Jhonan Coba

P FCL Tigers

Age 21 RHP 6'0" / 150 lbs ROK peak 0.2 · 2028

Overview

ROKPROSPECTFG #870

Scout OFP40ETA2028FG ETA2030MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	18	ROKDSL Tigers 1	10	0	12	10.22	4.56	23.0%	18.0%	—	K 15.6% · BB 22.5% · FIP 5.78
2025	19	ROKDSL Tigers 2	10	9	42	5.14	2.41	28.1%	8.4%	—	K 19.1% · BB 10.5% · FIP 3.65
2026	20	MIX2 levels	13	13	42	5.31	4.42	29.4%	15.6%	—	K 19.7% · BB 20.0% · FIP 6.69
2027PROJ	21	MLBDET	7	7	36	5.48	5.48	21.5%	16.9%	-0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBDET	4	4	20	5.16	5.03	22.7%	14.5%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff52Control40Command45FB velo57

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 3, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 89%

CompsWilian Bormie (age 22) · Marco Jimenez (age 22) · Alex Vallecillo (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137129vR 121

ERA5.48

FIP5.48

K%21.5%

BB%16.9%

K-BB%4.6%

Proj IP36

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 36 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF4555

CTRL—40

CMD3545

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	10	0	12	61	14	11	1	0%	1.2	15.6%	22.5%	-6.9%	2.1%	10.22	5.78	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	10	0	12	61	14	11	1	0%	1.2	15.6%	22.5%	-6.9%	2.1%	10.22	5.78	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 1	10	0	12	61	14	11	1	0%	1.2	23.0%	18.0%	4.9%	1.6%	10.22	4.56	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	10	9	42	178	50	15	2	90%	4.2	19.1%	10.5%	8.6%	1.5%	5.14	3.65	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	10	9	42	178	50	15	2	90%	4.2	19.1%	10.5%	8.6%	1.5%	5.14	3.65	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 2	10	9	42	178	50	15	2	90%	4.2	28.1%	8.4%	19.7%	1.1%	5.14	2.41	—
2026	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	13	42	180	53	28	6	100%	3.3	19.7%	20.0%	-0.3%	5.0%	5.31	6.69	—
2026	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	13	42	180	53	28	6	100%	3.3	19.7%	20.0%	-0.3%	5.0%	5.31	6.69	—
2026	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	13	42	180	53	28	6	100%	3.3	29.4%	15.6%	13.9%	3.3%	5.31	4.42	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	DET	7	7	36	152	33	26	5	100%	5.1	21.5%	16.9%	4.6%	3.1%	5.48	5.48	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	DET	8	8	40	169	38	24	5	100%	5.0	22.7%	14.5%	8.3%	3.0%	5.16	5.03	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	DET	4	4	20	84	19	12	3	100%	5.0	22.7%	14.5%	8.3%	3.0%	5.16	5.03	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		4	4	20	83	19	12	2	100%	4.9	22.7%	14.5%	8.3%	3.0%	5.16	4.65	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		39	39	200	844	193	122	20	100%	5.1	22.7%	14.5%	8.3%	3.0%	5.16	4.65	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		33	22	97	419	79	68	13	67%	2.9	18.9%	16.3%	2.5%	3.1%	5.87	5.26	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		68	46	200	867	163	142	27	67%	2.9	18.9%	16.3%	2.5%	3.1%	5.87	5.26	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jhonan Coba (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.48	21.5%	16.9%	3.1%	—	5.03	22.7%	8.3%	40	-0.45	—	—	—
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.13	23.2%	9.3%	203	-1.71	3.51	226	87
Marco Jimenez R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	22	SP-	5.27	19.6%	17.7%	2.9%	.372	3.89	18.3%	6.7%	148	-1.38	3.36	183	86
Alex Vallecillo R 2023 · 4.75 FIP	21	SP-	4.75	18.6%	16.3%	2.1%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	4.51	152	84
Eriq Swan R 2024 · 4.85 FIP	22	SP-	4.85	19.7%	17.3%	2.2%	.371	5.28	19.7%	0.9%	109	+0.43	4.85	132	82
Chris Viall R 2016 · 5.86 FIP	20	SP-	5.86	18.9%	21.9%	2.9%	.314	5.06	21.3%	5.8%	88	-0.80	4.89	108	81
Alonzo Tredwell R 2024 · 4.43 FIP	22	SP-	4.43	19.3%	17.4%	1.4%	.336	4.19	22.0%	9.9%	100	-0.24	4.19	166	81
Jared Lyons R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	22	SP-	4.47	20.1%	15.3%	2.1%	.345	4.24	18.4%	8.5%	211	-0.23	3.28	265	81
Juan Nuñez R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SP	4.49	19.6%	13.2%	2.5%	.300	4.42	22.8%	8.3%	148	-0.07	2.88	245	81
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	80
Aaron Hernandez R 2019 · 4.83 FIP	22	SP-	4.83	18.6%	15.7%	2.4%	.340	4.81	20.2%	6.4%	111	-0.02	4.65	194	80
Kyle Larsen R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	15.8%	17.9%	2.8%	.274	4.95	19.9%	6.2%	83	-0.59	4.83	143	80
Luis Hernandez R 2022 · 4.94 FIP	21	SP	4.94	16.7%	14.0%	2.7%	.311	5.62	21.4%	4.1%	64	+0.68	4.09	109	80
Luis Mora R 2016 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP-	5.78	16.3%	15.4%	3.8%	.303	5.27	23.9%	1.2%	43	-0.51	3.95	119	80
Jefferson Jean R 2024 · 6.45 FIP	19	SP-	6.45	18.3%	21.5%	4.0%	.311	4.79	16.9%	-0.3%	87	-1.66	4.79	132	80
Blane Abeyta R 2021 · 4.66 FIP	22	SP-	4.66	21.1%	18.2%	1.9%	.283	4.78	15.6%	6.4%	343	+0.12	4.24	489	79
Jackson Fristoe R 2023 · 6.07 FIP	22	SP-	6.07	17.0%	24.2%	2.5%	.258	6.12	15.3%	-2.9%	112	+0.05	4.81	139	79
Jake Lyons R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	22	SP-	4.46	21.8%	13.9%	2.6%	.325	4.64	19.4%	9.2%	105	+0.18	4.13	174	79
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	78
Hunter Parks R 2022 · 5.17 FIP	21	SP-	5.17	18.7%	16.8%	2.8%	.312	5.23	17.7%	-0.3%	163	+0.06	4.42	301	78
Lisandro Almonte R 2023 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	20.4%	20.7%	2.8%	.274	3.81	20.7%	12.2%	15	-1.73	3.81	128	78

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	38	22.2%	15.6%	1.17	5.31
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*