Luis De Leon — OGILVIE

Luis De LeonC FCL Astros

Age 19 R/R 5'10" / 210 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION188 act + 17 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†89

AVG/OBP/SLG.250 / .294 / .312

PA17

HR0

K%24

BB%6

BABIP304

ISO62

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$102M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED54

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.8	$9M	+$9M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.8	$8M	+$8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.8	$8M	+$7M
2035	Arb-1	$5M	+1.7	$7M	+$5M
2036	Arb-2	$8M	+1.5	$6M	+$3M
2037	Arb-3	$11M	+1.4	$5M	+$1M
Totals		$28M		$43M	+$33M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	18	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	148	130	34	12	0	4	11	21	5	5	3	262	342	446	789	185	280	14	7	347	121	+4	-0	—	—	+3	0.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	148	134	25	8	0	3	7	31	5	5	3	187	253	313	567	127	218	21	5	254	58	-7	-0	—	—	+3	-0.4
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	148	134	25	8	0	3	7	31	5	5	3	187	253	313	567	127	216	21	5	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	—	148	130	34	12	0	4	11	21	5	5	3	262	342	446	789	185	280	14	7	347	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	148	135	25	8	0	3	7	31	5	5	3	185	253	311	565	126	218	21	5	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	148	135	25	8	0	3	7	31	5	5	3	185	253	311	565	126	218	21	5	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	ROK MLE	HOU	—	188	170	46	6	0	3	16	34	1	6	2	271	337	359	696	88	321	18	9	308	95	-1	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.7
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK RAW	HOU	—	141	118	46	8	0	4	21	16	1	5	1	390	486	559	1.045	169	424	11	15	459	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	A RAW	HOU	—	47	43	9	0	0	0	4	8	0	1	1	209	277	209	486		257	17	9	233	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	ROK MLE	HOU	0%	17	16	4	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	250	294	312	607	62	302	24	6	300	89	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	19	ROK MLE	HOU	—	205	186	50	7	0	3	17	38	1	6	2	269	333	355	688	86	322	19	8	308	94	-1	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	HOU	43%	267	242	60	10	1	6	20	58	3	5	2	248	313	372	685	124	303	22	7	308	95	-2	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.9
2028	21	MLB MLE	HOU	61%	384	348	88	15	2	9	29	83	4	8	2	253	318	385	703	132	303	22	8	313	98	-1	+1	+0	+7	+8	1.5
2029	22	MLB MLE	HOU	68%	465	421	107	18	2	12	36	99	5	9	3	254	320	392	712	138	303	21	8	317	101	+0	+1	+0	+8	+10	2.0
2030	23	MLB MLE	HOU	71%	518	467	119	20	2	14	40	110	6	11	3	255	322	396	718	141	304	21	8	320	103	+2	+1	+0	+9	+11	2.4
2031	24	MLB MLE	HOU	71%	520	469	120	20	2	14	40	110	6	11	3	256	322	397	719	141	304	21	8	322	104	+3	+1	+0	+9	+11	2.5
2032	25	MLB MLE	HOU	71%	520	469	120	20	2	14	40	110	6	11	3	256	322	397	719	141	305	21	8	323	105	+3	+1	+0	+9	+11	2.5
2033	26	MLB MLE	HOU	71%	520	468	121	20	2	15	41	110	6	11	3	259	326	406	732	147	304	21	8	324	105	+3	+1	+0	+9	+11	2.5
2034	27	MLB MLE	HOU	69%	520	468	121	20	2	15	41	110	6	11	3	259	326	406	732	147	304	21	8	324	105	+3	+1	+0	+9	+11	2.5
2035	28	MLB MLE	HOU	69%	520	467	120	20	2	15	42	111	6	11	3	257	326	405	731	148	304	21	8	323	105	+3	+1	-1	+9	+11	2.4
2036	29	MLB MLE	HOU	67%	520	467	119	20	2	14	42	112	6	10	3	255	324	396	720	141	303	22	8	321	103	+2	+1	-1	+9	+11	2.3
2037	30	MLB MLE	HOU	66%	520	467	119	20	2	14	42	113	6	10	3	255	324	396	720	141	302	22	8	318	102	+1	+1	-2	+9	+11	2.1
2038	31	MLB MLE	HOU	65%	504	453	114	19	2	13	41	111	5	9	3	252	321	389	709	137	300	22	8	314	99	-1	+1	-3	+9	+11	1.7
2039	32	MLB MLE	HOU	65%	489	442	108	17	2	12	39	110	5	9	3	244	313	373	686	129	297	22	8	309	95	-3	+1	-4	+9	+11	1.4
2040	33	MLB MLE	HOU	65%	452	408	97	15	1	11	36	104	5	8	2	238	307	360	668	123	293	23	8	302	90	-5	+1	-4	+8	+10	0.9
2041	34	MLB MLE	HOU	60%	397	359	83	12	1	9	31	94	4	6	2	231	299	345	645	114	287	24	8	293	84	-7	+0	-5	+7	+9	0.4
2027	20	MLB CTX	HOU	43%	115	105	26	4	0	3	8	25	1	2	1	248	307	371	678	124	305	22	7	301	95	-1	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.4
2028	21	MLB CTX	HOU	61%	234	212	54	9	1	6	18	50	2	5	1	255	319	392	710	137	305	21	8	306	98	-1	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.9
2029	22	MLB CTX	HOU	68%	317	287	73	13	1	8	24	68	3	6	2	254	318	390	709	136	305	21	8	310	101	+0	+0	+0	+6	+7	1.4
2030	23	MLB CTX	HOU	71%	368	333	87	15	2	10	28	78	4	8	2	261	326	408	734	147	306	21	8	312	103	+1	+1	+0	+7	+8	1.7
2031	24	MLB CTX	HOU	71%	369	333	87	15	2	10	29	78	4	8	2	261	328	408	736	147	307	21	8	314	104	+2	+1	+0	+7	+8	1.8
2032	25	MLB CTX	HOU	71%	369	333	87	15	2	10	29	78	4	8	2	261	328	408	736	147	307	21	8	316	105	+2	+1	+0	+7	+8	1.8
2033	26	MLB CTX	HOU	71%	369	333	87	15	2	10	29	78	4	8	2	261	328	408	736	147	307	21	8	316	105	+2	+1	+0	+7	+8	1.8
2034	27	MLB CTX	HOU	69%	361	325	83	14	1	10	29	77	4	8	2	255	324	397	721	142	306	21	8	316	105	+2	+1	+0	+6	+8	1.8
2035	28	MLB CTX	HOU	69%	358	322	83	14	1	10	29	76	4	7	2	258	327	401	727	143	306	21	8	315	105	+2	+1	-0	+6	+8	1.7
2036	29	MLB CTX	HOU	67%	348	313	80	14	1	9	28	75	4	7	2	256	325	393	718	137	305	22	8	313	103	+1	+1	-1	+6	+8	1.5
2037	30	MLB CTX	HOU	66%	342	307	78	13	1	9	28	75	4	7	2	254	324	391	715	137	304	22	8	311	102	+1	+1	-1	+6	+7	1.4
2038	31	MLB CTX	HOU	65%	328	295	73	12	1	8	26	72	4	6	2	247	317	376	693	129	302	22	8	307	99	-0	+0	-2	+6	+7	1.1
2039	32	MLB CTX	HOU	65%	317	286	71	12	1	8	25	71	3	6	2	248	315	381	696	133	299	22	8	301	95	-2	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.9
2040	33	MLB CTX	HOU	65%	292	264	64	10	1	7	23	67	3	5	2	242	310	367	678	125	295	23	8	294	90	-3	+0	-3	+5	+6	0.6
2041	34	MLB CTX	HOU	60%	239	216	51	8	1	5	19	56	2	4	1	236	304	352	656	116	289	23	8	286	84	-4	+0	-3	+4	+5	0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4726	4264	1084	183	18	123	372	1024	50	95	27	254	321	392	714	138	306	22	8	309	99	+3	+8	-13	+84	+102	18.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	149	25	2	17	51	141	7	13	4	254	321	391	712	137	306	22	8	309	99	+0	+1	-2	+12	+14	2.6
Career	—	MLE		—	7281	6565	1645	275	27	190	568	1580	84	145	44	251	318	388	706	137	301	22	8	315	99	+2	+12	-20	+127	+155	28.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	147	25	2	17	51	141	7	13	4	251	318	387	706	137	301	22	8	315	99	+0	+1	-2	+12	+14	2.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Stephen Drewlast yr '17 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,917 PA	7.4	4,917	123	41	252	318	423	+48	+35	26.3	25.1
/162	664	17	6	+6.5	+4.7	3.5	pk7: 24
#2Kurt Suzukilast yr '22 career totals — 16 seasons, 6,163 PA	9.3	6,163	143	20	255	314	388	+110	-35	22.7	20.5
/162	664	15	2	+11.9	-3.8	2.4	pk7: 18
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	7.4	4,882	128	96	253	316	391	+87	+0	23.0	18.4
/162	664	17	13	+11.9	+0.0	3.1	pk7: 14
#3Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#5Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
/162	664	23	1	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#6Welington Castillolast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,667 PA	4.0	2,667	97	5	254	313	425	+48	-14	13.3	13.2
/162	664	24	1	+11.9	-3.4	3.3	pk7: 13

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis De Leon (OGILVIE)	19	55	50	49→54	50	244/306/356	112	302	3	3	22%	7%	89	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Daniel Robertson 2013 · A	19	45→54	46→45	52→40	49	225/297/363	139	266	12	6	20%	8%	87	+0.4	237/302/348	111	297	9	3	22%	7%	85	+0.2	232/336/343	111	304	11	4	25%	11%	96	+0.6
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	76	-0.4	235/301/339	104	297	6	12	21%	8%	82	+0.0	256/318/360	105	310	9	16	19%	7%	92	+0.5
✕Tyrone Taylor 2013 · A	19	49→52	43→60	51→55	43	235/284/358	123	294	8	12	23%	6%	80	-0.1	237/280/336	99	277	6	12	16%	5%	74	-0.6	240/298/452	211	277	25	12	23%	6%	107	+1.0
✕Addison Russell 2013 · A	19	54→53	46→55	59→50	43	258/312/400	142	345	12	16	28%	7%	100	+1.3	237/300/393	156	312	16	12	28%	7%	95	+0.9	239/310/406	168	295	19	5	25%	8%	97	+0.9
✕Ezequiel Duran 2018 · A	19	48→56	46→55	54→50	37	233/275/371	139	333	12	10	33%	5%	80	-0.2	187/231/278	91	295	8	8	37%	4%	42	-2.9	249/290/398	149	316	16	12	26%	5%	89	+0.4
✕Harry Ford 2022 · A	19	45→48	46→45	52→55	43	221/287/358	137	309	13	9	31%	8%	82	+0.0	212/317/339	127	293	12	16	29%	11%	90	+0.6	205/315/325	120	278	12	21	28%	12%	83	+0.1
●Miguel Vargas 2019 · A	19	50→52	39→55	52→50	45	238/294/331	93	306	5	8	23%	7%	78	-0.3	246/298/362	116	303	10	8	21%	6%	86	+0.3	224/326/406	183	249	21	12	19%	12%	105	+1.6
●Bo Bichette 2017 · A	19	50→60	47→60	53→55	40	246/288/387	141	326	13	8	28%	6%	88	+0.5	264/309/413	149	329	13	17	23%	6%	103	+1.5	296/337/473	177	345	22	13	20%	5%	126	+3.5
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→46	45→55	51→55	44	214/275/343	129	286	12	11	29%	7%	74	-0.5	230/293/385	155	277	18	13	23%	8%	91	+0.6	230/293/400	170	266	20	16	22%	7%	92	+0.7
●CJ Abrams 2021 · A	20	50→52	42→60	54→60	45	242/287/364	122	283	8	14	18%	5%	82	+0.0	248/294/362	114	306	9	25	21%	5%	85	+0.2	254/324/453	199	297	22	30	22%	7%	115	+2.5
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	48→44	45→50	48→55	46	232/305/356	123	310	12	12	28%	8%	88	+0.5	236/300/363	127	303	12	16	25%	7%	88	+0.4	241/304/389	148	298	14	15	23%	7%	93	+0.6
✕Yu Chang 2015 · A	19	48→44	45→50	53→45	44	237/291/367	130	295	12	8	24%	6%	85	+0.2	198/251/325	127	276	12	7	32%	6%	61	-1.5	212/267/370	158	271	20	6	29%	6%	76	-0.2
✕Luis Alvarez 2009 · A	19	47	43→45	44→45	48	231/306/343	112	272	11	5	19%	7%	86	+0.3	224/289/325	101	280	9	6	22%	6%	76	-0.4	212/264/322	110	252	12	1	21%	4%	62	-0.3
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A	19	43	46→50	51→55	47	216/296/344	128	273	15	16	26%	8%	83	+0.1	220/281/361	141	294	15	13	29%	7%	80	-0.1	205/253/387	182	264	22	15	31%	6%	75	-0.2
●J.P. Crawford 2015 · A	20	52→58	41→45	46→50	51	249/316/346	97	301	9	15	20%	9%	90	+0.6	231/301/326	95	276	7	10	18%	9%	79	-0.2	261/353/385	124	305	11	2	17%	11%	110	+2.2
●Junior Caminero 2022 · A	19	43→53	50→65	49→45	44	225/281/373	148	272	18	5	25%	7%	84	+0.1	251/299/413	162	303	21	7	24%	6%	99	+1.3	258/322/495	237	270	35	4	20%	8%	121	+2.8
●Angel Salome 2006 · A	20	52→62	49→50	49→45	44	261/296/412	152	290	16	7	17%	5%	98	+1.2	269/305/404	135	313	12	5	18%	5%	99	+1.2	290/326/429	140	336	12	4	17%	5%	112	+1.4
✕Cole Young 2023 · A	20	50→51	46→45	49→50	47	248/302/374	126	296	14	11	21%	7%	91	+0.7	233/316/354	121	279	10	13	19%	9%	92	+0.7	238/315/361	123	274	12	9	17%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Francisco Mejía 2015 · A	19	45→55	44→55	49→40	40	221/266/338	118	283	11	8	26%	5%	70	-0.9	237/282/343	106	292	10	4	22%	5%	76	-0.4	256/302/422	166	302	16	1	21%	5%	101	+0.7
✕Luis Santana 2018 · A	19	52	39→45	54→50	50	243/311/343	100	274	5	11	13%	7%	87	+0.4	246/316/336	90	288	6	9	16%	7%	88	+0.4	234/303/348	114	293	12	10	23%	6%	83	+0.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps