Juan Sanchez — OGILVIE

Juan SanchezSS Dunedin Blue Jays

Age 18 R/R 6'3" / 180 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION274 act + 182 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .266 / .330

PA182

HR4

K%32

BB%6

BABIP287

ISO126

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 56

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER56

scouting grade only

EYE48

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

DEFENSE47

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.2	$12M	+$12M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.4	$12M	+$12M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.5	$12M	+$11M
2034	Arb-1	$5M	+2.5	$11M	+$9M
2035	Arb-2	$9M	+2.5	$10M	+$7M
2036	Arb-3	$12M	+2.4	$9M	+$5M
Totals		$29M		$66M	+$55M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	253	224	53	11	3	6	16	66	12	4	3	237	321	393	714	156	307	26	6	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	253	214	73	16	4	8	26	44	12	4	3	341	440	565	1.006	224	399	17	10	440	195	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	A	TOR	—	274	253	43	11	1	4	15	105	5	7	1	170	231	269	500	99	269	38	5	218	25	-23	+1	+0	+3	+8	-1.2
YTD	18	A	TOR	—	274	248	53	13	1	5	20	74	5	7	1	214	286	335	620	121	282	27	7	281	74	-8	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.4
ROS	18	A	TOR	0%	182	166	34	7	1	4	11	59	3	4	1	204	266	330	596	126	282	32	6	265	61	-8	+0	-1	+2	+5	-0.1
ROS	18	MLB	TOR	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		284	—	—	253	52	—	—	-0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	A	TOR	—	274	254	43	11	1	4	15	105	5	7	1	169	231	268	498	98	267	38	5	218	25	-23	+1	+0	+3	+8	-1.2
TOT	18	A	TOR	—	456	419	77	18	2	8	26	164	8	11	2	183	245	293	538	110	276	36	6	237	39	-31	+1	-1	+5	+13	-1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	TOR	43%	504	458	97	20	2	13	32	155	9	8	2	212	277	349	626	138	286	31	6	281	73	-15	+1	-2	+5	+14	0.4
2028	20	MLB	TOR	61%	518	469	103	21	2	15	34	155	10	8	2	220	287	369	655	149	289	30	7	293	83	-10	+1	-2	+6	+15	0.9
2029	21	MLB	TOR	68%	568	513	116	23	3	18	39	165	11	9	2	226	295	388	683	162	290	29	7	302	89	-7	+1	-2	+6	+16	1.5
2030	22	MLB	TOR	71%	607	548	126	25	3	21	43	174	11	9	2	230	299	401	700	172	291	29	7	308	94	-4	+1	-2	+7	+17	1.9
2031	23	MLB	TOR	72%	634	572	132	26	3	22	45	180	12	10	2	231	300	402	703	171	292	28	7	312	97	-2	+1	-2	+7	+18	2.2
2032	24	MLB	TOR	72%	639	576	134	26	3	23	46	181	12	10	2	233	303	408	711	175	293	28	7	315	99	-1	+1	-2	+7	+18	2.4
2033	25	MLB	TOR	71%	642	579	135	26	3	24	46	181	12	10	2	233	303	413	716	180	293	28	7	316	100	+0	+1	-2	+7	+18	2.5
2034	26	MLB	TOR	71%	644	581	135	26	3	24	46	181	12	10	2	232	302	411	713	179	293	28	7	317	101	+1	+1	-2	+7	+18	2.5
2035	27	MLB	TOR	70%	641	577	134	26	3	24	47	181	12	10	2	232	303	412	716	180	293	28	7	317	101	+1	+1	-2	+7	+18	2.5
2036	28	MLB	TOR	69%	633	569	132	26	3	23	47	180	12	9	2	232	304	409	714	178	292	28	7	316	100	+0	+1	-3	+7	+18	2.4
2037	29	MLB	TOR	67%	622	559	129	25	3	23	46	178	12	8	2	231	303	410	713	179	292	29	7	314	99	-1	+1	-3	+7	+18	2.1
2038	30	MLB	TOR	66%	610	548	126	24	3	22	46	176	11	7	2	230	302	405	708	175	291	29	8	312	97	-2	+1	-4	+7	+17	1.9
2039	31	MLB	TOR	65%	596	535	120	23	2	21	45	174	11	6	1	224	298	393	690	168	289	29	8	308	94	-4	+1	-5	+6	+17	1.6
2040	32	MLB	TOR	70%	577	518	115	22	2	20	43	170	11	5	1	222	295	388	683	166	285	29	7	303	90	-7	+1	-5	+6	+16	1.1
2041	33	MLB	TOR	74%	547	492	107	20	2	18	40	164	10	4	1	217	290	376	666	159	281	30	7	296	85	-10	+0	-6	+6	+15	0.6
2042	34	MLB	TOR	70%	499	450	95	17	2	16	37	153	9	2	1	211	284	364	649	153	275	31	7	287	78	-12	+0	-6	+5	+14	0.1
2043	35	MLB	TOR	65%	443	400	81	14	2	13	32	139	8	2	0	203	275	345	620	142	269	31	7	277	70	-15	+0	-7	+5	+13	-0.4
2027	19	MLB	TOR	43%	218	198	43	9	1	6	14	67	4	3	1	217	282	364	646	146	287	31	6	269	64	-9	+0	-1	+2	+6	-0.1
2028	20	MLB	TOR	61%	315	285	64	13	2	9	21	94	6	5	1	225	292	379	671	154	290	30	7	280	73	-10	+1	-1	+3	+9	0.2
2029	21	MLB	TOR	68%	387	350	79	16	2	12	27	113	7	6	1	226	294	386	680	160	292	29	7	289	80	-9	+1	-1	+4	+11	0.6
2030	22	MLB	TOR	71%	432	391	89	17	2	15	30	124	8	7	1	228	296	396	692	169	293	29	7	295	84	-8	+1	-1	+5	+12	0.9
2031	23	MLB	TOR	72%	458	414	96	19	2	16	32	130	9	7	2	232	301	403	704	171	293	28	7	299	87	-7	+1	-1	+5	+13	1.1
2032	24	MLB	TOR	72%	457	412	97	19	2	17	33	129	9	7	2	235	306	415	721	180	294	28	7	302	89	-6	+1	-1	+5	+13	1.2
2033	25	MLB	TOR	71%	457	412	97	19	2	17	33	129	9	7	2	235	306	415	721	180	294	28	7	303	90	-5	+1	-1	+5	+13	1.2
2034	26	MLB	TOR	71%	457	412	97	19	2	17	33	129	9	7	2	235	306	415	721	180	294	28	7	304	91	-5	+1	-1	+5	+13	1.2
2035	27	MLB	TOR	70%	446	402	94	18	2	17	33	126	8	7	2	234	305	415	720	182	294	28	7	304	91	-5	+1	-1	+5	+13	1.2
2036	28	MLB	TOR	69%	435	392	91	18	2	16	32	123	8	6	1	232	303	411	714	179	294	28	7	303	90	-5	+1	-2	+5	+12	1.1
2037	29	MLB	TOR	67%	416	374	87	17	2	15	31	119	8	6	1	233	305	409	714	176	293	29	7	301	89	-5	+1	-2	+4	+12	1.0
2038	30	MLB	TOR	66%	401	361	83	16	2	14	30	116	7	5	1	230	302	402	703	172	292	29	7	299	87	-6	+1	-3	+4	+11	0.8
2039	31	MLB	TOR	65%	388	349	80	15	2	14	29	113	7	4	1	229	301	404	705	175	290	29	7	295	84	-7	+0	-3	+4	+11	0.6
2040	32	MLB	TOR	70%	407	367	81	15	2	14	30	120	7	4	1	221	292	387	679	166	287	29	7	290	80	-9	+0	-4	+4	+12	0.4
2041	33	MLB	TOR	74%	405	365	80	15	2	13	30	122	7	3	1	219	291	378	669	159	283	30	7	283	75	-11	+0	-4	+4	+11	0.0
2042	34	MLB	TOR	70%	347	313	66	12	1	11	25	106	6	2	0	211	282	361	643	150	277	31	7	275	69	-12	+0	-4	+4	+10	-0.3
2043	35	MLB	TOR	65%	288	260	53	9	1	9	21	91	5	1	0	204	276	350	626	146	270	32	7	265	61	-13	+0	-5	+3	+8	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	6714	6058	1377	266	31	232	484	1951	124	87	20	227	298	396	694	169	293	29	7	293	83	-131	+9	-38	+72	+190	10.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	133	26	3	22	47	189	12	8	2	227	298	394	692	167	294	29	7	293	83	-13	+1	-4	+7	+18	1.0
Career	—			—	10359	9334	2104	408	48	350	741	3012	200	135	32	225	296	392	688	166	291	29	7	305	92	-98	+14	-56	+111	+294	27.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	132	26	3	22	46	189	13	8	2	225	296	392	689	167	291	29	7	305	92	-6	+1	-4	+7	+18	1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	253	214	73	16	4	8	26	44	12	4	3	341	440	565	1.006	224	399	17	10	440	195	+27	-0	—	—	+7	3.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	11	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
	/162	664	24	9	241	275	417	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
	/162	664	21	6	256	308	421	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	12	7,035	239	91	226	293	394	+71	-13	21.2	16.9
	/162	664	23	9	226	293	394	+6.7	-1.2	2.0	pk7: 13
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	10	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
	/162	664	27	11	230	288	422	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#5Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	9	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
	/162	664	23	1	235	308	414	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#6Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	7	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
	/162	664	21	6	245	302	422	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Sanchez (OGILVIE)	18	36→50	46→56	40	48	183/245/293	110	276	8	11	36%	6%	39	-1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Mark Vientos 2019 · A	19	42→49	46→60	43→30	45	215/275/340	125	273	14	3	26%	7%	70	-0.3	206/250/349	143	284	18	2	33%	5%	62	-0.9	245/305/447	202	325	28	0	32%	7%	109	+2.0
✕Aderlin Rodríguez 2011 · A	19	44→47	49→60	45→30	40	227/269/373	145	281	17	4	26%	5%	76	+0.0	210/245/360	150	253	19	3	26%	4%	63	-0.9	238/283/427	188	288	25	1	27%	4%	94	+0.9
✕James Triantos 2022 · A	19	46→56	48→45	45→60	40	232/273/378	146	290	16	8	26%	5%	79	+0.3	240/286/339	99	294	8	18	21%	5%	73	-0.1	263/301/369	107	303	9	35	16%	4%	85	+0.5
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A	18	48→42	42→50	44→50	45	227/318/334	107	303	8	7	26%	7%	88	+0.9	214/310/343	129	287	12	8	28%	8%	88	+0.9	219/307/369	150	281	18	13	27%	8%	90	+0.9
●Moisés Ballesteros 2023 · A	19	43→53	47→50	45→40	47	217/283/352	135	277	15	5	27%	8%	76	+0.1	243/301/378	135	296	16	4	23%	7%	91	+1.1	266/326/405	139	311	16	3	19%	8%	106	+1.6
✕Jesús Báez 2023 · A	18	39→35	45→55	44→45	44	197/265/314	117	266	13	9	30%	8%	59	-1.1	203/264/335	132	259	15	9	27%	7%	65	-0.7	213/269/389	177	241	26	8	24%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Victor Heredia 2019 · A	19	47	44→50	42→30	39	232/274/353	122	292	11	4	25%	4%	72	-0.2	213/267/301	88	291	7	5	28%	6%	56	-1.3	176/240/214	38	249	3	2	28%	6%	21	-1.0
●Luis Campusano 2018 · A	19	43→53	41→50	41→30	44	213/267/308	95	273	10	4	25%	6%	58	-1.2	251/303/368	117	300	12	2	20%	6%	89	+0.9	264/328/432	168	297	22	1	19%	8%	113	+1.5
✕Carter Kieboom 2018 · A	20	45→50	49→50	43→45	42	229/288/376	147	300	16	5	29%	6%	85	+0.7	233/302/365	132	310	15	6	28%	8%	88	+0.9	229/307/354	125	306	14	5	28%	9%	84	+0.4
●Esmerlyn Valdez 2023 · A	19	41→43	45→55	44→40	43	204/283/326	122	290	12	5	32%	8%	71	-0.3	195/273/328	133	307	15	4	39%	8%	67	-0.5	202/290/390	188	286	26	2	37%	9%	87	+0.6
✕Jeral Perez 2023 · A	18	42→41	47→50	49→45	47	214/282/352	138	263	14	7	24%	8%	76	+0.1	208/286/358	150	281	18	7	31%	9%	80	+0.4	201/277/358	157	269	20	6	32%	8%	73	-0.1
●Ryan McMahon 2014 · A	19	46→56	48→55	42→45	40	227/283/376	149	325	15	6	34%	7%	83	+0.6	217/273/363	146	324	14	6	35%	6%	76	+0.0	247/298/412	164	344	17	8	31%	6%	96	+1.3
●Jackson Chourio 2022 · A	18	44→54	42→60	48→55	45	217/278/318	101	276	10	10	25%	7%	66	-0.6	233/279/390	157	315	18	19	31%	6%	85	+0.7	273/321/471	198	320	23	21	22%	6%	120	+2.5
●Andy Pages 2021 · A	20	43→53	46→60	46→50	46	214/297/344	130	275	14	9	26%	8%	82	+0.5	219/304/418	199	291	25	6	32%	9%	104	+2.0	270/324/464	194	313	25	10	22%	6%	121	+2.8
●Cheslor Cuthbert 2012 · A	19	46→56	46→50	49→45	42	228/279/352	124	298	14	4	28%	6%	75	-0.0	216/258/326	110	270	11	6	24%	5%	59	-1.1	258/310/406	148	301	17	1	20%	7%	100	+0.9
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→47	41→55	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	64	-0.8	211/283/328	117	302	11	8	32%	8%	71	-0.3	225/292/378	153	293	18	4	28%	6%	84	+0.6
★Xander Bogaerts 2012 · A	19	42→52	49→60	41→55	41	218/270/362	144	284	17	4	29%	6%	74	-0.1	241/295/389	148	309	16	5	26%	6%	91	+1.1	287/361/450	163	330	18	10	18%	9%	131	+4.1
✕Luis Alvarez 2009 · A	19	47	43→45	44→45	48	231/306/343	112	272	11	5	19%	7%	85	+0.7	224/289/325	101	280	9	6	22%	6%	72	-0.2	209/262/317	108	250	12	1	21%	4%	55	-0.3
✕Samuel Basallo 2023 · A	18	41→48	44→55	48→45	40	209/264/317	108	283	12	4	30%	6%	59	-1.1	232/286/390	158	298	19	7	28%	7%	88	+0.9	230/287/406	176	286	23	6	28%	7%	89	+0.8
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	48→47	45→55	48→55	46	233/305/357	125	310	12	12	27%	8%	87	+0.8	242/305/384	142	306	15	16	25%	7%	94	+1.3	248/306/416	169	299	18	16	23%	6%	100	+1.2