Jose Verdugo — OGILVIE

Jose Verdugo2B Lake Elsinore Storm

Age 18 R/R 5'7" / 150 lbs A HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION429 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†73

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .300 / .222

PA10

HR0

K%20

BB%10

BABIP289

ISO104

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$57M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 56 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT56

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE48

scouting grade only

SPEED65

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$7M	+$6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.3	$7M	+$6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.4	$7M	+$6M
2034	Arb-1	$5M	+1.4	$6M	+$4M
2035	Arb-2	$8M	+1.4	$6M	+$2M
2036	Arb-3	$11M	+1.3	$5M	+$0.9M
Totals		$28M		$36M	+$26M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	120	95	32	8	1	2	19	17	1	7	1	337	452	505	957	168	375	14	16	409	163	+9	+1	—	—	+3	1.3
2025	17	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	36	35	6	0	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	171	171	171	343		214	19	0	151	-12	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	120	103	25	5	1	2	11	25	1	7	1	243	322	369	691	126	266	21	9	294	85	-2	+1	—	—	+3	0.2
2025	17	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	156	134	32	7	1	2	15	33	1	7	1	239	320	351	671	112	291	21	10	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	156	130	38	8	1	2	19	24	1	7	1	292	387	415	802	123	333	15	12	349	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	156	139	32	7	1	2	15	33	1	7	1	230	320	338	658	108	266	21	10	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	156	139	32	7	1	2	15	33	1	7	1	230	320	338	658	108	266	21	10	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	A MLE	SD	—	429	385	92	10	3	4	23	95	4	37	7	239	289	312	601	73	299	22	5	256	59	-21	+5	+0	+2	+9	-0.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	A RAW	SD	—	429	376	104	12	4	4	32	71	4	37	7	277	340	362	702	85	324	17	7	306	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	A MLE	SD	0%	10	9	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	222	300	222	522		292	20	10	276	73	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	18	A MLE	SD	—	439	394	94	10	3	4	24	97	4	38	7	239	289	310	599	71	299	22	5	256	60	-21	+5	+0	+2	+10	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	SD	43%	385	354	86	13	2	6	24	79	4	13	3	243	298	342	640	99	294	21	6	290	82	-8	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.3
2028	20	MLB MLE	SD	61%	480	441	109	17	3	9	31	97	5	15	3	247	304	361	665	113	296	20	6	300	89	-6	+2	+0	+2	+10	0.8
2029	21	MLB MLE	SD	68%	540	492	124	19	3	12	37	107	6	16	3	252	312	376	688	124	297	20	7	307	94	-4	+2	+0	+2	+12	1.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	SD	71%	584	532	135	21	4	13	40	115	7	17	3	254	314	382	696	128	297	20	7	311	97	-2	+2	+0	+2	+13	1.5
2031	23	MLB MLE	SD	72%	611	556	143	22	4	15	43	118	7	17	4	257	318	392	711	135	298	19	7	314	99	-1	+2	+0	+2	+13	1.7
2032	24	MLB MLE	SD	72%	627	570	147	23	4	15	44	120	8	18	4	258	320	391	711	133	299	19	7	317	101	+0	+2	+0	+2	+14	1.9
2033	25	MLB MLE	SD	71%	635	577	149	23	4	16	45	121	8	18	4	258	321	395	716	137	299	19	7	318	101	+1	+2	+0	+2	+14	1.9
2034	26	MLB MLE	SD	71%	637	579	149	23	4	16	45	122	8	18	4	257	320	394	713	136	299	19	7	319	102	+1	+2	+0	+2	+14	2.0
2035	27	MLB MLE	SD	70%	634	575	149	23	4	16	46	122	8	18	4	259	323	397	719	137	299	19	7	319	102	+1	+2	+0	+2	+14	2.0
2036	28	MLB MLE	SD	69%	626	567	146	22	4	16	46	121	8	17	3	257	322	395	717	138	299	19	7	318	101	+1	+2	-1	+2	+14	1.9
2037	29	MLB MLE	SD	67%	615	558	143	22	4	15	45	120	7	16	3	256	320	391	710	134	298	20	7	316	100	+0	+2	-1	+2	+13	1.7
2038	30	MLB MLE	SD	66%	603	546	138	21	3	14	45	119	7	15	3	253	318	379	697	126	297	20	7	314	98	-1	+2	-2	+2	+13	1.4
2039	31	MLB MLE	SD	65%	589	533	134	20	3	14	44	118	7	14	3	251	317	379	696	128	295	20	7	310	96	-3	+2	-3	+2	+13	1.1
2040	32	MLB MLE	SD	65%	570	516	128	19	3	13	42	117	7	13	3	248	313	372	685	124	293	21	7	304	92	-5	+1	-4	+2	+12	0.7
2041	33	MLB MLE	SD	70%	540	489	118	17	3	11	40	113	6	11	2	241	307	356	662	115	289	21	7	298	88	-8	+1	-4	+2	+12	0.3
2042	34	MLB MLE	SD	66%	492	448	105	14	3	10	36	106	5	10	2	234	299	346	645	112	285	22	7	290	82	-10	+1	-5	+2	+11	-0.2
2027	19	MLB CTX	SD	43%	166	153	37	5	1	3	10	34	2	6	1	242	297	346	643	105	292	20	6	281	82	-4	+1	+0	+1	+4	0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	SD	61%	292	268	66	10	2	6	19	59	3	9	2	246	303	366	669	119	293	20	7	290	89	-4	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.5
2029	21	MLB CTX	SD	68%	368	336	84	13	2	8	25	73	4	11	2	250	310	372	682	122	294	20	7	297	94	-3	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.8
2030	22	MLB CTX	SD	71%	415	378	95	14	3	10	29	81	5	12	2	251	313	384	697	132	294	20	7	301	97	-2	+2	+0	+1	+9	1.1
2031	23	MLB CTX	SD	72%	442	403	102	15	3	11	31	86	5	13	3	253	314	387	701	134	295	19	7	304	99	-1	+1	+0	+2	+10	1.2
2032	24	MLB CTX	SD	72%	449	409	104	16	3	11	32	86	5	13	3	254	316	389	705	134	296	19	7	307	101	+0	+1	+0	+2	+10	1.3
2033	25	MLB CTX	SD	71%	452	411	106	16	3	12	32	86	6	13	3	258	321	399	720	141	296	19	7	308	101	+1	+1	+0	+2	+10	1.4
2034	26	MLB CTX	SD	71%	452	411	106	16	3	12	32	86	6	13	3	258	321	399	720	141	296	19	7	309	102	+1	+1	+0	+2	+10	1.4
2035	27	MLB CTX	SD	70%	441	401	102	15	3	11	32	85	5	12	2	254	317	389	706	135	296	19	7	309	102	+1	+2	+0	+2	+10	1.4
2036	28	MLB CTX	SD	69%	431	391	100	15	3	11	32	83	5	12	2	256	320	394	714	138	296	19	7	308	101	+1	+2	-0	+2	+9	1.3
2037	29	MLB CTX	SD	67%	412	374	94	14	2	10	30	80	5	11	2	251	315	380	695	128	295	19	7	306	100	+0	+1	-1	+1	+9	1.1
2038	30	MLB CTX	SD	66%	397	360	90	13	2	10	29	78	5	10	2	250	315	381	695	131	294	20	7	304	98	-1	+1	-1	+1	+9	0.9
2039	31	MLB CTX	SD	65%	384	348	87	13	2	9	28	77	5	9	2	250	315	376	691	126	293	20	7	300	96	-2	+1	-2	+1	+8	0.7
2040	32	MLB CTX	SD	65%	369	335	82	12	2	8	27	76	4	8	2	245	309	364	673	119	290	21	7	295	92	-3	+1	-2	+1	+8	0.5
2041	33	MLB CTX	SD	70%	379	344	83	12	2	8	28	80	4	8	2	241	306	358	663	116	287	21	7	288	88	-6	+1	-3	+1	+8	0.2
2042	34	MLB CTX	SD	66%	323	293	68	9	2	6	23	70	4	6	1	232	297	338	635	106	282	22	7	280	82	-7	+1	-3	+1	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	6172	5615	1406	208	38	146	439	1220	73	166	34	250	313	379	692	129	294	20	7	301	96	-27	+20	-13	+22	+134	13.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	591	148	22	4	15	46	128	8	17	4	250	313	377	691	127	295	20	7	301	96	-3	+2	-1	+2	+14	1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	9334	8476	2137	326	56	213	669	1850	109	254	52	252	315	379	694	127	298	20	7	310	96	-44	+29	-20	+33	+199	20.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	149	23	4	15	47	129	8	18	4	253	316	381	698	129	298	20	7	310	96	-3	+2	-1	+2	+14	1.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Stephen Drewlast yr '17 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,917 PA	7.4	4,917	123	41	252	318	423	+48	+35	26.3	25.1
/162	664	17	6	+6.5	+4.7	3.5	pk7: 24
#2Ian Desmondlast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,944 PA	9.0	5,944	181	181	263	315	427	+30	-4	25.8	25.0
/162	664	20	20	+3.3	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 24
#3Erick Aybarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,588 PA	8.4	5,588	58	154	271	314	372	+58	+49	22.0	21.3
/162	664	7	18	+6.9	+5.8	2.6	pk7: 21
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	9.6	6,374	146	170	253	312	381	+65	+36	23.3	18.4
/162	664	15	18	+6.7	+3.8	2.4	pk7: 14
#4Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
/162	664	17	9	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#5Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
#6Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	5.0	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
/162	664	17	4	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Verdugo (OGILVIE)	18	51→56	35→40	60→65	48	235/286/322	87	292	2	12	21%	6%	73	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Santana 2018 · A	19	52	39→45	54→50	50	243/311/343	100	274	5	11	13%	7%	87	+0.4	246/316/336	90	288	6	9	16%	7%	88	+0.4	234/303/348	114	293	12	10	23%	6%	83	+0.0
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→44	41→45	56→55	44	216/286/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	206/315/327	121	297	9	23	30%	12%	86	+0.3	203/309/335	132	285	10	26	29%	12%	83	+0.1
✕Victor Robles 2016 · A	19	50→52	42→50	55→60	45	240/311/353	113	291	8	21	20%	6%	90	+0.6	242/308/360	118	303	8	23	22%	5%	91	+0.6	246/315/392	146	305	12	27	22%	6%	97	+0.9
✕Angel Genao 2022 · A	18	45→55	37→45	59→50	55	210/300/285	75	272	4	16	22%	11%	70	-0.8	230/288/322	92	306	6	11	25%	7%	74	-0.6	262/318/385	123	318	10	13	20%	7%	97	+0.9
✕Lorenzo Cedrola 2016 · A	18	52→59	36→40	56→50	44	240/309/311	72	288	2	18	17%	5%	80	-0.2	232/275/306	74	280	3	15	18%	3%	65	-1.2	248/292/343	96	290	7	16	17%	3%	76	-0.3
✕Jose Escobar 2023 · A	18	45→55	43→45	57→45	40	220/270/339	119	285	9	15	26%	5%	71	-0.8	223/290/326	103	293	9	12	26%	7%	76	-0.4	233/299/331	99	302	8	8	24%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Jefferson Rojas 2023 · A	18	48→45	37→45	56→50	46	225/283/305	80	271	4	16	18%	6%	68	-1.0	212/272/309	97	268	9	15	23%	6%	65	-1.2	211/272/336	125	248	14	18	21%	7%	69	-0.7
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	52→62	37→40	56→60	50	245/307/319	74	309	3	18	21%	8%	80	-0.2	250/296/311	61	297	1	19	15%	6%	73	-0.6	302/361/382	79	347	4	36	13%	8%	110	+1.8
✕Ronald Torreyes 2011 · A	18	56→57	42→45	52→50	47	264/313/387	124	280	6	14	9%	4%	98	+1.2	263/306/357	94	284	5	11	9%	4%	88	+0.4	261/304/347	86	281	4	9	8%	4%	82	+0.0
✕Gorkys Hernández 2007 · A	19	49→57	41→45	54→55	41	239/268/338	99	285	9	17	20%	4%	69	-0.9	247/287/331	84	313	5	22	21%	5%	75	-0.5	256/315/372	117	316	11	16	22%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Jose Tabata 2007 · A	18	52→61	40→45	51→55	43	249/302/344	96	311	7	16	22%	6%	84	+0.2	258/307/344	86	320	6	14	20%	5%	86	+0.3	278/334/376	98	321	6	26	14%	7%	101	+1.2
●Julio Rodríguez 2019 · A	18	47→56	43→60	59→55	46	228/289/352	124	291	8	9	24%	7%	81	-0.1	253/308/401	148	329	14	9	26%	6%	99	+1.3	287/348/497	210	352	27	29	25%	7%	132	+3.3
✕Luke Adams 2023 · A	19	50→36	41→50	55	45	231/306/331	100	330	7	18	30%	8%	83	+0.1	193/323/316	123	270	12	20	30%	11%	89	+0.5	189/341/340	151	235	17	19	25%	12%	100	+0.7
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2011 · A	18	44	44→45	53→50	41	217/277/335	118	288	11	9	28%	6%	73	-0.6	219/286/320	101	286	6	11	24%	6%	73	-0.6	226/280/337	111	291	6	11	23%	4%	73	-0.3
✕Addison Russell 2013 · A	19	54→53	46→55	59→50	43	258/312/400	142	345	12	16	28%	7%	100	+1.3	237/300/393	156	312	16	12	28%	7%	95	+0.9	239/310/406	168	295	19	5	25%	8%	97	+0.9
✕Pedro Ramírez 2023 · A	19	51→55	40→45	53→55	43	244/293/346	101	299	6	14	20%	5%	80	-0.1	238/292/336	98	305	7	14	23%	6%	78	-0.3	255/308/363	108	313	9	21	21%	6%	87	+0.3
●Starlin Castro 2008 · A	18	49→59	37→50	53→50	48	229/281/296	67	267	4	11	16%	6%	65	-1.2	252/294/342	90	301	4	13	17%	5%	80	-0.2	293/335/419	126	332	8	18	14%	5%	108	+2.1
✕Rubén Tejada 2008 · A	18	50→60	38→40	51→50	50	237/313/315	78	287	5	13	18%	8%	82	-0.0	227/281/295	68	274	3	9	17%	6%	65	-1.2	245/328/327	82	296	5	2	17%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Jose Paez 2013 · A	19	49	40→45	51→50	43	233/286/331	98	308	6	13	25%	6%	74	-0.5	210/256/293	83	314	4	11	32%	5%	55	-2.0	178/220/246	68	283	3	12	36%	4%	26	-1.1
●Jean Segura 2008 · A	18	51→61	36→50	53→60	46	240/289/305	65	287	4	17	18%	6%	70	-0.9	248/291/335	87	293	6	17	17%	5%	77	-0.3	304/351/443	139	337	13	24	13%	6%	121	+3.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps