Cobb Hightower — OGILVIE

Cobb HightowerSS Delmarva Shorebirds

Age 21 R/R 5'11" / 180 lbs A HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION71 act + 11 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .273 / .200

PA11

HR0

K%27

BB%9

BABIP295

ISO99

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$6M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE53

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1.0M	+$0.3M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2032	Arb-1	$3M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-2	$4M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-3	$5M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$6M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	20	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	287	243	59	10	1	2	38	52	4	14	2	243	354	317	671	74	302	18	13	313	98	-1	+2	—	—	+6	0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	20	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	287	257	55	9	1	2	24	74	4	14	2	214	291	280	571	66	289	26	8	256	59	-14	+2	—	—	+6	-0.6
2025	20	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	287	257	55	9	1	2	24	74	4	14	2	214	291	280	571	66	293	26	8	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	287	243	59	10	1	2	38	52	4	14	2	243	354	317	671	74	302	18	13	313	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	287	257	55	9	1	2	24	74	4	14	2	214	291	280	571	66	289	26	8	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	20	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	287	257	55	9	1	2	24	74	4	14	2	214	291	280	571	66	289	26	8	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A MLE	BAL	—	71	69	20	2	0	2	2	14	0	1	0	290	310	406	716	116	340	20	3	303	91	-1	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	ROK RAW	BAL	—	16	15	6	1	0	2	1	1	0	0	0	400	438	867	1.304	467	333	6	6	554	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A RAW	BAL	—	55	52	17	2	0	0	3	9	0	1	0	327	364	365	729	38	395	16	5	332	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	A MLE	BAL	0%	11	10	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	200	273	200	473		291	27	9	280	76	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	21	A MLE	BAL	—	82	79	22	2	0	2	3	17	0	1	0	278	305	380	685	101	333	21	4	300	89	-1	+0	-0	+1	+2	0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	BAL	25%	335	305	71	12	2	6	24	79	3	7	1	233	295	344	639	111	292	24	7	288	81	-7	+1	-1	+4	+7	0.3
2028	23	MLB MLE	BAL	38%	416	378	88	15	2	8	31	97	4	9	2	233	298	347	644	114	293	23	7	294	85	-7	+1	-1	+4	+9	0.6
2029	24	MLB MLE	BAL	44%	470	428	102	18	2	10	35	108	4	10	2	238	302	360	662	121	294	23	7	297	87	-7	+1	-2	+5	+10	0.8
2030	25	MLB MLE	BAL	47%	499	453	109	19	3	11	38	114	5	11	2	241	306	369	675	128	294	23	8	299	89	-7	+1	-2	+5	+11	0.9
2031	26	MLB MLE	BAL	49%	515	466	111	19	3	11	39	118	5	11	2	238	304	363	667	124	294	23	8	300	89	-7	+1	-2	+6	+11	1.0
2032	27	MLB MLE	BAL	49%	520	470	113	20	3	11	40	120	5	11	2	240	307	366	673	126	294	23	8	300	89	-7	+1	-2	+6	+11	1.0
2033	28	MLB MLE	BAL	49%	519	468	111	19	3	11	41	120	5	11	2	237	305	361	667	124	293	23	8	299	88	-7	+1	-3	+6	+11	0.9
2034	29	MLB MLE	BAL	48%	511	461	109	19	2	11	40	119	5	11	2	236	304	358	662	121	293	23	8	297	87	-8	+1	-3	+5	+11	0.7
2035	30	MLB MLE	BAL	47%	502	452	105	18	2	10	40	118	5	10	2	232	302	347	649	115	292	24	8	294	85	-9	+1	-4	+5	+11	0.5
2036	31	MLB MLE	BAL	47%	489	442	103	18	2	10	39	117	5	9	2	233	302	351	653	118	290	24	8	291	83	-10	+1	-5	+5	+11	0.2
2037	32	MLB MLE	BAL	51%	471	427	97	16	2	9	37	114	4	9	2	227	295	337	632	110	287	24	8	285	79	-12	+1	-5	+5	+10	-0.1
2038	33	MLB MLE	BAL	54%	442	400	90	15	2	8	35	110	4	8	2	225	294	333	626	108	283	25	8	279	75	-13	+1	-6	+5	+10	-0.4
2027	22	MLB CTX	BAL	25%	83	76	18	3	0	2	6	20	1	2	0	237	301	355	656	118	297	24	7	286	81	-2	+0	-0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	BAL	38%	159	145	34	6	1	3	12	37	1	3	1	234	297	352	649	117	297	23	8	291	85	-3	+0	-1	+2	+3	0.2
2029	24	MLB CTX	BAL	44%	206	186	45	8	1	4	16	47	2	4	1	242	309	360	669	118	298	23	8	295	87	-3	+0	-1	+2	+4	0.3
2030	25	MLB CTX	BAL	47%	236	214	51	9	1	5	18	54	2	5	1	238	303	360	663	121	298	23	8	297	89	-3	+1	-1	+3	+5	0.4
2031	26	MLB CTX	BAL	49%	253	230	56	10	1	6	19	58	2	5	1	243	307	374	681	130	298	23	8	297	89	-3	+1	-1	+3	+5	0.5
2032	27	MLB CTX	BAL	49%	256	232	56	10	1	6	20	59	2	6	1	241	307	371	678	129	298	23	8	297	89	-3	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.5
2033	28	MLB CTX	BAL	49%	255	231	56	10	1	6	20	59	2	5	1	242	308	372	681	130	298	23	8	296	88	-4	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.4
2034	29	MLB CTX	BAL	48%	246	223	52	9	1	5	19	57	2	5	1	233	299	350	649	117	297	23	8	295	87	-4	+1	-2	+3	+5	0.3
2035	30	MLB CTX	BAL	47%	238	215	51	9	1	5	19	56	2	5	1	237	305	358	663	121	296	24	8	292	85	-4	+1	-2	+3	+5	0.2
2036	31	MLB CTX	BAL	47%	230	208	50	9	1	5	18	55	2	4	1	240	307	365	672	125	294	24	8	288	83	-5	+0	-2	+2	+5	0.1
2037	32	MLB CTX	BAL	51%	241	218	51	9	1	5	19	59	2	4	1	234	301	353	654	119	291	24	8	283	79	-6	+0	-3	+3	+5	-0.0
2038	33	MLB CTX	BAL	54%	240	217	48	8	1	4	19	60	2	4	1	221	290	323	612	101	287	25	8	276	75	-7	+0	-3	+3	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2643	2395	568	100	11	56	205	621	22	52	11	237	303	358	661	121	296	23	8	292	84	-47	+6	-17	+28	+57	2.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	141	25	3	14	50	153	5	13	3	239	304	363	667	124	299	24	8	292	84	-12	+1	-4	+7	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	5987	5417	1266	217	29	118	464	1411	58	131	25	234	301	350	651	116	293	24	8	292	84	-101	+14	-35	+61	+124	6.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	138	24	3	13	50	153	6	14	3	235	301	352	653	117	294	24	8	292	84	-12	+2	-4	+7	+14	0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	4.8	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
/162	664	22	3	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Yuniesky Betancourtlast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,278 PA	6.4	4,278	80	30	261	285	388	+41	-20	6.1	7.2
/162	664	12	5	+6.4	-3.1	0.9	pk7: 8
#5Angel Berroalast yr '09 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,794 PA	4.2	2,794	46	50	259	303	375	+27	-6	6.7	7.1
/162	664	11	12	+6.5	-1.4	1.6	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	4.4	2,920	57	59	234	298	350	+31	-12	6.0	5.3
/162	664	13	13	+7.1	-2.7	1.4	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cobb Hightower (OGILVIE)	21	45	40	55	53	227/288/327	100	291	4	5	24%	7%	76	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Juan Mora 2021 · A	21	43	42→45	53→55	49	209/289/317	108	255	9	14	21%	8%	74	-0.5	227/292/341	114	308	10	10	28%	6%	80	-0.1	222/278/328	106	295	10	8	27%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Cody Freeman 2022 · A	21	43→53	41→50	53→50	48	209/283/307	98	259	8	11	22%	8%	70	-0.9	206/261/321	115	251	13	9	23%	6%	63	-1.3	248/292/385	137	277	15	10	16%	5%	89	+0.4
✕Blaze Alexander 2021 · A	22	45→48	42→45	51→50	42	215/281/322	107	301	9	11	30%	7%	72	-0.7	206/277/331	125	321	14	12	37%	7%	73	-0.6	239/319/362	123	339	12	15	30%	8%	93	+0.6
✕Evan Van Hoosier 2015 · A	21	46→47	44→50	56→50	44	227/279/354	127	284	10	10	23%	6%	78	-0.3	229/273/336	107	306	6	9	26%	5%	70	-0.8	232/274/341	110	322	5	10	28%	4%	70	-0.3
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2023 · A	21	49→55	41→45	50	49	236/301/348	112	284	7	12	19%	7%	84	+0.2	250/311/362	112	306	9	14	20%	7%	91	+0.7	256/318/360	105	310	9	16	19%	7%	92	+0.5
✕Leo Jiménez 2023 · A	22	46→49	40→45	48→45	49	216/322/312	96	283	8	9	24%	9%	86	+0.3	226/314/335	109	285	10	7	23%	7%	88	+0.4	228/319/335	107	286	10	5	22%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Jairo Encarnacion 2007 · A	21	44	41→40	52→45	46	212/274/306	95	244	9	8	18%	6%	65	-1.2	229/298/318	89	272	8	7	18%	7%	77	-0.3	246/322/325	79	284	8	4	15%	7%	86	+0.1
✕Carlos Vidal 2017 · A	21	48	43→45	49→50	48	234/302/348	114	288	10	12	22%	7%	85	+0.2	231/279/321	90	301	5	7	24%	6%	70	-0.9	236/282/326	90	306	4	6	23%	5%	69	-0.5
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	46→48	42→50	56→50	42	223/275/338	115	301	9	15	28%	6%	72	-0.7	214/270/329	115	284	10	12	27%	6%	69	-0.9	226/275/366	139	277	16	14	24%	5%	77	-0.3
✕Luis Torrens 2017 · A	21	44→48	40→50	46→40	49	214/288/305	91	268	8	6	23%	8%	70	-0.8	217/270/311	94	272	7	3	22%	6%	65	-1.2	237/296/380	143	283	15	2	21%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Glenn Santiago 2022 · A	21	43	40	51→45	49	207/278/298	91	250	7	11	20%	7%	65	-1.2	199/261/287	88	292	7	8	32%	7%	56	-1.9	182/247/261	79	270	7	8	33%	7%	43	-1.1
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→44	41→45	56→55	44	216/286/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	206/315/327	121	297	9	23	30%	12%	86	+0.3	203/309/335	132	285	10	26	29%	12%	83	+0.1
✕Colin Walsh 2011 · A	21	44→53	40→45	53→50	51	212/293/307	95	270	8	10	23%	10%	73	-0.6	225/299/349	124	276	11	8	21%	9%	84	+0.2	220/327/339	119	312	10	7	29%	13%	91	+0.5
✕Manuel Joseph 2014 · A	20	49	40→45	51→50	44	234/287/326	92	283	6	16	20%	5%	74	-0.5	246/305/362	116	287	10	14	17%	6%	89	+0.5	277/338/426	150	303	14	17	13%	6%	118	+1.1
✕Imbewer Alvarez 2008 · A	22	48	40	52→55	47	227/297/321	94	300	7	18	26%	8%	77	-0.3	200/258/275	75	312	5	11	35%	5%	52	-2.2	135/182/184	49	223	4	5	40%	2%	1	-1.0
✕Kenedy Corona 2021 · A	21	45→42	42→50	53→55	46	220/282/327	107	269	8	14	21%	6%	73	-0.6	210/266/328	118	295	12	21	31%	6%	68	-1.0	203/262/336	133	281	15	26	32%	6%	65	-0.8
✕Albert Hernandez 2010 · A	21	48	41→40	49→45	47	230/293/329	99	279	7	7	20%	7%	77	-0.3	217/271/297	80	301	6	6	28%	6%	61	-1.5	193/237/228	35	286	3	2	32%	5%	29	-0.8
✕Jared Serna 2023 · A	21	41→48	43→45	54→50	49	203/292/313	110	263	10	21	26%	9%	75	-0.5	220/278/337	117	273	11	15	23%	6%	74	-0.6	216/272/322	106	264	10	16	22%	6%	65	-1.1
✕Felix Valerio 2022 · A	21	48	43→45	52→55	52	230/307/346	116	275	9	18	19%	9%	87	+0.4	204/269/308	104	254	10	19	23%	7%	64	-1.3	188/251/281	92	236	10	20	24%	6%	49	-1.3
✕Tucker Mitchell 2022 · A	21	42	40→45	51→45	39	201/262/293	92	296	7	7	33%	6%	57	-1.8	195/269/306	111	299	13	8	37%	7%	65	-1.2	180/257/292	111	259	15	7	35%	7%	55	-0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps