Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park. Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors. WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025
23
A+MLE
Great Lakes Loons
22
17
91
398
61
41
8
77%
4.2
11.8%
11.8%
-0.0%
2.5%
5.12
4.99
—
2025
23
A+MLE
Great Lakes Loons
22
17
91
398
61
41
8
77%
4.2
11.8%
11.8%
-0.0%
2.5%
5.12
4.99
—
2025
23
A+RAW
Great Lakes Loons
22
17
91
398
61
41
8
77%
4.2
15.3%
10.3%
5.0%
2.0%
5.12
4.25
—
2026
24
A+MLE
Great Lakes Loons
17
17
60
254
85
32
5
100%
3.5
25.8%
14.5%
11.3%
2.5%
3.62
4.11
—
2026
24
A+MLE
Great Lakes Loons
17
17
60
254
85
32
5
100%
3.5
25.8%
14.5%
11.3%
2.5%
3.62
4.11
—
2026
24
A+RAW
Great Lakes Loons
17
17
60
254
85
32
5
100%
3.5
33.5%
12.6%
20.9%
2.0%
3.62
2.95
—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027
25
MLB
LAD
12
12
70
296
60
39
8
100%
5.8
20.2%
13.2%
7.0%
2.9%
5.02
5.02
-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028
26
MLBMLE
LAD
14
14
82
347
72
44
10
100%
5.9
20.7%
12.7%
8.1%
2.9%
4.92
4.91
-0.0
2029
27
MLBMLE
LAD
14
14
81
342
71
42
10
100%
5.8
20.8%
12.3%
8.4%
2.9%
4.89
4.90
0.0
2030
28
MLBMLE
LAD
13
13
79
332
75
38
10
100%
6.0
22.7%
11.5%
11.3%
3.0%
4.75
4.68
+0.2
2031
29
MLBMLE
LAD
13
13
75
317
71
37
10
100%
5.8
22.5%
11.6%
10.9%
3.2%
4.78
4.80
+0.1
2032
30
MLBMLE
LAD
12
12
71
298
66
36
10
100%
5.9
22.2%
11.9%
10.2%
3.4%
4.90
4.98
-0.1
2028
26
MLBCTX
LAD
6
6
35
148
31
19
4
100%
5.8
20.7%
12.7%
8.1%
3.0%
4.99
4.98
-0.0
2029
27
MLBCTX
LAD
8
8
51
215
45
27
7
100%
6.4
20.8%
12.3%
8.4%
3.1%
4.96
4.97
0.0
2030
28
MLBCTX
LAD
10
10
59
249
57
29
8
100%
5.9
22.7%
11.5%
11.3%
3.2%
4.82
4.75
+0.2
2031
29
MLBCTX
LAD
10
10
61
258
58
30
9
100%
6.1
22.5%
11.6%
10.9%
3.3%
4.85
4.87
+0.1
2032
30
MLBCTX
LAD
10
10
61
258
57
31
9
100%
6.1
22.2%
11.9%
10.2%
3.5%
4.98
5.06
-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career
—
RAW
45
45
267
1128
247
135
37
100%
5.9
21.9%
11.9%
10.0%
3.2%
4.91
4.54
+1.1
/ 200 IP
—
RAW
33
33
200
844
185
101
28
100%
6.0
21.9%
11.9%
10.0%
3.2%
4.91
4.54
+0.8
Career
—
MLE
39
34
151
652
112
84
16
87%
3.9
17.2%
12.9%
4.4%
2.5%
4.53
4.65
+0.2
/ 200 IP
—
MLE
52
45
200
864
149
111
22
87%
3.9
17.2%
12.9%
4.4%
2.5%
4.53
4.65
+0.1
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.