Juan Sanchez — OGILVIE

Juan SanchezSS Dunedin Blue Jays

Age 18 R/R 6'3" / 180 lbs A HR +12%BB +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 4.8 · 2034

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .292 / .354

PA240

HR6

K%28

BB%8

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

20↗49

PWR

35↗55

SPD

44↘42

FLD

40↗47

EYE

44↗49

trajectory · 10 yrs

5.1peak

2034

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+3.5	$32M	+$31M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+4.0	$37M	+$36M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+4.4	$42M	+$41M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$10M	+4.7	$46M	+$37M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$16M	+4.8	$49M	+$32M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$24M	+4.8	$50M	+$26M
Totals		$53M		$256M	+$203M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Red	253	224	54	11	3	6	16	65	12	4	3	.241	.325	.397	.723	.156	.312	26	6	.308	94	-2	-0	+0	+3	+7	0.8
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	18	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	27	26	3	1	0	0	1	11	0	1	0	.115	.148	.154	.302	.038	.200	41	4	.130	-42	-4	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.3
ROS	18	MLB	TOR	213	191	43	8	1	5	17	59	3	3	1	.225	.299	.356	.655	.131	.290	28	8	.292	82	-4	+0	-1	+2	+6	0.3
TOT	18	MLB	TOR	240	217	46	9	1	5	18	70	3	4	1	.212	.282	.332	.613	.120	.287	29	8	.274	68	-9	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	19	MLB 32%	TOR	321	286	68	12	2	9	27	85	5	6	2	.238	.314	.388	.703	.150	.303	26	8	.313	98	-1	+0	-1	+3	+9	1.1
2028	20	MLB 57%	TOR	431	383	94	16	3	13	38	112	7	8	2	.245	.325	.405	.729	.159	.309	26	9	.326	107	+4	+1	-2	+5	+12	2.0
2029	21	MLB 86%	TOR	512	452	112	19	3	17	47	130	8	10	2	.248	.329	.416	.745	.168	.310	25	9	.334	114	+8	+1	-2	+5	+15	2.8
2030	22	MLB	TOR	570	501	128	22	4	20	54	141	10	10	2	.255	.340	.435	.775	.180	.310	25	9	.341	120	+13	+1	-2	+6	+16	3.5
2031	23	MLB	TOR	609	534	137	23	4	23	60	148	10	10	2	.257	.343	.444	.787	.187	.311	24	10	.348	124	+17	+1	-2	+7	+17	4.0
2032	24	MLB	TOR	634	554	143	24	4	24	64	152	11	10	2	.258	.347	.446	.792	.188	.311	24	10	.352	128	+20	+1	-2	+7	+18	4.4
2033	25	MLB	TOR	648	565	147	25	4	25	67	154	11	10	2	.260	.350	.451	.801	.191	.312	24	10	.355	130	+22	+1	-2	+7	+18	4.7
2034	26	MLB	TOR	654	569	149	25	4	26	69	156	11	10	2	.262	.353	.457	.810	.195	.312	24	11	.357	131	+23	+1	-2	+7	+19	4.8
2035	27	MLB	TOR	653	568	148	25	4	26	69	156	11	10	2	.261	.352	.456	.808	.195	.312	24	11	.357	131	+23	+1	-2	+7	+19	4.8
2036	28	MLB	TOR	647	562	145	24	4	25	69	156	11	9	1	.258	.350	.448	.799	.190	.312	24	11	.356	130	+22	+1	-3	+7	+18	4.7
2037	29	MLB	TOR	637	552	143	24	4	25	69	155	11	8	1	.259	.353	.453	.806	.194	.311	24	11	.354	129	+21	+1	-4	+7	+18	4.4
2038	30	MLB	TOR	626	544	139	23	4	24	67	155	10	8	0	.256	.348	.445	.793	.189	.310	25	11	.351	126	+19	+2	-4	+7	+18	4.1
2039	31	MLB	TOR	612	531	133	22	3	23	66	154	10	7	0	.250	.344	.433	.777	.183	.308	25	11	.347	124	+16	+1	-5	+7	+17	3.7
2040	32	MLB	TOR	593	514	128	21	3	22	64	152	10	6	0	.249	.344	.430	.773	.181	.307	26	11	.342	120	+13	+1	-6	+6	+17	3.3
2041	33	MLB	TOR	564	490	119	19	3	20	60	148	9	6	0	.243	.336	.416	.753	.173	.305	26	11	.336	115	+10	+1	-6	+6	+16	2.7
2042	34	MLB	TOR	515	447	107	17	3	17	55	140	8	5	0	.239	.333	.405	.738	.166	.304	27	11	.329	110	+6	+1	-7	+6	+15	2.1
2043	35	MLB	TOR	459	401	93	15	2	15	48	129	7	5	0	.232	.325	.392	.716	.160	.302	28	10	.321	104	+2	+1	-7	+5	+13	1.4
2044	36	MLB	TOR	398	348	78	12	2	12	41	116	6	5	0	.224	.316	.374	.690	.149	.299	29	10	.312	97	-1	+1	-8	+4	+11	0.8
2045	37	MLB	TOR	332	290	64	10	2	9	34	100	5	4	0	.221	.313	.362	.675	.141	.295	30	10	.302	89	-4	+1	-8	+4	+9	0.1
2046	38	MLB	TOR	262	230	48	7	1	7	26	81	4	3	0	.209	.300	.339	.639	.130	.289	31	10	.291	81	-6	+1	-9	+3	+7	-0.4
2047	39	MLB	TOR	187	164	33	5	1	4	18	59	3	2	0	.201	.292	.317	.609	.116	.283	32	10	.279	72	-6	+0	-9	+2	+5	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			11330	9900	2453	409	68	397	1145	2903	193	159	24	.248	.337	.423	.760	.175	.309	26	10	.338	117	+214	+22	-95	+121	+321	59.5
/ 162G	—			650	568	141	23	4	23	66	167	11	9	1	.248	.338	.424	.762	.176	.310	26	10	.338	117	+12	+1	-5	+7	+18	3.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Red	253	214	73	16	4	8	26	44	12	4	3	.341	.440	.565	1.006	.224	.399	17	10	.440	195	+27	-0	—	—	+7	3.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Sanchez (OGILVIE)	18	20→49	35→55	44→42	49	.221/.292/.354	.133	.290	6	4	28%	8%	82	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Junior Caminero 2022 · A	19	44→52	49→65	49→45	45	.226/.283/.369	.143	.276	17	6	25%	7%	81	+0.4	.250/.300/.421	.171	.300	23	7	24%	6%	102	+1.8	.258/.305/.479	.221	.284	33	5	22%	6%	116	+2.6
●Miguel Sanó 2011 · A	18	44→52	43→70	45	37	.212/.262/.323	.112	.317	11	6	35%	6%	59	-1.1	.211/.275/.398	.187	.296	23	6	35%	7%	85	+0.7	.243/.334/.470	.227	.340	31	2	35%	11%	124	+3.1
●Jackson Chourio 2022 · A	18	44→54	42→55	49→55	45	.217/.279/.319	.102	.277	10	10	25%	7%	66	-0.6	.233/.280/.389	.156	.311	18	19	30%	6%	85	+0.7	.261/.307/.430	.168	.314	19	26	23%	6%	101	+1.8
●Mark Vientos 2019 · A	19	42→50	45→60	43→30	45	.215/.274/.337	.122	.275	14	3	27%	7%	69	-0.4	.206/.251/.346	.140	.279	17	2	32%	5%	62	-0.9	.246/.306/.451	.204	.321	28	0	31%	7%	109	+2.0
●Gary Sánchez 2011 · A	18	49→51	47→65	46→45	39	.239/.293/.375	.135	.327	14	5	30%	6%	86	+0.8	.220/.268/.368	.148	.299	18	6	32%	5%	75	-0.0	.232/.315/.480	.248	.254	37	1	26%	9%	119	+2.3
★Xander Bogaerts 2012 · A	19	43→53	49→60	42→55	41	.222/.273/.365	.143	.281	17	4	27%	6%	76	+0.0	.244/.297/.396	.152	.312	17	5	26%	6%	94	+1.3	.293/.370/.507	.214	.325	27	7	18%	10%	148	+4.3
●Trevor Story 2012 · A	19	42→52	43→65	54→55	44	.209/.272/.318	.108	.282	10	12	29%	7%	63	-0.8	.193/.253/.326	.133	.287	13	12	36%	7%	57	-1.2	.270/.336/.500	.231	.327	29	25	26%	8%	134	+3.6
★Austin Riley 2016 · A	19	44→54	49→65	45→40	38	.218/.279/.361	.143	.320	17	5	36%	6%	78	+0.2	.214/.260/.366	.152	.309	18	3	36%	5%	71	-0.3	.273/.345/.498	.224	.325	30	1	25%	8%	136	+4.9
●Willy Adames 2015 · A	19	48→53	41→60	47→50	46	.224/.293/.338	.114	.316	6	6	29%	8%	76	+0.1	.224/.290/.335	.111	.332	7	8	32%	8%	75	-0.0	.263/.332/.462	.199	.341	24	5	28%	9%	122	+2.4
★Manny Machado 2012 · A	20	43→53	44→65	48→50	44	.217/.266/.340	.124	.267	11	10	24%	6%	66	-0.6	.250/.295/.396	.146	.294	13	8	19%	6%	92	+1.2	.280/.340/.502	.222	.295	29	7	16%	8%	128	+4.3
●Isaac Paredes 2018 · A	19	43→51	43→60	48→40	46	.211/.271/.322	.111	.241	10	4	17%	6%	64	-0.8	.228/.291/.341	.113	.267	11	4	18%	7%	77	+0.1	.245/.349/.440	.195	.261	25	1	17%	11%	126	+3.2
●Bo Bichette 2017 · A	19	50→60	46→60	53→55	40	.243/.287/.379	.136	.324	13	8	28%	6%	85	+0.7	.267/.312/.417	.150	.332	13	17	23%	6%	105	+2.1	.305/.346/.482	.177	.358	22	13	20%	5%	135	+4.6
●Iván Herrera 2018 · A	18	50→57	37→50	44→50	42	.231/.298/.310	.079	.319	4	5	27%	6%	72	-0.2	.233/.297/.322	.089	.310	7	4	25%	6%	74	-0.1	.278/.371/.439	.161	.339	19	13	22%	11%	132	+2.8
✕Luis Torres 2023 · A	19	51	51→60	46→50	41	.257/.304/.425	.168	.315	17	9	24%	5%	105	+2.1	.220/.283/.330	.110	.348	9	5	36%	7%	71	-0.3	.183/.261/.257	.074	.337	5	0	43%	8%	40	-0.6
●Gleyber Torres 2015 · A	18	46→54	37→60	46→50	46	.215/.278/.292	.076	.296	4	10	27%	8%	58	-1.2	.231/.286/.324	.093	.321	6	13	28%	7%	69	-0.4	.258/.343/.395	.138	.293	16	6	17%	11%	111	+2.7
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2011 · A	18	44	44→45	52→50	41	.218/.277/.333	.115	.291	11	9	28%	6%	69	-0.4	.218/.286/.320	.102	.285	6	11	25%	6%	69	-0.4	.226/.280/.337	.111	.291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
●Moisés Ballesteros 2023 · A	19	43→53	46→50	46→40	47	.216/.283/.346	.130	.273	14	5	26%	8%	75	-0.0	.241/.299/.377	.136	.292	16	4	22%	7%	90	+1.0	.259/.317/.396	.137	.305	16	3	20%	7%	100	+1.5
●Julio Rodríguez 2019 · A	18	47→56	43→60	59→55	46	.228/.289/.349	.121	.291	8	9	24%	7%	77	+0.1	.249/.303/.399	.150	.321	15	8	26%	6%	97	+1.5	.288/.348/.497	.209	.353	27	29	25%	7%	136	+3.8
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	42→46	41→50	48→45	47	.202/.283/.303	.101	.271	9	13	27%	9%	65	-0.7	.209/.282/.326	.117	.298	11	8	31%	8%	69	-0.4	.224/.290/.376	.152	.290	17	4	28%	6%	83	+0.5
●Andy Pages 2021 · A	20	41→51	47→60	46→45	46	.210/.298/.347	.138	.263	15	10	26%	8%	83	+0.6	.215/.301/.412	.197	.284	25	6	32%	9%	101	+1.8	.261/.318/.433	.172	.316	21	10	23%	6%	110	+1.8

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)