Samuel Luis

SS DSL White Sox

Age 18 R/R ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKCWS	159	.229/.354/.344	2	7	26	—	.138/.247/.196
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBCWS	269	.210/.282/.292	2	5	64	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBCWS	76	.215/.289/.307	1	2	70	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLBCWS	172	.219/.294/.320	2	4	74	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Chase%64

ISO49

K%44

Whiff%44

Z-Con%44

Speed41

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 99%

CompsEddys Leonard (age 18) · Jorge Alcantara (age 18) · Aldo Gaxiola (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 132 proj PA

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .280 / .289

PA132

HR1

K%27

BB%8

ISO82

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$20M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.1M
2037	Arb-2	$4M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$5M	+0.3	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$7M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	159	131	30	9	0	2	21	36	5	7	2	229	354	344	698	115	301	23	13	322	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	159	138	19	5	0	1	15	44	5	7	2	138	247	196	442	58	192	28	9	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	159	138	19	5	0	1	15	44	5	7	2	138	247	196	442	58	194	28	9	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL White Sox	—	159	131	30	9	0	2	21	36	5	7	2	229	354	344	698	115	301	23	13	322	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	159	138	19	5	0	1	15	44	5	7	2	138	247	196	442	58	192	28	9	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	159	138	19	5	0	1	15	44	5	7	2	138	247	196	442	58	192	28	9	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	CWS	0%	269	242	51	10	2	2	21	73	4	5	1	210	282	292	574	82	287	27	8	263	64	-12	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	CWS	34%	220	198	41	8	1	2	17	59	3	5	1	215	288	306	594	91	289	27	8	271	70	-8	+1	+0	+2	+5	-0.0
2029	20	MLB MLE	CWS	48%	354	317	70	14	2	5	28	93	6	8	2	218	293	318	611	99	291	26	8	278	74	-11	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.1
2030	21	MLB MLE	CWS	54%	454	407	91	18	3	7	36	118	8	10	3	222	297	328	625	107	292	26	8	284	78	-12	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.4
2031	22	MLB MLE	CWS	57%	525	469	106	21	3	9	42	135	9	11	4	225	300	338	638	113	293	26	8	289	82	-12	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.6
2032	23	MLB MLE	CWS	58%	573	513	116	23	3	10	46	146	9	12	4	227	302	346	648	118	294	25	8	293	84	-11	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.9
2033	24	MLB MLE	CWS	57%	604	541	123	24	3	11	48	154	10	13	4	229	304	349	653	121	295	25	8	295	86	-10	+1	+0	+6	+13	1.0
2034	25	MLB MLE	CWS	57%	622	557	128	25	4	12	50	158	10	13	5	229	304	352	656	122	295	25	8	296	86	-10	+1	+0	+7	+13	1.1
2035	26	MLB MLE	CWS	57%	631	565	130	25	4	13	51	161	10	13	5	229	304	353	658	124	295	26	8	296	87	-10	+1	+0	+7	+14	1.1
2036	27	MLB MLE	CWS	55%	632	566	128	25	3	12	51	162	10	13	5	228	303	351	654	122	294	26	8	295	86	-11	+1	+0	+7	+14	1.1
2037	28	MLB MLE	CWS	55%	627	562	127	25	3	12	50	162	10	13	5	227	302	346	648	120	294	26	8	292	84	-12	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.9
2038	29	MLB MLE	CWS	53%	618	555	124	24	3	11	49	161	9	12	5	224	299	340	639	116	292	26	8	289	82	-13	+0	-1	+7	+13	0.6
2039	30	MLB MLE	CWS	53%	607	545	120	23	3	10	48	160	9	12	6	222	295	333	628	111	291	26	8	285	79	-15	+0	-2	+7	+13	0.2
2040	31	MLB MLE	CWS	52%	593	533	116	22	3	10	46	159	9	11	7	218	291	324	614	106	288	27	8	279	75	-18	-1	-3	+6	+13	-0.2
2028	19	MLB CTX	CWS	34%	76	69	14	3	0	1	6	20	1	2	0	215	289	307	596	92	290	26	8	272	70	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2029	20	MLB CTX	CWS	48%	172	154	34	7	1	2	13	45	3	4	1	219	294	320	613	100	292	26	8	279	74	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2030	21	MLB CTX	CWS	54%	246	221	49	10	1	4	19	64	4	5	2	223	298	330	628	108	293	26	8	285	78	-6	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2031	22	MLB CTX	CWS	57%	297	266	60	12	2	5	24	76	5	6	2	226	301	340	641	114	294	26	8	290	82	-7	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2032	23	MLB CTX	CWS	58%	330	296	67	13	2	6	26	84	5	7	2	228	303	348	651	120	295	25	8	294	84	-6	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.5
2033	24	MLB CTX	CWS	57%	344	307	71	14	2	7	28	88	6	7	2	229	304	352	656	122	296	26	8	296	86	-6	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.6
2034	25	MLB CTX	CWS	57%	353	316	73	14	2	7	28	90	6	8	3	230	305	354	659	124	296	25	8	297	86	-6	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.6
2035	26	MLB CTX	CWS	57%	357	319	73	14	2	7	29	91	6	8	3	230	305	356	661	126	296	25	8	298	87	-6	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.6
2036	27	MLB CTX	CWS	55%	351	314	72	14	2	7	28	90	6	7	3	229	304	353	657	124	295	26	8	296	86	-6	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.6
2037	28	MLB CTX	CWS	55%	344	308	71	14	2	7	28	89	5	7	3	227	302	349	651	121	294	26	8	294	84	-7	+0	-0	+4	+7	0.5
2038	29	MLB CTX	CWS	53%	330	296	67	13	2	6	26	86	5	6	3	225	300	343	642	118	293	26	8	290	82	-7	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.3
2039	30	MLB CTX	CWS	53%	320	287	64	12	2	6	25	85	5	6	3	222	296	335	631	113	292	27	8	286	79	-8	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.1
2040	31	MLB CTX	CWS	52%	309	278	60	12	1	5	24	83	4	6	4	218	291	326	617	107	289	27	8	280	75	-9	-0	-1	+3	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3829	3431	775	152	21	70	304	991	61	79	31	226	300	344	644	118	295	26	8	291	80	-81	+3	-4	+41	+83	4.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	132	26	4	12	52	168	10	13	5	227	301	347	648	120	296	26	8	291	80	-14	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	7351	6585	1464	287	39	126	587	1908	119	156	59	222	298	335	633	113	292	26	8	287	80	-158	+7	-7	+77	+156	7.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	128	25	3	11	52	169	11	14	5	220	296	330	626	110	289	26	8	287	80	-14	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#5Billy Urbanski'31-'37 * career totals — 6 seasons, 3,345 PA	5.0	3,345	19	24	237*	300*	353*	+32	+2	7.1	7.1
/162	664	4	5	+6.5	+0.4	1.4	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	6.0	3,961	69	81	226	297	341	+42	+24	7.0	6.2
/162	664	12	14	+7.1	+4.0	1.2	pk7: 5
#6Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Samuel Luis (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	208/280/289	81	287	1	3	27%	8%	64	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	39→47	39→50	48→50	51	188/277/271	84	242	6	14	24%	10%	59	-1.6	207/281/319	112	295	10	8	31%	8%	72	-0.7	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Jorge Alcantara 2010 · A	18	42	37→45	51→50	44	200/264/274	74	285	4	11	30%	7%	54	-2.0	207/273/305	98	302	7	11	31%	7%	64	-1.3	189/258/298	110	269	7	17	30%	7%	57	-0.6
✕Aldo Gaxiola 2024 · A	18	42	37→55	49→40	46	200/275/274	74	279	5	9	28%	8%	59	-1.7	199/263/295	96	263	9	5	27%	6%	59	-1.7	193/251/309	115	259	14	2	30%	5%	55	-0.8
✕Yunior Garcia 2019 · A	18	35→45	40→45	52→30	43	176/241/269	92	235	7	10	27%	7%	45	-2.7	192/242/291	99	291	9	7	36%	5%	49	-2.4	228/278/346	118	323	12	2	32%	5%	72	-0.3
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	44→53	39→45	54→55	48	206/278/298	92	275	5	13	25%	9%	65	-1.2	213/265/301	88	288	6	11	27%	6%	60	-1.6	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	41→44	37→50	55	45	194/259/272	77	267	4	14	28%	8%	51	-2.2	178/254/255	77	256	5	12	30%	8%	47	-2.6	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Jorge Mateo 2013 · A	18	43→50	38→50	51→65	51	204/279/286	82	265	5	10	24%	9%	62	-1.4	201/264/285	84	268	5	34	25%	7%	56	-1.9	217/266/353	136	277	13	42	26%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→47	36→45	49→50	39	193/238/260	66	278	3	8	30%	5%	40	-3.1	208/254/280	72	286	5	10	28%	5%	51	-2.2	233/299/360	126	304	15	8	27%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Rodolfo Castro 2017 · A	18	40→42	37→55	48→50	46	191/261/271	79	260	3	5	26%	8%	52	-2.2	197/244/318	121	277	11	5	32%	5%	56	-1.9	211/274/367	156	276	20	7	30%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Luis Torrens 2014 · A	18	42→49	36→50	49→40	45	200/267/261	62	282	3	5	29%	8%	52	-2.2	206/282/284	78	279	6	5	26%	8%	63	-1.3	233/290/382	149	292	18	0	26%	7%	89	+0.3
✕Andrés Nolaya 2024 · A	19	39	36→45	47→50	46	183/256/246	64	263	3	12	30%	8%	45	-2.7	196/270/269	73	284	4	17	30%	8%	55	-1.9	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Ezequiel Tovar 2021 · A	19	44→49	37→55	49→50	45	205/273/280	75	288	3	12	28%	8%	59	-1.7	244/281/380	136	295	14	15	22%	4%	84	+0.2	251/287/411	161	323	17	11	27%	4%	94	+0.8
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	40→46	37→45	47→55	51	190/291/259	69	233	5	12	19%	8%	63	-1.4	203/293/290	87	241	8	16	18%	9%	70	-0.9	224/302/327	104	269	12	19	21%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Jesús Báez 2023 · A	18	37→41	41→55	44→45	47	183/257/274	91	240	9	9	26%	8%	52	-2.2	199/262/315	116	251	12	9	25%	7%	63	-1.3	226/279/407	181	249	27	8	22%	6%	89	+0.4
✕Manuel Pena 2022 · A	18	38→48	38→50	50	45	187/249/259	72	249	5	15	26%	7%	45	-2.7	204/254/287	83	304	5	9	32%	6%	53	-2.1	238/273/365	128	316	15	5	29%	4%	76	-0.4
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	36→44	39→50	53→55	48	177/265/262	85	249	7	11	30%	9%	53	-2.1	194/283/299	105	299	9	16	34%	10%	68	-1.0	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Denzer Guzman 2022 · A	18	37→47	39→45	47→50	49	179/246/266	87	218	6	13	20%	8%	46	-2.6	190/247/278	88	283	7	8	33%	7%	48	-2.5	217/278/341	124	295	14	11	30%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Mairoshendrick Martinus 2023 · A	18	38→48	41→45	50	43	191/254/292	102	253	8	11	27%	7%	55	-2.0	176/229/262	86	311	8	13	43%	6%	38	-3.2	204/248/323	118	308	13	17	37%	5%	57	-1.1
✕Keiberg Camacaro 2024 · A	17	37	38→40	49→60	41	178/262/262	84	282	5	12	36%	8%	52	-2.2	178/283/253	75	253	4	14	28%	10%	59	-1.7	159/287/230	71	209	5	23	24%	12%	55	-0.5
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2011 · A	18	42	41→45	52→50	43	206/268/305	99	267	8	9	25%	6%	63	-1.4	203/274/291	88	258	5	11	22%	6%	62	-1.4	210/267/312	102	264	5	11	22%	5%	62	-0.6

Samuel Luis

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps