Luis Perez

OF DSL Tampa Bay

Age 19 L/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	18	ROKDSL Tampa Bay	241	.279/.374/.382	0	18	36	—	.175/.255/.231
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLB—	351	.213/.277/.295	2	8	62	-0.4
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLB—	98	.218/.283/.308	1	2	68	-0.2
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLB—	193	.221/.288/.319	2	5	72	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed92

Z-Con%88

K%59

wRC+46

wOBA45

ISO43

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 99%

CompsJose Escobar (age 19) · Esteban González (age 19) · Jorge Ruiz (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 211 proj PA

wRC+62

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .275 / .292

PA211

HR1

SB5

K%26

BB%7

ISO81

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 52 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT52

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED61

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.9M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	18	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	241	204	57	13	4	0	28	47	3	18	5	279	374	382	757	103	354	20	12	336	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	241	212	37	8	2	0	20	57	3	18	5	175	255	231	486	57	226	24	8	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	241	212	37	8	2	0	20	57	3	18	5	175	255	231	486	57	233	24	8	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Tampa Bay	—	241	204	57	13	4	0	28	47	3	18	5	279	374	382	757	103	354	20	12	336	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	241	216	37	8	2	0	20	57	3	18	5	171	255	227	482	56	226	24	8	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	241	216	37	8	2	0	20	57	3	18	5	171	255	227	482	56	226	24	8	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	—	0%	351	320	68	12	4	2	25	91	3	8	1	213	277	295	572	81	288	26	7	260	62	-16	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	—	34%	285	259	57	10	3	3	21	73	3	7	1	218	283	308	591	90	290	26	7	268	68	-11	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.6
2029	21	MLB MLE	—	48%	399	363	79	14	4	4	29	101	4	10	2	221	288	319	606	98	291	25	7	275	72	-13	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.6
2030	22	MLB MLE	—	54%	479	435	96	17	4	6	36	120	5	12	3	224	291	328	619	104	292	25	8	280	75	-14	+1	+0	-3	+10	-0.5
2031	23	MLB MLE	—	57%	532	481	110	20	5	8	40	132	6	13	3	226	294	336	630	110	293	25	8	284	78	-14	+1	+0	-3	+12	-0.4
2032	24	MLB MLE	—	57%	566	512	117	21	5	9	43	140	6	14	3	229	296	343	639	114	294	25	8	288	81	-13	+2	+0	-3	+12	-0.3
2033	25	MLB MLE	—	57%	586	530	122	22	5	10	45	145	6	15	3	229	297	344	641	115	294	25	8	288	81	-13	+2	+0	-4	+13	-0.2
2034	26	MLB MLE	—	56%	596	539	123	22	5	10	46	147	6	15	4	229	297	345	641	116	293	25	8	289	81	-13	+1	+0	-4	+13	-0.2
2035	27	MLB MLE	—	55%	597	540	123	22	5	10	46	148	6	15	4	228	296	342	638	114	293	25	8	287	80	-14	+1	+0	-4	+13	-0.3
2028	20	MLB CTX	—	34%	98	90	19	3	1	1	7	25	1	2	1	218	283	308	591	90	290	26	7	268	68	-4	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.2
2029	21	MLB CTX	—	48%	193	175	39	7	2	2	14	49	2	5	1	221	288	319	606	98	291	25	7	275	72	-6	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.3
2030	22	MLB CTX	—	54%	260	236	51	9	2	3	19	65	3	7	2	224	291	328	619	104	292	25	7	280	75	-8	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.3
2031	23	MLB CTX	—	57%	301	272	61	11	3	4	23	75	3	8	2	226	294	336	630	110	293	25	8	284	78	-8	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.2
2032	24	MLB CTX	—	57%	320	289	66	12	3	5	24	79	4	8	2	229	296	343	639	114	294	25	8	288	81	-7	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.2
2033	25	MLB CTX	—	57%	331	299	68	12	3	5	25	82	4	8	2	229	297	344	641	115	294	25	8	288	81	-7	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.1
2034	26	MLB CTX	—	56%	337	304	71	13	3	6	26	83	4	8	2	229	297	345	641	116	293	25	8	289	81	-7	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.1
2035	27	MLB CTX	—	55%	331	299	68	12	3	5	25	82	4	8	2	228	296	342	638	114	293	25	8	287	80	-8	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2171	1964	443	79	20	31	163	540	25	54	14	226	293	334	627	108	293	25	8	284	75	-55	+5	+0	-13	+47	-1.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	133	24	6	9	49	162	7	16	4	226	293	333	627	107	295	25	8	284	75	-17	+2	+0	-4	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	4492	4063	904	163	40	61	341	1118	47	124	29	222	290	327	618	105	290	25	8	279	75	-114	+12	+0	-26	+92	-3.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	132	24	6	9	49	162	7	18	4	224	292	332	624	107	292	25	8	279	75	-18	+2	+0	-4	+14	-0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Jake Powell'30-'45 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,767 PA	4.2	2,767	22	65	248*	294*	373*	-14	-2	0.2	2.0
/162	664	5	16	-3.3	-0.5	0.0	pk7: 4
#4Eric Young Jr.last yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,925 PA	2.9	1,925	13	161	245	312	332	-11	-8	1.2	1.6
/162	664	4	56	-3.9	-2.7	0.4	pk7: 2
#5Eric Owens'95-'03 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,576 PA	3.9	2,576	26	126	253*	303*	334*	-18	+1	-0.9	0.4
/162	664	7	32	-4.5	+0.2	-0.2	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	3.6	2,382	34	59	226	290	334	-14	+0	-0.5	-0.1
/162	664	9	16	-4.0	+0.0	-0.1	pk7: 0
#6Ray Coleman'47-'52 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,902 PA	2.9	1,902	20	19	249*	297*	399*	-12	-1	-0.1	-0.1
/162	664	7	7	-4.4	-0.4	-0.0	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Perez (OGILVIE)	19	47→52	28→33	56→61	55	212/275/292	80	288	1	5	26%	7%	62	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Escobar 2024 · A	19	46→56	39→40	55→45	42	220/276/306	85	277	6	14	22%	5%	65	-1.2	227/297/326	99	296	8	9	24%	7%	78	-0.3	236/304/334	98	303	8	8	23%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Esteban González 2022 · A	19	45	37→45	55	47	206/288/291	85	281	2	12	25%	8%	68	-1.0	208/275/302	94	298	6	18	30%	6%	65	-1.2	207/269/318	111	298	8	29	32%	5%	64	-0.5
✕Jorge Ruiz 2023 · A	19	50→52	35→40	51→50	47	231/286/295	64	270	2	13	15%	5%	66	-1.1	234/287/309	75	301	3	12	22%	5%	70	-0.9	231/285/303	72	304	3	13	23%	6%	66	-0.9
✕Marcus Lemon 2007 · A	19	49→55	37→40	55→45	52	229/297/306	77	281	3	16	19%	9%	73	-0.6	243/304/333	90	311	4	9	22%	7%	82	-0.0	249/308/338	89	311	4	8	20%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Yoyner Fajardo 2019 · A	20	46→56	37→40	57→60	51	211/279/293	82	248	2	14	16%	8%	63	-1.3	227/286/295	68	281	2	19	19%	6%	67	-1.1	260/318/350	90	329	5	34	21%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Jake Fox 2022 · A	19	51→44	37→40	55→50	43	237/294/307	70	336	4	15	29%	7%	72	-0.7	210/291/305	95	291	6	11	27%	9%	72	-0.7	203/291/297	94	273	5	13	25%	11%	68	-0.5
✕Jean Carlos Sio 2023 · A	19	38→48	36→45	52→50	52	175/254/238	63	212	3	16	18%	9%	42	-2.9	209/290/287	78	270	5	12	23%	9%	67	-1.1	224/303/331	107	289	11	12	25%	8%	79	-0.2
✕Forrest Wall 2015 · A	19	48→55	41→45	56→70	47	227/291/331	104	301	7	17	26%	8%	76	-0.4	226/279/325	99	296	7	16	25%	6%	70	-0.8	250/321/350	101	344	8	50	27%	8%	89	+0.3
✕Telmito Agustin 2016 · A	19	47→42	38→45	56→50	48	222/283/314	92	277	4	17	21%	7%	70	-0.9	226/262/328	102	321	8	13	31%	4%	65	-1.2	228/261/337	108	324	10	12	32%	4%	64	-0.7
✕Raynel Delgado 2019 · A	19	50→56	36→40	50→60	45	226/293/294	68	335	3	11	31%	9%	69	-0.9	208/262/282	74	311	4	10	32%	6%	55	-2.0	246/311/338	92	338	7	32	27%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Victor Arias 2023 · A	19	43→50	37→45	49→50	47	199/284/273	74	302	3	11	32%	10%	62	-1.4	217/300/325	108	317	8	16	31%	9%	80	-0.2	226/304/342	116	321	9	18	30%	8%	82	+0.0
✕John Whittleman 2006 · A	19	44→45	37→50	54→45	48	204/279/289	85	286	2	11	27%	9%	63	-1.4	207/281/318	111	283	9	5	28%	9%	71	-0.8	203/292/325	122	277	11	2	29%	11%	76	-0.4
✕Theo Bowe 2010 · A	19	43→53	35→30	54→60	43	200/261/257	57	288	2	18	29%	7%	49	-2.4	225/284/284	59	309	3	24	26%	7%	63	-1.4	241/302/294	53	324	2	37	24%	7%	70	-0.5
✕Alberto Rodriguez 2021 · A	20	42→52	38→50	52→50	44	203/259/282	79	268	5	14	25%	7%	53	-2.1	228/290/353	125	327	10	8	31%	7%	82	-0.0	228/292/360	132	326	11	7	31%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Luis Lara 2024 · A	19	46→56	36→40	52→60	49	218/283/285	67	271	3	18	20%	7%	63	-1.3	235/308/311	76	297	4	28	21%	8%	79	-0.2	245/323/325	80	308	5	31	20%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Gilberto Celestino 2018 · A	19	43→53	39→45	53→55	43	206/263/292	86	288	6	12	30%	7%	57	-1.8	220/271/312	92	287	7	10	24%	6%	65	-1.2	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Daniel Montesino 2023 · A	19	46	38→40	48→45	50	212/301/299	87	300	5	8	28%	10%	74	-0.5	199/264/269	70	309	2	9	33%	7%	53	-2.1	176/234/225	50	289	0	8	36%	6%	29	-1.1
✕Kahlil Watson 2022 · A	19	50→43	39→50	53→55	48	232/307/326	94	323	4	11	27%	9%	82	-0.0	189/259/312	123	318	13	17	41%	8%	61	-1.5	203/280/353	149	296	17	24	35%	8%	76	-0.3
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	41→44	37→50	55	45	194/259/272	77	267	4	14	28%	8%	51	-2.2	178/254/255	77	256	5	12	30%	8%	47	-2.6	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Cooper Pratt 2024 · A	19	49→52	37→40	54→55	41	226/288/305	78	332	4	11	31%	6%	70	-0.9	228/299/323	95	293	8	23	23%	8%	78	-0.3	229/306/324	95	284	8	29	21%	9%	81	-0.1

Luis Perez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps