Ty Adcock P El Paso Chihuahuas
Age 29 RHP 6'0" / 213 lbs AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION19 act + 19 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125116vR 107
ERA4.54
FIP4.69
K%19.7%
BB%8.8%
K-BB%10.9%
ROS IP19
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 38 IP
K: -0.4 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-0KBB: -0.9 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-1BBCONTACT: -6.5 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-7CONTACTSTAM: +1.6 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: -0.66 (38 IP)-0.7WAR
-0.1-0.2-0.32628
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†4545
FB (43%)
SI (1%)
SL (30%)
CT-0.8 (21%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202225MIX2 levels82836114025%1.030.6%11.1%19.4%0.0%7.881.93
202225MIX2 levels82836114025%1.030.6%11.1%19.4%0.0%7.881.85
202326MIX3 levels3103613333550%1.219.8%3.0%16.7%5.4%2.484.79-0.1
202326MIX3 levels3103613333550%1.224.8%3.8%21.1%3.8%2.483.49+0.5
202427MIX3 levels31033160351670%1.121.3%10.3%11.0%2.2%6.273.84+0.3
202427MIX3 levels31033160351670%1.121.9%10.0%11.9%4.4%6.275.19-0.2
202528MIX2 levels34140161401483%1.221.0%8.6%12.4%3.9%4.544.57-0.0
202528MIX2 levels34140161401483%1.224.8%8.7%16.1%5.0%4.544.76-0.1
▸ 2026 Season
202629AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas1911993211165%1.015.5%16.5%-0.9%6.5%8.687.43-0.6
ROS29MLBSD180198116730%1.119.7%8.8%10.9%3.2%4.544.69-0.0
ROS29MLBSD20282100%1.019.7%8.8%10.9%3.2%4.544.69-0.0
2026 TOT29MLBSD381743718921.3%10.4%10.8%4.9%6.586.04-0.7
2026 FULL29MLBSD2821019.7%8.8%10.9%3.2%4.544.31+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202730MLBSD190208416830%1.119.4%9.2%10.2%3.4%4.724.86-0.1
202730MLBSD707306310%1.019.4%9.2%10.2%3.4%4.724.86-0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career27032132278100%1.220.1%5.7%14.4%7.8%5.256.41-0.7
/ 200 IP166020081916750620%1.220.1%5.7%14.4%7.8%5.256.41-2.4
Career123413658312054233%1.120.5%9.2%11.3%4.0%5.174.71+1.1
/ 200 IP181620085917679343%1.120.5%9.2%11.3%4.0%5.174.71+1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Ty Adcock (OGILVIE) 4.69 19.7%8.8%3.2% 4.86 19.4%10.2%20 +0.17
Wirfin Obispo R 2027 · 4.87 FIP 30 SU 4.87 18.6%12.2%3.3%.292 1.30 28.6%24.5%126 -3.57 1.30 218 77
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2027 · 4.81 FIP 30 SU 4.81 18.6%7.6%4.2%.373 3.58 18.5%9.3%93 -1.23 3.37 170 77
David Hernandez R 2027 · 4.32 FIP 30 SU 4.32 22.9%7.6%4.0%.287 3.20 24.9%18.4%192 -1.12 2.56 268 76
Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.76 FIP 29 SU 3.76 21.0%8.2%2.5%.347 2.99 17.8%11.9%54 -0.77 2.22 187 76
Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.69 FIP 28 SU 4.69 16.5%9.9%3.1%.297 4.04 25.1%14.3%50 -0.65 4.04 102 76
Tanner Scheppers R 2025 · 4.39 FIP 28 SU 4.39 17.7%11.2%2.5%.263 4.65 15.7%9.0%48 +0.26 4.39 101 76
Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 4.16 FIP 29 SU 4.16 21.2%7.9%3.4%.331 3.23 253 75
Bo Schultz R 2026 · 4.31 FIP 29 SU 4.31 18.3%7.9%3.2%.218 3.45 15.1%8.9%77 -0.86 2.73 141 75
Tyler Sturdevant R 2026 · 4.07 FIP 29 SU 4.07 21.3%8.5%3.1%.241 4.06 18.5%11.9%118 -0.01 3.28 149 75
Adrian Garza R 2026 · 4.70 FIP 29 SU 4.70 16.0%7.0%3.8%.351 5.58 9.7%4.1%113 +0.88 4.03 229 74
Nick Merkel R 2025 · 3.85 FIP 28 SU 3.85 17.9%6.9%2.5%.333 3.08 201 74
Alexi Ogando R 2028 · 5.03 FIP 31 SU 5.03 19.1%9.4%4.3%.253 3.84 17.2%8.0%67 -1.19 3.73 132 74
Mike Broadway R 2026 · 3.98 FIP 29 SU 3.98 19.8%7.9%2.8%.315 4.61 20.6%10.2%100 +0.63 1.74 195 74
Justin Miller R 2026 · 3.58 FIP 29 SU 3.58 20.8%9.7%1.8%.353 4.75 22.5%16.5%127 +1.17 2.54 279 73
Luis García R 2026 · 3.80 FIP 29 SU 3.80 20.6%10.9%1.9%.281 3.81 21.6%12.6%179 +0.01 2.40 617 73
Joe Colón J R 2024 · 4.04 FIP 27 SU 4.04 20.4%12.1%2.1%.315 3.28 113 73
Francisco Mendoza R 2025 · 4.11 FIP 28 SU 4.11 17.9%7.7%2.8%.344 3.13 120 73
Marc Magliaro R 2025 · 3.72 FIP 28 SU 3.72 19.6%7.3%2.5%.307 3.62 125 73
Drew Storen R 2026 · 3.86 FIP 29 SU 3.86 19.5%7.3%2.7%.289 4.49 19.4%8.4%10 +0.63 2.36 172 72
Michael Mariot R 2026 · 4.42 FIP 29 SU 4.42 21.8%7.5%4.0%.328 4.58 17.7%9.5%136 +0.16 2.32 676 72