Luis Cruz — OGILVIE

Luis CruzOF DSL NYY Yankees

Age 18 L/R 6'1" / 155 lbs ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION121 act + 12 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†84

AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .250 / .182

PA12

HR0

K%17

BB%8

BABIP293

ISO91

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$30M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 66 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT66

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE64

scouting grade only

SPEED59

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Arb-1	$4M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.1M
2036	Arb-2	$6M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$8M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$9M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Pirates Black	—	131	100	24	3	2	0	23	19	5	6	5	240	406	310	716	70	289	15	18	336	113	+2	-1	—	—	+3	0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	131	109	19	2	1	0	14	28	5	6	5	174	297	211	508	37	224	21	11	245	52	-7	-1	—	—	+3	-0.6
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	131	109	19	2	1	0	14	28	5	6	5	174	297	211	508	37	229	21	11	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Black	—	131	100	24	3	2	0	23	19	5	6	5	240	406	310	716	70	289	15	18	336	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	131	111	19	2	1	0	14	28	5	6	5	171	297	207	504	36	224	21	11	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	131	111	19	2	1	0	14	28	5	6	5	171	297	207	504	36	224	21	11	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	NYY	—	121	102	24	2	2	0	13	14	3	10	2	235	339	294	633	59	267	12	11	291	83	-2	+1	+0	-1	+3	0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	NYY	—	121	94	28	3	3	0	21	10	3	10	2	298	441	394	834	96	326	8	17	376	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	NYY	0%	12	11	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	182	250	182	432		292	17	8	292	84	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	18	ROK MLE	NYY	—	133	113	26	2	2	0	14	16	3	10	2	230	331	283	614	53	263	12	11	291	83	-3	+1	+0	-1	+3	0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	NYY	34%	200	176	42	6	2	2	19	40	3	5	1	239	323	330	653	91	296	20	10	302	90	-2	+1	+0	-1	+4	0.1
2028	20	MLB MLE	NYY	48%	337	296	73	11	4	5	32	67	6	8	2	247	332	361	694	115	297	20	9	309	95	-2	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.4
2029	21	MLB MLE	NYY	54%	441	389	95	14	5	7	41	88	8	11	2	244	329	360	689	116	298	20	9	313	98	-1	+1	+0	-3	+10	0.7
2030	22	MLB MLE	NYY	57%	515	452	113	17	6	9	49	102	9	12	3	250	335	374	709	124	299	20	10	316	100	+0	+1	+0	-3	+11	1.0
2031	23	MLB MLE	NYY	58%	564	496	124	19	6	10	53	111	10	14	3	250	335	373	708	123	299	20	9	318	102	+1	+2	+0	-3	+12	1.2
2032	24	MLB MLE	NYY	57%	597	525	132	20	7	11	57	117	10	14	3	251	336	379	715	128	300	20	10	320	103	+2	+2	+0	-4	+13	1.3
2033	25	MLB MLE	NYY	57%	616	541	136	21	7	11	59	120	11	15	3	251	337	377	714	126	300	19	10	321	103	+3	+2	+0	-4	+13	1.4
2034	26	MLB MLE	NYY	57%	625	549	138	21	7	12	60	122	11	15	3	251	337	381	718	129	300	20	10	322	104	+3	+2	+0	-4	+14	1.5
2035	27	MLB MLE	NYY	55%	626	550	138	21	7	12	60	123	11	15	3	251	337	380	717	129	300	20	10	322	104	+3	+2	+0	-4	+14	1.5
2036	28	MLB MLE	NYY	55%	622	545	136	20	7	11	61	123	11	15	3	250	337	372	710	123	300	20	10	321	103	+2	+2	-1	-4	+13	1.3
2037	29	MLB MLE	NYY	53%	612	536	134	20	7	11	60	122	11	14	3	250	338	375	713	125	299	20	10	319	102	+1	+2	-1	-4	+13	1.1
2038	30	MLB MLE	NYY	53%	602	528	129	19	6	10	59	122	10	13	3	244	332	360	692	116	298	20	10	316	100	+0	+1	-2	-4	+13	0.9
2039	31	MLB MLE	NYY	52%	588	515	125	18	6	10	58	121	10	13	3	243	331	359	690	117	296	21	10	312	97	-2	+1	-3	-4	+13	0.6
2040	32	MLB MLE	NYY	52%	570	499	120	17	6	9	56	119	10	12	3	240	329	353	682	112	293	21	10	307	94	-4	+1	-4	-3	+12	0.2
2041	33	MLB MLE	NYY	56%	540	473	110	15	5	8	53	116	9	11	2	233	321	336	658	104	290	21	10	300	89	-7	+1	-4	-3	+12	-0.1
2027	19	MLB CTX	NYY	34%	69	62	15	2	1	1	6	14	1	2	0	242	319	355	674	113	297	20	9	292	90	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	NYY	48%	163	144	35	5	2	2	15	33	3	4	1	243	327	347	674	104	298	20	9	299	95	-1	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.2
2029	21	MLB CTX	NYY	54%	239	211	52	8	3	4	22	48	4	6	1	246	329	370	699	123	299	20	9	303	98	-1	+1	+0	-1	+5	0.4
2030	22	MLB CTX	NYY	57%	292	257	64	10	3	5	28	58	5	7	2	249	334	370	704	121	300	20	10	307	100	+0	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.5
2031	23	MLB CTX	NYY	58%	325	285	72	11	4	6	31	64	6	8	2	253	339	382	721	130	301	20	10	309	102	+1	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.7
2032	24	MLB CTX	NYY	57%	340	299	77	12	4	7	32	67	6	8	2	258	341	395	736	137	302	20	9	311	103	+1	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.7
2033	25	MLB CTX	NYY	57%	349	307	78	12	4	7	33	68	6	8	2	254	338	388	726	134	302	19	9	312	103	+1	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.8
2034	26	MLB CTX	NYY	57%	354	311	79	12	4	7	34	69	6	9	2	254	339	386	725	132	302	19	10	312	104	+2	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.8
2035	27	MLB CTX	NYY	55%	347	304	78	12	4	7	34	68	6	8	2	257	343	391	734	135	301	20	10	312	104	+2	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.8
2036	28	MLB CTX	NYY	55%	342	300	76	11	4	7	33	68	6	8	2	253	339	387	726	133	301	20	10	311	103	+1	+1	-0	-2	+7	0.7
2037	29	MLB CTX	NYY	53%	327	286	71	11	3	6	32	65	6	7	2	248	336	371	707	122	300	20	10	309	102	+1	+1	-1	-2	+7	0.6
2038	30	MLB CTX	NYY	53%	317	278	68	10	3	6	31	64	5	7	2	245	331	367	698	122	299	20	10	307	100	+0	+1	-1	-2	+7	0.5
2039	31	MLB CTX	NYY	52%	307	269	66	10	3	5	30	63	5	7	1	245	332	361	693	115	297	21	10	302	97	-1	+1	-1	-2	+7	0.3
2040	32	MLB CTX	NYY	52%	296	260	63	9	3	5	29	62	5	6	1	242	330	358	688	115	294	21	10	297	94	-2	+1	-2	-2	+6	0.1
2041	33	MLB CTX	NYY	56%	302	265	63	9	3	5	29	65	5	6	1	238	324	351	675	113	291	22	10	291	89	-4	+1	-2	-2	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4369	3838	957	144	48	80	419	876	75	101	23	249	335	374	709	125	302	20	10	306	99	-1	+11	-8	-26	+95	7.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	571	142	21	7	12	62	130	11	15	3	249	334	373	707	124	300	20	10	306	99	-0	+2	-1	-4	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	8198	7190	1766	261	89	138	792	1643	145	193	45	246	333	364	697	119	299	20	10	314	99	-3	+21	-15	-48	+175	13.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	570	140	21	7	11	63	130	11	15	4	246	332	365	697	119	299	20	10	314	99	-0	+2	-1	-4	+14	1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Logan Forsythelast yr '19 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,502 PA	5.3	3,502	70	42	246	327	370	+5	-11	8.6	9.2
/162	664	13	8	+0.9	-2.2	1.6	pk7: 10
#2Manuel Margotlast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,154 PA	4.8	3,154	56	94	254	307	380	-5	+27	8.4	8.8
/162	664	12	20	-1.1	+5.6	1.8	pk7: 9
#3Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.7	4,479	76	103	247	330	367	-27	+0	10.5	8.7
/162	664	11	15	-4.0	+0.0	1.6	pk7: 7
#4Grégor Blancolast yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,301 PA	5.0	3,301	26	120	256	340	350	-9	-5	7.7	8.5
/162	664	5	24	-1.8	-1.0	1.5	pk7: 9
#5Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	3.5	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
/162	664	16	27	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
#6Alejandro De Azalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,819 PA	4.2	2,819	51	89	259	325	396	-6	-12	7.0	7.2
/162	664	12	21	-1.4	-2.8	1.7	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Cruz (OGILVIE)	18	61→66	28→33	54→59	64	232/316/316	84	292	1	4	20%	9%	84	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hendry Mendez 2022 · A	18	49→56	39→45	51→45	51	232/296/328	96	272	5	7	16%	8%	78	-0.3	222/288/298	76	282	5	5	21%	8%	68	-1.0	258/330/364	106	310	10	6	19%	9%	97	+0.8
✕Angel Genao 2022 · A	18	45→55	37→45	59→50	55	210/300/285	75	272	4	16	22%	11%	70	-0.8	230/288/322	92	306	6	11	25%	7%	74	-0.6	262/318/385	123	318	10	13	20%	7%	97	+0.9
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	52→62	37→40	56→60	50	245/307/319	74	309	3	18	21%	8%	80	-0.2	250/296/311	61	297	1	19	15%	6%	73	-0.6	302/361/382	79	347	4	36	13%	8%	110	+1.8
●Andrés Giménez 2017 · A	18	52→60	40→50	48→55	57	247/331/355	109	280	6	11	14%	10%	98	+1.2	235/295/332	97	297	6	18	22%	5%	79	-0.2	260/325/413	154	312	16	25	21%	5%	105	+1.5
●Evan Carter 2022 · A	19	46→53	42→50	52→55	55	216/324/330	114	293	8	18	27%	12%	91	+0.6	237/321/380	143	308	13	20	25%	10%	100	+1.3	237/324/389	152	306	14	21	25%	10%	100	+0.9
✕Alek Thomas 2019 · A	19	50→54	38→50	51→50	44	238/283/324	87	297	4	10	21%	6%	72	-0.7	243/298/367	124	326	10	10	27%	7%	87	+0.4	246/302/387	142	310	12	11	24%	7%	91	+0.6
✕Emmanuel Avila 2007 · A	18	47→57	36→45	50→45	51	217/297/292	76	290	2	9	24%	10%	71	-0.8	206/254/266	60	262	3	6	21%	5%	47	-2.5	278/317/371	94	319	8	6	15%	4%	95	+0.7
✕Cedric Hunter 2007 · A	19	55→57	37→50	53→50	54	254/323/334	79	295	3	14	14%	9%	89	+0.5	248/290/330	82	285	6	8	14%	5%	75	-0.5	242/299/392	150	263	15	9	14%	6%	93	+0.6
✕Carlos Sanchez 2023 · A	18	54→52	38→40	51→50	55	249/339/328	79	329	6	15	24%	11%	95	+0.9	210/307/287	77	354	4	12	36%	12%	74	-0.6	211/298/307	96	339	8	14	36%	11%	71	-0.6
✕L.J. Hoes 2009 · A	19	50→60	37→40	56→50	52	233/301/304	71	285	4	11	19%	9%	74	-0.6	238/285/305	67	306	4	12	22%	6%	68	-1.0	274/333/360	86	328	5	15	17%	7%	95	+0.9
●Ender Inciarte 2009 · A	18	49→59	34→45	51→60	46	229/283/275	46	290	1	17	21%	6%	60	-1.6	226/266/291	65	286	2	12	20%	5%	57	-1.8	294/343/394	100	328	7	19	12%	6%	106	+1.8
●Jackson Holliday 2023 · A	19	50→60	41→50	49→50	58	237/329/342	104	299	8	10	22%	12%	94	+0.9	248/333/382	134	332	12	14	26%	11%	104	+1.6	244/329/380	136	317	13	15	25%	11%	100	+1.3
✕Forrest Wall 2015 · A	19	48→55	41→45	56→70	47	227/290/330	103	300	7	17	26%	8%	76	-0.4	222/274/319	97	291	7	16	25%	6%	68	-1.0	253/326/354	101	349	8	50	27%	9%	92	+0.5
●Josue De Paula 2023 · A	18	51	43→50	50→55	51	244/315/357	114	300	9	14	21%	9%	92	+0.7	228/318/325	97	308	8	17	26%	11%	86	+0.3	228/320/369	141	283	16	24	24%	11%	94	+0.8
●Moisés Ballesteros 2022 · A	18	45→55	40→50	50→40	52	216/294/311	95	269	7	8	22%	9%	74	-0.5	225/287/355	130	281	15	4	24%	8%	81	-0.1	255/314/382	127	304	14	3	20%	7%	96	+0.9
●Alex Verdugo 2015 · A	19	53→58	40→50	56→45	48	252/304/355	103	287	6	11	15%	6%	86	+0.3	254/291/360	106	291	9	7	16%	5%	83	+0.1	288/348/443	155	325	15	7	16%	8%	119	+1.8
✕Jose Tabata 2007 · A	18	52→61	40→45	51→55	43	249/302/344	96	311	7	16	22%	6%	84	+0.2	258/307/344	86	320	6	14	20%	5%	86	+0.3	278/334/376	98	321	6	26	14%	7%	101	+1.2
✕Jaison Chourio 2023 · A	18	47→51	38→40	54→55	58	220/315/307	86	277	4	15	20%	12%	81	-0.1	224/315/307	83	317	4	21	27%	12%	81	-0.1	223/313/312	89	304	7	28	26%	11%	80	-0.1
●Brice Turang 2019 · A	19	46→56	36→50	53→60	49	216/286/282	66	296	3	14	26%	9%	64	-1.3	213/285/281	68	287	4	16	25%	9%	63	-1.3	266/344/401	135	328	13	29	21%	10%	110	+2.1
✕Osleivis Basabe 2019 · A	18	51→61	38→45	49→50	48	238/291/324	86	288	3	12	18%	7%	74	-0.5	234/279/310	76	290	3	12	19%	5%	66	-1.1	270/316/373	102	329	4	17	18%	5%	92	+0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps