Cobb Hightower

SS Delmarva Shorebirds

Age 22 R/R 5'11" / 180 lbs A HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2035

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1686ETA2030MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	20	ABAL	287	.243/.354/.317	2	14	65	—	.217/.302/.283
2026	21	A/ROKBAL	71	.343/.380/.478	2	1	92	—	.294/.324/.429
2027PROJMLE	22	MLBBAL	243	.218/.289/.320	4	5	73	0.0
2028PROJ25% MLB	23	MLBBAL	28	.225/.296/.337	0	1	77	0.0
2029PROJ36% MLB	24	MLBBAL	67	.228/.299/.345	1	1	80	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Arb-1$1M2033Arb-2$2M2034Arb-3$1M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Whiff%89

K%85

Z-Con%85

wRC+56

wOBA49

Chase%44

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 7.8, comp-based) · star 3% · didn't stick 82%

CompsJuan Mora (age 22) · Corey Toups (age 22) · Alexander Campos (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 69 proj PA

wRC+†73

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .287 / .317

PA69

HR1

K%25

BB%8

ISO101

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$2M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	20	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	287	243	59	10	1	2	38	52	4	14	2	243	354	317	671	74	302	18	13	313	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	55	52	17	2	0	0	3	9	0	1	0	327	364	365	729	38	395	16	5	332	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	16	15	6	1	0	2	1	1	0	0	0	400	438	867	1.304	467	333	6	6	554	161	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	20	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	287	254	55	9	1	2	27	71	4	14	2	217	302	283	585	67	293	25	9	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	55	53	15	2	0	0	2	12	0	1	0	283	309	321	630	38	365	22	4	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	16	15	5	1	0	2	1	1	0	0	0	333	375	800	1.175	467	251	6	6	406	161	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	287	254	55	9	1	2	27	71	4	14	2	217	302	283	585	67	293	25	9	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	287	243	59	10	1	2	38	52	4	14	2	243	354	317	671	74	302	18	13	313	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	71	68	20	2	0	2	3	14	0	1	0	294	324	412	736	118	346	20	4	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	71	67	23	3	0	2	4	10	0	1	0	343	380	478	858	134	382	14	6	382	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	287	254	55	9	1	2	27	71	4	14	2	217	302	283	585	67	293	25	9	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	71	68	20	2	0	2	3	14	0	1	0	294	324	412	736	118	339	20	4	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	20	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	287	254	55	9	1	2	27	71	4	14	2	217	302	283	585	67	293	25	9	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	71	68	20	2	0	2	3	14	0	1	0	294	324	412	736	118	339	20	4	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	BAL	0%	243	220	48	9	1	4	19	60	2	5	1	218	289	320	609	101	281	25	8	276	73	-8	+1	-1	+3	+5	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	BAL	25%	112	101	23	4	1	2	9	27	1	2	1	222	293	330	623	108	283	24	8	282	77	-3	+0	-0	+1	+2	0.0
2029	24	MLB MLE	BAL	36%	185	166	37	7	1	3	15	45	2	4	1	224	296	338	633	113	284	24	8	286	80	-4	+0	-1	+2	+4	0.1
2030	25	MLB MLE	BAL	43%	251	226	51	9	1	5	21	61	2	5	1	226	297	343	640	117	285	24	8	289	82	-6	+1	-1	+3	+5	0.2
2031	26	MLB MLE	BAL	47%	305	274	62	11	2	6	25	73	3	6	2	227	298	346	644	119	285	24	8	290	83	-6	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.3
2032	27	MLB MLE	BAL	48%	332	299	68	12	2	7	27	80	3	7	2	227	299	347	645	120	285	24	8	291	83	-7	+1	-1	+4	+7	0.3
2033	28	MLB MLE	BAL	48%	346	311	71	13	2	7	29	84	3	7	2	225	297	342	639	117	284	24	8	288	81	-8	+1	-2	+4	+7	0.2
2034	29	MLB MLE	BAL	48%	344	310	69	13	2	6	28	85	3	6	2	223	294	336	630	114	283	25	8	285	79	-9	+0	-3	+4	+7	0.0
2035	30	MLB MLE	BAL	47%	338	304	67	12	2	6	28	84	3	6	2	220	291	329	620	109	281	25	8	280	76	-10	+0	-3	+4	+7	-0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	BAL	25%	28	26	5	1	0	0	2	7	0	1	0	225	296	337	633	112	287	25	7	286	77	-1	+0	-0	+0	+1	0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	BAL	36%	67	61	14	3	0	1	5	16	1	1	0	228	299	345	644	117	288	24	7	290	80	-2	+0	-0	+1	+1	0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	BAL	43%	107	96	22	4	1	2	9	26	1	2	1	229	301	351	651	121	289	24	8	293	82	-2	+0	-0	+1	+2	0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	BAL	47%	142	128	29	5	1	3	12	34	1	3	1	230	302	354	656	123	289	24	8	295	83	-3	+0	-1	+2	+3	0.1
2032	27	MLB CTX	BAL	48%	158	143	33	6	1	3	13	38	1	3	1	230	302	355	656	124	289	24	8	295	83	-3	+0	-1	+2	+3	0.2
2033	28	MLB CTX	BAL	48%	167	149	34	6	1	3	14	41	2	3	1	229	300	350	650	121	288	25	8	293	81	-4	+0	-1	+2	+4	0.1
2034	29	MLB CTX	BAL	48%	163	148	33	6	1	3	13	40	1	3	1	226	297	344	641	118	287	25	8	289	79	-4	+0	-1	+2	+4	0.0
2035	30	MLB CTX	BAL	47%	159	144	32	6	1	3	13	40	1	3	1	223	294	336	630	113	285	25	8	284	76	-5	+0	-2	+2	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	991	895	202	37	6	18	81	242	8	19	6	226	296	341	637	115	287	24	8	291	79	-23	+1	-6	+11	+21	0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	132	24	4	12	53	159	5	12	4	225	295	341	635	116	286	24	8	291	79	-15	+1	-4	+7	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	2640	2375	536	94	14	47	218	641	25	59	15	226	298	336	634	111	288	24	8	284	79	-55	+4	-12	+24	+49	1.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	132	23	3	12	54	158	6	15	4	226	298	337	634	111	287	24	8	284	79	-16	+1	-4	+7	+14	0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 55 PAwOBA .323 → .274 (−49)K% 16.4% → 22.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.36%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	22.25%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.45%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.015	3.82%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.780	—	×1.015	0.00%
Singles /BIP	34.88%	÷1.000	×0.920	—	×1.015	32.57%
Doubles /BIP	4.65%	÷1.000	×0.830	—	×1.015	3.92%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.910	—	×1.015	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.015	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .323 → .274; ISO .038 → .031; BABIP .395 → .365. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ROKFCL Orioles · 16 PAwOBA .536 → .406 (−131)K% 6.2% → 9.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	6.25%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	9.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.25%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×0.985	3.82%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.720	—	×0.985	0.00%
Singles /BIP	21.43%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×0.985	17.31%
Doubles /BIP	7.14%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.985	5.07%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.985	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	14.29%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×0.985	10.98%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .536 → .406; ISO .467 → .353; BABIP .333 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 287 PAwOBA .305 → .265 (−40)K% 18.1% → 24.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.12%	÷0.993	×1.360	—	—	24.81%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.24%	÷1.007	×0.690	—	×1.030	9.35%
HBP% /PA	1.39%	—	×0.780	—	×1.030	1.12%
Singles /BIP	24.08%	÷0.998	×0.920	×1.022	×1.030	23.38%
Doubles /BIP	5.24%	÷0.898	×0.830	×1.022	×1.030	5.10%
Triples /BIP	0.52%	÷0.904	×0.910	×1.022	×1.030	0.55%
Home runs /BIP	1.05%	÷0.899	×0.800	—	×1.030	0.96%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 100, 2B 80, 3B 81, K 99, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.

Result: wOBA .305 → .265; ISO .074 → .069; BABIP .302 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Luis Rivera'86-'98 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,453 PA	3.7	2,453	28	20	232*	291*	357*	+24	+5	1.2	2.3
/162	664	8	5	+6.4	+1.4	0.3	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.6	1,060	20	21	225	293	340	+11	-8	1.8	1.7
/162	664	12	13	+7.1	-5.0	1.1	pk7: 2
#3Phil Linz'62-'68 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,518 PA	2.3	1,518	11	13	238*	301*	338*	+10	-0	0.7	0.7
/162	664	5	6	+4.3	-0.2	0.3	pk7: 1
#4Bob Meacham'83-'88 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,591 PA	2.4	1,591	8	58	233*	313*	319*	+16	-15	0.5	0.5
/162	664	3	24	+6.5	-6.3	0.2	pk7: 0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cobb Hightower (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	216/287/317	100	281	1	1	25%	8%	73	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Juan Mora 2022 · A	22	44	42→45	55	47	215/295/325	110	284	9	14	26%	8%	78	-0.3	222/280/325	103	297	9	9	27%	6%	72	-0.7	218/275/319	102	286	9	8	26%	5%	67	-0.5
✕Corey Toups 2015 · A	22	49→50	40→45	54→50	51	231/309/335	104	297	6	8	23%	9%	85	+0.2	226/287/340	114	308	8	16	28%	7%	78	-0.3	219/280/337	118	305	9	18	29%	6%	72	-0.6
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	43	42→40	46→45	49	206/292/311	105	279	9	6	28%	9%	74	-0.6	222/303/310	88	316	7	6	29%	9%	78	-0.3	239/331/311	72	336	7	6	28%	11%	86	+0.1
✕Brennan Milone 2023 · A	22	50→46	39→45	50→45	46	239/301/325	86	316	7	7	25%	8%	79	-0.2	223/299/352	129	290	14	5	26%	9%	85	+0.2	210/290/338	127	271	14	5	27%	9%	77	-0.3
✕Nick Goodwin 2024 · A	22	45→46	42→45	49→45	44	214/297/327	113	289	9	9	28%	7%	80	-0.2	190/264/304	114	260	12	7	30%	7%	61	-1.5	187/265/309	122	249	13	6	29%	8%	61	-1.0
✕José Caballero 2019 · A	22	47→45	43→45	47→70	45	231/292/348	117	278	10	9	21%	6%	81	-0.1	219/292/328	109	283	9	26	25%	8%	78	-0.3	226/318/339	113	301	10	63	26%	9%	91	+0.4
✕Matt Williams 2012 · A	22	44→48	42→40	54→50	44	214/276/325	110	275	9	16	25%	6%	70	-0.8	220/271/305	85	275	6	14	21%	6%	63	-1.4	216/290/277	61	280	3	15	22%	9%	63	-0.8
✕Jack Marder 2012 · A	22	48	44→45	49→50	41	235/292/354	119	291	11	12	23%	4%	83	+0.1	240/299/357	117	292	10	13	21%	5%	86	+0.3	238/300/350	112	289	10	12	20%	5%	83	+0.0
✕Jeferson Morales 2021 · A	22	42→47	40→45	47→50	52	201/291/303	102	246	6	8	20%	9%	72	-0.7	201/282/330	129	264	13	9	28%	8%	75	-0.5	222/297/349	127	274	11	8	22%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Gilberto Celestino 2021 · A	22	47→53	42→45	47→55	45	227/280/331	104	284	9	10	23%	6%	73	-0.6	229/300/329	100	298	8	8	24%	8%	80	-0.2	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Franklin Torres 2019 · A	22	46→41	41→40	52→50	46	222/276/315	93	278	8	8	23%	7%	68	-1.0	208/271/291	83	305	6	5	31%	8%	60	-1.6	192/256/262	70	294	5	1	34%	8%	46	-1.4
✕Graysen Tarlow 2024 · A	23	45	43→30	49→40	50	217/307/331	113	283	10	8	25%	9%	84	+0.1	211/291/285	74	299	6	6	29%	8%	68	-1.0	224/307/292	68	313	6	7	28%	8%	76	-0.1
✕Cayden Wallace 2024 · AA	22	45→49	44→50	53→50	45	220/280/345	125	285	10	13	26%	7%	76	-0.4	226/279/351	125	289	12	13	25%	6%	77	-0.3	232/281/372	140	285	16	15	24%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Evan Van Hoosier 2016 · A	22	50→47	42→50	55→50	41	237/282/357	121	312	7	9	26%	6%	79	-0.2	222/269/320	98	297	7	10	26%	5%	65	-1.2	179/236/266	87	238	9	17	28%	4%	40	-0.6
✕Tanner Schobel 2023 · A	22	45→44	38→45	52→50	47	212/285/292	80	289	6	13	27%	8%	66	-1.1	206/276/316	110	270	11	10	26%	8%	68	-1.0	198/271/309	111	256	12	10	26%	8%	63	-1.1
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2024 · A	21	51→54	40	50	50	241/318/332	91	306	7	13	22%	9%	88	+0.4	240/315/330	90	307	8	14	22%	8%	86	+0.3	238/317/323	85	303	7	15	22%	8%	83	+0.1
✕Tre Richardson III 2024 · A	22	47	39→45	54→55	47	218/293/309	90	304	5	15	28%	8%	73	-0.6	202/273/292	90	287	7	20	30%	7%	62	-1.4	202/274/304	102	280	10	26	30%	7%	62	-0.8
✕Raul Beracierta 2021 · A	22	46	40→45	50	45	219/289/315	96	305	7	8	29%	8%	73	-0.6	216/263/340	124	322	13	6	35%	5%	69	-0.9	213/256/344	131	310	16	3	35%	5%	63	-0.6
✕Ethan Murray 2022 · A	22	43→50	42→40	50	46	209/279/313	104	281	9	8	28%	8%	69	-0.9	198/268/292	94	290	7	12	31%	8%	60	-1.6	199/276/286	87	286	6	13	30%	8%	59	-1.0
✕Jared Serna 2024 · A	22	45→48	45	53→50	45	226/284/352	126	276	13	18	23%	7%	79	-0.2	214/271/321	107	261	11	15	22%	6%	68	-1.0	202/265/300	97	245	10	16	21%	6%	58	-1.4

Cobb Hightower

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps