Ty Adcock — OGILVIE

Ty Adcock P El Paso Chihuahuas

Age 29 RHP 6'0" / 213 lbs AAA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 19 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.54

FIP4.69

K%18.8%

BB%7.6%

K-BB%11.1%

ROS IP19

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

FB (43%)

SI (1%)

SL (30%)

CT-0.8 (21%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	8	2	8	36	11	4	0	25%	1.0	30.6%	11.1%	19.4%	0.0%	7.88	1.93	—
2022	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	8	2	8	36	11	4	0	25%	1.0	30.6%	11.1%	19.4%	0.0%	7.88	1.85	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	0	36	133	33	5	5	0%	1.2	19.8%	3.0%	16.7%	5.1%	2.48	4.59	-0.0
2023	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	0	36	133	33	5	5	0%	1.2	19.8%	3.0%	16.7%	5.1%	2.48	4.59	-0.0
2023	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	31	0	36	133	33	5	5	0%	1.2	24.8%	3.8%	21.1%	3.8%	2.48	3.49	+0.5
2024	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	0	33	160	35	16	7	0%	1.1	20.1%	8.9%	11.3%	2.4%	6.27	3.82	+0.3
2024	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	0	33	160	35	16	7	0%	1.1	20.1%	8.9%	11.3%	2.4%	6.27	3.82	+0.3
2024	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	31	0	33	160	35	16	7	0%	1.1	21.9%	10.0%	11.9%	4.4%	6.27	5.19	-0.2
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	1	40	161	40	14	8	3%	1.2	19.8%	7.3%	12.4%	4.5%	4.54	4.83	-0.1
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	1	40	161	40	14	8	3%	1.2	19.8%	7.3%	12.4%	4.5%	4.54	4.83	-0.1
2025	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	1	40	161	40	14	8	3%	1.2	24.8%	8.7%	16.1%	5.0%	4.54	4.76	-0.1
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			18	0	23	93	19	4	9	0%	1.3	20.4%	4.3%	16.1%	9.7%	5.48	7.06	-0.7
▸ 2026 season
YTD	29	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	32	1	35	165	38	19	8	3%	1.1	17.5%	11.7%	5.8%	4.5%	7.01	5.56	—
YTD	29	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	32	1	35	165	38	19	8	3%	1.1	17.5%	11.7%	5.8%	4.5%	7.01	5.56	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	29	ROK RAW	SD	3	1	3	11	3	0	0	33%	1.0	27.3%	0.0%	27.3%	0.0%	0.00	0.80	—
2026	29	A+ RAW	SD	5	0	6	31	9	3	3	0%	1.2	29.0%	9.7%	19.4%	9.7%	10.50	7.19	—
2026	29	AAA RAW	SD	24	0	26	123	26	16	5	0%	1.1	21.1%	13.0%	8.1%	4.1%	7.01	5.19	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	SD	19	0	20	84	16	7	3	0%	1.1	18.5%	8.1%	10.4%	3.5%	4.71	4.86	-0.1
2027	30	MLB CTX	SD	7	0	7	30	5	2	1	0%	1.0	18.5%	8.1%	10.4%	3.5%	4.71	4.86	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		25	0	30	124	25	7	10	0%	1.2	20.0%	5.2%	14.7%	8.1%	5.29	6.54	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		165	0	200	817	165	46	66	0%	1.2	20.0%	5.2%	14.7%	8.1%	5.29	6.54	-4.6
Career	—	MLE		136	4	152	655	130	53	25	3%	1.1	19.9%	8.1%	11.7%	3.8%	5.16	4.56	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		179	5	200	864	172	70	33	3%	1.1	19.9%	8.1%	11.7%	3.8%	5.16	4.56	-3.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ty Adcock (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.69	18.8%	7.6%	3.3%	—	4.86	18.5%	10.4%	20	+0.17	—	—	—
David Hernandez R 2015 · 4.40 FIP	30	SU	4.40	22.9%	7.6%	4.1%	.287	3.17	24.9%	18.4%	192	-1.23	2.60	268	76
Adrian Garza R 2017 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	16.0%	7.0%	3.4%	.351	5.18	9.7%	4.1%	113	+0.71	3.94	229	76
Diego Moreno R 2016 · 3.75 FIP	29	SU	3.75	21.0%	8.2%	2.5%	.347	3.13	17.8%	11.9%	54	-0.62	2.29	187	76
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	75
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.55	17.5%	6.5%	168	+0.67	3.88	202	75
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2015 · 5.21 FIP	30	SU	5.21	18.6%	7.6%	4.9%	.373	3.56	18.5%	9.3%	93	-1.65	3.50	170	75
Bo Schultz R 2015 · 4.30 FIP	29	SU	4.30	18.3%	7.9%	3.2%	.218	3.49	15.1%	8.9%	77	-0.81	2.73	141	75
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	75
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	74
Tanner Scheppers R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SU	4.37	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.86	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.49	4.37	101	74
Mike Broadway R 2016 · 4.10 FIP	29	SU	4.10	19.8%	7.9%	3.1%	.315	4.69	20.6%	10.2%	100	+0.59	1.74	195	74
Marc Magliaro R 2018 · 3.94 FIP	28	SU	3.94	19.6%	7.3%	2.9%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	125	74
Jhan Mariñez R 2018 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	21.2%	7.9%	3.2%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	253	73
Pedro Beato R 2016 · 4.20 FIP	29	SU	4.20	19.2%	8.5%	3.0%	.275	3.72	18.5%	11.1%	152	-0.48	3.47	295	73
Alexi Ogando R 2015 · 5.11 FIP	31	SU	5.11	19.1%	9.4%	4.4%	.253	3.95	17.2%	8.0%	67	-1.16	3.79	132	73
Justin Miller R 2016 · 3.74 FIP	29	SU	3.74	20.8%	9.7%	2.1%	.353	4.72	22.5%	16.5%	127	+0.98	2.63	279	73
Rob Wooten R 2015 · 4.86 FIP	30	SU	4.86	19.3%	5.5%	4.9%	.299	3.87	17.7%	14.4%	111	-0.99	3.19	191	73
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	73
Francisco Mendoza R 2016 · 3.81 FIP	28	SU	3.81	17.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	120	73
Michael Mariot R 2018 · 4.62 FIP	29	SU	4.62	21.8%	7.5%	4.4%	.328	4.65	17.7%	9.5%	136	+0.03	2.40	676	72