Luis De Leon — OGILVIE

Luis De LeonC FCL Astros

Age 19 R/R 5'10" / 210 lbs ROK HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION131 act + 87 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†97

AVG/OBP/SLG.249 / .309 / .373

PA87

HR2

K%22

BB%7

BABIP303

ISO124

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 61 / POW 49

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT61

scouting grade only

POWER49

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+3.1	$16M	+$15M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+3.1	$15M	+$14M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+3.1	$14M	+$13M
2035	Arb-1	$6M	+3.0	$12M	+$10M
2036	Arb-2	$9M	+2.8	$10M	+$7M
2037	Arb-3	$12M	+2.6	$9M	+$5M
Totals		$30M		$76M	+$65M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	18	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	148	134	25	8	0	3	7	32	5	5	3	187	253	313	567	127	218	22	5	255	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	148	130	34	12	0	4	11	21	5	5	3	262	342	446	789	185	280	14	7	347	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	HOU	—	131	117	36	6	0	3	12	22	1	4	1	308	377	436	813	128	355	17	9	353	128	+4	+0	+0	+2	+4	1.1
YTD	19	ROK	HOU	—	131	110	44	8	0	4	19	15	1	4	1	400	492	582	1.074	182	435	11	15	470	218	+17	+0	+0	+2	+4	2.4
ROS	19	ROK	HOU	0%	87	80	20	4	0	2	6	19	1	2	0	249	309	373	683	124	312	22	7	312	97	-0	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.4
ROS	19	MLB	HOU	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		315	—	—	308	94	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	HOU	—	131	118	36	6	0	3	12	22	1	4	1	305	377	432	809	127	351	17	9	353	128	+4	+0	+0	+2	+4	1.1
TOT	19	ROK	HOU	—	218	197	56	10	0	5	18	41	2	6	1	284	350	410	760	127	335	19	8	337	116	+4	+1	+0	+4	+6	1.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	HOU	43%	251	227	59	11	1	6	19	55	3	5	1	260	325	396	722	137	310	22	8	316	100	+0	+1	+0	+4	+7	1.2
2028	21	MLB	HOU	61%	372	337	87	16	2	9	28	81	4	7	2	258	322	398	720	139	310	22	8	320	103	+1	+1	+0	+7	+11	1.9
2029	22	MLB	HOU	68%	457	414	107	20	2	12	35	99	5	9	3	258	324	403	727	145	310	22	8	323	105	+3	+1	+0	+8	+13	2.5
2030	23	MLB	HOU	71%	513	462	119	22	2	13	40	110	6	10	3	258	325	398	723	141	310	21	8	325	107	+4	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.9
2031	24	MLB	HOU	71%	520	468	122	22	2	14	41	111	6	11	3	261	328	406	734	145	311	21	8	327	108	+5	+1	+0	+9	+15	3.0
2032	25	MLB	HOU	71%	520	468	122	22	2	14	41	111	6	11	3	261	328	406	734	145	311	21	8	328	109	+5	+1	+0	+9	+15	3.1
2033	26	MLB	HOU	71%	520	468	121	22	2	14	41	111	6	11	3	259	326	404	730	145	311	21	8	328	109	+5	+1	+0	+9	+15	3.1
2034	27	MLB	HOU	69%	520	468	121	22	2	14	41	111	6	11	3	259	326	404	730	145	311	21	8	328	109	+5	+1	+0	+9	+15	3.1
2035	28	MLB	HOU	69%	520	467	121	22	2	14	42	112	6	10	3	259	328	405	733	146	311	22	8	327	108	+5	+1	-1	+9	+15	3.0
2036	29	MLB	HOU	67%	520	467	121	22	2	14	42	113	6	10	3	259	328	405	733	146	310	22	8	325	107	+4	+1	-1	+9	+15	2.8
2037	30	MLB	HOU	66%	520	467	120	22	2	13	42	114	6	10	3	257	326	396	722	139	309	22	8	322	105	+3	+1	-2	+9	+15	2.6
2038	31	MLB	HOU	65%	504	452	115	21	2	13	41	112	6	9	3	254	325	396	721	142	307	22	8	318	102	+1	+1	-3	+9	+14	2.3
2039	32	MLB	HOU	65%	489	441	110	19	2	12	39	111	6	9	2	249	319	383	702	134	304	23	8	313	97	-1	+1	-4	+9	+14	1.9
2040	33	MLB	HOU	65%	452	408	99	17	2	10	36	105	5	8	2	243	312	368	679	125	300	23	8	306	92	-4	+1	-4	+8	+13	1.4
2041	34	MLB	HOU	60%	397	358	85	14	1	9	32	95	4	6	2	237	307	358	665	120	294	24	8	297	85	-7	+0	-5	+7	+11	0.7
2042	35	MLB	HOU	56%	337	303	70	11	1	7	27	83	4	5	1	231	302	343	646	112	288	25	8	287	78	-8	+1	-6	+6	+10	0.2
2043	36	MLB	HOU	47%	276	250	55	8	1	5	21	70	3	4	1	220	288	320	608	100	282	25	8	276	70	-9	+0	-6	+5	+8	-0.3
2044	37	MLB	HOU	38%	214	194	42	6	1	4	16	56	2	3	1	216	283	320	603	103	275	26	7	265	61	-9	+0	-7	+4	+6	-0.6
2027	20	MLB	HOU	43%	108	98	26	5	0	3	8	24	1	2	1	265	327	408	735	143	313	22	7	311	96	-0	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.5
2028	21	MLB	HOU	61%	226	204	54	10	1	6	17	49	3	4	1	265	330	412	742	147	313	22	8	314	99	-0	+0	+0	+4	+6	1.1
2029	22	MLB	HOU	68%	311	280	73	14	1	8	24	67	4	6	2	261	328	404	731	143	313	22	8	317	101	+0	+0	+0	+6	+9	1.5
2030	23	MLB	HOU	71%	365	330	87	16	2	10	28	78	4	7	2	264	329	415	744	152	313	21	8	320	103	+1	+1	+0	+7	+10	1.9
2031	24	MLB	HOU	71%	369	333	88	16	2	10	29	79	4	8	2	264	331	414	745	150	314	21	8	322	104	+2	+1	+0	+7	+10	2.0
2032	25	MLB	HOU	71%	369	333	88	16	2	10	29	79	4	8	2	264	331	414	745	150	314	21	8	322	105	+2	+1	+0	+7	+10	2.0
2033	26	MLB	HOU	71%	369	333	88	16	2	10	29	79	4	8	2	264	331	414	745	150	314	21	8	323	105	+2	+1	+0	+7	+10	2.0
2034	27	MLB	HOU	69%	361	325	86	16	2	10	29	77	4	7	2	265	332	418	751	154	314	21	8	323	105	+2	+1	+0	+6	+10	2.0
2035	28	MLB	HOU	69%	358	322	85	16	2	10	29	77	4	7	2	264	332	419	752	155	314	22	8	322	104	+2	+1	-0	+6	+10	1.9
2036	29	MLB	HOU	67%	348	313	81	15	1	9	28	76	4	7	2	259	328	399	727	141	313	22	8	320	103	+1	+1	-1	+6	+10	1.7
2037	30	MLB	HOU	66%	342	307	80	15	1	9	28	75	4	6	2	261	330	404	734	143	312	22	8	317	101	+0	+0	-1	+6	+10	1.5
2038	31	MLB	HOU	65%	328	294	75	14	1	8	27	73	4	6	2	255	326	391	717	136	310	22	8	313	98	-1	+0	-2	+6	+9	1.3
2039	32	MLB	HOU	65%	317	284	72	13	1	8	26	72	4	6	2	254	325	391	716	137	306	23	8	308	94	-2	+0	-2	+6	+9	1.1
2040	33	MLB	HOU	65%	292	264	64	11	1	7	23	68	3	5	1	242	310	371	682	129	302	23	8	301	88	-4	+1	-3	+5	+8	0.8
2041	34	MLB	HOU	60%	239	215	52	9	1	5	19	57	3	4	1	242	312	363	675	121	297	24	8	292	82	-5	+0	-3	+4	+7	0.4
2042	35	MLB	HOU	56%	187	168	39	6	1	4	15	46	2	3	1	232	303	351	654	119	290	25	8	282	74	-6	+0	-3	+3	+5	0.0
2043	36	MLB	HOU	47%	129	117	25	4	0	2	10	33	1	2	1	214	281	299	580	85	284	26	8	271	66	-5	+0	-3	+2	+4	-0.2
2044	37	MLB	HOU	38%	80	73	15	2	0	1	6	21	1	1	0	205	275	274	549	68	277	26	8	260	57	-4	+0	-3	+1	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	5098	4594	1178	214	21	130	404	1130	58	97	28	256	324	397	721	141	312	22	8	313	98	-14	+8	-21	+91	+144	21.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	151	27	3	17	52	144	7	12	4	258	326	401	727	143	312	22	8	313	98	-2	+1	-3	+12	+18	2.7
Career	—			—	8137	7333	1841	331	31	202	637	1811	96	156	45	251	319	387	706	136	306	22	8	315	99	-6	+13	-38	+145	+231	35.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	146	26	2	16	51	145	8	12	4	249	318	382	701	133	303	22	8	315	99	-0	+1	-3	+12	+18	2.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	18	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	148	130	34	12	0	4	11	21	5	5	3	262	342	446	789	185	280	14	7	347	124	+4	-0	—	—	+4	0.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ramon Hernandezlast yr '13 career totals — 14 seasons, 5,543 PA	14	5,543	166	8	263	326	418	+65	+57	33.7	30.7
	/162	664	20	1	263	326	418	+7.7	+6.9	4.0	pk7: 28
#2Matt Wieterslast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,387 PA	11	4,387	146	9	250	313	411	+78	+81	30.0	28.4
	/162	664	22	1	250	313	411	+11.9	+12.2	4.5	pk7: 27
#3Stephen Drewlast yr '17 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,917 PA	12	4,917	123	41	252	318	423	+48	+35	26.2	25.1
	/162	664	17	6	252	318	423	+6.5	+4.7	3.5	pk7: 24
#4Erick Aybarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,588 PA	11	5,588	58	154	271	314	372	+58	+49	22.0	21.3
	/162	664	7	18	271	314	372	+6.9	+5.8	2.6	pk7: 21
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	12	5,245	131	99	254	318	392	+80	+48	25.1	19.9
	/162	664	17	13	254	318	392	+10.1	+6.1	3.2	pk7: 15
#5Jordy Mercerlast yr '21 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,394 PA	9	3,394	66	13	257	315	387	+35	+50	17.0	16.7
	/162	664	13	3	257	315	387	+6.9	+9.8	3.3	pk7: 17
#6Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	8	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
	/162	664	17	4	246	300	398	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis De Leon (OGILVIE)	19	56→61	44→49	48→53	50	284/350/410	127	335	5	6	19%	8%	116	+1.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Bo Bichette 2017 · A	19	50→60	47→60	53→55	40	246/288/387	141	326	13	8	28%	6%	87	+0.8	265/310/419	154	331	14	17	23%	6%	105	+2.1	295/336/472	177	344	22	13	20%	5%	128	+4.1
●Daniel Robertson 2013 · A	19	45→54	46→45	52→40	49	225/297/363	139	266	12	6	20%	8%	85	+0.7	232/296/339	107	293	9	3	23%	7%	79	+0.3	231/336/345	114	301	11	4	25%	11%	96	+0.8
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	72	-0.2	235/300/339	104	298	6	12	22%	8%	80	+0.4	254/315/362	108	309	9	16	20%	7%	88	+0.7
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	48→47	45→55	48→55	46	233/305/357	125	310	12	12	27%	8%	87	+0.8	242/305/384	142	306	15	16	25%	7%	94	+1.3	248/306/416	169	299	18	16	23%	6%	100	+1.2
✕Addison Russell 2013 · A	19	54→52	46→55	59→50	43	256/311/399	142	346	12	16	28%	7%	99	+1.7	237/300/392	155	311	16	12	27%	7%	94	+1.3	237/308/399	162	294	18	5	25%	8%	94	+1.1
✕Ezequiel Duran 2018 · A	19	48→55	46→55	54→50	37	233/275/371	139	333	12	10	33%	5%	77	+0.1	187/231/278	91	295	8	8	37%	4%	34	-2.8	251/292/407	156	316	18	12	26%	5%	92	+0.9
●Miguel Vargas 2019 · A	19	51→53	39→55	52→50	46	239/296/332	93	306	5	8	23%	7%	76	+0.0	248/300/371	123	304	11	8	21%	6%	88	+0.9	221/322/407	185	244	21	11	19%	12%	106	+1.7
✕Harry Ford 2022 · A	19	45→47	47→45	52→55	43	223/287/366	143	309	14	9	32%	8%	82	+0.5	211/317/346	135	289	14	16	29%	11%	91	+1.1	204/318/335	131	272	14	21	28%	12%	85	+0.6
●Tyrone Taylor 2013 · A	19	49→52	43→65	51→55	43	235/284/358	123	294	8	12	23%	6%	78	+0.2	236/278/335	99	278	6	12	17%	4%	69	-0.4	248/305/477	229	283	28	12	23%	6%	117	+1.6
●Cheslor Cuthbert 2012 · A	19	46→56	46→50	49→45	42	228/279/352	124	298	14	4	28%	6%	75	-0.0	216/258/326	110	270	11	6	24%	5%	59	-1.1	258/310/406	148	301	17	1	20%	7%	100	+0.9
●Angel Salome 2006 · A	20	52→62	49→50	49→45	44	261/296/412	152	290	16	7	17%	5%	98	+1.6	269/305/406	137	314	13	5	18%	5%	99	+1.7	290/327/434	144	337	13	4	18%	5%	114	+1.8
✕Yu Chang 2015 · A	19	48→46	45→50	53→45	44	237/291/367	130	295	12	8	24%	6%	83	+0.6	199/251/326	127	280	13	7	32%	5%	56	-1.3	215/275/364	149	282	17	4	29%	7%	75	-0.0
●Alejandro Kirk 2019 · A	20	53→57	49→50	50→40	52	266/325/409	143	287	17	4	15%	8%	108	+2.3	246/320/384	138	280	12	4	16%	9%	100	+1.7	262/347/393	131	276	16	0	11%	11%	111	+1.7
●Vaughn Grissom 2022 · A	21	53→63	42→50	54→55	49	251/323/361	110	311	9	12	21%	8%	95	+1.4	276/339/408	132	330	13	17	19%	7%	114	+2.7	278/342/406	128	330	12	18	19%	7%	111	+2.1
●Andrés Giménez 2018 · A	19	51→60	39→50	49→55	48	241/309/334	92	287	6	11	18%	7%	82	+0.5	233/291/345	112	300	8	23	24%	5%	78	+0.2	261/326/416	155	313	17	25	21%	5%	108	+2.0
✕Francisco Mejía 2015 · A	19	45→55	44→55	49→40	40	221/266/338	118	283	11	8	26%	5%	66	-0.6	238/283/344	106	294	10	4	22%	5%	73	-0.1	256/302/428	172	302	17	1	21%	5%	103	+1.0
●Moisés Ballesteros 2023 · A	19	43→53	47→50	45→40	47	217/283/352	135	277	15	5	27%	8%	76	+0.1	243/301/378	135	296	16	4	23%	7%	91	+1.1	266/326/405	139	311	16	3	19%	8%	106	+1.6
✕James Triantos 2023 · A	20	49→56	43→45	52→60	41	238/280/347	109	301	10	12	24%	5%	72	-0.2	245/290/342	97	292	8	24	18%	5%	76	+0.0	263/301/369	107	303	9	35	16%	4%	85	+0.5
✕Luis Alvarez 2009 · A	19	47	43→45	44→45	48	231/306/343	112	272	11	5	19%	7%	85	+0.7	224/289/325	101	280	9	6	22%	6%	72	-0.2	209/262/317	108	250	12	1	21%	4%	55	-0.3
●Jackson Holliday 2023 · A	19	51→59	41→50	49→50	58	241/333/346	105	301	8	10	21%	12%	96	+1.5	249/334/387	138	332	12	14	26%	11%	107	+2.2	244/330/384	140	317	13	15	25%	11%	101	+1.8