Nick DumesnilOF
Lakeland Flying Tigers
Age 22
R/R
6'0" / 210 lbs
A
HR +5%H +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 0.7 · 2030
wRC+†74
AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .279 / .344
PA88
HR2
K%30
BB%7
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
42→42
PWR
47→47
SPD
57→57
FLD
52→52
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.7peak
2031
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2031
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2036
First FA Year 2037
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.7 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.6 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.5 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | +0.3 | $2M | +$0.9M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $5M | — | — | — |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $9M | $9M | -$0.0M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 79 | 65 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 20 | 1 | 9 | 2 | .169 | .316 | .246 | .563 | .077 | .244 | 25 | 16 | .278 | 71 | -3 | +1 | +0 | -0 | +2 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | MLB | DET | 88 | 80 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .225 | .295 | .362 | .658 | .137 | .288 | 30 | 8 | .281 | 74 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +2 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB 11% | DET | 179 | 161 | 36 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 51 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .224 | .294 | .366 | .660 | .143 | .289 | 28 | 8 | .292 | 82 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB 26% | DET | 292 | 263 | 59 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 81 | 3 | 7 | 1 | .224 | .297 | .369 | .665 | .144 | .290 | 28 | 8 | .298 | 87 | -4 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +8 | 0.3 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB 43% | DET | 360 | 323 | 73 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 30 | 98 | 4 | 8 | 2 | .226 | .300 | .372 | .671 | .146 | .290 | 27 | 8 | .303 | 90 | -4 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +10 | 0.5 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB 58% | DET | 406 | 364 | 84 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 35 | 110 | 4 | 9 | 2 | .231 | .305 | .387 | .693 | .157 | .291 | 27 | 9 | .305 | 92 | -4 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +12 | 0.7 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB 76% | DET | 426 | 382 | 87 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 37 | 116 | 4 | 10 | 2 | .228 | .303 | .377 | .680 | .149 | .291 | 27 | 9 | .305 | 92 | -4 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +12 | 0.7 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB 84% | DET | 436 | 391 | 89 | 15 | 3 | 13 | 38 | 119 | 4 | 10 | 2 | .228 | .303 | .381 | .684 | .153 | .291 | 27 | 9 | .304 | 91 | -4 | +1 | -0 | -3 | +12 | 0.6 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB 90% | DET | 435 | 390 | 87 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 38 | 120 | 4 | 9 | 1 | .223 | .299 | .369 | .668 | .146 | .290 | 28 | 9 | .302 | 89 | -5 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +12 | 0.5 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB | DET | 430 | 385 | 86 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 38 | 120 | 4 | 9 | 1 | .223 | .300 | .371 | .671 | .148 | .288 | 28 | 9 | .299 | 87 | -6 | +1 | -2 | -3 | +12 | 0.3 |
| 2035 | 31 | MLB | DET | 420 | 376 | 81 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 37 | 119 | 4 | 8 | 1 | .215 | .293 | .351 | .644 | .136 | .287 | 28 | 9 | .295 | 84 | -8 | +1 | -3 | -3 | +12 | 0.0 |
| 2036 | 32 | MLB | DET | 404 | 361 | 77 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 36 | 117 | 4 | 8 | 0 | .213 | .292 | .343 | .635 | .130 | .285 | 29 | 9 | .290 | 80 | -9 | +2 | -3 | -2 | +11 | -0.2 |
| 2037 | 33 | MLB | DET | 375 | 336 | 71 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 111 | 3 | 7 | 0 | .211 | .288 | .339 | .627 | .128 | .284 | 30 | 9 | .285 | 76 | -10 | +1 | -4 | -2 | +11 | -0.4 |
| 2038 | 34 | MLB | DET | 331 | 296 | 62 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 101 | 3 | 7 | 0 | .209 | .287 | .338 | .624 | .128 | .282 | 31 | 9 | .278 | 71 | -11 | +1 | -5 | -2 | +9 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4661 | 4173 | 921 | 161 | 29 | 124 | 409 | 1309 | 45 | 107 | 15 | .221 | .297 | .362 | .659 | .142 | .289 | 28 | 9 | .296 | 85 | -79 | +15 | -17 | -28 | +132 | 2.4 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 582 | 128 | 22 | 4 | 17 | 57 | 183 | 6 | 15 | 2 | .220 | .296 | .359 | .655 | .139 | .288 | 28 | 9 | .296 | 85 | -11 | +2 | -2 | -4 | +18 | 0.3 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 79 | 59 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | 1 | 9 | 2 | .203 | .380 | .288 | .668 | .085 | .267 | 18 | 22 | .321 | 104 | +0 | +1 | — | — | +2 | 0.4 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Nick Dumesnil (OGILVIE) | 22 | 42 | 47 | 57 | — | .214/.279/.344 | .130 | .288 | 2 | 2 | 30% | 7% | 74 | -0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
●Alex Castellanos 2009 · A |
22 | 44→50 | 46→55 | 57→50 | 35 | .216/.265/.348 | .132 | .303 | 12 | 17 | 32% | 4% | 68 | -0.5 | .217/.269/.350 | .133 | .310 | 11 | 15 | 32% | 4% | 70 | -0.3 | .231/.292/.408 | .176 | .307 | 18 | 15 | 29% | 6% | 93 | +1.1 |
|
✕Jabari Henry 2013 · A |
22 | 42→41 | 46→55 | 49→45 | 44 | .212/.273/.344 | .133 | .277 | 13 | 7 | 28% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .209/.287/.363 | .154 | .271 | 17 | 6 | 28% | 9% | 82 | +0.5 | .193/.280/.360 | .167 | .251 | 20 | 6 | 30% | 10% | 75 | -0.0 |
|
✕Brandon Sizemore 2010 · A |
23 | 43 | 46→50 | 54→50 | 39 | .214/.274/.349 | .135 | .295 | 13 | 11 | 31% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .204/.253/.323 | .119 | .275 | 12 | 7 | 29% | 5% | 56 | -1.3 | .177/.216/.288 | .111 | .225 | 14 | 3 | 28% | 4% | 29 | -1.1 |
|
✕Daz Cameron 2018 · A |
21 | 40→45 | 44→55 | 52→55 | 41 | .201/.263/.319 | .117 | .279 | 11 | 19 | 31% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .203/.270/.325 | .122 | .295 | 10 | 17 | 33% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .220/.291/.388 | .168 | .274 | 20 | 25 | 27% | 8% | 88 | +0.6 |
|
✕Travis Blankenhorn 2018 · A |
21 | 42→43 | 45→55 | 54→50 | 40 | .209/.270/.337 | .128 | .288 | 12 | 8 | 31% | 6% | 67 | -0.5 | .208/.259/.341 | .133 | .291 | 14 | 8 | 32% | 5% | 63 | -0.8 | .211/.283/.380 | .168 | .276 | 21 | 6 | 31% | 8% | 81 | +0.3 |
|
✕Brian McFall 2006 · A |
22 | 39→44 | 46→55 | 51→50 | 37 | .200/.266/.325 | .125 | .285 | 14 | 12 | 34% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .202/.261/.355 | .153 | .278 | 19 | 9 | 34% | 5% | 69 | -0.4 | .206/.269/.358 | .153 | .278 | 18 | 8 | 32% | 6% | 70 | -0.2 |
|
✕Akil Baddoo 2021 · A |
22 | 41→51 | 43→55 | 55 | 44 | .198/.268/.314 | .116 | .295 | 9 | 14 | 34% | 8% | 60 | -1.0 | .234/.308/.374 | .140 | .313 | 14 | 21 | 27% | 10% | 92 | +1.2 | .232/.314/.375 | .143 | .300 | 15 | 24 | 26% | 11% | 91 | +0.8 |
|
✕Romy Gonzalez 2019 · A |
22 | 39→44 | 46→55 | 53→55 | 34 | .196/.247/.327 | .132 | .312 | 14 | 10 | 40% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .198/.251/.317 | .119 | .302 | 12 | 12 | 37% | 6% | 54 | -1.4 | .258/.302/.412 | .153 | .342 | 17 | 16 | 28% | 5% | 96 | +0.7 |
|
✕Alexander Canario 2022 · A |
22 | 37→34 | 51→60 | 50 | 37 | .200/.246/.359 | .159 | .282 | 20 | 14 | 36% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .212/.272/.410 | .198 | .294 | 26 | 14 | 36% | 7% | 88 | +0.9 | .209/.277/.424 | .216 | .279 | 30 | 13 | 36% | 8% | 90 | +0.6 |
|
●Aristides Aquino 2016 · A |
22 | 39→40 | 46→65 | 52→50 | 35 | .201/.236/.333 | .133 | .265 | 13 | 10 | 30% | 3% | 51 | -1.7 | .200/.241/.349 | .149 | .267 | 17 | 8 | 31% | 4% | 58 | -1.2 | .218/.283/.452 | .234 | .267 | 35 | 9 | 33% | 7% | 98 | +1.0 |
|
✕Stuart Fairchild 2019 · A |
23 | 45→43 | 40→50 | 53→55 | 41 | .214/.276/.312 | .098 | .301 | 7 | 14 | 30% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .215/.282/.341 | .126 | .287 | 11 | 10 | 28% | 7% | 74 | -0.1 | .220/.305/.384 | .164 | .292 | 18 | 16 | 29% | 8% | 91 | +0.6 |
|
✕Brahiam Maldonado 2008 · A |
22 | 44 | 46→55 | 51→50 | 37 | .219/.262/.350 | .132 | .309 | 12 | 10 | 33% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .215/.263/.346 | .131 | .322 | 14 | 10 | 36% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .200/.256/.369 | .169 | .295 | 22 | 9 | 38% | 6% | 67 | -0.4 |
|
✕Patrick Leonard 2015 · A |
22 | 41→49 | 45 | 52→50 | 41 | .208/.266/.329 | .121 | .284 | 12 | 7 | 31% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .216/.275/.334 | .118 | .314 | 11 | 10 | 33% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .212/.269/.327 | .115 | .307 | 10 | 11 | 33% | 6% | 61 | -0.8 |
|
✕Phillip Ervin 2015 · A |
23 | 43→52 | 43→50 | 56→55 | 44 | .210/.266/.328 | .118 | .264 | 9 | 16 | 24% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .209/.281/.330 | .121 | .263 | 12 | 23 | 24% | 8% | 71 | -0.3 | .238/.302/.379 | .141 | .300 | 14 | 21 | 24% | 7% | 88 | +0.7 |
|
●Edward Olivares 2018 · A |
22 | 42→52 | 47→55 | 51→55 | 39 | .214/.266/.352 | .138 | .266 | 14 | 13 | 25% | 4% | 69 | -0.4 | .223/.265/.352 | .129 | .280 | 13 | 16 | 25% | 4% | 68 | -0.5 | .259/.316/.431 | .172 | .293 | 20 | 16 | 19% | 6% | 108 | +1.4 |
|
✕Carlos Guzman 2008 · A |
22 | 40→48 | 43→50 | 53→50 | 44 | .197/.278/.309 | .112 | .288 | 11 | 9 | 33% | 8% | 64 | -0.8 | .221/.269/.333 | .112 | .308 | 12 | 9 | 31% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .235/.287/.332 | .097 | .308 | 10 | 3 | 26% | 6% | 70 | -0.2 |
|
✕Alex Glenn 2013 · A |
22 | 41→42 | 47→55 | 53→50 | 39 | .202/.268/.341 | .140 | .307 | 15 | 9 | 37% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .214/.271/.363 | .149 | .283 | 15 | 11 | 29% | 6% | 74 | -0.1 | .212/.263/.369 | .158 | .269 | 16 | 12 | 27% | 6% | 70 | -0.3 |
|
✕Kevonte Mitchell 2018 · A |
22 | 42→40 | 44→45 | 52→50 | 41 | .210/.264/.330 | .120 | .282 | 12 | 14 | 29% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .189/.244/.302 | .113 | .278 | 12 | 9 | 35% | 6% | 47 | -1.9 | .162/.222/.269 | .107 | .241 | 13 | 6 | 37% | 6% | 28 | -1.9 |
|
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2018 · AA |
22 | 41→38 | 45→50 | 53→55 | 45 | .207/.274/.329 | .122 | .263 | 12 | 20 | 26% | 7% | 67 | -0.5 | .197/.273/.332 | .135 | .277 | 14 | 17 | 32% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | .174/.259/.299 | .125 | .247 | 13 | 18 | 33% | 8% | 52 | -1.1 |
|
●Sean Bouchard 2019 · A |
23 | 38→44 | 44→55 | 48→50 | 37 | .196/.244/.314 | .117 | .275 | 12 | 13 | 33% | 5% | 50 | -1.7 | .201/.254/.332 | .131 | .296 | 13 | 10 | 35% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .223/.323/.415 | .191 | .292 | 21 | 16 | 29% | 11% | 106 | +1.0 |