Luis Cruz — OGILVIE

Luis CruzOF DSL Pirates Gold

Age 18 L/R 6'1" / 155 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION30 act + 80 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.236 / .312 / .333

PA80

HR1

K%21

BB%9

BABIP296

ISO97

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.3	$7M	+$6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.4	$7M	+$6M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.5	$7M	+$6M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+1.5	$6M	+$5M
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+1.3	$5M	+$3M
2037	Arb-3	$5M	+1.1	$4M	+$2M
Totals		$16M		$34M	+$29M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Pirates Black	—	131	108	19	2	1	0	15	28	5	6	5	176	305	213	518	37	232	21	11	245	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Pirates Black	—	131	100	24	3	2	0	23	19	5	6	5	240	406	310	716	70	289	15	18	336	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	PIT	—	30	25	7	0	0	0	4	0	1	2	1	280	400	280	680		280	0	13	335	115	+0	+0	+0	-0	+1	0.1
YTD	18	ROK	PIT	—	30	22	8	0	0	0	7	0	1	2	1	364	533	364	897		364	0	23	429	186	+3	+0	+0	-0	+1	0.4
ROS	18	ROK	PIT	0%	80	72	17	2	1	1	7	17	1	2	0	236	312	333	646	97	288	21	9	279	72	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.0
ROS	18	MLB	PIT	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		286	—	—	266	62	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	PIT	—	30	26	7	0	0	0	4	0	1	2	1	269	400	269	669		269	0	13	335	115	+0	+0	+0	-0	+1	0.1
TOT	18	ROK	PIT	—	110	97	24	2	1	1	11	17	2	4	1	247	336	320	656	72	291	15	10	295	84	-2	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	PIT	34%	200	177	42	6	2	2	18	43	3	3	1	237	318	328	646	90	292	22	9	291	81	-4	+0	+0	-1	+6	0.0
2028	20	MLB	PIT	48%	337	297	71	10	3	5	31	72	6	6	2	239	323	343	667	104	294	21	9	299	87	-5	+0	+0	-2	+10	0.3
2029	21	MLB	PIT	54%	441	390	92	13	3	7	40	94	8	8	2	236	320	338	658	103	295	21	9	304	91	-5	+1	+0	-3	+12	0.6
2030	22	MLB	PIT	57%	514	453	110	16	4	9	47	109	9	9	2	243	326	355	682	113	296	21	9	308	94	-4	+1	+0	-3	+15	0.9
2031	23	MLB	PIT	58%	564	497	120	17	4	10	52	119	10	10	3	241	326	352	678	111	297	21	9	310	96	-3	+1	+0	-3	+16	1.1
2032	24	MLB	PIT	57%	597	526	128	18	5	11	55	126	11	10	3	243	328	359	687	116	298	21	9	313	97	-2	+1	+0	-4	+17	1.3
2033	25	MLB	PIT	57%	616	543	133	19	5	12	57	129	11	11	3	245	329	365	694	120	298	21	9	314	98	-1	+1	+0	-4	+17	1.4
2034	26	MLB	PIT	57%	625	551	136	19	5	13	58	131	11	11	3	247	331	370	701	123	298	21	9	315	99	-1	+1	+0	-4	+18	1.5
2035	27	MLB	PIT	55%	626	551	135	19	5	13	59	132	11	11	3	245	330	368	699	123	297	21	9	315	99	-1	+1	+0	-4	+18	1.5
2036	28	MLB	PIT	55%	622	547	135	19	5	13	59	132	11	10	3	247	332	371	703	124	297	21	9	314	98	-1	+1	-1	-4	+18	1.3
2037	29	MLB	PIT	53%	612	538	130	18	4	12	58	131	11	9	2	242	328	357	685	115	296	21	9	312	97	-2	+1	-1	-4	+17	1.1
2038	30	MLB	PIT	57%	602	529	127	18	4	11	57	130	11	8	2	240	327	352	678	112	295	22	9	309	95	-4	+1	-2	-4	+17	0.9
2027	19	MLB	PIT	34%	69	62	15	2	1	1	6	15	1	1	0	242	319	355	674	113	291	22	9	278	71	-2	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
2028	20	MLB	PIT	48%	163	144	34	5	1	2	15	35	3	3	1	236	321	326	647	90	293	21	9	284	76	-4	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
2029	21	MLB	PIT	54%	239	211	50	7	2	4	22	51	4	4	1	237	321	346	667	109	294	21	9	289	80	-5	+0	+0	-1	+7	0.0
2030	22	MLB	PIT	57%	291	257	62	9	2	5	27	62	5	5	1	241	325	350	675	109	294	21	9	293	83	-6	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.1
2031	23	MLB	PIT	58%	325	286	70	10	3	6	30	69	6	6	1	245	329	364	693	119	295	21	9	296	85	-6	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.2
2032	24	MLB	PIT	57%	340	300	72	10	3	6	31	72	6	6	2	240	323	353	677	113	296	21	9	298	86	-5	+0	+0	-2	+10	0.3
2033	25	MLB	PIT	57%	349	308	76	11	3	7	32	73	6	6	2	247	329	370	700	123	296	21	9	299	87	-5	+0	+0	-2	+10	0.3
2034	26	MLB	PIT	57%	354	311	77	11	3	7	33	74	7	6	2	248	333	370	703	122	296	21	9	300	88	-5	+0	+0	-2	+10	0.4
2035	27	MLB	PIT	55%	347	306	75	11	3	7	32	73	6	6	2	245	328	369	698	124	296	21	9	300	88	-5	+0	+0	-2	+10	0.4
2036	28	MLB	PIT	55%	342	301	73	10	3	7	32	73	6	6	1	243	327	365	693	123	295	21	9	299	87	-5	+1	-0	-2	+10	0.3
2037	29	MLB	PIT	53%	327	287	69	10	2	6	31	70	6	5	1	240	327	352	679	111	295	21	9	298	86	-5	+1	-1	-2	+9	0.2
2038	30	MLB	PIT	57%	344	302	72	10	2	7	33	75	6	5	1	238	326	354	680	116	293	22	10	295	84	-6	+1	-1	-2	+10	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3490	3076	745	106	28	65	324	742	62	59	15	242	327	358	685	116	297	21	9	296	85	-60	+6	-2	-21	+99	2.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	139	20	5	12	60	138	12	11	3	243	328	358	685	115	297	21	9	296	85	-11	+1	-0	-4	+18	0.4
Career	—			—	6567	5779	1395	196	51	119	613	1393	119	114	34	241	327	355	681	113	297	21	9	309	94	-42	+9	-4	-39	+186	11.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	138	19	5	12	61	138	12	11	3	241	327	355	682	114	296	21	9	309	94	-4	+1	-0	-4	+18	1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Pirates Black	—	131	100	24	3	2	0	23	19	5	6	5	240	406	310	716	70	289	15	18	336	115	+2	-1	—	—	+4	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	6	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
	/162	664	16	27	245	323	394	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	3,600	66	60	243	324	358	-22	+0	6.6	5.9
	/162	664	12	11	243	324	358	-4.0	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 5
#3Emil Brownlast yr '08 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,335 PA	6	2,335	57	47	263	326	406	-24	-8	5.3	5.3
#3Emil Brownlast yr '08 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,335 PA	/162	664	16	13	263	326	406	-6.7	-2.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#4Desi Relafordlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,443 PA	6	2,443	34	64	246	329	356	-1	-7	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	9	17	246	329	356	-0.3	-1.8	1.4	pk7: 5
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Jose Offermanlast yr '05 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,767 PA	5	1,767	27	15	253	342	362	-14	-2	3.2	3.2
	/162	664	10	6	253	342	362	-5.4	-0.7	1.2	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Cruz (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	247/336/320	72	291	1	4	15%	10%	84	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hendry Mendez 2022 · A	18	49→53	39→45	51→45	51	232/297/329	97	272	5	7	16%	8%	76	+0.0	218/285/291	73	279	5	5	22%	8%	61	-1.0	257/332/370	113	311	11	7	20%	9%	99	+1.0
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	47	37→45	47→50	48	219/301/296	77	303	4	8	27%	9%	70	-0.3	210/316/279	69	269	4	14	21%	11%	73	-0.1	220/318/345	125	249	16	10	18%	10%	88	+0.4
●Roman Anthony 2023 · A	19	47→55	37→50	50	47	223/277/298	75	274	4	7	20%	7%	59	-1.1	234/313/380	146	327	15	12	30%	10%	97	+1.5	240/328/400	160	328	17	12	29%	11%	105	+1.8
●Akil Baddoo 2018 · A	19	46→54	42→55	52→55	49	219/296/333	114	288	7	10	25%	9%	77	+0.1	195/265/303	108	302	7	13	35%	8%	56	-1.3	240/322/392	152	311	15	24	26%	11%	100	+1.2
✕Jason Martin 2014 · A	18	44→49	36→60	48→50	49	205/271/275	69	267	2	11	22%	8%	50	-1.7	213/271/312	99	283	6	11	25%	7%	60	-1.0	220/286/421	201	269	27	8	29%	8%	94	+0.8
●Jorbit Vivas 2019 · A	18	41→51	35→45	51→50	46	190/270/254	64	256	2	15	24%	7%	46	-2.0	231/300/330	99	282	6	10	19%	6%	79	+0.3	245/326/365	120	273	11	9	14%	7%	96	+1.4
●Jon Singleton 2010 · A	18	46→54	41→55	49→45	51	219/285/318	99	263	7	5	19%	8%	69	-0.4	242/310/388	146	317	16	5	27%	8%	97	+1.5	238/309/385	147	321	17	5	30%	9%	95	+1.2
✕Jeffer Patino 2007 · A	18	45	37→45	49→45	47	211/274/288	78	271	3	8	22%	7%	56	-1.3	220/284/302	82	271	5	5	19%	7%	63	-0.8	213/278/290	77	257	5	4	18%	7%	55	-0.5
●Oneil Cruz 2017 · A	18	46→53	37→60	51→60	42	214/266/302	88	311	2	11	30%	7%	55	-1.4	210/252/316	106	326	9	9	36%	5%	53	-1.5	242/304/444	202	319	24	22	31%	8%	105	+1.7
✕Alek Thomas 2019 · A	19	50→51	38→50	51→50	44	238/283/324	87	297	4	10	21%	6%	68	-0.5	241/294/369	128	325	10	10	27%	6%	85	+0.7	241/298/385	144	307	13	11	25%	6%	87	+0.7
●Angel Genao 2023 · A	19	45→55	37→50	51→50	47	213/285/285	72	291	5	12	27%	8%	59	-1.1	243/293/354	111	312	8	11	23%	6%	80	+0.4	264/318/398	134	323	11	13	21%	7%	100	+1.2
✕José Tena 2019 · A	18	47→55	36→50	47→55	43	222/269/294	72	278	3	10	21%	5%	54	-1.4	217/253/302	85	306	5	9	29%	4%	50	-1.8	246/301/380	134	335	13	21	29%	7%	87	+0.6
✕Jose Reyes 2017 · A	18	50	36→45	51→55	44	235/281/303	67	296	3	10	21%	5%	62	-0.9	221/269/309	88	263	5	15	17%	6%	58	-1.2	219/269/317	97	252	6	20	15%	6%	56	-0.5
●Josh VanMeter 2014 · A	19	47	35→55	50	48	217/282/280	64	277	2	11	21%	8%	56	-1.3	202/255/277	75	265	6	7	24%	6%	44	-2.1	229/304/413	184	278	20	12	24%	9%	99	+1.3
●Tirso Ornelas 2019 · A	19	43→53	40→50	50→45	45	206/273/299	93	288	7	5	30%	8%	59	-1.1	190/254/266	76	279	5	5	31%	8%	41	-2.3	249/309/383	134	307	16	7	23%	7%	92	+1.1
✕Emmanuel Avila 2007 · A	18	47→57	36→45	50→45	51	217/297/292	76	290	2	9	24%	10%	67	-0.5	206/254/266	60	262	3	6	21%	5%	40	-2.4	268/309/352	83	293	9	4	12%	4%	85	+0.5
✕Iverson Leonardo 2021 · A	19	45	40→50	47→50	44	211/284/318	107	303	5	9	30%	8%	68	-0.5	190/267/305	115	300	11	8	37%	8%	59	-1.1	154/245/264	110	254	11	8	41%	8%	37	-0.7
●Oscar Taveras 2010 · A	18	42→52	37→55	52→45	46	199/255/284	85	246	3	9	20%	6%	46	-2.0	251/291/385	134	302	11	7	20%	5%	88	+0.9	290/325/453	164	324	14	7	15%	4%	120	+1.8
✕Vicmal De La Cruz 2012 · A	18	48	37→40	50	53	224/302/310	86	274	3	10	18%	9%	73	-0.1	188/245/267	79	274	5	6	31%	6%	38	-2.6	150/201/214	65	228	4	3	35%	5%	3	-1.3
✕Yeicok Calderon 2010 · A	18	49	38→45	52→45	48	228/307/304	77	315	6	9	28%	9%	74	-0.1	210/272/330	120	310	11	6	34%	7%	66	-0.6	190/249/327	136	282	14	4	36%	7%	54	-0.5