Luis Cruz

OF DSL NYY Yankees

Age 19 L/R 6'1" / 155 lbs ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1620ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Pirates B…	131	.240/.406/.310	0	6	47	—	.160/.305/.198
2026	18	ROKDSL NYY Yanke…	121	.298/.441/.394	0	10	68	—	.210/.331/.270
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBNYY	231	.234/.314/.317	2	5	82	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBNYY	41	.237/.319/.332	0	1	86	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBNYY	104	.240/.322/.343	1	2	90	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

K%98

Whiff%97

Z-Con%88

Speed88

Chase%85

wOBA74

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 96%

CompsYoyner Fajardo (age 20) · Ismael Munguia (age 19) · Jorge Ruiz (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 63 proj PA

wRC+†82

AVG/OBP/SLG.232 / .312 / .315

PA63

HR0

K%22

BB%9

ISO84

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$11M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 71 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT71

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE69

scouting grade only

SPEED59

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Pirates Black	—	131	100	24	3	2	0	23	19	5	6	5	240	406	310	716	70	289	15	18	336	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	121	94	28	3	3	0	21	10	3	10	2	298	441	394	834	96	326	8	17	376	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	131	106	17	2	1	0	17	23	5	6	5	160	305	198	503	38	190	18	13	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	121	100	21	2	2	0	15	12	3	10	2	210	331	270	601	60	220	10	12	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	131	106	17	2	1	0	17	23	5	6	5	160	305	198	503	38	200	18	13	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Black	—	131	100	24	3	2	0	23	19	5	6	5	240	406	310	716	70	289	15	18	336	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	121	100	21	2	2	0	15	12	3	10	2	210	331	270	601	60	233	10	12	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Yankees	—	121	94	28	3	3	0	21	10	3	10	2	298	441	394	834	96	326	8	17	376	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	131	108	17	2	1	0	17	23	5	6	5	157	305	194	499	37	190	18	13	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	121	102	21	2	2	0	15	12	3	10	2	206	331	265	595	59	220	10	12	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	131	108	17	2	1	0	17	23	5	6	5	157	305	194	499	37	190	18	13	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	121	102	21	2	2	0	15	12	3	10	2	206	331	265	595	59	220	10	12	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	NYY	0%	231	205	49	7	3	2	21	51	3	5	1	234	314	317	632	84	301	22	9	289	82	-5	+1	+0	-1	+5	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	NYY	34%	118	104	25	4	1	1	11	26	2	3	1	237	318	330	648	93	302	22	9	295	86	-2	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.0
2029	21	MLB MLE	NYY	48%	214	190	45	7	2	2	19	47	3	5	1	240	321	340	661	101	303	22	9	301	90	-3	+1	+0	-1	+5	0.1
2030	22	MLB MLE	NYY	54%	326	288	69	10	4	4	30	71	5	8	2	242	323	349	672	107	303	22	9	304	92	-3	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.3
2031	23	MLB MLE	NYY	57%	407	361	87	13	4	6	37	88	6	10	2	243	324	356	680	112	303	22	9	308	94	-3	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.5
2032	24	MLB MLE	NYY	57%	459	407	99	15	5	7	42	100	7	11	3	245	325	362	687	117	304	22	9	310	96	-2	+1	+0	-3	+10	0.6
2033	25	MLB MLE	NYY	57%	488	434	105	16	5	8	44	106	7	12	3	245	326	363	689	118	304	22	9	311	96	-2	+1	+0	-3	+11	0.7
2034	26	MLB MLE	NYY	56%	505	447	110	17	5	9	46	109	7	12	3	245	326	364	689	119	303	22	9	311	97	-2	+1	+0	-3	+11	0.7
2035	27	MLB MLE	NYY	55%	510	451	110	17	5	8	47	111	7	12	3	244	325	361	686	117	303	22	9	309	96	-3	+1	+0	-3	+11	0.7
2036	28	MLB MLE	NYY	55%	507	449	108	16	5	8	46	112	7	11	3	242	323	356	679	114	302	22	9	307	94	-4	+1	-1	-3	+11	0.5
2037	29	MLB MLE	NYY	53%	496	441	106	16	5	8	45	111	7	10	3	240	320	350	670	110	301	22	9	303	91	-5	+1	-1	-3	+11	0.2
2038	30	MLB MLE	NYY	53%	486	432	103	15	5	7	44	110	7	9	3	237	317	342	659	105	300	23	9	299	88	-7	+1	-2	-3	+11	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	NYY	34%	41	36	7	1	0	0	4	9	1	1	0	237	319	332	651	95	302	22	10	296	86	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	NYY	48%	104	92	21	3	1	1	9	23	2	2	1	240	322	343	665	103	302	22	9	302	90	-1	+0	+0	-1	+2	0.0
2030	22	MLB CTX	NYY	54%	177	156	39	6	2	3	16	39	3	4	1	242	324	352	676	110	303	22	9	306	92	-2	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.2
2031	23	MLB CTX	NYY	57%	230	204	50	7	3	4	21	50	3	6	1	244	325	360	685	116	303	22	9	309	94	-2	+1	+0	-1	+5	0.3
2032	24	MLB CTX	NYY	57%	260	230	58	9	3	5	24	56	4	6	2	246	326	366	692	120	304	22	9	312	96	-1	+0	+0	-2	+6	0.3
2033	25	MLB CTX	NYY	57%	276	245	60	9	3	5	25	60	4	7	2	246	326	368	694	122	304	22	9	313	96	-1	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.4
2034	26	MLB CTX	NYY	56%	285	253	62	9	3	5	26	62	4	7	2	246	326	368	695	122	303	22	9	313	97	-1	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.4
2035	27	MLB CTX	NYY	55%	283	251	61	9	3	5	26	62	4	7	2	245	325	366	691	121	303	22	9	311	96	-1	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.4
2036	28	MLB CTX	NYY	55%	278	247	60	9	3	5	25	61	4	6	2	243	323	361	684	117	302	22	9	309	94	-2	+0	-0	-2	+6	0.2
2037	29	MLB CTX	NYY	53%	265	235	56	8	3	4	24	59	4	5	2	241	321	354	675	113	301	22	9	305	91	-3	+0	-1	-2	+6	0.1
2038	30	MLB CTX	NYY	53%	256	228	55	8	3	4	23	58	3	5	2	238	317	346	663	108	299	23	9	300	88	-4	+0	-1	-2	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2455	2177	529	78	27	41	223	539	36	56	17	243	323	360	684	117	304	22	9	308	91	-19	+4	-2	-15	+53	2.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	576	140	21	7	11	59	143	10	15	5	243	324	361	685	118	304	22	9	308	91	-5	+1	-1	-4	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	4831	4266	1018	152	50	68	449	1040	74	120	34	239	322	346	667	107	298	22	9	303	91	-36	+10	-4	-27	+99	4.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	137	20	7	9	60	140	10	16	5	239	321	345	666	106	298	22	9	303	91	-5	+1	-1	-4	+14	0.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL NYY Yankees · 121 PAwOBA .374 → .269 (−105)K% 8.3% → 10.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	8.26%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	10.08%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	17.36%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.008	12.24%
HBP% /PA	2.48%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	1.75%
Singles /BIP	26.19%	÷1.000	×0.680	×1.009	×1.008	18.10%
Doubles /BIP	3.57%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.009	×1.008	2.18%
Triples /BIP	3.57%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.009	×1.008	2.18%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.

Result: wOBA .374 → .269; ISO .096 → .064; BABIP .326 → .220. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Pirates Black · 131 PAwOBA .334 → .237 (−97)K% 14.5% → 17.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.50%	÷0.988	×1.220	—	—	17.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	17.56%	÷0.987	×0.700	—	×1.022	12.73%
HBP% /PA	3.82%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	2.73%
Singles /BIP	23.46%	÷1.004	×0.680	×0.968	×1.022	15.72%
Doubles /BIP	3.70%	÷0.972	×0.600	×0.968	×1.022	2.26%
Triples /BIP	2.47%	÷1.019	×0.600	×0.968	×1.022	1.44%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.931	×0.470	—	×1.022	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 101, 2B 94, 3B 104, K 98, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.968.

Result: wOBA .334 → .237; ISO .070 → .045; BABIP .289 → .190. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Gabe Grosslast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,682 PA	2.5	1,682	40	22	239	330	385	-14	+11	5.1	5.1
/162	664	16	9	-5.7	+4.4	2.0	pk7: 5
#3Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Pat Sheridan'81-'91 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,700 PA	4.1	2,700	51	86	250*	319*	387*	-22	-3	4.0	4.2
/162	664	13	21	-5.4	-0.8	1.0	pk7: 4
#5Emil Brown'97-'09 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,508 PA	3.8	2,508	59	52	247*	314*	388*	-25	+8	3.5	4.0
/162	664	16	14	-6.6	+2.1	0.9	pk7: 5
#6Darren Bragg'94-'04 * career totals — 10 seasons, 2,835 PA	4.3	2,835	46	56	243*	324*	368*	-18	+2	2.5	3.8
/162	664	11	13	-4.1	+0.4	0.6	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	3.8	2,517	38	57	243	320	356	-15	+0	4.0	3.7
/162	664	10	15	-4.0	+0.0	1.1	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Cruz (OGILVIE)	19	66→71	28→33	54→59	69	232/312/315	83	301	0	1	22%	9%	82	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yoyner Fajardo 2019 · A	20	46→56	37→40	57→60	51	211/279/293	82	248	2	14	16%	8%	63	-1.3	227/286/295	68	281	2	19	19%	6%	67	-1.1	260/318/350	90	329	5	34	21%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Ismael Munguia 2018 · A	19	47→55	36→45	48→55	51	219/272/292	74	248	2	10	13%	7%	60	-1.6	233/273/310	77	276	2	8	16%	4%	64	-1.3	266/321/371	105	293	10	20	12%	5%	95	+0.6
✕Jorge Ruiz 2023 · A	19	50→52	35→40	51→50	47	231/286/295	64	270	2	13	15%	5%	66	-1.1	234/287/309	75	301	3	12	22%	5%	70	-0.9	231/285/303	72	304	3	13	23%	6%	66	-0.9
✕Ramón Flores 2011 · A	19	45→55	37→45	48→50	47	211/276/288	77	274	4	7	23%	8%	61	-1.5	238/295/334	96	303	7	9	22%	7%	78	-0.3	255/328/354	99	304	9	8	18%	9%	94	+0.6
✕Albert Almora Jr. 2013 · A	19	49→59	39→45	52→50	42	233/271/324	92	282	6	11	20%	4%	68	-1.0	251/283/358	107	295	7	6	17%	4%	79	-0.2	280/312/395	115	326	10	5	17%	4%	99	+0.9
●Ender Inciarte 2010 · A	19	49→59	34→45	49→60	43	229/270/282	53	289	2	13	21%	5%	57	-1.8	229/272/304	75	283	2	15	18%	5%	63	-1.4	292/338/390	98	325	7	19	12%	6%	107	+1.9
✕Eury Pérez 2009 · A	19	44→54	36→40	54→65	51	204/286/265	61	255	3	20	20%	8%	61	-1.5	257/302/327	70	316	4	28	19%	5%	79	-0.2	300/333/376	75	363	4	37	18%	3%	96	+0.8
●Roman Anthony 2023 · A	19	48→57	37→50	50	48	227/283/304	76	277	4	7	19%	7%	68	-1.0	245/329/395	150	341	15	12	29%	11%	106	+1.8	253/345/414	161	347	16	12	29%	12%	114	+2.1
✕Yohendrick Pinango 2021 · A	19	48→54	35→50	52→50	51	221/281/284	63	251	2	18	12%	7%	62	-1.4	230/271/321	91	287	8	9	22%	5%	67	-1.1	223/292/355	132	284	14	7	25%	8%	81	-0.0
●Justin Crawford 2023 · A	19	45→55	37→45	52→60	42	211/272/284	73	311	4	18	32%	7%	59	-1.7	281/325/385	104	370	6	34	24%	6%	101	+1.4	305/350/413	108	394	7	41	23%	6%	112	+1.7
✕Nick Williams 2013 · A	19	48→58	38→55	57→45	37	222/270/308	86	326	4	14	32%	5%	63	-1.3	237/275/383	146	352	13	8	35%	4%	83	+0.1	247/302/419	172	327	21	4	30%	5%	101	+1.1
✕Rey Fuentes 2010 · A	19	46→56	37→40	48→60	39	220/259/294	74	283	4	11	24%	4%	55	-1.9	226/273/304	78	317	4	25	28%	5%	63	-1.3	283/333/378	95	362	7	33	22%	6%	99	+0.9
✕Billy McKinney 2014 · A	19	47→57	38→60	54→45	44	226/278/301	75	284	5	9	22%	6%	65	-1.2	237/301/350	113	307	9	4	24%	8%	85	+0.2	222/283/407	185	267	20	2	25%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Carlos Rodríguez 2022 · A	21	49→59	36→40	50→55	44	227/280/296	68	311	2	14	26%	7%	64	-1.3	245/301/329	84	310	4	15	21%	7%	80	-0.2	265/323/349	84	315	3	16	16%	7%	89	+0.3
●L.J. Hoes 2010 · A	20	50→60	36→40	51→50	42	237/277/298	61	302	3	13	22%	5%	63	-1.4	260/313/341	81	327	5	13	20%	7%	86	+0.3	288/348/379	91	345	5	15	17%	8%	105	+1.7
✕Marco Hernández 2012 · A	19	47→57	37→45	48→50	45	218/259/301	83	256	3	13	16%	5%	57	-1.8	212/244/288	76	278	4	12	24%	4%	48	-2.5	274/300/384	110	350	8	6	24%	3%	89	+0.3
✕Leody Taveras 2018 · A	19	47→55	39→50	52→55	44	224/269/314	90	277	6	12	22%	6%	63	-1.3	224/270/307	83	299	5	16	25%	6%	63	-1.4	251/301/382	131	311	12	20	23%	7%	92	+0.7
✕Franchy Cordero 2014 · A	19	44→54	38→55	58→50	41	207/265/293	86	304	5	13	32%	7%	58	-1.7	208/250/287	79	323	5	13	35%	5%	51	-2.3	250/293/418	168	373	15	17	35%	5%	94	+0.7
●Gavin Lux 2018 · A	20	46→56	39→50	53→50	45	220/279/311	91	292	6	13	26%	7%	68	-1.0	253/310/403	150	321	16	11	25%	8%	101	+1.4	270/338/424	154	338	14	8	23%	9%	115	+2.1
✕Breyvic Valera 2011 · A	19	47→57	37→45	52→50	52	215/276/297	82	237	2	10	10%	7%	63	-1.3	237/284/307	70	275	2	11	14%	5%	68	-1.0	251/304/368	117	267	12	10	11%	7%	87	+0.3

Luis Cruz

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps