Juan Sanchez — OGILVIE

Juan SanchezSS Dunedin Blue Jays

Age 18 R/R 6'3" / 180 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION402 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP281

ISO132

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$72M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 56

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER56

scouting grade only

EYE49

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

DEFENSE47

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.6	$9M	+$8M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.7	$9M	+$8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.8	$8M	+$8M
2034	Arb-1	$6M	+1.8	$8M	+$5M
2035	Arb-2	$10M	+1.8	$7M	+$3M
2036	Arb-3	$14M	+1.6	$6M	+$1M
Totals		$33M		$47M	+$34M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	253	214	73	16	4	8	26	44	12	4	3	341	440	565	1.006	224	399	17	10	440	184	+25	-0	—	—	+5	3.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	253	224	54	11	3	6	16	65	12	4	3	241	325	397	723	156	299	26	6	307	94	-2	-0	—	—	+5	0.3
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	253	224	54	11	3	6	16	65	12	4	3	241	325	397	723	156	312	26	6	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	253	214	73	16	4	8	26	44	12	4	3	341	440	565	1.006	224	399	17	10	440	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	253	223	54	11	3	6	16	65	12	4	3	242	325	399	724	157	299	26	6	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	253	223	54	11	3	6	16	65	12	4	3	242	325	399	724	157	299	26	6	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	A MLE	TOR	—	402	365	63	20	1	5	25	145	10	12	1	173	245	274	519	101	267	36	6	232	43	-27	+2	+0	+4	+9	-1.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	A RAW	TOR	—	402	357	76	23	1	7	33	102	10	12	1	213	297	342	639	129	276	25	8	291	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	A MLE	TOR	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		279	33	11	265	65	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	18	A MLE	TOR	—	411	373	64	20	1	5	26	148	10	12	1	172	244	271	515	99	266	36	6	233	44	-28	+2	-0	+4	+9	-1.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	TOR	43%	420	380	80	19	2	10	28	126	9	7	1	211	281	350	631	139	283	30	7	285	79	-11	+1	-1	+4	+9	0.3
2028	20	MLB MLE	TOR	61%	490	442	97	22	2	14	34	142	11	8	1	219	292	373	665	154	287	29	7	298	88	-7	+1	-2	+5	+11	0.9
2029	21	MLB MLE	TOR	68%	529	474	107	24	2	17	38	149	12	9	1	226	300	392	692	167	288	28	7	308	95	-3	+1	-2	+6	+11	1.4
2030	22	MLB MLE	TOR	71%	571	511	117	26	2	20	42	158	13	10	2	229	304	405	709	176	289	28	7	315	99	-1	+1	-2	+6	+12	1.8
2031	23	MLB MLE	TOR	72%	617	552	127	28	2	22	46	169	14	10	2	230	306	408	713	178	290	27	7	319	102	+1	+1	-2	+7	+13	2.1
2032	24	MLB MLE	TOR	72%	638	571	134	30	2	24	48	174	14	11	2	235	310	420	730	186	291	27	8	322	104	+3	+1	-2	+7	+14	2.4
2033	25	MLB MLE	TOR	71%	641	574	134	30	2	24	48	174	14	11	2	233	308	418	726	185	291	27	7	324	105	+4	+1	-2	+7	+14	2.5
2034	26	MLB MLE	TOR	71%	644	576	135	30	2	24	49	175	14	11	2	234	310	418	728	184	291	27	8	324	106	+4	+1	-2	+7	+14	2.5
2035	27	MLB MLE	TOR	70%	640	572	133	29	2	24	49	174	14	11	2	233	309	416	725	184	291	27	8	324	106	+4	+1	-2	+7	+14	2.5
2036	28	MLB MLE	TOR	69%	633	565	132	29	2	24	49	173	14	10	2	234	311	419	730	186	290	27	8	323	105	+4	+1	-3	+7	+14	2.3
2037	29	MLB MLE	TOR	67%	622	554	128	28	2	23	49	171	14	9	2	231	310	413	723	182	290	27	8	322	104	+3	+1	-3	+7	+13	2.1
2038	30	MLB MLE	TOR	66%	610	544	125	28	2	22	48	170	13	8	1	230	307	410	717	180	289	28	8	319	102	+2	+1	-4	+7	+13	1.9
2039	31	MLB MLE	TOR	65%	596	531	121	27	2	21	47	168	13	7	1	228	306	405	711	177	286	28	8	315	100	-0	+1	-5	+6	+13	1.6
2040	32	MLB MLE	TOR	65%	577	515	115	25	2	20	45	165	12	6	1	223	301	396	697	173	283	29	8	310	96	-3	+1	-5	+6	+13	1.2
2041	33	MLB MLE	TOR	65%	547	487	107	23	2	18	43	159	12	4	1	220	299	386	685	166	279	29	8	303	91	-6	+0	-6	+6	+12	0.6
2042	34	MLB MLE	TOR	60%	499	448	93	19	1	16	38	148	10	3	0	208	284	362	646	154	272	30	8	294	85	-9	+1	-6	+5	+11	0.1
2027	19	MLB CTX	TOR	43%	181	163	34	8	1	4	12	54	4	3	1	209	279	344	623	135	284	30	7	270	79	-5	+0	-1	+2	+4	0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	TOR	61%	298	268	60	14	1	9	21	86	7	5	1	224	297	384	682	160	288	29	7	282	88	-4	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.5
2029	21	MLB CTX	TOR	68%	360	323	73	16	1	12	26	102	8	6	1	226	300	393	693	167	289	28	7	292	95	-2	+1	-1	+4	+8	0.9
2030	22	MLB CTX	TOR	71%	406	364	85	19	2	14	30	112	9	7	1	234	308	412	720	179	290	28	7	299	99	-0	+1	-1	+4	+9	1.3
2031	23	MLB CTX	TOR	72%	446	400	94	21	2	16	33	122	10	8	1	235	309	417	727	182	291	27	7	304	102	+1	+1	-1	+5	+10	1.6
2032	24	MLB CTX	TOR	72%	456	409	96	21	2	17	34	124	10	8	1	235	309	421	730	186	292	27	7	307	104	+2	+1	-1	+5	+10	1.7
2033	25	MLB CTX	TOR	71%	456	409	96	21	2	17	34	124	10	8	1	235	309	421	730	186	292	27	7	308	105	+3	+1	-1	+5	+10	1.8
2034	26	MLB CTX	TOR	71%	457	409	96	21	2	17	35	124	10	8	1	235	311	421	731	186	292	27	8	309	106	+3	+1	-1	+5	+10	1.8
2035	27	MLB CTX	TOR	70%	445	398	93	20	2	17	34	121	10	8	1	234	310	422	732	188	292	27	8	309	106	+3	+1	-1	+5	+10	1.8
2036	28	MLB CTX	TOR	69%	435	388	91	20	2	16	34	119	10	7	1	235	312	420	733	186	292	27	8	308	105	+3	+1	-2	+5	+9	1.6
2037	29	MLB CTX	TOR	67%	416	371	87	19	2	15	33	115	9	6	1	235	312	418	730	183	291	28	8	306	104	+2	+1	-2	+4	+9	1.4
2038	30	MLB CTX	TOR	66%	401	357	82	18	1	15	32	112	9	5	1	230	309	412	721	182	290	28	8	304	102	+1	+1	-3	+4	+9	1.2
2039	31	MLB CTX	TOR	65%	388	347	78	17	1	14	30	109	8	5	1	225	301	401	702	176	288	28	8	300	100	-0	+1	-3	+4	+8	1.0
2040	32	MLB CTX	TOR	65%	374	334	74	16	1	13	29	107	8	4	1	222	299	392	691	171	284	29	8	295	96	-2	+0	-3	+4	+8	0.7
2041	33	MLB CTX	TOR	65%	353	315	69	15	1	12	27	102	8	3	0	219	297	387	684	168	280	29	8	288	91	-4	+1	-4	+4	+8	0.5
2042	34	MLB CTX	TOR	60%	300	268	58	12	1	10	23	89	6	2	0	216	293	381	674	164	274	30	8	279	85	-5	+0	-4	+3	+6	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	6172	5523	1266	278	24	218	467	1722	136	93	14	229	305	407	712	177	290	28	8	300	98	-5	+13	-31	+66	+134	17.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	134	29	3	23	49	181	14	10	1	230	305	409	714	179	291	28	8	300	98	-1	+1	-3	+7	+14	1.9
Career	—	MLE		—	9536	8528	1940	428	34	329	718	2663	215	139	26	227	304	401	705	174	289	28	8	314	98	-15	+18	-48	+99	+201	26.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	131	29	2	22	49	182	15	9	2	225	302	396	698	170	287	28	8	314	98	-1	+1	-3	+7	+14	1.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	9.8	6,490	225	96	229	301	404	+67	-13	24.8	19.7
/162	664	23	10	+6.9	-1.3	2.5	pk7: 15
#1Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
#2Bill Halllast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,621 PA	5.5	3,621	123	62	249	308	437	+22	+7	15.9	16.6
/162	664	23	11	+4.1	+1.3	2.9	pk7: 17
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	6.7	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
/162	664	27	11	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#5Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
/162	664	23	1	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#6Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	4.3	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Sanchez (OGILVIE)	18	36→50	46→56	40	49	197/265/315	118	279	6	7	31%	6%	65	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Mark Vientos 2019 · A	19	42→50	46→60	43→30	45	215/275/340	125	273	14	3	26%	7%	74	-0.6	209/254/346	137	287	16	2	32%	5%	68	-1.0	243/303/441	198	304	26	1	28%	7%	106	+1.5
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A	18	48→46	42→50	44→50	46	226/320/334	108	300	8	7	26%	8%	90	+0.6	212/310/340	128	285	12	8	28%	8%	88	+0.4	217/303/361	144	274	17	12	26%	7%	88	+0.4
●Andy Pages 2021 · A	20	43→53	46→55	46→50	46	214/297/344	130	275	14	9	26%	8%	84	+0.1	213/299/399	186	281	23	6	32%	9%	97	+1.1	266/322/445	180	311	23	10	22%	6%	115	+2.3
●Luis Campusano 2018 · A	19	43→53	41→55	41→30	44	213/267/308	95	273	10	4	25%	6%	63	-1.4	248/300/360	112	296	11	2	20%	6%	86	+0.3	257/334/422	165	298	20	1	20%	10%	111	+1.3
✕Jesús Báez 2023 · A	18	39→40	44→55	44→45	43	197/263/310	113	267	13	9	30%	8%	63	-1.4	199/261/321	122	254	13	9	26%	7%	64	-1.3	217/271/392	175	242	26	8	23%	6%	83	+0.1
●Jackson Chourio 2022 · A	18	44→54	42→60	48→55	46	218/280/321	104	273	10	10	24%	7%	71	-0.8	234/280/388	154	309	17	19	29%	6%	86	+0.3	274/325/460	186	323	22	21	22%	7%	115	+2.3
●Moisés Ballesteros 2023 · A	19	42→52	47→50	45→40	47	215/281/345	130	270	15	5	26%	8%	77	-0.3	241/299/370	129	293	14	4	22%	7%	89	+0.5	255/314/382	127	304	14	3	20%	7%	96	+0.9
✕Victor Heredia 2019 · A	19	47	44→50	42→30	39	232/274/353	122	292	11	4	25%	4%	76	-0.4	213/267/301	88	291	7	5	28%	6%	61	-1.5	176/240/214	38	249	3	2	28%	6%	30	-1.0
✕James Triantos 2022 · A	19	45→55	49→45	45→60	40	232/273/378	146	289	16	8	26%	5%	81	-0.1	239/285/335	96	292	8	18	20%	5%	75	-0.5	258/299/357	99	298	7	36	16%	4%	83	+0.1
●Gary Sánchez 2011 · A	18	49→50	47→65	46→45	39	241/294/380	139	328	14	5	30%	6%	90	+0.6	221/270/362	141	305	16	6	32%	6%	77	-0.3	240/315/462	222	266	31	4	23%	8%	115	+1.9
✕Aderlin Rodríguez 2011 · A	19	44→48	49→55	45→30	40	227/269/372	145	280	17	4	26%	5%	78	-0.3	207/243/347	140	252	18	3	26%	4%	63	-1.4	238/283/415	178	287	23	1	26%	4%	92	+0.5
✕Luis Alvarez 2009 · A	19	47	43→45	44→45	48	231/306/343	112	272	11	5	19%	7%	86	+0.3	224/289/325	101	280	9	6	22%	6%	76	-0.4	212/264/322	110	252	12	1	21%	4%	62	-0.3
✕Elias Díaz 2010 · A	19	42→52	41→50	42→45	44	204/265/299	95	266	8	5	26%	7%	60	-1.6	187/235/264	77	245	5	4	25%	5%	40	-3.0	253/312/396	144	279	17	0	16%	7%	98	+0.6
✕Carter Kieboom 2018 · A	20	46→53	48→50	43→45	42	228/289/370	142	302	15	5	29%	7%	86	+0.3	233/302/363	130	307	14	6	27%	8%	89	+0.5	229/307/352	123	302	14	5	27%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Jeral Perez 2023 · A	18	42→41	47→50	48→45	46	213/279/350	137	263	14	7	24%	8%	77	-0.3	204/280/347	143	276	17	7	31%	8%	78	-0.3	195/269/342	147	260	18	6	31%	8%	70	-0.6
●Ryan McMahon 2014 · A	19	46→56	48→55	42→45	40	227/283/376	149	325	15	6	34%	7%	85	+0.2	217/274/360	143	325	13	6	35%	6%	78	-0.3	230/313/394	163	297	19	6	28%	10%	99	+1.3
✕Luis Torres 2023 · A	19	51	50→60	45→50	41	254/302/415	161	312	16	9	24%	5%	101	+1.4	215/280/315	100	345	8	5	37%	7%	70	-0.9	183/261/256	73	332	4	0	42%	8%	46	-0.6
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→46	41→50	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	68	-1.0	209/282/325	116	301	11	8	32%	8%	73	-0.6	222/288/367	145	291	16	4	28%	6%	82	-0.0
✕Brendan Rodgers 2017 · A	20	42→52	45→50	44→45	39	214/262/332	117	283	13	6	29%	5%	66	-1.1	235/278/367	132	296	14	6	25%	4%	80	-0.1	256/311/394	138	303	15	0	20%	6%	98	+0.8
●Adael Amador 2022 · A	19	45→54	41→50	45→55	48	220/284/320	100	275	8	11	23%	8%	72	-0.7	239/315/371	132	277	15	17	19%	9%	96	+1.0	231/310/363	132	264	16	23	19%	9%	89	+0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps