Colin Daniel

P Rome Emperors

Age 23 RHP 6'2" / 215 lbs A+ peak 0.4 · 2029

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	22	A+ATL	13	10	55	5.20	5.00	24.8%	9.5%	—	K 19.1% · BB 10.9% · FIP 6.27
2027PROJ	23	MLBATL	7	7	39	5.07	5.07	20.2%	10.7%	-0.1
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBATL	4	4	22	4.91	4.85	21.1%	9.9%	0.0
2029PROJ66% MLB	25	MLBATL	6	6	34	4.78	4.72	21.7%	9.5%	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 2, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 90%

CompsNoah Denoyer (age 23) · Ryan Atkinson (age 23) · Tim Redding (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129121vR 113

ERA5.07

FIP5.07

K%20.2%

BB%10.7%

K-BB%9.5%

Proj IP39

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 39 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	22	A+ MLE	Rome Emperors	13	10	55	242	60	23	12	77%	4.3	19.1%	10.9%	8.2%	6.2%	5.20	6.27	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Rome Emperors	13	10	55	242	60	23	12	77%	4.3	19.1%	10.9%	8.2%	6.2%	5.20	6.27	—
2026	22	A+ RAW	Rome Emperors	13	10	55	242	60	23	12	77%	4.3	24.8%	9.5%	15.3%	5.0%	5.20	5.00	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	ATL	7	7	39	165	33	18	6	100%	5.6	20.2%	10.7%	9.5%	3.5%	5.07	5.07	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	ATL	9	9	51	215	46	21	7	100%	5.7	21.1%	9.9%	11.2%	3.5%	4.91	4.85	+0.0
2029	25	MLB MLE	ATL	9	9	52	218	47	21	7	100%	5.7	21.7%	9.5%	12.2%	3.4%	4.78	4.72	+0.1
2030	26	MLB MLE	ATL	9	9	52	218	48	21	7	100%	5.7	22.0%	9.4%	12.5%	3.4%	4.72	4.68	+0.1
2031	27	MLB MLE	ATL	8	8	51	214	47	20	7	100%	6.3	22.0%	9.5%	12.5%	3.4%	4.71	4.71	+0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	ATL	4	4	22	93	20	9	3	100%	5.5	21.1%	9.9%	11.2%	3.5%	4.91	4.85	+0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	ATL	6	6	34	144	31	14	5	100%	5.7	21.7%	9.5%	12.2%	3.4%	4.78	4.72	+0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	ATL	7	7	41	173	38	16	6	100%	5.9	22.0%	9.4%	12.5%	3.4%	4.72	4.68	+0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	ATL	7	7	43	182	40	17	6	100%	6.1	22.0%	9.5%	12.5%	3.4%	4.71	4.71	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		24	24	140	593	129	57	20	100%	5.9	21.8%	9.5%	12.2%	3.4%	4.76	4.35	+0.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	184	81	28	100%	5.9	21.8%	9.5%	12.2%	3.4%	4.76	4.35	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		13	10	55	242	46	26	15	77%	4.3	19.1%	10.9%	8.2%	6.2%	5.20	6.27	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		47	36	200	875	167	96	54	77%	4.3	19.1%	10.9%	8.2%	6.2%	5.20	6.27	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Colin Daniel (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.07	20.2%	10.7%	3.5%	—	4.75	21.6%	12.0%	154	-0.32	—	—	—
Noah Denoyer R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	23	SP-	4.51	21.5%	12.1%	3.1%	.275	4.10	25.7%	15.7%	121	-0.41	3.26	181	88
Ryan Atkinson R 2016 · 4.58 FIP	23	SP-	4.58	18.4%	11.3%	2.9%	.315	4.48	21.6%	9.0%	305	-0.10	4.14	338	88
Tim Redding R 2001 · 4.88 FIP	23	SP-	4.88	22.1%	9.6%	4.4%	.321	4.34	15.1%	6.6%	350	-0.54	3.97	822	87
Rafael Montero R 2014 · 5.04 FIP	23	SP-	5.04	21.6%	11.9%	4.1%	.298	4.32	19.3%	8.2%	296	-0.72	2.43	714	86
Michael Knorr R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	23	SP-	4.30	23.6%	11.1%	3.3%	.312	5.15	22.0%	9.5%	123	+0.85	4.30	181	85
Andrew Quezada R 2021 · 4.40 FIP	24	SP-	4.40	18.1%	8.1%	3.3%	.312	4.86	14.6%	6.1%	291	+0.46	4.40	412	85
Ricky Castro R 2024 · 3.99 FIP	24	SP-	3.99	20.4%	8.6%	2.8%	.287	5.11	19.0%	10.6%	178	+1.12	3.99	241	85
Bryce Conley R 2018 · 4.71 FIP	23	SP-	4.71	20.2%	12.2%	3.2%	.269	4.88	17.4%	3.3%	197	+0.17	4.22	560	84
Angel Guzman R 2006 · 4.73 FIP	24	SP-	4.73	22.1%	13.2%	3.3%	.353	3.88	19.6%	12.0%	91	-0.85	3.13	147	83
Tanner Hall R 2024 · 4.67 FIP	22	SP-	4.67	18.8%	11.2%	3.2%	.295	5.33	10.1%	-4.6%	72	+0.66	4.67	137	83
Nick Fraze R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	23	SP-	4.49	18.8%	7.3%	3.8%	.271	4.69	18.1%	10.4%	162	+0.20	3.86	278	83
Jordan Geber R 2022 · 5.03 FIP	23	SP-	5.03	15.3%	10.7%	3.4%	.341	4.39	15.5%	7.8%	176	-0.64	4.26	241	82
Bud Norris R 2009 · 4.47 FIP	24	SP	4.47	21.7%	9.6%	3.6%	.309	4.01	22.5%	13.5%	508	-0.46	3.51	1,221	81
Levi Thomas R 2021 · 5.22 FIP	23	SP-	5.22	18.1%	11.9%	3.9%	.328	5.16	20.8%	3.3%	31	-0.06	5.16	116	81
Trevor May R 2014 · 4.40 FIP	24	SP	4.40	20.7%	9.9%	3.3%	.369	3.18	25.0%	19.1%	157	-1.22	3.05	477	81
Cameron Foster R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	24	SP	4.31	18.9%	10.3%	2.7%	.329	4.03	21.1%	11.2%	132	-0.28	2.50	213	81
Tyler Uberstine R 2022 · 4.19 FIP	23	SP-	4.19	19.5%	10.5%	2.6%	.302	4.27	22.8%	15.4%	121	+0.08	2.98	262	81
Cody Laweryson R 2021 · 4.06 FIP	23	SP	4.06	21.7%	8.4%	3.1%	.329	3.48	21.4%	12.8%	178	-0.58	2.48	298	81
Trent Palmer R 2022 · 4.79 FIP	23	SP	4.79	22.0%	10.4%	4.1%	.284	4.83	12.8%	-9.4%	22	+0.04	3.51	140	81
Gus Varland R 2019 · 4.29 FIP	22	SP-	4.29	19.6%	8.7%	3.2%	.294	5.73	18.1%	5.7%	105	+1.44	2.39	334	81

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.2	49	21.5%	9.8%	1.33	4.83
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
José Ruiz ('25)	1.4	57	22.3%	10.4%	1.44	4.62
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Bill Scherrer ('82-'88, 1 WAR*)	1.6	62	20.7%*	10.2%*	1.19*	4.44*
Bill Pleis ('61-'66, -0 WAR*)	1.4	56	19.7%*	9.8%*	1.15*	4.53*
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*