Jose Verdugo — OGILVIE

Jose VerdugoSS Lake Elsinore Storm

Age 18 R/R 5'7" / 150 lbs A HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION307 act + 204 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.229 / .286 / .325

PA204

HR3

SB10

K%23

BB%6

BABIP291

ISO96

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 53 / POW 42

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT53

scouting grade only

POWER42

scouting grade only

EYE49

scouting grade only

SPEED63

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.3	$13M	+$12M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.5	$13M	+$12M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.6	$12M	+$12M
2034	Arb-1	$5M	+2.6	$11M	+$9M
2035	Arb-2	$9M	+2.6	$11M	+$7M
2036	Arb-3	$12M	+2.5	$9M	+$5M
Totals		$30M		$69M	+$57M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	2 teams	—	156	135	30	6	1	2	14	34	1	7	1	222	300	326	626	104	272	22	9	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	2 teams	—	156	130	38	8	1	2	19	24	1	7	1	292	387	415	802	123	333	15	12	349	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	A	SD	—	307	274	63	8	2	4	17	74	4	24	6	230	285	318	602	88	295	24	6	257	55	-16	+2	+0	+3	+9	-0.1
YTD	18	A	SD	—	307	267	72	10	3	4	24	55	4	24	6	270	339	375	714	105	321	18	8	311	96	-1	+2	+0	+3	+9	1.3
ROS	18	A	SD	0%	204	187	43	7	1	3	13	48	2	10	2	229	286	325	611	96	288	23	6	278	71	-7	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.2
ROS	18	MLB	SD	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		285	—	—	266	62	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	A	SD	—	307	275	63	8	2	4	17	74	4	24	6	229	285	316	601	87	294	24	6	257	55	-16	+2	+0	+3	+9	-0.1
TOT	18	A	SD	—	511	461	106	15	3	7	30	122	6	34	8	230	285	321	606	91	293	24	6	265	61	-22	+4	+0	+5	+14	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	SD	43%	385	352	83	13	3	7	25	88	5	11	3	236	296	349	645	114	291	23	6	290	80	-9	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.7
2028	20	MLB	SD	61%	480	438	105	17	3	10	33	107	6	14	3	240	302	361	663	121	293	22	7	298	86	-7	+2	+0	+5	+14	1.3
2029	21	MLB	SD	68%	585	531	129	21	4	13	41	129	8	16	4	243	307	371	678	128	294	22	7	304	91	-6	+2	+0	+6	+17	1.9
2030	22	MLB	SD	71%	584	529	130	21	4	14	42	127	8	16	4	246	311	380	691	134	295	22	7	308	94	-4	+2	+0	+6	+17	2.1
2031	23	MLB	SD	72%	611	554	136	22	4	15	44	131	8	16	4	245	310	381	691	135	295	21	7	311	96	-3	+2	+0	+7	+17	2.3
2032	24	MLB	SD	72%	627	567	141	23	4	16	46	134	9	17	4	249	315	388	703	139	296	21	7	313	98	-2	+2	+0	+7	+18	2.5
2033	25	MLB	SD	71%	635	574	142	23	4	16	47	135	9	17	4	247	314	385	699	138	296	21	7	314	98	-1	+2	+0	+7	+18	2.6
2034	26	MLB	SD	71%	637	576	142	23	4	16	47	136	9	17	4	247	313	384	697	137	296	21	7	314	99	-1	+2	+0	+7	+18	2.6
2035	27	MLB	SD	70%	634	573	142	23	4	16	47	135	9	17	4	248	315	386	700	138	296	21	7	314	99	-1	+2	+0	+7	+18	2.6
2036	28	MLB	SD	69%	626	565	140	23	4	16	47	135	9	16	4	248	316	388	703	140	296	22	8	314	98	-1	+2	-1	+7	+18	2.5
2037	29	MLB	SD	67%	615	555	136	22	4	15	47	133	8	15	4	245	313	380	693	135	295	22	8	312	97	-2	+1	-1	+7	+17	2.2
2038	30	MLB	SD	66%	603	544	133	21	4	15	46	132	8	14	4	244	313	381	693	136	294	22	8	309	95	-4	+1	-2	+6	+17	2.0
2039	31	MLB	SD	65%	589	531	128	21	3	14	45	131	8	14	3	241	310	371	681	130	292	22	8	305	92	-5	+2	-3	+6	+17	1.7
2040	32	MLB	SD	65%	570	515	122	19	3	13	43	129	7	13	3	237	304	361	666	124	290	23	8	300	88	-8	+1	-4	+6	+16	1.3
2041	33	MLB	SD	70%	540	487	113	17	3	12	41	125	7	11	3	232	301	353	654	121	286	23	8	294	83	-10	+1	-4	+6	+15	0.8
2027	19	MLB	SD	43%	166	152	36	6	1	3	11	38	2	5	1	237	297	349	646	112	288	23	7	277	70	-6	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.2
2028	20	MLB	SD	61%	292	266	63	10	2	6	20	65	4	8	2	237	300	357	657	120	290	22	7	285	76	-8	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.4
2029	21	MLB	SD	68%	398	362	87	14	3	9	28	88	5	11	3	240	304	370	674	130	290	22	7	290	80	-9	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.8
2030	22	MLB	SD	71%	415	376	92	15	3	10	30	90	6	11	3	245	311	380	691	136	291	22	7	294	83	-8	+1	+0	+4	+12	0.9
2031	23	MLB	SD	72%	442	401	98	16	3	11	32	95	6	12	3	244	310	382	691	137	292	21	7	297	85	-7	+1	+0	+5	+13	1.1
2032	24	MLB	SD	72%	449	407	100	16	3	11	33	96	6	12	3	246	312	381	692	135	293	21	7	299	87	-7	+1	+0	+5	+13	1.2
2033	25	MLB	SD	71%	452	410	100	16	3	11	33	96	6	12	3	244	310	378	688	134	293	21	7	300	87	-6	+1	+0	+5	+13	1.3
2034	26	MLB	SD	71%	452	410	100	16	3	11	33	96	6	12	3	244	310	378	688	134	292	21	7	300	88	-6	+1	+0	+5	+13	1.3
2035	27	MLB	SD	70%	441	399	98	16	3	11	33	94	6	12	3	246	313	383	696	138	292	21	7	300	88	-6	+1	+0	+5	+12	1.3
2036	28	MLB	SD	69%	431	389	95	15	3	11	33	93	6	11	3	244	313	383	696	139	292	22	8	299	87	-6	+1	-0	+5	+12	1.1
2037	29	MLB	SD	67%	412	372	90	14	3	10	31	89	6	10	3	242	311	376	687	134	292	22	8	298	86	-7	+1	-1	+4	+12	1.0
2038	30	MLB	SD	66%	397	359	86	14	2	9	30	87	5	10	2	240	307	365	672	125	291	22	8	295	84	-7	+1	-1	+4	+11	0.8
2039	31	MLB	SD	65%	384	347	82	13	2	9	29	85	5	9	2	236	304	363	668	127	289	22	8	292	81	-8	+1	-2	+4	+11	0.6
2040	32	MLB	SD	65%	369	333	78	12	2	8	28	84	5	8	2	234	303	354	658	120	286	23	8	287	78	-9	+1	-2	+4	+10	0.4
2041	33	MLB	SD	70%	379	342	79	12	2	8	29	88	5	8	2	231	301	348	648	117	283	23	8	280	73	-12	+1	-3	+4	+11	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	5879	5326	1284	205	38	138	433	1284	79	151	38	241	308	372	679	130	291	22	7	294	83	-112	+15	-10	+63	+167	12.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	142	23	4	15	48	142	9	17	4	241	309	370	679	129	292	22	7	294	83	-12	+2	-1	+7	+18	1.4
Career	—			—	9081	8213	1995	322	57	213	668	1989	121	241	58	243	309	374	683	131	294	22	7	306	93	-77	+25	-15	+97	+257	29.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	142	23	4	15	48	142	9	17	4	241	309	371	679	129	293	22	7	306	93	-5	+2	-1	+7	+18	2.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	120	95	32	8	1	2	19	17	1	7	1	337	452	505	957	168	375	14	16	409	171	+10	+1	—	—	+3	1.4
2025	17	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	36	35	6	0	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	171	171	171	343		214	19	0	151	-26	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Stephen Drewlast yr '17 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,917 PA	12	4,917	123	41	252	318	423	+48	+35	26.2	25.1
	/162	664	17	6	252	318	423	+6.5	+4.7	3.5	pk7: 24
#2Erick Aybarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,588 PA	11	5,588	58	154	271	314	372	+58	+49	22.0	21.3
	/162	664	7	18	271	314	372	+6.9	+5.8	2.6	pk7: 21
#3Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
	/162	664	17	9	246	292	387	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	11	6,081	145	156	245	308	379	+65	+33	20.4	16.3
	/162	664	16	17	245	308	379	+7.1	+3.6	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	8	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
	/162	664	17	4	246	300	398	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#5Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	7	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
	/162	664	21	6	245	302	422	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Verdugo (OGILVIE)	18	48→53	37→42	58→63	49	230/285/321	91	293	7	34	24%	6%	61	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	56→55	43	214/285/313	99	288	7	14	27%	7%	68	-0.5	203/314/320	117	299	9	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	201/310/335	134	289	10	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
✕Jose Escobar 2023 · A	18	45→47	44→45	58→45	40	222/270/345	124	286	10	15	26%	5%	69	-0.4	223/290/328	105	294	9	12	26%	6%	73	-0.1	233/300/341	108	308	10	8	26%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2011 · A	18	44	44→45	53→50	41	217/277/335	118	288	11	9	28%	6%	69	-0.4	219/286/320	101	286	6	11	24%	6%	69	-0.4	226/280/337	111	291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
✕Luis Santana 2018 · A	19	52	39→45	54→50	50	243/311/343	100	274	5	11	13%	7%	85	+0.7	245/315/335	90	288	6	9	16%	7%	85	+0.7	225/297/334	109	287	11	10	24%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Addison Russell 2013 · A	19	54→52	46→55	59→50	43	256/311/399	142	346	12	16	28%	7%	99	+1.7	237/300/392	155	311	16	12	27%	7%	94	+1.3	237/308/399	162	294	18	5	25%	8%	94	+1.1
✕Gorkys Hernández 2007 · A	19	49→59	41→45	54→55	41	239/268/338	99	285	9	17	20%	4%	65	-0.7	246/287/331	85	313	5	22	22%	5%	71	-0.3	263/321/381	118	325	11	16	21%	7%	95	+1.0
●Victor Robles 2015 · A	18	49→54	41→50	53→60	44	231/298/338	107	281	6	19	20%	5%	79	+0.3	242/311/355	113	302	7	22	22%	5%	89	+1.0	241/311/384	143	300	12	27	22%	6%	93	+1.0
●Angel Genao 2022 · A	18	45→55	37→50	58→50	55	210/300/285	75	268	4	16	22%	11%	66	-0.6	232/290/328	96	308	7	11	25%	7%	72	-0.2	264/318/398	134	323	11	13	21%	7%	100	+1.2
●Jose Tabata 2007 · A	18	52→60	40→45	51→55	43	249/302/344	96	311	7	16	22%	6%	82	+0.5	258/307/346	88	320	7	14	21%	5%	84	+0.6	276/333/375	99	320	6	26	15%	7%	100	+1.5
●Luis Matos 2021 · A	19	50→56	43→50	53→50	45	244/303/364	121	284	10	14	18%	5%	88	+0.9	233/275/353	120	270	12	13	18%	4%	73	-0.1	241/293/396	155	250	19	13	13%	6%	90	+0.8
✕Dorssys Paulino 2013 · A	18	49→50	46→45	56→45	41	239/280/379	140	303	12	11	25%	5%	81	+0.4	214/258/310	96	285	6	8	26%	5%	54	-1.4	227/290/337	110	307	12	5	28%	8%	72	-0.1
●Royce Lewis 2018 · A	19	45→49	41→60	55→50	47	217/288/313	96	267	8	16	21%	7%	69	-0.4	215/262/314	99	286	8	16	27%	5%	57	-1.2	261/322/478	218	301	31	14	24%	8%	123	+1.6
●Daniel Robertson 2013 · A	19	45→54	46→45	52→40	49	225/297/363	139	266	12	6	20%	8%	85	+0.7	232/296/339	107	293	9	3	23%	7%	79	+0.3	231/336/345	114	301	11	4	25%	11%	96	+0.8
✕Lorenzo Cedrola 2016 · A	18	52→58	36→45	56→50	44	240/309/311	72	288	2	18	17%	5%	77	+0.1	232/275/305	73	281	3	15	18%	3%	59	-1.1	249/294/353	104	292	8	16	17%	3%	76	+0.1
✕Jose Paez 2013 · A	19	49	40→45	51→50	43	233/286/331	98	308	6	13	25%	6%	71	-0.3	210/256/293	83	314	4	11	32%	5%	49	-1.8	178/220/246	68	283	3	12	36%	4%	17	-1.1
●Gabriel Gonzalez 2022 · A	18	43→53	46→50	52→45	43	216/277/348	132	271	12	10	25%	6%	73	-0.1	235/292/359	124	285	14	8	22%	5%	82	+0.5	253/307/382	129	303	14	6	21%	5%	91	+0.9
✕Ronald Torreyes 2011 · A	18	56→57	42→45	52→50	47	264/313/387	123	280	6	14	9%	4%	98	+1.6	262/305/352	90	284	4	11	9%	4%	84	+0.6	259/301/340	81	279	3	9	8%	4%	76	+0.1
●Dilson Herrera 2012 · A	18	46→56	39→50	50	47	218/290/315	98	283	4	13	23%	7%	70	-0.3	228/279/361	133	299	12	12	27%	6%	77	+0.1	258/308/400	143	315	15	13	23%	6%	96	+1.3
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	47→49	41→50	53→45	48	227/287/331	103	273	8	13	20%	7%	72	-0.2	229/306/358	129	287	12	10	23%	9%	89	+0.9	227/311/374	147	272	15	9	21%	10%	92	+1.1
✕Rubén Tejada 2008 · A	18	50→60	38→40	51→50	50	237/313/315	78	287	5	13	18%	8%	79	+0.3	227/281/295	68	275	3	9	18%	6%	60	-1.0	246/313/343	97	286	7	1	15%	8%	81	+0.2