL Nationals | 6 | 2 | 11 | 50 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 33% | 1.8 | 10.9% | 10.0% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 5.06 | 4.94 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | ROK | FCL Nationals | 6 | 2 | 11 | 50 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 33% | 1.8 | 16.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 2.0% | 5.06 | 3.94 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 53 | 205 | 61 | 15 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 22.5% | 8.5% | 14.0% | 1.0% | 1.70 | 2.82 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 53 | 205 | 61 | 15 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 29.8% | 7.3% | 22.4% | 1.0% | 1.70 | 2.14 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 48 | 0 | 62 | 262 | 65 | 30 | 8 | 0% | 1.3 | 19.2% | 12.5% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 3.79 | 4.72 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 48 | 0 | 62 | 262 | 65 | 30 | 8 | 0% | 1.3 | 24.8% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 3.1% | 3.79 | 4.14 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | 43 | 0 | 57 | 227 | 65 | 19 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 1.6% | 2.20 | 3.20 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | 43 | 0 | 57 | 227 | 65 | 19 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 28.6% | 8.4% | 20.3% | 1.3% | 2.20 | 2.51 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 53 | 2 | 63 | 299 | 61 | 41 | 6 | 4% | 1.2 | 17.5% | 14.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 5.68 | 4.83 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 53 | 2 | 63 | 299 | 61 | 41 | 6 | 4% | 1.2 | 20.4% | 13.7% | 6.7% | 2.0% | 5.68 | 4.35 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 36 | 1 | 40 | 184 | 45 | 24 | 2 | 3% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 13.7% | 7.8% | 1.2% | 4.69 | 3.67 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | WSH | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 55 | 42 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.7% | 14.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 5.20 | 5.20 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | WSH | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.7% | 14.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 5.20 | 5.20 | -0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 110 | 480 | 100 | 66 | 10 | — | — | 20.9% | 13.8% | 7.1% | 2.1% | 5.01 | 4.64 | +1.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 7 | 30 | 6 | 4 | 1 | — | — | 18.7% | 14.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 5.20 | 4.82 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | WSH | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 55 | 40 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.1% | 13.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 5.17 | 5.20 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | WSH | 62 | 0 | 65 | 274 | 52 | 38 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.1% | 13.8% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 5.20 | 5.26 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | WSH | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 23 | 17 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.1% | 13.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 5.17 | 5.20 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | WSH | 36 | 0 | 38 | 160 | 31 | 22 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.1% | 13.8% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 5.20 | 5.26 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 71 | 0 | 74 | 313 | 60 | 43 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.1% | 13.9% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 5.19 | 4.85 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 162 | 116 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.1% | 13.9% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 5.19 | 4.85 | +1.3 | ||
| Career | — | 224 | 5 | 286 | 1227 | 247 | 145 | 25 | 2% | 1.3 | 20.1% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 2.0% | 3.68 | 4.00 | +4.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 156 | 3 | 200 | 857 | 172 | 101 | 17 | 2% | 1.3 | 20.1% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 2.0% | 3.68 | 4.00 | +3.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jack Sinclair (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.20 | 18.7% | 14.2% | 2.7% | — | 5.23 | 19.1% | 5.3% | 133 | +0.03 | — | — | — |
| Armando Rivero R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.39 | 18.7% | 13.5% | 2.1% | .256 | 2.81 | 32.9% | 19.8% | 68 | -1.58 | 2.81 | 125 | 91 |
| Gonzalez Germen R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.11 | 18.0% | 12.5% | 1.7% | .296 | 3.74 | 19.2% | 8.3% | 54 | -0.37 | 3.74 | 146 | 90 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 87 |
| Julian Arballo R 2026 · 5.47 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.47 | 15.1% | 13.8% | 3.5% | .335 | 4.38 | 12.6% | 0.6% | 116 | -1.09 | 4.28 | 214 | 86 |
| Josh Zeid R 2027 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.21 | 16.6% | 12.5% | 1.7% | .302 | 5.16 | 16.9% | 5.7% | 194 | +0.95 | 4.21 | 265 | 86 |
| Nolan Riggs R 2024 · 4.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.61 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.7% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 85 |
| Gregory Infante R 2027 · 4.57 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.57 | 16.9% | 15.7% | 1.7% | .290 | 3.63 | 21.3% | 12.7% | 181 | -0.94 | 2.96 | 230 | 85 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.37 | 16.4% | 13.6% | 3.5% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 140 | 84 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2027 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 84 |
| Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 84 |
| Chris Beck R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.83 | 17.4% | 12.2% | 3.0% | .305 | 5.33 | 18.1% | 9.3% | 41 | +0.50 | 3.11 | 313 | 84 |
| David Goforth R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.74 | 14.5% | 12.8% | 2.3% | .333 | 4.50 | 13.9% | 4.6% | 122 | -0.24 | 3.92 | 256 | 84 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .355 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | +0.03 | 3.57 | 187 | 84 |
| Cole Uvila R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 20.4% | 13.2% | 1.9% | .360 | 3.16 | 20.2% | 6.3% | 44 | -0.92 | 3.16 | 155 | 83 |
| Derek Eitel R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.32 | 18.1% | 13.9% | 1.8% | .338 | 4.21 | 19.7% | 5.0% | 113 | -0.11 | 3.85 | 138 | 83 |
| Brad Schreiber R 2025 · 4.10 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.10 | 17.3% | 12.7% | 1.6% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 171 | 82 |
| Nick Ernst R 2024 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.99 | 21.9% | 14.6% | 3.4% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 117 | 82 |
| Theo Denlinger R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.32 | 20.2% | 16.4% | 1.6% | .266 | 4.20 | 15.3% | 9.9% | 41 | -0.12 | 3.03 | 140 | 82 |
| Ryan Cook R 2027 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 82 |
| Grant Black R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 82 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 68 | 19.0% | 14.0% | 1.11 | 5.19 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |